Author: slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Aurania Resources (AUIAF) – Primed for Progress

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com


Monday, June 02, 2025

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Annual general meeting. Aurania Resources will host its Annual Meeting of Shareholders at 1:30 pm ET on Thursday, June 12. Shareholders will vote to elect directors, appoint McGovern Hurley LLP as auditor for the ensuing year, and approve Aurania’s incentive stock option plan. Dr. Keith Barron, Chairman, President, and CEO, is expected to provide a brief update on activities following the formal part of the meeting. Aurania will provide a link to a video and/or audio replay of Dr. Barron’s update.

First quarter financial results. As an exploration company, Aurania does not generate revenue and incurs costs to advance its projects. During the first quarter, the company reported a net loss of C$5,106,264 or C$(0.05) per share compared to a loss of C$4,736,264 or C$(0.07) per share during the prior year period. Weighted average shares outstanding increased to 104,168,397 compared to 67,471,7737 during the first quarter of 2024. Exploration expenditures increased to C$3,949,010 compared to C$3,536,819 during the prior year period to fund activities in both Ecuador and France.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Aura Minerals’ Strategic Bet: Acquiring Serra Grande Gold Mine to Boost Growth in Brazil

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com
Key Points:
– Aura Minerals to buy Serra Grande gold mine from AngloGold for $76M plus royalties.
– The mine has produced 3M+ oz of gold, with Aura aiming to boost output and cut costs.
– Deal set to close by late 2025, pending regulatory and operational approvals.

Aura Minerals Inc. has announced a major step in its growth trajectory with the acquisition of the Mineração Serra Grande (MSG) gold mine from AngloGold Ashanti, in a deal that could significantly reshape the company’s position in Brazil’s mining sector. The transaction, valued at an upfront $76 million plus a 3% net smelter return on existing resources, reflects Aura’s confidence in the long-term potential of this historically productive asset.

Located near Crixás in the northwest of Goiás, Brazil, Serra Grande has been a cornerstone of AngloGold’s Brazilian portfolio, producing over 3 million ounces of gold since 1998. With three underground mines, an open-pit operation, and a metallurgical plant boasting a capacity of 1.5 million tonnes per year, the site is well-established. The acquisition marks Aura’s strategic return to a familiar asset – several team members have prior experience with Serra Grande, positioning them to optimize its future operations.

Rodrigo Barbosa, Aura’s President and CEO, emphasized the transformative potential of the deal. “Through our disciplined capital allocation, Aura 360 culture, and a targeted exploration program, we believe we can significantly enhance performance, boost production, reduce costs, and extend the Life of Mine at Serra Grande,” Barbosa said. He also hinted at ambitions to make Serra Grande a new cornerstone in Aura’s diversified portfolio, which already includes operations across Brazil, Mexico, and Central America.

However, the acquisition comes with conditions. It is contingent upon antitrust approval from Brazilian authorities (CADE), the completion of a legacy tailings dam decommissioning, and a corporate restructuring to spin off certain non-core subsidiaries of MSG. Barring unforeseen delays, Aura expects to finalize the deal by the third or fourth quarter of 2025.

From a technical standpoint, AngloGold’s last reported resource statement (Dec. 2024) estimated over 1 million ounces of Measured and Indicated gold resources, with an additional 1.4 million ounces classified as Inferred. While Aura considers these numbers as “historical estimates” and not compliant with Canadian NI 43-101 reporting standards, they highlight the untapped potential of the site. Aura plans to verify and potentially expand these resources through further exploration and technical work.

This acquisition reflects broader trends in the gold mining industry: mid-tier players like Aura are increasingly seizing opportunities to acquire under-optimized assets from global majors. The shift also demonstrates growing investor appetite for junior and mid-cap miners with clear value creation plans.

By reinvigorating a legacy operation with fresh capital, experienced leadership, and its unique Aura 360 philosophy—which balances profitability with environmental and social responsibility—Aura is making a bold statement. If successful, Serra Grande could represent not just an increase in output, but a model for revitalizing aging mining assets across Latin America.

As global gold demand remains resilient and macroeconomic uncertainty supports strong prices, Aura’s calculated risk may well pay off, cementing its role as a nimble and forward-looking player in the mining industry.

Inflation Eases to 2.1% in April, Offering Potential Breathing Room to Fed

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com
Key Points:
– April’s inflation rate slowed to 2.1%, lower than expected, easing pressure on the Federal Reserve.
– Consumer spending grew just 0.2%, while the savings rate jumped to 4.9%.
– Core PCE inflation held at 2.5% annually, supporting a wait-and-see approach from policymakers.

Inflation cooled in April, offering a potential signal that price pressures may be stabilizing and possibly giving the Federal Reserve more flexibility in managing interest rates. According to data released Friday by the Commerce Department, the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index — the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge — rose just 0.1% for the month, bringing the annual rate down to 2.1%. That figure is slightly below expectations and marks the lowest inflation reading of the year so far.

Core PCE, which strips out the more volatile food and energy categories and is considered a better indicator of long-term inflation trends, also increased just 0.1% in April. On a year-over-year basis, core inflation stood at 2.5%, slightly under the anticipated 2.6%.

These subdued inflation figures arrive amid a backdrop of softer consumer spending and a jump in personal savings. Consumer spending rose just 0.2% for the month — a sharp slowdown from the 0.7% gain in March. Meanwhile, the personal savings rate surged to 4.9%, its highest level in nearly a year. This suggests that households may be pulling back on discretionary purchases and becoming more cautious with their finances.

The moderation in price increases could provide the Federal Reserve with more breathing room as it considers the trajectory of interest rates. While the Fed has resisted calls for rate cuts amid lingering inflation concerns, a sustained easing trend could support a policy shift later this year. However, the central bank remains wary, particularly as some inflationary risks — such as potential tariff impacts — loom in the background.

Energy prices ticked up by 0.5% in April, while food prices dipped by 0.3%. Shelter costs, a key driver of persistent inflation in recent months, continued to rise at a 0.4% pace. Nonetheless, the overall inflation picture showed clear signs of deceleration.

Notably, personal income climbed by 0.8% in April, well above the 0.3% estimate. This growth in income, paired with higher savings, points to a consumer base that may be more financially resilient than previously thought, even if spending has temporarily cooled.

Markets responded with relative indifference to the inflation data. Stock futures drifted lower and Treasury yields were mixed, as investors weighed the implications for future monetary policy against broader economic uncertainties.

Recent trade tensions — especially President Trump’s imposition of sweeping tariffs and the ongoing legal back-and-forth over their legitimacy — add complexity to the outlook. While the direct inflationary impact of tariffs has so far been muted, economists warn that higher input costs could feed into prices later this year if tariff policies persist.

Looking ahead, the Fed will be closely monitoring inflation trends, consumer behavior, and labor market developments. If price pressures remain tame and growth conditions warrant, the central bank may eventually consider adjusting rates — though for now, caution remains the guiding principle.

Conduent (CNDT) – DOGE Concerns Offer Attractive Investment Opportunity

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com


Friday, May 30, 2025

Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Investment thesis on track. We believe the company is on track to deliver on our full-year revenue and adj. EBITDA forecast, despite investor concerns around federal budget cuts, to which we believe the company has limited actual exposure. Moreover, although there may be some concerns over disruption from potential new asset sales, we anticipate that additional sales would likely focus on lower-margin business units and could help to bolster the company’s long-term cashflow margin profile.

Re-affirming full year 2025 estimates. While we are largely maintaining our full year estimates, we are fine-tuning the quarterly cadence of adj. EBITDA to better reflect seasonality. Our Q2 and Q3 adj. EBITDA estimates are raised to $33 million and $52 million, respectively, while Q4 is lowered to $54 million, reflecting factors tied to SNAP and Medicare enrollment. We expect 2026 revenue growth of 3% to $3.22 billion with adj. EBITDA margin expansion to 8.0%.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Xcel Brands (XELB) – Building A Sizeable Social Media Presence

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com


Friday, May 30, 2025

Xcel Brands, Inc. 1333 Broadway 10th Floor New York, NY 10018 United States https:/Sector(s): Consumer Cyclical Industry: Apparel Manufacturing Full Time Employees: 84 Key Executives Name Title Pay Exercised Year Born Mr. Robert W. D’Loren Chairman, Pres & CEO 1.27M N/A 1958 Mr. James F. Haran CFO, Principal Financial & Accou

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Lackluster Q4 results. The company reported Q4 revenue of $1.2 million and an adj. EBITDA loss of $0.8 million, both of which were well below our estimates of $2.6 million and $0.2 million, respectively, as illustrated in Figure #1 Q4 Results. Notably, while Q4 results were softer than expected, the company has signed several new brands this year, which have yet to impact operating results. Importantly, the new brand launches have increased the company’s total social media following from 5 million to 45 million over the past five months, a significant step towards reaching its goal of 100 million followers.

Preliminary Q1 results. Additionally, the company provided preliminary Q1 results of $1.33 million in revenue, a decrease from $2.18 million last year, and an expected net loss of roughly $2.67 million, which is an improvement from a net loss of $6.35 million last year. The improvement in net loss is attributable to a $0.8 million improvement in core operating results and a $2.3 million impairment charge recorded in the prior year period. 


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

E.l.f. Beauty Bets Big on Skincare, Acquires Hailey Bieber’s Rhode for $1 Billion

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com
Key Points:
– E.l.f. acquires Hailey Bieber’s Rhode to expand into high-end skincare.
– Rhode hit $212M in sales in 3 years, driven by DTC and social media.
– Rhode to launch in Sephora; Bieber stays on as creative head.

E.l.f. Beauty is making a bold move into the luxury skincare space with its acquisition of Hailey Bieber’s skincare brand, Rhode, in a deal valued at up to $1 billion. The acquisition, announced Wednesday, marks E.l.f.’s largest to date and signals a strategic shift to broaden its appeal and strengthen its skincare portfolio.

The deal includes $800 million in cash and stock, with an additional $200 million contingent on Rhode’s performance over the next three years. It’s expected to close later this year, during the second quarter of E.l.f.’s fiscal 2026.

Founded in 2022 by Bieber and co-founders Michael and Lauren Ratner, Rhode has skyrocketed to success in just three years, generating $212 million in net sales with a minimalist product lineup. The brand’s direct-to-consumer model and social media dominance — particularly on TikTok — have driven exponential growth and massive brand awareness.

“I’ve been in the consumer space for 34 years, and I’ve never seen anything like this,” said E.l.f. CEO Tarang Amin. “Rhode disrupted the skincare market with just 10 products and a clear, authentic voice.”

Hailey Bieber will stay on as Rhode’s Chief Creative Officer and Head of Innovation, continuing to oversee marketing and product development. In a statement, she expressed excitement about scaling Rhode with E.l.f., saying the partnership will “elevate and accelerate” their reach and global distribution.

While Rhode has operated exclusively through its website, it is set to launch in Sephora stores across North America and the U.K. before year-end — a move expected to significantly boost retail presence and revenue.

Goldman Sachs analysts called the acquisition a “strategic positive,” praising Rhode’s potential to elevate E.l.f.’s brand value and attract a higher-income customer segment. Rhode’s average product price — in the high $20 range — complements E.l.f.’s affordable core products, which start around $6.50.

This move follows E.l.f.’s 2023 acquisition of Naturium for $355 million, underscoring its commitment to expanding in skincare — a category with growing demand among younger consumers.

However, the timing poses challenges. E.l.f. is funding $600 million of the deal with debt amid high interest rates, and it faces uncertainty around tariffs on Chinese imports, from which it sources 75% of its products. The company is also planning a $1 price hike beginning in August to counter rising costs.

Despite these headwinds, E.l.f. reported strong Q4 results: earnings per share of $0.78 (vs. $0.72 expected) and $333 million in revenue (vs. $328 million forecasted). But due to ongoing trade tensions and tariff risks, the company declined to offer guidance for fiscal 2026.

The Rhode deal reflects E.l.f.’s confidence in premium skincare’s resilience—even in a shaky economic climate—and positions the brand to capture a larger share of the beauty market with innovative, high-impact products.

Zeo Energy to Acquire Heliogen, Forming a Comprehensive Clean Energy Platform

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com
Key Points:
– Zeo to acquire Heliogen in an all-stock deal, expanding its clean energy reach.
– Adds long-duration storage, targeting sectors like data centers and AI.
– Boosts efficiency and financing for large-scale energy projects.

In a move that underscores the accelerating convergence of solar energy and long-duration storage solutions, Zeo Energy Corp. (Nasdaq: ZEO) has announced its acquisition of Heliogen, Inc. (OTCQX: HLGN) in an all-stock transaction valued at approximately $10 million. The deal aims to create a unified clean energy platform that serves residential, commercial, and utility-scale markets across the U.S. and beyond.

Zeo Energy, a Florida-based provider of residential solar and energy efficiency services, will integrate Heliogen’s advanced storage technologies to expand into commercial and industrial-scale clean energy applications. These include mission-critical sectors such as data centers, AI infrastructure, and cloud computing facilities—markets increasingly in need of reliable, scalable, and cost-effective energy solutions.

The acquisition represents the outcome of Heliogen’s comprehensive strategic alternatives review and is expected to close in the third quarter of 2025, pending regulatory and shareholder approvals. With the deal’s completion, Heliogen’s shareholders will receive Zeo Class A common stock and the combined entity will retain key technical personnel to drive innovation across new market segments.

This transaction marks a strategic pivot for Zeo, positioning it as a more vertically integrated energy provider with diversified revenue streams and operational reach. The company expects to streamline corporate overhead, broaden its market appeal, and strengthen its balance sheet with the addition of Heliogen’s intellectual property and cash reserves.

Zeo also plans to leverage its affiliated financing arm—responsible for over $44 million in clean energy tax equity financing to date—to support future utility-scale and long-duration projects. This added financing capacity may be particularly beneficial as demand surges for low-carbon infrastructure driven by policy incentives, energy cost volatility, and technological adoption.

For investors, the combined company represents a multi-faceted play on the growing shift toward decarbonization and distributed energy. While Zeo brings an established presence in high-growth residential markets, Heliogen offers utility-grade thermal storage and dispatchable energy systems that address one of the most critical gaps in the clean energy transition: 24/7 reliability.

Both boards have unanimously approved the transaction, and early support from a significant portion of Heliogen’s shareholders has added momentum to the closing process. Once finalized, the deal is expected to create a scalable clean energy company well-positioned to meet rising demand across a broad spectrum of energy users.

As the energy landscape continues to evolve, the Zeo–Heliogen merger reflects a broader industry trend toward integrated platforms capable of delivering end-to-end clean energy solutions—from rooftop solar panels to large-scale grid storage.

Mortgage Rates Hover Near 7% Pressuring Housing Market and Consumer Confidence

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com
Key Points:
– Mortgage rates edge up — 30-year fixed rates rose to 6.89%, tracking higher Treasury yields.
– Buyer affordability hit — High rates continue to suppress home sales and affordability.
– Applications mixed — Purchase applications rose 3%, while refinance demand fell 7%.

Mortgage rates rose modestly this week, with the average 30-year fixed loan hitting 6.89%, up slightly from 6.86% the week before. The 15-year average also inched higher to 6.03%, reflecting the continued influence of Treasury yields, which have been volatile amid shifting economic signals.

The movement in mortgage rates follows recent fluctuations in the 10-year Treasury yield, a key benchmark for borrowing costs. Investors have been digesting a complex mix of developments, including the U.S. credit rating downgrade, the fiscal implications of proposed tax reforms, and evolving trade policy. While yields dipped slightly in recent days, overall borrowing costs remain elevated.

High mortgage rates continue to act as a headwind for the housing sector. According to newly released data, pending home sales dropped sharply in April, underscoring how rate-sensitive the market remains. Despite a modest weekly increase in home purchase applications, affordability challenges persist, particularly for first-time buyers and middle-income households.

This constrained environment has implications beyond real estate. A sluggish housing market can ripple through related industries—from homebuilding and furniture to construction materials and local services—potentially influencing performance in sectors that rely on consumer confidence and discretionary spending.

Although refinancing activity dropped by 7%, the slight increase in purchase applications signals that some buyers are still moving forward, especially those less sensitive to rate fluctuations or motivated by limited inventory. Nonetheless, sustained high rates may continue to delay broader recovery in housing-related demand.

In this climate, market participants are keeping a close eye on interest rate trends and consumer sentiment data, both of which remain central to shaping the economic outlook. As borrowing costs remain elevated, the pressure on housing and adjacent industries may persist—adding another layer of complexity to growth expectations in the months ahead.

SKYX Platforms (SKYX) – Joining the Russell

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com


Thursday, May 29, 2025

Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Joining the Russell Indices. FTSE Russell recently included the company in its preliminary additions to the Russell 2000 and broader Russell 3000 indices as part of its annual reconstitution. The inclusion will become effective at market open on June 27, offering a notable validation milestone for the company.

An important milestone. We believe this development could be a meaningful catalyst for SKYX. In our view, inclusion in the Russell indices will drive greater visibility among institutional investors and has the potential to increase average daily trading volume in the shares, supporting improved liquidity and broader shareholder participation.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

MustGrow Biologics Corp. (MGROF) – A Pivotal Milestone; Reports 1Q25 Results

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com


Thursday, May 29, 2025

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Milestone Quarter. MustGrow’s 1Q25 was a pivotal milestone in the Company’s evolution, with the Company recording its first full quarter since the NexusBioAg acquisition at the end of 2024. MustGrow reported significant sales revenue for the first time, although higher expenses resulting from the acquisition drove a higher net loss.

1Q25 Results. Revenue totaled $3.78 million (all figures are Canadian $), compared to our $2.6 million estimate and zero in the year ago quarter. Gross margin was 14.3%, below our estimated 19.2%. MustGrow recorded a net loss of $1.6 million, or a loss of $0.03/sh, versus our estimate of a loss of $570,000, or a loss of $0.01/sh. In 1Q24, the Company reported a loss of $1.0 million, or a loss of $0.02/sh.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Superior Group of Companies (SGC) – An Investment Opportunity In Keeping With Its Name

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com


Thursday, May 29, 2025

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Initiating Coverage with Outperform rating and $16 price target. Our favorable rating is based on a company in sectors that should grow faster than the US economy, a seasoned, successful management team, a capable balance sheet positioned to support acquisition fueled growth, a history of return of capital to shareholders and a compelling stock valuation. 

Favorable industry trends. The company operates in three distinct sectors, healthcare apparel, branded products and call centers. Each segment has favorable, above-average organic growth characteristics, is profitable, and has compelling acquisition target opportunities for enhanced long-term revenue and cash flow growth.


Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Oil Prices Climb Amid Geopolitical Uncertainty and Sanction Risks

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com
Key Points:
– Oil rises on U.S.-Iran tensions and Russia sanctions threat.
– OPEC+ holds steady but may boost output in July.
– Prices stay volatile amid supply risks and demand concerns

Oil prices edged higher Wednesday as traders reacted to a flurry of geopolitical developments that could disrupt supplies from two of the world’s key producers: Russia and Iran.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude rose by 1.6%, settling just below $62 a barrel. The gains came as U.S. President Donald Trump warned that Russian President Vladimir Putin was “playing with fire” following a recent escalation of attacks in Ukraine. The remarks have fueled speculation that Washington could impose fresh sanctions on Russia’s energy sector — a move that would likely reduce Russian oil exports and tighten global supply.

Earlier this year, similar sanctions helped push crude prices above $80 per barrel before prices retreated amid growing fears of oversupply and global economic uncertainty. Although talks between Russia and Ukraine are scheduled to resume in Istanbul on June 2, markets remain on edge over the potential fallout of continued conflict.

Adding to the market tension is mounting uncertainty over Iran’s nuclear program. According to The New York Times, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has threatened military action that could target Tehran’s nuclear infrastructure, potentially derailing ongoing negotiations between Iran and the United States. A breakdown in talks could further hinder Iran’s ability to export oil, tightening the global supply picture.

Still, market optimism is tempered by bearish pressures, particularly around the role of the OPEC+ alliance. On Wednesday, the group ratified its existing production quotas through the end of next year, even as eight key member countries prepare for another round of discussions this weekend. Insiders say some members are pushing for a third consecutive monthly production hike starting in July.

“The early confirmation of quotas puts added pressure on this weekend’s decision,” said Robert Yawger, director of energy futures at Mizuho Securities USA. “The market is essentially at the mercy of OPEC on Saturday.”

Rising output from OPEC+ — particularly from members reviving previously idled capacity — has stoked concerns about oversupply. Some segments of the Brent futures curve have flipped into contango, a market condition where future prices are higher than current prices, signaling a supply glut.

Despite the recent uptick, oil prices have trended downward since mid-January, weighed down by global trade tensions, including sweeping tariffs introduced by the Trump administration and retaliatory measures from affected countries. These trade frictions have stoked fears of slower economic growth and weaker demand for fuel.

However, with tentative signs of easing trade disputes and renewed geopolitical risk in oil-producing regions, analysts say the next few weeks will be crucial in determining the market’s direction.

“Oil is being pulled in opposite directions,” said one market strategist. “If sanctions tighten and diplomacy falters, prices could surge. But if OPEC turns on the taps and global growth stalls, we could be looking at a very different scenario.”

Seanergy Maritime (SHIP) – Better-than-Expected First Quarter Results

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com


Wednesday, May 28, 2025

Seanergy Maritime Holdings Corp. is a prominent pure-play Capesize shipping company listed in the U.S. capital markets. Seanergy provides marine dry bulk transportation services through a modern fleet of Capesize vessels. The Company’s operating fleet consists of 18 vessels (1 Newcastlemax and 17 Capesize) with an average age of approximately 13.4 years and an aggregate cargo carrying capacity of approximately 3,236,212 dwt. Upon completion of the delivery of the previously announced Capesize vessel acquisition, the Company’s operating fleet will consist of 19 vessels (1 Newcastlemax and 18 Capesize) with an aggregate cargo carrying capacity of approximately 3,417,608 dwt. The Company is incorporated in the Marshall Islands and has executive offices in Glyfada, Greece. The Company’s common shares trade on the Nasdaq Capital Market under the symbol “SHIP”.

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Hans Baldau, Associate Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

First quarter results. Seanergy reported first-quarter net revenues of $24.2 million, slightly ahead of our estimate of $23.5 million, due to a higher-than-expected time charter equivalent (TCE) rate. Adjusted EBITDA and earnings per share (EPS) were $8.0 million and a loss of $0.27, respectively, compared to our estimates of $6.1 million and a loss of $0.38. The better-than-anticipated results are reflective of higher revenues as well as lower costs due to savings in general and administrative expenses.

Updating estimates. We are increasing our 2025 revenue estimates to $142.9 million from $142.5 million. Additionally, we are raising our adjusted EBITDA and EPS estimates to $70.5 million and $0.74, respectively, up from $68.1 million and $0.59. These revisions are reflective of management’s guidance of better-than-expected TCE rates and fewer dry-docking days, resulting in higher operating days and lower expenses.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.