CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – $500 Million Accelerated Share Repurchase


Tuesday, August 11, 2026

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

ASR. CoreCivic has decided how to use a portion of the proceeds from the facilities sale, and it’s a $500 million Accelerated Share Repurchase program. The Company already used over $600 million of net proceeds to reduce debt, and increased share repurchases were a logical use of additional funds, in our opinion. Upon completion of the ASR Agreement, the Company anticipates that approximately $255.8 million of share repurchase authorization will remain available.

Details. The Company made a payment of $500 million to a financial institution on August 10, 2026, and expects to receive an initial delivery of approximately 12.4 million shares of CXW common stock (about 12.5% of the outstanding) from the financial institution, pursuant to the ASR Agreement. Based on Friday’s closing price, the initial 12.4 million shares would have used approximately $400 million of the $500 million.


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CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – 2Q26 Results Exceed Expectations; Raising Price Target


Monday, August 10, 2026

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Overview. As we highlighted in our First Look at CoreCivic’s operating results, the Company’s second quarter 2026 financial results exceeded management expectations, driven by lower operating costs and slightly higher populations from ICE. While the quarterly operating results were a positive in and of themselves, the major news came post-quarter’s end with the announcements of sales of four detention facilities to the Federal government for total gross proceeds of $2.2 billion and a net of approximately $1.6 billion. The Company remains in discussions with ICE for the potential sale of additional facilities, as well as for new contracts at existing and/or idle facilities.

Capital. With the facilities sold, the current capital structure has significantly changed. Net proceeds, after taxes and sale costs, were approximately $1.6 billion. The Company used $608.5 million to pay down debt, including $238.5 million of the 4.75% unsecured notes that will be repaid on August 12th. After income taxes and debt repayments, the Company will have approximately $1 billion of cash on hand, total debt outstanding of $739.1 million, and $553.3 million of borrowing capacity under the revolving credit facility.


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CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – First Look 2Q26 Results


Thursday, August 06, 2026

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Overview. CoreCivic’s 2Q26 financial results exceeded management expectations, driven by lower operating costs and slightly higher populations from U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement. Recent contracts at 4 facilities added $80.1 million to revenue and $20.1 million to operating income in the quarter. These facilities continue to be in various stages of activation. 

2Q26 Results. Revenue increased 27.3% y-o-y to $684.9 million and was above our $618 million projection. Adjusted EBITDA was $109.4 million, compared to $103.3 million in 2Q25 and our $108.9 million estimate. Adjusted net income was $37.7 million, or $0.38 per diluted share, in 2Q26, compared with $39.7 million and $0.36, respectively, last year. We would note 2Q25 EPS benefited from $11.6 million, or $0.08 per share, of Employee Retention Credits, along with interest thereon, available under the CARES Act. Excluding the CARES Act benefit, 2Q26 adjusted EPS would have reflected more pronounced y-o-y growth.


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CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – Opening Another Previously Idle Facility


Wednesday, August 05, 2026

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

New Award. CoreCivic has been awarded a new contract with U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (“ICE”) to utilize the Company’s 1,600-bed Prairie Correctional Facility located in Appleton, Minnesota, a facility that has been idle since 2010. Awards seem to be picking up once again, especially for previously idle facilities, suggesting to us that ICE is moving back to the tried-and-true detention operating model, with less focus on alternative detention models.

Impact. The new contract commences on August 11, 2026, for a term of five years. The agreement provides for a fixed monthly payment plus an incremental per diem payment based on detainee populations. Taking into account start-up activities and the phased commencement of intake operations, we currently expect an immaterial impact to earnings for the remainder of 2026. Once the facility is fully activated, management expects this facility to generate total annual revenue of approximately $75 million. The facility should begin receiving detainees in the fourth quarter of 2026, with the full ramp estimated to be complete in the second quarter of 2027.


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CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – Redeeming 4.75% Notes


Thursday, July 16, 2026

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Redemption. CoreCivic has elected to redeem in full the 4.75% Senior Notes due 2027 that remain outstanding on August 12, 2026. This was an expected use of funds from the recently announced sale of two facilities to the Federal government. As of July 13, 2026, the principal amount of the outstanding 2027 Notes was $238,468,000. We anticipate additional debt reduction with a portion of the remaining sale proceeds.

Detail. The 2027 Notes will be redeemed at a redemption price equal to 100.000% of the principal amount of the then-outstanding 2027 Notes, plus the applicable “make-whole” premium specified in the indenture, as supplemented, governing the 2027 Senior Notes, plus accrued and unpaid interest to, but not including, the Redemption Date. We estimate the annual interest expense savings to be approximately $11.3 million.


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CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – Validation of Asset Worth


Tuesday, July 07, 2026

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Asset Sale. CoreCivic sold two detention facilities— the 2,560-bed California City Detention Facility in California City, California, and the 1,994-bed Otay Mesa Detention Facility in San Diego-to the U.S. Government for gross proceeds of $1.5 billion or approximately $1.1 billion in net proceeds. Significantly, CoreCivic expects to continue to manage both facilities under existing management contracts with ICE.

Value Validation. Cal City sold for $286,172 per bed and Otay Mesa for $370,712 per bed. Even acknowledging a “California premium,” the facilities sold significantly above previous sales of detention facilities on a per-bed basis, confirming our long-standing thesis that the Company’s assets are worth well in excess of what the market is giving the Company credit for.


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CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – First Quarter 2026 Post Call Update


Monday, May 11, 2026

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Environment. CoreCivic’s near-term performance will reflect the ultimate moves ICE makes. We continue to believe the services provided by CoreCivic are the best value for the Federal government to manage the immigration crisis. We believe the new leadership at DHS is likely to continue to pursue the use of private operators going forward.

Clinical Solutions Pharmacy Acquisition. As mentioned in our initial First Look at 1Q26, subsequent to the quarter’s end, CoreCivic acquired  Clinical Solutions Pharmacy (“CSP”), one of the largest providers of mail order pharmacy services to correctional facilities in the United States. We expect the acquisition of CSP to diversify CoreCivic’s cash flows in a complementary business and a growing market. We believe there are additional opportunities for CoreCivic to expand this business further.


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CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – Additional Flexibility


Thursday, April 16, 2026

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Incremental Term Loan. CoreCivic obtained an incremental term loan in the amount of $100 million from existing lenders under its credit facility. The Company expects to use the $100 million to pay down a portion of the amounts outstanding under its revolver and for working capital and general corporate purposes. With the DHS funding issues, we suspect the federal government has been slow in payment, likely resulting in elevated A/R for CoreCivic.

Updated Debt Details. Following the transaction, CoreCivic’s Amended Credit Facility is in the aggregate principal amount of $800 million, consisting of a $125 million initial term loan, the incremental term loan, and a $575 million revolving credit facility, which has a $25 million sublimit for swingline loans and a $100 million sublimit for the issuance of standby letters of credit.


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CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – A Strong End to the Year


Tuesday, February 17, 2026

CoreCivic is a diversified, government-solutions company with the scale and experience needed to solve tough government challenges in flexible, cost-effective ways. We provide a broad range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through high-quality corrections and detention management, a network of residential and non-residential alternatives to incarceration to help address America’s recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. We are the nation’s largest owner of partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities, and believe we are the largest private owner of real estate used by government agencies in the United States. We have been a flexible and dependable partner for government for nearly 40 years. Our employees are driven by a deep sense of service, high standards of professionalism and a responsibility to help government better the public good. Learn more at www.corecivic.com.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Overview. CoreCivic reported a strong 4Q25, with management revenue from U.S. Immigration & Customs Enforcement (ICE), CXW’s largest government partner, more than doubling from the fourth quarter of 2024. Revenue from state customers increased 5.0% y-o-y. CoreCivic’s balance sheet remains strong, ending the quarter with leverage, measured as net debt to adjusted EBITDA, at 2.8x for the trailing twelve months.

4Q25 Results. Revenue was $603.9 million, up from $479.3 million in 4Q24 and our $595.8 million estimate, driven by higher populations. Adjusted EBITDA totaled $92.5 million, compared to $74.2 million last year and our $80.9 million projection. Adjusted EPS was $0.27 versus $0.16 last year.


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CoreCivic Announces Expansion of Revolving Credit Facility By $300 Million

December 2, 2025

BRENTWOOD, Tenn., Dec. 02, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — CoreCivic, Inc. (NYSE: CXW) (“CoreCivic” or the “Company”) announced today that it has entered into a First Amendment to its Fourth Amended and Restated Credit Agreement to, among other things, increase the size of the “accordion” feature that provides for uncommitted incremental extensions of credit from $200 million to $300 million, and to exercise the full allotment by expanding the capacity under the Revolving Credit Facility from $275 million to $575 million effective December 1, 2025 (the “Amendment”). The Company currently has outstanding borrowings under the Revolving Credit Facility of $165.0 million. Including outstanding letters of credit of $18.6 million and following the Amendment, the Company currently has additional borrowing capacity of $391.4 million.

David M. Garfinkle, CoreCivic’s Chief Financial Officer, commented, “As expressed on our last earnings call, with recent contract awards the Company is forecasting significant increases in revenues and cash flows going into 2026 and 2027. Expanding the size of our Revolving Credit Facility provides us with enhanced balance sheet flexibility while remaining positioned for strategic investments and long-term value creation, such as through our recently expanded buyback authorization.” Garfinkle continued, “I would like to thank the banks that participate in our bank credit facility. We are pleased to have such supportive banking relationships.”

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – Attractive Risk/Reward Opportunity


Monday, November 10, 2025

CoreCivic is a diversified, government-solutions company with the scale and experience needed to solve tough government challenges in flexible, cost-effective ways. We provide a broad range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through high-quality corrections and detention management, a network of residential and non-residential alternatives to incarceration to help address America’s recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. We are the nation’s largest owner of partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities, and believe we are the largest private owner of real estate used by government agencies in the United States. We have been a flexible and dependable partner for government for nearly 40 years. Our employees are driven by a deep sense of service, high standards of professionalism and a responsibility to help government better the public good. Learn more at www.corecivic.com.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Overview. With four new contracts during the quarter, CoreCivic made substantial progress in contracting to use a significant portion of its idle facility capacity in the quarter. The four new contracts effective in the third quarter are expected to generate approximately $320 million of annual revenue once the facilities achieve stabilized occupancy. Notably, CoreCivic’s detention populations and revenues have been unaffected by the government shutdown.

3Q25 Results. Revenue of $580.4 million rose 18.1% y-o-y, driven by increased populations. We were at $550 million. CoreCivic recorded adjusted EBITDA of $88.8 million, up 6.6% y-o-y, but slightly below our $91.8 million estimate. Adjusted EPS was $0.24, up 26.3% y-o-y and in-line with our $0.27 estimate. Normalized FFO was $0.48, up 11.6% y-o-y and in-line with our $0.48 estimate.


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CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – First Look at Third Quarter 2025


Thursday, November 06, 2025

CoreCivic is a diversified, government-solutions company with the scale and experience needed to solve tough government challenges in flexible, cost-effective ways. We provide a broad range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through high-quality corrections and detention management, a network of residential and non-residential alternatives to incarceration to help address America’s recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. We are the nation’s largest owner of partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities, and believe we are the largest private owner of real estate used by government agencies in the United States. We have been a flexible and dependable partner for government for nearly 40 years. Our employees are driven by a deep sense of service, high standards of professionalism and a responsibility to help government better the public good. Learn more at www.corecivic.com.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

3Q25 Results. Revenue of $580.1 million was up 18.1% y-o-y and exceeded our $550.6 million estimate. Adjusted EBITDA came in at $88.8 million, up 6.6% y-o-y and just below our $91.7 million estimate. Net income totaled $26.3 million, or $0.24/sh, compared to $21.1 million, or $0.19/sh, last year. We were at $0.27/sh. CoreCivic is benefiting from ongoing demand for its services across its government partners, but particularly ICE.

ICE. ICE revenue increased 54.6% y-o-y to $215.9 million. With law enforcement as an essential government service, the extended government shutdown is not impacting detention populations or revenues. CoreCivic began receiving ICE populations at the newly reopened California City and West Tennessee facilities late in the third quarter, with stabilized occupancy expected during 1Q26.


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CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – Noble Virtual Conference Highlights


Monday, October 13, 2025

CoreCivic is a diversified, government-solutions company with the scale and experience needed to solve tough government challenges in flexible, cost-effective ways. We provide a broad range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through high-quality corrections and detention management, a network of residential and non-residential alternatives to incarceration to help address America’s recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. We are the nation’s largest owner of partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities, and believe we are the largest private owner of real estate used by government agencies in the United States. We have been a flexible and dependable partner for government for nearly 40 years. Our employees are driven by a deep sense of service, high standards of professionalism and a responsibility to help government better the public good. Learn more at www.corecivic.com.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Noble Virtual Conference. CoreCivic CFO David Garfinkle and Managing Director of Investor Relations Jeb Bachmann presented at the Noble Virtual Conference. Highlights included increased demand, long-term trends, and return of capital. A rebroadcast is available at https://www.channelchek.com/videos/corecivic-cxw-noble-capital-markets-virtual-conference-replay-october-2025.

Market Share. CoreCivic remains the largest non-government owner of correctional and detention real estate in the U.S., owning approximately 57% of all privately owned correctional and detention capacity. The Company manages approximately 41% of all privately managed correctional and detention capacity.


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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.