Tarsus Pays $450 Million for a Drug That Won’t Have Data Until 2029

Tarsus Pharmaceuticals (Nasdaq: TARS) announced Thursday it has entered into a definitive agreement to acquire privately held Alkeus Pharmaceuticals, adding gildeuretinol, an investigational once-daily oral therapy for Stargardt disease, to its growing eye care pipeline. Under the terms of the agreement, Tarsus will pay approximately $450 million upfront, including $270 million in cash, with up to $350 million in additional milestone payments and low-to-mid single digit royalties on future product sales.

Alongside the acquisition, Tarsus secured $125 million in gross proceeds through an oversubscribed private placement equity financing, giving the company additional capital to fund the integration and continued clinical development of its expanding pipeline. The deal is expected to close later in 2026, subject to customary closing conditions.

What Alkeus Brings to Tarsus

Stargardt disease is a rare, inherited retinal disorder that currently has no FDA-approved treatments, making it exactly the kind of high unmet need indication that commands significant strategic value despite years remaining before any potential approval. Gildeuretinol has already been studied in more than 400 individuals, demonstrating a favorable tolerability and efficacy profile, and has received both Breakthrough Therapy and Orphan Drug designations from the FDA, two regulatory signals that typically accelerate development timelines and reflect meaningful confidence in a drug’s underlying science.

The catch, and the reason this deal is genuinely a long-term bet, is timing. Topline data from the pivotal Phase 3 NORTHSTAR trial is not expected until the second half of 2029, meaning Tarsus is paying $450 million upfront for an asset that will not produce a definitive readout for roughly three more years.

A Pattern, Not a One-Off Deal

This is not Tarsus’s first eye care acquisition this year. The Alkeus deal builds directly on the company’s recent acquisition of iRenix Medical, which brought IRX-101, a potential ocular antiseptic, into the fold. Combined with its existing pipeline, which includes TP-04 for ocular rosacea and TP-05 for Lyme disease prevention, both currently in Phase 2, Tarsus is deliberately assembling one of the more comprehensive eye care pipelines in the industry rather than remaining a single-product company.

That strategy is being funded by genuine commercial strength. Tarsus reported second quarter 2026 net product sales of $173.9 million for its lead commercial product XDEMVY, an increase of more than 69% year over year, and raised its full-year 2026 XDEMVY sales guidance to a range of $685 million to $705 million. That accelerating commercial performance gives Tarsus the balance sheet flexibility to fund a multi-year pipeline bet like Alkeus while continuing to invest across its broader portfolio.

What It Means for Investors Tracking Ophthalmology and Rare Disease

For investors tracking small and mid cap companies in ophthalmology and inherited retinal disease, this transaction reinforces just how much strategic value the market continues to assign to differentiated science addressing conditions with no approved treatment options, even when the definitive clinical proof point sits years in the future. The broader inherited retinal disease space remains an area of active development, with companies like Ocugen continuing to advance gene therapy programs targeting similar categories of rare, previously untreatable retinal conditions.

Tarsus is betting that being the eye care company with the deepest pipeline, not just the strongest single product, is what builds durable value over the next decade. The market’s initial reaction, with shares pulling back modestly in premarket trading, suggests investors are still digesting the size of the bet relative to how far away the payoff actually is.

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – First Look 2Q26 Results


Thursday, August 06, 2026

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Overview. CoreCivic’s 2Q26 financial results exceeded management expectations, driven by lower operating costs and slightly higher populations from U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement. Recent contracts at 4 facilities added $80.1 million to revenue and $20.1 million to operating income in the quarter. These facilities continue to be in various stages of activation. 

2Q26 Results. Revenue increased 27.3% y-o-y to $684.9 million and was above our $618 million projection. Adjusted EBITDA was $109.4 million, compared to $103.3 million in 2Q25 and our $108.9 million estimate. Adjusted net income was $37.7 million, or $0.38 per diluted share, in 2Q26, compared with $39.7 million and $0.36, respectively, last year. We would note 2Q25 EPS benefited from $11.6 million, or $0.08 per share, of Employee Retention Credits, along with interest thereon, available under the CARES Act. Excluding the CARES Act benefit, 2Q26 adjusted EPS would have reflected more pronounced y-o-y growth.


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ONE Group Hospitality (STKS) – Implementing the Asset Light Strategy


Thursday, August 06, 2026

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Overview. The ONE Group Hospitality’s second quarter 2026 results underscore the momentum the Company is building across the portfolio, driven by the continued strength of the Company’s Vibe Dining brands. Consolidated comparable sales were positive, with positive transaction growth across all segments. Quarterly margin performance was strong, with the consolidated margin expanding 110 basis points to 16.4%.

2Q26 Results. ONE Group reported 2Q26 revenue of $200.5 million, down 3.3% from $207.4 million for the same quarter last year. The decrease was primarily attributable to the closed grill concept restaurants, partially offset by an increase in comparable restaurant sales and sales from new restaurants opened since July 2025. Adjusted EBITDA attributable to ONE Group was $21.1 million in 2Q26 compared to $23.4 million in 2Q25, a decrease of 9.7%, primarily due to increased investment in marketing during the quarter and an increase in general and administrative expenses, excluding stock-based compensation.


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NN (NNBR) – First Look 2Q26 Operating Results; Deleveraging Transaction


Thursday, August 06, 2026

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Overview. NN delivered strong financial performance in 2Q26 with record results in many areas. The Company’s 5-pillar growth program is delivering results. New sales are higher margin, attached to higher-growth-rate end markets, and mostly immediate 2026 startup. The second half of 2026 is expected to reflect continued momentum and strong financial performance.

2Q26 Results. Net sales for 2Q26 were $128.7 million, an increase of 19.3% compared to net sales of $107.9 million for the same period in 2025. We were at $116 million. Adjusted EBITDA was $17.9 million, an increase of 36.1% compared to adjusted EBITDA of $13.2 million for 2Q25, primarily driven by improved sales mix and operating performance. We had projected $15 million. Adjusted net income was $5.5 million, or $0.11 per diluted common share, an increase of $4.7 million, or $0.09 per diluted common share, compared to adjusted net income of $0.7 million, or $0.02 per diluted common share, in 2Q25. We were at $2.2 million and $0.04, respectively.


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InPlay Oil (IPOOF) – Strategic Acquisition Enhances Outlook


Thursday, August 06, 2026

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Accretive Strategic Acquisition. InPlay Oil announced the acquisition of a private oil and gas producer for C$54.25 million, adding approximately 1,400 boe/d of oil-weighted production and increasing company-wide production to more than 20,100 boe/d. The acquired assets are contiguous with InPlay’s existing operations, enabling approximately C$2.5 million of annual cost synergies, while adding 50 drilling locations and immediately enhancing adjusted funds flow and free adjusted funds flow on a per-share basis. The transaction is expected to close by the end of August, subject to customary closing conditions. Post-close, InPlay expects to have more than 450 total drilling locations, including approximately 230 Tier-1 locations.

Corporate Guidance. InPlay continues to execute strongly, with recent Cardium wells materially outperforming expectations and being drilled ahead of schedule, allowing InPlay to expand its 2026 drilling program to 17 net wells on a pro forma basis. Reflecting stronger operational performance and the acquisition, management increased 2026 guidance, including adjusted funds flow (AFF) to C$161 million to C$169 million, free adjusted funds flow (FAFF) to C$79 million to C$89 million, and FAFF yield to 19% to 21%, despite higher capital spending of C$80 million to C$82 million.


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Information Services Group (III) – First Look 2Q26 Operating Results


Thursday, August 06, 2026

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Overview. Information Services Group had a very strong second quarter, generating the highest quarterly revenue since 2023. Growth in the quarter was led by Europe, up 10%, and the Americas, up 7%, while recurring revenues reached a new quarterly high of $30 million, driven by the Company’s AI-centered research and governance services.

2Q26 Results. Reported revenues for the second quarter were $65.5 million, up 6.4% from $61.6 million in the prior year, and above our $63 million projection. Second-quarter adjusted EBITDA was $9.4 million, up 13% y-o-y.  Adjusted EBITDA margin was 14.3%, compared with 13.5% in the prior year’s second quarter. We were at $8.45 million and 13.4%, respectively. ISG reported adjusted net income for 2Q26 of $5.0 million, or $0.10 per share, compared with adjusted net income of $4.1 million, or $0.08 per share, in 2Q25. We had projected $4.4 million and $0.09/sh.


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Graham (GHM) – New Awards


Thursday, August 06, 2026

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Awards. Graham Corporation was awarded two contracts for a combined value of over $43 million. These awards reflect the continued demand the Company is seeing across its defense platforms. The revenue for the contracts will be reflected in the Company’s first and second fiscal year 2027 backlog.

MK48 Mod 7 Heavyweight Torpedo. The first award is a follow-on fourth option year supporting the MK48 Mod 7 Heavyweight Torpedo program, awarded in the first quarter of fiscal 2027, which ended June 30, 2026. The Company will continue to provide alternators and regulators under this option year.


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First Phosphate Corp. (FRSPF) – Federal Funding for Infrastructure Planning


Thursday, August 06, 2026

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Federal Funding for Begin-Lamarche. First Phosphate Corp. has finalized agreements with the Government of Canada to receive C$4.84 million in non-repayable funding through Natural Resources Canada’s First and Last Mile Fund to support infrastructure planning for its Bégin-Lamarche phosphate deposit in Québec. The new funding builds on the C$16.7 million previously awarded by NRCan in March 2026, demonstrating continued federal support for advancing the strategic critical minerals project.

Investments in Infrastructure Planning. The funding will support two key initiatives: 1) approximately C$3.07 million for studies and design of a 161-kV power transmission line and substations, and 2) approximately C$1.77 million for planning a new mine access road and evaluating upgrades to bypass roads to support transportation between Begin-Lamarche and regional infrastructure, including rail links and the Port of Saguenay. Both projects include technical, environmental, and economic studies, engineering design, and consultation with indigenous communities and the public.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Lilly’s Quarter Confirmed It: Obesity Is Pharma’s Most Valuable Real Estate

Eli Lilly jumped as much as 7% Wednesday after another quarter that made one thing clear: the appetite for weight-loss drugs isn’t slowing down. For small-cap investors, though, the trillion-dollar stock isn’t the story. What that demand does to the hunt for the next obesity drug is.

First, the quarter. Lilly raised its 2026 revenue forecast to a range of $85 billion to $87 billion, up from a prior ceiling near $85 billion, and beat on adjusted earnings — all powered by its GLP-1 franchise. It has momentum behind it, too: the FDA approved Foundayo, the pill version of its weight-loss drug, earlier this year, and next-generation candidate retatrutide is on track for an FDA filing early next year. The stock has climbed more than 40% since late April.

Here’s the read-through for the small end of the market.

Obesity is now the most valuable franchise in all of pharma, and the two giants that own it — Lilly and Novo Nordisk — are in a full sprint to stay ahead. That sprint runs straight through small-cap biotech. Building a differentiated metabolic drug from scratch is slow and uncertain; buying one that already has promising human data is faster. Big pharma has shown, again and again, that it will pay enormous premiums for early obesity and metabolic assets. Every small-cap sitting on a credible next-generation candidate — an oral GLP-1, an amylin, a muscle-sparing combination — is wearing a target because of quarters like this one.

There’s a second, quieter beneficiary: the supply chain. A demand curve this steep needs manufacturing, and that lifts the unglamorous names that make it possible — the peptide contract manufacturers, the auto-injector and drug-delivery specialists, and now the oral-formulation capacity that Foundayo’s approval just validated. It’s the same picks-and-shovels logic behind the bioprocessing consolidation we’ve watched all summer: when a therapy category explodes, the companies supplying the tools get pulled along, and often bought.

Now the discipline, because this is where enthusiasm gets expensive. Obesity biotech is binary and badly overcrowded. For every small-cap with a genuine shot at the next blockbuster, a dozen are running me-too molecules that will quietly fail in the clinic. And many of the credible names already trade on takeout hope, which means a chunk of the premium is baked in before any deal is announced. The filter is differentiated, de-risked clinical data — an asset the giants can’t easily replicate and would rather buy. Everything else is a lottery ticket.

The takeaway is simple. The mega-cap headline is demand. The small-cap opportunity is the arms race that demand is funding. Lilly’s quarter didn’t just reward Lilly shareholders — it reminded every deal team in pharma that owning the future of obesity may be cheaper to buy than to build. Watch the small-caps holding data the giants can’t ignore.

Everyone’s Watching Record Highs. Smart Money Is Watching Oil and Small Caps

Wall Street woke up Wednesday to more of what it’s gotten all week: record highs, falling oil, and a fragile peace headline out of the Middle East. The financial press will lead with the Dow. The more useful question for anyone investing below the mega-cap tier is what cheaper crude actually does to small caps.

Start with the setup. After a searing rally that pushed the S&P 500 and Dow to record closes Tuesday, US futures steadied Wednesday morning. Oil fell for a third straight session — Brent slipped near $78 and WTI dropped under $75 — on growing hope that the Strait of Hormuz, the chokepoint for roughly a fifth of the world’s oil, could reopen. Qatar said a US–Iran proposal has been drafted, and Iran is reportedly weighing whether to let European navies clear mines from the waterway. Asia cheered it overnight, with South Korea’s KOSPI jumping 4%. Gold pushed higher, the VIX stayed calm, and Russell 2000 futures held firm.

Here’s why small-cap investors should care more than the headline suggests.

Small companies are the most exposed to the price of energy — and the most helped when it falls. They’re overwhelmingly domestic, they run thinner margins, and they lack the global hedging desks and pricing power of the mega-caps. When crude drops, the input-cost relief flows straight to the bottom line of small-cap industrials, transports, manufacturers, and consumer names. Cheaper oil is, in effect, a stealth margin boost for the exact companies that live closest to the edge on the income statement.

There’s a second-order effect that matters even more. Lower oil feeds disinflation, disinflation keeps the Fed’s rate-cut path alive, and small caps are the single most rate-sensitive corner of the market. Pair that with this week’s soft ADP jobs number and you get a macro mix that has historically favored the little guys.

Now the honest other side, because it cuts both ways. Energy is a meaningful slice of the Russell 2000, and cheaper crude squeezes small-cap exploration and production names hard. If your small-cap exposure leans toward oil and gas, this is a headwind, not a tailwind. The net effect depends entirely on what you own.

Step back, though, and the direction of travel is the story. The rally is finally broadening beyond the handful of AI mega-caps that carried it for two years — the Russell is joining the record run, not watching from the sidelines. A de-risking geopolitical backdrop, falling oil, and an easing Fed is the kind of trifecta that tends to reward the laggards. For two years, small caps have been the laggard.

One caveat to keep front and center: this peace is fragile, and a single headline could send oil right back up. Don’t build a thesis on a diplomatic maybe. But watch the setup. While everyone fixates on the Dow printing another record, the more interesting move may be one rung down the market-cap ladder — where the companies most helped by cheap oil and cheap money have been overlooked the longest.

Superior Group of Companies (SGC) – Branded Products Powers Earnings Growth


Wednesday, August 05, 2026

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

George Proost, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

An impressive earnings beat. Q2 revenue increased 2.6% to $147.8 million, while adjusted EBITDA rose 26.6% to $7.7 million and adjusted EPS more than doubled to $0.21. The results beat our estimates of $143.8 million, $6.5 million, and $0.08 per share, respectively. 

Branded Products powers the recovery. Revenue advanced 6.2%, and segment EBITDA increased 24.9% to $11.2 million, supported by a favorable customer mix, improved sourcing, and growing volumes from existing customers. Management indicated that the segment has favorable operating momentum into the second half. 


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Kratos Defense & Security (KTOS) – Strong 2Q26 Top Line Growth; Momentum Continues to Build


Wednesday, August 05, 2026

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Overview. Kratos’ second quarter results reflect strong execution by the Company, in our view. The Company’s strategy, including making internally funded investments to be first-to-market with relevant hardware and software that is engineered up front for affordable mass production at scale and is aligned with the Department of War’s priorities, continues to resonate, in our view.

2Q26 Results. Revenues for the second quarter were $458.8 million, above management’s guide of $400 million-$410 million. We were at $405 million. Adjusted EBITDA for the second quarter was $38.2 million, above the high end of the estimated range of $30 million-$35 million, reflecting the increased revenue and revenue mix. We had forecast $33 million. GAAP net income for 2Q26 was $4.4 million, and GAAP EPS was $0.02, compared to $2.9 million and  $0.02, respectively, for 2Q25. Adjusted EPS was $0.21 for 2Q26, compared to $0.11 for 2Q25.


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InPlay Oil (IPOOF) – Updating Estimates Based on Higher Second Quarter Crude Oil Prices


Wednesday, August 05, 2026

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Updating estimates. We have increased our Q2 FY2026 revenue, adjusted funds flow (AFF), and AFF per share estimates to C$122.0 million, C$49.6 million, and C$1.77, respectively, from C$104.0 million, C$36.2 million, and C$1.29. While we have lowered our production estimate to 18,663 barrels of oil equivalent per day (boe/d) from 18,875 boe/d due to Q2 weather impacts, the increases in our estimates are largely due to higher crude oil prices. For FY 2026, we now project revenue, AFF, and AFF per share of C$425.6 million, C$162.5 million, and C$5.80, respectively, compared to our prior estimates of C$406.2 million, C$148.4 million, and C$5.29. Our FY 2026 average production forecast of 18,900 boe/d is unchanged.

Outlook. InPlay has approximately 190 Tier 1 drilling locations that provide an estimated 10 to 15 years of high-return inventory. The company’s low-decline asset base supports sustainable free cash flow generation while limiting capital requirements needed to maintain production. Conservative leverage provides capacity for future acquisitions while maintaining shareholder returns through the dividend.


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