First Phosphate Corp. (FRSPF) – Nasdaq Uplisting Enhances and Expands Investor Access


Monday, August 10, 2026

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Nasdaq Listing. First Phosphate’s American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) will uplist to the Nasdaq Global Market under the ticker PHOS, effective August 10, 2026. The ADR ratio remains 10 common shares per ADR, and existing Level 1 ADRs will be delisted from the OTCQX and automatically converted to Level 2 ADRs for Nasdaq trading. First Phosphate’s currently listed common shares on the OTCQX, CSE, and Frankfurt Stock Exchange are unaffected. Uplisting to Nasdaq is expected to enhance U.S. market access for First Phosphate, which is developing a vertically integrated North American supply chain for LFP battery materials used for energy storage, data centers, robotics, mobility, and national security applications.

No New Capital. First Phosphate is the second self-sponsored ADR to uplist to Nasdaq and the first to do so without a concurrent capital raise. The Nasdaq uplisting does not involve issuing additional shares or raising new capital. Investors may continue converting First Phosphate common shares into ADRs at no cost through The Bank of New York Mellon, the depositary bank for the First Phosphate ADR program, until December 31, 2026. First Phosphate is well funded with more than C$30 million in treasury and access to C$21.5 million in Canadian government contributions, providing funding through a final investment decision (FID).


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

NN (NNBR) – A New Era


Monday, August 10, 2026

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

A New Era. NN delivered strong financial performance in the second quarter with record results in many areas. These new sales are higher margin, attached to higher growth rate end markets, and mostly immediate 2026 startup. The Company is achieving many multi-year goals and revising outlooks-including raising full-year guidance- based upon actual results. And, significantly, post-quarter-end management implemented what can only be described as a game-changing restructuring of the capital structure.

Growth. During the quarter, NN secured significant 2026 immediate-supply awards for Data Center liquid cooling products, robotic surgery medical products, and defense products. New business wins through July totaled $80 million. Management increased the full-year new business win goal from $80 million to the $100 million range.


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Kelly Services (KELYA) – Improving Momentum


Monday, August 10, 2026

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Overview. In the second quarter of 2026, Kelly exceeded guidance for both revenue and adjusted EBITDA margin, driven by growing momentum from the Company’s growth and efficiency initiatives as well as constructive demand trends in parts of the portfolio. Notably, Kelly delivered sequential improvements in each of the business segments.

2Q26 Results. Revenue was $1.04 billion, down approximately 5.8% y-o-y, but significantly better than the expected 7-9% revenue decline.  We were at $1.01 billion. Adjusted EBITDA for 2Q26 was $16.1 million, a 3.0% margin, above management’s 2.5% projection. We were at $25 million and 2.5%. Adjusted EPS was $0.37 versus $0.54 in 2Q25. We had estimated $0.30.


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CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – 2Q26 Results Exceed Expectations; Raising Price Target


Monday, August 10, 2026

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Overview. As we highlighted in our First Look at CoreCivic’s operating results, the Company’s second quarter 2026 financial results exceeded management expectations, driven by lower operating costs and slightly higher populations from ICE. While the quarterly operating results were a positive in and of themselves, the major news came post-quarter’s end with the announcements of sales of four detention facilities to the Federal government for total gross proceeds of $2.2 billion and a net of approximately $1.6 billion. The Company remains in discussions with ICE for the potential sale of additional facilities, as well as for new contracts at existing and/or idle facilities.

Capital. With the facilities sold, the current capital structure has significantly changed. Net proceeds, after taxes and sale costs, were approximately $1.6 billion. The Company used $608.5 million to pay down debt, including $238.5 million of the 4.75% unsecured notes that will be repaid on August 12th. After income taxes and debt repayments, the Company will have approximately $1 billion of cash on hand, total debt outstanding of $739.1 million, and $553.3 million of borrowing capacity under the revolving credit facility.


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E.W. Scripps (SSP) – Transformation and Regulatory Change Create Long-Term Upside


Monday, August 10, 2026

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

George Proost, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Mixed Q2 results, but EBITDA outlook remains intact. Second-quarter results reflected continued pressure in the Scripps Networks business from weak national advertising, retransmission disruptions, and Nielsen measurement changes. However, stronger political advertising guidance and accelerated transformation savings largely offset these headwinds, leading us to maintain our 2026 adjusted EBITDA estimate despite modest revenue revisions. 

Transformation plan gains momentum. Management increased its expected year-end transformation run-rate savings to $100 million, up from $75 million previously, reinforcing confidence in its target of delivering $125–150 million of incremental annualized EBITDA by 2028 through AI, automation, and operational modernization. 


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Graham (GHM) – Strong Start to Fiscal 2027


Monday, August 10, 2026

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Overview. Graham’s first quarter results reflect continued disciplined execution. The Company experienced revenue growth across all business units, reflecting the strength of Graham’s diversified business model and strong demand for the Company’s mission-critical technologies. Bookings remained strong, and backlog was at a record level.

1Q27 Results. First quarter fiscal 2027 net sales were $71.3 million, up $15.9 million, or 29%. We had projected $66 million. 1Q27 adjusted EBITDA increased 28% to $8.8 million, representing an adjusted EBITDA margin of 12.3%, which was consistent with the prior year period. We were at $8.3 million and 12.7%. Graham reported 1Q27 adjusted net income of $5.7 million, or $0.49/sh, compared with $4.9 million and $0.45/sh last year. This exceeded our $5.1 million and $0.43/sh estimate.


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Gyre Therapeutics, Inc (GYRE) – Gyre Reports 2Q26 Results Completes The Transformative Cullgen Acquisition


Monday, August 10, 2026

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

The Cullgen Acquisition Highlights 2Q26. Gyre reported a 2Q26 loss of $14.3 million, or $(0.12) per share. Revenues of $29.1 million compared with $22.5 million in 1Q26, consistent with our estimates. We have expected a transition year between Etuary market maturity and the expected hydronidone launch, supplemented by the Cullgen acquisition. Revenue guidance for FY2026 was reiterated at $100.5 to $111.0 million. Cash and equivalents on June 30, 2026 were $103.2 million.

Hydronidone NDA Accepted For Review. In May 2026, the New Drug Application (NDA) for hydronidone (previously F351) was accepted for review by the Center for Drug Evaluation (CDE) of China’s National Medical Products Administration (NMPA). This followed the Priority Review status granted by the NMPA in March.


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The GEO Group (GEO) – Strong 2Q; Raising Price Target


Monday, August 10, 2026

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Overview. GEO delivered better-than-expected performance in the second quarter of 2026, reflecting significant revenue growth from the contracts that the Company entered into throughout 2025. With recently signed new contracts and still significant idle capacity, we believe there remains substantial opportunity for additional increases in operating results.

2Q26 Results. Second quarter 2026 revenue was $732.1 million, up 15% y-o-y, and exceeding our $720 million projection. Adjusted EBITDA was up 20% to $142 million, or a 19.4% margin, and above our $129.3 million estimate. GEO reported 2Q26 net income attributable to GEO Operations of $47.5 million, or $0.36/sh, and  $29.1 million, or $0.21/sh, in 2Q25. Adjusted EPS was  $0.37/sh, compared to  $0.22/sh in 2Q25. We were at $0.28/sh for both.


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Teledyne Pays an 88% Premium for Varex Imaging

Teledyne Technologies (NYSE: TDY) announced Monday it has entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Varex Imaging Corporation (Nasdaq: VREX) in an all-cash transaction valued at approximately $1.1 billion. Under the terms of the deal, Teledyne will pay $18.90 per share, a striking 88% premium over where Varex stock was trading as recently as late May, when shares changed hands near $10 against a market capitalization of just $424 million. Varex shares surged 48.3% in premarket trading the day the deal was announced.

The boards of both companies unanimously approved the transaction, which is expected to close in early 2027, subject to regulatory approvals and Varex shareholder consent.

A Genuinely Small Company Commanding a Big Premium

The scale of this premium is worth sitting with. Varex was trading as a sub-$500 million microcap just weeks before this deal was announced. For a company that size to command an 88% premium and a $1.1 billion transaction value signals that Teledyne identified something strategically essential in Varex’s technology that could not easily be replicated or acquired elsewhere.

Varex has spent decades developing X-ray sources, digital X-ray detectors, high-voltage interconnects, and imaging software for global OEM manufacturers across medical diagnostics, security screening, non-destructive industrial testing, and analytical measurement. The company posted preliminary third quarter revenue of $210.5 million, with adjusted earnings of $0.31 per share, evidence of a business generating real, sustained commercial revenue rather than a speculative pre-revenue target.

The Specific Gap Teledyne Is Filling

What makes this deal particularly interesting is how directly Teledyne’s own leadership described the strategic rationale. Teledyne currently produces X-ray detectors but does not offer detectors suited for high-radiation environments such as oncology, a category Varex has built specifically. That is a rare instance of an acquirer publicly naming the exact product gap being solved, rather than relying on generic language about synergies or portfolio expansion.

Varex is also recognized as the world’s only commercially ready independent supplier of photon-counting CT detectors, a next-generation imaging technology that improves image resolution and reduces radiation dose in computed tomography scanning. As major medical imaging OEMs including GE HealthCare, Siemens Healthineers, and Philips continue advancing toward photon-counting CT platforms, owning the independent supplier of that core detector technology gives Teledyne a genuinely differentiated position in a critical, high-growth segment of medical imaging.

Why the Combination Makes Sense

Teledyne’s existing digital imaging, vacuum electronics, and instrumentation businesses already serve overlapping end markets in aerospace, defense, industrial inspection, and healthcare. Varex’s X-ray sources and detectors slot directly into that existing customer base and distribution infrastructure, giving Teledyne the ability to offer a more complete imaging component solution to OEM customers who previously had to source detector and tube technology from separate specialized suppliers.

Varex’s own leadership has pointed to Teledyne’s resources as a way to accelerate adoption of its advanced imaging solutions and speed development of next-generation products, suggesting the deal is expected to benefit commercialization timelines on both sides rather than simply consolidating market share.

What It Means for Small Cap Investors

For investors tracking small and microcap companies in medical imaging, industrial inspection, and specialized electronics components, this deal is a meaningful data point. A company with a market cap under $500 million just months ago commanded an $1.1 billion acquisition price because it controlled genuinely differentiated, hard-to-replicate technology in a high-growth medical imaging niche. That is a reminder that scale alone does not determine acquisition value. Owning a critical, difficult-to-replicate technology position within a larger company’s supply chain can command a premium disproportionate to a company’s size, particularly when that technology sits at the center of where an entire industry is heading next.

Back-to-School and the Stock Market: Is There Really a September Effect?

Every August, the same scene plays out: parents load up shopping carts with notebooks and sneakers, and almost like clockwork the stock market starts to wobble. Investors call this the “September Effect,” and it’s one of the most searched market patterns every fall. So is there really a connection between back-to-school season and the stock market? Here’s what the data says.

Is September Really the Worst Month for the Stock Market?

Since 1928, the S&P 500 has averaged a return of roughly -1.1% in September, by far the worst of any month on the calendar, and the only month with a meaningfully negative long-run average. August and September together have been the weakest back-to-back stretch since 1945. The index has closed lower in September more than half the time since 1928, no other month drops that often.

This year, back-to-school spending is bigger than ever. The National Retail Federation projects total 2026 back-to-school spending, kindergarten through college, will hit $146.8 billion, up from $128.2 billion in 2025, with college spending crossing $100 billion for the first time. So does all that retail activity actually move the market? Not directly, but the timing overlap is too consistent to ignore.

Why Does the Stock Market Drop in September? 3 Theories

1. Traders come back from summer vacation. The most credible explanation has nothing to do with school supplies and everything to do with vacation schedules. Trading volume and volatility run low through the summer as fund managers and everyday investors take time off. When everyone returns after Labor Day, that quiet gives way to a concentrated wave of rebalancing, all landing in the same few weeks.

2. Household spending shifts to essentials. As families shift spending toward school supplies and tuition, discretionary spending elsewhere slows, and consumer routines reset to budget-conscious mode. Some analysts argue that shift filters into earnings expectations right as September begins. It’s a compelling theory, but worth being honest about, it’s a theory, not a proven cause.

3. Mutual funds “window dress” before fiscal year-end. Many mutual funds close their fiscal year on September 30th, and beforehand, managers often trim losers and buy winners to make year-end portfolios look better, a practice known as “window dressing.” That selling pressure adds to September weakness for reasons that have nothing to do with backpacks or lunchboxes.

Does the September Effect Actually Predict Market Crashes?

Not on its own. Some of September’s worst historical drops happened during bear markets already underway for entirely unrelated reasons, the Great Depression, the dot-com crash, the 2008 financial crisis. The calendar didn’t cause those crashes; it just happened to be the backdrop. When the broader market has strong momentum heading into September, the seasonal weakness has historically shown up far less, if at all.

Should You Change Your Investing Strategy for September?

The back-to-school season and stock market weakness share a calendar and a shift in investor psychology, but the relationship is a tendency, not a rule. The smarter takeaway isn’t to sell in August and buy back in October. It’s to recognize seasonal patterns are noise layered on top of the real drivers: economic data, interest rates, and corporate earnings, and to stay invested through the noise rather than trying to trade around it.

This September, as retailers report record back-to-school numbers, the real story to watch isn’t the calendar. It’s what that spending says about the health of the consumer, because that, unlike seasonality, actually moves markets.

Dream Finders Wins Beazer for $2.2 Billion After a Months-Long Chase

Dream Finders Homes finally got its target. After pursuing Beazer Homes in public for three months, the two builders agreed Wednesday to a deal — and the way it came together says a lot about what beaten-down small-caps are actually worth.

The terms: Dream Finders (NYSE: DFH) will acquire Beazer (NYSE: BZH) in an all-cash transaction worth roughly $2.2 billion in enterprise value, paying $33.50 a share. The combination creates the sixth-largest homebuilder in the country, spanning 26 markets and about 520 active communities across the Southeast, Mid-Atlantic, Texas, the West and the Midwest. Dream Finders expects more than $100 million in annual cost synergies and says the deal will be double-digit-percentage accretive to earnings in year one. It’s targeted to close in the fourth quarter, pending Beazer shareholder and regulatory approval.

This didn’t come out of nowhere. Dream Finders first bid for Beazer back in May, took its case public to pressure Beazer’s board, then raised its offer — from an initial proposal, to $32 a share in late June, to the final $33.50. Beazer resisted, then came to the table. Its CEO framed the outcome plainly: a significant, certain cash return for shareholders in an uncertain market. A persistent acquirer wore down a reluctant target, and both sides decided a bird in hand beat the alternative.

Now the part worth slowing down for. That $33.50 is roughly a 70% premium to where Beazer traded before Dream Finders’ pursuit went public — and it’s still only 0.8 times Beazer’s book value. Both numbers are true at once. Beazer’s stock, like much of the homebuilding sector, had been trading well below the accounting value of its land and finished homes, because high mortgage rates and shaky affordability had the market pricing builders for a downturn. So Dream Finders is buying hard assets for less than book value while handing Beazer’s shareholders a fat premium over where those same assets were being valued. The public market underpriced the balance sheet; a strategic buyer pounced.

That’s the pattern small-cap investors should file away, because it’s the same one running through deal after deal this year. When public markets discount an entire sector below the value of its assets, buyers with a longer horizon step in and roll up the cheap ones. Homebuilding is consolidating — scale drives down costs on purchasing, overhead, and in-house mortgage and title — and the cheapest way to buy scale right now is to buy a rival trading below book. Expect more of it while rates stay high and small builders stay cheap.

None of this is free money. Dream Finders is layering on financing and integration risk, housing demand is genuinely uncertain, and buying below book only pays if those assets hold their value. Beazer’s holders get certainty; Dream Finders’ holders are making a leveraged bet that scale wins.

The headline is “sixth-largest homebuilder.” The quieter lesson is the useful one: in a market that’s written off rate-sensitive sectors, real value is sitting in plain view on small-cap balance sheets — and patient buyers are the ones collecting it.

Nielsen’s $2.15 Billion DoubleVerify Deal: A 30% Premium That Still Locks In a Loss

Nielsen is buying DoubleVerify for $13.60 a share in cash — a 30% premium, the press release says. That premium is real. It’s also about half of what DoubleVerify’s stock fetched the day it went public. Both things are true at once, and the gap between them is the most instructive part of this deal.

Here’s what happened. On Wednesday, Nielsen — itself taken private by a private equity consortium a few years back — agreed to acquire DoubleVerify (NYSE: DV) in an all-cash deal worth roughly $2.15 billion in enterprise value. Shareholders get $13.60 per share, a 30% premium to the stock’s 60-trading-day average through August 5. The deal should close by the first quarter of 2027, after which DoubleVerify delists from the NYSE, becomes a private company under Nielsen, and keeps its name. Providence Equity, which owns about 12%, has agreed to vote in favor.

DoubleVerify isn’t a broken company — and that’s the point. It’s the leading independent platform for ad verification: the plumbing that confirms a digital ad impression was actually seen by a real person, in a brand-safe place, free of fraud. It’s accredited, embedded in the workflows of the world’s biggest advertisers, and it works — 2025 revenue landed around $748 million, up roughly 14%, with real profit and strong free cash flow. A healthy, growing, cash-generative business.

So why is it being bought at $13.60?

Because the market stopped paying up for it. DoubleVerify went public in April 2021 at $27 a share and ran to nearly $47 within months, briefly worth more than $5 billion. Then ad-tech multiples collapsed. Even as the company kept growing revenue and profit year after year, the stock got cut in half, then cut again, bottoming below $8 last year. The business went up and to the right; the multiple went down and to the left. By this week the whole company was worth under $2 billion — less than half its peak value, despite being bigger and more profitable than it was then.

That’s the lesson for anyone hunting the small end of the market. A 30% premium sounds generous until you notice it’s measured off a badly depressed base. IPO buyers are being cashed out at roughly half their money; anyone who chased the 2021 hype is down far more. The premium is genuine against last month’s price — and a permanent loss against the promise the stock once carried.

It also explains the take-private wave we’ve watched all week. When public markets abandon a profitable company and refuse to re-rate it no matter how well it executes, someone with a longer horizon eventually buys the cash flows on the cheap. That’s exactly what Nielsen is doing — and it’s the same logic behind deal after deal in 2026: good small and mid-cap businesses quietly pulled off the public market at prices that reflect the market’s indifference, not the company’s quality.

For DoubleVerify shareholders, it’s a bittersweet exit — a premium today that locks in yesterday’s de-rating. For everyone else, it’s a map. The hunting ground right now is full of profitable, overlooked small-caps trading far below what they’re worth to a patient owner. And the public market keeps losing them, one deal at a time.

Townsquare Media (TSQ) – Digital Momentum Accelerates


Friday, August 07, 2026

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Q2 exceeded expectations. Revenue of $115.4 million and Adjusted EBITDA of $24.8 million were within management’s guidance, while Digital Advertising accelerated to 11% year-over-year growth, driven by continued strength in programmatic advertising, owned-and-operated digital properties, and Media Partnerships. 

Digital transformation gaining traction. Townsquare’s Digital First strategy continues to differentiate the company from traditional radio peers. During the first half of 2026, digital businesses generated 57% of total revenue and 59% of total segment profit, while the Media Partnerships platform expanded to 16 partners, creating a scalable, capital-light growth opportunity beyond the company’s owned markets.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.