V2X (VVX) – A Major Recompete Win


Monday, June 29, 2026

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Award. In its daily contract awards, on Friday, the Department of War announced it has awarded V2X subsidiary Vertex Aerospace a $500 million maximum firm-fixed-price, indefinite-delivery/indefinite-quantity contract for contractor logistic support services for the Air Force C-12 aircraft fleet. This is another in a long line of significant awards won by V2X, either new or re-competes, and highlights the Company’s diverse capabilities, in our view.

Details.  This contract provides time-sensitive movement of personnel, cargo, and medical evacuation, as well as test support for Air Force Materiel Command, Defense Intelligence Agency, Defense Security Cooperation Agency, and Pacific Air Forces. The contract is expected to be completed by June 30, 2031. The contract involves Foreign Military Sales. This contract was a competitive acquisition, and three offers were received.


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T3 Defense (DFNS) – Operating at the Critical Chokepoints of the Defense Industrial Base


Monday, June 29, 2026

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Initiation. We are initiating research coverage of T3 Defense Inc. (NASDAQ: DFNS) with an Outperform rating and a $0.80 price target. T3 Defense is a global aerospace & defense holding company focused on acquiring and operating mission-critical defense businesses embedded at critical chokepoints of long-cycle national security programs. Through disciplined M&A, centralized capital and strategy, and decentralized operating autonomy, T3 Defense seeks to build the asymmetric edge by strengthening critical defense capabilities and compound long-term value.

Focus. The strategy targets Tier 2 and Tier 3 suppliers that form the industrial backbone of national security infrastructure, with particular emphasis on companies offering dual-use technologies, advanced AI applications, and critical manufacturing capabilities. Management is targeting high-growth areas in the defense industry, which is undergoing a strategic recapitalization driven by ongoing conflicts and rapid technological change.


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AZZ (AZZ) – AZZ to Report First Quarter FY 2027 Results on July 8; Quarterly Cash Dividend Increased 20%


Monday, June 29, 2026

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Quarterly Dividend Increased. AZZ recently announced a 20.0% increase in its quarterly cash dividend to $0.24 per share, or $0.96 per share on an annualized basis, up from $0.20 per share, or $0.80 per share on an annualized basis, reflecting continued confidence in the company’s financial position and commitment to returning capital to shareholders. The dividend will be paid on July 30 to shareholders of record as of July 9.

First Quarter FY 2027 Financial Results. AZZ will report its first quarter fiscal 2027 financial results after the market closes on July 8, followed by a webcast and conference call on July 9 at 11:00 am ET. In addition to the first-quarter FY 2027 operating performance, we expect management to discuss demand trends, capital allocation priorities, and the outlook for the fiscal year, including potential acquisitions.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

DLH Holdings (DLHC) – Navy Contract


Monday, June 29, 2026

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

New Award. DLH has been awarded a multiple-award indefinite delivery/indefinite quantity (MAC ID/IQ) contract to provide a full range of logistics information technology services for U.S. Navy integrated platforms and DevSecOps pipelines. Under the contract, DLH will implement mission-driven, interoperable, and cost-effective solutions for customers as they confront critical system integration challenges. This new award should enable DLH to expand its offerings to the Navy, opening a new growth channel for the Company.

Details. DLH is one of multiple prime awardees on the contract, which includes a 5-year base period. The contract has a $250 million ceiling for all awardees. Task orders are expected to be released under the contract, for which DLH expects to compete.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

The Rotation Investors Have Waited All Year For Is Finally Happening

For most of 2026, the case for a market broadening beyond a handful of mega cap technology names has been a thesis. As of this week, it is becoming a reality. A global technology selloff intensified Friday, dragging the Nasdaq toward its fourth consecutive session of losses, while the parts of the market that had been overlooked for months quietly moved in the opposite direction. The Dow Jones Industrial Average touched a fresh all-time intraday high this week. And the Russell 2000, the benchmark for small cap stocks, pushed toward the 3,000 level after months of underperformance.

This is the rotation. And the data underneath it suggests it may have staying power.

What’s Driving the Move

The catalyst on the surface is weakness in technology. Apple and Microsoft both fell after announcing price increases on consumer hardware tied to rising memory costs, a reported delay in OpenAI’s IPO rattled sentiment around AI valuations, and a sharp selloff in Asian tech markets — South Korea’s KOSPI triggered a circuit breaker after an 8% intraday drop — spilled into US trading. Investors are reassessing whether the largest technology companies can justify the valuations the market assigned them during the AI rally.

But the more important story is where the money is going, not just what it’s leaving. Underneath the tech weakness, market breadth is expanding meaningfully. By late Thursday, 63% of S&P 500 stocks were trading above their 50-day moving average, up from 50% at the start of June. Advancing stocks have consistently outnumbered decliners even on down days for the index. And the correlation between the cap-weighted and equal-weighted versions of the S&P 500 has fallen to its lowest level since 2003 — a technical signal that the market is no longer moving in lockstep with a few giant names.

The Tailwinds Beneath Small Caps

Several forces are converging to support the move into smaller, more domestically focused companies. The 10-year Treasury yield has dropped below 4.5% as oil prices retreat on the easing Iran conflict, lowering borrowing costs for the smaller companies that carry disproportionately more variable-rate debt. The Russell 2000 has surged roughly 21% in 2026 while the S&P 500 has added less than 10%, and the valuation gap between the two remains near its widest level in over two decades.

The breadth of the rally is visible across exactly the kinds of sectors that had been left behind. Industrials and domestic manufacturers — names ranging from blue-chip Caterpillar down to smaller players like FreightCar America and Titan International — sit directly in the path of the onshoring and infrastructure investment themes driving the broadening. Consumer-facing companies such as ONE Group Hospitality and energy producers including Alliance Resource Partners operate in corners of the market that benefit when capital rotates away from crowded technology positioning and toward businesses with tangible cash flows and reasonable multiples.

What Comes Next

The question now is durability. If Treasury yields continue declining and oil stays contained, the conditions supporting the rotation strengthen. If tech stabilizes and reclaims leadership, the broadening could stall as it did in March and April. But the structural case for small caps — historic valuation discounts, improving earnings growth, and domestic revenue exposure — has been intact all year. What changed this week is that the market finally started pricing it in. For investors who positioned early, the rotation they have been waiting for is no longer a forecast. It is happening in real time.

Newsmax (NMAX) – Recurring Revenue Mix Improves; EBITDA Outlook Strengthens


Friday, June 26, 2026

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Strong operating momentum despite a challenging comparison. First-quarter revenue growth was driven by affiliate fee expansion, licensing growth, and improved distribution economics, while Newsmax maintained strong audience engagement with 30.4 million viewers and posted a 29% sequential increase in total viewership versus Q4 2025.

Meaningfully improving earnings outlook. We are raising our 2026 adjusted EBITDA estimate to a loss of $3.4 million, up from our prior estimate of $16.4 million. While our revenue outlook remains largely unchanged, the improved profitability reflects a more favorable revenue mix, lower operating expense assumptions, and increasing confidence in management’s execution.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Commercial Vehicle Group (CVGI) – To Join Russell 2000; $25M ATM


Friday, June 26, 2026

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Russell 2000. Commercial Vehicle Group (CVG) is expected to join the U.S. small-cap Russell 2000 Index and the broad-market Russell 3000 Index as part of the 2026 reconstitution of the Russell U.S. Indexes. The reconstituted indexes will take effect after the U.S. equity markets close on Friday, June 26, 2026. We expect the potential for additional demand for CVGI shares as index funds recalibrate portfolios to adjust for index newcomers.

Sales Agreement. Late last week, CFG entered into a “Capital on Demand” sales agreement for the sale of up to $25 million of CVGI shares. At the then $5.29 share price at the time of the filing, the full $25 million represented approximately 4.7 million shares, which would increase shares outstanding by 11.5%.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Aurania Resources (AUIAF) – Second and Final Tranche of C$1.26 Million Private Placement Closed


Friday, June 26, 2026

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Private Placement Financing. Aurania Resources closed the second and final tranche of its non-brokered private placement, raising C$578,370.96 through the sale of 3,213,172 units at a price of C$0.18 per unit. Combined with the first tranche, the financing generated gross proceeds of C$1,256,634.72 through the issuance of 6,981,304 units at a price of C$0.18 per unit. Each unit is composed of one common share and one warrant exercisable at C$0.35 per share for a period of 24 months following the date of issuance.

Use of Funds. Net proceeds from the financing will be used for exploration at the Thor’s Valley epithermal gold project in Iceland, the Balangero nickel-cobalt tailings retreatment project in Italy, and for general working capital. Following the financing, we estimate the company has 139,236,609 shares outstanding.


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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

onsemi’s $7 Billion Synaptics Deal Is a Bet on “Physical AI” — the Next Frontier Beyond the Data Center

The artificial intelligence trade has spent two years concentrated almost entirely inside the data center. onsemi (Nasdaq: ON) just made a $7 billion wager that the next chapter takes place out in the physical world. The Scottsdale-based semiconductor company announced it has entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Synaptics (Nasdaq: SYNA) in an all-stock transaction valued at approximately $7 billion in enterprise value — the largest acquisition in onsemi’s history and one of the more strategically revealing deals in the chip sector this year.

Under the terms, Synaptics shareholders will receive 1.350 shares of onsemi common stock for each Synaptics share, representing roughly a 19% premium to the 10-day volume-weighted average closing prices of both companies. The transaction is expected to close in mid-2027, subject to Synaptics shareholder and regulatory approvals.

What “Physical AI” Actually Means

The strategic concept driving the deal is what onsemi calls Physical AI — artificial intelligence embedded directly into devices and machines, enabling them to sense their environment, make decisions, act, and adapt in the real world. This is distinct from the data center AI that has dominated headlines. Where data center AI trains and runs large models in centralized facilities, Physical AI lives at the edge: in automobiles, industrial robots, factory equipment, medical devices, and connected consumer products.

onsemi frames the combined company as sitting at the intersection of four pillars: Power, Sense, Connected Compute, and Control. The company has long held strength in the first two — intelligent power management and sensing technologies for automotive and industrial markets. What it lacked was the compute and connectivity layer that turns raw sensor data into intelligent action. That is precisely what Synaptics brings.

What Synaptics Adds

Synaptics contributes four decades of innovation in Edge AI compute, human-machine interface technology, and wireless connectivity solutions. Its portfolio enables the kind of on-device intelligence and interaction that Physical AI requires — touch, display, voice, and connectivity systems that allow machines to interface with both their environment and their users. Combining Synaptics’ edge compute franchise with onsemi’s power and sensing leadership creates a company able to offer integrated solutions across every layer of the Edge AI stack.

The financial logic is anchored in market expansion. onsemi expects the acquisition to increase its total addressable market by $30 billion, bringing it to $243 billion by 2030. That is the size of the opportunity onsemi believes Physical AI represents as intelligence migrates out of the data center and into the billions of devices and machines operating in the physical economy.

Why This Matters Beyond the Two Companies

For investors tracking the broader semiconductor landscape, the onsemi-Synaptics combination carries a signal that extends well past the deal itself. The AI investment narrative has been overwhelmingly concentrated in data center infrastructure — GPUs, memory, networking, and the hyperscaler buildout. This transaction is a high-conviction bet by an established player that the next phase of AI value creation happens at the edge, in the physical world, embedded in real machines.

That thesis has direct implications for smaller companies. As Physical AI demand accelerates, the suppliers of edge sensors, power management components, connectivity modules, embedded compute, and the specialized materials that go into device-level intelligence stand to benefit. Many of those companies operate well below the $2 billion market cap threshold and sit in exactly the part of the supply chain that a Physical AI buildout would pull forward.

The data center AI trade has been the story of the past two years. onsemi just put $7 billion behind the idea that the physical world is next.

The Fed’s Preferred Inflation Gauge Just Hit a 3-Year High. A Rate Hike Is Back on the Table

The inflation data the Federal Reserve cares about most just delivered an unwelcome surprise. The Personal Consumption Expenditures price index — the gauge the FOMC uses to measure progress toward its 2% target — rose to its highest level in three years in May, according to data released Thursday. The reading keeps the prospect of a 2026 interest rate hike firmly in play and complicates the path forward for a central bank already navigating one of the most difficult macro environments in years.

Headline PCE climbed to 3.5% year over year, up from the prior month and the highest since 2023. Core PCE, which strips out volatile food and energy costs and is the measure policymakers watch most closely, also accelerated. The data confirms what last month’s Consumer Price Index reading had already suggested: inflation is not cooling on the timeline markets had hoped for, and the energy-driven spike from the US-Iran conflict has bled into the broader price picture.

Why This Keeps a Hike in Play

The report lands just over a week after new Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh presided over his first FOMC meeting, where the committee held rates steady but dropped its long-standing easing bias and signaled through its updated projections that nine of 18 officials now expect at least one rate hike before year-end. Thursday’s PCE reading strengthens that hawkish case considerably. Markets are now pricing in elevated odds of a rate increase in the second half of 2026 — a dramatic reversal from the rate cuts that were consensus just a few months ago.

For the Fed, the data presents a genuine dilemma. Inflation is accelerating while consumer sentiment recently hit an all-time low and growth signals have been mixed. That combination raises the specter of stagflation — the most difficult environment for any central bank to manage, and one with outsized consequences for smaller, rate-sensitive companies.

Where the Pressure Lands

The companies most exposed to this environment are consumer-facing businesses and those carrying significant variable-rate debt. When inflation erodes real household purchasing power, discretionary spending on dining, travel, apparel, and other non-essentials is typically the first to contract — pressuring the smaller consumer-facing companies that lack the pricing power and balance sheet depth of their large cap peers.

Energy sits on the other side of the equation. As the primary driver of May’s inflation spike, elevated energy prices that squeeze consumers can simultaneously support revenues for oil, gas, and energy infrastructure producers. That divergence is part of what makes the current inflation picture so difficult for the Fed to address with a single policy lever — the same force hurting one part of the economy is helping another.

What Comes Next

The PCE reading sets up a tense second half of the year. If energy prices continue easing as the Iran ceasefire holds and oil retreats below $75, the inflation picture could improve meaningfully in the coming months, giving the Fed room to hold rather than hike. If price pressures prove stickier and spread further into core categories, the case for a hike strengthens with each data release.

For small and microcap investors, the message is to watch the inflation trajectory as closely as the Fed itself. The cost of capital for smaller companies — which carry disproportionately more floating-rate debt than large caps — hinges directly on whether this PCE reading marks a peak or the start of a more troubling trend. Thursday’s number tilted the odds toward caution. The next several data points will determine whether that caution becomes conviction.

Crypto Has Lost More Than Half Its Value in Eight Months

The crypto market is in the middle of one of the most sustained drawdowns in its history, and there is no clear sign it has found a bottom. The total market capitalization of cryptocurrency has erased more than half its value in just eight months. After peaking at a record $4.3 trillion on October 6, 2025, the total crypto market is now worth approximately $2.0 trillion — a 54% decline over 261 days. That works out to an average of roughly $8.8 billion in value erased every single day for nearly nine consecutive months.

Bitcoin, the sector’s bellwether, is trading just below $59,200, down nearly 1% on the session and well off the highs above $100,000 it commanded earlier in this cycle.

Why the Selloff Makes Sense

The pullback, while severe, is not difficult to explain. Crypto is among the highest-risk, most speculative asset classes in the market, and the macro environment of 2026 has been actively hostile to risk. Inflation running at 4.2%, a Federal Reserve under new chair Kevin Warsh that has dropped its easing bias and signaled potential rate hikes before year-end, persistent geopolitical tension from the Iran conflict, and a broad repricing of stretched valuations across speculative assets have all weighed heavily on the space. Crypto has become increasingly sensitive to interest rate expectations, and a higher-for-longer rate environment removes much of the cheap, abundant risk capital that fueled prior bull runs.

There is also a competition-for-capital dynamic worth noting. The wave of high-profile AI IPOs in 2026 — Cerebras, SpaceX, and the anticipated Anthropic and OpenAI listings — has absorbed an enormous amount of the speculative risk capital that historically flowed into crypto during bull cycles. When investors can buy generational growth stories in the public markets, the appetite for digital assets diminishes.

The Case for Patience

Not everyone views the current drawdown as a reason to abandon the space. A long-cycle perspective on crypto notes that winters have repeatedly come and gone while the underlying industry continued to grow — the prior cycle bottomed near $16,000 four years ago, which makes the current $60,000 level appear relatively elevated by historical standards. The bull case from here rests on a familiar set of catalysts: clearer regulatory market structure, favorable legislation, continued development of real-world use cases, and the eventual return of risk capital once the current wave of AI companies completes their public offerings and post-IPO share lockups expire. Whether those catalysts materialize on any near-term timeline remains the central open question.

The Equity Market Alternative

For investors, the crypto drawdown raises a practical question worth considering: why attempt to time a bottom in one of the market’s most volatile asset classes when public equities are offering clear, fundamentals-driven opportunities? The contrast is stark. While crypto sheds billions daily, companies tied to the AI infrastructure buildout — including memory and semiconductor names posting blowout earnings and raising guidance — are demonstrating measurable revenue growth and expanding margins.

This is not a dismissal of crypto’s long-term potential, which remains a genuine debate. But for investors focused on opportunities grounded in earnings, cash flow, and visible demand, the public markets — including the small and microcap names feeding the AI supply chain — currently offer compelling alternatives that do not require catching a falling knife. Sometimes the better opportunity is the one hiding in plain sight.

Tectonic Metals Inc. (TETOF) – Alaska’s Next Tier One Gold Deposit?


Thursday, June 25, 2026

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

George Proost, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Initiating coverage. We are initiating coverage of Tectonic Metals Inc. with an Outperform rating and price target of US$3.50 (C$4.85) per share. In our view, Tectonic’s Flat Gold Project, located in the prolific Kuskokwim Mineral Belt in Alaska, offers the potential to become a Tier 1 gold mine which are generally defined as those producing at least 500 thousand gold ounces per year, exhibit a mine life of 10+ years, with costs in the lower half of the global industry cost curve. Based on drilling results to date, we estimate a potential mineral endowment of at least 5.3 million gold ounces with significant growth prospects. Tectonic expects to publish an initial resource estimate in the first quarter of 2027.

Exploration and drilling program yields significant discoveries. Drilling at the Flat Gold Project continues to demonstrate scale, with mineralization at the Chicken Mountain target now defined over approximately 3.3 kilometers of strike length, widths of up to 700 meters, and depths exceeding 300 meters while remaining open in all directions. All 191 holes drilled at Chicken Mountain have intersected gold mineralization, with 117 of 191 holes ending in mineralization.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Xcel Brands (XELB) – The Transformation Takes Shape


Thursday, June 25, 2026

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Commercialization phase begins. Following several years of portfolio repositioning and infrastructure investment, Xcel has begun commercializing its next generation of creator-led brands, marking a transition from strategy development to revenue execution.

Creator-commerce platform differentiates the investment story. Unlike traditional consumer products companies, Xcel leverages established creators with highly engaged audiences to develop brands across Fashion, Food & Beverage, Pet, and Home, creating an asset-light, royalty-driven business model with meaningful operating leverage.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.