The Mineral Powering America’s Military That Almost Nobody Is Talking About

While Wall Street fixates on gold, lithium, and rare earth elements, a lesser-known critical mineral is quietly becoming one of the most strategically important materials in the world — and a growing opportunity in the small and microcap space. The mineral is antimony, and the race to secure domestic supply is accelerating fast.

Antimony sits at the intersection of defense, energy, and advanced technology. It hardens ammunition and military alloys, serves as a key component in flame-retardant materials protecting electronics and aircraft wiring, and plays a critical role in semiconductors, infrared sensors, and night-vision systems. The U.S. Department of Defense has identified it as one of the most critical minerals in its supply chain — and for good reason. Without antimony, a significant portion of America’s weapons systems simply don’t function.

The problem is stark. The United States has not mined antimony domestically since the early 1990s. China controls roughly 60% of global production and has enacted increasingly aggressive export restrictions, including an outright ban on shipments to the U.S. in late 2024. A Govini supply chain analysis found that more than 80,000 individual weapons parts across nearly 1,900 DoD weapon systems incorporate antimony or related critical minerals. That is not a supply chain vulnerability — that is a national security exposure.

Washington has responded with urgency. The Department of Defense has deployed nearly $400 million in investments and stockpile contracts around domestic antimony production, the most concentrated federal mobilization around a single critical mineral in recent memory. Earlier this year, the DoD disbursed $27 million under the Defense Production Act directly to United States Antimony Corporation (NYSE American: UAMY) — the only domestic processor and finished antimony product manufacturer in the country — to modernize and expand its refining facility in Thompson Falls, Montana, with capacity expected to double to 320 tons per month by year-end.

The other name drawing serious institutional attention is Perpetua Resources (NASDAQ: PPTA). The company broke ground on its Stibnite Gold Project in Idaho in October 2025 after years of permitting work. The project holds 148 million pounds of antimony and is positioned to become the only domestically mined source of the mineral, potentially supplying 35% of annual U.S. antimony demand in its first six years of production. Perpetua has already secured over $70 million in DoD awards and a preliminary $2 billion financing term sheet from the Export-Import Bank of the United States.

From a market standpoint, the global antimony market is currently valued at roughly $2.4 to $2.5 billion. Analysts project it could reach $4.1 to $4.4 billion by the mid-2030s, representing steady annual growth of 5% to 6% over the next decade. Prices have moderated from a record high of nearly $60,000 per tonne reached in mid-2025 following China’s export ban, settling around $25,000 per tonne — still nearly double where they sat two years ago.

The broader context matters here. With the Iran conflict still rattling global supply chains and reshoring emerging as a defining economic policy, the U.S. government’s push to develop domestic critical mineral production is not a trend — it is a structural shift backed by federal dollars and bipartisan political will. For small and microcap investors, that combination of government demand, supply scarcity, and growing commercial applications across defense and advanced technology creates a genuinely compelling long-term setup in a sector that most of the market is still sleeping on.

Antimony may not be a household name yet. It probably will be.

Century Lithium Corp. (CYDVF) – Moving to the Next Phase of Development


Tuesday, April 07, 2026

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Updated feasibility study. Century recently filed its updated 2026 NI 43-101 feasibility study for its 100%-owned Angel Island Lithium Project in Nevada. The updated study reflects engineering optimization and improvements that materially strengthen the project’s economic profile and highlight Angel Island as one of the most significant and economically robust sedimentary lithium developments in the United States.

Next steps. With the completion and filing of the 2026 Feasibility Study and the recent C$7 million financing, the company is well positioned to advance the Angel Island project to its next development stages. Planned activities include submitting a Plan of Operations to the Bureau of Land Management to initiate the National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) review process, advancing Nevada state permitting, progressing detailed engineering, and continuing engagement with strategic and downstream partners. Century also intends to further evaluate the rate of earth element recovery at Angel Island and continue discussions with potential offtake and project finance partners.


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First Phosphate Corp. (FRSPF) – Firing on All Cylinders


Wednesday, April 01, 2026

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Expanded infill drill program. First Phosphate completed an expanded infill drill program, totaling approximately 40,000 meters, that was launched in October at its Begin-Lamarche property in Saguenay-Lac-St. Jean, Quebec. The drilling program, which was expanded from 30,000 meters of drilling, confirmed continuity of phosphate mineralization across the existing resource horizon and discovered two new mineralized intersects in the Northern and Southern zones.

Updated geological model. The incremental 10,000 meters of drilling was designed to better understand the new intersects and test mineralization at depth in areas across the Northern and Southern zones. The company is processing the full set of drill results from its original and expanded drill program with the goal of updating the geological model in the coming weeks.


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Release – Summit Midstream Corporation Announces $42 Million Equity Issuance to Affiliate of Tailwater Capital

Summit Midstream Partners Logo. (PRNewsFoto/Summit Midstream Partners)

Research News and Market Data on SMC

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HOUSTON, March 31, 2026 /PRNewswire/ — Summit Midstream Corporation (NYSE: SMC) (“Summit”, “SMC” or the “Company”) announced today that it and its subsidiary, Summit Midstream Partners, LP (the “Partnership”), have entered into a securities purchase agreement with an affiliate of Tailwater Capital LLC (“Tailwater”), for a private placement of 1,351,351 shares of the Company’s common stock, at a price of $31.08 per share.

   

The investment strengthens Summit’s balance sheet and provides capital to fund the Company’s strategic growth initiatives and general corporate purposes.

“We are pleased to expand our relationship with Tailwater Capital through this equity issuance,” said Heath Deneke, President, Chief Executive Officer and Chairman of Summit. “This $42 million investment represents a significant vote of confidence in our company’s outlook and provides us with financial flexibility to execute on our current pipeline of high-return growth projects while continuing to make progress towards achieving our long-term 3.5x leverage target.”

Pursuant to the securities purchase agreement, Summit will issue 1,351,351 shares of its common stock at a price per share of $31.08 to raise $42.0 million for debt reduction and to fund growth capital. The $31.08 price per share represents the closing price as of March 30, 2026. The shares are subject to a 6-month lock up period and other terms and conditions. The transaction was unanimously approved by the Audit Committee of the Board of Directors, which is comprised solely of independent and disinterested directors.

“As Summit’s largest shareholder, we are excited to continue to provide support as the Company enters an exciting phase of organic growth execution around its portfolio, all of which continue to benefit from strong secular tailwinds for U.S. natural gas and crude oil outlook. Summit remains well-positioned to build momentum around its recently announced growth projects and provide best-in-class infrastructure solutions to its customer base,” said Jason Downie, Co-founder & Managing Partner at Tailwater Capital. “We value our long-term partnership with Summit and look forward to continued execution across its strategic and financial priorities.”

Following the transactions, Tailwater and its affiliated entities are expected to beneficially own approximately 39% of Summit’s outstanding equity. Summit intends to use the net proceeds from the private placement to reduce borrowings under the Company’s asset-based lending credit facility and fund organic growth capital projects across its operating areas.

Summit is represented in the transactions by Troutman Pepper Locke LLP. Tall Oak Midstream Holdings and Tailwater are represented in the transactions by Kirkland & Ellis LLP.

The offer and sale of the foregoing securities have not been registered under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”) or any state securities laws and may not be offered or sold in the United States absent registration or an applicable exemption from, or in a transaction not subject to, the registration requirements of the Securities Act and applicable state securities laws. The securities were offered and sold to an “accredited investor” as that term is defined in Rule 501(a) under the Securities Act.

This press release does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security, nor shall there be any sale of the securities described herein or any other security of the Company, in any jurisdiction in which such offer, solicitation or sale would be unlawful prior to the registration or qualification under the securities laws of any such jurisdiction.

About Summit Midstream Corporation

SMC is a value-driven corporation focused on developing, owning and operating midstream energy infrastructure assets that are strategically located in the core producing areas of unconventional resource basins, primarily shale formations, in the continental United States. SMC provides natural gas, crude oil and produced water gathering, processing and transportation services pursuant to primarily long-term, fee-based agreements with customers and counterparties in five unconventional resource basins: (i) the Williston Basin, which includes the Bakken and Three Forks shale formations in North Dakota; (ii) the Denver-Julesburg Basin, which includes the Niobrara and Codell shale formations in Colorado and Wyoming; (iii) the Fort Worth Basin, which includes the Barnett Shale formation in Texas; (iv) the Arkoma Basin, which includes the Woodford and Caney shale formations in Oklahoma; and (v) the Piceance Basin, which includes the Mesaverde formation as well as the Mancos and Niobrara shale formations in Colorado. SMC has an equity method investment in Double E Pipeline, LLC, which provides interstate natural gas transportation service from multiple receipt points in the Delaware Basin to various delivery points in and around the Waha Hub in Texas. SMC is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

About Tailwater Capital LLC

Dallas-based Tailwater Capital is an energy and infrastructure private equity firm with a well-established track record of working constructively with proven management teams to deliver value-added solutions. Tailwater Capital has raised more than $6 billion in committed equity capital since inception, and the team has executed more than 300 transactions representing over $29 billion in value. For more information, please visit www.tailwatercapital.com.

Forward-Looking Statements

This press release includes certain statements concerning expectations for the future that are forward-looking within the meaning of the federal securities laws. Forward-looking statements include, without limitation, any statement that may project, indicate or imply future results, events, performance or achievements and may contain the words “expect,” “intend,” “plan,” “anticipate,” “estimate,” “believe,” “will be,” “will continue,” “will likely result,” and similar expressions, or future conditional verbs such as “may,” “will,” “should,” “would” and “could.” In addition, any statement concerning future financial performance (including future revenues, earnings or growth rates), achievement of leverage targets, payment of dividends on any series of stock, ongoing business strategies and possible actions taken by SMC or its subsidiaries are also forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements also contain known and unknown risks and uncertainties (many of which are difficult to predict and beyond management’s control) that may cause SMC’s actual results in future periods to differ materially from anticipated or projected results. An extensive list of specific material risks and uncertainties affecting SMC is contained in its 2025 Annual Report on Form 10-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) on March 16, 2026, as amended and updated from time to time. Any forward-looking statements in this press release are made as of the date of this press release and SMC undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements to reflect new information or events.

Cision View original content to download multimedia:https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/summit-midstream-corporation-announces-42-million-equity-issuance-to-affiliate-of-tailwater-capital-302730608.html

SOURCE Summit Midstream Corporation

832-413-4770, [email protected]

Iran’s Fifth Week: The Domino That Could Send Oil Prices Into Uncharted Territory

Oil markets opened the week in full crisis mode — and two developments over the weekend made clear that this conflict is far from finding a ceiling.

Brent crude traded near $108 per barrel Monday morning while WTI crossed $102, each up roughly 3% on the session and more than 70% above where they started the year. The war in Iran is now in its fifth week, and the supply picture just got significantly more complicated.

A Second Chokepoint Enters the Picture

The Strait of Hormuz has been effectively closed since early March, stripping roughly 20% of global oil and LNG supply from world markets in a single stroke. Saudi Arabia’s East-West Pipeline — the only meaningful rerouting option — is already running at its full capacity of 7 million barrels per day with zero room to expand.

Now a second chokepoint is under direct threat. Iran-backed Houthi militants in Yemen are positioning to disrupt the Bab el-Mandeb Strait — the narrow passage between Yemen and Djibouti that connects the Red Sea to the Gulf of Aden. Every westbound oil tanker that escapes Hormuz via Saudi Arabia’s pipeline must still transit this corridor to reach European and Atlantic markets. Insurance costs for Red Sea routes are climbing sharply and shipowners are already pulling back.

If the Bab el-Mandeb is closed, the market loses another estimated 7 million barrels per day — stacked on top of the 15 million already offline. That math would represent the most severe supply disruption in recorded energy history, eclipsing the 1973 oil shock in scale and speed.

Washington Raises the Stakes

The second driver of Monday’s move came from the White House. President Trump renewed explicit threats to destroy Iran’s oil infrastructure, power generation plants, and desalination facilities if a deal is not reached imminently. The U.S. now has approximately 50,000 troops deployed to the Gulf, including elite rapid-entry units. A Wall Street Journal report Sunday evening added that the administration is weighing a special operations mission to extract uranium from Iran’s underground nuclear compounds — a scenario that analysts broadly view as an immediate and severe escalation trigger.

Treasury Secretary Bessent offered a partial offset, hinting at potential U.S. or multinational naval escorts to restore navigation through the straits — which briefly pulled futures off their highs at Monday’s open. But the underlying tension held. Iran has continued to insist it is not in active negotiations, even as Trump has claimed “great progress” toward a deal.

JPMorgan’s commodities strategy team, led by Natasha Kaneva, wrote Sunday that markets are still underestimating the downside risks. The concern, they noted, is no longer whether this escalates further — it’s when.

The Broader Market Fallout

The energy crisis is metastasizing beyond the oil patch. European gas storage entered this conflict at historically low levels — roughly 30% capacity — after a harsh winter. Dutch TTF gas benchmarks have nearly doubled since hostilities began. Chemical and steel manufacturers across the UK and EU have imposed surcharges of up to 30% to offset surging input costs. The ECB has already postponed planned rate cuts and revised its inflation forecasts higher.

The International Energy Agency announced what would be the largest strategic petroleum reserve release in its history — 400 million barrels — as a near-term stabilizer. It addresses the pressure but not the cause. With two chokepoints now in play, no diplomatic resolution on the table, and 50,000 U.S. troops in the region, the structural bid under oil prices isn’t dissipating this week.

The energy industry’s own assessment is blunt: this may only be the beginning of the supply shock, not the peak of it.

Resolution Minerals Ltd (RLMLF) – Idaho’s Next Gold and Critical Minerals District


Thursday, March 26, 2026

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Hans Baldau, Associate Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Initiating coverage with an Outperform. Resolution Minerals Ltd (ASX: RML, OTCQB: RLMLF) is advancing the Horse Heaven Gold–Antimony–Tungsten–Silver Project in Idaho, now covering 14,580 hectares. Following China’s December 2024 ban on antimony exports to the U.S., the country faces a structural supply deficit with no meaningful domestic mining or processing capacity. Resolution is positioned to address this gap through both resource development and intention to build a commercial-scale hydrometallurgical processing facility, aligning the project with U.S. policy priorities around domestic critical mineral supply chains.

Golden Gate. Phase 1 drilling at the Golden Gate Prospect confirmed a fault-controlled Intrusion Related Gold System with indications of meaningful scale. All 14 holes intersected mineralization from surface, including intercepts of 253m at 1.50 g/t Au, 265m at 0.60 g/t Au, and 189m at 1.30 g/t Au, all open at depth, while a second discovery at Golden Gate South expanded the mineralized footprint to more than 1.5km of strike. Importantly, the historical Golden Gate Tungsten Mine, last in production in 1980, is located within Resolution’s property boundary, with management evaluating a restart. A Phase 2 program of up to 45 diamond holes across 13,700 meters commences in early May 2026.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

First Phosphate Corp. (FRSPF) – NRCan Contribution Agreement Signed; Funding Secured


Wednesday, March 25, 2026

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Hans Baldau, Associate Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Investor webinar. CEO John Passalacqua recently presented to investors via Simone Capital. During the call, Mr. Passalacqua commented on the signed contribution agreement with Natural Resources Canada, the ongoing drill program and future feasibility study, the ADR launch, and the strength of the stock in recent weeks relative to a difficult broader market. Management attributed the stock’s resilience to the quality of the shareholder base, consistent milestone execution, and the visible de-risking effect of government backing.

NRCan contribution agreement signed. First Phosphate has executed a formal agreement with Natural Resources Canada providing up to C$16.7 million in non-repayable government funding under the Global Partnerships Initiative. The structure is a reimbursement model, whereby the company incurs eligible expenditures and receives reimbursement of up to 75% within approximately three months, supporting technical and engineering validation work through 2028. Combined with approximately C$20-C$22 million in cash on hand, we estimate total accessible financial resources of approximately C$36-C$38 million, sufficient to fund the company through drill completion, feasibility study, and final investment decision.


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Comstock (LODE) – Review of 2025 and Outlook for 2026


Wednesday, March 25, 2026

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Hans Baldau, Associate Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

A year of repositioning. During 2025, Comstock Inc. repositioned itself around two scalable growth businesses: Comstock Metals, which targets solar panel recycling and critical mineral recovery, and its investment in Bioleum Corporation, which is advancing biomass-based renewable fuels.

Near-term revenue visibility. Comstock Metals represents the most immediate catalyst for value creation. Comstock has validated a zero-landfill solar panel recycling process and completed permitting for its first industry-scale facility in Nevada, with operations expected to commence in the second quarter of 2026. The company has also secured logistics infrastructure and customer agreements across key U.S. regions, reflecting growing demand for end-of-life solar panel processing. Over time, the strategy could include multiple facilities and integrated refining capabilities that target recovery of higher-value metals such as silver.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Gold Just Had Its Worst Week Since 1980 — Here’s the Uncomfortable Reason Why

For decades, the playbook has been simple: when war breaks out, buy gold. But the ongoing U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran is rewriting that script in real time, and investors are scrambling to make sense of a metal that is behaving more like a speculative trade than the world’s oldest store of value.

Gold has dropped nearly 10% this week, putting it on track for its worst weekly performance in 43 years, with the metal’s total decline since the war began now sitting at approximately 13%. On Friday, gold was trading around $4,570 per troy ounce — erasing two months of gains in a matter of days.

The Rate Problem Nobody Saw Coming

The paradox at the heart of gold’s collapse is this: the same war that should theoretically be sending investors rushing into safe-haven assets is also the reason central banks are slamming the door on interest rate cuts.

The Federal Reserve held rates steady and cited uncertain impacts from the conflict, while the Bank of Japan kept rates unchanged, noting that inflation risks are now tilted to the upside. Central banks across Europe — including the U.K. and the eurozone — followed suit. Market expectations for Fed rate cuts have shifted dramatically, with traders now pricing in no cuts until as late as June 2027 — a full twelve months later than pre-war projections. That matters enormously for gold, which pays no yield. When bonds and other interest-bearing assets become more attractive, gold loses its competitive edge almost immediately.

The Dollar Is Doing Gold No Favors Either

The U.S. dollar has rebounded approximately 2.2% since the Iran war began, halting a months-long slide. Because gold is priced in dollars, a stronger greenback makes the metal relatively more expensive for international buyers, dampening global demand.

Oil prices have remained above $100 per barrel following attacks on major energy infrastructure, including one of the world’s largest natural gas fields shared by Iran and Qatar, with the conflict showing no signs of resolution. Energy-driven inflation is now feeding directly into the rate calculus that is punishing gold.

From Safe Haven to Meme Trade — and Back?

Part of what’s happening is a hangover from an extraordinary run. Gold surged 66% in 2025, its best annual performance since 1979, before hitting $5,000 per troy ounce for the first time in January 2026. Retail investors piled in chasing momentum, and when that momentum began to reverse, the selling accelerated. Some analysts have raised the possibility that central banks, which were previously aggressive buyers, may now be turning into net sellers — an additional headwind few had anticipated.

The longer-term bull case hasn’t disappeared. J.P. Morgan maintains a 2026 year-end target of $6,300 per ounce, while Deutsche Bank holds firm at $6,000 — though both forecasts were set before the Iran escalation.

For long-term holders, the fundamental case remains intact. Real interest rates, global monetary policy, and persistent geopolitical uncertainty have historically been the primary drivers of sustained gold bull markets, and none of those underlying forces have been resolved.

The question isn’t whether gold’s story is over. The question is whether the market has finally priced in a world where geopolitical chaos and monetary tightening can coexist — and where gold, at least temporarily, is caught in the crossfire.

Kuya Silver (KUYAF) – Driving Mineral Resource Growth


Thursday, March 19, 2026

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Hans Baldau, Associate Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Kuya Silver is significantly scaling its exploration efforts at Bethania. The company has expanded its fully funded 2026 drill program to approximately 20,000 meters, making it the largest drilling campaign in the project’s history. By combining 10,000 meters of surface and 10,000 meters of underground drilling, Kuya seeks to extend known mineralization near existing operations and test new district scale targets, positioning the project for meaningful resource growth.

High-grade regional targets highlight strong expansion potential. Exploration has identified multiple vein systems beyond the current mine area, with high priority prospects such as Millococha, Tito PH, and Carmelitas demonstrating encouraging grades and geological continuity. These areas, supported by historic artisanal mining and recent sampling, suggest the presence of a broader mineralized system that could materially increase the overall resource base.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Century Lithium Corp. (CYDVF) – Updated Feasibility Study Highlights Incremental Value


Wednesday, March 18, 2026

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Hans Baldau, Associate Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Updated feasibility study. Century recently filed its updated 2026 NI 43-101 feasibility study for its 100%-owned Angel Island Lithium Project in Nevada. The updated study reflects engineering optimization and improvements that materially strengthen the project’s economic profile and highlight Angel Island as one of the most significant and economically robust sedimentary lithium developments in the United States.

Lower initial capital expenditures. Phase I initial capital expenditures are estimated to be $997 million, a significant reduction from the $1.5 billion outlined in the 2024 Study. The updated study streamlines development into a two-phase approach. Phase I contemplates 7,500 tonnes per day (tpd) of mill feed, expanding to 15,000 tpd in Phase II beginning in Year 5. Phase II expansion capital is estimated at $660 million. A previously planned third expansion phase was eliminated, lowering overall capital requirements. The economic analysis is based on a 40-year production schedule, with planned life-of-mine average production of 26,500 tonnes per annum of battery-grade lithium carbonate.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

17% Gains, Back-to-Back Losses — Gold’s 2026 Story Is Getting Complicated

Gold is heading into the weekend with back-to-back weekly losses — a signal that something unusual is happening in commodity markets. The metal that investors typically rush to during geopolitical crises is being undercut by the very crisis driving its usual tailwinds.

Spot gold is trading around $5,084 per ounce on Friday, down nearly 1% from Thursday’s close and on pace for a 2.4% weekly decline. That would mark the first consecutive weekly drop since November, pulling gold further from its all-time high of $5,595 set on January 29. Despite the retreat, the metal remains roughly 17% higher year-to-date — a figure that should not be lost on investors trying to contextualize the current pullback.

The Oil-Inflation Paradox

The culprit is crude. Oil prices near $100 a barrel — sustained by the ongoing US-Israeli military campaign against Iran — are creating an inflation feedback loop that is actually working against gold in the near term. Here’s the mechanism: rising oil strengthens the U.S. dollar, since the U.S. is a net energy exporter. A stronger dollar makes dollar-denominated gold more expensive for global buyers, compressing demand. At the same time, oil-driven inflation is forcing markets to price out Federal Reserve rate cuts, and gold doesn’t pay interest — so higher-for-longer rates make yield-bearing assets comparatively more attractive.

The U.S. Dollar Index has gained about 1% over the past five trading sessions and is up 3.3% over the past month. That’s a meaningful headwind for bullion.

Fed Watch Dominates

Markets now assign just a 4.4% probability to a rate cut at next week’s Fed meeting, with 95.6% of participants expecting rates to hold at 3.50%–3.75%. Earlier this year, the consensus expectation was two cuts in 2026. That view has collapsed as energy prices reignite inflationary pressure — and fresh consumer spending data released Friday showed spending barely moved in January, adding to concerns that a stagflationary dynamic could be forming ahead of the conflict’s economic ripple effects.

U.S. consumer sentiment has also declined to a three-month low as gasoline prices climb. This matters for the Fed: a consumer-led slowdown paired with sticky inflation removes the policy flexibility that gold bulls were counting on.

Where Does Gold Go From Here?

The longer-term picture remains constructive. Wall Street’s major banks haven’t flinched — J.P. Morgan holds a $6,300 price target for gold in 2026, and Deutsche Bank is at $6,000. Central bank buying, persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, and geopolitical uncertainty all underpin a structurally bullish case. The current weakness appears to be a recalibration, not a reversal.

For small and microcap investors, the gold pullback carries downstream implications worth watching. Junior miners and gold royalty companies — many of which trade well below the $2 billion market cap threshold — tend to amplify gold’s moves in both directions. A sustained drop from current levels would compress margins and valuations across that segment. Conversely, if conflict escalation or a dollar reversal sends gold back toward $5,500, smaller producers could see outsized recoveries.

The market is being asked a simple question right now: is $100 oil a headwind or a catalyst for gold? The answer, at least this week, is headwind.

Power Metallic Mines Inc. (PNPNF) – High-Grade Lion Drilling Continues to Expand Near-Surface Potential


Wednesday, March 11, 2026

Power Metallic is a Canadian exploration company focused on advancing the Nisk Project Area (Nisk–Lion–Tiger)—a high–grade Copper–PGE, Nickel, gold and silver system—toward Canada’s next polymetallic mine. On 1 February 2021, Power Metallic (then Chilean Metals) secured an option to earn up to 80% of the Nisk project from Critical Elements Lithium Corp. (TSX–V: CRE). Following the June 2025 purchase of 313 adjoining claims (~167 km²) from Li–FT Power, the Company now controls ~212.86 km² and roughly 50 km of prospective basin margins. Power Metallic is expanding mineralization at the Nisk and Lion discovery zones, evaluating the Tiger target, and exploring the enlarged land package through successive drill programs. Beyond the Nisk Project Area, Power Metallic indirectly has an interest in significant land packages in British Columbia and Chile, by its 50% share ownership position in Chilean Metals Inc., which were spun out from Power Metallic via a plan of arrangement on February 3, 2025. It also owns 100% of Power Metallic Arabia which owns 100% interest in the Jabul Baudan exploration license in The Kingdon of Saudi Arabia’s JabalSaid Belt. The property encompasses over 200 square kilometres in an area recognized for its high prospectivity for copper gold and zinc mineralization. The region is known for its massive volcanic sulfide (VMS) deposits, including the world-class Jabal Sayid mine and the promising Umm and Damad deposit.

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Hans Baldau, Associate Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Best copper intercept to date. Power Metallic reported results from the first hole of the 2026 winter drill campaign. Hole PML-26-049 intersected 16.55 meters grading 10.08% copper (15.11% CuEq) within massive to brecciated copper sulphides, representing the strongest copper intersection reported at the Lion Zone to date. The hole was drilled to support interpretation of near-surface mineralization and to expand the deposit’s footprint in an area that management believes may be amenable to open-pit extraction.

Infill drilling is supportive. Results from holes PML-26-049 and PML-25-047 confirm strong grade continuity within the modeled Lion Zone geometry, improving confidence that portions of the deposit may ultimately support Indicated Resource classification. Deeper drilling has also expanded high-grade lenses within the system, including 7.60 meters grading 7.30% CuEq within an 18.0-meter interval grading 3.18% CuEq, further extending mineralization within the Lion zone.


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