FAT Brands (FAT) – Refinancing Framework


Monday, August 04, 2025

FAT Brands (NASDAQ: FAT) is a leading global franchising company that strategically acquires, markets, and develops fast casual, quick-service, casual dining, and polished casual dining concepts around the world. The Company currently owns 17 restaurant brands: Round Table Pizza, Fatburger, Marble Slab Creamery, Johnny Rockets, Fazoli’s, Twin Peaks, Great American Cookies, Hot Dog on a Stick, Buffalo’s Cafe & Express, Hurricane Grill & Wings, Pretzelmaker, Elevation Burger, Native Grill & Wings, Yalla Mediterranean and Ponderosa and Bonanza Steakhouses, and franchises and owns over 2,300 units worldwide. For more information on FAT Brands, please visit www.fatbrands.com.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Refi Discussions. On or about July 9, 2025, FAT Brands entered into a confidentiality agreement with certain Holders of notes issued by the Company’s special purpose, whole business securitization financing subsidiaries. The Confidentiality Agreement facilitated the Company’s ability to engage in discussions with the Holders regarding one or more potential transactions involving a refinancing, restructuring or similar transaction with the Holders. As part of the confidentiality agreement, FAT Brands agreed to publicly disclose certain information, which Thursday’s 8-K accomplished.

First Look. The potential transaction described in the “Cleansing Material” was the Company’s initial proposal to the Holders. An agreement has not yet been reached with the Holders, and we expect negotiations to continue. The disclosed material provides summary term sheets for both FAT Brands’ and Twin Hospitality’s whole business securitizations.


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ACCO Brands (ACCO) – Post Call Commentary and Updated Models


Monday, August 04, 2025

ACCO Brands Corporation is one of the world’s largest designers, marketers and manufacturers of branded academic, consumer and business products. Our widely recognized brands include AT-A-GLANCE®, Esselte®, Five Star®, GBC®, Kensington®, Leitz®, Mead®, PowerA®, Quartet®, Rapid®, Rexel®, Swingline®, Tilibra®, and many others. Our products are sold in more than 100 countries around the world. More information about ACCO Brands, the Home of Great Brands Built by Great People, can be found at www.accobrands.com.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Mixed Environment. The operating environment remains mixed for ACCO. Americas sales continue to be impacted by tariffs and reduced spending for consumer and business products. The International segment is experiencing less disruption. If we can see some improvement in the environment, we are confident in ACCO’s ability to capture market share.

PowerA. Gaming was a positive contributor in the second quarter following the release of the Nintendo Switch 2, which became the fastest selling gaming console in history in the U.S. and Japan. As a leading third party accessory product assortment supporting the release of Nintendo’s Switch 2, we expect additional improvement in the gaming business in 2H25.


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Gray Media Buys Block Stations for $80M as FCC Deregulation Drives Industry Deals

In a strategic move to expand its market footprint and strengthen its position in the Midwest, Gray Media has announced an agreement to acquire Block Communications’ television stations for $80 million. The deal reflects an ongoing trend of consolidation in the U.S. broadcasting industry, as media companies position themselves for potential regulatory changes at the Federal Communications Commission (FCC).

The acquisition will significantly bolster Gray’s influence in key Midwestern markets. The transaction includes WDRB (Fox) and WBKI (CW) in Louisville, Kentucky; WAND (NBC) in the Springfield-Champaign-Decatur, Illinois market; and WLIO (NBC) in Lima, Ohio, along with WLIO’s associated low-power stations. Importantly, Gray already owns WAVE-TV, the NBC affiliate in Louisville, creating a Big Four duopoly in that market—a combination that currently requires FCC approval or waivers due to existing ownership regulations.

According to Gray, these stations are not only geographically strategic but also top-performing in local news. Both WAND and WLIO ranked highest in all-day ratings among TV households in their respective markets in 2024, based on data from Comscore. This performance adds considerable value to Gray’s portfolio, allowing the company to scale up operations, share resources across markets, and boost its overall audience reach and advertising appeal.

The acquisition is expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2025, pending FCC regulatory approval and the necessary waivers. Gray expressed confidence that the deal aligns with its broader mission of supporting strong local journalism while increasing operational efficiency through smart expansion.

The timing of this acquisition is noteworthy. It comes as the broadcast television industry continues lobbying efforts for the FCC to loosen or eliminate local ownership restrictions, which currently limit the number of stations a company can own in the same market. These rules, originally designed to maintain media diversity, are increasingly viewed as outdated in today’s competitive media landscape dominated by digital and streaming platforms.

Recent moves by Gray and others—such as Scripps, Sinclair, and Allen Media—highlight growing momentum in the industry toward consolidation. Gray and Scripps recently announced a planned station swap that would also require regulatory flexibility, further signaling the industry’s expectation that change is coming to the FCC’s rulebook.

By acquiring these high-performing stations from Block Communications, Gray is not only deepening its presence in the Midwest but also strategically preparing for a post-deregulation environment. This approach enables the company to maintain a competitive edge in the fragmented and rapidly evolving media space.

Ultimately, this $80 million acquisition underscores a broader shift in broadcast strategy: scale, synergy, and local dominance are becoming more important than ever. If approved, the deal will reinforce Gray’s commitment to quality local journalism while cementing its status as one of the most prominent broadcast groups in the U.S.

Take a moment to take a look at other emerging growth media companies by taking a look at Noble Capital Markets’ Research Analyst Michael Kupinski’s coverage list.

U.S. Economy Adds Fewer Jobs Than Expected

The U.S. labor market showed troubling signs of weakness in July, with only 73,000 jobs added—well below expectations and compounded by sharp downward revisions to prior months. May and June figures were slashed by a combined 258,000 jobs, revealing that the job market’s slowdown is more severe than initially reported.

Unemployment edged up to 4.2%, while the broader underemployment rate hit 7.9%, its highest level since March. Particularly alarming was a decline of 260,000 workers in the household survey, alongside a dip in labor force participation to 62.2%.

The July job gains were narrowly concentrated. Health care and social assistance accounted for 94% of the growth, adding 55,000 and 18,000 jobs respectively. Other sectors like retail and finance contributed modestly, while federal government jobs declined by 12,000—partly due to ongoing cuts under Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency. Business and professional services also saw a 14,000 job loss.

Wages grew at a moderate pace, up 0.3% for the month and 3.9% over the year, matching expectations. But the rise in long-term unemployment—now averaging 24.1 weeks—signals growing distress for job seekers.

Markets reacted swiftly: stock futures dropped and Treasury yields tumbled as investors priced in a higher chance of rate cuts. The probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut at the September meeting jumped to over 75%, from just 40% the day before.

President Donald Trump, already frustrated with Fed Chair Jerome Powell, doubled down on his criticism. In an inflammatory Truth Social post, he called Powell a “stubborn MORON” and demanded immediate and aggressive rate cuts, even suggesting the Federal Open Market Committee override Powell’s leadership.

Despite Trump’s pressure, the Fed opted to hold rates steady in July. The latest jobs report may force reconsideration. Economists warn that companies are becoming more hesitant to hire due to higher costs, weak consumer demand, and lingering uncertainty from trade policy and tariffs.

While GDP growth posted a strong 3% in Q2, that number may be misleading. Analysts note that the figure was inflated by businesses stockpiling imports before Trump’s latest tariffs took effect in April, with underlying demand remaining weak.

As the labor market cools and political pressure mounts, the September Fed meeting could prove pivotal—not just for monetary policy, but for the broader economic trajectory heading into 2026.

Codere Online (CDRO) – Strong Underlying Trends Masked By Currency Fluctuations


Friday, August 01, 2025

Codere Online refers, collectively, to Codere Online Luxembourg, S.A. and its subsidiaries. Codere Online launched in 2014 as part of the renowned casino operator Codere Group. Codere Online offers online sports betting and online casino through its state-of-the art website and mobile application. Codere currently operates in its core markets of Spain, Italy, Mexico, Colombia, Panama and the City of Buenos Aires (Argentina). Codere Online’s online business is complemented by Codere Group’s physical presence throughout Latin America, forming the foundation of the leading omnichannel gaming and casino presence in the region.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Solid Q2 results. The company reported second quarter revenue of  €54.8 million, up 0.7% over the prior year period and largely in line with our estimate of €55.5 million. Adj. EBITDA in the quarter was €2.3 million, up 77% over the prior year period and better than our estimate of €0.1 million.  Importantly, the top line results do not fully capture the company’s strong performance in Q2, given the devaluation of the Mexican Peso. On a constant currency basis, revenue was up 12%. 

Mexico continues to grow nicely. The company’s operations in Mexico had a strong quarter that was muted by a 19% devaluation of the Peso compared to the prior year period. Notably, the company grew active customers in Mexico by a strong 36% over the prior year period, and revenue was up 23% on a constant currency basis. In our view, the company had a solid quarter in Mexico and top line results should improve as it comps year earlier Peso valuations.


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Perfect (PERF) – Delivers Solid Q2 Top-Line Growth


Friday, August 01, 2025

Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Q2 largely in line. The company reported a Q2 revenue of $16.4 million (up an impressive 17.6% year-over-year) and an adj. EBITDA of a loss of $0.5 million. These results were largely in line with our estimates of $16.5 million in revenue and adj. EBITDA of $0.4 million.

Customer growth. The company continues to expand its user base across both B2C and B2B channels. Paying subscribers to its YouCam mobile beauty app rose 4.4% year over year to 960,000, while its B2B footprint grew to 818 brand clients and over 914,000 SKUs, up from 686 clients and 774,000 SKUs a year earlier. The number of Key B2B Customers (those generating at least $50,000 annually), however, declined to 139 from 151, with the drop evenly split between lower spending and customer churn tied to macro pressures.


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MariMed Inc (MRMD) – Expansion into Pennsylvania


Friday, August 01, 2025

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Pennsylvania Entrance. MariMed announced a strategic agreement with TILT Holdings that will expand the distribution of the Company’s award winning portfolio of medical marijuana products to Pennsylvania. We view this as a significant expansion of MariMed’s product line into one of the largest cannabis markets.

Pennsylvania Market. The Pennsylvania cannabis market is estimated at $1.7 billion of annual revenue, making Pennsylvania the sixth largest legal cannabis market in the U.S. Significantly, the state remains a medical state only. When, and if, adult recreational use is approved, the overall cannabis market is projected to at least double. There are currently in excess of 180 medical dispensaries in the state, providing a large potential base to distribute MariMed products into.


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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

ACCO Brands (ACCO) – First Look into 2Q25 Results


Friday, August 01, 2025

ACCO Brands Corporation is one of the world’s largest designers, marketers and manufacturers of branded academic, consumer and business products. Our widely recognized brands include AT-A-GLANCE®, Esselte®, Five Star®, GBC®, Kensington®, Leitz®, Mead®, PowerA®, Quartet®, Rapid®, Rexel®, Swingline®, Tilibra®, and many others. Our products are sold in more than 100 countries around the world. More information about ACCO Brands, the Home of Great Brands Built by Great People, can be found at www.accobrands.com.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

2Q25 Results. ACCO reported 2Q net sales and adjusted EPS in-line with management’s outlook. Revenue of $394.8 million was down 9.9% y-o-y. Comp sales were off 10.5% while favorable forex increased revenue by 0.6%. We had forecasted revenue of $390 million. Gross margin of 32.9% was below our 34.6% estimate. Net income totaled $29.2 million, or $0.31/sh, with adjusted EPS of $0.28 compared to $0.37 in 2Q24. We were at $0.21 and $0.32, respectively.

Drivers. Sales were immediately impacted by tariffs in April, although trends improved throughout the quarter. Net sales were also negatively impacted by softer global demand for consumer and business products, partially offset by growth in gaming accessories. ACCO continued to make progress on its cost cutting initiative, realizing more than $40 million in cumulative cost savings since inception.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Figma Skyrockets 242% in IPO Debut, Hits $55 Billion Market Cap

Key Points:
– Figma’s IPO surged 242%, pushing its market cap near $55B.
– AI-powered tools, 46% revenue growth, and strong margins fuel investor demand.
– CEO Dylan Field retains control and eyes future expansion, including M&A.

Figma Inc. stunned Wall Street on Thursday with a meteoric debut on the New York Stock Exchange, soaring 242% above its IPO price and closing in on a $55 billion valuation. The design software company raised $1.2 billion in its offering, marking one of the most explosive IPO launches in recent tech history.

Shares opened at $33 but quickly surged to over $112 before being halted twice for volatility. Demand was extraordinary—the IPO was more than 40 times oversubscribed, with many institutional investors receiving no allocation. The excitement vaulted Figma’s valuation well past the $20 billion figure from its canceled merger with Adobe in 2023, which had been derailed by regulatory scrutiny.

Founded in 2012 by Dylan Field and Evan Wallace, Figma has revolutionized web-based design tools, offering real-time collaboration across browsers. Over time, the platform has evolved beyond interface design to support development workflows, workplace collaboration, and, more recently, AI-driven prototyping. Its latest tool, Figma Make, turns user prompts into functioning design prototypes using artificial intelligence.

The IPO included 12.47 million shares sold by the company, while major early investors like Index Ventures and Greylock Partners offloaded 24.46 million shares. Based on the last trading price before halts, Figma’s fully diluted valuation—including employee stock options—exceeds $65 billion.

CEO Dylan Field, who controls over 74% of the company’s voting power through Class B shares, now holds a stake worth nearly $4.9 billion. His recently awarded 10-year “moon-shot” compensation package begins to vest only if the stock maintains a 60-day average above $60. At current prices, he’s well on his way to surpassing even the highest $130 performance hurdle.

Figma’s first-quarter performance was impressive, with 46% year-over-year revenue growth and a net income of $44.9 million on $228 million in revenue. Despite a full-year net loss of $732 million in 2024—largely due to increased R&D and expansion efforts—its 92% gross margin puts it ahead of many of its SaaS peers, giving it ample runway for aggressive growth.

With its public debut, Figma signals a revival in the IPO market, becoming the first major U.S. software company to go public since SailPoint in early 2025. Its successful auction-style order-taking process and investor enthusiasm are seen as green lights for other venture-backed tech firms contemplating IPOs this year.

As Figma eyes expansion, Field says M&A is on the table—but only if the team and culture align. “We’re just getting started,” he noted, emphasizing that public listing is not the end goal but a launchpad for broader ambitions.

The company now trades under the ticker symbol FIG on the NYSE. With demand red-hot and the AI design space heating up, Figma’s future appears as sharply defined as the interfaces it helps bring to life.

Microsoft Joins $4 Trillion Club After Blockbuster Earnings

Key Points:
– Microsoft surpasses $4 trillion in market cap after strong earnings and $75B Azure revenue.
– Azure’s 34% growth highlights Microsoft’s central role in cloud and AI.
– Tech rally continues as Nvidia, Meta, and Microsoft drive markets to new highs.

Microsoft has officially joined Nvidia in the exclusive $4 trillion market cap club, marking a historic milestone for the software giant and underlining the tech sector’s relentless momentum in 2025. Shares surged over 5% following a robust earnings report, which included impressive revenue growth and a major new disclosure: Azure, Microsoft’s cloud platform, generated more than $75 billion in annual revenue—a 34% jump year-over-year.

This leap not only reflects the growing dominance of cloud computing, but also Microsoft’s deepening foothold in artificial intelligence. Azure has become the backbone for countless AI tools and large language models developed by Microsoft, OpenAI, and other industry titans. It’s the first time Microsoft has reported Azure’s revenue in dollar terms, a move that underscores confidence in its scale and transparency.

Microsoft now joins Nvidia, which crossed the $4 trillion threshold earlier this month, as the top two performers on the tech leaderboard. The rise of both companies has displaced Apple from its long-standing top spot. Apple currently holds a market cap around $3.2 trillion, weighed down by concerns that it’s lagging in AI innovation—a stark contrast to the explosive growth seen at Microsoft and Nvidia.

The earnings report revealed Microsoft’s fastest revenue growth in over three years, up 18%, fueled largely by AI-integrated services across its ecosystem—from Azure to Copilot. This momentum helped push the Nasdaq and S&P 500 to fresh record highs, with Microsoft and Meta among the day’s biggest gainers.

Investor confidence in Microsoft is also riding high as the broader AI boom reshapes the market. Microsoft’s strategic investments and partnerships in generative AI, including its alliance with OpenAI, continue to pay dividends. The company is widely seen as a foundational player in AI infrastructure, not just through its software, but via the massive cloud computing power needed to support this new wave of intelligence-driven applications.

Meanwhile, Nvidia remains the biggest hardware beneficiary of the AI surge. Its GPUs power the vast majority of AI models and cloud-based inference engines, including those used by Microsoft. The synergy between the two companies has made them central pillars of this new technological era, where compute power and software intelligence go hand-in-hand.

The broader tech rally was also fueled by Meta, which saw its shares jump over 11% on strong earnings and guidance. The “Magnificent Seven” mega-cap tech firms continue to dominate market headlines and investor portfolios, with Microsoft and Nvidia at the forefront of this reshaping.

Looking ahead, Microsoft’s strong positioning in AI, continued cloud growth, and investor optimism could drive further gains. With tech still attracting the bulk of growth capital, and AI becoming more embedded in daily life and business, Microsoft’s $4 trillion valuation may just be the beginning of a new market era.

MustGrow Biologics Corp. (MGROF) – An Offering and Other Changes to Capital Structure


Thursday, July 31, 2025

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Capital Structure. MustGrow announced a series of changes to be made to its capital structure including (i) a non-brokered private placement of up to 4,285,715 units of the Company (ii) the proposed repricing of outstanding share purchase warrants issued pursuant to its January 16, 2025 private placement and (iii) its intention to offer shares for debt settlement to all holders of unsecured convertible debentures issued pursuant to its January 16, 2025 private placement.

“LIFE” Offering. The 4,285,715 units will be offered at a price of CAD$0.70 per unit for gross proceeds of up to $3.0 million. Each unit will consist of one common share and one common share purchase warrant exercisable for 60 months at an exercise price of $0.90 per warrant. Net proceeds will be used for inventory production of TerraSante, inventory for agricultural products to sell via its Canadian distribution platform, NexusBioAg, and working capital and general corporate purposes.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

FAT Brands (FAT) – Reports 2Q25 Results


Thursday, July 31, 2025

FAT Brands (NASDAQ: FAT) is a leading global franchising company that strategically acquires, markets, and develops fast casual, quick-service, casual dining, and polished casual dining concepts around the world. The Company currently owns 17 restaurant brands: Round Table Pizza, Fatburger, Marble Slab Creamery, Johnny Rockets, Fazoli’s, Twin Peaks, Great American Cookies, Hot Dog on a Stick, Buffalo’s Cafe & Express, Hurricane Grill & Wings, Pretzelmaker, Elevation Burger, Native Grill & Wings, Yalla Mediterranean and Ponderosa and Bonanza Steakhouses, and franchises and owns over 2,300 units worldwide. For more information on FAT Brands, please visit www.fatbrands.com.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

2Q25 Results. Revenue of $146.8 million declined 3.4% y-o-y, but was above our $141 million estimate. The revenue decline was driven by a decrease in restaurant revenue resulting from the closure of five underperforming Smokey Bones locations, the temporary closure of one Smokey Bones location for conversion into a Twin Peaks lodge, and lower same-store sales, partially offset by the opening of new Twin Peaks lodges. FAT Brands reported a net loss of $54.2 million, or a loss of $3.17/sh, compared to a net loss of $39.4 million, or a loss of $2.43/sh, last year. We had projected a net loss of $46 million or a loss of $2.56/sh.

Pipeline and Openings. The development pipeline remains robust with roughly 1,000 signed deals. Eighteen new locations opened during the quarter, with FAT Brands well positioned to see 100 locations open in 2025. The opening of new locations will help drive go-forward adjusted EBITDA for the Company.


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Eledon Pharmaceuticals (ELDN) – Abstract From A Single Patient Is Not A Safety Concern


Thursday, July 31, 2025

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

We Look Forward To Data At The World Transplant Congress. Eledon is scheduled to present interim data from its Phase 1b study at the World Transplant Congress (WTC), to be held August 2 to 6. We have also seen an abstract discussing a single patient in the Phase 2 BESTOW trial that had an unrelated fungal infection. While we do not consider the abstract to be significant, it may have raised safety concerns for investors.

WTC Abstract From One Patient May Have Been Misinterpreted. The abstract discusses “a unique case of pulmonary mucomycosis” in a patient enrolled in the Phase 2 BESTOW trial. Four weeks after receiving a kidney transplant and the tegoprubart regimen, he developed fever due to a rare fungal infection that was treated and resolved. “The patient remained on tegoprubart infusions and showed evidence of clinical improvement, without evidence of rejection or infection at follow-up visits”, stated the abstract.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.