Thursday, July 30, 2026
Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Updating Estimates. We have adjusted our second-quarter 2026 revenue, adj. EBITDA, and adj. EPS estimates to $17.4 million, $9.3 million, and $1.44, respectively, from $17.3 million, $8.4 million, and $1.18. Our estimates reflect modestly higher time charter equivalent rates and lower voyage expenses due to lower fuel costs. For FY 2026, we forecast revenue, adj. EBITDA, and adj. EPS of $66.0 million, $31.9 million, and $4.27, respectively, compared to our previous estimates of $65.3 million, $30.5 million, and $3.87.
Intermediate-Term Outlook Remains Constructive. The intermediate-term outlook for the dry bulk shipping industry remains favorable, supported by strengthening charter rates, resilient demand for iron ore, grain, and bauxite, and a highly supportive supply backdrop. A historically low order book, limited shipyard capacity, an aging global fleet, and increasingly stringent environmental regulations are expected to constrain vessel supply growth and support freight rates through 2026. While the 2027 outlook offers less certainty, EuroDry has the flexibility to respond to market conditions by increasing its fixed-rate charter coverage.
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