Lilly Bets $2.3B on Next-Gen Blood Cancer Science as Biotech M&A Keeps Its Foot on the Gas

Eli Lilly (NYSE: LLY) announced today it has entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Ajax Therapeutics, a private biopharmaceutical company developing next-generation JAK inhibitors for patients with myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPNs) — a group of blood cancers that includes myelofibrosis and polycythemia vera. Under the terms of the deal, Ajax shareholders could receive up to $2.3 billion in cash, comprising an upfront payment and additional milestone-based payments tied to clinical and regulatory progress.

The centerpiece of the acquisition is AJ1-11095, an investigational, once-daily oral drug that represents the first-in-class Type II JAK2 inhibitor currently in Phase 1 clinical development. That distinction matters. Every JAK2 inhibitor currently approved for MPNs — including market standards like ruxolitinib — targets the Type I conformation of JAK2. While these treatments offer symptomatic relief, a significant portion of patients eventually lose response or discontinue therapy altogether due to diminishing efficacy.

AJ1-11095 was specifically engineered to address that gap. By binding JAK2 in its inactive Type II conformation, the compound is designed to deliver deeper and more durable disease control — and potentially serve patients who have already failed on existing Type I therapies. Phase 1 dosing began in late 2024, with dose selection for future development expected later this year. First proof-of-concept clinical data is also expected to be presented in 2026.

For Lilly, this isn’t a cold acquisition. The pharma giant was a founding strategic investor in Ajax, meaning today’s deal is less a discovery and more a conviction play — Lilly has seen the science up close and is now moving to own it outright. The transaction builds on Lilly’s established blood cancer capabilities and continues what has been an aggressive dealmaking year for the Indianapolis-based company. Lilly has already announced the acquisitions of Ventyx Biosciences for $1.2 billion and Orna Therapeutics for up to $2.4 billion earlier in 2026.

Lilly’s activity isn’t an outlier — it’s a signal of where the broader market is heading. Biopharma M&A totaled $15.6 billion across 19 deals in Q1 2026 alone, a pace that reflects the structural pressure Big Pharma is operating under. An estimated $236 billion in annual revenue is at risk across the industry from patent expirations of blockbuster drugs, forcing companies to look externally for pipeline replenishment.

Emerging biopharma companies now represent 70% of all clinical-stage assets, with a significant portion remaining unpartnered — and with the IPO market yet to fully recover, many smaller biotech firms are pursuing M&A or partnerships as the most viable path forward. That dynamic creates a fertile hunting ground for acquirers with balance sheet firepower and strategic focus.

The Ajax deal is a textbook example of what is driving this wave: a differentiated mechanism, a validated scientific rationale, an unmet patient need, and a buyer that already understands the asset. For investors watching the small and micro-cap biotech space, the pattern is worth tracking. Companies developing first-in-class mechanisms in high-need therapeutic areas — particularly in oncology and hematology — are drawing premium attention from large-cap acquirers willing to pay up before Phase 3 data is in hand.

The transaction remains subject to customary closing conditions, including Hart-Scott-Rodino antitrust clearance.

Ocugen (OCGN) – Clinical Progress and New Investors Could Sustain Post-Reverse Split Stock Price


Monday, April 27, 2026

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

We Believe The Proposal Is Misunderstood. On April 20, Ocugen filed its proxy statement and Annual Meeting Notice.  In addition to the usual business and shareholder matters, there is a proposal to authorize a reverse split. We believe the reverse split could lift the stock to a trading range that meets minimum share price requirements for ownership by more index funds, institutions, and investors.

The Reverse Split Could Open The Stock To More Investors. Ocugen’s three lead clinical programs have reported data that have driven an increase in its market valuation to about $550 to $600 million. However, many index funds, institutions, and brokerage firms have requirements for both minimum share price and market valuation before they can own the stock. We believe the reverse split would help meet these requirements sooner and open the stock to new investors. We expect the stream of clinical milestones in the coming year to sustain the post-split price and drive it higher.


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Kuya Silver (KUYAF) – FY 2025 Review and Outlook


Monday, April 27, 2026

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Significant progress in 2025. Kuya reported its financial and operational results for the fourth quarter and FY 2025, while also announcing key leadership appointments to strengthen its operations in Peru. Edgardo Orderique was named General Manager for Peru, bringing senior-level experience from major mining operations, and will oversee mining and processing at the Bethania Silver Project. He is supported by Jesus Palomino as Operations Manager and German Minaya as Finance and Administration Manager. These additions are intended to enhance execution as the company transitions from early-stage production to scaled operations with higher throughput.

Operational momentum. The company made steady progress, achieving record processing volumes and improved production consistency. Production reached approximately 100 tonnes per day in March, with a target of 350 tonnes per day by the end of 2026 under its Phase One expansion plan. This growth is supported by investments in underground development, infrastructure, and workforce training, along with modernization efforts to improve efficiency. Kuya increased its exploration program to 20,000 meters of drilling in 2026.


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Microsoft and OpenAI Rewrite the Rules: What the Amended Partnership Means for the AI Landscape

The relationship between Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) and OpenAI just got a lot more complicated — and for investors watching the enterprise software and AI space, the implications stretch well beyond two companies renegotiating a contract.

On Monday, Microsoft announced a sweeping revision to its long-term partnership with OpenAI, officially ending its exclusive access to the AI startup’s intellectual property and models. Under the original agreement, Microsoft held exclusive rights to OpenAI’s IP and technology until the company achieved artificial general intelligence (AGI) — a milestone defined as AI that matches or surpasses human intelligence. That clause is now gone.

The revised deal allows OpenAI to distribute its models through any cloud provider, including direct competitors like Amazon Web Services. Microsoft’s Azure platform retains its designation as OpenAI’s primary cloud infrastructure and will continue to receive first access to new OpenAI products — but the competitive moat that defined the original partnership has been significantly narrowed. In exchange, Microsoft will no longer make revenue-sharing payments to OpenAI, though OpenAI is still obligated to continue paying revenue share back to Microsoft through 2030.

MSFT shares dipped roughly 1% on the announcement.

The timing is notable. The renegotiation comes just two days before Microsoft reports quarterly earnings on Wednesday — an earnings report already under a microscope after a rough six months for the stock. MSFT has lost approximately 20% over that period, while cloud rivals Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) and Google parent Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOG) have surged 17% and 30%, respectively.

A key metric investors will be watching Wednesday is Azure’s growth rate. In its last reported quarter, Microsoft disclosed that Azure revenue growth was constrained by data center capacity — the business grew 38%, but management indicated it would have hit 40% with sufficient infrastructure in place. Any update on capacity buildout and AI-driven cloud demand will likely move the stock.

But the bigger story here may not be Microsoft at all — it’s what this deal signals for the broader enterprise software market. The so-called “SaaS-pocalypse” — the fear that AI labs like OpenAI and Anthropic will build their own enterprise tools and disintermediate traditional software providers — has been quietly hammering the sector for months. With OpenAI now free to go directly to any cloud customer through any platform, that risk just became more tangible.

The damage is already showing up in valuations. Salesforce (NYSE: CRM) and ServiceNow (NYSE: NOW) are each down roughly 31% year-to-date. Thomson Reuters (NYSE: TRI) has shed more than 40%. These are not small-cap companies, but the ripple effects are being felt across the entire software ecosystem — including the mid-market and smaller players who compete for enterprise IT budgets.

For the small and microcap space, the takeaway is straightforward: the enterprise software stack is being repriced in real time. Companies that built their value proposition around integrating with or complementing legacy SaaS platforms need to be asking hard questions about their positioning as AI-native competitors gain distribution.

The Microsoft-OpenAI relationship has always been one of the most consequential partnerships in tech. Monday’s announcement makes it clear that even that relationship isn’t immune to the disruption reshaping the entire industry.

Intel Breaks Its Dot-Com Ceiling: What a 26-Year Breakout Means for the Chip Sector

Intel (NASDAQ: INTC) did something Friday that took 26 years to accomplish — it traded above its dot-com-era peak set in the year 2000. With shares surging more than 22% on the heels of a blowout first-quarter earnings report, the stock cleared a ceiling that had capped rallies multiple times over the past two decades and is now trading in price discovery territory for the first time since the internet bubble.

The catalyst was a Q1 2026 earnings print that demolished Wall Street expectations across every key metric. Intel posted revenue of $13.6 billion, up 7% year-over-year, against analyst consensus that had penciled in closer to $12.4 billion. Non-GAAP earnings per share came in at $0.29, crushing the $0.01 estimate. For context, that’s a 28-cent beat on the bottom line — a number that tells you just how badly the Street had underestimated Intel’s momentum heading into the quarter.

The segment doing the heavy lifting is Data Center and AI. That division posted revenue growth of 22% year-over-year, making it Intel’s fastest-growing area. More telling: AI-driven business revenue surged 40% year-over-year, marking the sixth consecutive quarter in which the company exceeded its own guidance. Intel Foundry — its contract manufacturing arm — also contributed meaningfully, bringing in $5.4 billion, up 20% sequentially.

It’s worth noting that Intel did report a GAAP net loss of $3.7 billion for the quarter, driven primarily by $4.1 billion in restructuring and other charges, including a Mobileye goodwill impairment. That number is real and matters, but the market’s reaction tells you investors are focused on the operating trajectory — not the one-time write-downs.

The technical story is just as significant as the fundamental one. Intel had been trapped below its 2000 peak for over two decades, with failed breakout attempts in both 2020 and 2021. The stock had already staged a remarkable recovery before earnings, rising more than 60% off its March 30 low and adding roughly $130 billion in market value in that stretch. Friday’s move didn’t just extend that rally — it changed the long-term chart structure entirely.

Intel isn’t alone in its momentum. The PHLX Semiconductor Index is currently on a 17-consecutive-day winning streak, one of the longest runs in the index’s history. The entire chip complex has been repriced higher as AI infrastructure buildout accelerates and demand for advanced silicon continues to outstrip supply.

Management guided Q2 2026 revenue to a range of $13.8 to $14.8 billion, with non-GAAP EPS of $0.20 and a non-GAAP gross margin of 39% — forward guidance that signals the company expects its momentum to hold.

The key watch now is whether Intel can close at a record high above $75.83 by the end of Friday’s session. A confirmed close above that level would be a landmark moment for one of the most watched charts in technology. A retreat back below $65, however, would reframe this move as a failed breakout — and signal the stock needs more time before it can sustain new all-time highs.

Either way, Intel’s earnings don’t just matter for INTC shareholders. They’re a read-through for semiconductor capital spending, AI chip demand, and the broader thesis that the CPU — not just the GPU — has a critical role in the next wave of AI infrastructure.

Century Lithium Corp. (CYDVF) – Century Lithium Advances Demonstration Plant Relocation


Friday, April 24, 2026

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

A step forward in Century’s development strategy. The company is advancing the relocation of its lithium extraction demonstration plant to Tonopah, Nevada, with commissioning expected in the second half of 2026. This facility previously operated in Amargosa Valley, where it successfully validated the company’s integrated process for producing battery-grade lithium carbonate from claystone. Current efforts include equipment transfer, construction of a new processing facility, and permitting activities, alongside planned metallurgical testing to further refine extraction efficiency and production methods.

The company’s process technology provides a notable competitive advantage. Century Lithium’s patent-pending chlor-alkali process utilizes salt-based reagents generated on-site, eliminating reliance on sulfuric acid and external supply chains. This design is particularly advantageous given the significant increase in global sulfur and sulfuric acid prices, allowing the company to maintain cost stability with the use of domestically available inputs such as sodium chloride and electricity while also enabling potential revenue from surplus by-products.


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MariMed Inc (MRMD) – Rescheduling? Finally?


Friday, April 24, 2026

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Rescheduling. Yesterday, Acting Attorney General Todd Blance announced he plans to “immediately” reschedule FDA-approved cannabis and state-licensed cannabis from Schedule I to Schedule III, while also ordering a “new expedited hearing with set deadlines, to fully reschedule marijuana.” While a Schedule III listing still would not federally legalize cannabis nor allow interstate commerce, it would further legitimize state-sanctioned cannabis businesses by eliminating the tax burdens under Section 280E of the Internal Revenue Code.

280E Elimination. The elimination of the 280E burden could represent huge savings for licensed cannabis businesses, potentially running into the billions. And, significantly, Acting Attorney General Blanche’s order provides the potential of a retroactive savings, with the order stating, “The Administrator encourages the Secretary of the Treasury to consider providing retrospective relief from Section 280E liability for taxable years in which a state licensee operated under a state medical marijuana license.”


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Travelzoo (TZOO) – Positioned For Earnings Upside as Subscription Model Scales


Friday, April 24, 2026

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Q1 results reflect steady growth with investment-driven earnings pressure. Revenue increased 5% year-over-year to $24.3 million, in line with our estimate, while adj. EBITDA beat our estimate ($3.5 million versus our estimate of $2.9 million). EPS declined modestly as the company continued to prioritize member acquisition, highlighting the trade-off between near-term profitability and long-term value creation.

Subscription growth and renewals drove the quarter. Record membership renewals and continued Club Member acquisition were key drivers, reinforcing the strength of the subscription model and improving underlying unit economics despite upfront marketing costs. Membership Fee revenue, which represented 19% of total company revenue, increased by a solid 91%.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Kelly Services (KELYA) – Some Green Shoots?


Friday, April 24, 2026

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Some Positives? The Federal Reserve’s Beige Book data is showing temp staffing jobs have been rising for the past six months after falling sharply over the prior four years. Historically, this is often a leading indicator that broader hiring is coming. However, the Iran conflict, AI impacts, and a still uncertain economy appear to be moderating hiring trends.

A Split Market. While layoffs and unemployment remain relatively low, hiring has fallen to levels last seen during the early pandemic. This has resulted in an unprecedented split: a stable job market for people who have jobs and recession-like for those trying to find one. Increased confidence in the economy should result in a hiring surge, in our view, with resulting benefits to staffing companies.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Direct Digital Holdings (DRCT) – Strategic Progress Continues


Friday, April 24, 2026

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Reverse split supports Nasdaq compliance and preserves strategic listing. The announced 4-for-1 reverse stock split (effective April 27, 2026), following the earlier 55-for-1 split, is intended to maintain Nasdaq compliance and preserve access to institutional capital, a key asset for executing the company’s long-term strategy.

Capital access remains intact, supporting operations through the transition period. Management continues to utilize equity facilities and recent capital raises to fund operations, with additional financing expected to bridge the company to anticipated cash-flow improvements in the second half of 2026.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

AZZ (AZZ) – FY 2026 Review and Outlook


Friday, April 24, 2026

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Fourth quarter and FY 2026 financial results. For FY 2026, AZZ reported adjusted net income of $187.1 million, or $6.19 per share, compared to $156.8 million, or $5.20 per share, during FY 2025, and to our estimate of $182.4 million, or $6.03 per share. Compared to FY 2025, sales increased 4.6% to $1.650 billion. AZZ generated a 23.9% gross margin as a percentage of sales compared to 24.3% during the prior year. Adjusted EBITDA increased to $367.6 million, representing 22.3% of sales, compared to $347.9 million, or 22.0% of sales, in FY 2025. Adjusted net income and EPS during the fourth quarter of FY 2026 were $40.4 million and $1.34, respectively, compared to our estimates of $35.7 million and $1.18 per share. 

Updating estimates.  We have modestly adjusted our FY 2027 estimates. We project revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted EPS of $1,750.5 million, $386.7 million, and $6.75, respectively. Our FY 2027 estimates reflect a gross margin of $433.3 million, or 24.8% of sales, compared to 23.9% in FY 2026. Our previous FY 2027 revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted EPS estimates were $1.750 billion, $386.0 million, and $6.70, respectively. We have also updated our forward estimates through 2032, which reflect modest increases in EBITDA and EPS.


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Consumer Sentiment Hits an All-Time Low — Even a Ceasefire Couldn’t Fix It

The University of Michigan’s final April Consumer Sentiment reading came in at 49.8 — beating the 48.5 economists anticipated, but landing in a place no one wanted to be: the lowest level ever recorded. That means Americans right now are more anxious about their economic futures than during the 2008 financial crisis, the depths of the COVID-19 pandemic, or the inflation surge that followed Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

The data reflects the ongoing economic disruption triggered by the U.S.-Iran conflict, which has driven gas prices up by more than a dollar per gallon on average since hostilities began. A two-week ceasefire temporarily softened the blow, and sentiment did improve slightly as a result. But survey director Joanne Hsu made clear in the release that diplomatic moves which don’t translate into actual relief at the pump — or lower prices on store shelves — aren’t enough to meaningfully shift consumer confidence.

That’s the core challenge here. Stocks have hit record highs this week, and the ceasefire offered a moment of cautious optimism. Yet sentiment fell across every demographic measured — age, income, education level, and political affiliation. That kind of across-the-board deterioration signals something broader than partisan frustration or market volatility. It points to a deeply embedded anxiety about where prices are headed.

The inflation data reinforces that concern. Year-ahead inflation expectations jumped to 4.7% in April, up from 3.8% in March — the largest single-month increase since April 2025, when sweeping tariff announcements rattled markets. Long-term inflation expectations climbed to 3.5%, the highest mark since last October. For context, both of these figures were well below 3% during the relatively stable 2019–2020 period. Americans don’t just feel squeezed now — they expect to keep feeling squeezed.

This disconnect between a rallying stock market and cratering consumer confidence is worth paying close attention to. Equity valuations often price in future optimism, but consumer sentiment is a more direct measure of how households — the engine of U.S. consumer spending, which drives roughly 70% of GDP — are actually behaving and planning. When confidence erodes to record lows, it tends to translate into deferred purchases, tighter household budgets, and reduced risk-taking across the board.

For investors tracking small and microcap equities, the downstream effects of sustained consumer pessimism are real. Companies in discretionary spending categories, regional retail, and consumer services face headwinds that don’t disappear when the S&P 500 ticks higher. The gap between Wall Street’s mood and Main Street’s reality has rarely been this wide — and historically, one of them ends up being right.

Helix and Hornbeck Offshore Merge to Build a Deepwater Powerhouse

Two of the offshore energy sector’s most recognized names are joining forces. Helix Energy Solutions Group (NYSE: HLX) and Hornbeck Offshore Services have announced a definitive all-stock merger agreement that will create one of the most comprehensive integrated deepwater services companies in the world — and the timing couldn’t be more calculated.

Under the terms of the deal, Hornbeck shareholders will own approximately 55% of the combined company while Helix shareholders retain roughly 45% on a fully diluted basis. The newly formed entity will operate under the Hornbeck Offshore Services name and trade on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol “HOS.” Todd Hornbeck, currently Chairman, President and CEO of Hornbeck, will lead the combined company, with William Transier serving as Chairman of a seven-member board comprised of three Helix directors and four from Hornbeck.

Why This Deal Makes Strategic Sense

This isn’t a merger of desperation — it’s a merger of expansion. Helix brings deep subsea expertise, well intervention capabilities, and a global robotics fleet with operations spanning the Gulf of America, Brazil, North Sea, West Africa and Asia Pacific. Hornbeck contributes a fleet of technologically advanced, high-specification offshore support vessels with a strong concentration in the Americas, including Brazil and Mexico, along with meaningful exposure to U.S. government and offshore wind contracts.

Together, the combined company covers the entire life cycle of deepwater field operations — from installation and production enhancement to decommissioning — across energy, defense and renewables. That kind of end-to-end service coverage significantly reduces the cyclicality risk that has historically plagued pure-play offshore services companies.

The Numbers Behind the Deal

The transaction is expected to generate $75 million or more in annual revenue and cost synergies within three years of closing. Those synergies will come from integrated service offerings, expanded customer reach and fleet optimization that reduces reliance on expensive third-party vessel charters.

The combined backlog currently stands at approximately $2 billion — split evenly between the two companies — with $1 billion tied to long-term contracts in Hornbeck’s military and specialty vessel segments. That backlog provides meaningful near-term revenue visibility as the integration unfolds.

Helix also reported Q1 2026 revenue of $287.95 million, beating analyst estimates by roughly $24 million, and reiterated full-year 2026 guidance of $1.2 billion to $1.4 billion in revenue with EBITDA projected between $230 million and $290 million. The company closed Q1 with $501 million in cash and just $10 million in funded debt — a balance sheet position that gives the combined entity significant flexibility for organic growth or further M&A post-close.

What to Watch

The merger requires Helix shareholder approval and customary regulatory sign-offs, with closing expected in the second half of 2026. Notably, Ares Management funds, representing a significant portion of Hornbeck’s ownership, have already delivered written consent approving the transaction — removing one of the more common deal-risk variables upfront.

For investors tracking the small and midcap offshore services space, this deal reshapes the competitive landscape. The combined HOS will be a scaled, diversified operator in a sector where scale increasingly determines who wins long-term contracts and who gets squeezed out.

The deepwater services consolidation wave continues — and this merger puts the new Hornbeck Offshore squarely at its center.