
Wednesday, September 03, 2025
Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Strong Q2 Results. The company reported strong Q2 results. Revenue of $119.9 million, and adj. EBITDA of $20.7 million, both easily surpassed our estimates of $97.0 million and $7.0 million, respectively, as illustrated in Figure #1 Q2 Results. Notably, management attributed the strong quarter to an increase in consumable in-app purchases, which are recognized during the quarter rather than being deferred over the average player life cycle of 28 months.
Key operating metrics. Bookings and monthly paying users (MPU) decreased by 14% and 18%, respectively, compared to the prior year period, but the decrease was expected as the company is focused on the quality of gameplay and not over-monetizing its user base. However, the company is showing signs of returning to growth as both average bookings per paying user (ABPPU) and MPUs increased sequentially from Q1. ABPPU increased from $90 in Q1’25 to $93 in Q2’25, and MPUs increased from 284,000 to 312,000 over the same period.
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