Google Signs $4.3 Billion, 20-Year Nuclear Power Deal With Constellation Energy

Google (Nasdaq: GOOG, GOOGL) announced Tuesday a $4.3 billion agreement with Constellation Energy (Nasdaq: CEG) to bring 890 megawatts of nuclear power online through a 20-year power purchase agreement, the latest step in the technology industry’s race to secure electricity for the AI buildout. Constellation shares were up more than 12% in Tuesday trading, while Google was slightly lower.

The new capacity will not come from new reactors. It will come from upgrades at six existing nuclear plants across Illinois, New Jersey, and Pennsylvania, including modernized turbines, steam generators, and digital control systems. Upgrading existing plants is generally a faster route to new capacity than building reactors from scratch, which can take years to permit and construct. By the usual rule of thumb that a gigawatt powers nearly 800,000 homes, 890 megawatts is enough for roughly 700,000.

The structure matters for both sides. Google says the contract gives Constellation the revenue certainty it needs to invest in updates to 11 of its reactors, and that it is designed so utility customers do not absorb added costs from the AI boom. Constellation will also use Google’s Gemini Enterprise software for site selection, outage management, and infrastructure protection, which makes this a technology partnership as well as a power contract.

Google is not alone in locking up nuclear supply. Microsoft signed a 20-year agreement with Constellation in 2024 to source power from a previously shuttered reactor at Three Mile Island by 2028. Amazon has signed its own nuclear power deal with Constellation, and Meta has agreed to a 20-year purchase of power from Vistra’s plants and also has a 20-year agreement for the output of Constellation’s Clinton plant in Illinois. That gives Constellation long-term agreements with four of the largest technology companies. Google has also invested in nuclear projects in Georgia, Iowa, and Tennessee, and companies across the industry are exploring small modular reactors designed to deliver megawatts rather than a full gigawatt.

The pattern points to where the AI buildout is actually constrained. Chips and data center shells can be ordered, but reliable around-the-clock power cannot be added quickly. That is why the largest buyers are signing two-decade contracts years before the electricity arrives, a dynamic that runs through the US data center construction boom. It also helps explain why a single contract can move a power generator’s stock by double digits, since it converts uncertain future demand into contracted revenue. Nuclear carries a lingering public stigma, but it offers clean, steady output compared with carbon-based options.

For small and microcap investors, the read-through is about the supply chain around power rather than the contracts themselves. Upgrading six plants and eleven reactors means demand for turbine and steam generator components, digital controls, engineering services, and grid equipment, areas where smaller specialized companies operate. The caution is that Constellation’s jump shows how quickly the market prices in announced deals. Whether smaller names benefit depends on whether orders actually reach them and whether the hyperscalers keep spending at the current pace while borrowing costs stay elevated.

The GEO Group (GEO) – A Sale; Increased Buyback Authorization


Tuesday, October 06, 2026

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Facilities Sale. The GEO Group has sold its Adelanto, California ICE Processing Center complex to the Federal government for $950 million, or a net of $705 million. This is the first facility sale by GEO to the Department of Homeland Security and follows similar transactions earlier this year by competitor CoreCivic to DHS. The sale provides a solid foundation for the value of GEO’s assets in our view.

Details. The Adelanto complex consists of 3 buildings with a total of 2,644 beds. On a consolidated basis, the sale price equates to over $359,000/bed. GEO expects to continue providing support services to the Federal government at these locations under the existing contract agreement, although we would expect some changes to the contract as GEO no longer owns the facilities. The current contract runs through mid-December 2029 with a 5-year option period.


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Tectonic Metals Inc. (TETOF) – Preparing for the Next Phase of Growth


Tuesday, October 06, 2026

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Senior leadership team appointment. Effective October 1, Tectonic appointed Mr. Eduard Epshtein, CPA, CA, as Chief Financial Officer and Corporate Secretary. Mr. Epshtein has more than 20 years of capital markets, project development, transactions, and corporate finance experience, including 16 years as Chief Financial Officer of Lithium Americas (NYSE: LAC, TSX: LAC). During his tenure, Lithium Americas evolved from an exploration-stage company into a NYSE-listed producer with a market capitalization exceeding US$5 billion.

Experience aligned with Tectonic’s next phase. We view the appointment positively given Mr. Epshtein’s experience advancing major resource projects from exploration through construction and production. His experience with project finance, strategic partnerships, joint ventures, offtake arrangements, M&A, and corporate governance should become increasingly relevant as Tectonic moves Flat from exploration toward resource definition and economic evaluation.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

NN (NNBR) – A Deeper Look Into the Implications of the PIPE Transaction


Tuesday, October 06, 2026

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Transaction. As noted, NN is eliminating its outstanding Preferred stock, which will eliminate the associated dividends that cost the Company approximately $19 million in 2025. NN issued 11.3 million shares in the PIPE transaction and an additional 4.8 million pre-funded warrants. Eliminating the dividends and increasing the share count would lower our 4Q26 estimated loss per share to $0.03 from a prior $0.06. The elimination of $122.1 million of outstanding preferred stock as of June 30th significantly improves NN’s capital structure.

Term Loan. At the end of June, NN had $133.5 million outstanding under its term loan facility at a 13.5% interest rate. We believe the elimination of the preferred, along with solid operating performance, gives management the opportunity to refi the term debt at a lower rate. For illustrative purposes, reducing the interest rate to 10% from 13.5% would save the Company $4.6 million in annual interest costs, or about $0.04/sh, based on 100 million shares outstanding.


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Alliance Entertainment Holding (AENT) – Building A Higher-Margin Entertainment Platform


Tuesday, October 06, 2026

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

George Proost, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Noble Virtual Conference Highlights. On October 1, 2026, Bruce Ogilvie, Executive Chairman of Alliance Entertainment, presented at Noble’s October Virtual Emerging Growth Conference. The presentation highlighted an optimistic outlook for fiscal 2027 and opportunities to expand margins through licensing, collectibles, authentication, and fulfillment. A replay is available here.

Favorable revenue and margin expansion outlook. Management expects continued revenue growth and margin expansion in fiscal 2027, supported by continued demand for physical media products and a full year of the company’s high-margin licensing deal with Amazon MGM. Additionally, the company’s return to direct movie sales to Walmart eliminates third-party intermediary fees and restores access to supply chain financing, supporting faster cash collection and higher margins. Management expects the full benefit to become more apparent in fiscal Q2.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

US Trade Deficit Jumps Above $100 Billion as Oil and Gold Imports Surge

The US trade deficit jumped to $105.6 billion in August, a 13.8% increase from July’s revised $92.8 billion and the widest gap since early 2025, the Commerce Department reported Tuesday. Imports rose 4.3% to $420.8 billion, while exports rose just 1.4% to $315.2 billion.

The timing is notable. August was the first month after a new phase of tariffs took effect in late July, including a 10% tariff on top allies such as the European Union and a 12.5% tariff on other nations, including China. Importers also kept bringing in components for AI data centers. Semiconductor imports rose $2.4 billion, though computer accessory imports fell $1.6 billion, leaving overall AI-related imports little changed from July but still elevated.

A more significant driver was industrial supplies. Crude oil imports jumped $3.3 billion and nonmonetary gold imports rose $3.1 billion. The oil figure comes as crude prices have stayed elevated through the Iran conflict, and the gold figure arrives in a year when precious metals have rallied. The surge in goods imports lifted the goods deficit to $136.6 billion, while the services surplus stayed essentially flat.

Mexico remained the largest deficit at $27.7 billion. The gap with Canada widened by $4.1 billion to $7.1 billion in the month talks between the two countries collapsed and new 50% tariffs took effect, a dispute in which crude oil was left out of the tariffs. The deficit with China rose to $16.4 billion from $15.2 billion in July. That was before a visit by Chinese President Xi Jinping, which extended the current trade truce by two months, set a new early 2027 deadline for talks, and produced tariff cuts on an estimated $60 billion worth of goods.

The widening gap matters for growth. One forecasting firm said the jump in imports suggests third-quarter GDP growth will come in well below its 4.0% forecast, possibly closer to 2.5%, noting that the rise in goods imports was broad-based and left net trade as a drag overall. Imports subtract from GDP in the national accounts, so a surge can lower headline growth even when it reflects strong demand.

The next trade report will show whether August’s jump was a one-month surge or the start of a new run higher, and the early 2027 China deadline sets the next hard date for trade policy. Until then, a deficit above $100 billion suggests demand for imported goods remains strong even with higher tariffs in place.

For small and microcap investors, the report is a reminder that trade policy remains a live cost variable. Smaller manufacturers and importers have less room than multinationals to absorb tariff-driven input costs or reroute supply chains, though the extended China truce and announced tariff cuts offer some relief. Russell 2000 companies earn most of their revenue at home, so growth data matter as much as trade headlines, and a third-quarter GDP reading nearer 2.5% than 4.0% would feed into how investors read the Fed’s path after September’s rate hike.

Amazon Just Hit Its Lowest Valuation Ever as a Public Company

Amazon (Nasdaq: AMZN) is being left out of the renewed rush into AI stocks. At about $251 a share, the stock trades at roughly 20 times trailing earnings, its lowest valuation ever as a public company, and it is down about 2.4% over the past month. The move comes just two months after Amazon crossed $3 trillion in market value on the strength of its cloud business.

The contrast with other AI names is sharp. Nvidia is trading at a record high, and AMD just set a record of its own. Meta shares have surged 23% in the past month on enthusiasm for its Muse AI agent, while Microsoft and Alphabet have posted modest gains. Among the Magnificent Seven, only Alphabet screens cheaper than Amazon.

Two issues appear to be holding the stock back. The first is legal. In early September, the Federal Trade Commission and 22 states sued Amazon, alleging its advertising practices overcharged roughly 1.2 million advertisers by about $20 billion between 2019 and today. The agency says Amazon did not disclose reserve-pricing mechanisms that raised costs for advertisers and consumers. Amazon says advertisers are getting greater value from its platform. These are allegations, not findings, but investors are wary that advertising, one of Amazon’s most profitable businesses, could become less lucrative.

The second issue is spending. Amazon’s second-quarter report raised its 2026 capital expenditure plan to approximately $220 billion. One Wall Street estimate now puts 2027 capex at $320 billion and 2028 at $370 billion, which would push free cash flow to roughly negative $50 billion in each of those years. Those are outside estimates, not company guidance. In August, the stock jumped more than 15% in a single session because AWS growth appeared to justify the spending. Now attention is shifting to how much cash the buildout consumes, the same debate that has weighed on Oracle and other heavy AI spenders.

A low multiple is not automatically a bargain. The bull case rests on AWS, which posted $42.2 billion in quarterly revenue, up 36.7% from a year earlier, with a contracted backlog of $496 billion and management saying demand still outstrips available server capacity. The bear case rests on litigation risk, rising capital intensity, and the possibility that free cash flow stays negative for years. The valuation simply shows which argument investors currently find more persuasive.

For small and microcap investors, the lesson is that even the world’s largest companies are priced on narrative as much as fundamentals. Capital is flowing toward stocks tied to the AI storyline while discounting those carrying heavy spending or regulatory overhang. Smaller suppliers of power, cooling, and components into data center buildouts benefit from Amazon’s spending whether or not its stock rewards it, but they also depend on that spending continuing if its cash flow tightens. Valuation gaps like this one are also a reminder that investor attention can leave fundamentally strong companies undervalued, something smaller companies experience more often than most.

Gate Bioscience Expands Its Lilly Deal to More Than $870 Million, Adding a New Drug Target

Gate Bioscience, a privately held drug discovery company, announced Monday that it has expanded its research and licensing agreement with Eli Lilly (NYSE: LLY) in a deal now potentially worth more than $870 million. The original agreement, announced in July 2025, was worth up to $856 million. The expansion adds one drug target, with an option to add a second.

Gate will receive an upfront payment and research funding for the added target, plus an additional payment if the second target is selected. Neither company disclosed the size of the upfront payment. Gate is also eligible for milestone payments and royalties on global sales of any products that result.

The science behind the partnership takes a different approach to disease. Gate uses its platform to discover oral small-molecule drugs designed to eliminate proteins that have been difficult to target with existing medicines. Many conventional drugs work by blocking a protein’s activity, but some disease-driving proteins offer no good place for a drug to bind. A drug built to remove the protein altogether can reach targets once considered out of reach.

The two companies have split the work along familiar lines. Gate leads discovery, while Lilly takes over late-stage preclinical and clinical development, manufacturing, and commercialization. Lilly holds exclusive worldwide rights to products developed against the selected targets.

The deal fits a pattern in Lilly’s strategy this year. The company has acquired Merida Biosciences, which is developing biologics that eliminate disease-causing autoantibodies, and AtaiBeckley, a clinical-stage mental health company, while also signing earlier-stage platform partnerships like this one. Buying finished assets and renting promising discovery engines are two ways of filling the same pipeline.

The headline number deserves context. The expansion lifts the potential value by only about $14 million over the original agreement, which shows how these figures work. Partnership values are usually quoted at their maximum, with most of the money tied to development and sales milestones that may never be paid. The undisclosed upfront payment is the figure that actually reaches the company’s balance sheet.

The same partnership playbook is open to smaller companies pursuing oral small-molecule medicines. Cocrystal Pharma, which uses a structure-based discovery platform to develop antiviral drugs, and Cardiff Oncology, whose lead candidate onvansertib is an oral small molecule being studied in colorectal cancer, work in different therapeutic areas than Gate, and neither focuses on protein elimination. But both illustrate the model investors are watching: a differentiated discovery approach or oral drug candidate that could eventually attract a larger development partner.

For investors tracking small and microcap biotech, the takeaway cuts both ways. Large pharma remains willing to sign collaborations worth hundreds of millions of dollars with private platform companies before any drug reaches the clinic, a sign of continued appetite for differentiated discovery technology. But a platform deal is not an approved product. The upfront cash, the pace of milestone payments, and whether the partner keeps selecting targets matter most, and investors weighing smaller developers with similar partnership ambitions should read the fine print on all three.

Vince Holding Corp. (VNCE) – OVO Growth Roadmap Comes Into Focus


Monday, October 05, 2026

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Insights From Noble’s Emerging Growth Conference. We recently hosted Vince Holding Corp. CEO Brendan Hoffman and CFO Yuji Okumura for a fireside chat at Noble Capital Markets’ Emerging Growth Virtual Equity Conference. The discussion provided additional insight into the strength of the core Vince business and, importantly, management’s strategy to leverage its operating platform to accelerate growth at the recently acquired OVO business. Click here to view the presentation. Vince participated in the conference on October 2.

Core Vince Momentum Remains Healthy. We believe the underlying Vince business remains on solid footing, supported by strength across both direct-to-consumer and wholesale. Second-quarter revenue rose 11.7% to $81.8 million, with DTC up 13.7% and wholesale up 10.4%, providing a solid foundation as management begins integrating OVO.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Star Equity Holdings, Inc. (STRR) – Noble October Virtual Conference


Monday, October 05, 2026

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Noble Virtual Conference. Star Equity CEO Jeff Eberwein presented at the Noble Virtual Conference. Highlights included the Harte Hanks proposed acquisition, efforts to monetize non-cash-flowing assets, and future financial goals.  A rebroadcast is available at https://www.channelchek.com/videos/star-equity-holdings-strr-noble-capital-markets-virtual-conference-replay-october-2026.

Harte Hanks. Harte Hanks has completed its go-shop period, and while other proposals were received, the Harte Hanks Board has not determined that any proposal constitutes a Superior Proposal to the Star proposal. Mr. Eberwein noted that both companies are moving forward to complete the announced deal, hopefully by year-end.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

SKYX Platforms (SKYX) – Noble October Virtual Conference


Monday, October 05, 2026

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Noble Virtual Conference. SKYX Platforms CEO Leonard Sokolow presented at the Noble Virtual Conference. Highlights included the Deako acquisition, development agreements, and product introductions.  A rebroadcast is available at https://www.channelchek.com/videos/skyx-platforms-corp-skyx-noble-capital-markets-virtual-conference-replay-october-2026.

Deako Acquisition. Management does expect cost synergies, but the larger piece of the pie, in our view, is the ability to provide an A-to-Z solution across the electronic real estate of homes, buildings, and hotels, where power, control, sensing, and AI intelligence will reside. The combination will put SKYX at the forefront of data sharing in smart home systems, opening multiple high-margin revenue opportunities, in our opinion.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Sky Harbour Group (SKYH) – Noble October Virtual Conference.


Monday, October 05, 2026

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Noble Virtual Conference. Sky Harbour Senior Vice President Tim Herr presented at the Noble Virtual Conference. Highlights included macro tailwinds, client mix, and long-term goals. A rebroadcast is available at https://www.channelchek.com/videos/sky-harbour-skyh-noble-capital-markets-virtual-conference-replay-october-2026.

Macro Tailwinds. The total square footage of the aviation fleet continues to increase, driven by an increased number of aircraft operating-driven by both business and consumer demand-and the increasing size of the aircraft fleet. U.S. Business-Class total square footage, Sky Harbour’s target market, has risen by 73% over the past 15 years. On the supply side, no new major airports have been built since the early 1990s. The available land at or surrounding airports continues to shrink.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

NN (NNBR) – Another Milestone In Cleaning Up The Capital Structure


Monday, October 05, 2026

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Capital Structure. On Friday, NN  announced it had entered into a securities purchase agreement for a private investment in public equity financing (PIPE) that is expected to result in net proceeds of approximately $50 million. A majority of the proceeds will be used to eliminate the outstanding Series D preferred stock. NNBR shares rose 24% on the news, closing at $4.51. We view Friday’s announcement positively, placing NN in a much stronger financial position to pursue extensive growth opportunities.

Details. NN will issue an aggregate of 16.1 million shares of common stock (or prefunded warrants in lieu thereof) at a price of $3.30 per share (or $3.29 per pre-funded warrant). Each pre-funded warrant has an exercise price of $0.01 per share of common stock and will be immediately exercisable. There are 10 investors making this investment, a mix of existing shareholders and new shareholders. The deal was significantly oversubscribed. The deal is expected to close on October 5th.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.