Defense Stocks Back in Focus as Global Tensions Reshape Market Attention

Rising geopolitical tensions are once again pushing defense and national security companies into the spotlight. As governments around the world increase military spending and prioritize advanced technologies, investors are taking a closer look at defense contractors that sit across the evolving security landscape.

While global conflict headlines often drive short-term market volatility, they can also highlight longer-term structural trends in defense spending. For small- and mid-cap investors, the most interesting opportunities may lie outside the largest prime contractors, among companies focused on emerging technologies, logistics, and next-generation defense systems.

Over the past several years, the defense industry has undergone a meaningful shift. Governments are investing not only in traditional military hardware, but also in autonomous systems, advanced communications, cyber defense, and mission support services. These areas often involve smaller or mid-sized publicly traded companies that provide specialized capabilities within the broader defense ecosystem.

One company frequently cited in discussions around next-generation defense technology is Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (NASDAQ: KTOS). The company focuses on advanced technologies including unmanned aerial systems, satellite communications, and high-performance engineering solutions designed for national security applications. Kratos has positioned itself in areas such as affordable drone technology and space communications infrastructure—two segments receiving increasing attention as military strategies evolve toward autonomous and distributed systems.

Another company operating within the defense services ecosystem is V2X Inc. (NYSE: VVX). V2X provides mission-critical logistics, infrastructure, and operational support services to U.S. and allied defense organizations. These services include base operations support, supply chain management, and technology-enabled mission support—functions that are essential for maintaining global military readiness.

While companies like Kratos and V2X operate in different corners of the defense landscape, they illustrate how the sector has broadened beyond traditional weapons manufacturing. Modern defense capabilities rely on a complex network of technology providers, service contractors, and specialized engineering firms that support military operations both domestically and abroad.

Recent geopolitical developments have reinforced the importance of resilient supply chains, rapid deployment capabilities, and advanced surveillance technologies. These priorities are shaping procurement strategies across NATO members and other allied nations, many of which have committed to increasing defense budgets in the coming years.

For investors focused on small- and mid-cap equities, this dynamic creates a broader investable universe within the defense sector. Companies operating in niche areas—such as unmanned systems, military communications, cybersecurity, and logistics support—may benefit from increased demand as governments modernize their defense infrastructure.

At the same time, defense stocks can be influenced by political decisions, budget negotiations, and shifting geopolitical conditions. As a result, investors often evaluate these companies within the context of long-term spending cycles rather than short-term headlines.

The current global environment has underscored how critical defense readiness remains for governments worldwide. For market participants, it has also brought renewed attention to the companies providing the technologies and operational capabilities that underpin modern military strategy.

As geopolitical uncertainty persists, the defense sector is likely to remain an area closely watched by investors tracking global security trends and the companies positioned within this evolving industry.

Kratos Defense & Security (KTOS) – Funds to Pursue Growth


Tuesday, March 03, 2026

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (NASDAQ:KTOS) develops and fields transformative, affordable technology, platforms, and systems for United States National Security related customers, allies, and commercial enterprises. Kratos is changing the way breakthrough technologies for these industries are rapidly brought to market through proven commercial and venture capital backed approaches, including proactive research, and streamlined development processes. At Kratos, affordability is a technology, and we specialize in unmanned systems, satellite communications, cyber security/warfare, microwave electronics, missile defense, hypersonic systems, training and combat systems and next generation turbo jet and turbo fan engine development. For more information go to www.kratosdefense.com.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

A Raise. Kratos raised a net $1.35 billion through the sale of 16,285,571 KTOS shares at $84/sh, including the Underwriters exercising the 30-day allotment in full. The offering closed on  March 2, 2026. Noble Capital participated in the raise.

Uses. The net funds will be used to continue to make important capital expenditures to scale operations and meet the growing demands of  The Department of War and National Security customers with respect to existing programs, recently awarded contracts and new opportunities, (ii) to continue to invest in new product, system and software product development, (iii) to strengthen the Company’s balance sheet to allow the Company to be responsive to anticipated contract awards from the large, strategic pipeline of opportunities, (iv) to fund the recent acquisition of Nomad, pending acquisition of Orbit, and select future strategic M&A opportunities, and (v) for general corporate purposes.


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Release – Kratos Awarded $61.1 Million Navy Contract Modification for Full-Rate Production of 70 BQM-177A Subsonic Aerial Targets and Equipment

February 25, 2026

SAN DIEGO, Feb. 25, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (NASDAQ: KTOS), a leader in defense, national security and global markets, announced today that it has been awarded a $61,068,139 modification to a previously awarded firm-fixed-price contract (N0001923C0021) by the U.S. Navy. This contract modification exercises options to procure full-rate production Lot Seven for 70 of the BQM-177A Subsonic Aerial Targets, along with 70 Rocket-Assisted Takeoff (RATO) attachment kits and associated technical and administrative data. The systems will support weapons system test and evaluation and fleet training requirements for the U.S. Navy.

“Achieving full-rate production of the BQM-177A reflects the Navy’s continued confidence in Kratos’ ability to deliver reliable, high-performance aerial target systems at scale,” said Steve Fendley, President of Kratos Unmanned Systems Division. “This award underscores our commitment to providing affordable, mission-relevant unmanned systems that directly support Navy training, test, and evaluation requirements while maintaining production readiness for future demand. As with all previous awards or modifications, the exercise of this final option is at the maximum negotiated production quantity of seventy aircraft resulting in a total contract value of $238,798,157. In anticipation of further full rate production contracts, Kratos is continuing to invest in capital production improvements that will further improve either our capacity or efficiency.”

The BQM-177A is a subsonic, surface-launched aerial target designed to support realistic threat representation for advanced weapons testing and fleet training operations.

Work under the contract is expected to be performed in the following locations (with the expected share of the work): Sacramento, California (50%); Dallas, Texas (20%); Fort Walton Beach, Florida (5%); Blacksburg, Virginia (4%); Santa Ana, California (2%); Newton, Kansas (2%); Concord, California (2%); Milwaukie, Oregon (2%); Chatsworth, California (2%); and various other locations within the continental United States (11%). The contract is expected to be completed in August 2028.

About Kratos Defense & Security Solutions
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (NASDAQ: KTOS) is a technology, products, system and software company addressing the defense, national security, and commercial markets. Kratos makes true internally funded research, development, capital and other investments, to rapidly develop, produce and field solutions that address our customers’ mission critical needs and requirements. At Kratos, affordability is a technology, and we seek to utilize proven, leading edge approaches and technology, not unproven bleeding edge approaches or technology, with Kratos’ approach designed to reduce cost, schedule and risk, enabling us to be first to market with cost effective solutions. We believe that Kratos is known as an innovative disruptive change agent in the industry, a company that is an expert in designing products and systems up front for successful rapid, large quantity, low-cost future manufacturing which is a value add competitive differentiator for our large traditional prime system integrator partners and also to our government and commercial customers. Kratos intends to pursue program and contract opportunities as the prime or lead contractor when we believe that our probability of win (PWin) is high and any investment required by Kratos is within our capital resource comfort level. We intend to partner and team with a large, traditional system integrator when our assessment of PWin is greater or required investment is beyond Kratos’ comfort level. Kratos’ primary business areas include virtualized ground systems for satellites and space vehicles including software for command & control (C2) and telemetry, tracking and control (TT&C), jet powered unmanned aerial drone systems, advanced vehicles and rocket systems, propulsion systems for drones, missiles, loitering munitions, supersonic systems, space craft and launch systems, C5ISR and microwave electronic products for missile, radar, missile defense, space, satellite, counter UAS, directed energy, communication and other systems, and virtual & augmented reality training systems for the warfighter. For more information, visit www.KratosDefense.com.

Notice Regarding Forward-Looking Statements
Certain statements in this press release may constitute “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements are made on the basis of the current beliefs, expectations and assumptions of the management of Kratos and are subject to significant risks and uncertainty. Investors are cautioned not to place undue reliance on any such forward-looking statements. All such forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are made, and Kratos undertakes no obligation to update or revise these statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Although Kratos believes that the expectations reflected in these forward-looking statements are reasonable, these statements involve many risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from what may be expressed or implied in these forward-looking statements. For a further discussion of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ from those expressed in these forward-looking statements, as well as risks relating to the business of Kratos in general, see the risk disclosures in the Annual Report on Form 10-K of Kratos for the year ended December 28, 2025, and in subsequent reports on Forms 10-Q and 8-K and other filings made with the SEC by Kratos.

Press Contact:
Claire Cantrell
claire.cantrell@kratosdefense.com

Investor Information:
877-934-4687
investor@kratosdefense.com

V2X (VVX) – A Strong End to the Year


Wednesday, February 25, 2026

V2X builds innovative solutions that integrate physical and digital environments by aligning people, actions, and technology. V2X is embedded in all elements of a critical mission’s lifecycle to enhance readiness, optimize resource management, and boost security. The company provides innovation spanning national security, defense, civilian, and international markets. With a global team of approximately 16,000 professionals, V2X enables mission success by injecting AI and machine learning capabilities to meet today’s toughest challenges across all operational domains.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Overview. In the fourth quarter, V2X drove record quarterly revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted cash flow. These results reflect the strength of the Company’s strategy and alignment with national security priorities for readiness and modernization. V2X continues to see momentum across the business coming through contract wins in key growth areas, and we are encouraged by the ongoing demand for the Company’s mission solutions.

4Q25 Results. Revenue increased 5% y-o-y to a record $1.22 billion.  Adjusted EBITDA was $88.7 million for the quarter, also a record for the Company. and exceeding management’s expectations. Adjusted net income was $49.3 million and adjusted EPS was $1.56, both representing double-digit year-over-year growth. We were at $1.19 billion, $81 million, and $1.33, respectively.


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Kratos Defense & Security (KTOS) – An Acquisition, Awards, and More


Monday, February 23, 2026

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (NASDAQ:KTOS) develops and fields transformative, affordable technology, platforms, and systems for United States National Security related customers, allies, and commercial enterprises. Kratos is changing the way breakthrough technologies for these industries are rapidly brought to market through proven commercial and venture capital backed approaches, including proactive research, and streamlined development processes. At Kratos, affordability is a technology, and we specialize in unmanned systems, satellite communications, cyber security/warfare, microwave electronics, missile defense, hypersonic systems, training and combat systems and next generation turbo jet and turbo fan engine development. For more information go to www.kratosdefense.com.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Acquisition. In a 424B3 filing, Kratos disclosed that it acquired Nomad Global Communication Solutions, Incorporated, for an initial amount of 972,136 KTOS shares or approximately $100 million. Nomad provides mobile command, control, and communications systems for space and satellite systems, UAVs, counter UAVs, and other systems, with clients including all branches of the U.S. armed forces, Homeland Security, and other Agencies, among others. We expect management to provide additional detail and color on the earnings call.

Drone Dominance. Kratos has been selected to participate in the initial Phase 1 Gauntlet for the Office of the Secretary of War’s Drone Dominance Program. This opportunity seeks to identify and evaluate platforms capable of demonstrating multiple one-way attack missions through a live competition. Upon successful completion of the Gauntlet, participants will be ranked and extended a prototype delivery award based on their performance and placement. The Drone Dominance Program represents a  $1.1 billion investment in groundbreaking unmanned systems technologies. The program aims to procure approximately 350,000 units.


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V2X (VVX) – Some Recent News


Wednesday, February 04, 2026

V2X builds innovative solutions that integrate physical and digital environments by aligning people, actions, and technology. V2X is embedded in all elements of a critical mission’s lifecycle to enhance readiness, optimize resource management, and boost security. The company provides innovation spanning national security, defense, civilian, and international markets. With a global team of approximately 16,000 professionals, V2X enables mission success by injecting AI and machine learning capabilities to meet today’s toughest challenges across all operational domains.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Recent News. There has been a flurry of positive recent news on V2X, from confirmation of the T-6 award to new partnerships with Amazon and Google to an award under the Missile Defense Agency’s (MDA) Scalable Homeland Innovative Enterprise Layered Defense (SHIELD) to support Golden Dome to advancement to Phase II of the U.S. Army’s Flight School Next (FSN) competition. Below, we highlight three of the developments.

T-6 Award. The U.S. Court of Federal Claims denied the protest and upheld the Air Force’s selection of V2X for the $4.3 billion T-6 Contractor Operated and Maintained Base Supply (COMBS) contract. With a period of performance through July 2034, the $4.3 billion award could generate an average of $475 million in annual revenue.


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CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – Some Model Refinements


Friday, January 16, 2026

CoreCivic is a diversified, government-solutions company with the scale and experience needed to solve tough government challenges in flexible, cost-effective ways. We provide a broad range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through high-quality corrections and detention management, a network of residential and non-residential alternatives to incarceration to help address America’s recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. We are the nation’s largest owner of partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities, and believe we are the largest private owner of real estate used by government agencies in the United States. We have been a flexible and dependable partner for government for nearly 40 years. Our employees are driven by a deep sense of service, high standards of professionalism and a responsibility to help government better the public good. Learn more at www.corecivic.com.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Model Refinements. Pre fourth quarter earnings, we went over our model and made some modest adjustments, as well as incorporated 2026 quarterly estimates. With the strong new contract awards in 2025, increased detention populations, and potential for additional awards in 2026, we believe CoreCivic is well positioned to post strong 2026 full year results.

Populations Continue to Rise. Overall, the ICE detainee population continues to increase, hitting just under 69,000 at year-end. This is up from approximately 39,000 at the end of 2024. We expect to see ICE detainee populations continue to increase over the course of 2026 as ICE brings on additional enforcement personnel. Increased populations bode well for CoreCivic.


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V2X (VVX) – A Strong End to 2025 Awards


Friday, January 02, 2026

V2X builds innovative solutions that integrate physical and digital environments by aligning people, actions, and technology. V2X is embedded in all elements of a critical mission’s lifecycle to enhance readiness, optimize resource management, and boost security. The company provides innovation spanning national security, defense, civilian, and international markets. With a global team of approximately 16,000 professionals, V2X enables mission success by injecting AI and machine learning capabilities to meet today’s toughest challenges across all operational domains.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

DMEA ATSP. V2X subsidiary Vertex Aerospace has been named as an awardee to the Defense Microelectronics Activity (DMEA) Advanced Technology Support Program (ATSP), according to the daily Department of War contract award activity. With multi-billion dollar potential, this award caps a strong year for V2X. The Company has won places on multiple billion dollar contracts, which bode well for the future.

Details. DMEA ATSP is an ID/IQ contract with a $23.357 billion ceiling. This multiple award contract has a base ordering period of five years with two option periods, three years and two years respectively, to establish a 10 year ordering period. There are a total of 10 awardees, including Vertex. As an ID/IQ, Vertex will need to compete for each award, but we are confident the Company will receive its fair share of wins under the contract.


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V2X (VVX) – New Awards Momentum Continues


Tuesday, November 25, 2025

V2X builds innovative solutions that integrate physical and digital environments by aligning people, actions, and technology. V2X is embedded in all elements of a critical mission’s lifecycle to enhance readiness, optimize resource management, and boost security. The company provides innovation spanning national security, defense, civilian, and international markets. With a global team of approximately 16,000 professionals, V2X enables mission success by injecting AI and machine learning capabilities to meet today’s toughest challenges across all operational domains.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Awards. With the Federal government once again open, contract awards are once again being announced by the Department of War. VVX’s award momentum continues, providing the Company with a solid base of business going into 2026, in our view.

Iraq F-16.  On November 20th, subsidiary Vectrus Systems LLC. was awarded a $252.1 million cost-plus fixed-fee indefinite contract action for base support services in support of the Iraq F-16 program. Recall, this is one of the major $1 billion-plus contracts V2X has recently won. This contract provides for base operating support, base life support, and security services at the Martyr BG Ali Flaih Air Base in Iraq, and is expected to be complete by September 24, 2026.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Graham (GHM) – A Solid 2Q26


Tuesday, November 11, 2025

Graham Corporation designs, manufactures and sells critical equipment for the energy, defense and chemical/petrochemical industries. The Company designs and manufactures custom-engineered ejectors, vacuum pumping systems, surface condensers and vacuum systems. It is a nuclear code accredited fabrication and specialty machining company. It supplies components used inside reactor vessels and outside containment vessels of nuclear power facilities. Its equipment is found in applications, such as metal refining, pulp and paper processing, water heating, refrigeration, desalination, food processing, pharmaceutical, heating, ventilating and air conditioning. For the defense industry, its equipment is used in nuclear propulsion power systems for the United States Navy. The Company’s products are used in a range of industrial process applications in energy markets, including petroleum refining, defense, chemical and petrochemical processing, power generation/alternative energy and other.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Overview. Graham put up solid results for the second quarter of fiscal 2026. The Company executed well across all the business lines, driving broad based-growth. Demand across the end markets remains healthy, and the Defense and Space markets continue to see robust activity.

2Q26 Results.  Revenue grew 23% to $66 million, driven by solid performance across all end markets. We were at $59 million. Adjusted EBITDA was $6.3 million, up 12% from the prior year, and adjusted EBITDA margin was 9.5%. We had forecasted $6.2 million and 10.4%. Net income for the quarter was $0.28 per diluted share, and adjusted net income was $0.31 per diluted share. We were at $0.30 and $0.32, respectively.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Kratos Defense & Security (KTOS) – Solid Results and an Acquisition


Thursday, November 06, 2025

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (NASDAQ:KTOS) develops and fields transformative, affordable technology, platforms, and systems for United States National Security related customers, allies, and commercial enterprises. Kratos is changing the way breakthrough technologies for these industries are rapidly brought to market through proven commercial and venture capital backed approaches, including proactive research, and streamlined development processes. At Kratos, affordability is a technology, and we specialize in unmanned systems, satellite communications, cyber security/warfare, microwave electronics, missile defense, hypersonic systems, training and combat systems and next generation turbo jet and turbo fan engine development. For more information go to www.kratosdefense.com.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Overview. Kratos’ third quarter financial results are representative of the increasing demand for Kratos’ military grade hardware, systems, and software to support  U.S. National Security and its allies. The number of opportunities Kratos has continues to grow. The Company currently has record levels of backlog and opportunity pipeline.

3Q25 Results. Third quarter 2025 revenues increased $71.7 million to $347.6 million from $275.9 million in the year ago period, reflecting 23.7% organic growth. This was above the high end of the $315-$325 million guidance. We were at $323 million. Adjusted EBITDA was $30.8 million, just above the high end of guidance. We were at $24.5 million. Adjusted EPS was $0.14, up from $0.11 in 3Q24 and our $0.10 estimate.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

V2X (VVX) – Record Revenue and Adjusted EPS Highlight Third Quarter


Wednesday, November 05, 2025

V2X builds innovative solutions that integrate physical and digital environments by aligning people, actions, and technology. V2X is embedded in all elements of a critical mission’s lifecycle to enhance readiness, optimize resource management, and boost security. The company provides innovation spanning national security, defense, civilian, and international markets. With a global team of approximately 16,000 professionals, V2X enables mission success by injecting AI and machine learning capabilities to meet today’s toughest challenges across all operational domains.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Strong Operating Environment. V2X’s third quarter results demonstrated the Company’s continued focus on operational and strategic execution. Business trends remain positive and are being driven by continued demand for mission readiness solutions, even in the face of the government shutdown.

3Q25 Results. Revenue grew 8% year-over-year in the third quarter to a record $1.17 billion, driven by continued demand for V2X solutions. V2X delivered adjusted EBITDA of $85.2 million, with a margin of 7.3% in 3Q25. Net income for the quarter was $24.6 million, an increase of $9.6 million, or 63%, from the prior year. Adjusted net income was $43.7 million, an increase of $2.4 million, or 6%, year-over-year. Third quarter GAAP diluted EPS was $0.77. Adjusted diluted EPS for the quarter was $1.37, an increase of 6% year-over-year. We had projected $1.15 billion, $79 million, $0.45, and $1.23, respectively.


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Graham (GHM) – A Tuck In Acquisition


Tuesday, October 21, 2025

Graham Corporation designs, manufactures and sells critical equipment for the energy, defense and chemical/petrochemical industries. The Company designs and manufactures custom-engineered ejectors, vacuum pumping systems, surface condensers and vacuum systems. It is a nuclear code accredited fabrication and specialty machining company. It supplies components used inside reactor vessels and outside containment vessels of nuclear power facilities. Its equipment is found in applications, such as metal refining, pulp and paper processing, water heating, refrigeration, desalination, food processing, pharmaceutical, heating, ventilating and air conditioning. For the defense industry, its equipment is used in nuclear propulsion power systems for the United States Navy. The Company’s products are used in a range of industrial process applications in energy markets, including petroleum refining, defense, chemical and petrochemical processing, power generation/alternative energy and other.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

An Acquisition. Yesterday, after the market close, Graham announced the acquisition of certain specified assets of Xdot Bearing Technologies (“Xdot”), a specialized consulting, design, and engineering firm focused on foil bearing technology. While the acquisition price was not revealed, Graham noted Xdot has annual sales of approximately $1 million and is expected to be slightly accretive to the Company’s fiscal year 2026 GAAP net income.

Xdot. Xdot has developed and patented a breakthrough foil bearing design that delivers superior performance while lowering development and production costs. Xdot’s products are complementary to the existing product portfolio of Graham’s Barber-Nichols (BN) subsidiary and will expand capabilities within BN. Notably, Dr. Erik Swanson, Founder, President, and Chief Engineer of Xdot is a world renowned expert in foil bearing analysis, application, and fabrication and will join the BN team upon closing.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.