The World Cup Is Back on American Soil for the First Time in 32 Years: Follow the Money

The 2026 FIFA World Cup officially begins today, June 11, and runs through July 19 across 16 cities in the United States, Canada, and Mexico. It is the largest tournament in the competition’s history — 48 teams, 104 matches, a projected global audience of more than 5 billion viewers, and commercial revenues estimated between $11 billion and $13 billion, up roughly 50% from the 2022 edition in Qatar. The United States is hosting 78 of the 104 matches across 11 cities including New York, Los Angeles, Miami, Dallas, Atlanta, Boston, Houston, and Seattle. The last time the US hosted was 1994 — a generation ago, before smartphones, before streaming, and before legal sports betting existed in virtually any American state.

The scale of what has changed in those 32 years is precisely what makes 2026 different from every prior World Cup as an investment event.

For investors, the question is not whether the World Cup generates economic activity. It clearly does. The question is where that activity concentrates — and which publicly traded companies are positioned to capture a meaningful share of it across a six-week window that begins today.

The Sports Betting Opportunity Is Real and Measurable

The single clearest financial beneficiary of a US-hosted World Cup in 2026 is the domestic sports betting industry — and the timing could not be more favorable. Legal sports betting is now available in 38 US states, compared to just three states when the tournament was last held on American soil. Global betting volumes during the tournament are projected to exceed $50 billion, averaging approximately $500 million per match, up sharply from $35 billion recorded during the 2022 World Cup. In-play wagering and parlay products tied to individual match events are expected to drive the majority of that volume growth.

For smaller publicly traded gaming and sports betting companies, a six-week window of record betting activity on 104 matches is a direct near-term revenue catalyst. Rush Street Interactive, one of the smaller publicly traded sportsbook operators, runs BetRivers across multiple US states and stands to benefit directly from elevated match-day wagering volumes. Regional casino operators with integrated sportsbook offerings in host cities are similarly positioned.

Prediction markets represent a newer layer of exposure. Robinhood’s recently launched Rothera exchange already accounted for approximately 10% of the company’s revenue in Q1 2026, making it one of the more direct plays on the prediction market boom that major sporting events historically accelerate.

The Hospitality Picture Is More Complicated

The economic impact projections for hotel and tourism spending are significant on paper — FIFA and the World Trade Organization project $6.4 billion in tourist spending in the US alone, with the accommodation and food sector identified as the primary beneficiary. However, the American Hotel and Lodging Association reported as recently as May that 80% of US host city hotels say bookings are tracking below those projections, citing visa processing barriers and geopolitical headwinds from the ongoing Iran conflict dampening international travel demand.

That gap between projection and reality is a meaningful qualifier for smaller regional hospitality operators in host cities who may have priced in demand that has not fully materialized. The domestic fan spending story remains more reliable than the international tourism story for this particular tournament, and investors tracking consumer-facing companies in host cities should weigh both sides of that equation carefully.

The Longer Arc

Beyond the six-week tournament window, the structural story is more compelling. Multiple research firms have characterized 2026 as soccer’s cultural inflection point in the United States — the moment the sport transitions from niche followership to mainstream commercial relevance in the largest sports economy in the world. Broadcast rights, digital engagement, merchandise, and youth participation spending all have multi-year trajectories that a successful US-hosted World Cup accelerates in ways that outlast the final whistle on July 19.

For companies in sports media, digital fan engagement, sports data and analytics, and gaming technology, that longer arc may ultimately matter more than the tournament itself. The 32-year wait is over. The commercial machine behind it has never been larger.

Codere Online (CDRO) – Mexican Metrics Drive Favorable Results


Monday, May 19, 2025

Codere Online refers, collectively, to Codere Online Luxembourg, S.A. and its subsidiaries. Codere Online launched in 2014 as part of the renowned casino operator Codere Group. Codere Online offers online sports betting and online casino through its state-of-the art website and mobile application. Codere currently operates in its core markets of Spain, Italy, Mexico, Colombia, Panama and the City of Buenos Aires (Argentina). Codere Online’s online business is complemented by Codere Group’s physical presence throughout Latin America, forming the foundation of the leading omnichannel gaming and casino presence in the region.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Solid start to the year. First quarter revenues increased a solid 7.5% to €57.0 million, beating our €55.0 million estimate, in spite of currency headwinds. On a constant currency basis, revenues would have increased a strong 17%. Adj. EBITDA of €1.8 million, was slightly better than our €1.4 million estimate. 

Maintain full year 2025 estimates, tweaking upward 2026 estimates. Management reiterated revenue and adj. EBITDA guidance for the full year 2025. We anticipate that revenues will accelerate to the high single digits to the low double digits in the third and fourth quarter, respectively. We are tweaking upward our full year 2026 revenue and adj. EBITDA estimates on the the favorable momentum in Mexico and prospects for lower marketing spend. 


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