Iran’s Crypto Toll Play on the Strait of Hormuz Just Sent Bitcoin Above $71K

A geopolitical flashpoint became a crypto catalyst on Wednesday morning when reports emerged that Iran is moving to charge oil tankers a $1-per-barrel toll for Strait of Hormuz passage — with payment demanded exclusively in cryptocurrency.

The news hit markets fast. Bitcoin surged past $72,700 before settling above $71,700, a gain of roughly 5% on the session. Solana jumped 7% and Ethereum climbed 8% before both pared their steepest gains. No specific cryptocurrency was designated for payment, which may have contributed to the broad-based rally across the majors.

The Strait of Hormuz is the world’s most consequential oil chokepoint. An estimated 20% of global petroleum supply transits through it daily. Tankers crossing the strait typically carry between 500,000 and 2 million barrels of crude, meaning a single passage could generate a toll ranging from $500,000 to $2 million — paid in digital assets.

Under the proposed framework, shipowners would be required to email Iranian authorities with a full cargo manifest. Iran would then determine the fee for safe passage. Vessels traveling empty would be permitted to cross at no charge. The approach essentially creates a state-sanctioned crypto revenue stream tied directly to one of the world’s most critical energy corridors.

The timing is significant. This development surfaces just a day after President Trump announced a conditional ceasefire with Iran, one that specifically required the immediate and safe reopening of the strait. Iran has been using attacks on vessels in and around the Persian Gulf as leverage in negotiations, and has repeatedly asserted sovereignty over the waterway as a core condition for any peace agreement.

Despite the ceasefire announcement, transit through the strait as of Wednesday morning remained minimal. Maritime intelligence data indicates no meaningful resumption of shipping traffic, and sources in the region expressed skepticism about the near-term stability of the situation. The sentiment shift may be moving faster than actual shipping behavior or insurance underwriting.

The crypto angle here is more than a headline grab. If Iran formalizes a system where sovereign passage fees are collected in digital assets, it represents one of the most significant real-world use cases for cryptocurrency in geopolitical history. It would also signal that sanctioned regimes are increasingly viewing crypto not just as a workaround for dollar-denominated financial systems, but as a legitimate transactional layer for international commerce — even state-enforced commerce.

For crypto investors, this cuts two ways. On one hand, institutional demand signals a meaningful maturation of the asset class. On the other, the association with a sanctioned government conducting what amounts to maritime extortion is the kind of regulatory ammunition that tends to accelerate oversight conversations in Washington.

Oil markets told the other side of the story Wednesday. Crude futures dropped more than 15%, reflecting the prospect of a reopened strait and normalized supply flows — a sharp divergence from crypto’s upward trajectory.

The Strait of Hormuz has long been the pressure valve of global energy markets. What’s new is that it may now be generating pressure on crypto markets too.

Xcel Brands (XELB) – Solid Foundation For Growth In 2026


Wednesday, April 08, 2026

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Q4 Results. The company reported Q4 revenue of $1.2 million and an adj. EBITDA loss of $0.6 million, both of which were modestly lower than our estimates of $1.7 million and a loss of $0.5 million, respectively, as illustrated in Figure #1 Q4 Results. Notably, we view 2025 as a transformational year for the company, driven by several key partnerships that position it on a solid foundation for growth in 2026 and beyond. 

Strategic partnerships. The company’s influencer brands, with Jenny Martinez, Gemma Stafford, Cesar Millan, and Coco Rocha, are expected to launch throughout 2026. Notably, these partnerships have driven the company’s social media following from 5 million at the start of 2025 to approximately 46 million today. In our view, the company is well-positioned to reach its goal of 100 million social media followers in 2026.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Greenwich LifeSciences, Inc. (GLSI) – New Claims Filed To Expand Patent Estate Covering GP2


Wednesday, April 08, 2026

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

New Data Added To Expand Patent Claims. Greenwich LifeSciences announced that it has filed new patent claims to expand the patent estate covering GP2, the proprietary compound in GLSI-100. The new claims add recently announced data from the Phase 3 FLAMINGO-01 trial that show the immune response and recurrence rate for non-HLA*02 patients. These claims could expand both the scope and the term of the patent estate beyond previous claims from HLA*02 patients.

Broadening Patent Protection Protects Against Competitors. Patent claims covering the immune response that results from GLSI-100 treatment could help lock out competitors trying to develop similar compounds. If a new compound were able to avoid patents covering GP2, it would be blocked by the new claims covering the immune response that follows.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

QuoteMedia Inc. (QMCI) – Revenue Momentum Picks Up


Wednesday, April 08, 2026

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Exceeds Q4 revenue expectations. QuoteMedia reported Q4 revenue of $5.35M (+14% y/y) and FY2025 revenue of $20.3M (+8% y/y), reflecting solid top-line momentum. Profitability declined in the full year 2025, with Adjusted EBITDA of $1.0M (vs. $1.8M prior year) and a net loss of $2.3 million, driven by investment and accounting treatment of development costs.

Key growth drivers. Revenue growth was led by Corporate Quotestream (enterprise), benefiting from larger contracts, higher ARPC, and cross-selling of data and SaaS solutions. Interactive Content revenue increased a strong 18.3%, better than our 8% growth estimate. Earnings were pressured by higher expensing of development costs (vs. capitalization), which impacted reported profitability.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

GeoVax Labs (GOVX) – GeoVax Presents Data On New Single-Dose Mpox Vaccine


Wednesday, April 08, 2026

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Preclinical Study Compared Single-Dose MVA With Two-Dose Standard Vaccine. GeoVax presented preclinical data at the World Vaccine Congress Washington 2026 comparing its current pre-Phase-3 GEO-MVA vaccine for Mpox with its new MVA-X version. The new MVA-X includes a peptide sequence that elicits a strong T-cell response that requires only one dose to achieve protection instead of two.

Immune Checkpoint Modulation Improves The Response. The new MVA-X includes an immunomodulatory peptide designed to improve T-cell responses. The peptide modulates the PD-1 immune checkpoint pathway to block inhibitory signaling to magnify T-cell activation, improve the durability of the T-cell response, and enhance immune memory.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Direct Digital Holdings (DRCT) – Early Signs of Stabilization Emerge


Wednesday, April 08, 2026

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Post Q4 investor call. This report provides additional color on the recently reported fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results and the outlook for 2026 and beyond. We are posting 2027 estimates, which anticipate mid-teen revenue growth and positive adj. EBITDA. 

New customer wins in energy and expanding vertical mix improve growth quality and reduce seasonality.
Buy-side momentum was driven by new customer additions, particularly in the energy vertical and by expansion into education. This diversification is helping stabilize revenue trends and reduce historical second-half weakness.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

The Mineral Powering America’s Military That Almost Nobody Is Talking About

While Wall Street fixates on gold, lithium, and rare earth elements, a lesser-known critical mineral is quietly becoming one of the most strategically important materials in the world — and a growing opportunity in the small and microcap space. The mineral is antimony, and the race to secure domestic supply is accelerating fast.

Antimony sits at the intersection of defense, energy, and advanced technology. It hardens ammunition and military alloys, serves as a key component in flame-retardant materials protecting electronics and aircraft wiring, and plays a critical role in semiconductors, infrared sensors, and night-vision systems. The U.S. Department of Defense has identified it as one of the most critical minerals in its supply chain — and for good reason. Without antimony, a significant portion of America’s weapons systems simply don’t function.

The problem is stark. The United States has not mined antimony domestically since the early 1990s. China controls roughly 60% of global production and has enacted increasingly aggressive export restrictions, including an outright ban on shipments to the U.S. in late 2024. A Govini supply chain analysis found that more than 80,000 individual weapons parts across nearly 1,900 DoD weapon systems incorporate antimony or related critical minerals. That is not a supply chain vulnerability — that is a national security exposure.

Washington has responded with urgency. The Department of Defense has deployed nearly $400 million in investments and stockpile contracts around domestic antimony production, the most concentrated federal mobilization around a single critical mineral in recent memory. Earlier this year, the DoD disbursed $27 million under the Defense Production Act directly to United States Antimony Corporation (NYSE American: UAMY) — the only domestic processor and finished antimony product manufacturer in the country — to modernize and expand its refining facility in Thompson Falls, Montana, with capacity expected to double to 320 tons per month by year-end.

The other name drawing serious institutional attention is Perpetua Resources (NASDAQ: PPTA). The company broke ground on its Stibnite Gold Project in Idaho in October 2025 after years of permitting work. The project holds 148 million pounds of antimony and is positioned to become the only domestically mined source of the mineral, potentially supplying 35% of annual U.S. antimony demand in its first six years of production. Perpetua has already secured over $70 million in DoD awards and a preliminary $2 billion financing term sheet from the Export-Import Bank of the United States.

From a market standpoint, the global antimony market is currently valued at roughly $2.4 to $2.5 billion. Analysts project it could reach $4.1 to $4.4 billion by the mid-2030s, representing steady annual growth of 5% to 6% over the next decade. Prices have moderated from a record high of nearly $60,000 per tonne reached in mid-2025 following China’s export ban, settling around $25,000 per tonne — still nearly double where they sat two years ago.

The broader context matters here. With the Iran conflict still rattling global supply chains and reshoring emerging as a defining economic policy, the U.S. government’s push to develop domestic critical mineral production is not a trend — it is a structural shift backed by federal dollars and bipartisan political will. For small and microcap investors, that combination of government demand, supply scarcity, and growing commercial applications across defense and advanced technology creates a genuinely compelling long-term setup in a sector that most of the market is still sleeping on.

Antimony may not be a household name yet. It probably will be.

Capital Goods Orders Beat in February, But Middle East Conflict Puts March — and Small-Cap Shippers — on Watch

U.S. business investment showed unexpected resilience in February, but the window may be closing fast.

New orders for core capital goods — the government’s closely watched proxy for business spending — rose 0.6% in February, topping economist forecasts of a 0.4% gain and reversing a revised 0.4% decline in January. Shipments of those same goods climbed 0.9%, adding further evidence that equipment spending was gaining traction heading into the first quarter. The Commerce Department’s Census Bureau released the data Tuesday.

The numbers paint a picture of solid momentum — but one that was captured before the full weight of the U.S.-Israel war with Iran began reshaping the investment landscape. Oil prices have climbed, supply chains are tightening, and businesses that were leaning forward in February are now likely pulling back to reassess.

Orders Show Broad Strength — With One Glaring Exception

February’s gains were driven by solid increases across primary metals, fabricated metal products, and machinery, which jumped 1.5%. Motor vehicles and parts surged 3.1%. The broad picture was encouraging for domestic manufacturers.

The one glaring exception: commercial aircraft. Boeing reported just 21 civilian aircraft orders in February, down sharply from 107 in January — a 28.6% collapse in commercial aircraft orders that dragged overall durable goods orders down 1.4% for the month. Defense aircraft orders also fell 3.8%.

Durable goods as a category declined for the second consecutive month, though stripping out the volatile transportation segment, orders actually rose a healthy 0.8%.

Supply Chains Are Already Feeling the Pressure

Perhaps the most forward-looking signal in Tuesday’s data wasn’t in the orders figures at all — it was in what’s happening to delivery times. An Institute for Supply Management manufacturing survey released last week showed supplier delivery times stretching to a four-year high in March, a direct consequence of the geopolitical disruption rippling through global logistics networks.

That’s a number that matters deeply to companies like EuroDry (NASDAQ: EDRY) and Euroseas (NASDAQ: ESEA), both dry bulk operators that move iron ore, coal, grains, and other bulk commodities across ocean routes. Longer delivery windows mean more time at sea per cargo cycle, which can translate to tighter effective vessel supply and, in some market conditions, upward pressure on charter rates. EuroDry posted a strong Q4 2025 earnings beat in February and has expanded its forward charter book heading into 2026 — but the Iran conflict introduces a new variable around route disruption and fuel costs that management will need to navigate carefully.

For FreightCar America (NASDAQ: RAIL), the February machinery and motor vehicle data is directionally constructive. The company entered 2026 projecting growth, backed by a strong backlog and expanding margins. But if industrial order momentum stalls in March and April as businesses hit pause on capex decisions — as many economists now expect — railcar demand tied to manufacturing output could soften in the back half of the year.

The AI Wildcard

One consistent bright spot cutting through the uncertainty: artificial intelligence. Data center construction and the infrastructure buildout supporting AI workloads continue to drive demand for raw materials, electricity, and the bulk commodities that companies like EuroDry and Euroseas specialize in moving. That structural tailwind isn’t going away regardless of where energy prices settle.

February’s capital goods data was a genuine beat. The question now is whether it’s the last clean read for a while — or a foundation that holds even as the macro backdrop gets more complicated.

Newsmax (NMAX) – Structural Growth Story Intact; Tweaking Price Target


Tuesday, April 07, 2026

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Strong Q4 execution with continued top-line momentum. Newsmax delivered Q4 revenue growth of 9.6% year-over-year, driven by affiliate fee expansion and resilient advertising demand, outperforming expectations in a non-election year environment. The company continues to scale across cable, streaming (FAST), subscription, and digital platforms, expanding distribution to 100+ countries and reinforcing its position as the #4 cable news network.

Affiliate fee upside remains key long-term catalyst. Ongoing contract renewals and repricing opportunities provide meaningful upside potential, with current rates still significantly below industry peers. Based on recent contracts and a favorable 2026 outlook, we have revised our 2026 affiliate fee revenue estimate upward from $43.4 million to $49.8 million. 


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Century Lithium Corp. (CYDVF) – Moving to the Next Phase of Development


Tuesday, April 07, 2026

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Updated feasibility study. Century recently filed its updated 2026 NI 43-101 feasibility study for its 100%-owned Angel Island Lithium Project in Nevada. The updated study reflects engineering optimization and improvements that materially strengthen the project’s economic profile and highlight Angel Island as one of the most significant and economically robust sedimentary lithium developments in the United States.

Next steps. With the completion and filing of the 2026 Feasibility Study and the recent C$7 million financing, the company is well positioned to advance the Angel Island project to its next development stages. Planned activities include submitting a Plan of Operations to the Bureau of Land Management to initiate the National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) review process, advancing Nevada state permitting, progressing detailed engineering, and continuing engagement with strategic and downstream partners. Century also intends to further evaluate the rate of earth element recovery at Angel Island and continue discussions with potential offtake and project finance partners.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Will This Be TACO All Over?

Markets have seen this movie before. President Trump draws a line, the rhetoric peaks, and then — nothing. Or at least, not the nothing anyone expected. But with an 8 p.m. Tuesday deadline for Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz or face the destruction of every bridge and power plant in the country, investors are asking the same uncomfortable question: is this another TACO moment — Trump Always Chickens Out — or is this time fundamentally different?

For those unfamiliar, TACO became market shorthand during the tariff wars, describing the pattern where Trump’s most extreme threats would eventually soften into a negotiated pause. Buy the dip, ignore the headline, collect the bounce. It worked repeatedly. But the Iran conflict is not a tariff dispute, and the Strait of Hormuz is not a trade negotiation table.

The stakes are materially different this time. The closure of the Strait has triggered sharp rises in global energy prices, with hikes as high as 20% to 30% at the pumps across the United States and Europe. U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate climbed to $115.48 per barrel on Monday, with Brent crude close behind at nearly $112. That is not rhetorical damage — that is real economic pain being absorbed by businesses and consumers right now.

Trump has issued similar ultimatums on several occasions in recent weeks, delaying the deadline each time. That track record feeds the TACO narrative. But there is a critical distinction: U.S. forces have already conducted new strikes on military targets on Iran’s Kharg Island — the country’s primary oil export hub — signaling this administration is not simply posturing.

For small and microcap investors, the practical implications are already being felt across the supply chain. Supplier delivery times hit a four-year high in March according to the ISM manufacturing survey. Companies like EuroDry (NASDAQ: EDRY) and Euroseas (NASDAQ: ESEA), which move bulk commodities through ocean routes increasingly disrupted by the conflict, are navigating a market where route uncertainty and elevated fuel costs are compressing margins and complicating charter rate forecasting. Both companies entered 2026 with momentum — but a prolonged Hormuz closure rewrites the calculus entirely.

On the rail side, FreightCar America (NASDAQ: RAIL) built its 2026 growth case on a stable industrial demand environment. If energy price spikes force manufacturers to pause capital equipment orders — which February data already hints at for March and beyond — railcar demand tied to that manufacturing activity faces real downside risk in the back half of the year.

Iran has responded with defiance, calling Trump’s threats baseless and warning that any retaliation will be far more forceful and on a much wider scale. Talks are ongoing through intermediaries including Pakistan, Egypt, and Turkey, and a negotiated off-ramp is still possible.

The TACO trade assumes that off-ramp always materializes. It may. But the window for dismissing this as noise is closed. Whether Trump blinks or follows through tonight, the Strait of Hormuz crisis is already doing damage — and for small-cap companies tied to global shipping and industrial demand, every hour of uncertainty has a price.

No Cuts, No Ceasefire, No Clarity: The Macro Wall Investors Are Staring Down

The macro environment got more complicated overnight. President Trump’s prime-time address Wednesday signaling fresh US military strikes on Iran within the next two to three weeks sent oil prices surging past $110 a barrel and triggered a broad selloff in US Treasuries — a combination that has real consequences for the small and microcap companies ChannelChek covers every day.

US two-year yields climbed as much as six basis points to 3.86%, while 10-year yields rose as high as 4.38% before trimming some of the move. The dollar strengthened against all its Group-of-10 peers. Global bond markets followed suit, with Australian and New Zealand 10-year yields rising more than 10 basis points and European traders pricing in three quarter-point ECB rate hikes this year.

The Fed Is Now Boxed In

Before the Iran conflict escalated in late February, markets had priced in more than two Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026. Those expectations have been completely erased. Overnight index swaps now reflect a Fed that stays on hold for the remainder of the year — a meaningful pivot that ripples directly into how investors value growth-oriented, capital-dependent smaller companies.

The inflation data is not helping. The ISM’s gauge of prices paid for manufacturing inputs climbed to 78.3 in March, remaining at its highest level since mid-2022. That number landed just as oil was spiking, reinforcing the concern that energy-driven inflation isn’t transitory — it’s structural for as long as the Strait of Hormuz remains closed or threatened.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell said earlier this week that longer-term inflation expectations appear to be in check, but acknowledged officials are closely monitoring the situation. The market isn’t waiting for clarity. The arm wrestle between inflation fear and growth concern — as Westpac’s Martin Whetton put it — is now the defining tension in fixed income, and it’s not resolving anytime soon.

Why This Matters for Small and Microcap

Small and microcap companies feel rate environment shifts more acutely than large caps for a straightforward reason: they depend more heavily on external financing. When rate cut expectations evaporate and credit conditions tighten, the cost of capital rises and the timeline for profitability gets scrutinized harder. Biotech companies burning cash toward clinical readouts, small industrials refinancing debt, and emerging growth companies looking to raise equity — all of them operate in a tougher environment when the Fed is frozen and bond yields are climbing.

The growth risk is equally significant. Higher oil prices function as a tax on consumers and businesses alike. Money managers at PIMCO and JPMorgan Asset Management have already signaled they’re positioning for an economic slowdown that will eventually drive a bond market rebound — which would suggest yields come back down, but only after a growth scare first. That sequence — inflation now, slowdown later — is historically difficult for smaller companies to navigate.

The Geopolitical Wildcard

What makes this environment particularly hard to trade is the binary nature of the catalyst. A ceasefire announcement could reverse oil prices and Treasury yields in a session. But as M&G Investments’ Andrew Chorlton noted, even a ceasefire is likely to be fragile, and markets may be underestimating the inflationary consequences of a conflict that could continue to flare up unpredictably. The risk premium, he argued, should be higher than where markets are currently pricing it.

For investors focused on small and microcap names, the near-term playbook is one of selectivity — companies with strong balance sheets, near-term catalysts, and limited macro exposure are better positioned to weather the volatility than those dependent on a benign rate environment to execute their growth strategy.

The macro has reasserted itself. Navigate accordingly.

Summit Midstream Corp (SMC) – Private Placement Financing Strengthens Balance Sheet and Enhances Financial Flexibility


Thursday, April 02, 2026

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Private placement financing. Summit Midstream announced a private placement of 1,351,351 shares of its common stock with an affiliate of Tailwater Capital LLC at a price of $31.08 per share to raise $42.0 million. Summit intends to use the net proceeds to reduce borrowings under the company’s asset-based lending credit facility and to fund organic growth capital projects. Following the transaction, Tailwater and its affiliated entities are expected to own ~39% of Summit’s outstanding equity.

Updating estimates and valuation. Following the financing, Summit will have 13.8 million common shares, along with 6.5 million Class B shares outstanding for a total of 20.3 million shares. We have made no changes to our revenue or EBITDA estimates, although the higher share count has a minor impact on per share estimates and lowers our valuation per share to $46.00 from $48.50.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.