Great Lakes Dredge & Dock (GLDD) – Another $34.8 Million of Awards


Monday, September 18, 2023

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation is the largest provider of dredging services in the United States. In addition, Great Lakes is fully engaged in expanding its core business into the rapidly developing offshore wind energy industry. The Company has a long history of performing significant international projects. The Company employs experienced civil, ocean and mechanical engineering staff in its estimating, production and project management functions. In its over 131-year history, the Company has never failed to complete a marine project. Great Lakes owns and operates the largest and most diverse fleet in the U.S. dredging industry, comprised of approximately 200 specialized vessels. Great Lakes has a disciplined training program for engineers that ensures experienced-based performance as they advance through Company operations. The Company’s Incident-and Injury-Free® (IIF®) safety management program is integrated into all aspects of the Company’s culture. The Company’s commitment to the IIF® culture promotes a work environment where employee safety is paramount.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Additional Work. Over the past week, the Department of Defense announced two additional awards to Great Lakes with a total value of $34.8 million. Recall, the DOD only discloses awards in excess of $7.5 million in its press releases, so the published number likely under-estimates the actual amount of work Great Lakes has been awarded over time.

Award 1. On September 8th, Great Lakes was awarded a $16.2 million firm-fixed-price contract for beach nourishment. Work will be performed in Cape May, New Jersey, with an estimated completion date of March 20, 2024. Fiscal 2023 civil construction funds in the amount of $16.2 million were obligated at the time of the award.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Detroit Rocked as Auto Workers Unite in Strike Against Big 3

The United Auto Workers union made history by simultaneously going on strike against Detroit’s Big 3 automakers – Ford, General Motors and Stellantis. For the first time, UAW is picketing factories across Michigan and Ohio in a dramatic show of force to win contract demands.

On the picket lines are 13,000 auto workers who assemble some of America’s most storied vehicles, including the Ford F-150 pickup, the Jeep Wrangler SUV and the Chevy Silverado truck. Their walkout could reverberate through the economy if dealer inventories dwindle and vehicle production stalls. But UAW contends this risky stand is necessary.

The union is insisting on higher wages after years of concessions, the restoration of pensions and cost-of-living raises to combat high inflation. But the automakers reject these proposals as unaffordable, warning they could force vehicle price increases.

This high-stakes standoff will shape the future of the legendary UAW and the Detroit automakers as they undergo a historic transition from internal combustion engines to electric vehicles. It also tests President Biden’s promise to be the most pro-labor president in history.

Rather than initiate a full-scale walkout, the union has targeted key plants to pressure automakers to raise their offers while preserving UAW’s $825 million strike fund. Top negotiators remain far apart, with the automakers offering 20% raises over 4 years versus the union’s demand of 36%.

On picket lines in Michigan and Ohio, workers want their pay and benefits restored after bailing out the automakers during tough times over the past decade. But executives counter their offers are strong given economic uncertainty.

UAW’s escalation coincides with a new, more aggressive approach under President Shawn Fain. The union aims to regain some of the concessions made during the Great Recession that preserved the automakers but cost workers.

With UAW flexing its muscles more forcefully, Motor City has become ground zero for labor’s resurgence. All eyes are on Detroit as its workers unite to reshape their contract. The outcome will echo through the auto industry and economy at large.

UAW insists the automakers can afford their proposals, arguing labor costs are minimal compared to profits and executive pay. But Ford, GM and Stellantis contend ballooning expenses will destroy their competitiveness against foreign automakers operating U.S. plants.

This dicey labor dispute encapsulates the shifting power dynamics between America’s workers and corporations. Coming out of the pandemic, unions are demanding a greater share of profits across industries.

The auto sector highlights this trend with UAW navigating a precarious situation. It must balance restoring worker pay and benefits while avoiding costs that could jeopardize the automakers’ stability.

UAW’s last major strike against GM lasted over a month in 2019, costing the company billions. With UAW now pressuring all three automakers concurrently, the economic risks are amplified.

Beyond pay, the union aims to secure jobs for members as Ford, GM and Stellantis scale EV production. This includes unionizing joint venture battery plants that represent the auto industry’s future.

UAW vows to hold the picket line for as long as it takes to win an equitable contract. With UAW doubling down on more aggressive collective bargaining, Detroit is at the epicenter of labor’s resurgence.

The outcome of the auto showdown will determine UAW’s direction. It will also impact America’s manufacturing landscape and the Biden administration’s pro-union bona fides. All eyes are on Motor City as workers stand united.

EuroDry (EDRY) – EuroDry doubles down on shipping recovery


Wednesday, September 13, 2023

EuroDry Ltd. was formed on January 8, 2018 under the laws of the Republic of the Marshall Islands to consolidate the drybulk fleet of Euroseas Ltd. into a separate listed public company. EuroDry was spun-off from Euroseas Ltd. on May 30, 2018; it trades on the NASDAQ Capital Market under the ticker EDRY. EuroDry operates in the dry cargo, drybulk shipping market. EuroDry’s operations are managed by Eurobulk Ltd., an ISO 9001:2008 and ISO 14001:2004 certified affiliated ship management company and Eurobulk (Far East) Ltd. Inc., which are responsible for the day- to-day commercial and technical management and operations of the vessels. EuroDry employs its vessels on spot and period charters and under pool agreements.

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

EuroDry announced the acquisition of three ships for $65 million. The three Ultramax ships are smaller than the fleet average but newer having been built in 2014-15. The ships are expected to be delivered in Oct-Nov and are yet to be commissioned. We have assumed the ships will be commissioned at a TCE rate of $12,000/day beginning in the 2024-1Q. This assumes an improvement in drybulk shipping rates in the next three months. Our models estimate that the three ships will add $4 million to EBITDA in 2024 implying a cost of 16 times EBITDA.

Of course this is not just about 2024 results. Chairman and CEO Aristides Pittas used the opportunity of the acquisition to reiterate his belief that market fundamentals will improve in the next two to three years due to a low orderbook. We agree with Mr. Pittas’s assessment but note that the prolonged war in Ukraine (lower grain trade) and a slower-than-expected economic rebound in China (steel and ore trade) could mean improvements are not seen in 2024.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Release – CVG Announces Participation In The D.A. Davidson Annual Diversified Industrials & Services Conference

Research News and Market Data on CVGI

September 11, 2023

NEW ALBANY, Ohio, Sept. 11, 2023 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — CVG (NASDAQ: CVGI) announced today that Andy Cheung, Chief Financial Officer, will meet with investors at the D.A. Davidson Annual Diversified Industrials & Services Conference on September 21-22, 2023.

For further information, please contact [email protected].

About CVG

At CVG, we deliver real solutions to complex design, engineering and manufacturing problems while creating positive change for our customers, industries, and communities we serve. Information about the Company and its products is available on the internet at www.cvgrp.com.

Investor Relations Contact:
Ross Collins or Stephen Poe
Alpha IR Group
[email protected]

Source: Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc.

Timken Strengthens Industrial Motion Portfolio Through Des-Case Acquisition

The Timken Company (NYSE: TKR), a global leader in engineered bearings and industrial motion products, has announced its acquisition of Des-Case Corp., a Nashville-based manufacturer specializing in filtration products for industrial lubricants. Founded in 1983, Des-Case serves various industrial sectors, and it is expected to generate approximately $40 million in revenue in 2023.

Des-Case is recognized for its innovative filtration solutions that complement Timken’s automatic lubrication systems. This acquisition opens up opportunities for synergy, such as cross-selling and international expansion. Des-Case’s product range includes breathers, filter elements, condition monitoring, lubrication storage, and filter systems, all of which play a crucial role in improving equipment reliability, reducing downtime, and extending the lifespan of customer systems.

Des-Case employs around 120 individuals and operates manufacturing facilities in both Tennessee and the Netherlands. The acquisition was funded through a combination of cash reserves and Timken’s existing revolving credit facility.

Timken, with over a century of experience and innovation, designs and manufactures engineered bearings and industrial motion products. In 2022, the company achieved $4.5 billion in sales and has a global workforce of more than 19,000 employees across 46 countries. Timken has received recognition as one of America’s Most Responsible Companies, World’s Most Ethical Companies, America’s Most Innovative Companies, and America’s Best Large Employers by various prestigious organizations.

Take a look at other companies in the metals space by exploring Mark Reichman’s coverage list.

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock (GLDD) – Another LNG Award


Thursday, August 24, 2023

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation is the largest provider of dredging services in the United States. In addition, Great Lakes is fully engaged in expanding its core business into the rapidly developing offshore wind energy industry. The Company has a long history of performing significant international projects. The Company employs experienced civil, ocean and mechanical engineering staff in its estimating, production and project management functions. In its over 131-year history, the Company has never failed to complete a marine project. Great Lakes owns and operates the largest and most diverse fleet in the U.S. dredging industry, comprised of approximately 200 specialized vessels. Great Lakes has a disciplined training program for engineers that ensures experienced-based performance as they advance through Company operations. The Company’s Incident-and Injury-Free® (IIF®) safety management program is integrated into all aspects of the Company’s culture. The Company’s commitment to the IIF® culture promotes a work environment where employee safety is paramount.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Port Arthur Award. Yesterday, Great Lakes Dredge & Dock announced the award for the Port Arthur LNG Phase 1 project Marine Dredging and Disposal contract. This is the second LNG related award received by the Company this summer, following on the heels of the Next Decade contract. The Port Arthur LNG project is a natural gas liquefaction and export terminal in Southeast Texas with direct access to the Gulf of Mexico.

Work Details. The scope of work on this project is to dredge the Port Arthur LNG Berthing Pocket on the Port Arthur Ship Canal. The berthing pocket and turning basin will connect to the Port Arthur Ship Canal and allow LNG vessels to berth, load and depart safely. A significant portion of the dredged materials will be placed by Great Lakes within designated Beneficial Use of Dredged Material (BUDM) areas to restore and enhance marshlands within a local wildlife refuge. Great Lakes is expected to start this project later this year and finish within two years.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

AZZ Inc. (AZZ) – Initiating Coverage With an Outperform Rating and $60 Price Target


Monday, August 21, 2023

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

AZZ Inc. is North America’s largest independent hot-dip galvanizing and coil coating solution company. AZZ has two operating divisions – Metal Coatings and Precoat Metals. Metal Coatings provides a wide range of high-quality metal finishing and coating services that protect from the destruction of metallic corrosion including galvanizing and other forms of coating and plating. Precoat Metals is engaged in the growing use of coil coated metal, often referred to as prepainted metal because the metal is painted prior to, rather than after, fabrication. 

The shares of AZZ trade at a sharp discount to other coating companies. We believe the discount also reflects a more leveraged balance sheet following recent acquisitions. Positive free cash flow will allow the company to pay down debt. As the company deleverages, we believe it will see valuation multiples rise to levels approaching peer companies.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock (GLDD) – More Work


Tuesday, August 15, 2023

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation is the largest provider of dredging services in the United States. In addition, Great Lakes is fully engaged in expanding its core business into the rapidly developing offshore wind energy industry. The Company has a long history of performing significant international projects. The Company employs experienced civil, ocean and mechanical engineering staff in its estimating, production and project management functions. In its over 131-year history, the Company has never failed to complete a marine project. Great Lakes owns and operates the largest and most diverse fleet in the U.S. dredging industry, comprised of approximately 200 specialized vessels. Great Lakes has a disciplined training program for engineers that ensures experienced-based performance as they advance through Company operations. The Company’s Incident-and Injury-Free® (IIF®) safety management program is integrated into all aspects of the Company’s culture. The Company’s commitment to the IIF® culture promotes a work environment where employee safety is paramount.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

New Awards. Friday and then on Monday, Great Lakes was awarded two new contracts worth a combined $49.2 million, according to the Department of Defense daily contract award notification. Combined with two end of July awards worth $36.7 million, Great Lakes has received some $86 million of new business in the last couple of weeks. We remain optimistic the awards pace will speed up, at least through the Federal government’s fiscal 2023 year-end.

Award 1. Great Lakes was awarded a $22.1 million firm-fixed-price contract for dredging in the Mississippi River. Work will be performed in Plaquemines, Louisiana, with an estimated completion date of December 17, 2023. Fiscal 2023 civil operation and maintenance funds in the amount of $22.1 million were obligated at the time of the award. U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, New Orleans, Louisiana, is the contracting activity.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Kelly Services (KELYA) – Lower Demand Environment but Still Underway with Transformation


Monday, August 14, 2023

Kelly (Nasdaq: KELYA, KELYB) connects talented people to companies in need of their skills in areas including Science, Engineering, Education, Office, Contact Center, Light Industrial, and more. We’re always thinking about what’s next in the evolving world of work, and we help people ditch the script on old ways of thinking and embrace the value of all workstyles in the workplace. We directly employ nearly 350,000 people around the world and connect thousands more with work through our global network of talent suppliers and partners in our outsourcing and consulting practice. Revenue in 2021 was $4.9 billion. Visit kellyservices.com and let us help with what’s next for you.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

2Q Results. Kelly reported revenues of $1.22 billion, a 3.9% decrease, or down 4.5% in constant currency, from the prior year. Organic revenue was down 2.2% in constant currency. We estimated revenue at $1.24 billion.  GP rate was down 90 basis points to 19.8% primarily due to lower permanent placements fees. Net income was $7.5 million, or EPS of $0.20, compared to $2.2 million, or EPS of $0.06 last year. Adjusted EPS was $0.36 versus $0.45. We were at $0.44.

Transformation Plan. Kelly is moving quickly, already seeing benefits from its cost optimization and efficiencies programs. Next up will be a focus on growth, both organic, especially capturing a higher wallet share from existing clients, as well as a renewed inorganic focus.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Euroseas (ESEA) – Favorable charter book protecting company against shipping rate declines


Thursday, August 10, 2023

Euroseas Ltd. was formed on May 5, 2005 under the laws of the Republic of the Marshall Islands to consolidate the ship owning interests of the Pittas family of Athens, Greece, which has been in the shipping business over the past 140 years. Euroseas trades on the NASDAQ Capital Market under the ticker ESEA. Euroseas operates in the container shipping market. Euroseas’ operations are managed by Eurobulk Ltd., an ISO 9001:2008 and ISO 14001:2004 certified affiliated ship management company, which is responsible for the day-to-day commercial and technical management and operations of the vessels. Euroseas employs its vessels on spot and period charters and through pool arrangements.

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Second quarter results were above expectations. Euroseas took possession of a newbuild vessel during the quarter and was able to put it in charter at favorable rates. The vessel addition, combined with the lack of ships in drydock, meant an increase in available operating days. This helped offset a decrease in average TCE rates relative to the same quarter last year and meant that revenues, net were similar to last year.

Operating costs running in line with expectations. Like most shipping companies, operating costs are rising with inflation. The same is true for Euroseas, which reported expenses modestly higher. Issues associated with the housing and transportation of crews following the conflict in Ukraine are now behind the company. Drydocking epenses were down as none of Euroseas’s vessels were drydocked during the quarter. 


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

The GEO Group (GEO) – Second Quarter Results Released


Thursday, August 10, 2023

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 103 facilities totaling approximately 83,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

2Q23 Results. Revenue for the quarter came in at $593.9 million, up from $588.2 million a year ago. Adjusted EBITDA totaled $129.0 million, EPS was $0.20, and adjusted EPS $0.24. In the year ago period, GEO reported $132.3 million, $0.37, and $0.42, respectively. We had forecast $587 million, $124.1 million, $0.20, and $0.20, respectively.

ISAP? A key factor in 2H23 performance will be the number of participants under the ISAP program. Numbers have fallen for longer than management had originally expected but recent policy initiatives should result in participant stabilization, if not increases in 2H23. 


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V2X, Inc. (VVX) – A Solid 2Q23 Beat


Wednesday, August 09, 2023

For more than 70 years, Vectrus has provided critical mission support for our customers’ toughest operational challenges. As a high-performing organization with exceptional talent, deep domain knowledge, a history of long-term customer relationships, and groundbreaking technical expertise, we deliver innovative, mission-matched solutions for our military and government customers worldwide. Whether it’s base operations support, supply chain and logistics, IT mission support, engineering and digital integration, security, or maintenance, repair and overhaul, our customers count on us for on-target solutions that increase efficiency, reduce costs, improve readiness, and strengthen national security. Vectrus is headquartered in Colorado Springs, Colo., and includes about 8,100 employees spanning 205 locations in 28 countries. In 2021, Vectrus generated sales of $1.8 billion. For more information, visit the company’s website at www.vectrus.com or connect with Vectrus on Facebook, Twitter, and LinkedIn.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Another Excellent Quarter. Driven by expansion of existing programs, new awards, and recompete wins, V2X reported excellent results for 2Q23. Revenue of $977.9 million was up 10.2% on a pro forma basis, and well above our $905 million forecast. Adjusted EBITDA came in at $76.4 million, versus our $64.5 million estimate. Adjusted diluted EPS was $1.01 compared to our $0.74 estimate.

Opportunity Remains Robust. V2X was awarded approximately $2.1 billion of awards in the quarter, with a book-to-bill of 2.2x. Backlog grew 10% to $13 billion. The Company has $5 billion of bids awaiting award and we believe V2X is well positioned to win its fair share. The overall market opportunity exceeds $160 billion.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

EuroDry (EDRY) – Shipping rates fall, a vessel is detained, operating costs rise


Wednesday, August 09, 2023

EuroDry Ltd. was formed on January 8, 2018 under the laws of the Republic of the Marshall Islands to consolidate the drybulk fleet of Euroseas Ltd. into a separate listed public company. EuroDry was spun-off from Euroseas Ltd. on May 30, 2018; it trades on the NASDAQ Capital Market under the ticker EDRY. EuroDry operates in the dry cargo, drybulk shipping market. EuroDry’s operations are managed by Eurobulk Ltd., an ISO 9001:2008 and ISO 14001:2004 certified affiliated ship management company and Eurobulk (Far East) Ltd. Inc., which are responsible for the day- to-day commercial and technical management and operations of the vessels. EuroDry employs its vessels on spot and period charters and under pool agreements.

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Results continue to slide in response to falling shipping rates and a ship detention. Average TCE rates, which showed signs of improving in April, fell in May and June to an average quarterly rate of $12,179/day versus $23,490/day. Eurodry reported that one of its ships was detained for 35 days (out of service 48 days) due to alleged pollution violations resulting in the cancellation of a high-priced charter.

Operating costs rose. Total operating costs ($12.7m versus $10.2m) rose sharply. Higher voyage expenses are related to the ship detention. Management described the rise in vessel operating expenses relative to last year as due to “inflationary increases” although that explanation does not adequately explain the quarter-over-quarter increase ($12.7m versus $11.8m) in costs.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.