FAT Brands (FAT) – A Look at the Fourth Quarter


Friday, February 28, 2025

FAT Brands (NASDAQ: FAT) is a leading global franchising company that strategically acquires, markets, and develops fast casual, quick-service, casual dining, and polished casual dining concepts around the world. The Company currently owns 17 restaurant brands: Round Table Pizza, Fatburger, Marble Slab Creamery, Johnny Rockets, Fazoli’s, Twin Peaks, Great American Cookies, Hot Dog on a Stick, Buffalo’s Cafe & Express, Hurricane Grill & Wings, Pretzelmaker, Elevation Burger, Native Grill & Wings, Yalla Mediterranean and Ponderosa and Bonanza Steakhouses, and franchises and owns over 2,300 units worldwide. For more information on FAT Brands, please visit www.fatbrands.com.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

4Q Results. Revenues for the fourth quarter totaled $145.3 million compared to $158.6 million last year. The prior year included an extra week, resulting in an additional $11.3 million being added. Adjusted EBITDA was $14.4 million compared to $27.0 million last year. Net loss totaled $67.4 million, or $4.06 per share, compared to $26.2 million, or $1.68 per share, in the prior year. Included in the loss was $30.6 million in goodwill impairment.

Development Pipeline. During 2024, the Company expanded its footprint by opening 92 restaurants and signing over 250 new franchise agreements, increasing the development pipeline to 1,000 locations. Management expects to add more than 100 additional restaurants in 2025, with 17 already opened in the new year, which we believe can be further accretive to the Company’s annual adjusted EBITDA.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Cumulus Media (CMLS) – Revenue Visibility Remains Elusive


Friday, February 28, 2025

Cumulus Media (NASDAQ: CMLS) is an audio-first media company delivering premium content to over a quarter billion people every month — wherever and whenever they want it. Cumulus Media engages listeners with high-quality local programming through 406 owned-and-operated radio stations across 86 markets; delivers nationally-syndicated sports, news, talk, and entertainment programming from iconic brands including the NFL, the NCAA, the Masters, CNN, the AP, the Academy of Country Music Awards, and many other world-class partners across more than 9,500 affiliated stations through Westwood One, the largest audio network in America; and inspires listeners through the Cumulus Podcast Network, its rapidly growing network of original podcasts that are smart, entertaining and thought-provoking. Cumulus Media provides advertisers with personal connections, local impact and national reach through broadcast and on-demand digital, mobile, social, and voice-activated platforms, as well as integrated digital marketing services, powerful influencers, full-service audio solutions, industry-leading research and insights, and live event experiences. Cumulus Media is the only audio media company to provide marketers with local and national advertising performance guarantees. For more information visit www.cumulusmedia.com.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Results in-line with expectations. The company reported Q4 revenue of $218.6 million, in line with our estimate of $219.0 million, and adj. EBITDA of $25.0 million, which was better than our estimate of $21.5 million. In our view, the quarter is illustrative of the company’s successful efforts to reduce costs and drive efficiencies, while managing the impact of macroeconomic headwinds and secular challenges on its businesses.

Continued weak revenue outlook. Management provided revenue pacings of a decline in the mid single digits for Q1 2025, slightly softer than our expectations. The company is being adversely affected by weak local and National spot advertising and headwinds from a loss of flagship podcast programming. 


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – ICE Adding Capacity


Friday, February 28, 2025

CoreCivic is a diversified, government-solutions company with the scale and experience needed to solve tough government challenges in flexible, cost-effective ways. We provide a broad range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through high-quality corrections and detention management, a network of residential and non-residential alternatives to incarceration to help address America’s recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. We are the nation’s largest owner of partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities, and believe we are the largest private owner of real estate used by government agencies in the United States. We have been a flexible and dependable partner for government for nearly 40 years. Our employees are driven by a deep sense of service, high standards of professionalism and a responsibility to help government better the public good. Learn more at www.corecivic.com.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Additional Capacity. Yesterday, CoreCivic announced the Company entered into contract modifications with the U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) at various facilities for up to an additional 1,036 beds. We view this as the first step by ICE to add capacity in its efforts to enforce President Trump’s crackdown on undocumented migrants. We anticipate additional contracting activity that will help satisfy ICE’s growing needs.

Details. ICE entered into contract modifications to add capacity for up to a total of 784 detainees at CoreCivic’s 2,016-bed Northeast Ohio Correctional Center, its 1,072-bed Nevada Southern Detention Center, and its 1,600-bed Cimarron Correctional Facility in Oklahoma. In addition, CoreCivic has obtained a contract modification to specify that ICE may use up to 252 beds at its 2,672-bed Tallahatchie County Correctional Facility in Mississippi.


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Weekly Jobless Data Reveals Unexpected Spike in Unemployment Claims

Key Points:
– Initial unemployment claims jumped 22,000 to 242,000, exceeding economists’ forecast of 221,000
– Federal worker layoffs from Trump’s DOGE initiative haven’t yet appeared in federal unemployment data
– Consumer confidence in job availability declining despite historically low overall layoff rates

The number of Americans filing new applications for unemployment benefits jumped more than anticipated last week, according to the latest data released by the Labor Department. Initial claims for state unemployment benefits increased by 22,000 to a seasonally adjusted 242,000 for the week ended February 22, significantly exceeding economists’ projections of 221,000 claims.

Despite this unexpected rise, experts caution that the increase may not indicate a fundamental shift in labor market conditions. The Labor Department noted that seasonal adjustment factors—the models used to strip out normal fluctuations from the data—tend to artificially inflate claims figures around this time of year.

The report comes amid growing concerns about potential economic impacts from the Trump administration’s recent policies, particularly the mass layoffs of probationary federal government workers. Many of these employees were terminated around February 14 by the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), an entity created by President Trump and led by billionaire Elon Musk.

“These firings likely add up to the biggest layoff in the history of the United States,” said Michele Evermore, a Senior Fellow at the National Academy of Social Insurance and former deputy director for policy in the Labor Department’s Office of Unemployment Insurance Modernization. Evermore warned that “economic pain is contagious” and that federal layoffs could trigger broader economic hardship.

Interestingly, the report showed no immediate impact from these federal workforce reductions in the separate unemployment compensation for federal employees program, which is reported with a one-week lag. However, economists warn that the reduction in money flowing through the economy from lost paychecks and spending cuts could eventually lead to private-sector job losses.

The so-called continuing claims—representing people receiving benefits after an initial week of aid—actually fell by 5,000 to a seasonally adjusted 1.862 million during the week ending February 15. This figure is used when surveying households for February’s unemployment rate, which stood at 4.0% in January.

Despite the overall resilience of the labor market, there are signs that households are growing more anxious about their job prospects. A Conference Board survey published Tuesday revealed that the share of consumers who viewed jobs as “plentiful” dropped to a five-month low in February, while the proportion describing jobs as “hard to get” reached its highest level since October.

For the Federal Reserve, these labor market signals provide critical input as policymakers monitor the economic impacts of the administration’s fiscal, trade, and immigration policies—many of which economists view as potentially inflationary. Minutes from the Fed’s January meeting showed policymakers expressing concern about higher inflation resulting from Trump’s initial policy proposals.

The central bank has maintained its benchmark overnight interest rate in the 4.25%-4.50% range after reducing it by 100 basis points since September 2024. This followed an aggressive tightening cycle that raised rates by 5.25 percentage points in 2022 and 2023 to combat inflation.

For now, historically low layoffs continue to support economic expansion, though upcoming reports will be closely watched for any signs that the federal workforce reductions are beginning to impact broader employment trends.

Perfect (PERF) – Issues Favorable 2025 Revenue Guidance


Thursday, February 27, 2025

Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Q4 results. The company reported Q4 revenue of $15.9 million, largely in line with our estimate of $16.2 million, illustrated in Figure #1 Q4 Results. Adj. EBITDA of $0.25 million was below our estimate of $0.91 million, due primarily to lower-than-expected gross margins.

Adding customers. Subscriptions to the company’s top B2C app, the YouCam beauty app, were up 14.3% over the prior year period, eclipsing 1 million subscribers. Additionally, the company’s brand client base increased to 732 from 708 at the end of Q3.  


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V2X (VVX) – Another New Award


Thursday, February 27, 2025

V2X builds innovative solutions that integrate physical and digital environments by aligning people, actions, and technology. V2X is embedded in all elements of a critical mission’s lifecycle to enhance readiness, optimize resource management, and boost security. The company provides innovation spanning national security, defense, civilian, and international markets. With a global team of approximately 16,000 professionals, V2X enables mission success by injecting AI and machine learning capabilities to meet today’s toughest challenges across all operational domains.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

FBI Award. Yesterday, V2X announced a $100 million contract award to provide aviation maintenance and support services for the Federal Bureau of Investigation’s (FBI) Critical Incident Response Group. Under this contract, V2X will deliver mission-critical aviation resources that enable the FBI to conduct intelligence gathering, investigate operations, and law-enforcement activities.

Contract Details. The indefinite-delivery, indefinite-quantity contract includes a five-year ordering period with four 12-month options. V2X will operate at multiple locations across the United States for the FBI. We view this award as further client diversification for the Company.


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The ODP Corporation (ODP) – First Look at the Fourth Quarter


Thursday, February 27, 2025

Office Depot, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, supplies a range of office products and services. It offers merchandise, such as general office supplies, computer supplies, business machines and related supplies, and office furniture through its chain of office supply stores under the Office Depot, Foray, Ativa, Break Escapes, Worklife, and Christopher Lowell brand names. The company also provides graphic design, printing, reproduction, mailing, shipping, and other services through design, print, and ship centers. It has operations throughout North America, Europe, Asia, and Central America. The company also sells its products and services through direct mail catalogs, contract sales force, Internet sites, and retail stores, through a mix of company-owned operations, joint ventures, licensing and franchise agreements, alliances, and other arrangements. As of December 31, 2008, Office Depot operated 1,267 North American retail division office supply stores and 162 international division retail stores, as well as participated under licensing and merchandise arrangements in 98 stores. The company was founded in 1986 and is based in Boca Raton, Florida.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Challenging Conditions. Continuing challenging macroeconomic and business conditions impacted ODP in Q4. ODP Business Solutions faced economic factors that caused enterprise spending constraints in the quarter, while Office Depot had more cautious consumer spending (along with 47 fewer stores). However, fiscal year figures were in-line with management guidance, and management is executing on initiatives to improve traction on both fronts.

4Q Results. Sales for the fourth quarter were $1.62 billion compared to $1.80 billion last year but were above our expectations at $1.55 billion and consensus at $1.61 billion. Net loss totaled $3 million, or $0.10/sh, compared to a loss of $37 million, or $0.96/sh, in the prior year. Adjusted EPS was $0.66 versus $1.13 last year. We were at $0.40 and $0.68, respectively. Adjusted EBITDA totaled $58 million, down from $83 million last year, and we were at $49 million.


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MAIA Biotechnology (MAIA) – Phase 2 THIO-101 Expansion and Registration Treatment Plans Announced


Thursday, February 27, 2025

MAIA is a targeted therapy, immuno-oncology company focused on the development and commercialization of potential first-in-class drugs with novel mechanisms of action that are intended to meaningfully improve and extend the lives of people with cancer. Our lead program is THIO, a potential first-in-class cancer telomere targeting agent in clinical development for the treatment of NSCLC patients with telomerase-positive cancer cells. For more information, please visit www.maiabiotech.com.

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Phase 2 Trial Tests THIO Against THIO With Libtayo. MAIA announced the design of the third stage of the THIO-101 Phase 2 trial, consisting of Expansion and Registration stages. Both stages will enroll patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC)  receiving the regimens as third-line treatment, expected to begin in 1Q25. Following the conclusion of the trial around 4Q25, we expect MAIA to apply for Accelerated Approval from the FDA.

Expansion Stage Is Expected To Begin In 1Q25. The THIO-101 Expansion stage will have two arms to determine the contributions of each drug to patient outcomes. In the first arm, 30 patients will receive the THIO-Libtayo (cemiplimab) combination at the 180mg dose. The second arm will treat 7 patients who were treated with THIO monotherapy to determine its efficacy. If the outcomes of THIO alone are moderate, the treatment arm will be discontinued. If sufficient efficacy is seen, up to 8 more patients will be enrolled for a total maximum enrollment of 48 patients. The primary endpoint is Overall Response Rate (ORR).


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Kratos Defense & Security (KTOS) – New Joint Venture Announced with 4Q Results


Thursday, February 27, 2025

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (NASDAQ:KTOS) develops and fields transformative, affordable technology, platforms, and systems for United States National Security related customers, allies, and commercial enterprises. Kratos is changing the way breakthrough technologies for these industries are rapidly brought to market through proven commercial and venture capital backed approaches, including proactive research, and streamlined development processes. At Kratos, affordability is a technology, and we specialize in unmanned systems, satellite communications, cyber security/warfare, microwave electronics, missile defense, hypersonic systems, training and combat systems and next generation turbo jet and turbo fan engine development. For more information go to www.kratosdefense.com.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

4Q Results. Revenue for the fourth quarter was $283.1 million, an increase from $273.8 million last year but slightly below our $290 million estimate. Gross margin was 24.7% compared to 26.3%. Net income was $3.9 million, or $0.03/sh, from $2.4 million, or $0.02/sh, last year. We estimated net income of $2.5 million or $0.02/sh. Adjusted EPS was $0.13 from $0.12 last year and our $0.10 estimate. Adjusted EBITDA was $25.2 million from $29.1 million last year and our $24 million estimate.

New Joint Venture. Alongside the results was the announcement of a new joint venture with the Company and RAFAEL. The roughly 50/50 partnership is to establish a U.S.-based merchant supplier of solid rocket motors (SRMs) and other energetics named Prometheus Energetics. Up to $175 million in capital is committed between the two companies, with the venture currently forecasted an annual base case revenue of several $100 million a year once at rate production. In our view, the venture can represent a substantial value-creation driver and could potentially drive top and bottom-line growth once up and running.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Kelly Services (KELYA) – Another Step in the Integration


Thursday, February 27, 2025

Kelly (Nasdaq: KELYA, KELYB) connects talented people to companies in need of their skills in areas including Science, Engineering, Education, Office, Contact Center, Light Industrial, and more. We’re always thinking about what’s next in the evolving world of work, and we help people ditch the script on old ways of thinking and embrace the value of all workstyles in the workplace. We directly employ nearly 350,000 people around the world and connect thousands more with work through our global network of talent suppliers and partners in our outsourcing and consulting practice. Revenue in 2021 was $4.9 billion. Visit kellyservices.com and let us help with what’s next for you.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

More Integration. As promised, Kelly continues to take steps to integrate the Motion Recruitment Partners offerings with Kelly’s offerings. Kelly announced the formation of an integrated permanent hiring solutions business line resulting from the combination of KellyOCG’s global recruitment process outsourcing (RPO) specialty and MRPs’ talent acquisition solutions brand, Sevenstep. The integrated business creates a leading talent solutions offering that ranks among the top five globally.

Detail. The integrated business will oversee a team supporting 71 countries with 33 in-country teams and 19 global hub locations. Sevenstep brings an industry-leading brand and attractive client base to KellyOCG, expanding its RPO scale and capabilities. We believe the KellyOCG and Sevenstep businesses are highly complementary and will deliver an unmatched breadth of service, a high delivery footprint, and innovative technology offerings to clients.


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Meta Secures Apollo-Led $35 Billion for Massive AI Data Center Expansion

Key Points:
– Apollo Global Management in talks to lead $35 billion financing package for Meta’s US data centers
– Funding will support Meta’s planned $65 billion AI investment strategy announced by Zuckerberg
– Deal represents growing private credit market for AI infrastructure as tech giants race to build capacity

Meta Platforms is pursuing a groundbreaking $35 billion financing package led by Apollo Global Management to accelerate the development of artificial intelligence data centers across the United States, according to sources familiar with the negotiations.

The Facebook parent company is engaging with the alternative asset manager to secure this substantial funding as part of its previously announced $65 billion investment in AI infrastructure planned for 2025. While discussions remain in early stages with no guarantee of completion, the deal represents one of the largest private financing arrangements for technology infrastructure to date.

“The race to build AI infrastructure is creating unprecedented investment opportunities,” said a market analyst who requested anonymity due to the sensitive nature of the ongoing negotiations. “Tech giants are competing for computing power, and Meta is positioning itself to avoid falling behind competitors like Microsoft.”

Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg outlined the company’s aggressive AI strategy last month, emphasizing plans to construct massive new data centers and expand AI-focused teams. A key component of this vision includes bringing approximately one gigawatt of computing power online in 2025 – enough electricity to power roughly 750,000 homes.

The company has already announced a $10 billion data center in Louisiana and has been actively purchasing advanced computer chips to power its growing suite of AI products and services. This financing arrangement would provide Meta with the capital flexibility to accelerate these initiatives without compromising its balance sheet strength.

For Apollo, the deal aligns with its recent strategy of providing large-scale financing to investment-grade corporations while typically retaining a portion of the funding and syndicating the remainder to other investors. The firm has been expanding its capacity to write substantial checks as it pushes deeper into what it considers the next frontier of private credit markets.

The AI infrastructure boom is creating enormous demand for capital across the technology sector. Industry experts estimate hundreds of billions of dollars will be required to build the necessary data centers, power facilities, and networking infrastructure to support the computing demands of advanced AI systems.

Microsoft, one of Meta’s primary competitors in the AI space, recently announced plans to spend $80 billion on data centers in the current fiscal year. CEO Satya Nadella emphasized that sustaining this level of investment is essential to meet “exponentially more demand” for AI services.

Bankers and investors have been eager to participate in AI-related financing deals after witnessing stock markets heavily reward companies central to the AI ecosystem throughout the past year. Private credit providers like Apollo are increasingly stepping in to fill funding gaps as traditional banks face regulatory constraints on large-scale lending.

Neither Meta nor Apollo provided official comments regarding the potential financing arrangement, maintaining standard practice for deals at this preliminary stage. However, industry observers note that securing this funding would represent a significant strategic advantage for Meta as it competes for AI dominance against tech rivals including Microsoft, Google, and Amazon.

The Power of Patient Investing: Small Caps, Big Returns

Key Points:
– Patient small cap investors view market downturns as chances to acquire quality businesses at discounted prices.
– Thorough analysis of small cap companies can uncover exceptional businesses with strong fundamentals before they attract mainstream attention.
– The greatest advantage in small cap investing comes from maintaining conviction during periods of underperformance that drive away less patient investors.

In a market often dominated by mega-cap tech stocks and headline-grabbing trends, small cap investing remains a powerful avenue for those willing to embrace patience as their primary strategy. While these smaller companies may lack the immediate name recognition of their larger counterparts, they offer distinct advantages to investors who can weather short-term volatility in pursuit of long-term gains.

The Virtue of Patience in Small Cap Investing

The true edge in small cap investing isn’t found in rapid trading or timing market swings—it’s discovered through patient capital deployment and a steadfast focus on fundamentals. Small cap stocks, typically defined as companies with market capitalizations between $300 million and $2 billion, often experience greater price volatility than large caps. This volatility, rather than representing inherent risk, actually creates opportunities for patient investors.

When market sentiment shifts and institutional investors flee to perceived safety, small caps frequently bear the brunt of the selling pressure. This creates temporary dislocations between price and value that patient investors can explore. While others panic during downturns, disciplined small cap investors recognize these moments as rare opportunities to acquire ownership in quality businesses at discounted prices.

Filtering the Noise to Find Value

Today’s financial ecosystem bombards investors with constant commentary, predictions, and “expert” opinions. Patient small cap investors develop the crucial skill of filtering this noise to identify genuine value. They understand that short-term price movements often reflect temporary factors rather than fundamental business changes.

The ability to separate market noise from meaningful information allows these investors to maintain conviction in their small cap holdings through inevitable periods of underperformance. They recognize that small companies need time to execute their business plans, expand their market presence, and ultimately deliver value to shareholders.

The Power of Thorough Equity Research

In the small cap universe, thorough equity research becomes an invaluable competitive advantage. While large caps are constantly scrutinized by hundreds of analysts, dedicated research into smaller companies can uncover hidden gems before they appear on the institutional radar. Patient investors who commit to comprehensive due diligence often identify promising businesses with robust fundamentals that remain undervalued.

This research advantage becomes especially powerful when investors develop expertise in specific sectors or industries. By understanding the competitive landscape, technological trends, and regulatory environments that shape small cap businesses, patient investors can accurately assess both risks and growth catalysts that casual market participants might miss. This deep research foundation also provides the conviction necessary to hold positions through inevitable market fluctuations.

Embracing the Long View

The most successful small cap investors share a common trait: they evaluate investments through a multi-year lens rather than quarterly results. They understand that compound growth in small businesses can eventually translate into extraordinary investment returns. A company growing earnings at 15-20% annually will double its profits approximately every four years—a powerful driver of long-term stock performance that patient investors can capture.

The Psychological Challenge

Perhaps the greatest challenge in small cap investing isn’t analytical but psychological. It requires the fortitude to remain invested when markets turn negative, when positions move against you, and when the temptation to chase better-performing assets becomes strongest. Patient investors understand that their edge comes precisely from accepting short-term discomfort that others refuse to endure.

For those willing to cultivate patience, small cap investing continues to offer one of the most compelling risk-reward propositions in public markets. By focusing on long-term business value rather than short-term price fluctuations, investors can position themselves to achieve returns that make the occasional storms worth weathering.

Travelzoo (TZOO) – Revenue Growth Expected to Significantly Ramp


Wednesday, February 26, 2025

Travelzoo® provides its 30 million members with exclusive offers and one-of-a-kind experiences personally reviewed by our deal experts around the globe. We have our finger on the pulse of outstanding travel, entertainment, and lifestyle experiences. We work in partnership with more than 5,000 top travel suppliers—our long-standing relationships give Travelzoo members access to irresistible deals.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

In line quarter. The company reported Q4 revenue and adj. EBITDA of $20.7 million and $5.4 million, both of which are in line with our estimates of $21.5 million and $5.1 million, respectively. The recent results were adversely affected by weakness in Europe, primarily Germany, which we believe is temporary. In our view, investors should focus on the improving fundamental trends likely beginning in the first quarter of 2025.

Europe lags, but appears temporary. The company’s North American segment had a solid quarter, while revenue was relatively flat compared to the prior year period, operating margins improved from 29% to 33%. Additionally, Jack’s Flight Club grew revenue and posted a positive operating income. Europe experienced a tough quarter, largely attributed to political uncertainty and advertising issues in Germany, which are not expected to continue.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.