Author: slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Bitcoin Depot (BTM) – Q2 Upside Drives Full-Year Upward Revisions

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com


Wednesday, August 13, 2025

Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Strong Q2 results. Bitcoin Depot reported Q2 revenue of $172.1 million (5.5% growth YoY), better than our estimate of $167.5 million. Adj. EBITDA of $18.5 million (46.2% growth YoY) beat our estimate of $15.5 million. The impressive results were driven by stronger revenue per kiosk, particularly among mature locations.

Kiosk expansion. The company added roughly 600 kiosks during Q2, ending with 9,000 units in operation. About 3,300 kiosks are still in early ramp, suggesting room for productivity gains. Bitcoin Depot also holds 1,700 units in inventory, enabling growth without near-term capex. In Australia, 200 kiosks have been deployed, and management is evaluating two more international markets.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Bit Digital (BTBT) – WhiteFiber IPO

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com


Wednesday, August 13, 2025

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

IPO. WhiteFiber has been brought public through the sale of 9.375 million shares at $17/sh. Upon completion of the offering, Bit Digital retained ownership of 74.3% of the 36.4 million outstanding shares (71.5% if the underwriters exercised the full option). WhiteFiber shares are trading on the NASDAQ under the symbol WYFI.

Funding. Net proceeds from the IPO were expected to be approximately $145.1 million, or approximately $167.4 million if the underwriters exercised their option in full. Management anticipates using the funds for the build out and expansion of the business.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Sapiens to Go Private in $2.5 Billion Acquisition by Advent

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Sapiens International Corporation N.V., a global provider of SaaS-based software for the insurance industry, has agreed to be acquired by private equity giant Advent in a $2.5 billion all-cash deal. The agreement values Sapiens at $43.50 per share, a 64% premium over its undisturbed closing price of $26.52 on August 8, 2025.

Under the terms of the transaction, existing shareholder Formula Systems will retain a minority stake, continuing its long-standing involvement with the company. Once the deal closes, Sapiens’ shares will be delisted, and the company will operate as a privately held entity.

The acquisition is designed to accelerate Sapiens’ expansion in the global insurance technology market. Advent’s investment will focus on strengthening the company’s SaaS capabilities, advancing artificial intelligence tools, and broadening its reach into new geographies. Both firms expect the partnership to enhance Sapiens’ ability to deliver modern, scalable solutions to insurers navigating an increasingly digital and competitive environment.

Founded in 1982, Sapiens serves over 600 customers in more than 30 countries, offering core software for life, pension, annuities, property and casualty insurance, as well as reinsurance and compliance systems. In recent years, the company has invested heavily in cloud-based platforms and AI-driven analytics, positioning itself as a partner for carriers undergoing large-scale digital transformation.

Advent, which manages more than $94 billion in assets and has completed over 430 investments worldwide, sees the insurance technology sector as a high-growth area ripe for modernization. By leveraging its global network, operational expertise, and capital resources, Advent aims to accelerate Sapiens’ product innovation and improve the speed at which insurers can deploy next-generation solutions.

The transaction has been unanimously approved by Sapiens’ board of directors following a review by a special committee. Advent has secured both debt and equity financing to fund the acquisition, including a $1.3 billion equity commitment. Completion remains subject to shareholder and regulatory approvals, with closing expected in late 2025 or early 2026.

Financial advisors to the deal include William Blair for Sapiens and Citi for Advent. Legal counsel is being provided by Latham & Watkins LLP and Meitar Law Offices for Sapiens, and by Kirkland & Ellis LLP and Herzog Fox Neeman for Advent.

Sapiens will not host its scheduled second-quarter earnings call, but plans to release its Q2 2025 results via press release later today.

If completed, the acquisition will mark a significant step in the ongoing consolidation of the insurance technology market, giving Sapiens the flexibility and resources of private ownership while positioning it for faster innovation in a rapidly evolving sector.

WideOpenWest to Go Private in $1.5 Billion Deal with DigitalBridge and Crestview Partners

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

WideOpenWest, Inc. (NYSE: WOW), one of the nation’s largest broadband providers, has agreed to a $1.5 billion buyout by DigitalBridge Group, Inc. and Crestview Partners, marking the company’s exit from public markets. Under the agreement, shareholders will receive $5.20 in cash per share — a 63% premium over the most recent closing price and a 37.2% premium from its unaffected value prior to a May 2024 offer.

Crestview, which already owns roughly 37% of WOW!’s outstanding shares, will roll over its stake and partner with DigitalBridge to take the company private. The partnership signals a strategic push to accelerate WOW!’s growth, expand its geographic reach, and invest heavily in advanced broadband infrastructure.

With a footprint spanning 20 markets in the Midwest and Southeast, WOW! passes nearly 2 million homes and businesses, offering internet, TV, and phone services. In recent years, the company has made significant investments in all-fiber networks, including builds in Central Florida and South Carolina. Going private is expected to give the company greater flexibility to pursue such large-scale infrastructure projects without the constraints of quarterly earnings pressures.

The acquisition also underscores broader private-equity interest in U.S. broadband assets, as demand for high-speed internet continues to climb. DigitalBridge, a global investor in digital infrastructure, brings a track record in funding and operating fiber networks, while Crestview’s long-term involvement offers stability and operational experience. Together, the firms intend to strengthen WOW!’s competitive position through technology upgrades, enhanced customer service, and targeted market expansion.

The transaction has been unanimously approved by WOW!’s board following a review by a special committee of independent directors. The process involved evaluating multiple strategic options, with the board concluding that the offer delivered the best value for shareholders.

Completion of the deal is contingent on shareholder and regulatory approvals, with closing anticipated by late 2025 or early 2026. Once finalized, WOW! will be delisted from the New York Stock Exchange and operate as a privately held company.

Advisors to the transaction include Centerview Partners for WOW!’s special committee, with Wachtell, Lipton, Rosen & Katz serving as legal counsel. DigitalBridge and Crestview are being advised by LionTree Advisors, with Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs as structuring advisors. Legal counsel is being provided by Simpson Thacher & Bartlett LLP for DigitalBridge and Davis Polk & Wardwell LLP for Crestview.

For customers, the shift to private ownership is expected to be seamless, with no disruption to services. However, both ownership groups have signaled a strong commitment to expanding network capacity, enhancing speed and reliability, and introducing new offerings designed to meet the evolving needs of both residential and business users.

July CPI Report Keeps Fed in Tight Spot as Rate-Cut Debate Heats Up

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A fresh reading on inflation in July has left the Federal Reserve facing a difficult policy choice: act quickly to support a cooling labor market or hold steady to ensure inflation returns to target. Core Consumer Price Index (CPI), which strips out food and energy, rose 3.1% year over year in July — above economists’ 3.0% forecast and up from 2.9% in June. On a monthly basis, core CPI increased 0.3%, matching expectations. Headline CPI rose 2.7% year over year, a touch below the 2.8% consensus.

The mixed picture — a slightly softer headline print but hotter core inflation — complicates the Fed’s September decision. Markets, however, have already swung toward loosening: futures traders are pricing in roughly a 92% chance of a 25-basis-point cut in September. That reflects growing concern about recent labor-market weakness and the potential political impetus for easing.

Employment data released earlier this month deepened that concern. The U.S. added only 73,000 jobs in July, the unemployment rate edged up to 4.2%, and May and June payrolls were revised sharply lower by a combined 258,000. The three-month average for job growth is now about 35,000 — a pace many economists view as consistent with a significant cooling in hiring. Those revisions have amplified calls from some quarters of the Fed to move sooner on rate cuts to cushion the labor market.

At the same time, services inflation, the historically stickier component of the CPI, moved higher in July after moderating earlier in the year. Certain goods categories such as furniture and footwear also showed renewed upward pressure. Because core CPI and core PCE (the Fed’s preferred gauge) tend to move together, the stronger core CPI reading raises the risk that core PCE will also show another above-target reading in coming reports, analysts say.

Policy makers at the Fed remain divided. Several regional presidents and officials have emphasized caution, arguing that elevated inflation — still more than a full percentage point above the Fed’s 2% goal on a core basis — counsels patience. Others have pointed to the softening employment trend as a compelling reason to begin easing policy soon. That split was evident in recent public remarks from Fed officials, who ranged from urging a patient approach to signaling readiness to cut if labor-market deterioration continues.

The White House has also weighed in, increasing political pressure on the Fed to move. That intervention adds another dimension to an already fraught decision, though policymakers stress their commitment to independence and data-driven decisions.

Looking ahead, the Fed will watch August inflation components closely along with incoming employment and consumer spending data. If services inflation continues to run hot, the case for holding rates rises; if job growth further weakens and labor-market indicators soften, arguments for a September cut will strengthen.

For now, the July CPI leaves the Fed between two difficult paths: risk undermining the inflation fight by cutting too soon, or risk further labor-market deterioration by waiting. The choice in September will hinge on the next tranche of inflation and jobs data — and on how policymakers weigh those competing risks.

V2X (VVX) – Expanding Capabilities

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com


Tuesday, August 12, 2025

V2X builds innovative solutions that integrate physical and digital environments by aligning people, actions, and technology. V2X is embedded in all elements of a critical mission’s lifecycle to enhance readiness, optimize resource management, and boost security. The company provides innovation spanning national security, defense, civilian, and international markets. With a global team of approximately 16,000 professionals, V2X enables mission success by injecting AI and machine learning capabilities to meet today’s toughest challenges across all operational domains.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

A Tuck-in. Last night, after the market closed, V2X announced it had entered into an agreement to acquire a specialized data engineering, intel mission support, and cyber solutions business serving the Intelligence Community (IC). The transaction is valued at approximately $24 million, net of estimated tax benefits. We expect additional details to follow.

IC Expansion. The acquisition advances V2X’s strategic growth objectives and further extends its reach beyond traditional defense markets, enabling the Company to pursue a greater share of the National Intelligence Program budget and related opportunities. The acquisition adds some 70 people to V2X.


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Direct Digital Holdings (DRCT) – A Significant, Positive Development

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com


Tuesday, August 12, 2025

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Converts the majority of its debt. The company announced that it has converted $25.0 million of its roughly $34.4 million in debt into a perpetual Series A Preferred Convertible Stock. The Preferred Stock will carry a cumulative annual 10% dividend, based on board of approval, and will be convertible at $2.50 per Class A common share. Following the transaction, the company will have roughly $9.4 million debt remaining under its Term Loan Facility. The move is viewed favorably. 

Significant, but manageable restrictions. The company will be required to maintain total leverage below 3.5 to1 declining to 3.25 to 1. In addition, the company will need to maintain a fixed charge coverage of 1.25 to 1 rising to 1.5 to 1. In addition, the company must maintain $1.5 million in unrestricted cash. Finally, the company must maintain a minimum of consolidated EBITDA of $1.0 million for fiscal quarters end Sept. 2025 and then $500,000 thereafter. 


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Nutriband (NTRB) – CEO Gareth Sheridan To Run For President Of Ireland

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com


Tuesday, August 12, 2025

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

CFO Will Transition To CEO. Nutriband CEO and Co-Founder Gareth Sheridan has announced plans to take a three-month leave from the company to run for President of the Republic of Ireland. The current CFO and Co-Founder, Serguei Melnik, will become Acting CEO as Mr. Sheridan campaigns. The election is expected to be held in late September or early October. If elected, Sergeui will become CEO. If Mr. Sheridan is not elected, he may return to the company.

We Wish Gareth Sheridan Well In The Election. As a Co-founder and CEO of the company, Gareth Sheridan has guided the company from an idea to becoming a NASDAQ-listed company with three divisions. Nutriband’s financial planning has allowed  it to develop the AVERSA technology with low operating losses, keeping the share base low.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

MariMed Inc (MRMD) – Expand the Brand

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com


Tuesday, August 12, 2025

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Expand the Brand. With the recent Pennsylvania and Maine announcements, MariMed continues to implement its Expand the Brand strategy, which is focused on making the Company’s products accessible to as many consumers as possible. We expect the Company to look at additional new markets, such as New York and New Jersey, for additional expansion.

Market Remains Mixed. There remains a lot of near-term uncertainty in the cannabis industry. Pricing pressures, market saturation, and the lack of federal reform still pose a challenge that MariMed will need to navigate. Entering into established cannabis markets that are expanding into the adult recreational use market enables the Company to quickly capture share in proven markets.


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Cadrenal Therapeutics (CVKD) – 2Q25 Included Clinical Strategy Change and Manufacturing Progress

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com


Tuesday, August 12, 2025

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Cadrenal Reports 2Q With Product News. Cadrenal reported a 2Q25 loss of $3.7 million or $(1.87) per share. During the quarter, the company announced a design modification for the upcoming tecarfarin clinical trial. The company also transferred its manufacturing technology to a CDMO and completed production scale-up in preparation for clinical trials. Cash on June 30, 2025 was $5.6 million.

New Trial Focuses On First Months Of Dialysis. As described in our Research Note on August 7 , the new trial design reflects recent research showing the first four to six months after the start of renal dialysis are an ultra-high-risk period for cardiac events including myocardial infarction, stroke, embolism, and death. The design change will be testing tecarfarin as an anticoagulant to reduce these events. The clinical site activation and trial enrollment are expected to begin around year-end.


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Ripple’s $200M Rail Acquisition: A Strategic Play for Stablecoin Market Dominance

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

In a bold move to consolidate its position in the rapidly evolving digital payments landscape, Ripple has announced its intent to acquire Rail, a Toronto-based stablecoin payment platform, for $200 million. This strategic acquisition represents more than just another corporate deal—it signals Ripple’s commitment to capturing the explosive growth in stablecoin-powered international business payments.

The timing of this acquisition is particularly significant. As traditional financial institutions grapple with the inefficiencies of legacy cross-border payment systems, stablecoins have emerged as a compelling alternative, offering the speed and cost advantages of blockchain technology while maintaining price stability through fiat currency backing. Rail’s impressive market penetration—processing an anticipated 10% of the $36 billion global business-to-business stablecoin payment market in 2025—demonstrates the platform’s ability to execute at scale in this burgeoning sector.

Rail’s value proposition extends beyond mere transaction processing. The platform has built sophisticated infrastructure that addresses critical pain points in international business payments. Its virtual account system eliminates the need for companies to maintain dedicated cryptocurrency bank accounts or exchange wallets, significantly lowering barriers to entry for traditional businesses hesitant to directly hold digital assets. This approach has proven particularly attractive to enterprises seeking the benefits of blockchain-based payments without the operational complexity typically associated with cryptocurrency management.

For Ripple, this acquisition represents a natural evolution of its enterprise-focused strategy. While the company has established itself as a leader in institutional digital asset solutions, Rail’s automated back-office infrastructure and comprehensive fiat-to-stablecoin bridging capabilities fill crucial gaps in Ripple’s service offering. The combination creates what executives describe as the most comprehensive stablecoin payment solution available in the current market.

The strategic synergies between the two companies are immediately apparent. Ripple brings extensive regulatory compliance infrastructure, including over 60 licenses across multiple jurisdictions, along with established relationships with major financial institutions. Rail contributes technical innovation in virtual account management and a proven track record in stablecoin payment processing. Together, they can offer clients a seamless experience spanning traditional banking rails and cutting-edge blockchain infrastructure.

The acquisition also reflects broader industry trends toward consolidation in the fintech space. As regulatory frameworks for digital assets mature and institutional adoption accelerates, companies with complementary capabilities are increasingly seeking to combine forces rather than compete across overlapping territories. Ripple’s approach of acquiring rather than building these capabilities internally suggests confidence in Rail’s existing technology and team.

From a competitive standpoint, this deal positions Ripple to challenge established players in the international payments space more effectively. Traditional providers like SWIFT and correspondent banking networks have struggled to match the speed and cost efficiency of blockchain-based alternatives. By combining Ripple’s liquidity network with Rail’s operational infrastructure, the merged entity can offer enterprise clients a genuinely differentiated value proposition.

The $200 million price tag, while substantial, represents a strategic investment in Ripple’s long-term vision of blockchain-powered global finance. With the acquisition expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2025, pending regulatory approvals, both companies will have time to integrate their operations and prepare for what promises to be an increasingly competitive landscape in digital payments infrastructure.

E.W. Scripps (SSP) – Fed Rate Action Could Ignite Auto Advertising

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com


Monday, August 11, 2025

The E.W. Scripps Company (NASDAQ: SSP) is a diversified media company focused on creating a better-informed world. As one of the nation’s largest local TV broadcasters, Scripps serves communities with quality, objective local journalism and operates a portfolio of 61 stations in 41 markets. The Scripps Networks reach nearly every American through the national news outlets Court TV and Newsy and popular entertainment brands ION, Bounce, Defy TV, Grit, ION Mystery, Laff and TrueReal. Scripps is the nation’s largest holder of broadcast spectrum. Scripps runs an award-winning investigative reporting newsroom in Washington, D.C., and is the longtime steward of the Scripps National Spelling Bee. Founded in 1878, Scripps has held for decades to the motto, “Give light and the people will find their own way.”

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Q2 results largely in line. Total company revenue of $540.0 million was a tad shy of our $546.6 million estimate, but was close enough. The biggest downside variance was Political, which is very unpredictable especially in an off election year. Importantly, the company overachieved our adj. EBITDA estimate, $88.8 million versus $84.8 million. 

Tweaking estimates. Management indicated that Q3 Core advertising was pacing flat in Q3, a sequential improvement from down 1.9% in q2, but a little lighter than we had hoped given the year earlier Political displacement. We tweaked our Q3 revenue estimate down 2.1% to $528.5 million and adj. EBITDA estimate down 2.8% to $71.5 million. 


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V2X (VVX) – AIP Sells Some More

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com


Monday, August 11, 2025

V2X builds innovative solutions that integrate physical and digital environments by aligning people, actions, and technology. V2X is embedded in all elements of a critical mission’s lifecycle to enhance readiness, optimize resource management, and boost security. The company provides innovation spanning national security, defense, civilian, and international markets. With a global team of approximately 16,000 professionals, V2X enables mission success by injecting AI and machine learning capabilities to meet today’s toughest challenges across all operational domains.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Another Sale. AIP, through its Vertex Aerospace Holdco LLC sub, is selling another 2 million shares of VVX stock through an offering that is expected to close on August 11th. This will be the fourth such sale as the private equity firm continues to lighten its V2X holdings.

V2X to Buy. Subject to the closing of the offering, V2X has agreed to purchase 200,000 shares of V2X’s common stock that are subject to the offering at a price per share of common stock equal to the price to be paid to Vertex Aerospace by the underwriter. V2X intends to fund the repurchase of its common stock with cash on hand. This will cost approximately $10 million, 


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