Tag: Defense

V2X (VVX) – Solid Second Quarter Results

Posted on by [email protected]


Tuesday, August 04, 2026

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Overview. V2X’s reported strong second quarter performance reflecting consistent strategic execution, robust demand for the Company’s differentiated capabilities, and continued alignment to national security priorities. The Company’s recent awards across modernization, global training, aerospace, and mission readiness reinforce the value of V2X’s end-to-end solutions, ability to support global no-fail missions, and pursuit of profitable growth opportunities, in our view.

2Q26 Results. V2X reported revenue of $1.26 billion, up $178.3 million year-over-year, representing a 16.5% increase. We were at $1.2 billion. Adjusted EBITDA was $89.8 million, with a margin of 7.1%, representing an increase of 9% from the prior year. We had forecast $87 million and a 7.3% margin. Adjusted EPS came in at $1.64, up from $1.33 last year. We were at $1.44.


Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Kratos Defense & Security (KTOS) – More New Business

Posted on by [email protected]


Wednesday, July 22, 2026

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

New Business. Kratos continues to receive new business, confirming the large growth opportunities available, in our view. The new business highlights the Company’s operating philosophy of having the right products, in the right space, at the right time. The recent awards add to the pile of new business Kratos has been awarded so far in 2026.

C-UAS Award. Kratos was awarded a sole-source, single-award Indefinite Delivery/Indefinite Quantity (IDIQ) contract for approximately $156 million by the U.S. Department of Energy’s National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA) Office of Secure Transportation (OST) in support of Project Solar Shield. Under this new contract award, Kratos will provide mobile Counter-Unmanned Aircraft System (C-UAS) platforms designed to support OST’s critical National Security mission. The OST is responsible for the safe and secure ground and air transportation of nuclear weapons, weapon components, and special nuclear materials. Kratos was selected following a rigorous technical evaluation.


Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

T3 Defense (DFNS) – Stock Split Complete

Posted on by [email protected]


Tuesday, July 21, 2026

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Reverse Stock Split. As outlined in prior reports, T3 underwent a 1-for-125 reverse stock split to regain compliance with Nasdaq regulations. As a result, the number of outstanding shares declined from approximately 139.8 million to approximately 1.1 million. We adjusted our model to reflect the impact on earnings per share.

Impact. Assuming the stock split only impacts the forward quarters, the 2Q adjusted net loss increases to $2.87/sh, 3Q to a loss of $2.16/sh, and 4Q to a net loss of $1.75/sh, up from a previous projected net loss of $0.06/sh, $0.03/sh, and $0.02 per share, respectively, Full year net loss increases to $3.90/sh, up from a prior full year net loss forecast of $0.50/sh. If we adjusted 1Q26 EPS loss to the 1.1 million outstanding shares, full-year net loss rises to $30.26/sh, which includes a number of one-time non-cash charges. The share change does not impact our estimates for adjusted EBITDA, which remains at a loss of $6 million for 2026.


Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Lockheed Martin Unveiled a Patriot Missile That Costs Half as Much. The Real Story Is What It Means for the Defense Supply Chain

Posted on by [email protected]

Lockheed Martin introduced a new, lower-cost version of its Patriot interceptor at the Farnborough Airshow on Monday, a move that reflects how fundamentally the economics of air defense have changed under the pressure of real-world conflict. The PAC-3 Adapted Capability Effector, or PAC-3 ACE, is projected to cost less than half the price of the current PAC-3 MSE interceptor, which runs approximately $4 million per missile according to US Army budget documents. Initial production is expected to begin within 36 months, developed and manufactured jointly with US and European industry partners.

The announcement is not just a product launch. It is a direct response to a cost asymmetry problem that the Iran conflict has made impossible to ignore.

The Math That Forced the Decision

Throughout Operation Epic Fury, US forces in the Middle East have burned through finite interceptor stockpiles to counter Iranian drones that cost a fraction of the missiles used to destroy them. A single PAC-3 MSE interceptor costs roughly $4 million. An Iranian Shahed drone costs approximately $35,000. When you are spending more than 100 times the cost of the threat to defeat it, the economics of attrition work against you regardless of how effective the technology is.

That disparity has pushed the Pentagon and its prime contractors to rethink the entire approach to air defense procurement. The Missile Defense Agency launched a Low-Cost Interceptor program in late 2025 with a target price of $750,000 per unit. Lockheed’s PAC-3 ACE, at under $2 million, sits in the middle of the cost spectrum between that target and the current MSE, offering a bridge solution that can enter production faster because it is built on existing PAC-3 guidance technology and is compatible with legacy Patriot systems and the Integrated Battle Command System.

The European Manufacturing Push

Lockheed is not building this missile alone. The company has signaled its intention to develop PAC-3 ACE jointly with European defense partners and has expressed interest in eventually producing an entirely European-sourced variant manufactured on the continent. This follows a July 7 memorandum of understanding with German arms manufacturer Rheinmetall to establish the first European production center for the Army Tactical Missile System.

The pattern is clear: Lockheed is investing in distributed manufacturing capacity across allied nations rather than concentrating production domestically. That approach strengthens the broader defense industrial base, reduces supply chain bottlenecks, and gives NATO members the ability to produce and stockpile interoperable interceptors locally rather than depending entirely on American production during a crisis.

Where Small Cap Defense and Industrial Companies Fit

For investors tracking the defense and industrial sectors below the $2 billion market cap threshold, the shift toward distributed, cost-optimized defense manufacturing creates a meaningful opportunity set. When a prime contractor like Lockheed commits to building cheaper weapons with a broader supplier base across multiple countries, it pulls smaller specialized manufacturers, component suppliers, and defense services companies into the production chain.

Defense services contractors like V2X, which provides mission-critical support across military operations and logistics, and specialized defense technology companies like T3 Defense sit in the exact part of the ecosystem that benefits when defense procurement scales horizontally rather than concentrating vertically through a single prime. Precision component manufacturers like NN Inc., which produces highly engineered parts for defense and industrial applications, are also positioned in the supply chain that affordable, high-volume interceptor production would activate.

The defense industry spent decades optimizing for performance at any cost. The Iran conflict exposed that model’s limitations in real time. What comes next is a manufacturing and procurement shift toward affordability, volume, and distributed production, and the smaller companies with the right capabilities are the ones best positioned to fill the gaps the primes cannot fill alone.

Kratos Defense & Security (KTOS) – Building Momentum

Posted on by [email protected]


Friday, July 17, 2026

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Momentum. Recent awards, facilities expansion, world events, and increasing defense spending worldwide are combining to provide positive momentum to Kratos’ business, in our view. With proven, existing products focused on key areas of new Defense priorities, we continue to believe Kratos is well-positioned to capitalize on the current operating environment.

$400M Hypersonics. The Company recently received approximately $400 million in funding from the Department of War (DoW) related to certain hypersonic systems and other National Security related programs. Notably, beginning in June and both increasing and accelerating into July, Kratos is seeing significant funding from the DoW, which is expected to accelerate the Company’s organic growth rate, increase operating cash receipts, while reducing customer receivables, inventory, and assets where Kratos had previously “leaned forward” to ensure Kratos met or exceeded customers’ schedule-related and other expectations.


Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

The GEO Group (GEO) – New Contract with ICE; Raising Price Target

Posted on by [email protected]


Thursday, July 16, 2026

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

New Contract. The GEO Group has entered into a five-year support services contract with U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (“ICE”) for the activation of a federal immigration processing center at the 1,188-bed Big Horn Facility. GEO has entered into a lease agreement with the Facility owner. We view the new award positively and expect to see more such announcements going forward as ICE continues to seek out partners to assist the Agency in fulfilling its mission.

Details. The support services contract is expected to generate approximately $85 million in annual revenues in the first full year of operations, excluding transportation revenue. GEO’s support services are expected to include the exclusive use of the facility by ICE, along with security, maintenance, and food services, as well as access to recreational amenities, medical care, and legal counsel.


Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

T3 Defense (DFNS) – Reverse Split

Posted on by [email protected]


Thursday, July 16, 2026

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Reverse Split. T3 is implementing a 50-for-1 reverse stock split. The reverse stock split will become effective as of 12:01 a.m., Eastern Time, on July 20, 2026, and the Company’s common stock will begin trading on the Nasdaq Global Market on a split-adjusted basis when the market opens on July 20, 2026.

Rationale. The Company is implementing the reverse stock split to raise the per-share bid price of the Company’s common stock above $1.00 per share and bring the Company back into compliance with Nasdaq Listing Rule 5550(a). The Company will have regained compliance once the Company’s shares trade at or above $1.00 for a minimum of 10 consecutive trading days, at which time Nasdaq will provide the Company with notice that it has regained compliance.


Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

T3 Defense (DFNS) – Another Acquisition

Posted on by [email protected]


Monday, July 13, 2026

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Another Acquisition. On Friday, T3 Defense announced the acquisition of a 60% stake in Project35, a leading Israeli developer and manufacturer of drones, aerial interceptors and counter-UAV systems for Tier-1 defense customers in Israel and around the world. The acquisition launches T3 Defense into the center of the fast-expanding drone and counter-UAV (C-UAV) armament market, adding field-proven platforms and a new class of autonomous interceptor to its portfolio.

Terms. Under the terms of the transaction, T3 acquired its stake for 21,059,871 shares of T3 Defense common stock and a 12% promissory note due one day before the anniversary date in the principal amount of $1,250,000. At a current stock price of approximately $0.11, the value of the deal is about $3.56 million. Following closing, T3 Defense expects to work with Project35’s management team to support commercialization, production scaling, and expansion into additional customer programs, in addition to investing $2.5 million directly into the company’s operations over the next 12 months.


Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Release – Kratos Receives Approximate $36 Million Air Defense System Single Award Contract

Posted on by [email protected]
Primary Logo

July 2, 2026

PDF Version

SAN DIEGO, July 02, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (Nasdaq: KTOS), a technology company in the defense, national security and global markets, today announced that it has recently received an approximate $36 million sole-source contract award for a new air defense missile system. Kratos is a recognized industry leader in the rapid engineering, development and production at scale of affordable military-grade hardware, products and systems, including for hypersonic, missile, radar, air defense, directed energy, high-powered microwave, counter unmanned aerial system (C-UAS), chemical, biological, radiological, and nuclear (CBRN), unmanned aerial drone, strategic, and other systems. 

Tom Mills, President of Kratos’ C5ISR Division, said, “Building military-grade hardware on schedule and on budget, hardware that must work every time, is hard, and is also a clear differentiating capability of Kratos. The entire C5ISR team is proud to have been selected for this critical national security program.”

Eric DeMarco, President and CEO of Kratos, said, “Kratos’ air defense related hardware, products, and systems business, both in the United States and internationally, is currently seeing increased demand from numerous customers for multiple systems, platforms and technologies. Over the past several years, Kratos has made significant investments in property, plant, equipment and facilities, which we are continuing as we are laser focused on supporting the United States Department of War and the rebuild and recapitalization of our nation’s defense industrial base.”

Work under this contract award will be performed at a secure Kratos manufacturing facility. Due to security related, competitive and other considerations, no additional information related to this program will be provided.

About Kratos Defense & Security Solutions
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (NASDAQ: KTOS) is a technology, products, system and software company addressing the defense, national security, and commercial markets. Kratos makes true internally funded research, development, capital and other investments, to rapidly develop, produce and field solutions that address our customers’ mission critical needs and requirements. At Kratos, affordability is a technology, and we seek to utilize proven, leading-edge approaches and technology, not unproven bleeding edge approaches or technology, with Kratos’ approach designed to reduce cost, schedule and risk, enabling us to be first to market with cost effective solutions. We believe that Kratos is known as an innovative disruptive change agent in the industry, a company that is an expert in designing products and systems up front for successful rapid, large quantity, low-cost future manufacturing which is a value-add competitive differentiator for our large traditional prime system integrator partners and also to our government and commercial customers. Kratos intends to pursue program and contract opportunities as the prime or lead contractor when we believe that our probability of win (PWin) is high and any investment required by Kratos is within our capital resource comfort level. We intend to partner and team with a large, traditional system integrator when our assessment of PWin is greater or required investment is beyond Kratos’ comfort level. Kratos’ primary business areas include virtualized ground systems for satellites and space vehicles including software for command & control (C2) and telemetry, tracking and control (TT&C), jet powered unmanned aerial drone systems, hypersonic vehicles and rocket systems, propulsion systems for drones, missiles, loitering munitions, supersonic systems, space craft and launch systems, C5ISR and microwave electronic products for missile, radar, missile defense, space, satellite, counter UAS, directed energy, communication and other systems, and virtual & augmented reality training systems for the warfighter. For more information, visit www.KratosDefense.com and follow Kratos on LinkedIn and X.

Notice Regarding Forward-Looking Statements
Certain statements in this press release may constitute “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements are made on the basis of the current beliefs, expectations and assumptions of the management of Kratos and are subject to significant risks and uncertainty. Investors are cautioned not to place undue reliance on any such forward-looking statements. All such forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are made, and Kratos undertakes no obligation to update or revise these statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Although Kratos believes that the expectations reflected in these forward-looking statements are reasonable, these statements involve many risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from what may be expressed or implied in these forward-looking statements. For a further discussion of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ from those expressed in these forward-looking statements, as well as risks relating to the business of Kratos in general, see the risk disclosures in the Annual Report on Form 10-K of Kratos for the year ended December 28, 2025, and in subsequent reports on Forms 10-Q and 8-K and other filings made with the SEC by Kratos.

Press Contact:
Claire Cantrell
[email protected]

Kratos Investor Information:
877-934-4687
[email protected]

V2X (VVX) – A Major Recompete Win

Posted on by [email protected]


Monday, June 29, 2026

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Award. In its daily contract awards, on Friday, the Department of War announced it has awarded V2X subsidiary Vertex Aerospace a $500 million maximum firm-fixed-price, indefinite-delivery/indefinite-quantity contract for contractor logistic support services for the Air Force C-12 aircraft fleet. This is another in a long line of significant awards won by V2X, either new or re-competes, and highlights the Company’s diverse capabilities, in our view.

Details.  This contract provides time-sensitive movement of personnel, cargo, and medical evacuation, as well as test support for Air Force Materiel Command, Defense Intelligence Agency, Defense Security Cooperation Agency, and Pacific Air Forces. The contract is expected to be completed by June 30, 2031. The contract involves Foreign Military Sales. This contract was a competitive acquisition, and three offers were received.


Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

T3 Defense (DFNS) – Operating at the Critical Chokepoints of the Defense Industrial Base

Posted on by [email protected]


Monday, June 29, 2026

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Initiation. We are initiating research coverage of T3 Defense Inc. (NASDAQ: DFNS) with an Outperform rating and a $0.80 price target. T3 Defense is a global aerospace & defense holding company focused on acquiring and operating mission-critical defense businesses embedded at critical chokepoints of long-cycle national security programs. Through disciplined M&A, centralized capital and strategy, and decentralized operating autonomy, T3 Defense seeks to build the asymmetric edge by strengthening critical defense capabilities and compound long-term value.

Focus. The strategy targets Tier 2 and Tier 3 suppliers that form the industrial backbone of national security infrastructure, with particular emphasis on companies offering dual-use technologies, advanced AI applications, and critical manufacturing capabilities. Management is targeting high-growth areas in the defense industry, which is undergoing a strategic recapitalization driven by ongoing conflicts and rapid technological change.


Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

V2X (VVX) – Lowering Cost of Capital; More Flexibility

Posted on by [email protected]


Thursday, June 04, 2026

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Term Loan Repricing. V2X successfully repriced its approximately $869 million First Lien Term Loan. The repricing improves the applicable interest rate to SOFR plus an applicable margin of 2.0%, with an additional 25 basis-point reduction upon achieving specific corporate credit ratings of Ba3 (stable outlook) from Moody’s and BB (stable outlook) from S&P. The repricing also reduced the SOFR floor from 0.75% to 0.00%.

Implications. The transaction immediately lowers the Company’s borrowing costs and positions V2X to realize interest savings as the Company’s financial profile continues to strengthen. While the actual amount of interest savings will depend on SOFR rates, the transaction enhances the Company’s cost of capital and increases value for shareholders, in our view. With the closing, V2X has now successfully repriced its First Lien Term Loan four times since October 2023, highlighting the ongoing improvement in the Company’s financial profile, as well as the increased opportunity set, in our opinion.


Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

V2X (VVX) – Raising Price Target

Posted on by [email protected]


Tuesday, June 02, 2026

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Raising Price Target. With VVX share moving north of our $72 price target, we are increasing our target to $92 while maintaining our Outperform rating. At our new price target, VVX shares would trade at 0.8x our projected 2026 revenue, 11x our projected 2026 adjusted EBITDA, and 15.5x our projected 2026 adjusted EPS. These multiples are in line with VVX’s key competitors. VX shares are up approximately 52% y-t-d, versus an 11% rise for the S&P 500.

Overhang Removed. With American Industrial Partners’ May 2026 sale of approximately 2 million VVX shares, the firm is essentially out of V2X shares, completing a two-year process as AIP liquidated its 61%+ ownership stake in V2X acquired in the merger of Vectrus and Vertex, removing an ongoing overhang of stock, in our view. An entity affiliated with Vertex Aerospace did, however, continue to beneficially own 375,420 shares, or approximately 1.2%, of V2X’s outstanding common stock following the most recent share sale.


Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.