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Energy Industry Report – Why Domestic Producers Cannot Offset OPEC Production Cuts

Posted on by cpatches

Tuesday, April 04, 2023

Michael Heim, CFA, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the bottom of the report for important disclosures

OPEC cut boosts oil prices and energy stocks, offsetting last quarter’s underperformance in one day. OPEC announced a 1 million bbls./day voluntary production cut causing oil prices to rise 6.3% to a level near $80/bbl. and the XLE Energy Index to rise 4.5% the day after the announcement. 

If domestic producers had the ability to expand production, they would have already. In the past, domestic production has risen in response to higher oil prices. In recent years, however, rig count has not increase as much as one would expect given the rise in oil prices. We believe the low rig count reflects a decrease in the number of economically feasible drilling locations. We would note that producers are generally able to produce oil at a cost of $30-$40/bbl. well below oil prices. If producers had the ability to ramp up drilling, we would have thought they would have done so even at $60/bbl. prices.

Horizontal drilling and fracking have increased production decline curves putting companies on a treadmill just to maintain production. More than half of domestic production comes from wells drilled in the last 24 months.  The implication is that domestic oil producers are hard pressed to drill enough wells to offset production declines, let alone increase overall production to counter production declines by OPEC. As a result, we believe oil prices could remain high for many years.

Small producers and companies with a large drilling portfolio are best positioned. Larger producers continue to be constrained from expanding oil operations given political and shareholder pressures to move away from carbon-based energy. Smaller producers face less pressure. Companies with ample acreage and drilling prospects are best positioned to take advantage of a prolonged oil price upcycle. 

Look for an increased focus on returning capital to shareholders. After several years of high energy prices, many companies have paid down debt and invested in infrastructure. With drilling prospects limited, we believe management will increasing look to raise dividends or repurchase shares.

Energy Stocks

Energy stocks, as measured by the XLE Energy Index, declined 5.3% in the 2023 first quarter. The decline was a sharp contrast to the 7.0% increase in the S&P 500 Index. The decline comes after several years of strong performances for energy stocks and reflects a 5.7% decrease in oil prices and a 50.5% decrease in natural gas prices. Worthy of note, as we are writing this report on April 3rd, oil prices have risen 6.3% and the XLE Energy Index is up 4.5% in response to an announcement by OPEC+ to reduce production by more than 1 million barrels per day. Following the announcement, oil prices settled above $80/bbl. almost reaching the price at the end of 2022.

Figure #1

If the cuts are adhered to, it will represent a significant increase in the excess production capacity of OPEC+. The surplus has grown steadily since the pandemic surpassing 5 million bbls./day according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration. That surplus had begun to decrease as the pandemic eased and global oil demand returned to normal levels. A reduction in production levels would return surplus capacity to pandemic levels.

Figure #2

With OPEC+ reducing production and oil prices rising, it will be interesting to see if producers in North America will respond by increasing production. In the past, when oil prices rose sharply, producers responded by drilling more wells. The advent of horizontal drilling and fracking over the last 15 years has greatly improved the economics of drilling in the basin by increasing the initial flow rates of oil and gas wells. As the chart below indicates, almost all wells drilled in North America are horizontal wells.

Figure #3

Unfortunately, one of the impacts of increased oil and gas flow is that production will decline at a higher rate after the initial production. That means more and more wells need to be drilled just to offset the drop in production. The chart below, while somewhat dated, shows Permian Basin oil production separated by the year wells came on-line. The chart shows that in 2022, more than half of all oil production came from wells drilled in 2021 or 2022. The implication is that domestic oil producers are hard pressed to drill enough wells to offset production declines, let alone increase overall production to counter production declines by OPEC+.

Figure #4

Source: Novi Labs

Without a rise in domestic production, it is likely that oil prices will remain at elevated levels. This is good news for producers who can produce oil at $30-$40 per barrel. The high netbacks (prices less royalties and operating costs) mean increased profits and cash flow for energy companies. And, if an energy company is fortunate enough to have a large acreage position with an abundance of potential drilling sites, growth rates will accelerate.

Natural Gas Prices

The outlook for natural gas, however, is not as rosy. Natural gas prices fell sharply this winter in response to warm weather and weak economic conditions.

Figure #5

Source: Natural Gas Intelligence

Storage levels, which were running below historical levels, are now at five-year highs for this time of year. With the winter heating season now coming to an end, storage levels are unlikely to reverse. As a result, natural gas prices could remain depressed until the fall heating season.

Figure #6

Outlook

A dismal quarter for the energy sector got a shot in the arm on the first day of the new quarter with a surprise OPEC+ production cut announcement. The announcement was welcomed news for producers that were already seeing profitable production margins and high returns on drilling investments. Cash flow levels are high and companies have been expanding operations and returning capital to shareholders. As investment opportunities become sparse and debt levels become low (or completely eliminated), we believe management will increase the focus on raising dividend levels and repurchasing shares. Share repurchases should support energy stock prices increases and an increased dividend yield should protect against any potential share price weakness.

We believe the case for smaller cap energy stocks is especially strong. Major oil companies are facing increasing pressure to focus on renewable energy instead of producing more carbon-based fuel. Smaller cap energy companies are less tethered and often able to acquire and exploit properties being ignored by the majors. If our belief that a world-wide recession is already factored into energy prices is correct, small cap energy companies will be in the best position to take advantage of any energy price increase resulting from OPEC+ production cuts.

GENERAL DISCLAIMERS

All statements or opinions contained herein that include the words “we”, “us”, or “our” are solely the responsibility of Noble Capital Markets, Inc.(“Noble”) and do not necessarily reflect statements or opinions expressed by any person or party affiliated with the company mentioned in this report. Any opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice. All information provided herein is based on public and non-public information believed to be accurate and reliable, but is not necessarily complete and cannot be guaranteed. No judgment is hereby expressed or should be implied as to the suitability of any security described herein for any specific investor or any specific investment portfolio. The decision to undertake any investment regarding the security mentioned herein should be made by each reader of this publication based on its own appraisal of the implications and risks of such decision.

This publication is intended for information purposes only and shall not constitute an offer to buy/sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy/sell any security mentioned in this report, nor shall there be any sale of the security herein in any state or domicile in which said offer, solicitation or sale would be unlawful prior to registration or qualification under the securities laws of any such state or domicile. This publication and all information, comments, statements or opinions contained or expressed herein are applicable only as of the date of this publication and subject to change without prior notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Noble accepts no liability for loss arising from the use of the material in this report, except that this exclusion of liability does not apply to the extent that such liability arises under specific statutes or regulations applicable to Noble. This report is not to be relied upon as a substitute for the exercising of independent judgement. Noble may have published, and may in the future publish, other research reports that are inconsistent with, and reach different conclusions from, the information provided in this report. Noble is under no obligation to bring to the attention of any recipient of this report, any past or future reports. Investors should only consider this report as single factor in making an investment decision.

IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES

This publication is confidential for the information of the addressee only and may not be reproduced in whole or in part, copies circulated, or discussed to another party, without the written consent of Noble Capital Markets, Inc. (“Noble”). Noble seeks to update its research as appropriate, but may be unable to do so based upon various regulatory constraints. Research reports are not published at regular intervals; publication times and dates are based upon the analyst’s judgement. Noble professionals including traders, salespeople and investment bankers may provide written or oral market commentary, or discuss trading strategies to Noble clients and the Noble proprietary trading desk that reflect opinions that are contrary to the opinions expressed in this research report.
The majority of companies that Noble follows are emerging growth companies. Securities in these companies involve a higher degree of risk and more volatility than the securities of more established companies. The securities discussed in Noble research reports may not be suitable for some investors and as such, investors must take extra care and make their own determination of the appropriateness of an investment based upon risk tolerance, investment objectives and financial status.

Company Specific Disclosures

The following disclosures relate to relationships between Noble and the company (the “Company”) covered by the Noble Research Division and referred to in this research report.
Noble is not a market maker in any of the companies mentioned in this report. Noble intends to seek compensation for investment banking services and non-investment banking services (securities and non-securities related) with any or all of the companies mentioned in this report within the next 3 months

ANALYST CREDENTIALS, PROFESSIONAL DESIGNATIONS, AND EXPERIENCE

Senior Equity Analyst focusing on Basic Materials & Mining. 20 years of experience in equity research. BA in Business Administration from Westminster College. MBA with a Finance concentration from the University of Missouri. MA in International Affairs from Washington University in St. Louis.
Named WSJ ‘Best on the Street’ Analyst and Forbes/StarMine’s “Best Brokerage Analyst.”
FINRA licenses 7, 24, 63, 87

WARNING

This report is intended to provide general securities advice, and does not purport to make any recommendation that any securities transaction is appropriate for any recipient particular investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs. Prior to making any investment decision, recipients should assess, or seek advice from their advisors, on whether any relevant part of this report is appropriate to their individual circumstances. If a recipient was referred to Noble Capital Markets, Inc. by an investment advisor, that advisor may receive a benefit in respect of
transactions effected on the recipients behalf, details of which will be available on request in regard to a transaction that involves a personalized securities recommendation. Additional risks associated with the security mentioned in this report that might impede achievement of the target can be found in its initial report issued by Noble Capital Markets, Inc.. This report may not be reproduced, distributed or published for any purpose unless authorized by Noble Capital Markets, Inc..

RESEARCH ANALYST CERTIFICATION

Independence Of View
All views expressed in this report accurately reflect my personal views about the subject securities or issuers.

Receipt of Compensation
No part of my compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to any specific recommendations or views expressed in the public
appearance and/or research report.

Ownership and Material Conflicts of Interest
Neither I nor anybody in my household has a financial interest in the securities of the subject company or any other company mentioned in this report.

Strange Price Movement for AMC and APE – Here’s Why

Posted on by phoffman@channelchek.com
Image: AMC Theatre W. Palm Beach, Fl

AMC and APE Now Have a Most Unusual Combined Stock Chart

AMC Entertainment (AMC – common) took a big hit on Tuesday (April 4), shaving over 20% off its per-share price. At the same time its preferred shares (APE) climbed over 10% as the so-called meme-stock movie-theater company announced it reached a settlement with shareholders over its planned stock conversion. The settlement with the group of mostly institutional shareholders allows management to complete its plan to convert its AMC preferred equity, or APE, units into shares of AMC common stock.

Where are the Arbitrageurs?

After the announcement that the case had been settled, AMC stock dropped, and simultaneously APE units rose to. Arbitrage opportunities may still exist for those that expect the price of the two share types to converge as the conversion moves even closer to reality with final approval still needed.

APE units began trading in August 2022 after management announced a unique dividend that paid each AMC shareholder one APE unit for every common share they owned. The APE shares eventually experienced the market pricing them at a steep discount to the AMC common shares.

The Complaint

At issue in the litigation was the claim that shares would be diluted without offsetting compensation to existing shareholders. It was initiated by a group of mostly large shareholders (think pension funds). The terms of the settlement, announced in a filing by AMC late Monday, will allow common stockholders to receive one share for every 7.5 shares held after the reverse stock split. The payment would represent around 4.4% of AMC’s stock, or 6.9 million shares.

Source: Koyfin

“The settlement provides investors with additional shares in satisfaction of their voting claims, while allowing the company to move forward with its plan to pay down its debt,” plaintiff lawyers from Bernstein Litowitz Berger & Grossmann, Grant & Eisenhofer, Fields Kupka & Shukurov, and Saxena White said in a joint statement.

Management’s Goal

As of the end of 2022, the company owed $4.9 billion in debt. The settlement may allow the company to raise in excess of this amount which could go a long way in helping management reach its goal of ridding itself of debt.

A Word on Price Discrepancy

Arbitrage can occur when the price of preferred units is lower than the price of common shares, even though the ownership level is substantially similar, or if the dividend rate on the preferred units is higher. In these scenarios, an investor can buy the preferred units and sell the common shares short (i.e., borrow the shares and sell them with the hope of buying them back at a lower price in the future), thus profiting from the difference in prices.

As the price movement in the chart above shows, related arb. opportunity pre-announcement are likely to have paid well.

Arbitrage can also occur when the price of common shares is lower than the price of preferred units, even though the shares should trade in parity or the dividend rate on the preferred units is lower. In this scenario, an investor can buy the common shares, sell the preferred units short, and receive a higher return on investment by benefiting from the price difference.

There is not yet “final approval” on AMC’s next step. However, the shares and reverse split are shareholder approved and the settlement clears the way for the final board decision.

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

Can the Factors Pushing Gold Higher Continue?

Posted on by phoffman@channelchek.com
Image Credit: Michael Steinberg (Pexels)

Are Safe Haven Investments Just Beginning Their Rise?

Gold is continuing to move up. Fueled by global tensions, rising prices, a weakening dollar, and new wariness of the banking system, gold seems to have regained its place as a safe haven portfolio allocation. Over the past five calendar days, the precious metal has gained $84 per ounce or 4.3%. In recent days price movement has been helped by lower yields on U.S. Treasuries and OPEC+ oil production cuts which can be expected to increase inflationary pressures as the cost of transportation and production rises for the majority of new goods.

Physical gold, priced in $USD, as seen on the chart below, is up 10.62% on the year. But that does little to tell the recent story. The investments in the yellow metal had gone negative on the year until two days before the Silicon Valley Bank’s problems became widely known in early March. This means much of the current increase on the year has occurred in under a month’s time. And the mindset that is driving the rise seems to be lingering.

Technicians point out that the $2020 level was an area of resistance that traders easily pushed through on Tuesday. Are there also fundamental reasons for it to continue its upward climb?

Global Tensions

Global tensions and geopolitical events can have a significant impact on the price of gold. Uncertainty surrounding the war in Europe, U.S. enemies forming closer alliances with each other, and a former U.S. President being indicted are providing heightened tensions. Gold has remained a safe-haven asset historically because investors turn to in times of political or economic uncertainty – it is perceived to be a store of value that is less vulnerable to fluctuations in currency values and stock markets.

We are in times of political and economic certainty now, this can continue to increase the demand for gold and drive up its price.

Inflation

Gold is often considered a hedge against inflation, so as inflation rises, the price of gold tends to increase. Recent reports in the U.S. have shown inflation, especially core inflation (net of food and energy price changes), has resumed an upward move. The spike in oil stemming from recently announced production cuts should increase both core and overall inflationary pressures.

When inflation is running high, the value of the U.S. dollar erodes. Investors gravitate to alternative stores of wealth that can maintain their purchasing power. Gold is seen as a safe-haven asset that can protect against inflation and currency devaluation. As a result, investors tend to buy more gold, driving up its price.

Watch the replay of the Channelchek Takeaway of the PDAC mining convention

Weaker Dollar

As mentioned above, a weakening U.S. dollar can have a significant impact on the price of gold expressed in U.S. dollars. Precious metals are typically priced in terms of U.S. dollars globally. When inflation runs higher than safe-haven U.S. Treasury yields than assets move toward alternatives like gold, real estate, or cryptocurrencies.

As a result, when the U.S. dollar weakens, the demand for gold may increase, driving up its price.

Systemic Risk

The risk of bank failures can impact gold prices in several ways. In times of perceived financial instability and/or economic uncertainty, investors’ confidence in banks and other financial institutions weakens. This often leads to a shift to safe-haven assets like gold.

In addition, if there is a continued risk of bank failures. If it happens, central banks could take steps to stabilize the financial system by injecting liquidity into the markets and lowering interest rates. These actions weaken currency which increases inflation. Inflation expectations, as mentioned earlier,  support higher gold prices.

Source: Koyfin

Gaining Exposure

The chart shows the correlation between gold, and mining stocks since the beginning of the year. As a reference, the performance of the VanEck gold mining ETF (GDX), and the junior gold mining ETF (GDXJ) are charted against the S&P 500 (SPY),  and an S&P mining index (XME). The XME is designed to track changes across a broad market-cap spectrum of metals and mining segments in the U.S.

The mining stocks have been moving in the same direction and pivoting at the same time as gold (XAUUSD). The difference is the moves have been more pronounced (up and down) for the mining stocks.

Investors expecting gold to continue to increase and considering increasing their exposure to safe-haven precious metals, ought to do their due diligence and determine if gold mining stocks are a better fit for what they are trying to accomplish.

In his Metals & Mining First Quarter 2023 Review and Outlook (April 3, 2023) Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Natural Resources, at Noble Capital Markets provides various potential scenarios to his outlook for gold and other metals. The report (available at this link) is a good place to start to weigh this industry expert’s considerations with your own.

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

Sources

https://www.channelchek.com/news-channel/metals-mining-first-quarter-2023-review-and-outlook

https://www.fxempire.com/forecasts/article/gold-price-forecast-gold-markets-continue-to-pressure-the-upside-2-1328755

https://www.kitco.com/news/2023-04-03/OPEC-oil-cuts-won-t-drive-inflation-high-enough-to-stop-gold-s-run-above-2-000.html

https://www.channelchek.com/videos/noble-analyst-takeaways-channelchek-takeaway-series-pdac-convention-2

Garibaldi Resources Corp. (GGIFF) – Right Jurisdiction, Right Metals, Right Time

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, April 03, 2023

Garibaldi Resources Corp. is an active Canadian-based junior exploration company focused on creating shareholder value through discoveries and strategic development of its assets in some of the most prolific mining regions in British Columbia and Mexico.

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

A look back at 2022. The 2022 drill program at Garibaldi’s 100% owned E&L nickel-copper-cobalt massive sulphide project tested targets from the 2021 Geotech deep penetrating Z-Axis Tipper Electromagnetic (ZTEM) survey. Of four holes drilled, two were successful, including Hole EL-22-97b, a deep hole which intersected two intervals of E&L gabbro more than 200 meters down plunge from previous drilling and intersected nickel-bearing disseminated and semi-massive sulphide mineralization. Hole EL-22-97b targeted the down plunge extension of the eastern zone of the E&L intrusion, coincident with a large-scale low resistivity/elevated conductivity ZTEM anomaly identified in 2021. The two successful drill holes are lined with polyvinyl chloride (PVC) and Garibaldi intends to conduct a geophysical borehole electromagnetic (BHEM) survey to refine holes to be drilled in 2023.

Upcoming drill program. Drilling in 2023 will test for mineralization associated with broad ZTEM low-resistivity anomalies identified by the property wide Geotech ZTEM survey. The 2023 drill program will likely commence in June and entail three to four holes at the E&L target, two holes of approximately 500 meters depth at the B1 target, and two holes at the Palm Springs property. Drilling at E&L will focus on areas within the ZTEM anomaly tested in 2022.


Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Hemisphere Energy Corporation (HMENF) – Initiating with an Outperform Rating and $2.25 Price Target

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, April 03, 2023

Michael Heim, CFA, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

We believe the market is undervaluing Hemisphere Energy’s asset base cash flow generation. We believe the stock price will move towards our price target as the company generates operating cash flow that is used to expand operations and return capital to shareholders. We view the investment as fairly low risk because it is expanding operations is an area that is well known and already providing high returns on investment.

Strong production growth. Production increased 55% in 2022 and management expects production to grow another 10-15% in 2023 in response to the addition of new wells. Unless there is a dramatic drop in oil prices, we believe the company will be able to maintain a double-digit production growth rate for the foreseeable future. Longer-term growth may be dependent upon completing a step-out acquisition to increase the company’s drilling locations.


Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Bassett Furniture (BSET) – Environment More Challenging Than Expected

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, April 03, 2023

Bassett Furniture Industries, Incorporated manufactures, markets, and retails home furnishings in the United States. The company operates in three segments: Wholesale, Retail, and Logistical Services. It is involved in the design, manufacture, sourcing, sale, and distribution of furniture products to a network of company-owned and licensee-owned Bassett Home Furnishings (BHF) retail stores, as well as independent furniture retailers; and wood and upholstery operations. As of September 16, 2017, the company operated a network of 91 company-and licensee-owned stores. It also provides shipping, delivery, and warehousing services to customers in the furniture industry. In addition, the company owns and leases retail store properties. It also distributes its products through other multi-line furniture stores, Bassett galleries or design centers, specialty stores, and mass merchants. Bassett Furniture Industries was founded in 1902 and is based in Bassett, Virginia.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director – Generalist Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

1Q23 Results. Bassett missed on both our top and bottom line projections as the hangover from 2022 continued. The Company reported revenue of $107.7 million, short of our $111 million estimate, and down 8.6% y-o-y. Wholesale revenue declined 16%, while Retail revenue rose 1.3%. Operating income was $2.7 million, down from $6.5 million in 1Q22. Bassett reported net income of $1.4 million, or $0.16 per share, compared to net income from continuing operations of $4.3 million, or $0.44 per share, in the prior year. We had forecast EPS of $0.30.

Operating Environment. The post-COVID operating environment remains challenging. While backlog levels have returned to more normalized levels, the Company continues to work through higher cost inventory as well as a shift in consumer dollars away from furniture. Wholesale orders fell 18% y-o-y in 1Q23, while retail written orders were off 16% y-o-y.


Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Metals & Mining First Quarter 2023 Review and Outlook

Posted on by cpatches

Monday, April 3, 2023

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the bottom of the report for important disclosures

Gold shined during the first quarter. During the first quarter, mining companies (as measured by the XME) appreciated 6.7% compared to a gain of 7.0% for the S&P 500 index. The VanEck Vectors Gold Miners (GDX) and Junior Gold Miners (GDXJ) ETFs were up 12.9% and 10.8%, respectively. Gold, silver, and copper futures prices gained 7.8%, 0.5%, and 7.4%, respectively, while lead and zinc declined 3.6% and 4.3%, respectively. Despite continuing rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, turmoil in the banking sector, along with the market’s speculation of its potential impact on Federal Reserve monetary policy, enhanced gold’s appeal. Weakness in base metals, with the exception of copper, may be attributed to slowing economic growth and the potential for an economic downturn. In 2022, the price of copper declined 13.2% and so it was likely due for a rebound.

Further upside to the gold price? Assuming worries about the U.S. banking system abate, we think gold could give up some of its recent gains although we remain constructive on precious metals. After peaking in early March, the yield on the 10-year treasury note and the U.S. Dollar Index reversed course with the yield on the treasury ending at 3.49% compared to 3.88% at the end of 2022 and the U.S. dollar Index down 1% during the quarter. Most of this was the result of the recent banking turmoil. While we continue to believe interest rates could peak by mid-year, the big question is how long before they begin easing rates. This will obviously depend on economic conditions, the inflation rate, and employment.

Outlook for industrial metals. While the long-term investment case for owning industrial metals mining companies remains favorable, it may be too early to offer a bullish call due to near-term concerns about economic growth in the U.S. and abroad. During the recent Prospectors & Developers Association of Canada (PDAC) convention, key themes in the keynote presentations were electrification and growing demand for critical minerals and battery metals, including cobalt, copper, lithium, magnesium, and nickel, critical to securing a decarbonized future with broad applications in electric vehicles, charging infrastructure, solar power, and wind turbines.

Conclusion. We think precious metals mining companies, notably juniors, continue to offer attractive return potential. While the near-term outlook for industrial metals could be negatively impacted by near-term macroeconomic factors, an eventual return to economic growth could result in strong prices due to potential supply and demand imbalances.

GENERAL DISCLAIMERS

All statements or opinions contained herein that include the words “we”, “us”, or “our” are solely the responsibility of Noble Capital Markets, Inc.(“Noble”) and do not necessarily reflect statements or opinions expressed by any person or party affiliated with the company mentioned in this report. Any opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice. All information provided herein is based on public and non-public information believed to be accurate and reliable, but is not necessarily complete and cannot be guaranteed. No judgment is hereby expressed or should be implied as to the suitability of any security described herein for any specific investor or any specific investment portfolio. The decision to undertake any investment regarding the security mentioned herein should be made by each reader of this publication based on its own appraisal of the implications and risks of such decision.

This publication is intended for information purposes only and shall not constitute an offer to buy/sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy/sell any security mentioned in this report, nor shall there be any sale of the security herein in any state or domicile in which said offer, solicitation or sale would be unlawful prior to registration or qualification under the securities laws of any such state or domicile. This publication and all information, comments, statements or opinions contained or expressed herein are applicable only as of the date of this publication and subject to change without prior notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Noble accepts no liability for loss arising from the use of the material in this report, except that this exclusion of liability does not apply to the extent that such liability arises under specific statutes or regulations applicable to Noble. This report is not to be relied upon as a substitute for the exercising of independent judgement. Noble may have published, and may in the future publish, other research reports that are inconsistent with, and reach different conclusions from, the information provided in this report. Noble is under no obligation to bring to the attention of any recipient of this report, any past or future reports. Investors should only consider this report as single factor in making an investment decision.

IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES

This publication is confidential for the information of the addressee only and may not be reproduced in whole or in part, copies circulated, or discussed to another party, without the written consent of Noble Capital Markets, Inc. (“Noble”). Noble seeks to update its research as appropriate, but may be unable to do so based upon various regulatory constraints. Research reports are not published at regular intervals; publication times and dates are based upon the analyst’s judgement. Noble professionals including traders, salespeople and investment bankers may provide written or oral market commentary, or discuss trading strategies to Noble clients and the Noble proprietary trading desk that reflect opinions that are contrary to the opinions expressed in this research report.
The majority of companies that Noble follows are emerging growth companies. Securities in these companies involve a higher degree of risk and more volatility than the securities of more established companies. The securities discussed in Noble research reports may not be suitable for some investors and as such, investors must take extra care and make their own determination of the appropriateness of an investment based upon risk tolerance, investment objectives and financial status.

Company Specific Disclosures

The following disclosures relate to relationships between Noble and the company (the “Company”) covered by the Noble Research Division and referred to in this research report.
Noble is not a market maker in any of the companies mentioned in this report. Noble intends to seek compensation for investment banking services and non-investment banking services (securities and non-securities related) with any or all of the companies mentioned in this report within the next 3 months

ANALYST CREDENTIALS, PROFESSIONAL DESIGNATIONS, AND EXPERIENCE

Senior Equity Analyst focusing on Basic Materials & Mining. 20 years of experience in equity research. BA in Business Administration from Westminster College. MBA with a Finance concentration from the University of Missouri. MA in International Affairs from Washington University in St. Louis.
Named WSJ ‘Best on the Street’ Analyst and Forbes/StarMine’s “Best Brokerage Analyst.”
FINRA licenses 7, 24, 63, 87

WARNING

This report is intended to provide general securities advice, and does not purport to make any recommendation that any securities transaction is appropriate for any recipient particular investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs. Prior to making any investment decision, recipients should assess, or seek advice from their advisors, on whether any relevant part of this report is appropriate to their individual circumstances. If a recipient was referred to Noble Capital Markets, Inc. by an investment advisor, that advisor may receive a benefit in respect of
transactions effected on the recipients behalf, details of which will be available on request in regard to a transaction that involves a personalized securities recommendation. Additional risks associated with the security mentioned in this report that might impede achievement of the target can be found in its initial report issued by Noble Capital Markets, Inc.. This report may not be reproduced, distributed or published for any purpose unless authorized by Noble Capital Markets, Inc..

RESEARCH ANALYST CERTIFICATION

Independence Of View
All views expressed in this report accurately reflect my personal views about the subject securities or issuers.

Receipt of Compensation
No part of my compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to any specific recommendations or views expressed in the public
appearance and/or research report.

Ownership and Material Conflicts of Interest
Neither I nor anybody in my household has a financial interest in the securities of the subject company or any other company mentioned in this report.

New Nanoparticles Can Perform Gene Editing in the Lungs

Posted on by phoffman@channelchek.com

Inhalation of Messenger RNA to Treat Lung Diseases

Anne Trafton | MIT News Office

Engineers at MIT and the University of Massachusetts Medical School have designed a new type of nanoparticle that can be administered to the lungs, where it can deliver messenger RNA encoding useful proteins.

With further development, these particles could offer an inhalable treatment for cystic fibrosis and other diseases of the lung, the researchers say.

“This is the first demonstration of highly efficient delivery of RNA to the lungs in mice. We are hopeful that it can be used to treat or repair a range of genetic diseases, including cystic fibrosis,” says Daniel Anderson, a professor in MIT’s Department of Chemical Engineering and a member of MIT’s Koch Institute for Integrative Cancer Research and Institute for Medical Engineering and Science (IMES).

In a study of mice, Anderson and his colleagues used the particles to deliver mRNA encoding the machinery needed for CRISPR/Cas9 gene editing. That could open the door to designing therapeutic nanoparticles that can snip out and replace disease-causing genes.

The senior authors of the study, which appears today in Nature Biotechnology, are Anderson; Robert Langer, the David H. Koch Institute Professor at MIT; and Wen Xue, an associate professor at the UMass Medical School RNA Therapeutics Institute. Bowen Li, a former MIT postdoc who is now an assistant professor at the University of Toronto; Rajith Singh Manan, an MIT postdoc; and Shun-Qing Liang, a postdoc at UMass Medical School, are paper’s lead authors.

Targeting the Lungs

Messenger RNA holds great potential as a therapeutic for treating a variety of diseases caused by faulty genes. One obstacle to its deployment thus far has been difficulty in delivering it to the right part of the body, without off-target effects. Injected nanoparticles often accumulate in the liver, so several clinical trials evaluating potential mRNA treatments for diseases of the liver are now underway. RNA-based Covid-19 vaccines, which are injected directly into muscle tissue, have also proven effective. In many of those cases, mRNA is encapsulated in a lipid nanoparticle — a fatty sphere that protects mRNA from being broken down prematurely and helps it enter target cells.

Several years ago, Anderson’s lab set out to design particles that would be better able to transfect the epithelial cells that make up most of the lining of the lungs. In 2019, his lab created nanoparticles that could deliver mRNA encoding a bioluminescent protein to lung cells. Those particles were made from polymers instead of lipids, which made them easier to aerosolize for inhalation into the lungs. However, more work is needed on those particles to increase their potency and maximize their usefulness.

In their new study, the researchers set out to develop lipid nanoparticles that could target the lungs. The particles are made up of molecules that contain two parts: a positively charged headgroup and a long lipid tail. The positive charge of the headgroup helps the particles to interact with negatively charged mRNA, and it also help mRNA to escape from the cellular structures that engulf the particles once they enter cells.

The lipid tail structure, meanwhile, helps the particles to pass through the cell membrane. The researchers came up with 10 different chemical structures for the lipid tails, along with 72 different headgroups. By screening different combinations of these structures in mice, the researchers were able to identify those that were most likely to reach the lungs.

Efficient Delivery

In further tests in mice, the researchers showed that they could use the particles to deliver mRNA encoding CRISPR/Cas9 components designed to cut out a stop signal that was genetically encoded into the animals’ lung cells. When that stop signal is removed, a gene for a fluorescent protein turns on. Measuring this fluorescent signal allows the researchers to determine what percentage of the cells successfully expressed the mRNA.

After one dose of mRNA, about 40 percent of lung epithelial cells were transfected, the researchers found. Two doses brought the level to more than 50 percent, and three doses up to 60 percent. The most important targets for treating lung disease are two types of epithelial cells called club cells and ciliated cells, and each of these was transfected at about 15 percent.

“This means that the cells we were able to edit are really the cells of interest for lung disease,” Li says. “This lipid can enable us to deliver mRNA to the lung much more efficiently than any other delivery system that has been reported so far.”

The new particles also break down quickly, allowing them to be cleared from the lung within a few days and reducing the risk of inflammation. The particles could also be delivered multiple times to the same patient if repeat doses are needed. This gives them an advantage over another approach to delivering mRNA, which uses a modified version of harmless adenoviruses. Those viruses are very effective at delivering RNA but can’t be given repeatedly because they induce an immune response in the host.

“This achievement paves the way for promising therapeutic lung gene delivery applications for various lung diseases,” says Dan Peer, director of the Laboratory of Precision NanoMedicine at Tel Aviv University, who was not involved in the study. “This platform holds several advantages compared to conventional vaccines and therapies, including that it’s cell-free, enables rapid manufacturing, and has high versatility and a favorable safety profile.”

To deliver the particles in this study, the researchers used a method called intratracheal instillation, which is often used as a way to model delivery of medication to the lungs. They are now working on making their nanoparticles more stable, so they could be aerosolized and inhaled using a nebulizer.

The researchers also plan to test the particles to deliver mRNA that could correct the genetic mutation found in the gene that causes cystic fibrosis, in a mouse model of the disease. They also hope to develop treatments for other lung diseases, such as idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, as well as mRNA vaccines that could be delivered directly to the lungs.

The research was funded by Translate Bio, the National Institutes of Health, the Leslie Dan Faculty of Pharmacy startup fund, a PRiME Postdoctoral Fellowship from the University of Toronto, the American Cancer Society, and the Cystic Fibrosis Foundation.

Reprinted with permission from MIT News ( http://news.mit.edu/ )

Will the Market Continue to Move Higher in April?

Posted on by phoffman@channelchek.com
Image Credit: U.S. Pacific Fleet (Flickr)

Looking Back on March Markets and Forward to the Second Quarter

Looking in the rearview mirror at March, the month distinguished itself in two ways. First, attention was drawn to the unexpected banking sector as problems with Silicon Valley Bank and Credit Suisse shook investor confidence. The fear of any additional financial sector bank problems bubbling up are at rest for now. Second, after the FOMC meeting concluded with a 25bp tightening on March 22, all major indices breathed a sigh of relief and trended upward in the final week of March. Looking forward into the month of April, the Nasdaq 100 just broke 20% above its October low. This has investors cautiously optimistic that large-cap tech has entered a new bull market, with hopes that the other indices will also continue to climb higher.

Image Credit: Koyfin

Looking Back

Of the 11 S&P market sectors (SPDRs), seven finished March in positive territory, energy was break-even on the month, and three sectors were negative. The best performing three were led by Technology (XLK), up 10.86%, followed by Consumer Discretionary (XLC), which increased 8.65%, and Utilities (XLU), rose 4.91% during March, reacting to lower fuel costs and lower yields.

Energy, which closed out the month essentially where it began, now indicates that April will kick-off with a strong tailwind as OPEC+ decided to cut production, driving oil futures higher.

Of the worst-performing sectors, Financials (XLF) which includes banks, was down 9.55%. Real Estate (XLRE) was lower by 1.48%, and Basic Materials (XLB), reacting to the increased threat of recession as the bank crisis unfolded, was down 1%.

All sectors began moving higher after the March 22nd interest rate decision by the Federal Reserve.

Source: Koyfin

Looking Forward

Moving past the March banking crisis, three key factors are likely to continue to be front and center in April. These are inflation and interest rates. Fuel prices, to a lesser degree, may also become impactful as rising fuel prices could serve to push headline inflation higher.

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) gained 6% year-over year in February (reported in March). The inflation gauge is still coming off a peak of 9.1% in June last year, but still well above the Federal Reserve’s 2% long-term target.

12-Month Percent Change in CPI for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), Not Seasonally Adjusted, Feb. 2022 – Feb. 2023

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

At the Fed meeting, the Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) voted to raise interest rates by one-quarter of a percentage point. This followed a quarter-point move at the prior meeting, following more aggressive hikes going back to March 2022.

Federal Reserve Chairman Powell noted that “financial conditions seem to have tightened” since the banking crisis began. The Fed released fresh long-term economic projections at the meeting, including an outlook that foresees just one more rate hike before the FOMC is seen as pausing any moves on overnight lending rates.

The availability of jobs and very low unemployment rate in the face of massive rate hikes from March 2022-March 2023, makes this tightening cycle unique,and perhaps more difficult for the Fed to manage. That said, recession risks remain elevated as the Fed moves work through the economy over time.

Traders now forecast near a 49% chance that the Fed will raise rates by an additional quarter point at the meeting ended May 3 —and a 51% chance it could do nothing.

Recession Watch

The Fed is reaching a critical point in its battle against inflation, the next couple of months will determine whether or not it can navigate a soft landing for the U.S. economy without tipping it into a recession.

In recent months, the U.S. housing market has softened significantly, and manufacturing activity has dropped. In addition, the U.S. Treasury yield curve has been inverted since mid-2022, something that’s historically been seen as a strong recession indicator.

In fact, the New York Fed’s recession model predicts a 54.5% chance of a U.S. recession sometime in the next 12 months.

So far, the most convincing argument a soft landing may still be possible has been the resilience of the U.S. labor market. The Labor Department reported the U.S. economy added 311,000 jobs in February, widely exceeding economists’ expectations. The unemployment rate rose a bit to 3.6%, but that’s still down from 3.8% a year ago.

Take-Away

The market became fearful early in March as participants reevaluated to determine if the bank failures were isolated cases or part of a broader problem. Once confidence set back in with the feeling the problem was isolated, there were relief rallies that pushed all indices and sectors northward the last third of the month.  

With the Nasdaq 100 having risen 20% from its low last October, there is an expectation that it is in a bull market and hope that it will lead the other market cap sectors to break into bull territory as well.

The next FOMC meeting is scheduled for May 2-3.

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

Sources

https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm

https://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/cpi.pdf

https://www.opec.org/opec_web/en/

https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/capital_markets/ycfaq#/

The Week Ahead – OPEC+, Unemployment, Four-Day Trading Week

Posted on by phoffman@channelchek.com

A New Quarter Begins Following Market Strength

Welcome to a holiday-shortened trading week. Yes the U.S. stock market will be closed on Friday. In terms of economic numbers and reports it should be very quiet as we begin the second quarter of 2023. These “quiet” weeks, when the market is not sure where to focus, have proven themselves to be volatile surprises as focus is on unexpected events instead. Last week the major indices resumed its march higher. All closed in the green for the week. Market participants are looking for follow-through to confirm whether we’ve entered a new bull market.

Monday 4/03

  • 9:45 AM ET, The final Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) for March is expected to come in at 49.3. This would be unchanged from the mid-month flash to indicate a slight economic contraction.
  • 10:00 AM ET, Construction Spending is expected to have experienced a flat month for February as the forecast is expected to show unchanged following January’s 0.1% decline.
  • 10:00 AM ET, The ISM manufacturing index has been below 50, indicating a contraction for the last four months. March’s consensus estimate is 47.5 versus February’s 47.7.

Tuesday 4/04

  • 10:00 AM ET, Factory Orders, a leading indicator, are expected to fall 0.4 percent in February versus January’s 1.6 percent decline. Durable goods orders for February, which have already been released and are one of two major components of this report.
  • 10:00 AM ET, JOLTS (Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey) have been strong at 10.82 million in January. Forecasters see February openings falling to a still high 10.4 million.
  • 10:00 AM ET, Existing Home Sales for February are expected to rise to a 4.17 million annualized rate after January’s lower-than-expected 4.0 million rate.

Wednesday 4/05

  • 10:00 AM ET, the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) is expected to slow after a 55.1 read in February, to a still positive (above 50) 54.4 level in March.

Thursday 4/06

  • 7:30 AM ET, The Challenger Job Cuts Report counts and categorizes announcements of corporate layoffs based on mass layoff data from state Departments of Labor. The prior reading was 77,770.
  • 8:30 AM ET, Jobless Claims for the week ended April 1 week are expected to come in at 201,000 versus 198,000 in the prior week. 
  • 10:00 AM ET, James Bullard, the St. Louis Fed President will be making public comments.

Friday 4/07

*The bond markets and the rest of the banking system follow a different schedule and are open.

  • 8:30 AM ET, Employment, A 240,000 rise is expected for nonfarm payroll growth in March. This compares to 311,000 in February. Average hourly earnings in March are expected to rise 0.3 percent on the month for a year-over-year rate of 4.3 percent; these would compare with 0.2 and 4.6 percent in February. March’s unemployment rate is expected to hold unchanged at 3.6 percent.
  • 2:00 PM ET, The Securities Industry and Financial Markets Industry Association (SIFMA) is recommending an early close for those operating under their purview. The U.S. stock market is closed.

What Else

OPEC+, which comprises the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies led by Russia, is due to hold a virtual meeting of its ministerial monitoring panel, which includes Russia and Saudi Arabia, on Monday. OPEC+ is likely to cut oil output at a meeting scheduled for Monday. Oil has recovered to above $80 a barrel for Brent crude after falling to near $70 on March 20.

Media companies are attracting more interest. Investors in Florida this week with an interest in this sector are welcome to see if there is a seat available to them at one of three different roadshow events with Beasley Broadcast Group. Information is available at this link.

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

Sources

https://us.econoday.com/

https://www.bbc.com/news/business-65157555

Release – QuoteMedia Announces 16% Revenue Growth for 2022

Posted on by aweinsoff@channelchek.com

Research News and Market Data on QMCI

PHOENIX, March 31, 2023 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — QuoteMedia, Inc. (OTCQB: QMCI), a leading provider of market data and financial applications, announced financial results for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2022.

QuoteMedia provides banks, brokerage firms, private equity firms, financial planners and sophisticated investors with a more economical, higher quality alternative source of stock market data and related research information. We compete with several larger legacy organizations and a modest community of other smaller companies. QuoteMedia provides comprehensive market data services, including streaming data feeds, on-demand request-based data (XML/JSON), web content solutions (financial content for website integration) and applications such as Quotestream Professional desktop and mobile.

Highlights for fiscal 2022 include the following:

  • Annual revenue increased to $17,527,605 in 2022 from $15,174,372 in 2021, an increase of $2,353,233 (16%).
  • Net income for 2022 was $444,470 compared to $212,372 in 2021, an improvement in profitability of $232,098.
  • Adjusted EBITDA for 2022 was $2,727,411 compared to $1,649,679 in 2021, an improvement of $1,077,732.

“This was another very successful year for QuoteMedia,” said Robert J. Thompson, Chairman of the Board. “We continued our strong growth across virtually every success metric, including revenue growth, profitability and market share; and we expect to continue on this trajectory through the coming year.

“2022 marked the signing and launch of major multi-year agreements with two of Canada’s largest banking institutions, as well as large-scale agreements with several other multi-national financial firms. We also have many new and exciting opportunities for 2023, as we are currently in negotiations with several large firms. As a result, we expect our revenue growth in fiscal 2023 to match or exceed the annual revenue growth we achieved in 2022; and we expect to significantly improve upon our net income figure as well.

“2022 was also significant because, as a result of the efforts and investments we made to improve our infrastructure, security, and business continuity management, we achieved our SOC2 Type II certification. SOC2 accreditation provides independent assurance that Quotemedia maintains a high level of information security, data integrity and business resiliency. This certification allows QuoteMedia to make even greater gains, as SOC2 accreditation is increasingly becoming an absolute requirement for those providing services to large financial institutions, and we are already experiencing the benefits.

“Our growth in revenue and market share has been fueled by our development of exciting new data applications and products, as well as the expansion of our global market coverage, and this will definitely continue throughout 2023 and beyond. We are looking forward to continued success in the years to come.”

QuoteMedia will host a conference call Monday, April 3, 2023 at 2:00 PM Eastern Time to discuss the 2022 financial results and provide a business update.

Conference Call Details:

Date: April 3, 2023

Time: 2:00 PM Eastern

Dial-in number: 800-245-3047

Conference ID: QUOTEMEDIA

An audio rebroadcast of the call will be available later at: www.quotemedia.com

About QuoteMedia

QuoteMedia is a leading software developer and cloud-based syndicator of financial market information and streaming financial data solutions to media, corporations, online brokerages, and financial services companies. The Company licenses interactive stock research tools such as streaming real-time quotes, market research, news, charting, option chains, filings, corporate financials, insider reports, market indices, portfolio management systems, and data feeds. QuoteMedia provides industry leading market data solutions and financial services for companies such as the Nasdaq Stock Exchange, TMX Group (TSX Stock Exchange), Canadian Securities Exchange (CSE), London Stock Exchange Group, FIS, U.S. Bank, Bank of Montreal (BMO), Broadridge Financial Systems, JPMorgan Chase, Scotiabank, CI Financial, Canaccord Genuity Corp., Hilltop Securities, Avantax, Stockhouse, Zacks Investment Research, General Electric, Boeing, Bombardier, Telus International, Business Wire, PR Newswire, The Goldman Sachs Group, Regal Securities, ChoiceTrade, Cetera Financial Group, Dynamic Trend, Inc., Credential Qtrade Securities, CNW Group, iA Private Wealth, Ally Invest, Inc., Suncor, Leede Jones Gable, Firstrade Securities, Charles Schwab, First Financial, Equisolve, Stock-Trak, Mergent, Cision and others. Quotestream®, QMod™ and Quotestream Connect™ are trademarks of QuoteMedia. For more information, please visit www.quotemedia.com .

Statements about QuoteMedia’s future expectations, including future revenue, earnings, and transactions, as well as all other statements in this press release other than historical facts are “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. QuoteMedia intends that such forward-looking statements be subject to the safe harbors created thereby. These statements involve risks and uncertainties that are identified from time to time in the Company’s SEC reports and filings and are subject to change at any time. QuoteMedia’s actual results and other corporate developments could differ materially from that which has been anticipated in such statements.

Below are the specific forward-looking statements included in this press release:

  • We also have many new and exciting opportunities for 2023, as we are currently in negotiations with several large firms. As a result, we expect our revenue growth in fiscal 2023 to match or exceed the annual revenue growth we achieved in 2022; and we expect to significantly improve upon our net income figure as well.

QuoteMedia Investor Relations

Brendan Hopkins
Email: investors@quotemedia.com
Call: (407) 645-5295

Note 1 on Non-GAAP Financial Measures

We believe that Adjusted EBITDA, as a non-GAAP pro forma financial measure, provides meaningful information to investors in terms of enhancing their understanding of our operating performance and results, as it allows investors to more easily compare our financial performance on a consistent basis compared to the prior year periods. This non-GAAP financial measure also corresponds with the way we expect investment analysts to evaluate and compare our results. Any non-GAAP pro forma financial measures should be considered only as supplements to, and not as substitutes for or in isolation from, or superior to, our other measures of financial information prepared in accordance with GAAP, such as net income attributable to QuoteMedia, Inc.

We define and calculate Adjusted EBITDA as net income attributable to QuoteMedia, Inc., plus: 1) depreciation and amortization, 2) stock compensation expense, 3) interest expense, 4) foreign exchange loss (or minus a foreign exchange gain), and 5) income tax expense. We disclose Adjusted EBITDA because we believe it is a useful metric by which to compare the performance of our business from period to period. We understand that measures similar to Adjusted EBITDA are broadly used by analysts, rating agencies, investors and financial institutions in assessing our performance. Accordingly, we believe that the presentation of Adjusted EBITDA provides useful information to investors. The table below provides a reconciliation of Adjusted EBITDA to net income attributable to QuoteMedia, Inc., the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure.

QuoteMedia, Inc. Adjusted EBITDA Reconciliation to Net Income

Year ended December 31,20222021
Net income$444,470$212,372
Depreciation and amortization2,121,1351,640,245
Stock-based compensation115,62531,876
Interest expense2,8182,641
Foreign exchange loss (gain)40,307(107,382)
Income tax expense3,0563,184
PPP loan forgiveness–(133,257)
Adjusted EBITDA$2,727,411$1,649,679

News Provided by GlobeNewswire via QuoteMedia

Release – Ocugen Chief Scientific Officer to Present At 2023 World Vaccine Congress

Posted on by aweinsoff@channelchek.com

Research News and Market Data on OCGN

March 31, 2023

PDF Version

MALVERN, Pa., March 31, 2023 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Ocugen, Inc. (Ocugen or the Company) (NASDAQ: OCGN), a biotechnology company focused on discovering, developing, and commercializing novel gene and cell therapies, biologics, and vaccines, today announced that the Company’s Chief Scientific Officer, Arun Upadhyay, PhD, will present at the World Vaccine Congress being held April 3 – 6 in Washington D.C.

“Current COVID-19 vaccines are limited by a lack of durability and inability to stop infection and transmission,” said Dr. Upadhyay. “Inhaled vaccines have the potential to generate rapid mucosal immunity in respiratory pathways, limiting infection and transmission. I look forward to discussing Ocugen’s inhaled vaccine technology—to address COVID-19 and flu—during the World Vaccine Congress.”

Ocugen is currently developing a novel mucosal vaccine platform that includes OCU500, a bivalent COVID-19 inhaled vaccine; OCU510, a seasonal quadrivalent flu inhaled vaccine; and OCU520, a combination quadrivalent seasonal flu and bivalent COVID-19 inhaled vaccine. The OCU500 series grants Ocugen a distinct product candidate profile status that could significantly impact major global health obstacles and maximize the Company’s opportunity to serve broader patient markets. For the 2022 to 2023 flu season, in the United States alone, more than 50% of the population above six months of age received a seasonal flu shot, representing a market size of more than 170 million doses.

Details on Dr. Upadhyay’s participation are as follows:

Presentation Title: “A next generation inhalation-based mucosal vaccine for COVID-19 and Flu: Potential approach to reduce infection and transmission”
Date: Wednesday, April 5, 2023
Time: 5:40 p.m. ET
Location: Walter E. Washington Convention Center, Washington D.C. – Level 2, Room 203AB

Roundtable Discussion Title: “Going beyond existing limitations – Why mucosal vaccines are essential for respiratory diseases”
Date: Tuesday, April 4, 2023
Time: 11:40 – 12:20 p.m. ET (rotation 1); 12:30 – 1:10 p.m. ET (rotation 2)
Location: Walter E. Washington Convention Center, Washington D.C. – Room 203B

About Ocugen, Inc.
Ocugen, Inc. is a biotechnology company focused on discovering, developing, and commercializing novel gene and cell therapies, biologics, and vaccines that improve health and offer hope for patients across the globe. We are making an impact on patient’s lives through courageous innovation—forging new scientific paths that harness our unique intellectual and human capital. Our breakthrough modifier gene therapy platform has the potential to treat multiple retinal diseases with a single product, and we are advancing research in infectious diseases to support public health and orthopedic diseases to address unmet medical needs. Discover more at www.ocugen.com and follow us on Twitter and LinkedIn.

Cautionary Note on Forward-Looking Statements
This press release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, which are subject to risks and uncertainties. We may, in some cases, use terms such as “predicts,” “believes,” “potential,” “proposed,” “continue,” “estimates,” “anticipates,” “expects,” “plans,” “intends,” “may,” “could,” “might,” “will,” “should,” or other words that convey uncertainty of future events or outcomes to identify these forward-looking statements. Such statements are subject to numerous important factors, risks, and uncertainties that may cause actual events or results to differ materially from our current expectations. These and other risks and uncertainties are more fully described in our periodic filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), including the risk factors described in the section entitled “Risk Factors” in the quarterly and annual reports that we file with the SEC. Any forward-looking statements that we make in this press release speak only as of the date of this press release. Except as required by law, we assume no obligation to update forward-looking statements contained in this press release whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise, after the date of this press release.

Contact:
Tiffany Hamilton
Head of Communications
IR@ocugen.com

Sierra Metals (SMT:CA) – Gaining Firmer Traction; Challenges Remain

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, March 31, 2023

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Full year financial results. Sierra reported a 2022 adjusted net loss attributable to shareholders of $23.1 million or $(0.14) per share, compared with adjusted earnings of $21.6 million or $0.13 per share in 2021. Adjusted losses per share for the fourth quarter and full year 2022 were less than our estimates of $(0.07) and $(0.17), respectively, due in part to higher fourth quarter revenue and modestly lower cost of sales. Adjusted EBITDA fell 88% to $13.0 million compared to $104.7 million in the prior year. Annual copper equivalent production fell 29% due to lower throughput and grades.

2023 Guidance. Management’s focus has been to stabilize operations following challenges experienced in 2022 and to return to higher production levels on an economically sustainable basis. Sierra forecasts 2023 copper equivalent production in the range of 74.3 million to 83.3 million pounds. As of the end of March, the Bolivar mine is operating at 3,070 tonnes per day and is expected to gradually ramp up to 5,000 tonnes per day by year end. The Yauricocha mine is expected to operate at 2,375 tonnes per day throughout 2023. Management considers the Cusi silver mine to be a non-core asset and it was excluded from guidance.


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