Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Overview. The ONE Group’s third-quarter 2026 operating results demonstrate the meaningful progress management has made in strengthening the financial performance of the Company. ONE Group delivered positive transaction growth, while significantly improving operating income and expanding restaurant-level margins. These results reflect the effectiveness of operational initiatives, the strength of the differentiated restaurant brands, and the disciplined execution of management’s strategic priorities, in our view.
3Q26 Results. Revenue came in at $177 million, modestly down from $180.2 million in 3Q25. We had forecast $176 million. Adjusted EBITDA increased 5% to $11.1 million. We were at $13.8 million. The ONE Group reported a net loss, including preferred dividends, of $26.5 million, or a loss of $0.79/sh, versus a loss of $85.3 million, or a loss of $2.59/sh, in 3Q25. We were at a net loss of $0.52/sh.
Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.
This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
Transactions Positive for Second Consecutive Quarter and Improved Sequentially for Three Consecutive Quarters
Year-to-Date Cash Flow from Operations Increased 143% to $41.8 million
Restaurant Operating Profit** for The Quarter expanded 190 basis points
Company Continues to Prioritize Capital-Efficient Growth
DENVER–(BUSINESS WIRE)– The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc. (“The ONE Group” or the “Company”) (Nasdaq: STKS) today reported its financial results for the third quarter ended September 27, 2026.
Highlights for the third quarter 2026 compared to the same quarter in 2025 are as follows:
Total GAAP revenues of $177.0 million from $180.2 million, a decrease of 1.8%, with $4.5 million, or 2.5%, the result of the permanent and temporary closure of restaurants as part of the Grill Concepts portfolio optimization strategy, partially offset by revenue from new restaurants opened since the third quarter of 2025
Consolidated comparable sales* and comparable transactions slightly decreased 0.4% and increased 1.8%, respectively
Benihana brand comparable sales* and comparable transactions increased 0.7% and increased 2.7%, respectively
Net cash provided by operating activities in the quarter increased 50% to $8.8 million from $5.9 million; year-to-date net cash provided by operating activities increased $24.6 million to $41.8 million from $17.2 million
Restaurant operating profit** increased by 190 basis points to 13.2% of owned restaurant net revenue from 11.3%
GAAP Operating Income year-to-date increased $11.1 million to $14.6 million from $3.5 million
Adjusted EBITDA*** attributable to The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc. increased 5% to $11.1 million from $10.6 million, and year-to-date increased 3% to $60.8 million from $59.1 million
“Our third quarter results demonstrate the meaningful progress we are making in strengthening the financial performance of The ONE Group. We delivered positive transaction growth, while significantly improving operating income and expanding restaurant-level margins. These results reflect the effectiveness of our operational initiatives, the strength of our differentiated restaurant brands and the disciplined execution of our strategic priorities,” said Emanuel “Manny” Hilario, President and Chief Executive Officer of The ONE Group. “Importantly, we are translating these operational improvements into stronger cash flow. Through enhanced restaurant-level profitability, disciplined capital allocation and continued portfolio optimization, we are building a more efficient and financially resilient organization.”
“The distinctiveness of our Vibe Dining brands, supported by our value messaging, is resonating with guests. Transactions have been positive for two consecutive quarters and have improved sequentially for three, demonstrating that guests continue to seek out differentiated dining experiences despite a cautious consumer environment,” Hilario continued, “Benihana, our largest brand, led the way in the quarter as we continue to execute our initiatives. Our strategy with the Grill Concepts has shown success in stabilizing transactions as comparable transactions were positive 1.7% for the quarter and positive 1.4% for year-to-date. The next step is to convert those traffic gains into sales.”
“Our beef strategy, supply chain initiatives and menu optimization drove a 190-basis point improvement in restaurant operating profit margin, enabling us to navigate a higher inflationary environment,” Hilario commented. “This operating discipline is also reflected in our cash generation, with cash flow from operations through the first three quarters more than doubled to $41.8 million after paying $29.4 million in interest.”
Hilario also provided an update on the Company’s capital efficient growth by remarking that, “our growth is now centered on franchise and license development and low cost conversions of select Grill Portfolio venues. We are particularly delighted with our progress with the performance of our Benihana Express prototype which now paces at an annual volume of $1.8 million. The combination of its small footprint, high revenues per square foot, and strong unit economics makes it a highly attractive vehicle for licensing. With this brand, we are able to bring the highly craveable Benihana food anywhere to consumers seeking a premium fast casual opportunity on the go,” Hilario concluded. “Entering our seasonally strongest quarter, we believe our improving transaction trends and strong portfolio position us well, and that disciplined capital allocation, together with operational execution, is the foundation for long-term shareholder value and accelerating the development of a significant pipeline of high-quality licensees for Benihana Express locations.”
Grill Concepts Portfolio Optimization
The Company continues to execute its portfolio optimization strategy, focusing on maximizing profitability and improving returns on invested capital across its restaurant portfolio. As part of this initiative, select Kona Grill and RA locations are being converted into Benihana and STK restaurants, leveraging the strength and established consumer appeal of these brands, coupled with the strength of the existing real estate.
As restaurants approach lease or option term end, the Company will make the determination to either 1) exit, or 2) refresh, relocate, remodel, or convert those units based on its evaluation of the quality of the real estate and projected return on capital spent on those options with an anticipated outcome of a highly performing restaurant portfolio. Currently, the Company operates twenty Kona Grills and twelve RAs, inclusive of the temporarily closed restaurants.
Currently, the Company has four temporarily closed Kona Grills and three temporarily closed RAs all awaiting conversion to Benihanas.
Year to date, the Company has re-opened the Riverton, Utah location (previously a Kona Grill) as a Benihana and the Baltimore, Maryland location (previously a Kona Grill) as a remodeled small footprint Kona Grill and a new STK.
Exited one RA (Phoenix, Arizona) and two Kona Grills (Cincinnati, Ohio and Huntsville, Alabama) due to lease expirations
Conversion economics are an approximate cost of $1.0 to $1.5 million, net per conversion, with an expected short payback
Expected outcome is a fully profitable Grill portfolio with enhanced margins and additional high quality Benihana and STK locations.
Capital Efficiency Focus
The Company is advancing a disciplined development strategy that prioritizes attractive investment returns, franchising, licensing and lower-cost restaurant formats. The Company has focused on increasing its capital efficiency by:
Significantly reducing discretionary capital expenditures to increase free cash flow and strengthen the balance sheet
Disciplined maintenance capital spend on existing restaurants
Prioritizing asset-light and conversion-driven growth with emphasis on franchising and licensing opportunities
Targeting new company-owned openings averaging $1.5 million, net or less in build-out costs
Benihana Express Expansion
The Company has accelerated its development of the Benihana Express brand primarily because of its potential for asset light expansion.
“Your Benihana Fix, On The Go!” A fast casual version of Benihana with heavy takeout / delivery
Premium food offerings (filet, lobster, Wagyu)
800-1,000 square foot space, with an anticipated cost of $400 to $500 per square foot
Compelling unit economics with projected combined food and labor costs of 45% to 50%
Two Company prototypes open (Miami, Florida, and Denver, Colorado); Miami prototype currently pacing at $1.8 million annual volume
Two additional locations expected to open in 2026 in Islamorada, Florida (Licensed) and Topanga Mall in Canoga Park, California (Owned)
2026 Completed Restaurant Development
Restaurant
Location
Date
Owned Kona Grill (relocation)
San Antonio, Texas
January 2026
Converted franchised Benihana to owned
Monterey, California
February 2026
Converted franchised Benihana Express to owned
Miami, Florida
March 2026
Owned STK (new)
Phoenix, Arizona
July 2026
Owned STK (new)
New York (Chelsea), New York
July 2026
Owned Benihana (conversion of a Kona Grill)
Riverton, Utah
July 2026
Owned STK (new)
Baltimore, Maryland
September 2026
Owned Kona Grill (relocation to smaller footprint)
Baltimore, Maryland
September 2026
Owned Benihana Express (new)
Denver, Colorado
November 2026
Current Restaurant Pipeline
Owned Restaurants Under Construction / Development:
Owned Benihana restaurant in Tigard, Oregon (conversion of a temporarily closed Kona Grill restaurant)
Owned Benihana Express in Topanga Mall in Canoga Park, California
Owned STK restaurant in New York City (Union Square)
Owned Kona Grill restaurant in Highlands Ranch, Colorado
Asset-Light Development:
Franchised Benihana in the Florida Keys
Licensed Benihana Express in the Florida Keys
Liquidity
As of September 27, 2026, the Company held a total of $40.3 million in short term liquidity, comprised of $13.7 million in cash and short-term credit card receivables and $26.6 million available under its revolving credit facility. Under the current conditions, the Company’s credit facility does not have any financial covenants.
2026 Financial Targets
The Company is updating its full year 2026 financial targets, reflecting its emphasis on expanding free cash flow through reduced capital expenditures, benefits of portfolio optimization and operational improvements.
Financial Results and Other Select DataUS$s in millions
2026 GuidanceDecember 27, 2026
Total GAAP revenues
$800 to $810
Consolidated comparable sales
+1%
Managed, license and franchise fee revenues
$13-$14
Total owned operating expenses as a percentage of owned restaurant net revenue
Approx. 82%
Consolidated total G&A, excluding stock-based compensation
$50-$51
Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA(1)
$95 to $100
Consolidated restaurant pre-opening expenses
$7.5 to $8.5(~$3 non-cash rent)
Consolidated interest expense, net of interest income
$38 to $39
Consolidated effective income tax rate
10% to 20%
Consolidated total capital expenditures, net of allowances received from landlords
Approx. $30-$34
Consolidated number of new system-wide venues
6 – 8 new venues
(1)We have not reconciled guidance for Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA to the corresponding GAAP financial measure because we do not provide guidance for the various reconciling items. We are unable to provide guidance for these reconciling items because we cannot determine their probable significance, as certain items are outside of our control and cannot be reasonably predicted since these items could vary significantly from period to period. Accordingly, reconciliations to the corresponding GAAP financial measures are not available without unreasonable effort.
Stock Repurchase Program
The Company’s Board of Directors authorized a repurchase program of up to $15.0 million of outstanding common stock that was completed in December 2023. In March 2024, the Company’s Board of Directors authorized an additional $5.0 million of repurchases under this program. As of September 27, 2026, the Company had purchased 3.4 million shares for $19.3 million under the repurchase program. As a result of the Company’s ability to grow operating cash flow, combined with the disciplined capital expenditures, on November 3, 2026, the Company’s Board of Directors has authorized an additional $5.0 million to this program.
Conference Call and Webcast
Emanuel “Manny” Hilario, President and Chief Executive Officer, and Nicole Thaung, Chief Financial Officer, will host a conference call and webcast today at 4:30 PM Eastern Time.
The conference call can be accessed live over the phone by dialing 201-389-0908. A replay will be available after the call and can be accessed by dialing 412-317-6671; the passcode is 13762363. The replay will be available until Wednesday, November 18, 2026.
The webcast can be accessed from the Investor Relations tab of The ONE Group’s website at www.togrp.com under “News / Events.”
About The ONE Group
The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc. (Nasdaq: STKS) is an international restaurant company that develops and operates upscale and polished casual, high-energy restaurants and lounges and provides hospitality management services for hotels, casinos and other high-end venues both in the U.S. and internationally. The ONE Group is recognized as one of “America’s Greatest Companies” (Newsweek, 2025), and Benihana is honored as one of ”America’s Best Brands for Value” (Forbes, 2025). The ONE Group’s focus is to be the global leader in Vibe Dining, and its restaurant brands and operations are:
STK, a modern twist on the American steakhouse concept with restaurants in major metropolitan cities in the U.S., Europe and the Middle East, featuring premium steaks, seafood and specialty cocktails in an energetic upscale atmosphere.
Benihana, an interactive dining destination with highly skilled chefs preparing food right in front of guests and served in an energetic atmosphere alongside fresh sushi and innovative cocktails. The Company franchises Benihanas in the U.S., Caribbean, Central America, and South America.
Samurai, an interactive dining experience located in sunny Miami, FL, provides a distinctive dining experience where skilled personal chefs masterfully perform the ancient art of teppanyaki right before your eyes.
Kona Grill, a polished casual, bar-centric Grill concept with restaurants in the U.S., featuring American favorites, award-winning sushi, and specialty cocktails in an upscale casual atmosphere.
Salt Water Social is your gateway to the seven seas, featuring an array of signature and unique fresh seafood items, complemented by the highest quality beef dishes and elegant, delicious cocktails.
Benihana Express, a small footprint fast casual concept showcasing the best of Benihana but without teppanyaki tables or bar.
RA, a Japanese fusion cuisine concept that offers a fun-filled, bar-forward, upbeat, and vibrant dining atmosphere with restaurants in the U.S. anchored by creative sushi, inventive drinks, and outstanding service.
ONE Hospitality, The ONE Group’s food and beverage hospitality services business develops, manages and operates premier restaurants and turnkey food and beverage services within high-end hotels and casinos currently operating venues in the U.S. and Europe.
Additional information about The ONE Group can be found at www.togrp.com.
Non-GAAP Definitions
We have evolved our definition of non-GAAP financial measures starting in Q4 2025. We use certain non-GAAP measures in analyzing operating performance and believe that the presentation of these measures provides investors and analysts with information that is beneficial to gaining an understanding of the Company’s financial results. Non-GAAP disclosures should not be viewed as a substitute for financial results determined in accordance with GAAP.
Reconciliations of these non-GAAP measures are included under “Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Measures” in this press release.
* Comparable sales represent total U.S. food and beverage sales at owned and managed units, a non-GAAP financial measure, opened for at least a full 24-months. This measure includes total revenue from our owned and managed locations. The Company monitors sales growth at its established restaurant base in addition to growth that results from restaurant acquisitions and new restaurant openings. Refer to the reconciliation of GAAP revenue to total food and beverage sales at owned and managed units in this press release.
** We define Restaurant operating profit as owned restaurant net revenue minus owned restaurant cost of sales and owned restaurant operating expenses. Restaurant operating profit has been presented in this press release and is a supplemental measure of financial performance that is not required by, or presented in accordance with, GAAP. Refer to the reconciliation of operating (loss) income to Restaurant operating profit in this press release.
*** We define Adjusted EBITDA as net income (loss) before interest expense, provision (benefit) for income taxes, depreciation and amortization, stock-based compensation, lease termination and restaurant closure expenses, transition and integration expenses, transaction costs, non-cash rent, non-cash impairment loss, non-recurring gains and losses, certain transactional and exit costs and loss on early debt extinguishment. Adjusted EBITDA has been presented in this press release and is a supplemental measure of financial performance that is not required by, or presented in accordance with, GAAP. Refer to the reconciliation of Net loss to Adjusted EBITDA in this press release.
Cautionary Statement on Forward-Looking Statements
This press release includes “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the “safe harbor” provisions of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including with respect to portfolio optimization, restaurant openings, the impact of the Benihana acquisition and 2026 financial targets. Forward-looking statements may be identified by the use of words such as “target,” “intend,” “anticipate,” “believe,” “expect,” “estimate,” “plan,” “outlook,” and “project” and other similar expressions that predict or indicate future events or trends or that are not statements of historical matters. A number of factors could cause actual results or outcomes to differ materially from those indicated by such forward-looking statements, including but not limited to: (1) our ability to integrate the new or acquired restaurants into our operations without disruptions to operations; (2) our ability to capture anticipated synergies; (3) our ability to open new restaurants and food and beverage locations in current and additional markets, grow and manage growth profitably, maintain relationships with suppliers and obtain adequate supply of products and retain employees; (4) factors beyond our control that affect the number and timing of new restaurant openings, including weather conditions and factors under the control of landlords, contractors and regulatory and/or licensing authorities; (5) our ability to successfully improve performance and cost, realize the benefits of our marketing efforts and achieve improved results as we focus on developing new management and license deals; (6) changes in applicable laws or regulations; (7) the possibility that The ONE Group may be adversely affected by other economic, business, and/or competitive factors, including economic downturns; (8) the impact of actual and potential changes in immigration policies, including potential labor shortages; (9) the potential impact of the imposition of tariffs, including increases in food prices and inflation and any resulting negative impacts on the macro-economic environment; (10) the impact of international conflicts on macroeconomic conditions; (11) risks related to our development and franchise partners; and (12) other risks and uncertainties indicated from time to time in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including our Annual Report on Form 10-K filed for the year ended December 28, 2025 and Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q.
Investors are referred to the most recent reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission by The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc. Investors are cautioned not to place undue reliance upon any forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date made, and we undertake no obligation to update or revise the forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
DENVER–(BUSINESS WIRE)– The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc. (“The ONE Group” or the “Company”) (Nasdaq: STKS) today announced that Emanuel “Manny” Hilario, President and Chief Executive Officer, and Nicole Thaung, Chief Financial Officer, will host a conference call and webcast to discuss third quarter 2026 financial results on Wednesday, November 4, 2026, at 4:30 PM ET. A press release containing the third quarter 2026 financial results will be issued after market close that same afternoon.
The conference call can be accessed live over the phone by dialing 201-389-0908. A replay will be available after the call and can be accessed by dialing 412-317-6671; the passcode is 13762363. The replay will be available until Wednesday, November 18, 2026.
The webcast can be accessed from the Investor Relations tab of The ONE Group’s website at http://www.togrp.com/ under “News / Events”.
About The ONE Group
The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc. (Nasdaq: STKS) is an international restaurant company that develops and operates upscale and polished casual, high-energy restaurants and lounges and provides hospitality management services for hotels, casinos and other high-end venues both in the U.S. and internationally. The ONE Group is recognized as one of “America’s Greatest Companies” (Newsweek, 2025), and Benihana is honored as one of “America’s Best Brands for Value” (Forbes, 2025). The ONE Group’s focus is to be the global leader in Vibe Dining, and its primary restaurant brands and operations are:
STK, a modern twist on the American steakhouse concept with restaurants in major metropolitan cities in the U.S., Europe and the Middle East, featuring premium steaks, seafood and specialty cocktails in an energetic upscale atmosphere.
Benihana, an interactive dining destination with highly skilled chefs preparing food right in front of guests and served in an energetic atmosphere alongside fresh sushi and innovative cocktails. The Company franchises Benihanas in the U.S., Caribbean, Central America, and South America.
Samurai, an interactive dining experience located in sunny Miami, FL, provides a distinctive dining experience where skilled personal chefs masterfully perform the ancient art of teppanyaki right before your eyes.
Kona Grill, a polished casual, bar-centric Grill concept with restaurants in the U.S., featuring American favorites, award-winning sushi, and specialty cocktails in an upscale casual atmosphere.
Salt Water Social is your gateway to the seven seas, featuring an array of signature and unique fresh seafood items, complemented by the highest quality beef dishes and elegant, delicious cocktails.
Benihana Express, a small footprint casual concept showcasing the best of Benihana but without teppanyaki tables or bar.
RA, a Japanese fusion cuisine concept that offers a fun-filled, bar-forward, upbeat, and vibrant dining atmosphere with restaurants in the U.S. anchored by creative sushi, inventive drinks, and outstanding service.
ONE Hospitality, The ONE Group’s food and beverage hospitality services business develops, manages and operates premier restaurants and turnkey food and beverage services within high-end hotels and casinos currently operating venues in the U.S. and Europe.
Additional information about The ONE Group can be found at www.togrp.com.
Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Overview. The ONE Group Hospitality’s second quarter 2026 results underscore the momentum the Company is building across the portfolio, driven by the continued strength of the Company’s Vibe Dining brands. Consolidated comparable sales were positive, with positive transaction growth across all segments. Quarterly margin performance was strong, with the consolidated margin expanding 110 basis points to 16.4%.
2Q26 Results. ONE Group reported 2Q26 revenue of $200.5 million, down 3.3% from $207.4 million for the same quarter last year. The decrease was primarily attributable to the closed grill concept restaurants, partially offset by an increase in comparable restaurant sales and sales from new restaurants opened since July 2025. Adjusted EBITDA attributable to ONE Group was $21.1 million in 2Q26 compared to $23.4 million in 2Q25, a decrease of 9.7%, primarily due to increased investment in marketing during the quarter and an increase in general and administrative expenses, excluding stock-based compensation.
Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.
This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
DENVER–(BUSINESS WIRE)– The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc. (“The ONE Group” or the “Company”) (Nasdaq: STKS) today announced that Emanuel “Manny” Hilario, President and Chief Executive Officer, and Nicole Thaung, Chief Financial Officer, will host a conference call and webcast to discuss second quarter 2026 financial results on Wednesday, August 5, 2026, at 4:30 PM ET. A press release containing the second quarter 2026 financial results will be issued after market close that same afternoon.
The conference call can be accessed live over the phone by dialing 201-389-0908. A replay will be available after the call and can be accessed by dialing 412-317-6671; the passcode is 13760695. The replay will be available until Wednesday, August 19, 2026.
The webcast can be accessed from the Investor Relations tab of The ONE Group’s website at http://www.togrp.com/ under “News / Events”.
About The ONE Group
The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc. (Nasdaq: STKS) is an international restaurant company that develops and operates upscale and polished casual, high-energy restaurants and lounges and provides hospitality management services for hotels, casinos and other high-end venues both in the U.S. and internationally. The ONE Group is recognized as one of “America’s Greatest Companies” (NEWSWEEK, 2025), and the Benihana brand was honored in Forbes Best Brands for Value in 2025. The ONE Group’s focus is to be the global leader in Vibe Dining, and its primary restaurant brands and operations are:
STK, a modern twist on the American steakhouse concept with restaurants in major metropolitan cities in the U.S., Europe and the Middle East, featuring premium steaks, seafood and specialty cocktails in an energetic upscale atmosphere.
Benihana, an interactive dining destination with highly skilled chefs preparing food right in front of guests and served in an energetic atmosphere alongside fresh sushi and innovative cocktails. The Company franchises Benihanas in the U.S., Caribbean, Central America, and South America.
Samurai, an interactive dining experience located in sunny Miami, FL, provides a distinctive dining experience where skilled personal chefs masterfully perform the ancient art of teppanyaki right before your eyes.
Kona Grill, a polished casual, bar-centric grill concept with restaurants in the U.S., featuring American favorites, award-winning sushi, and specialty cocktails in an upscale casual atmosphere.
Salt Water Social is your gateway to the seven seas, featuring an array of signature and unique fresh seafood items, complemented by the highest quality beef dishes and elegant, delicious cocktails.
Benihana Express, a small footprint casual concept showcasing the best of Benihana but without teppanyaki tables or bar.
RA, a Japanese fusion cuisine concept that offers a fun-filled, bar-forward, upbeat, and vibrant dining atmosphere with restaurants in the U.S. anchored by creative sushi, inventive drinks, and outstanding service.
ONE Hospitality, The ONE Group’s food and beverage hospitality services business develops, manages and operates premier restaurants and turnkey food and beverage services within high-end hotels and casinos currently operating venues in the U.S. and Europe.
Additional information about The ONE Group can be found at www.togrp.com.
SSS. Improving Same Store Sales remains a key focus of management. In the first quarter of 2026, all brands saw sequential SSS growth, with STK reporting positive SSS and Benihana flat SSS. Even the Grill concepts have experienced a significant improvement in SSS over the past three quarters. ONE Group’s focus on providing value, the vibe experience, execution, and targeted marketing is paying dividends in a tough operating environment.
Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.
This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Overview. During the first quarter of 2026, ONE Group Hospitality continued to show positive momentum. Total revenues grew year-over-year, and comparable sales were sequentially better than the previous quarter. ONE Group achieved positive comparable sales for the second quarter in a row at the flagship STK brand and saw substantial expansion in restaurant margins. Meanwhile, Benihana generated stable performance in the quarter. The Company is on track to complete five Grill Concepts conversions by year-end, with the initial Scottsdale conversion achieving a 4x return on investment.
1Q26 Results. Revenue increased 0.8% to $212.8 million but was below management’s original guidance of revenue in the $217-$221 million range, and our $218 million projection. Adjusted EBITDA came in at $28.8 million, up 12.1% y-o-y and above our $26.6 million estimate. Net income, pre-preferred stock expense, totaled $3.2 million, up from $975,000 a year ago and our $3.7 million estimate.
Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.
This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
DENVER–(BUSINESS WIRE)– The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc. (“The ONE Group” or the “Company”) (Nasdaq: STKS) today announced that Emanuel “Manny” Hilario, President and Chief Executive Officer, and Nicole Thaung, Chief Financial Officer, will host a conference call and webcast to discuss first quarter 2026 financial results on Wednesday, May 6, 2026, at 4:30 PM ET. A press release containing the first quarter 2026 financial results will be issued after market close that same afternoon.
The conference call can be accessed live over the phone by dialing 201-389-0908. A replay will be available after the call and can be accessed by dialing 412-317-6671; the passcode is 13759769. The replay will be available until Wednesday, May 20, 2026.
The webcast can be accessed from the Investor Relations tab of The ONE Group’s website at http://www.togrp.com/ under “News / Events”.
About The ONE Group
The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc. (Nasdaq: STKS) is an international restaurant company that develops and operates upscale and polished casual, high-energy restaurants and lounges and provides hospitality management services for hotels, casinos and other high-end venues both in the U.S. and internationally. The ONE Group is recognized as one of “America’s Greatest Companies” (NEWSWEEK, 2025) and Benihana honored as Forbes Best Brands for Value. The ONE Group’s focus is to be the global leader in Vibe Dining, and its primary restaurant brands and operations are:
STK, a modern twist on the American steakhouse concept with restaurants in major metropolitan cities in the U.S., Europe and the Middle East, featuring premium steaks, seafood and specialty cocktails in an energetic upscale atmosphere.
Benihana, an interactive dining destination with highly skilled chefs preparing food right in front of guests and served in an energetic atmosphere alongside fresh sushi and innovative cocktails. The Company franchises Benihanas in the U.S., Caribbean, Central America, and South America.
Samurai, an interactive dining experience located in sunny Miami, FL, provides a distinctive dining experience where skilled personal chefs masterfully perform the ancient art of teppanyaki right before your eyes.
Kona Grill, a polished casual, bar-centric grill concept with restaurants in the U.S., featuring American favorites, award-winning sushi, and specialty cocktails in an upscale casual atmosphere.
Salt Water Social is your gateway to the seven seas, featuring an array of signature and unique fresh seafood items, complemented by the highest quality beef dishes and elegant, delicious cocktails.
Benihana Express, a small footprint casual concept showcasing the best of Benihana but without teppanyaki tables or bar.
RA Sushi, a Japanese cuisine concept that offers a fun-filled, bar-forward, upbeat, and vibrant dining atmosphere with restaurants in the U.S. anchored by creative sushi, inventive drinks, and outstanding service.
ONE Hospitality, The ONE Group’s food and beverage hospitality services business develops, manages and operates premier restaurants and turnkey food and beverage services within high-end hotels and casinos currently operating venues in the U.S. and Europe.
Additional information about The ONE Group can be found at www.togrp.com.
Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Overview. Fourth quarter and full year 2025 results came in-line with management’s January 12, 2026 pre-announcement, with fourth quarter revenue of $207 million and full year revenue of $806 million. Notably, all brands demonstrated a sequential improvement in comparable sales during the quarter. Fourth quarter consolidated comparable sales declined approximately 1.8%, representing about 4 points of sequential improvement from the third quarter. And this momentum has continued in the new year.
4Q25 Results. For the fourth quarter, total GAAP revenue was approximately $207 million compared to $222 million in the prior year quarter. Adjusted EBITDA was $28.1 million compared to $31 million in the prior year quarter, a decrease of 9.5%. ONE Group reported a net loss, before preferred stock dividends, of $6.4 million compared to net income of $1.6 million in 4Q24.
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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
Strategic Portfolio Optimization Creating Long-Term Value
Cost Management Drives Restaurant Margin Improvement in Fourth Quarter
Full Year 2026 Financial Targets Introduced
DENVER–(BUSINESS WIRE)– The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc. (“The ONE Group” or the “Company”) (Nasdaq: STKS) today reported its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 28, 2025.
Effective January 1, 2025, the Company adopted a new fiscal calendar structure using four 13-week quarters, with a 53rd week added when necessary. The 2025 fiscal year ran from January 1, 2025, to December 28, 2025.
This fiscal calendar change created timing differences that impacted quarterly comparisons: the fourth quarter of 2025 had 91 days versus 92 days in the fourth quarter of 2024. Additionally, the New Year’s Eve holiday shifted from fiscal 2025 to fiscal 2026. The exclusion of New Year’s Eve in the current year impacted total GAAP revenues by approximately 2.5%, representing 37% of the total GAAP revenue decline for the quarter.
Highlights for the fourth quarter 2025 compared to the same quarter in 2024 are as follows:
Total GAAP revenues decreased 6.7% to $207 million from $222 million;
Consolidated comparable sales*decreased 1.8%;
GAAP net loss attributable to The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc. increased to $6 million from a net income of $2 million primarily related to a non-cash loss on impairment of $7 million related to the Grill optimization strategy;
Restaurant Operating Profit**increased by 10 basis points to 19.5% of owned restaurant net revenue, excluding Grill Concepts restaurants closed or to be closed, from 19.4%; and,
Adjusted EBITDA*** attributable to The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc. decreased to $28 million from $31 million, with approximately $3 million of the decrease attributable to the New Year’s Eve holiday shift from fiscal 2025 to fiscal 2026.
Highlights for the full year 2025 compared to the full year 2024 are as follows:
Total GAAP revenues increased 19.7% to $806 million from $673 million;
Consolidated comparable sales*decreased 3.7%;
GAAP net loss attributable to The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc. increased to $92 million from a net loss of $17 million due primarily to an increase in the income tax expenses of $69 million, primarily related to the establishment of a non-cash tax valuation allowance, and non-cash lease termination and exits costs of $7 million coupled with a non-cash impairment of $11 million related to the Grill optimization strategy;
Adjusted Operating Income**** increased 15.2% to $38 million from $33 million; and,
Adjusted EBITDA*** attributable to The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc. increased 16.3% to $89 million, excluding approximately $4 million attributable to two days in fiscal year 2025 versus fiscal year 2024, from $76 million.
“Guests continue to choose our differentiated Vibe Dining concepts when they want memorable experiences. In the fourth quarter, consolidated comparable sales improved by four percentage points sequentially from the third quarter, with every brand contributing. So far in the first quarter, we are delivering positive consolidated comparable sales. These results confirm that our strategy is working, even in a challenging consumer environment,” said Emanuel “Manny” Hilario, President and CEO of The ONE Group.
“Our disciplined cost management initiatives continue to drive results. In the fourth quarter, we expanded our restaurant operating margins, even while facing sales deleveraging. Looking ahead, our operational foundation remains strong, supported by beef supply and pricing secured through September 2026 and significant cost synergies from the Benihana acquisition that we believe we have yet to fully capture,” Hilario continued.
“In 2025, we took decisive action to optimize our portfolio and position the company for sustained long-term growth. We closed six underperforming Grill locations and identified up to five additional units for conversion to our higher-performing Benihana or STK formats through 2026. Our first RA Sushi to STK conversion in Scottsdale, Arizona has exceeded expectations, operating at a run rate of approximately $7 million in annualized sales on an approximate $1 million capital investment. This validates the strength of this repositioning strategy. Additionally, we advanced our asset-light growth strategy by securing development rights for ten Benihana and Benihana Express locations in the San Francisco Bay Area, representing the largest franchise agreement in our Company’s history. We have also secured a commitment for an additional franchised Benihana location and a licensed Benihana Express location in the Florida Keys,” Hilario concluded.
Strategic Portfolio Optimization
Grill Concepts Rationalization:
Closed six underperforming Grill locations in 2025 and one in 2026;
Identified up to five additional Grill units for conversion to Benihana or STK formats through 2026;
Conversion economics: approximately $1.0 to $1.5 million per conversion with a one-year payback; and
Expected outcome: 100% profitable Grill portfolio with enhanced margins.
Capital Efficiency Focus:
Prioritizing asset-light and conversion-driven growth;
Targeting new company-owned openings averaging $1.5 million or less in build-out costs;
Significant reduction in discretionary capital expenditures to strengthen balance sheet; and
Advancing existing pipeline of approximately 12 signed leases with limited new signings.
2025 Restaurant Development
Restaurant
Location
Opening Date
Owned Benihana
San Mateo, California
March 2025
Owned STK
Topanga, California
April 2025
Owned STK (relocation)
Los Angeles, California
May 2025
Franchised Benihana Express
Miami, Florida
June 2025
Owned STK (RA Sushi conversion)
Scottsdale, Arizona
October 2025
Sports Arena Benihana
UBS Arena in Elmont, New York
December 2025
Owned STK
Oak Brook, Illinois
December 2025
2026 Restaurant Development and Pipeline
Quarter-to-date Activity:
January 2026: Opened Company-owned Kona Grill in San Antonio, Texas (relocation)
February 2026: Converted franchised Benihana to owned in Monterey, California
Currently Under Construction (4 locations):
Owned STK in Phoenix, Arizona
Owned STK in New York, New York (relocation of an existing STK restaurant)
Owned Benihana in San Jose, California
Owned Benihana in Seattle, Washington
Asset-Light Expansion Highlights:
Ten-restaurant franchise development agreement for Benihana/Benihana Express in Greater San Francisco Bay Area, California
Accelerates West Coast expansion while maintaining capital discipline
Two-restaurant commitment for a franchised Benihana and a licensed Benihana Express in the Florida Keys
Partnership with experienced operator ensures quality execution
Liquidity
As of December 28, 2025, the Company held $24 million in cash and short-term credit card receivables and had $27 million available under our revolving credit facility, or a total of $51 million in short term liquidity. Under the current conditions, the Company’s credit facility does not have any financial covenants.
2026 Financial Targets
The Company is introducing the following financial targets, reflecting the benefits of portfolio optimization, operational improvements, and continued Benihana integration synergies.
Financial Results and Other Select DataUS$s in millions
Q1 2026 GuidanceMarch 29, 2026
2026 GuidanceDecember 27, 2026
Total GAAP revenues
$217 to $221
$840 to $855
Consolidated comparable sales
0% to 1%
1% to 3%
Managed, license and franchise fee revenues
$3.5 to $4.0
$14 to $15
Total owned operating expenses as a percentage of owned restaurant net revenue
82% to 83%
82% to 83%
Consolidated total G&A, excluding stock-based compensation
$13 to $14
Approx. $53
Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA(1)
$28 to $29
$100 to $110
Consolidated restaurant pre-opening expenses
$1 to $2
$5 to $6
Consolidated effective income tax rate
Approx. 10%
Consolidated total capital expenditures, net of allowances received by landlords
$38 to $42
Consolidated number of new system-wide venues
6 to 10 new venues
Note: As of January 1, 2025, we began reporting financial information on a fiscal quarter basis using four 13-week quarters with the addition of a 53rd week when necessary. Our fourth quarter of 2025 had 91 days. For 2026, our fiscal calendar began on December 29, 2025 and ends on December 27, 2026.
(1) We have not reconciled guidance for Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA to the corresponding GAAP financial measure because we do not provide guidance for the various reconciling items. We are unable to provide guidance for these reconciling items because we cannot determine their probable significance, as certain items are outside of our control and cannot be reasonably predicted since these items could vary significantly from period to period. Accordingly, reconciliations to the corresponding GAAP financial measure are not available without unreasonable effort.
Conference Call and Webcast
Emanuel “Manny” Hilario, President and Chief Executive Officer, and Nicole Thaung, Chief Financial Officer, will host a conference call and webcast today at 8:30 AM Eastern Time.
The conference call can be accessed live over the phone by dialing 412-542-4186. A replay will be available after the call and can be accessed by dialing 412-317-6671; the passcode is 10206228. The replay will be available until Friday, March 27, 2026.
The webcast can be accessed from the Investor Relations tab of The ONE Group’s website at www.togrp.com under “News / Events.”
About The ONE Group
The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc. (Nasdaq: STKS) is an international restaurant company that develops and operates upscale and polished casual, high-energy restaurants and lounges and provides hospitality management services for hotels, casinos and other high-end venues both in the U.S. and internationally. The ONE Group is recognized as one of “America’s Greatest Companies” (Newsweek, 2025), and Benihana is honored as one of ”America’s Best Brands for Value” (Forbes, 2025). The ONE Group’s focus is to be the global leader in Vibe Dining, and its primary restaurant brands and operations are:
STK, a modern twist on the American steakhouse concept with restaurants in major metropolitan cities in the U.S., Europe and the Middle East, featuring premium steaks, seafood and specialty cocktails in an energetic upscale atmosphere.
Benihana, an interactive dining destination with highly skilled chefs preparing food right in front of guests and served in an energetic atmosphere alongside fresh sushi and innovative cocktails. The Company franchises Benihanas in the U.S., Caribbean, Central America, and South America.
Samurai, an interactive dining experience located in sunny Miami, FL, provides a distinctive dining experience where skilled personal chefs masterfully perform the ancient art of teppanyaki right before your eyes.
Kona Grill, a polished casual, bar-centric Grill concept with restaurants in the U.S., featuring American favorites, award-winning sushi, and specialty cocktails in an upscale casual atmosphere.
Salt Water Social is your gateway to the seven seas, featuring an array of signature and unique fresh seafood items, complemented by the highest quality beef dishes and elegant, delicious cocktails.
Benihana Express, a small footprint casual concept showcasing the best of Benihana but without teppanyaki tables or bar.
RA Sushi, a Japanese cuisine concept that offers a fun-filled, bar-forward, upbeat, and vibrant dining atmosphere with restaurants in the U.S. anchored by creative sushi, inventive drinks, and outstanding service.
ONE Hospitality, The ONE Group’s food and beverage hospitality services business develops, manages and operates premier restaurants and turnkey food and beverage services within high-end hotels and casinos currently operating venues in the U.S. and Europe.
Additional information about The ONE Group can be found at www.togrp.com.
Non-GAAP Definitions
We have evolved our definition of non-GAAP financial measures starting in Q4 2025. We use certain non-GAAP measures in analyzing operating performance and believe that the presentation of these measures provides investors and analysts with information that is beneficial to gaining an understanding of the Company’s financial results. Non-GAAP disclosures should not be viewed as a substitute for financial results determined in accordance with GAAP.
We exclude items management does not consider in the evaluation of its ongoing core operating performance from Adjusted EBITDA. Starting in Q4 2025, the Adjusted EBITDA attributable to closed Grill Concepts restaurants is excluded from Adjusted EBITDA. Reconciliations of these non-GAAP measures are included under “Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Measures” in this press release.
*Comparable sales represent total U.S. food and beverage sales at owned and managed units, a non-GAAP financial measure, opened for at least a full 24-months. This measure includes total revenue from our owned and managed locations. The Company monitors sales growth at its established restaurant base in addition to growth that results from restaurant acquisitions and new restaurant openings. Refer to the reconciliation of GAAP revenue to total food and beverage sales at owned and managed units in this press release.
**We define Adjusted EBITDA as net income (loss) before interest expense, provision for income taxes, depreciation and amortization, stock-based compensation, transition and integration expenses, loss on impairment of non-current assets, lease termination and exit expenses, transaction and exit costs, loss on early debt extinguishment, non-cash rent and the Adjusted EBITDA attributable to the closed Grill Concepts restaurants. Adjusted EBITDA has been presented in this press release and is a supplemental measure of financial performance that is not required by, or presented in accordance with, GAAP. Refer to the reconciliation of Net income (loss) to Adjusted EBITDA in this press release.
*** We define Restaurant Operating Profit as owned restaurant net revenue minus owned restaurant cost of sales and owned restaurant operating expenses. Restaurant Operating Profit has been presented in this press release and is a supplemental measure of financial performance that is not required by, or presented in accordance with, GAAP. Refer to the reconciliation of operating income to Restaurant Operating Profit in this press release.
**** We define Adjusted Operating Income as operating income (loss) before transition and integration expenses, loss on impairment of non-current assets, lease termination and exit expenses and transaction and exit costs. Not all the aforementioned items defining Adjusted Operating Income occur in each reporting period but have been included in our definitions of terms based on our historical activity. Adjusted Operating Income has been presented in this press release and is a supplemental measure of financial performance that is not required by, or presented in accordance with, GAAP. Refer to the reconciliation of operating income to Adjusted Operating Income in this press release.
Cautionary Statement on Forward-Looking Statements
This press release includes “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the “safe harbor” provisions of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including with respect to 2025 results, the impact of the Benihana Inc. acquisition, portfolio optimization, restaurant openings and 2026 financial targets. Forward-looking statements may be identified by the use of words such as “target,” “intend,” “anticipate,” “believe,” “expect,” “estimate,” “plan,” “outlook,” and “project” and other similar expressions that predict or indicate future events or trends or that are not statements of historical matters. A number of factors could cause actual results or outcomes to differ materially from those indicated by such forward-looking statements, including but not limited to: (1) our ability to integrate the new or acquired restaurants into our operations without disruptions to operations; (2) our ability to capture anticipated synergies; (3) our ability to open new restaurants and food and beverage locations in current and additional markets, grow and manage growth profitably, maintain relationships with suppliers and obtain adequate supply of products and retain employees; (4) factors beyond our control that affect the number and timing of new restaurant openings, including weather conditions and factors under the control of landlords, contractors and regulatory and/or licensing authorities; (5) our ability to successfully improve performance and cost, realize the benefits of our marketing efforts and achieve improved results as we focus on developing new management and license deals; (6) changes in applicable laws or regulations; (7) the possibility that The ONE Group may be adversely affected by other economic, business, and/or competitive factors, including economic downturns; (8) the impact of actual and potential changes in immigration policies, including potential labor shortages; (9) the potential impact of the imposition of tariffs, including increases in food prices and inflation and any resulting negative impacts on the macro-economic environment; (10) risks related to our development and franchise partners; (11) risks related to geopolitical events; and (12) other risks and uncertainties indicated from time to time in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including our Annual Report on Form 10-K filed for the year ended December 31, 2024 and Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q.
Investors are referred to the most recent reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission by The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc. Investors are cautioned not to place undue reliance upon any forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date made, and we undertake no obligation to update or revise the forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
DENVER–(BUSINESS WIRE)– The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc. (“The ONE Group” or the “Company”) (Nasdaq: STKS) today announced that Emanuel “Manny” Hilario, President and Chief Executive Officer, and Nicole Thaung, Chief Financial Officer, will host a conference call and webcast to discuss fourth quarter and fiscal year 2025 financial results on Friday, March 13, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. A press release containing the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2025 financial results will be issued before market open that same morning.
The conference call can be accessed live over the phone by dialing 412-542-4186. A replay will be available after the call and can be accessed by dialing 412-317-6671; the passcode is 10206228. The replay will be available until Friday, March 27, 2026.
The webcast can be accessed from the Investor Relations tab of The ONE Group’s website at http://www.togrp.com/ under “News / Events”.
About The ONE Group
The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc. (Nasdaq: STKS) is an international restaurant company that develops and operates upscale and polished casual, high-energy restaurants and lounges and provides hospitality management services for hotels, casinos and other high-end venues both in the U.S. and internationally. The ONE Group is recognized as one of “America’s Greatest Companies” (NEWSWEEK, 2025) and Benihana honored as Forbes Best Brands for Value . The ONE Group’s focus is to be the global leader in Vibe Dining, and its primary restaurant brands and operations are:
STK, a modern twist on the American steakhouse concept with restaurants in major metropolitan cities in the U.S., Europe and the Middle East, featuring premium steaks, seafood and specialty cocktails in an energetic upscale atmosphere.
Benihana, an interactive dining destination with highly skilled chefs preparing food right in front of guests and served in an energetic atmosphere alongside fresh sushi and innovative cocktails. The Company franchises Benihanas in the U.S., Caribbean, Central America, and South America.
Samurai, an interactive dining experience located in sunny Miami, FL, provides a distinctive dining experience where skilled personal chefs masterfully perform the ancient art of teppanyaki right before your eyes.
Kona Grill, a polished casual, bar-centric grill concept with restaurants in the U.S., featuring American favorites, award-winning sushi, and specialty cocktails in an upscale casual atmosphere.
Salt Water Social is your gateway to the seven seas, featuring an array of signature and unique fresh seafood items, complemented by the highest quality beef dishes and elegant, delicious cocktails.
Benihana Express, a small footprint casual concept showcasing the best of Benihana but without teppanyaki tables or bar.
RA Sushi, a Japanese cuisine concept that offers a fun-filled, bar-forward, upbeat, and vibrant dining atmosphere with restaurants in the U.S. anchored by creative sushi, inventive drinks, and outstanding service.
ONE Hospitality, The ONE Group’s food and beverage hospitality services business develops, manages and operates premier restaurants and turnkey food and beverage services within high-end hotels and casinos currently operating venues in the U.S. and Europe.
Additional information about The ONE Group can be found at www.togrp.com.
Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
4Q25. Preliminary total GAAP revenues for 4Q25 are expected to be approximately $207 million, a 6.8% decrease from $222 million in 4Q24 and below the $223 million consensus estimate. This decline was primarily driven by RA Sushi and Kona Grill closures as part of the portfolio optimization and the change in the Company’s fiscal year. The Grill closures are expected to reduce total GAAP revenues by approximately 2.4%, representing 35% of the expected total GAAP revenue decline.
Calendar Impacts. The fiscal calendar change to 4 equal quarters in 2025 created timing differences that impacted quarterly comparisons: 4Q25 had 91 days versus 92 days in 4Q24. Additionally, the New Year’s Eve holiday shifted from fiscal 2025 to fiscal 2026. The exclusion of New Year’s Eve in the current year impacted total GAAP revenues by approximately 2.5%, representing 37% of the expected total GAAP revenue decline. Fourth quarter comparable sales are expected to decrease by approximately 1.8%.
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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
Participating in the 28th Annual ICR Conference and Hosting a Fireside Chat at 10:30 AM ET Tomorrow
DENVER–(BUSINESS WIRE)– The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc. (“The ONE Group” or the “Company”) (Nasdaq: STKS) today reported preliminary sales results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 28, 2025, and announced its participation at the 28th Annual ICR Conference.
Preliminary Sales Results for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025
Our expectations with respect to our sales results for the fourth quarter and full year 2025 discussed below are based upon management estimates for the respective periods. Our expectations are subject to the completion of our financial closing procedures and any adjustments that may result from the completion of the review of our consolidated financial statements for the fourth quarter and full year 2025. Following the completion of our financial closing process and the review of our consolidated financial statements, we may report sales results for the fourth quarter and full year 2025 that could differ from our expectations, and the differences could be material.
The expectations set forth below have been prepared by, and are the responsibility of, our management. Deloitte & Touche, LLP, our independent registered public accounting firm, has not audited, reviewed, compiled or performed any procedures with respect to the preliminary estimates. Accordingly, Deloitte & Touche, LLP, does not express an opinion or any other form of assurance with respect thereto.
Preliminary total GAAP revenues for the full year 2025 are expected to be approximately $805 million, a 20% increase from the prior year’s $673 million. This growth was primarily driven by the acquisition of Benihana in May 2024. Comparable sales* are expected to decrease by approximately 3.7%.
Preliminary total GAAP revenues for the fourth quarter of 2025 are expected to be approximately $207 million, a 6.8% decrease from $222 million in the same quarter of 2024. This decline was primarily driven by RA Sushi and Kona Grill closures as part of the portfolio optimization and the change in the Company’s fiscal year. The Grill closures are expected to reduce total GAAP revenues by approximately 2.4%, representing 35% of the expected total GAAP revenue decline.
Effective January 1, 2025, the Company adopted a new fiscal calendar structure using four 13-week quarters, with a 53rd week added when necessary. The 2025 fiscal year ran from January 1, 2025, to December 28, 2025.
This fiscal calendar change created timing differences that impacted quarterly comparisons: the fourth quarter of 2025 had 91 days versus 92 days in the fourth quarter of 2024. Additionally, the New Year’s Eve holiday shifted from fiscal 2025 to fiscal 2026. The exclusion of New Year’s Eve in the current year impacted total GAAP revenues by approximately 2.5%, representing 37% of the expected total GAAP revenue decline. Fourth quarter comparable sales are expected to decrease by approximately 1.8%.
Preliminary sales highlights for the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to the same quarter in 2024 are as follows:
STK is expected to report positive comparable sales for the quarter of approximately 0.3%, representing the first quarter of positive comparable sales for the brand since 2023;
Benihana is expected to report flat comparable sales for the quarter;
Sequential improvement in consolidated comparable sales* of approximately 4 points from the third quarter driven by all brands during the quarter; and
First conversion of a RA Sushi to an STK in Scottsdale, Arizona is off to a strong start. In addition, in January 2026, the Company temporarily closed five Grills as part of the process to convert to future Benihana and STK restaurants.
“We were pleased to see sequential improvement in our comparable sales at all brands, with STK expected to end the quarter positive and Benihana essentially flat. We are seeing this momentum continue into the new year. We attribute this success to a robust holiday season and the strength of our operations initiatives. Headwinds continue to be strong, which we expect to result in lower-than-anticipated sales during the fourth quarter,” said Emanuel “Manny” Hilario, President and Chief Executive Officer of The ONE Group. “With challenges still impacting the industry, we attribute our traction to execution-driven initiatives within our direct control, including our targeted investments in reservation technology, streamlined operational flow, and comprehensive training initiatives. These efforts enabled us to capture even greater demand during our busiest periods by optimizing Benihana table efficiency while delivering exceptional and unforgettable experiences to our guests.”
“Looking to the new year, our number one priority is to conserve cash with the intent of optimizing our balance sheet. From a development perspective, we are focused on the RA Sushi and Kona Grill conversions to STK and Benihana restaurants and pursuing other asset-light opportunities to drive shareholder value. The recent signing of our Benihana development agreement is a game-changer, demonstrating the strong demand for our iconic brand. Additionally, our successful STK and Benihana openings and conversions, renewal of existing franchise agreements, and expanding presence in professional sports and entertainment stadiums further validate our disciplined approach to capital-efficient growth. We believe our future is bright, and we are well-equipped to capture the significant opportunities ahead of us.”
*Comparable sales, a non-GAAP financial measure, represent total U.S. food and beverage sales at owned and managed units opened for at least a full 24-months. This measure includes total revenue from our owned and managed locations. The Company monitors sales growth at its established restaurant base in addition to growth that results from restaurant acquisitions and new restaurant openings.
2025 Restaurant Development
The following restaurants were opened in 2025:
Franchised Benihana Express restaurant in Miami, Florida (June)
Licensed Benihana concession at UBS Arena in Elmont, New York (December)
Owned Benihana restaurant in San Mateo, California (March)
Owned STK restaurant in Topanga, California (April)
Owned STK restaurant in Los Angeles, California (May – relocation of our existing STK Westwood restaurant)
Owned STK restaurant in Scottsdale, Arizona (October – conversion of a former RA Sushi restaurant)
Owned STK restaurant in Oak Brook, Illinois (December)
Significant Asset-Light Expansion Planned for the Greater San Francisco Bay Area and Professional Sports and Entertainment Stadiums
In December 2025, The ONE Group announced that it entered into its largest asset-light development agreement in the Company’s history, securing development rights for a total of ten restaurants, either Benihana or Benihana Express locations, throughout the Greater San Francisco Bay Area with an experienced operator. This significantly accelerates its West Coast expansion while maintaining the Company’s focus on capital-efficient growth.
The ONE Group also strengthened its presence in high-traffic, professional sports and entertainment stadiums, demonstrating its ability to adapt its premium dining concepts to diverse formats. These partnerships are expected to generate high-margin royalty streams and create millions of fan impressions annually.
The Company renewed a three-year concession agreement at the Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, Arizona, home of the Phoenix Suns (NBA) and Phoenix Mercury (WNBA). The venue currently has a Benihana concession, and the new agreement also provides for STK-branded products to be offered.
The Company also secured a new three-year Benihana concession at UBS Arena in Elmont, New York, home of the New York Islanders (NHL), expanding its reach in the New York metropolitan area. The UBS Arena concession complements the existing Benihana concession at Yankee Stadium.
Capital-Efficient Growth Strategy Planned for 2026
The ONE Group will prioritize capital-efficient growth in 2026, with a goal to significantly reduce discretionary capital expenditures.
New restaurant Company-owned development will be focused on locations requiring $1.5 million or less to open. The Company will also work through its existing pipeline of approximately twelve leases rather than sign new lease agreements, which we believe will strengthen its balance sheet while enhancing financial flexibility.
The ONE Group has identified up to nine additional Kona Grill and RA Sushi locations for conversion to either Benihana or STK formats through the end of 2026. These conversions are expected to require approximately $1 million in capital investment per restaurant and are anticipated to be accretive to EBITDA.
Conference Participation
Emanuel “Manny” Hilario, President and Chief Executive Officer, and Nicole Thaung, Chief Financial Officer, will host a fireside chat at the 28th Annual ICR Conference at 10:30 am Eastern Time on January 13, 2026, and meet with institutional investors in-person on January 12-13, 2026.
The webcast of the fireside chat can be accessed from the Investor Relations tab of the Company’s website at www.togrp.com under “News / Events.”
About The ONE Group
The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc. (Nasdaq: STKS) is an international restaurant company that develops and operates upscale and polished casual, high-energy restaurants and lounges and provides hospitality management services for hotels, casinos and other high-end venues both in the U.S. and internationally. The ONE Group’s focus is to be the global leader in Vibe Dining, and its primary restaurant brands and operations are:
STK, a modern twist on the American steakhouse concept with restaurants in major metropolitan cities in the U.S., Europe, and the Middle East, featuring premium steaks, seafood, and specialty cocktails in an energetic upscale atmosphere.
Benihana, an interactive dining destination with highly skilled chefs preparing food right in front of guests and served in an energetic atmosphere alongside fresh sushi and innovative cocktails. The Company franchises Benihanas in the U.S., Caribbean, Central America, and South America.
Benihana Express, a small footprint casual concept showcasing the best of Benihana but without teppanyaki tables or bar.
Kona Grill, a polished casual, bar-centric grill concept with restaurants in the U.S., featuring American favorites, award-winning sushi, and specialty cocktails in an upscale casual atmosphere.
RA Sushi, a Japanese cuisine concept that offers a fun-filled, bar-forward, upbeat, and vibrant dining atmosphere with restaurants in the U.S. anchored by creative sushi, inventive drinks, and outstanding service.
Salt Water Social is your gateway to the seven seas, featuring an array of signature and unique fresh seafood items, complemented by the highest quality beef dishes and elegant, delicious cocktails.
Samurai, an interactive dining experience located in sunny Miami, FL, provides a distinctive dining experience where skilled personal chefs masterfully perform the ancient art of teppanyaki right before your eyes.
ONE Hospitality, The ONE Group’s food and beverage hospitality services business develops, manages, and operates premier restaurants and turnkey food and beverage services within high-end hotels and casinos currently operating venues in the U.S. and Europe.
Additional information about The ONE Group can be found at www.togrp.com.
Cautionary Statement on Forward-Looking Statements
This press release includes “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the “safe harbor” provisions of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including with respect to 2025 results, restaurant openings, and performance trends. Forward-looking statements may be identified by the use of words such as “target,” “intend,” “anticipate,” “believe,” “expect,” “estimate,” “plan,” “outlook,” and “project” and other similar expressions that predict or indicate future events or trends or that are not statements of historical matters. A number of factors could cause actual results or outcomes to differ materially from those indicated by such forward-looking statements, including but not limited to: (1) factors beyond our control that affect the number and timing of new restaurant openings, including weather conditions and factors under the control of landlords, contractors and regulatory and/or licensing authorities; (2) changes in applicable laws or regulations; (3) the possibility that The ONE Group may be adversely affected by other economic, business, and/or competitive factors, including economic downturns; (4) the impact of actual and potential changes in immigration policies, including potential labor shortages; (5) the potential impact of the imposition of tariffs, including increases in food prices and inflation and any resulting negative impacts on the macro-economic environment; and (6) other risks and uncertainties indicated from time to time in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including our Annual Report on Form 10-K filed for the year ended December 31, 2024 and Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q.
Investors are referred to the most recent reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission by The ONE Group. Investors are cautioned not to place undue reliance upon any forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date made, and we undertake no obligation to update or revise the forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
Non-GAAP Measures
The following table presents the elements of the quarterly and annual Comparable Sales measure for 2025:
2025 vs. 2024
Q1Actual
Q2Actual
Q3Actual
Q4Preliminary
Full YearPreliminary
US STK Total Restaurants
(3.6)%
(6.0)%
(5.8)%
0.3%
(3.7)%
Benihana Owned Restaurants
0.7%
0.4%
(4.0)%
(0.4)%
(0.8)%
Grill Concepts Owned Restaurants
(13.7)%
(14.6)%
(11.8)%
(9.4)%
(12.5)%
Combined Comparable Sales
(3.2)%
(4.1)%
(5.9)%
(1.8)%
(3.7)%
Benihana comprises approximately 58% of revenue, STK comprises 25% of revenue and Grill Concepts comprise approximately 17% of revenue.