Author: slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Amedisys and UnitedHealth Extend Deadline for $3.3 Billion Merger Amid Regulatory Challenges

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com
Key Points:
– Amedisys and UnitedHealth extended the merger deadline to Dec. 31, 2025, or 10 days after a court ruling, amid DOJ and state regulatory challenges.
– The agreement includes a breakup fee ranging from $275 million to $325 million if certain divestitures are not completed by May 1, 2025.
– Amedisys shares rose by over 4% following the extension announcement, reflecting investor optimism.

UnitedHealth Group (UNH) and Amedisys (AMED) have announced an extension of the deadline to finalize their $3.3 billion merger as regulatory hurdles persist. Initially set for completion this week, the merger now faces delays as the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) and state regulators challenge its potential market implications.

The DOJ and multiple state regulators have raised concerns over the merger, citing its potential to give UnitedHealth disproportionate control in the home health and hospice care market. This market is a critical component of the healthcare sector, providing essential services to aging populations and those requiring specialized care. Regulators argue that the deal could stifle competition, leading to higher costs and reduced innovation.

The case is currently under review in a Maryland federal court, where a judge will decide whether the merger can proceed. UnitedHealth and Amedisys have committed to addressing these concerns, emphasizing the potential benefits of the merger, including improved service delivery and expanded care options.

In a regulatory filing on Friday, Amedisys disclosed that both companies waived their right to terminate the merger agreement until Dec. 31, 2025, or the 10th business day following the court’s final ruling, whichever comes first. This extension reflects the companies’ confidence in resolving the legal challenges and underscores their commitment to completing the transaction.

To mitigate antitrust concerns, the companies have agreed to a regulatory breakup fee. If the deal falls apart, Amedisys could be entitled to $275 million, increasing to $325 million if the firms fail to divest specific assets by May 1, 2025. These provisions highlight the high stakes of the merger and the potential financial consequences of a failed agreement.

News of the extended deadline brought a positive response from investors, with Amedisys shares rising by over 4% in early trading on Friday. The surge reflects market optimism about the companies’ ability to navigate the legal landscape. Conversely, UnitedHealth shares saw minimal change, reflecting the market’s cautious outlook on the prolonged regulatory process.

The merger, announced in June 2023, represents a strategic move for both companies. Amedisys specializes in home health and hospice care, and its integration into UnitedHealth’s portfolio would significantly enhance the latter’s healthcare offerings. Despite the challenges, both firms remain steadfast in their commitment to completing the transaction and addressing regulatory concerns.

The federal court’s ruling will be pivotal in determining the merger’s future. If approved, the deal could reshape the home healthcare landscape, introducing new efficiencies and expanded services. However, failure to secure approval could force both companies to reevaluate their strategies.

Comtech Telecommunications (CMTL) – What’s Up With CMTL Shares?

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com


Friday, December 27, 2024

Comtech Telecommunications Corp. engages in the design, development, production, and marketing of products, systems, and services for advanced communications solutions in the United States and internationally. It operates in three segments: Telecommunications Transmission, Mobile Data Communications, and RF Microwave Amplifiers. The Telecommunications Transmission segment provides satellite earth station equipment and systems, over-the-horizon microwave systems, and forward error correction technology, which are used in various commercial and government applications, including backhaul of wireless and cellular traffic, broadcasting (including HDTV), IP-based communications traffic, long distance telephony, and secure defense applications. The Mobile Data Communications segment provides mobile satellite transceivers, and computers and satellite earth station network gateways and associated installation, training, and maintenance services; supplies and operates satellite packet data networks, including arranging and providing satellite capacity; and offers microsatellites and related components. The RF Microwave Amplifiers segment designs, develops, manufactures, and markets satellite earth station traveling wave tube amplifiers (TWTA) and broadband amplifiers. Its amplifiers are used in broadcast and broadband satellite communication; defense applications, such as telecommunications systems and electronic warfare systems; and commercial applications comprising oncology treatment systems, as well as to amplify signals carrying voice, video, or data for air-to-satellite-to-ground communications. The company serves satellite systems integrators, wireless and other communication service providers, broadcasters, defense contractors, military, governments, and oil companies. Comtech markets its products through independent representatives and value-added resellers. The company was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Melville, New York.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Share Price and Volume Action. CMTL shares have experienced some unusual price and volume action recently. With the share price rising each day over the past week, someone is feeling positive about CMTL. Could the recent action suggest a deal for the sale of the Terrestrial and Wireless segment is closer? Business conditions are improving? Something else? While the answer is unknown at this point, CMTL shares bear watching, in our view.

Recent Action. CMTL shares closed at $3.01 on December 19th. The next day, the shares rose to $3.69 on a volume of 2,132,200 shares, about five times ADV. On December 23rd, another 1,074,900 shares were traded, with the stock closing at $3.89. Yesterday, 866,278 shares were traded, with CMTL closing at $4.37, with an intraday high of $4.57, meaning CMTL shares have appreciated over 45% over the past week.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Xcel Brands (XELB) – A Noisy Quarter, But In Line With Expectations

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com


Friday, December 27, 2024

Xcel Brands, Inc. 1333 Broadway 10th Floor New York, NY 10018 United States https:/Sector(s): Consumer Cyclical Industry: Apparel Manufacturing Full Time Employees: 84 Key Executives Name Title Pay Exercised Year Born Mr. Robert W. D’Loren Chairman, Pres & CEO 1.27M N/A 1958 Mr. James F. Haran CFO, Principal Financial & Accou

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Q3 Results. The company reported Q3 revenue and adj. EBITDA of $1.9 million and a loss of $1.0 million, respectively, both of which were largely in line with our forecast, as illustrated in Figure #1 Q3 Results. Notably, the quarter was impacted by Hurricanes, which led to canceled shows and delayed sales, resulting in roughly $500,000 of lost revenue. Importantly, we believe the company’s long term growth outlook remains favorable.

Looking past the Noise. In Q3, the company recorded a non-cash charge of $6.3 million, which is related to its equity interest in Isaac Mizrahi. The write-down anticipates that the company may not meet the minimum royalty threshold in 2025, which would result in a decrease in its ownership interest in Isaac Mizrahi from 30% to 17.5%.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Nippon Steel Delays U.S. Steel Acquisition as Biden’s Decision Looms

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

In a significant move, Nippon Steel has postponed the closing date for its $14.9 billion acquisition of U.S. Steel, extending the deadline from late 2024 to the first quarter of 2025. This delay comes as U.S. President Joe Biden contemplates whether to approve the deal, which has been met with strong opposition from unions and political figures.

Nippon Steel’s decision to acquire U.S. Steel last December at a premium price was part of a competitive bidding process. However, the deal has faced considerable pushback, particularly from the United Steelworkers (USW) union, which fears job losses and the potential impact on workers’ rights. Additionally, political leaders, including Biden, have expressed concerns about foreign ownership of vital U.S. industries. Biden has publicly advocated for U.S. Steel to remain under domestic control, emphasizing national security concerns.

The situation is further complicated by statements from former President Donald Trump, who has vowed to block the deal once he takes office. As the clock ticks down, the U.S. government’s Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS) has referred the case to Biden, giving the President 15 days to make a final decision. If Biden does not intervene, the deal could proceed by default, leading to a rare green light for foreign acquisitions of U.S. companies.

Despite these uncertainties, Nippon Steel remains optimistic, urging Biden to conduct a fair and thorough review. In a statement released on Thursday, the company emphasized its commitment to maintaining and growing U.S. Steel’s operations. “Nippon Steel hopes that the President will use this time to conduct a fair and fact-based evaluation of the acquisition. We remain confident that the acquisition will protect and grow U.S. Steel,” the company said.

Investor confidence in the deal remains cautious. U.S. Steel shares, which have been trading below the proposed $55-per-share offer price, rose by 1.7% in early trading. This disparity suggests that market participants are still uncertain about the acquisition’s completion timeline, given the political and regulatory hurdles still in play.

Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba has also weighed in on the issue, urging Biden to approve the merger in order to strengthen the U.S.-Japan relationship. This appeal highlights the broader geopolitical context of the deal, which is seen as a potential test case for U.S. policy on foreign investments in critical industries.

Along with the scrutiny from political figures, Nippon Steel is also undergoing an antitrust review by the U.S. Department of Justice, which has yet to conclude. The company has refrained from specifying when this review will be completed, adding another layer of uncertainty to the transaction.

Despite the vocal opposition, U.S. Steel’s shareholders overwhelmingly approved the acquisition in April, signaling broad support from investors. Additionally, Nippon Steel has taken steps to address concerns raised by labor unions and politicians. The company has committed to relocating its U.S. headquarters to Pittsburgh, where U.S. Steel is based, and ensuring that all existing agreements between U.S. Steel and the USW are honored.

The fate of this high-stakes deal now rests in the hands of President Biden, whose decision will have far-reaching implications not only for the future of U.S. Steel but also for U.S.-Japan economic relations and foreign investment policies in the U.S.

US Unemployment Applications Hold Steady, But Continuing Claims Hit 3-Year High

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com
Key Points:
– Unemployment benefit applications remained steady at 219,000, slightly below analyst forecasts.
– Continuing claims, which track those still receiving benefits, rose by 46,000 to 1.91 million, the highest level in three years.
– The labor market shows signs of softening, but overall, remains resilient despite high interest rates.

The latest data from the U.S. Labor Department reveals that new jobless claims remained relatively stable last week, but continuing claims reached their highest level in three years, signaling potential challenges for some workers in finding new employment.

For the week of Dec. 21, jobless claims decreased slightly by 1,000, totaling 219,000, which was better than the forecasted 223,000. While the initial claims remained steady, continuing claims — which represent the total number of Americans still receiving unemployment benefits — surged by 46,000, reaching 1.91 million for the week of Dec. 14. This marks the highest level since November 2021, when the economy was still in the recovery phase following the sharp job losses triggered by the COVID-19 pandemic.

The rise in continuing claims suggests that some workers are facing greater difficulty in securing new jobs, despite a still-growing economy. While initial claims remain relatively low, the increased number of people staying on unemployment benefits for longer periods may indicate that the demand for labor is slowing. The situation is also being closely monitored by economists, as this uptick could point to broader trends in the labor market, especially as businesses continue to adjust to rising interest rates.

In addition to the weekly claims data, the four-week moving average of jobless claims increased by 1,000, to a total of 226,500. This measure smooths out weekly fluctuations and provides a clearer picture of underlying trends. While this increase is modest, it still points to a slight softening in the labor market.

Despite these signs of some cooling in the job market, the broader economy has continued to outperform expectations, with employment trends staying relatively strong. Many economists had predicted that the labor market would slow down significantly due to the Federal Reserve’s aggressive interest rate hikes, yet these forecasts have largely not materialized. The Fed’s efforts to curb inflation, which spiked during the post-pandemic recovery, have pushed rates higher over the past two years, but their full impact on employment has not been as severe as anticipated.

The Federal Reserve recently reduced its key interest rate for the third consecutive time, a move aimed at tempering inflation, although the rate remains above the central bank’s target of 2%. In a surprising shift, the Fed also projected fewer interest rate cuts for 2025, revising its forecast from four cuts to just two.

Further data released earlier this month showed that U.S. job openings rose to 7.7 million in October, up from a three-and-a-half-year low of 7.4 million in September. This suggests that businesses are still looking for workers, even as hiring growth has slowed. The November jobs report also revealed that employers added 227,000 jobs, well above expectations, after a disappointing 36,000-job gain in October. This uptick in hiring comes after the disruptions caused by strikes and hurricanes in late 2023.

The December jobs report, set to be released on January 10, will provide further insight into the state of the labor market and whether the trends of rising continuing claims continue into the new year. Despite some signs of softening, the U.S. labor market remains relatively healthy, indicating that job growth is still a crucial pillar of the broader economy.

Perfect (PERF) – Turning on the Acquisition Engine

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com


Thursday, December 26, 2024

Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Acquisition of Wannaby. On December 24, the company announced that it has entered into an agreement to acquire Wannaby from Fartech, a British e-commerce company. Wannaby is a virtual try-on technology operation that focuses on shoes and accessories, such as handbags. The addition of Wannaby’s technology is set to expand Perfect’s suite of virtual try-on capabilities. 

Expanding service offering. The addition of Wannaby’s virtual try-on capabilities should open new revenue verticals. It also allows the company to provide a more all-encompassing suite of virtual try-on services to existing and perspective brand clients. We believe this will bolster the company’s competitive position and could lead to higher B2B contract values and enhanced revenue growth. 


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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Dow Rises 200 Points in Christmas Eve Rally, Led by Tech and Semiconductors

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com
Key Points:
– The Dow climbed 200 points (0.5%) on Christmas Eve, with the S&P 500 up 0.7% and the Nasdaq gaining 1%, led by Tesla’s 4% jump.
– The Santa Claus rally, a seasonal trend of strong market performance, began, historically delivering a 1.3% average gain for the S&P 500 during this period.
– American Airlines briefly grounded flights due to technical issues, causing disruptions on a key travel day.

The stock market delivered a festive boost on Christmas Eve, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbing 200 points, or 0.5%, as investors embraced a seasonal rally. The S&P 500 rose 0.7%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite outperformed, gaining nearly 1%, buoyed by strong performances from Tesla, Amazon, and Nvidia.

The shortened trading day marked the start of the Santa Claus rally, a historical trend where markets typically perform well in the last five trading days of the year and the first two of the new year. Since 1950, the S&P 500 has posted an average gain of 1.3% during this period, significantly above the average seven-day return of 0.3%, according to LPL Research.

Tesla shares jumped 4% on Tuesday, continuing a strong December rally that has seen the stock climb 30% month-to-date. Other tech giants, including Amazon and Nvidia, also contributed to the Nasdaq’s nearly 4% gain this month, with Alphabet up 16% and Apple rising 10%.

The S&P 500 has dipped 0.3% so far in December, while the Dow remains down about 4%, reflecting a mixed month for equities. Despite these broader losses, Tuesday’s rally offered a positive note as investors capitalized on strength in technology and semiconductor stocks.

Paul Hickey, co-founder of Bespoke Investment Group, expressed cautious optimism about the rally on CNBC’s Squawk Box. “There’s a lot of good to think about, but I think at the same time, you want to be restrained in your enthusiasm here because the market has rallied,” Hickey said.

Trading volumes were thin on the holiday-shortened day, with the New York Stock Exchange closing early at 1 p.m. ET and bond markets following suit at 2 p.m. U.S. markets will remain closed Wednesday in observance of Christmas.

Beyond the stock market, American Airlines briefly grounded all flights on Tuesday due to a technical issue, creating disruptions on one of the busiest travel days of the year. The company’s shares experienced fluctuations during the session but recovered by the close.

Investors now look ahead to the remainder of the Santa Claus rally period, seeking to close out 2024 on a positive note. With major tech stocks leading gains and the semiconductor sector showing resilience, the holiday rally could provide much-needed momentum heading into the new year.

Comstock (LODE) – Partnership Seeks to Enhance Low Carbon Renewable Fuel Yields

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com


Tuesday, December 24, 2024

Comstock (NYSE: LODE) innovates technologies that contribute to global decarbonization and circularity by efficiently converting under-utilized natural resources into renewable fuels and electrification products that contribute to balancing global uses and emissions of carbon. The Company intends to achieve exponential growth and extraordinary financial, natural, and social gains by building, owning, and operating a fleet of advanced carbon neutral extraction and refining facilities, by selling an array of complimentary process solutions and related services, and by licensing selected technologies to qualified strategic partners. To learn more, please visit www.comstock.inc.

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Partnership with Emerging Fuels Technology, Inc. (EFT). Under terms of a Technology Cooperation Agreement, Comstock will enter into a Master License Agreement with Emerging Fuels Technology, Inc. (EFT) to integrate EFT’s gas-to-liquids (GTL) process into Comstock’s renewable fuel solutions to capture and convert carbon emissions into emissions derived renewable fuels. Commercialization of existing and future Comstock Fuels Corporation’s renewable fuel technologies, including those developed through its partnership with EFT, will be managed exclusively by Comstock Fuels.

The goal. Integrating EFT’s GTL process to convert process emissions offers the potential to increase Comstock’s bulk biomass conversion yields to more than 140 gasoline gallon equivalents (GGE) and greater than 70% of the maximum yield from most forms of woody biomass. Because up to 20% of feedstock value could otherwise be lost to process emissions, converting a portion of the losses into additional yield with EFT’s commercial solution could enhance market adoption of the companies’ combined offering.


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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Retail Investors Seize Buying Opportunity in Novo Nordisk Amid Weight-Loss Drug Data Dip

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com
Key Points:
– Retail fund inflows into Novo Nordisk surged 32-fold to $15.6 million after weaker-than-expected drug trial results caused a 27% stock drop.
– The weight-loss drug market, led by Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly, is projected to surpass $150 billion in revenue over the next decade.
– Retail investors view the sell-off as a buying opportunity, showcasing confidence in Novo’s long-term potential despite short-term setbacks.

Retail investors have flocked to Novo Nordisk (NYSE: NVO) following the release of underwhelming results for its experimental weight-loss drug, CagriSema. U.S. retail fund inflows into the Danish pharmaceutical giant surged by an unprecedented 32-fold on Friday, reaching $15.6 million from just $0.49 million the day before, according to Vanda Research.

The spike in retail activity was triggered by a 27% drop in Novo’s share price, erasing over $100 billion in market value. The data revealed that CagriSema helped patients achieve a 22.7% weight reduction, falling short of the anticipated 25%. Despite the disappointing results, retail investors saw the sharp decline as a rare buying opportunity for one of the most prominent players in the burgeoning weight-loss drug market.

Shares of Novo Nordisk closed at $81.50 on Friday, marking their lowest level since August 2023 and dipping below the S&P 500 performance for the first time in two years. Marco Iachini, senior vice president of research at Vanda, commented, “Retail investors love to buy dips, especially in popular stocks, and do so until that doesn’t work anymore.”

The weight-loss drug market, projected to surpass $150 billion in revenue within the next decade, has been dominated by Novo Nordisk’s Wegovy and Eli Lilly’s Zepbound. Despite Novo’s dip, its rival Eli Lilly (NYSE: LLY) has consistently outpaced Novo in retail flows during the latter half of 2024.

Retail purchases of Eli Lilly peaked in August, when its weight-loss drug sales exceeded $1 billion for the quarter, prompting a $3 billion forecast increase. Analysts believe this demonstrates the robust retail appetite for weight-loss-related stocks, even as their activity in these companies lags behind tech giants like Nvidia and Tesla.

The retail influx into Novo on Friday likely provided institutional investors with an exit strategy amid the sell-off. Vanda data shows retail fund inflows for Novo previously reached a high of $23.5 million in March 2024, following positive data from its amycretin drug.

Sel Hardy, vice president of equity research at CFRA, highlighted the growing retail interest in healthcare stocks like Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly, driven by their prominence in the GLP-1 drug market. “With their GLP-1 product in the market and Eli Lilly being a lot in the news, a lot of retail investors know about Lilly,” Hardy said.

For investors eyeing future entry points, Hardy noted that recent sell-offs in healthcare stocks, such as Lilly’s dips in October and November, have historically presented attractive opportunities.

Despite Novo Nordisk’s sharp drop, the company remains a leader in the weight-loss sector, and Friday’s retail activity underscores continued investor confidence in its long-term potential. The healthcare sector’s prominence in the weight-loss market ensures that stocks like Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly will remain key focal points for retail investors seeking opportunities in a rapidly expanding industry.

Xerox Acquires Lexmark in $1.5 Billion Deal to Reclaim Market Leadership

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com
Key Points:
– Xerox acquires Lexmark for $1.5 billion, bringing the printer and software maker back under U.S. ownership.
– The deal enhances Xerox’s global scale, with a combined client base of 200,000 across 170 countries.
– Xerox reduces its dividend to fund the acquisition, aiming to close the transaction by late 2025.

Xerox (NASDAQ: XRX), a global leader in office equipment, has announced its acquisition of Lexmark International in a $1.5 billion deal. The purchase brings Lexmark, previously owned by a consortium of Chinese investors, back under U.S. ownership. This strategic acquisition aims to bolster Xerox’s core business and expand its reach in the competitive global printing market.

Lexmark, formed from IBM in 1991, was sold to Chinese investors in 2016 for $3.6 billion. This acquisition by Xerox not only returns the printer and software maker to American hands but also strengthens Xerox’s ability to compete in a rapidly evolving market. With five consecutive quarters of declining revenue and increasing competition from HP, Canon, and others, Xerox sees this move as pivotal for growth and innovation.

The combined company will serve over 200,000 clients across 170 countries, positioning Xerox among the top five global firms in various print segments. Lexmark’s expertise in the expanding A4 segment—smaller-format printers and copiers commonly used in homes and offices—provides Xerox with enhanced capabilities to meet customer needs.

In addition to improving Xerox’s global scale, the acquisition strengthens its presence in the Asia-Pacific region, a critical area for growth. “This transaction aligns with our strategy to optimize operations and deliver superior value to our customers and stakeholders,” said Xerox CEO Steve Bandrowczak.

To finance the deal, which includes Lexmark’s debt, Xerox plans to use a combination of cash reserves and debt financing. As part of this effort, Xerox will reduce its annual dividend to $0.50 per share from $1, starting with the first quarter of 2025. The company expects the transaction to close in the second half of 2025, pending regulatory approval and customary closing conditions.

The acquisition comes at a time when Xerox is diversifying its portfolio to include IT services. In October 2024, Xerox acquired ITsavvy, an Illinois-based IT products firm, for $400 million to expand its capabilities beyond traditional printing solutions. This dual strategy underscores Xerox’s commitment to adapting to a digital-first economy while reinforcing its foundational business.

The Lexmark deal offers a path to improved revenue and operational efficiency. By combining resources, Xerox and Lexmark aim to capitalize on synergies, reduce costs, and deliver innovative solutions to customers worldwide. With demand for printers and related equipment declining in the digital age, the partnership signals a renewed focus on adaptability and value creation.

The acquisition is expected to reignite investor confidence in Xerox, whose shares, down over 50% this year, rose nearly 5% in premarket trading following the announcement. As Xerox and Lexmark move forward, this deal could redefine the competitive landscape in the global print and software industry, offering both companies a stronger footing to navigate market challenges and opportunities.

Nordstrom Family to Take Retail Giant Private in $6.25 Billion Deal

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com
Key Points:
– Nordstrom will go private in a $6.25 billion deal, with shareholders receiving $24.25 per share in cash.
– The Nordstrom family will hold a 50.1% stake, with Mexican retailer Liverpool owning 49.9%.
– The privatization aims to revitalize Nordstrom’s operations away from public market pressures.

Nordstrom Inc., the iconic department store chain, is set to go private in a landmark $6.25 billion deal spearheaded by its founding family. This strategic move is designed to provide the company with greater flexibility away from the pressures of the public market, enabling it to address evolving retail challenges more effectively.

Under the terms of the agreement, Nordstrom shareholders will receive $24.25 per share in cash, reflecting a significant valuation for the company. The transaction, expected to close in the first half of 2025, will leave the Nordstrom family with a controlling 50.1% stake, while their partner, Mexican retailer El Puerto de Liverpool SAB, will hold the remaining 49.9%.

Nordstrom’s stock has seen a 33% increase this year, bolstered by optimism surrounding the retail sector’s recovery and this transformative move. However, the offer represents a notable decline from a 2018 bid by the family to take the company private at $50 per share, which the board deemed too low at the time.

This privatization signals the Nordstrom family’s confidence in reviving the brand’s fortunes amidst a shifting retail landscape. CEO Erik Nordstrom expressed optimism about the deal, stating, “On behalf of my family, we look forward to working with our teams to ensure Nordstrom thrives long into the future.”

Nordstrom, like many department stores, has struggled to regain its pre-pandemic revenue levels. After peaking at $15.9 billion in annual revenue in fiscal 2019, the company’s sales have not returned to those heights. Analysts project fiscal 2024 revenue to close at $14.9 billion, reflecting a lingering decline exacerbated by changing consumer habits and the rise of online competitors such as Amazon.

The challenges faced by Nordstrom echo broader trends in the U.S. department store sector. Macy’s Inc. has downsized its store footprint to reduce costs, while Saks Fifth Avenue and Neiman Marcus have undergone significant ownership changes to adapt to market dynamics.

The transaction will be funded through a mix of rollover equity contributions from the Nordstrom family and Liverpool, $450 million in borrowings from a $1.2 billion ABL bank facility, and company cash reserves. A special dividend of up to $0.25 per share is planned for shareholders, contingent on the deal’s completion.

The Nordstrom board, excluding Erik and Peter Nordstrom, who recused themselves from the vote, unanimously approved the transaction. The deal still requires approval from two-thirds of the company’s common stockholders, including a majority of shares not owned by the Nordstrom family or Liverpool.

Taking Nordstrom private marks a pivotal moment for the 123-year-old retailer, granting it the freedom to restructure and innovate away from Wall Street’s scrutiny. The Nordstrom family’s continued involvement and partnership with Liverpool signal a commitment to ensuring the company adapts to the evolving retail landscape.

The success of this move could serve as a case study for other legacy retailers grappling with similar challenges, as Nordstrom seeks to reclaim its position as a leader in the retail industry.

Maple Gold Mines (MGMLF) – Setting Up for an Eventful 2025

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com


Monday, December 23, 2024

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Completion of the restructuring transaction. As expected, Maple Gold Mines recently completed its joint venture restructuring transaction with Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd. (NYSE, AEM). Maple has legal title to and a 100% ownership interest in the Douay Gold Project with gold mineral resources exceeding 3.0 million ounces and the past-producing, high-grade Joutel Gold Project. Both projects are located along the Casa Berardi-Douay Gold Trend in the renowned Abitibi Greenstone Gold Belt in Quebec, Canada.

Upcoming drilling program. Maple Gold’s fully funded drilling program is expected to commence shortly and run through March. The company is using a data-driven approach toward exploration that is focused on expanding the company’s gold mineral resource from approximately three million ounces to five million ounces across the combined Douay/Joutel projects, along with making new discoveries. An updated resource estimate and scoping study is expected to be completed within the next 12 to 18 months (Refer to our research note dated December 12 for more details).


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Probe Gold Expands its Monique Gold Deposit with Key Acquisition

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com
Key Points:
– Probe Gold acquires Bermont Claims to extend Monique Deposit’s strike length by 750 meters, adding exploration potential.
– Historical drilling identified high-grade gold zones, including intercepts of up to 30.9 g/t gold over 1.6 meters.
– The acquisition expands surface mine infrastructure, facilitating operational efficiencies and reduced costs.

Probe Gold Inc. has announced the acquisition of the Bermont Claims property, strategically located adjacent to its Monique Gold Deposit in Val-d’Or, Quebec. This move is poised to extend the strike length of the Monique Deposit by 750 meters, offering significant opportunities for resource expansion and exploration. The transaction aligns with Probe Gold’s commitment to maximizing the potential of its Novador Development Project and advancing high-quality gold resources.

The newly acquired property spans ten contiguous claims and adds critical exploration upside. Historical drilling has identified high-grade gold zones, including the Bermont and Adelemont zones, which remain open laterally and at depth. Despite limited exploration, previous results from the property demonstrate promising grades, such as 30.9 g/t gold over 1.6 meters and 5.7 g/t gold over 3.2 meters. Probe Gold plans to incorporate this land into its 2025 exploration and resource expansion programs, focusing on uncovering additional high-grade mineralization.

David Palmer, President and CEO of Probe Gold, emphasized the strategic value of this acquisition. “This new land enhances our Monique Deposit by increasing exploration potential by 30%, while also offering critical space for surface mine infrastructure,” Palmer stated. He further highlighted the acquisition’s potential to unlock new high-grade discoveries and contribute to an even more robust Novador Development Project.

The transaction includes an upfront payment of $3 million, split evenly between cash and common shares of Probe Gold. Additionally, a $1.5 million milestone payment, in cash or shares, will be made upon confirming a resource of at least 1 million ounces of gold on the property. Jadmine, the seller, will retain a 3.5% net smelter return royalty, of which 2.5% can be purchased by Probe Gold for $2.5 million.

The Bermont Claims property complements the Monique Deposit, which currently hosts 3.56 million ounces of measured and indicated resources and 677,300 ounces of inferred resources. Geological similarities between the Bermont Claims and Monique Deposit strengthen the potential for integrating new discoveries into Probe’s existing operations. Moreover, the property’s expanded surface area is expected to facilitate mine design improvements, reducing costs and increasing operational efficiency.

Since 2016, Probe Gold has been consolidating its position in the Val-d’Or mining district, known for its prolific gold production and mining-friendly environment. The Novador Development Project, which hosts four past-producing mines and accounts for 80% of the company’s gold resources, is central to Probe Gold’s strategy. This acquisition aligns with the company’s focus on advancing resource-rich properties in politically stable and low-cost regions.

The deal is expected to close in the coming weeks, subject to regulatory approvals and customary closing conditions. With an aggressive exploration plan set for 2025, Probe Gold aims to leverage this acquisition to enhance its production profile and create long-term value for shareholders.

As the Monique Deposit grows in scope and potential, Probe Gold solidifies its position as a leader in the Canadian gold mining industry, driving forward with a vision for sustainable growth and innovation.