Key Points: – Gold Hits $2,630: Nuclear fears in the Russia-Ukraine war drive demand. – 27% YTD Gain: Gold outpaces S&P 500 as central banks boost reserves. – $3K Target: Goldman sees current prices as a buying opportunity.
Gold prices surged to a one-week high, trading near $2,630 per ounce on Tuesday, as escalating tensions in the Russia-Ukraine conflict heightened fears of a potential nuclear threat. The precious metal, often regarded as a safe haven during times of geopolitical uncertainty, saw increased demand as investors sought stability amidst rising global risks.
The climb in gold futures came after Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a revised nuclear doctrine that lowers the threshold for deploying nuclear weapons. This development coincided with the Biden administration’s decision to allow Ukraine access to long-range U.S.-made missiles, enabling deeper strikes into Russian territory. These moves intensified concerns about the broader implications of the conflict, driving investors toward assets perceived as more secure.
While the U.S. Dollar Index (DX-Y.NYB) has strengthened in recent weeks, contributing to a decline in gold prices post-election, the precious metal remains one of the strongest-performing assets of the year. Gold has risen approximately 27% year-to-date, outperforming the S&P 500’s 23% gain over the same period. This robust performance is attributed, in part, to central banks around the world increasing their gold reserves, signaling confidence in its long-term value.
Analysts at Goldman Sachs highlighted the investment potential of gold in light of its recent price consolidation following the U.S. elections. In a report released over the weekend, the firm urged investors to consider going “long gold,” citing a favorable buying opportunity. Goldman Sachs maintains a bullish outlook for the commodity, projecting a price target of $3,000 per ounce by the end of 2025.
“The gold price consolidation following the orderly U.S. election — flushing speculative positioning from near all-time highs — provides an attractive entry point to buy gold,” the analysts noted.
A key factor behind gold’s sustained momentum is the Federal Reserve’s pivot toward lower interest rates. As a non-yield-bearing asset, gold becomes more attractive in a low-interest-rate environment, where the opportunity cost of holding it decreases. This shift in monetary policy has further supported the metal’s rally in recent months.
Additionally, central banks worldwide have been aggressively bolstering their gold reserves, reinforcing its status as a hedge against economic and geopolitical instability. The ongoing accumulation by these institutions underscores the asset’s enduring appeal in uncertain times.
As the Russia-Ukraine conflict evolves, gold’s role as a hedge against global instability is likely to remain in focus. With escalating geopolitical tensions and continued central bank support, the metal appears well-positioned for further gains.
Investors will also keep a close eye on broader economic trends, including the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy and shifts in global market sentiment, which could influence gold’s trajectory in the months ahead.
In a volatile world, gold’s enduring value as a store of wealth and a hedge against uncertainty continues to shine. As geopolitical risks intensify, the precious metal’s appeal as a safe haven remains as strong as ever.
Key Points – Orla acquires Musselwhite Gold Mine for $810M, doubling annual gold production to over 300,000 ounces. – Musselwhite’s reserves and excess capacity position Orla for significant growth and resource expansion. – The deal avoids equity dilution, backed by cornerstone investors and structured financing.
Orla Mining Ltd. (TSX: OLA; NYSE: ORLA) has announced its strategic acquisition of the Musselwhite Gold Mine in Ontario from Newmont Corporation for $810 million in cash, with an additional $40 million contingent on future gold prices. The move solidifies Orla’s transformation into a premier North America-focused, multi-asset gold producer, doubling its annual gold production to over 300,000 ounces and targeting growth to 500,000 ounces with the South Railroad Project in Nevada set to begin production by 2027.
This acquisition diversifies Orla’s portfolio, adding a tier-one jurisdiction to its operations. Located in Northwestern Ontario, Musselwhite is an underground mine with a proven track record, having produced nearly 6 million ounces of gold over its 25 years of operation. With 1.5 million ounces in proven and probable reserves and significant exploration potential, the mine represents a long-term growth opportunity for Orla.
The transaction is structured to avoid upfront equity dilution, financed through a mix of debt, gold prepayment, convertible notes, and cash. This includes commitments from cornerstone investors such as Fairfax Financial Holdings, Pierre Lassonde, and Trinity Capital Partners. The company’s robust financial position and support from existing shareholders enable it to capitalize on the acquisition without compromising shareholder value.
Orla’s management plans to leverage Musselwhite’s excess processing capacity and its extensive 65,000-hectare mining lease for exploration and resource expansion. The mine’s current recovery rates of 96% and its history of consistent reserve replenishment underscore its potential for long-term value creation.
CEO Jason Simpson emphasized the strategic significance of the acquisition: “This milestone more than doubles our production and establishes our presence in Ontario, a premier mining jurisdiction. We are committed to optimizing Musselwhite’s operations, exploring its vast potential, and maintaining strong relationships with local stakeholders and First Nations communities.”
The transaction is expected to close in early 2025, subject to shareholder and regulatory approvals. Orla’s board has unanimously recommended the deal, highlighting its alignment with the company’s growth strategy and significant accretion to key financial and operating metrics.
Musselwhite’s addition will generate over $150 million in average annual free cash flow, enabling Orla to self-fund its growth pipeline, including the Camino Rojo Sulphides project in Mexico and continued exploration in all operating regions.
With this acquisition, Orla strengthens its position as a leading North American gold producer, blending operational expertise with strategic financial planning to drive shareholder value and long-term growth.
Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Private placement financing. On November 14, Maple Gold Mines closed a private placement of 32,695,384 non-flow-through (NFT) units at a price of C$0.065 per NFT unit and 35,935,000 flow-through (FT) common shares of the company at a price of C$0.08 per FT share for total gross proceeds of C$5 million. Each NFT unit consists of one common share and one-half of one common share purchase warrant. Each warrant entitles the holder to acquire one non-flow-through common share at a price per warrant share of C$0.10 until November 14, 2027.
Third quarter financial results. As an advanced exploration and development company, Maple Gold does not generate revenues and incurs expenses associated with advancing its projects. Maple Gold generated a third quarter loss of C$1.3 million or C$(0.00) per share compared to a loss of C$1.1 million or $(0.00) per share during the prior year period. We had anticipated a loss of C$1.5 million or C$(0.00) per share.
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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
New assay results. Aurania received preliminary results from studies conducted by SGS Laboratories on a sample of magnetic sand taken from Nonza Beach, Corsica. The nickel-bearing mineral in the black magnetic sand is indeed awaruite, a natural nickel-iron alloy. SGS was able to isolate a nearly pure awaruite concentrate from the magnetic sand using a combination of grinding and flotation. New assays of awaruite flotation concentrate yielded 71.4% nickel, 0.98% cobalt, 0.65% copper, 0.58 grams of gold per tonne, 0.09 grams of platinum per tonne, and 0.39 grams of palladium per tonne. The flotation method recovered 83.8% of the nickel contained in the magnetic sand, which had a head grade of 6% nickel. Studies of identical sands at nearby Albo Beach are underway.
Extraction and processing. Aurania hired IHC Mining Advisory Services (IMAS) to identify the best means to extract and recover the black beach sands at Albo-Nonza. IHC proposed two different scenarios focused on the extraction of heavy minerals containing nickel and iron. The preferred scenario uses a floating suction and cutter-head dredge on floating pontoons. IMAS estimated the capital cost of the cutter suction dredger scenario to be €13 million, including €7.8 million for the dredging equipment and €5.2 million for a processing plant.
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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
Key Points: – Acquisition strengthens Major Drilling’s presence in Peru and expands access to Colombia, the Dominican Republic, and Spain. – Adds 92 drills, increasing Major Drilling’s fleet to 701, reinforcing its industry leadership. – Initial $63M payment, plus $22M potential earn-out based on Explomin’s EBITDA growth targets.
In a strategic move to bolster its drilling capabilities and expand its footprint in South America, Major Drilling Group International Inc. has announced the acquisition of Explomin Perforaciones, a leading drilling contractor based in Lima, Peru. The deal, valued up to $85 million USD, is expected to significantly enhance Major Drilling’s access to the copper market and increase its service offerings in specialty drilling.
Explomin is one of the largest specialty drillers in South America, offering deep-hole, directional, high-altitude, and underground drilling services. The acquisition strengthens Major Drilling’s portfolio in copper and other essential minerals, which aligns with its growth strategy focused on geographical and service expansion.
In the twelve months ending October 31, 2024, Explomin generated approximately $95 million USD in revenue, with an EBITDA of $16 million USD, underscoring its solid standing in the industry. Around 90% of Explomin’s revenue is derived from partnerships with senior mining companies, a client base that Major Drilling expects to build upon.
Major Drilling’s CEO, Denis Larocque, highlighted the strategic value of this acquisition, noting that it aligns with the company’s long-term growth objectives, supports sustainable development goals, and builds on both companies’ shared cultural and operational values. Carlos Urrea, Chairman of Explomin, emphasized the potential for continued growth and praised the contributions of Explomin’s team, stating that the partnership would position both companies to thrive.
Under the acquisition agreement, Major Drilling paid an upfront cash amount of $63 million USD with the potential for an additional $22 million USD contingent on Explomin meeting specific EBITDA milestones over the next three years. This structure incentivizes Explomin to achieve an average annual EBITDA of $21 million USD during the earn-out period. Funding for this acquisition is supported by Major Drilling’s current cash reserves and debt facilities, reflecting the company’s strong financial position.
This acquisition positions Major Drilling to capitalize on increasing demand in the copper market and enhances its service portfolio in high-growth regions. The integration of Explomin is expected to be accretive, contributing positively to Major Drilling’s revenue streams and expanding its influence in the competitive mining sector.
Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Kuri-Yawi geophysical survey. Aurania commenced an induced polarization (IP) geophysical survey over its Kuri-Yawi gold target where the discovery of numerous sinters in 2018 revealed the area to be highly prospective for epithermal gold mineralization. Kuri-Yawi is the most advanced epithermal target at the company’s Lost Cities-Cutucu project in southeastern Ecuador and may represent the quickest path for a successful outcome based on work that has already been completed, along with easy access. In 2020 and 2021, nine scout holes were drilled that indicated a vector to mineralization toward the northeast which is the focus of the IP survey.
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ARLP is a diversified natural resource company that generates operating and royalty income from coal produced by its mining complexes and royalty income from mineral interests it owns in strategic oil & gas producing regions in the United States, primarily the Permian, Anadarko and Williston basins. ARLP currently produces coal from seven mining complexes its subsidiaries operate in Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Maryland and West Virginia. ARLP also operates a coal loading terminal on the Ohio River at Mount Vernon, Indiana. ARLP markets its coal production to major domestic and international utilities and industrial users and is currently the second largest coal producer in the eastern United States. In addition, ARLP is positioning itself as an energy provider for the future by leveraging its core technology and operating competencies to make strategic investments in the fast growing energy and infrastructure transition.
Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Third quarter financial results. Alliance reported third quarter EBITDA and earnings per unit (EPU) of $170.7 million and $0.66, respectively, compared to $227.6 million and $1.18 during the prior year period. We had forecast adjusted EBITDA of $220.5 million and $0.82, respectively. Revenue declined 3.6% to $613.6 million because of lower coal sales prices which declined 2.1% due in part to lower export pricing in Appalachia. Operating expenses increased 13.5% due to a longwall move and challenging mining conditions at all three Appalachia operations that reduced recoveries and increased costs. The partnership also experienced a $2.3 million loss related to its equity investment in Francis Energy.
Adjusting estimates. We have lowered our 2024 EBITDA and EPU estimates to $760.1 million and $3.25, respectively, from $813.6 million and $3.60. Our estimates reflect lower coal sales and higher segment adjusted EBITDA expense per ton. Additionally, we have modestly lowered our 2025 EBITDA and EPU estimates to $831.7 million and $3.40, respectively, from $835.2 million and $3.43.
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Third quarter 2024 total revenue of $613.6 million, net income of $86.3 million, and EBITDA of $170.7 million
Increased oil & gas royalty volumes to 864 MBOE, up 11.9% year-over-year
Completed $10.5 million in oil & gas mineral interest acquisitions
Declares quarterly cash distribution of $0.70 per unit, or $2.80 per unit annualized
Increased committed & priced sales tons for the 2025 full year by 5.9 million tons to 22.5 million tons
TULSA, Okla.–(BUSINESS WIRE)– Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. (NASDAQ: ARLP) (“ARLP” or the “Partnership”) today reported financial and operating results for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2024 (the “2024 Quarter” and “2024 Period,” respectively). This release includes comparisons of results to the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023 (the “2023 Quarter” and “2023 Period,” respectively) and to the quarter ended June 30, 2024 (the “Sequential Quarter”). All references in the text of this release to “net income” refer to “net income attributable to ARLP.” For a definition of EBITDA and related reconciliation to its comparable GAAP financial measure, please see the end of this release.
Total revenues in the 2024 Quarter decreased 3.6% to $613.6 million compared to $636.5 million for the 2023 Quarter primarily as a result of reduced coal sales prices, which declined 2.1% due in part to lower export pricing in Appalachia, and lower transportation revenues. Net income for the 2024 Quarter was $86.3 million, or $0.66 per basic and diluted limited partner unit, compared to $153.7 million, or $1.18 per basic and diluted limited partner unit, for the 2023 Quarter as a result of lower revenues and increased total operating expenses. EBITDA for the 2024 Quarter was $170.7 million compared to $227.6 million in the 2023 Quarter.
Total revenues in the 2024 Quarter increased 3.4% compared to $593.4 million in the Sequential Quarter primarily as a result of increased coal sales volumes, which rose 6.7% to 8.4 million tons sold compared to 7.9 million tons sold. Net income and EBITDA for the 2024 Quarter decreased by 13.9% and 3.9%, respectively, compared to the Sequential Quarter as a result of higher total operating expenses, partially offset by increased revenues.
Total revenues decreased 4.3% to $1.86 billion for the 2024 Period compared to $1.94 billion for the 2023 Period primarily due to lower coal sales and transportation revenues, partially offset by higher oil & gas royalties and other revenues. Net income for the 2024 Period was $344.5 million, or $2.64 per basic and diluted limited partner unit, compared to $514.7 million, or $3.93 per basic and diluted limited partner unit, for the 2023 Period as a result of lower revenues and increased total operating expenses, partially offset by an increase in the fair value of our digital assets. EBITDA for the 2024 Period was $583.4 million compared to $747.7 million in the 2023 Period.
CEO Commentary
“We delivered sequential improvement in revenue, coal sales, and minerals volumes during the third quarter, however revenues were lower than our expectations primarily due to lower coal sales volumes and pricing related to export sales from our MC Mining, Mettiki and Hamilton operations, as well as shipping deferrals on some of our higher priced domestic contracted commitments,” commented Joseph W. Craft III, Chairman, President, and CEO. “Segment Adjusted EBITDA Expense per ton sold was $46.11 during the 2024 Quarter, slightly higher than the Sequential Quarter and increasing 11.9% year-over-year due to a longwall move at our Tunnel Ridge operations and challenging mining conditions at all three Appalachia operations that lowered recoveries and increased costs related to roof control and maintenance. We took proactive steps during the 2024 Quarter to more closely align production with shipments at our MC Mining, Mettiki and Hamilton operations by reducing production due to high stockpile levels at each operation which also impacted our costs. As a result, coal inventory levels declined by over 0.5 million tons in the 2024 Quarter.”
Mr. Craft added, “We are pleased to report that all of the major capital and mine infrastructure projects we have been investing in over the last several years are wrapping up and are projected to be on schedule to deliver lower mining expenses beginning next year.”
Mr. Craft concluded, “We realized another solid quarter of year-over-year volumetric growth in our Oil & Gas Royalties business. We continue to reap the benefits of a minerals portfolio that is heavily weighted towards the Permian Basin, where top-tier upstream operators are actively drilling and completing new wells on our mineral acreage. Additionally, we continued to add to our position in the Permian, successfully closing $10.5 million of ground game acquisitions during the 2024 Quarter. As we have mentioned previously, we believe the value and prospects for our oil and gas royalty segment was a major contributor to the success of our Senior Notes offering earlier this year. We remain committed to growing this segment as a complement to our core coal operations, and as we scale the business, we believe investors will continue to recognize the intrinsic value the segment possesses as a growth vehicle.”
Coal Operations
Total coal sales volumes for the 2024 Quarter increased 6.7% compared to the Sequential Quarter while remaining relatively consistent compared to the 2023 Quarter. Sequentially, tons sold increased by 3.1% in the Illinois Basin due to higher sales volumes from our River View and Hamilton mines. In Appalachia, tons sold increased by 16.9% in the 2024 Quarter compared to the Sequential Quarter primarily due to improved conditions on the Ohio River allowing for higher shipments from our Tunnel Ridge operation. Coal sales price per ton decreased by 5.8% in Appalachia compared to the 2023 Quarter as a result of reduced export price realizations from our Mettiki and MC Mining operations. Compared to the Sequential Quarter, coal sales prices decreased by 7.7% in Appalachia primarily due to reduced domestic price realizations across the region. ARLP ended the 2024 Quarter with total coal inventory of 2.0 million tons, representing an increase of 0.2 million tons and a decrease of 0.5 million tons compared to the end of the 2023 Quarter and Sequential Quarter, respectively.
Segment Adjusted EBITDA Expense per ton for the 2024 Quarter increased by 7.2% in the Illinois Basin compared to the 2023 Quarter due primarily to reduced production and higher beginning inventory cost per ton at our Hamilton and River View mines. Increased expenses and lower production at our Hamilton mine during the 2024 Quarter was partially attributable to increased longwall move days compared to the 2023 Quarter. In Appalachia, Segment Adjusted EBITDA Expense per ton for the 2024 Quarter increased by 19.3% compared to the 2023 Quarter due to a longwall move at our Tunnel Ridge operation, increased subsidence related expenses and challenging mining conditions at all three operations that lowered recoveries, and increased costs related to roof control and maintenance.
Royalties
Oil & gas volumes increased to 864 MBOE in the 2024 Quarter, representing an 11.9% and a 5.8% increase compared to the 2023 Quarter and Sequential Quarter, respectively, due to increased drilling and completion activities on our interests and acquisitions of additional oil & gas mineral interests. Segment Adjusted EBITDA for the Oil & Gas Royalties segment decreased 8.5% and 8.2% in the 2024 Quarter compared to the 2023 Quarter and Sequential Quarter, respectively, primarily due to reduced average realized sales prices per BOE.
Segment Adjusted EBITDA for the Coal Royalties segment in the 2024 Quarter increased by $1.2 million and $1.1 million compared to the 2023 Quarter and Sequential Quarter, respectively, as a result of increased royalty tons sold and reduced expenses, partially offset by reduced prices.
Balance Sheet and Liquidity
As of September 30, 2024, total debt and finance leases outstanding were $497.4 million, including $400 million in recently issued Senior Notes due 2029. The Partnership’s total and net leverage ratios were 0.64 times and 0.39 times debt to trailing twelve months Adjusted EBITDA, respectively, as of September 30, 2024. ARLP ended the 2024 Quarter with total liquidity of $657.7 million, which included $195.4 million of cash and cash equivalents and $462.3 million of borrowings available under its revolving credit and accounts receivable securitization facilities.
Distributions
ARLP is also announcing today that the Board of Directors of ARLP’s general partner (the “Board”) approved a cash distribution to unitholders for the 2024 Quarter of $0.70 per unit (an annualized rate of $2.80 per unit), payable on November 14, 2024, to all unitholders of record as of the close of trading on November 7, 2024. The announced distribution is consistent with the cash distributions for the 2023 Quarter and Sequential Quarter.
Outlook
“We have repeatedly warned about the impact of federal regulations on grid reliability, influencing what we believe to be the premature retirement of essential baseload power sources even as significant demand growth from AI, data centers, and manufacturing onshoring is being projected,” commented Mr. Craft. “This summer’s PJM capacity auction results highlight these concerns. Recognizing a potential crisis due to unexpectedly high demand growth, the delayed construction of new generation, and planned capacity retirements, particularly in our served markets, PJM prioritized baseload capacity over interruptible sources. This further supports recent third-party sources which indicate that greater than 40% of previously announced baseload power plant retirement dates have been deferred nationwide.”
Mr. Craft concluded, “Many of our largest domestic customers have been active on the contracting side of late. Since our last update, we are in the process of finalizing commitments for 21.7 million tons over the 2025 to 2030 time period. We are also in active discussions with other customers to add to future commitments, that if secured, will lift our 2025 domestic sales order book to a level near our historical contracted position heading into the new calendar year. Looking longer-term, the underlying coal demand fundamentals of non-traditional demand growth is accelerating, particularly in the markets we serve in the Midwest, Mid-Atlantic, and Southeast.”
ARLP is maintaining the following guidance for the full year ended December 31, 2024 (the “2024 Full Year”) and updating our committed and priced sales tons:
Conference Call
A conference call regarding ARLP’s 2024 Quarter financial results is scheduled for today at 10:00 a.m. Eastern. To participate in the conference call, dial (877) 407-0784 and request to be connected to the Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. earnings conference call. International callers should dial (201) 689-8560 and request to be connected to the same call. Investors may also listen to the call via the “Investors” section of ARLP’s website at www.arlp.com.
An audio replay of the conference call will be available for approximately one week. To access the audio replay, dial U.S. Toll Free (844) 512-2921; International Toll (412) 317-6671 and request to be connected to replay using access code 13749425.
Concurrent with this announcement we are providing qualified notice to brokers and nominees that hold ARLP units on behalf of non-U.S. investors under Treasury Regulation Section 1.1446-4(b) and (d) and Treasury Regulation Section 1.1446(f)-4(c)(2)(iii). Brokers and nominees should treat one hundred percent (100%) of ARLP’s distributions to non-U.S. investors as being attributable to income that is effectively connected with a United States trade or business. In addition, brokers and nominees should treat one hundred percent (100%) of the distribution as being in excess of cumulative net income for purposes of determining the amount to withhold. Accordingly, ARLP’s distributions to non-U.S. investors are subject to federal income tax withholding at a rate equal to the highest applicable effective tax rate plus ten percent (10%). Nominees, and not ARLP, are treated as the withholding agents responsible for withholding on the distributions received by them on behalf of non-U.S. investors.
About Alliance Resource Partners, L.P.
ARLP is a diversified energy company that is currently the largest coal producer in the eastern United States, supplying reliable, affordable energy domestically and internationally to major utilities, metallurgical and industrial users. ARLP also generates operating and royalty income from mineral interests it owns in strategic coal and oil & gas producing regions in the United States. In addition, ARLP is evolving and positioning itself as a reliable energy partner for the future by pursuing opportunities that support the advancement of energy and related infrastructure.
News, unit prices and additional information about ARLP, including filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”), are available at www.arlp.com. For more information, contact the investor relations department of ARLP at (918) 295-7673 or via e-mail at investorrelations@arlp.com.
The statements and projections used throughout this release are based on current expectations. These statements and projections are forward-looking, and actual results may differ materially. These projections do not include the potential impact of any mergers, acquisitions or other business combinations that may occur after the date of this release. We have included more information below regarding business risks that could affect our results.
FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS: With the exception of historical matters, any matters discussed in this press release are forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from projected results. Those forward-looking statements include expectations with respect to our future financial performance, coal and oil & gas consumption and expected future prices, our ability to increase unitholder distributions in future quarters, business plans and potential growth with respect to our energy and infrastructure transition investments, optimizing cash flows, reducing operating and capital expenditures, infrastructure projects at our existing properties, growth in domestic electricity demand, preserving liquidity and maintaining financial flexibility, and our future repurchases of units and senior notes, among others. These risks to our ability to achieve these outcomes include, but are not limited to, the following: decline in the coal industry’s share of electricity generation, including as a result of environmental concerns related to coal mining and combustion, the cost and perceived benefits of other sources of electricity and fuels, such as oil & gas, nuclear energy, and renewable fuels and the planned retirement of coal-fired power plants in the U.S.; our ability to provide fuel for growth in domestic energy demand, should it materialize; changes in macroeconomic and market conditions and market volatility, and the impact of such changes and volatility on our financial position; changes in global economic and geo-political conditions or changes in industries in which our customers operate; changes in commodity prices, demand and availability which could affect our operating results and cash flows; the outcome or escalation of current hostilities in Ukraine and the Israel-Gaza conflict; the severity, magnitude and duration of any future pandemics and impacts of such pandemics and of businesses’ and governments’ responses to such pandemics on our operations and personnel, and on demand for coal, oil, and natural gas, the financial condition of our customers and suppliers and operators, available liquidity and capital sources and broader economic disruptions; actions of the major oil-producing countries with respect to oil production volumes and prices could have direct and indirect impacts over the near and long term on oil & gas exploration and production operations at the properties in which we hold mineral interests; changes in competition in domestic and international coal markets and our ability to respond to such changes; potential shut-ins of production by the operators of the properties in which we hold oil & gas mineral interests due to low commodity prices or the lack of downstream demand or storage capacity; risks associated with the expansion of and investments into the infrastructure of our operations and properties, including the timing of such investments coming online; our ability to identify and complete acquisitions and to successfully integrate such acquisitions into our business and achieve the anticipated benefits therefrom; our ability to identify and invest in new energy and infrastructure transition ventures; the success of our development plans for our wholly owned subsidiary, Matrix Design Group, LLC, and our investments in emerging infrastructure and technology companies; dependence on significant customer contracts, including renewing existing contracts upon expiration; adjustments made in price, volume, or terms to existing coal supply agreements; the effects of and changes in trade, monetary and fiscal policies and laws, and the results of central bank policy actions, including interest rates, bank failures, and associated liquidity risks; the effects of and changes in taxes or tariffs and other trade measures adopted by the United States and foreign governments; legislation, regulations, and court decisions and interpretations thereof, both domestic and foreign, including those relating to the environment and the release of greenhouse gases, such as the Environmental Protection Agency’s recently promulgated emissions regulations for coal-fired power plants, mining, miner health and safety, hydraulic fracturing, and health care; deregulation of the electric utility industry or the effects of any adverse change in the coal industry, electric utility industry, or general economic conditions; investors’ and other stakeholders’ increasing attention to environmental, social, and governance matters; liquidity constraints, including those resulting from any future unavailability of financing; customer bankruptcies, cancellations or breaches to existing contracts, or other failures to perform; customer delays, failure to take coal under contracts or defaults in making payments; our productivity levels and margins earned on our coal sales; disruptions to oil & gas exploration and production operations at the properties in which we hold mineral interests; changes in equipment, raw material, service or labor costs or availability, including due to inflationary pressures; changes in our ability to recruit, hire and maintain labor; our ability to maintain satisfactory relations with our employees; increases in labor costs, adverse changes in work rules, or cash payments or projections associated with workers’ compensation claims; increases in transportation costs and risk of transportation delays or interruptions; operational interruptions due to geologic, permitting, labor, weather, supply chain shortage of equipment or mine supplies, or other factors; risks associated with major mine-related accidents, mine fires, mine floods or other interruptions; results of litigation, including claims not yet asserted; foreign currency fluctuations that could adversely affect the competitiveness of our coal abroad; difficulty maintaining our surety bonds for mine reclamation as well as workers’ compensation and black lung benefits; difficulty in making accurate assumptions and projections regarding post-mine reclamation as well as pension, black lung benefits, and other post-retirement benefit liabilities; uncertainties in estimating and replacing our coal mineral reserves and resources; uncertainties in estimating and replacing our oil & gas reserves; uncertainties in the amount of oil & gas production due to the level of drilling and completion activity by the operators of our oil & gas properties; uncertainties in the future of the electric vehicle industry and the market for EV charging stations; the impact of current and potential changes to federal or state tax rules and regulations, including a loss or reduction of benefits from certain tax deductions and credits; difficulty obtaining commercial property insurance, and risks associated with our participation in the commercial insurance property program; evolving cybersecurity risks, such as those involving unauthorized access, denial-of-service attacks, malicious software, data privacy breaches by employees, insiders or others with authorized access, cyber or phishing attacks, ransomware, malware, social engineering, physical breaches, or other actions; and difficulty in making accurate assumptions and projections regarding future revenues and costs associated with equity investments in companies we do not control.
Additional information concerning these, and other factors can be found in ARLP’s public periodic filings with the SEC, including ARLP’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2023, filed on February 23, 2024,and ARLP’s Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q for the quarters ended March 31, 2024 and June 30, 2024, filed on May 9, 2024 and August 7, 2024, respectively. Except as required by applicable securities laws, ARLP does not intend to update its forward-looking statements.
October 24, 2024 – Vancouver, Canada – Century Lithium Corp. (TSXV: LCE) (OTCQX: CYDVF) (Frankfurt: C1Z) (“Century Lithium” or the “Company”) is pleased to report on progress at its wholly owned Angel Island lithium project (“Project”) located in Esmeralda County, Nevada, USA. Since the completion of a Feasibility Study on Angel Island in April 2024, the Company continues to focus on critical steps for the Project’s development. Primary attention is on process optimization to drive reductions in the Project’s estimated capital and operating costs, environmental studies and permitting, and Project funding. Among these actions, testing has continued at the Company’s Lithium Extraction Facility (“Pilot Plant”) in Amargosa Valley, Nevada, with emphasis on producing lithium carbonate samples for evaluation by domestic end-users and interested parties.
“Century Lithium is focused on delivering results that will position the Company as one of the most advanced opportunities for a new domestic supply of this important and strategic commodity for the EV and battery storage industry” said Bill Willoughby, President, and CEO of Century Lithium. “The State of Nevada has expressed the desire to play a critical role in the clean energy transition, specifically through Nevada’s Lithium Loop initiative focusing on local resources to products to recycling. We are working with Century’s resources and technology to position us at the forefront of this effort.”
Pilot Plant Testing and Engineering
Review of the Feasibility Study with emphasis on pursuing several avenues to reduce the estimated capital and operating costs and achieve significant improvement of the Project’s economics
Achieved onsite production of battery quality lithium carbonate samples for evaluation and to demonstrate Angel Island’s capability as an end-to-end process for taking lithium claystone to a battery-quality product
Conducted initial tests with third parties on alternate reagents and media for the Pilot Plant
Currently installing equipment at the Pilot Plant based on results from the above
Initiated materials testing program to optimize and potentially reduce the estimated costs of the tailings storage facility
Environmental Studies and Permitting
Completed draft hydrologic model and addressing comments from federal regulators
Completed a draft plan of operations
Modeled alternate locations for water supply to potentially source process water closer to the Project within the scope of the Company’s water rights permit
Engaged consultants to prepare key state permits with emphasis on water pollution control and air quality
Angel Island Funding
Communicating with potential strategic partners and end-users of lithium carbonate for testing of our product samples
Pursuing parties interested in marketing or obtaining a future supply of sodium hydroxide; Century Lithium’s process will produce a surplus of sodium hydroxide, the sales of which are estimated to result in a low net production cost for lithium carbonate
Compiling Project information to support applications for government funding opportunities available through the U.S. Department of Energy and U.S. Department of Defense
ABOUT CENTURY LITHIUM CORP.
Century Lithium Corp. is an advanced stage lithium company, focused on developing its wholly owned Angel Island project in Esmeralda County, Nevada, which hosts one of the largest sedimentary lithium deposits in the United States. The Company has utilized its patent-pending process for chloride leaching combined with Direct Lithium Extraction to make battery quality lithium carbonate samples from Angel Island lithium-bearing claystone on-site at its Lithium Extraction Facility in Amargosa Valley, Nevada.
Angel Island is one of the few advanced lithium projects in development in the United States to provide an end-to-end process to produce battery grade lithium carbonate for the growing electric vehicle and battery storage market. Angel Island is currently in the permitting stage for a three-phase feasibility-level production plan expected to yield an average of 34,000 tonnes per year of battery grade lithium carbonate over a 40-year mine-life.
Century Lithium trades on both the TSX Venture Exchange under the symbol “LCE” and the OTCQX under the symbol “CYDVF”; and on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange under the symbol “C1Z”. To learn more, please visit centurylithium.com.
ON BEHALF OF CENTURY LITHIUM CORP. WILLIAM WILLOUGHBY, PhD., PE President & Chief Executive Officer
NEITHER THE TSX VENTURE EXCHANGE NOR ITS REGULATION SERVICES PROVIDER ACCEPTS RESPONSIBILITY FOR THE ADEQUACY OR ACCURACY OF THE CONTENT OF THIS NEWS RELEASE.
This release contains certain forward-looking statements within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities legislation. In certain cases, forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of words such as “plans”, “expects” or “does not anticipate”, or “believes”, or variations of such words and phrases or statements that certain actions, events or results “may”, “could”, “would”, “might” or “will be taken”, “occur” or “be achieved” and similar expressions suggesting future outcomes or statements regarding an outlook.
Forward-looking statements relate to any matters that are not historical facts and statements of our beliefs, intentions and expectations about developments, results and events which will or may occur in the future, without limitation, statements with respect to the potential development and value of the Project and benefits associated therewith, statements with respect to the expected project economics for the Project, such as estimates of life of mine, lithium prices, production and recoveries, capital and operating costs, IRR, NPV and cash flows, any projections outlined in the Feasibility Study in respect of the Project, the permitting status of the Project and the Company’s future development plans.
These and other forward-looking statements and information are subject to various known and unknown risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond the ability of the Company to control or predict, that may cause their actual results, performance or achievements to be materially different from those expressed or implied thereby, and are developed based on assumptions about such risks, uncertainties and other factors set out herein.These risks include those described under the heading “Risk Factors” in the Company’s most recent annual information form and its other public filings, copies of which can be under the Company’s profile at www.sedarplus.com. The Company expressly disclaims any obligation to update-forward-looking information except as required by applicable law. No forward-looking statement can be guaranteed and actual future results may vary materially. Accordingly, readers are advised not to place reliance on forward-looking statements or information. Furthermore, Mineral Resources that are not Mineral Reserves do not have demonstrated economic viability.
Comstock (NYSE: LODE) innovates technologies that contribute to global decarbonization and circularity by efficiently converting under-utilized natural resources into renewable fuels and electrification products that contribute to balancing global uses and emissions of carbon. The Company intends to achieve exponential growth and extraordinary financial, natural, and social gains by building, owning, and operating a fleet of advanced carbon neutral extraction and refining facilities, by selling an array of complimentary process solutions and related services, and by licensing selected technologies to qualified strategic partners. To learn more, please visit www.comstock.inc.
Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Pending transaction with SBC Commerce. Comstock recently executed an indicative term sheet for $325 million, or $315 million net of transaction fees, in funding through SBC Commerce LLC (SBCC), a U.S. based private equity group. The transaction is contingent on final due diligence and applicable regulatory approvals and is expected to close in tranches over the next several months. When the transaction was announced, it contemplated SBCC taking equity ownership positions in each business unit commensurate with the amount of its investment. Increasingly, it appears that a portion of the transactions could include debt which could have implications for our valuation which is currently based on the terms summarized in the original release.
Third quarter 2024 achievements. Comstock achieved significant milestones during the third quarter, including executing an exclusive license and cooperative research and development agreement with the Department of Energy’s National Renewable Energy Laboratory, executing an international license agreement for three industry scale fuel hubs, recording first revenues from the sale of recycled aluminum and announcing new contracts with new customers for the decommissioning and disposal of solar panels.
Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.
This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
Key Points: – Aperam will acquire Universal Stainless for $45.00 per share in cash. – The deal offers a 19% premium to the 3-month average stock price. – Universal will maintain its U.S. identity and operations post-acquisition.
Universal Stainless & Alloy Products, Inc. (Nasdaq: USAP) has announced a definitive agreement to be acquired by Aperam, a global leader in stainless and specialty steel, in an all-cash deal valued at $45.00 per share. This acquisition represents a 19% premium to the company’s three-month volume-weighted average stock price, marking a significant milestone for Universal. The total value of the deal is expected to provide liquidity to shareholders while integrating Universal into Aperam’s global footprint.
The $45.00 per share cash offer reflects a valuation of 10.6x Universal’s trailing 12-month Adjusted EBITDA as of June 30, 2024. Upon completion, Universal will become a wholly-owned subsidiary of Aperam, furthering Aperam’s expansion into the U.S. market by providing its first domestic manufacturing presence. Universal will continue to operate under its existing name and maintain its headquarters in Bridgeville, PA, ensuring a seamless transition for employees and customers.
Christopher M. Zimmer, President and CEO of Universal, expressed optimism about the acquisition: “This is an exciting opportunity to become part of a respected leader with complementary capabilities. It’s a significant step forward that will accelerate our growth and offer tangible benefits to our stakeholders, including our stockholders, employees, and customers.”
Aperam sees this acquisition as a strategic move to strengthen its position in the stainless and specialty steel sector, particularly in aerospace and industrial applications. Timoteo Di Maulo, CEO of Aperam, stated, “Universal’s capabilities and vision align with our strategy for sustainable growth and innovation. This acquisition enhances our ability to provide superior solutions to high-quality, sustainable sectors.”
The deal has been unanimously approved by the boards of both companies and is expected to close in the first quarter of 2025, pending regulatory approvals and shareholder consent. Following the close, Universal’s shares will cease trading on the Nasdaq stock exchange, and the company will continue to operate as Universal Stainless under the umbrella of Aperam.
For investors, this acquisition provides liquidity and a premium return on their investments, while Universal employees can expect to maintain their roles, with extended access to resources and innovations from Aperam’s global research centers. Customers will benefit from increased product offerings and improved manufacturing capabilities, ensuring that the combined entity continues to lead in the specialty steel market.
ARLP is a diversified natural resource company that generates operating and royalty income from coal produced by its mining complexes and royalty income from mineral interests it owns in strategic oil & gas producing regions in the United States, primarily the Permian, Anadarko and Williston basins. ARLP currently produces coal from seven mining complexes its subsidiaries operate in Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Maryland and West Virginia. ARLP also operates a coal loading terminal on the Ohio River at Mount Vernon, Indiana. ARLP markets its coal production to major domestic and international utilities and industrial users and is currently the second largest coal producer in the eastern United States. In addition, ARLP is positioning itself as an energy provider for the future by leveraging its core technology and operating competencies to make strategic investments in the fast growing energy and infrastructure transition.
Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Crude oil and natural gas prices. Because ARLP has hedge-free exposure to commodity prices within its oil and gas royalty business, we revised our model to reflect updated commodity prices. We have revised our 2024 average crude oil and natural gas price estimates to $75.97 per barrel and $2.37 per Mcf, respectively, from $77.66 and $2.32. Our average 2025 crude oil and natural gas price estimates were lowered to $68.41 per barrel and $3.17 per Mcf from $71.39 and $3.22.
Updating estimates. We have trimmed our 2024 EBITDA and EPS estimates to $813.6 million and $3.60, respectively, from $816.1 million and $3.61. Our 2025 EBITDA and EPS estimates were lowered to $835.2 million and $3.43, respectively, from $841.0 million and $3.47. Beyond hedge-free exposure to crude oil and natural gas, ARLP’s ownership of bitcoin may also influence results. As of June 30, Alliance owned 452 bitcoins. On June 30, the price of a bitcoin closed at $62,678.29 compared to $63,329.50 on September 30. The bitcoin price closed at $67,640.84 on October 16. While there is a futures market, we generally do not try to predict the price of bitcoin or how many coins the partnership may sell during any given quarter.
Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.
This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
Key Points: – Oil futures dropped over 5% as fears of Israeli attacks on Iran’s oil facilities eased. – Weak demand in China and OPEC’s downward revision of oil forecasts are adding pressure on crude prices. – The International Energy Agency (IEA) signals a surplus in global oil supply, further dampening the market.
Oil prices fell sharply on Tuesday, dropping more than 5%, as geopolitical concerns surrounding Israel and Iran’s oil industry began to ease. Initially, fears of potential supply disruptions spiked oil prices after Iran launched a missile attack on Israel earlier this month, but the market has now calmed as Israel is not expected to strike Iran’s oil infrastructure.
At the same time, the International Energy Agency (IEA) has weighed in, signaling that its member nations are prepared to take action if any supply disruption occurs in the Middle East. For now, however, global oil supply remains steady, and with the absence of major disruptions, the market faces a likely surplus in the new year.
As of Tuesday morning, energy prices were reacting to both the geopolitical environment and broader market dynamics:
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) November futures fell by $3.74, or 5.07%, to $70.08 per barrel. Year to date, U.S. crude oil has seen a 2% decline.
Brent crude, the global benchmark, fell by $3.67, or 4.7%, to $73.79 per barrel, continuing its year-to-date drop of about 4%.
Gasoline prices also dipped, with the November contract down 4.47% to $2.014 per gallon, bringing year-to-date losses to nearly 4%.
Natural gas was the exception, seeing a slight rise of 1.36% to $2.528 per thousand cubic feet.
The significant drop in crude prices reflects more than just geopolitics. The oil market has been facing weakening demand, particularly from China, and ongoing concerns about a global economic slowdown. OPEC’s recent decision to cut its 2024 oil demand forecast for the third consecutive month has further contributed to the pressure on oil prices.
China’s oil consumption has been particularly weak in recent months, with the IEA reporting that Chinese demand dropped by 500,000 barrels per day (bpd) in August. This marked the fourth consecutive monthly decline, adding to the overall bearish sentiment surrounding global oil demand.
The broader outlook for 2024 and 2025 also suggests slower demand growth compared to the post-pandemic recovery. The IEA projects global oil demand to increase by just under 900,000 bpd in 2024 and 1 million bpd in 2025, which is a noticeable drop from the 2 million bpd growth seen in the previous years.
At the same time, crude production in the Americas, particularly the U.S., is on track to grow. According to the IEA, American-led production will increase by 1.5 million bpd this year and next, further contributing to the global supply glut.
For the third consecutive month, OPEC has revised its oil demand forecast downward, reflecting concerns about slower economic growth and subdued consumption in major markets like China. The cuts come as the cartel faces pressure to balance supply with softer global demand.
As a result of these factors, analysts now expect the oil market to shift its focus away from geopolitical fears and towards demand weakness, which could define the market’s trajectory in the months ahead. While geopolitical events may continue to inject short-term volatility, the more significant concern remains the fundamental imbalance between supply and demand.
