Month: August 2024

Release – CoreCivic Reports Second Quarter 2024 Financial Results

Posted on by dburczyk@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Research News and Market Data on CXW

Higher Occupancy and Cost Management Initiatives Drive Positive
Quarterly Financial Performance

BRENTWOOD, Tenn., Aug. 07, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — CoreCivic, Inc. (NYSE: CXW) (CoreCivic or the Company) announced today its second quarter 2024 financial results.  

Financial Highlights – Second Quarter 2024

  • Total revenue of $490.1 million
    • CoreCivic Safety revenue of $455.4 million
    • CoreCivic Community revenue of $30.3 million
    • CoreCivic Properties revenue of $4.4 million
  • Net income of $19.0 million; Adjusted Net Income of $21.8 million
  • Diluted earnings per share of $0.17; Adjusted Diluted EPS of $0.20
  • Normalized FFO per diluted share of $0.42, an increase of 27%
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $83.9 million, an increase of 16%

Damon T. Hininger, CoreCivic’s President and Chief Executive Officer, commented, “CoreCivic carried its strong operating momentum into the second quarter of 2024. Revenue increased 6% versus the second quarter of 2023, with federal, state, and local revenues all increasing. Occupancy increased to 74.3% from 70.3% in the prior year quarter, and our cost management initiatives are proving effective.”

“In addition to our solid quarterly financial results,” Hininger added, “we are also proud of our continued progress toward our capital structure targets. During the quarter, we repurchased 1.3 million shares of our common stock for a total cost of $20.1 million. Through a thoughtful and disciplined capital allocation strategy, we ended the quarter with leverage, measured as net debt to Adjusted EBITDA, at 2.5x for the trailing twelve months – placing us at the midpoint of our target leverage range of 2.25x to 2.75x that we established in August 2020. Our balance sheet strength and readily available bed capacity position us well to respond to the dynamics of our industry.”

“Finally, we want to recognize the accomplishments of our South Texas Family Residential Center (South Texas Facility) in Dilley, Texas over the past decade. As we previously disclosed, U.S. Immigrations & Customs Enforcement (ICE) will discontinue using this facility as of August 9, 2024. The South Texas Facility was created in collaboration with ICE and a third-party lessor to address the unique challenges posed by then unprecedented levels of family immigration in 2014. This pioneering facility was initially designed to provide a family-oriented environment, featuring educational, medical, dining and athletic facilities. During 2021, this facility’s mission shifted to detention of single adults. We appreciate the trust placed in CoreCivic to launch this unique facility, and we appreciate our excellent leadership and staff at the South Texas Facility, whom we have offered employment opportunities at other facilities within the CoreCivic portfolio.”

Second Quarter 2024 Financial Results Compared With Second Quarter 2023

Net income in the second quarter of 2024 was $19.0 million, or $0.17 per diluted share, compared with net income in the second quarter of 2023 of $14.8 million, or $0.13 per diluted share. However, when adjusted for special items, Adjusted Net Income for the second quarter of 2024 improved to $21.8 million, or $0.20 per diluted share (Adjusted Diluted EPS), compared with Adjusted Net Income in the second quarter of 2023 of $13.6 million, or $0.12 per diluted share. Special items for each period are presented in detail in the calculation of Adjusted Diluted EPS in the Supplemental Financial Information following the financial statements presented herein.  

The increased adjusted earnings per share amounts resulted from higher federal, state, and local populations, particularly at our facilities serving ICE, combined with lower interest expense and a decrease in shares of common stock outstanding, both resulting from our capital allocation strategy. These earnings increases were achieved despite being partially offset by the expiration of our leases with the California Department of Corrections and Rehabilitation (CDCR) at our California City Correctional Center on March 31, 2024, and with the Oklahoma Department of Corrections (ODC) at our North Fork Correctional Facility on June 30, 2023, which collectively accounted for a per share reduction of $0.06.

We continue to realize improvements in our cost structure, both as a result of operating leverage stemming from improving facility occupancy versus the prior year, as well as from other initiatives, particularly those related to labor attraction and retention. The costs of registry nursing, temporary labor resources, including associated travel expenses, overtime and incentives, declined meaningfully from the prior year quarter as well as sequentially.

Revenue from ICE, our largest government partner, increased 10.5% compared with the second quarter of 2023, when the impact of Title-42 restrictions remained. Under Title 42, which ended May 11, 2023, asylum-seekers and anyone crossing the border without proper documentation or authority were denied entry at the United States border to contain the spread of COVID-19. Revenue from ICE declined slightly versus the first quarter of 2024, reflecting a slight decline in ICE detention populations nationwide. During the second quarter of 2024, revenue from ICE was $151.0 million compared to $136.7 million during the second quarter of 2023, and compared to $153.8 million during the first quarter of 2024.

Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) was $79.8 million in the second quarter of 2024. Adjusted EBITDA, which excludes special items, was $83.9 million in the second quarter of 2024, compared with $72.1 million in the second quarter of 2023.   The increase in Adjusted EBITDA was attributable to an increase in occupancy, combined with a general reduction in temporary staffing incentives and related labor costs, partially offset by the expiration of the leases with the CDCR at the California City facility and with the ODC at the North Fork facility.   

Funds From Operations (FFO) for the second quarter of 2024 was $43.8 million. Normalized FFO, which excludes special items, increased to $46.6 million, or $0.42 per diluted share, in the second quarter of 2024, compared with $37.8 million, or $0.33 per diluted share, in the second quarter of 2023, representing an increase in Normalized FFO per share of 27%. Normalized FFO was impacted by the same factors that affected Adjusted EBITDA, further improved by a reduction in interest expense resulting from our debt reduction strategy that is not reflected in Adjusted EBITDA, as well as a 2% reduction in weighted average shares outstanding compared with the prior year quarter.  

Adjusted Net Income, EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA, FFO, and Normalized FFO, and, where appropriate, their corresponding per share amounts, are measures calculated and presented on the basis of methodologies other than in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP). Please refer to the Supplemental Financial Information and the note following the financial statements herein for further discussion and reconciliations of these measures to net income, the most directly comparable GAAP measure.

Business Updates

Capital Strategy

Share Repurchases. During 2022, our Board of Directors approved a share repurchase program authorizing the Company to repurchase up to $225.0 million of our common stock. On May 16, 2024, our Board of Directors authorized an additional $125.0 million in shares of our common stock for our share repurchase program, increasing the total aggregate authorization to $350.0 million. During the three months ended June 30, 2024, we repurchased 1.3 million shares of our common stock at an aggregate purchase price of $20.1 million, excluding fees, commissions and other costs related to the repurchases. Since the share repurchase program was authorized, through June 30, 2024, we have repurchased a total of 14.1 million shares at an aggregate price of $172.1 million, or $12.20 per share, excluding fees, commissions and other costs related to the repurchases.

As of June 30, 2024, we had $177.9 million remaining under the share repurchase program. Additional repurchases of common stock will be made in accordance with applicable securities laws and may be made at management’s discretion within parameters set by the Board of Directors from time to time in the open market, through privately negotiated transactions, or otherwise. The share repurchase program has no time limit and does not obligate us to purchase any particular amount of our common stock. The authorization for the share repurchase program may be terminated, suspended, increased or decreased by our Board of Directors in its discretion at any time. As a result of ICE’s discontinued use of the South Texas Facility and the impact such discontinuation will have on our leverage ratios, we intend to prioritize the use of our free cash flow to further reduce our debt, although we may exercise discretion in repurchasing additional shares of our common stock in accordance with the repurchase program.

Debt Refinancing. On April 15, 2024, we redeemed the remaining $98.8 million outstanding principal balance of our 8.25% senior unsecured notes due 2026 (the 2026 Notes), at a redemption price of 104.125% of the principal amount, plus accrued and unpaid interest on such notes to, but not including April 15, 2024, resulting in a charge of $4.1 million reported during the second quarter of 2024. This redemption completed the refinancing transactions begun during the first quarter of 2024 with the underwritten registered public offering of $500 million aggregate principal amount of 8.25% senior unsecured notes due 2029 (the 2029 Notes). The net proceeds from the offering of the 2029 Notes, amounting to $490.3 million, together with borrowings under our revolving credit facility and cash on hand, were used to fund the tender offer for, and subsequent redemption of, the 2026 Notes, which had an outstanding principal balance of $593.1 million. Following the completion of the tender offer of $494.3 million, or 83.3% of the aggregate principal amount of the 2026 Notes then-outstanding during the first quarter of 2024, and the redemption of the remaining $98.8 million principal balance outstanding during the second quarter of 2024, we have no debt maturities until 2027, when $243.7 million principal amount of our 4.75% senior unsecured notes mature.

Contract Updates

New Management Contract with State of Montana. On July 25, 2024, following a competitive bid process, we received a Notice of Intent to Award a new management contract from the state of Montana to care for additional residents at CoreCivic facilities. During the third quarter of 2024, we anticipate receiving 120 residents at our 1,896-bed Saguaro Correctional Facility in Eloy, Arizona, doubling the population from the state of Montana residing at this facility under an existing management contract. As of June 30, 2024, we also cared for approximately 1,000 residents from Hawaii, and nearly 600 residents from the state of Idaho at the Saguaro Correctional Facility. Should the state of Montana need additional capacity, the State may approve the utilization of any other facility we own or operate, subject to availability. The Notice of Intent to Award a management contract is an expansion of our relationship with the state of Montana, where we also manage the fully occupied company-owned Crossroads Correctional Center in Shelby, Montana for the state of Montana pursuant to a separate management contract.

South Texas Family Residential Center. As disclosed on June 10, 2024, we received notification from ICE that the agency intends to terminate an inter-governmental service agreement (IGSA) for services at the South Texas Facility on August 9, 2024. We lease the facility and the site upon which it was constructed from a third-party lessor, and we have provided notice of lease termination to the lessor, also effective August 9, 2024.  Total revenue at this facility was $39.3 million and $156.6 million for the three months ended June 30, 2024 and the twelve months ended December 31, 2023, respectively. The impact of this contract termination is included in our updated 2024 financial guidance.

2024 Financial Guidance

CoreCivic previously withdrew its financial guidance during the second quarter of 2024. Based on current business conditions, we are providing the following financial guidance for the full year 2024:

 Guidance
Full Year 2024
• Net income$42.0 million to $50.4 million
• Adjusted Net Income$65.6 million to $73.6 million
• Diluted EPS$0.37 to $0.45
• Adjusted Diluted EPS$0.58 to $0.66
• FFO per diluted share$1.28 to $1.36
• Normalized FFO per diluted share$1.48 to $1.56
• EBITDA$268.0 million to $274.6 million
• Adjusted EBITDA$302.4 million to $308.4 million


During 2024, we expect to invest $70.0 million to $76.0 million in capital expenditures, consisting of $30.0 million to $31.0 million in maintenance capital expenditures on real estate assets, $32.0 million to $35.0 million for maintenance capital expenditures on other assets and information technology, and $8.0 million to $10.0 million for other capital investments, including costs to prepare an idle facility for activation in the possible event an opportunity presents.  

Supplemental Financial Information and Investor Presentations

We have made available on our website supplemental financial information and other data for the second quarter of 2024.   Interested parties may access this information through our website at http://ir.corecivic.com/ under “Financial Information” of the Investors section.   We do not undertake any obligation and disclaim any duties to update any of the information disclosed in this report.  

Management may meet with investors from time to time during the third quarter of 2024.   Written materials used in the investor presentations will also be available on our website beginning on or about August 26, 2024.   Interested parties may access this information through our website at http://ir.corecivic.com/ under “Events & Presentations” of the Investors section.

Conference Call, Webcast and Replay Information

We will host a webcast conference call at 10:00 a.m. central time (11:00 a.m. eastern time) on Thursday, August 8, 2024, which will be accessible through the Company’s website at www.corecivic.com under the “Events & Presentations” section of the “Investors” page.
To participate via telephone and join the call live, please register in advance here https://register.vevent.com/register/BIdd7601382fc644b791a9a7cfbbe4f556. Upon registration, telephone participants will receive a confirmation email detailing how to join the conference call, including the dial-in number and a unique passcode.

About CoreCivic

CoreCivic is a diversified, government-solutions company with the scale and experience needed to solve tough government challenges in flexible, cost-effective ways. We provide a broad range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through high-quality corrections and detention management, a network of residential and non-residential alternatives to incarceration to help address America’s recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. We are the nation’s largest owner of partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities, and one of the largest prison operators in the United States. We have been a flexible and dependable partner for government for over 40 years. Our employees are driven by a deep sense of service, high standards of professionalism and a responsibility to help government better the public good. Learn more at www.corecivic.com.

Forward-Looking Statements

This press release contains statements as to our beliefs and expectations of the outcome of future events that are “forward-looking” statements within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, as amended. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from the statements made. These include, but are not limited to, the risks and uncertainties associated with: (i) changes in government policy, legislation and regulations that affect utilization of the private sector for corrections, detention, and residential reentry services, in general, or our business, in particular, including, but not limited to, the continued utilization of our correctional and detention facilities by the federal government, including as a consequence of the United States Department of Justice not renewing contracts as a result of President Biden’s Executive Order on Reforming Our Incarceration System to Eliminate the Use of Privately Operated Criminal Detention Facilities, impacting utilization primarily by the United States Federal Bureau of Prisons and the United States Marshals Service, and the impact of any changes to immigration reform and sentencing laws (we do not, under longstanding policy, lobby for or against policies or legislation that would determine the basis for, or duration of, an individual’s incarceration or detention); (ii) our ability to obtain and maintain correctional, detention, and residential reentry facility management contracts because of reasons including, but not limited to, sufficient governmental appropriations, contract compliance, negative publicity and effects of inmate disturbances; (iii) changes in the privatization of the corrections and detention industry, the acceptance of our services, the timing of the opening of new facilities and the commencement of new management contracts (including the extent and pace at which new contracts are utilized), as well as our ability to utilize available beds; (iv) general economic and market conditions, including, but not limited to, the impact governmental budgets can have on our contract renewals and renegotiations, per diem rates, and occupancy; (v) fluctuations in our operating results because of, among other things, changes in occupancy levels; competition; contract renegotiations or terminations; inflation and other increases in costs of operations, including a continuing rise in labor costs; fluctuations in interest rates and risks of operations; (vi) government budget uncertainty, the impact of the debt ceiling and the potential for government shutdowns and changing budget priorities; (vii) our ability to successfully identify and consummate future development and acquisition opportunities and realize projected returns resulting therefrom; (viii) our ability to have met and maintained qualification for taxation as a real estate investment trust, or REIT, for the years we elected REIT status; and (ix) the availability of debt and equity financing on terms that are favorable to us, or at all. Other factors that could cause operating and financial results to differ are described in the filings we make from time to time with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

We take no responsibility for updating the information contained in this press release following the date hereof to reflect events or circumstances occurring after the date hereof or the occurrence of unanticipated events or for any changes or modifications made to this press release or the information contained herein by any third-parties, including, but not limited to, any wire or internet services, except as may be required by law.

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Townsquare Media (TSQ) – Digital On A Favorable Revenue Trajectory

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, August 08, 2024

Townsquare is a community-focused digital media and digital marketing solutions company with market leading local radio stations, principally focused outside the top 50 markets in the U.S. Our assets include a subscription digital marketing services business, Townsquare Interactive, providing website design, creation and hosting, search engine optimization, social media and online reputation management as well as other digital monthly services for approximately 26,800 SMBs; a robust digital advertising division, Townsquare IGNITE, a powerful combination of a) an owned and operated portfolio of more than 330 local news and entertainment websites and mobile apps along with a network of leading national music and entertainment brands, collecting valuable first party data, and b) a proprietary digital programmatic advertising technology stack with an in-house demand and data management platform; and a portfolio of 321 local terrestrial radio stations in 67 U.S. markets strategically situated outside the Top 50 markets in the United States. Our portfolio includes local media brands such as WYRK.com, WJON.com, and NJ101.5.com and premier national music brands such as XXLmag.com, TasteofCountry.com, UltimateClassicRock.com and Loudwire.com.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

In line quarter. The company delivered on expectations for its second quarter. Total company revenues of $118.2 million, down a modest 2.5% from the year earlier quarter, was in line with our $117.7 million estimate. Adj. EBITDA in the quarter was $26.2 million, in line with our $26.8 million estimate and within the company’s guidance range of $26.0 million to $27.0 million. 

Digital on a recovery trajectory. Its Interactive business is sequentially gaining subscribers and its programmatic business, Ignite, had solid 9% revenue growth in Q2. With easier National Digital comps and with improving revenue trends in its Interactive business, we expect its Digital segment to return toward revenue growth in the second half.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

The GEO Group (GEO) – 2Q24 – Delivering Steady Operational and Financial Performance

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, August 08, 2024

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 103 facilities totaling approximately 83,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

2Q24 Results. Revenue of $607.2 million compared to $593.9 million last year, with all business segments except BI showing y-o-y growth. Adjusted EBITDA came in at $124.1 million versus $119.3 million. Reported net loss was $0.25/sh, versus EPS of $0.20/sh las year. Excluding one-time refi costs, adjusted EPS of $0.23 versus $0.24 last year. We were at a loss of $0.22 and EPS of $0.26, respectively.

Stable, At Higher Levels. GEO ICE populations were stable at approximately 13,000 in the quarter, but up 30% from the year ago. U.S. Marshals populations remained in the 9,000 neighborhood, up some 8% over last year. With current ICE bed utilization some 4,500 beds below the 41,500 authorized level, there is room for additional growth if funding materializes.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Seanergy Maritime (SHIP) – Second Quarter Earnings Exceed Expectations

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, August 08, 2024

Seanergy Maritime Holdings Corp. is the only pure-play Capesize ship-owner publicly listed in the US. Seanergy provides marine dry bulk transportation services through a modern fleet of Capesize vessels. The Company’s operating fleet consists of 17 Capesize vessels with an average age of approximately 12 years and aggregate cargo carrying capacity of approximately 3,011,083 dwt. The Company is incorporated in the Marshall Islands and has executive offices in Glyfada, Greece. The Company’s common shares trade on the Nasdaq Capital Market under the symbol “SHIP” and its Class B warrants under “SHIPZ”.

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Second quarter financial results. Seanergy reported second-quarter adjusted net income of $15.3 million or $0.77 per share compared to $3.3 million or $0.18 per share during the prior year period. Unadjusted for stock compensation and loss on extinguishment of debt, EPS amounted to $0.68. We had forecast net income of $12.5 million or $0.61 per share. The variance to our estimate was largely revenue driven with greater fleet utilization of 99.7% versus our 99.4% assumption and a modestly higher average time charter equivalent rate (TCE). Expenses were also below our estimates in several categories, including voyage expenses.

Updating estimates. Despite strong second quarter results, we lowered our 2024 EBITDA and EPS estimates to $101.1 million and $2.35, respectively, from $108.7 million and $2.77. Our revised estimates reflect a reduction in operating days in the second half due to drydocking and lower average time charter equivalent rates. While the overall supply/demand outlook remains strong, some uncertainty exists beyond 2024, particularly with respect to demand in China. 


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Kratos Defense & Security (KTOS) – A Look at the Second Quarter

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, August 08, 2024

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (NASDAQ:KTOS) develops and fields transformative, affordable technology, platforms, and systems for United States National Security related customers, allies, and commercial enterprises. Kratos is changing the way breakthrough technologies for these industries are rapidly brought to market through proven commercial and venture capital backed approaches, including proactive research, and streamlined development processes. At Kratos, affordability is a technology, and we specialize in unmanned systems, satellite communications, cyber security/warfare, microwave electronics, missile defense, hypersonic systems, training and combat systems and next generation turbo jet and turbo fan engine development. For more information go to www.kratosdefense.com.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Continued Strong Results. Revenue was reported at $300.1 million, beating out our estimate of $270 million by a wide margin and last year’s revenue of $256.9 million. Organic growth was 16.7%. Net income totaled $7.9 million from a prior net loss of $2.7 million last year. We estimated net income of $0.4 million. Adjusted EBITDA was $29.9 million.

KUS. For the quarter, Unmanned Systems was the star performer, generating revenues of $85.8 million, as compared to $52.1 million in the second quarter of 2023, with organic revenue growth of 61.8% driven primarily by increased domestic target drone production and a certain international target drone delivery which contributed $17.4 million.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock (GLDD) – Solid 2Q24 Sets Up Rest of the Year

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, August 08, 2024

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation is the largest provider of dredging services in the United States. In addition, Great Lakes is fully engaged in expanding its core business into the rapidly developing offshore wind energy industry. The Company has a long history of performing significant international projects. The Company employs experienced civil, ocean and mechanical engineering staff in its estimating, production and project management functions. In its over 131-year history, the Company has never failed to complete a marine project. Great Lakes owns and operates the largest and most diverse fleet in the U.S. dredging industry, comprised of approximately 200 specialized vessels. Great Lakes has a disciplined training program for engineers that ensures experienced-based performance as they advance through Company operations. The Company’s Incident-and Injury-Free® (IIF®) safety management program is integrated into all aspects of the Company’s culture. The Company’s commitment to the IIF® culture promotes a work environment where employee safety is paramount.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

2Q24. Revenue totaled $170.1 million, up from $132.7 million a year ago. We had forecast $166 million. Higher capital and coastal protection project revenues drove the increase. Gross margin improved to 17.5% from 13.5%. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter increased $9.2 million to $25.8 million. Great Lakes recorded net income of $7.67 million, or EPS of $0.11, compared to $1.73 million, or $0.03/sh in 2Q23.

Backlog. Quarter-end dredging backlog totaled $807.9 million, with an additional $273.1 million in low bids and options pending award and another $44.6 million of offshore wind backlog. Post quarter-end, Great Lakes was the low bidder on approximately $181.6 million of additional work.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Graham Corp. (GHM) – First Look at the First Quarter

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, August 08, 2024

Graham Corporation designs, manufactures and sells critical equipment for the energy, defense and chemical/petrochemical industries. The Company designs and manufactures custom-engineered ejectors, vacuum pumping systems, surface condensers and vacuum systems. It is a nuclear code accredited fabrication and specialty machining company. It supplies components used inside reactor vessels and outside containment vessels of nuclear power facilities. Its equipment is found in applications, such as metal refining, pulp and paper processing, water heating, refrigeration, desalination, food processing, pharmaceutical, heating, ventilating and air conditioning. For the defense industry, its equipment is used in nuclear propulsion power systems for the United States Navy. The Company’s products are used in a range of industrial process applications in energy markets, including petroleum refining, defense, chemical and petrochemical processing, power generation/alternative energy and other.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Strong Results. Net sales for the quarter were $50.0 million, above the prior year’s $47.6 million and in-line with our estimate of $50.0 million. Higher margin defense sales helped increase revenue as well as gross margin, as gross margin increased to 24.8% from 23.1% last year and above our forecast of 22.0%. Net income totaled $3.0 million, or $0.27/sh, compared to $2.6 million or $0.25/sh last year. We estimated net income of $1.6 million or $0.15/sh.

New Facility. In an effort to support the U.S. Navy’s shipbuilding schedule, the Company received a $13.5 million investment during fiscal 2024 to expand its Batavia, N.Y. production capabilities. The Company is expecting to break ground on the facility in August 2024. We believe the expansion of the facility can facilitate the needs of the U.S. Navy and also potential non-U.S. Navy customers, should the Company have excess capacity.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Euroseas (ESEA) – Strong Second Quarter Financial Results; Increasing Estimates

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, August 08, 2024

Euroseas Ltd. was formed on May 5, 2005 under the laws of the Republic of the Marshall Islands to consolidate the ship owning interests of the Pittas family of Athens, Greece, which has been in the shipping business over the past 140 years. Euroseas trades on the NASDAQ Capital Market under the ticker ESEA. Euroseas operates in the container shipping market. Euroseas’ operations are managed by Eurobulk Ltd., an ISO 9001:2008 and ISO 14001:2004 certified affiliated ship management company, which is responsible for the day-to-day commercial and technical management and operations of the vessels. Euroseas employs its vessels on spot and period charters and through pool arrangements.

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Second quarter financial results. Euroseas Ltd. generated second quarter adjusted net income of $34.3 million or $4.92 per share compared to $29.0 million or $4.17 per share during the prior year period. Net revenues increased 23.1% to $58.7 million, while adjusted EBITDA increased 38.1% to $42.3 million. During the second quarter, the company owned and operated an average of 21.26 vessels earning an average time charter equivalent rate of $31,639 per day compared to 18 vessels earning an average time charter equivalent rate of $30,151 per day during the prior year period.

Updating estimates. We have increased our 2024 EBITDA and EPS estimates to $13.24 and $132.0 million, respectively, from $100.0 million and $9.70. We raised our 2025 EBITDA and EPS estimates to $99.4 million and $7.80, respectively, from $90.4 million and $6.80. Our revisions are based on the company’s strong second quarter financial results and higher average time charter equivalent rates in 2024 and 2025.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – A Peek into the Second Quarter

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, August 08, 2024

CoreCivic is a diversified, government-solutions company with the scale and experience needed to solve tough government challenges in flexible, cost-effective ways. We provide a broad range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through high-quality corrections and detention management, a network of residential and non-residential alternatives to incarceration to help address America’s recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. We are the nation’s largest owner of partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities, and believe we are the largest private owner of real estate used by government agencies in the United States. We have been a flexible and dependable partner for government for nearly 40 years. Our employees are driven by a deep sense of service, high standards of professionalism and a responsibility to help government better the public good. Learn more at www.corecivic.com.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Second Quarter Results. Total revenue was at $490.1 million, above our forecast of $482 million and above last year’s $463.7 million. Occupancy rates helped the increase in revenue, as occupancy increased to 74.3% from 70.3% in the prior year. Management’s cost initiatives are also taking root, as net income was $19.0 million, or $0.17 per diluted share, compared to $14.8 million or $0.13 last year. We estimated net income of $14.4 million or $0.13 per diluted share.

New Contract. CoreCivic was awarded a new management contract in July from the state of Montana to house additional residents at the Company’s facilities. The Company expects that 120 additional residents will be housed in the Saguaro Correctional Facility in Eloy, Arizona. We believe the new contract with the state shows the Company’s flexibility to accommodate additional residents and demand for CoreCivic’s services.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Conduent Inc. (CNDT) – Post-Transition Business Coming into Focus

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, August 08, 2024

Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Q2 beat. The company reported Q2 results that were better than our estimates. Revenue of $828 million was better than our forecast of $812 million and adj. EBITDA of $35 million exceeded our estimate of $19 million. Figure #1 Q2 Results illustrates how the results compared with our estimates. Notably, upheaval to the business caused by the divestitures underway make for choppy near term quarterly results. In our view, investors should focus more on how the company will look after the transition.

At the trough? With adj. EBITDA margins of 4.2% in the quarter, we believe the company’s results are roughly at a trough. Management indicated that margins will likely improve sequentially in future quarters as the company eliminates post-divestiture cost redundancies and executes its cost-saving strategies.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Cadrenal Therapeutics (CVKD) – 2Q24 Financial Report Confirms Discussions With Abbott For Tecarfarin Development

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, August 08, 2024

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

LVAD Development Takes The Spotlight Cadrenal reported 2Q24 loss of $2.4 million or $(0.15) per share. Tecarfarin development in ESRD with AFib continues, and the FDA granted Orphan Drug Designation for tecarfarin in implanted circulatory support devices, such as LVADs. The company also confirmed that it was in discussions with Abbott (ABT, Not Rated) to develop tecarfarin as an anticoagulant for LVAD patients. We believe this disclosure could lead to a development agreement between the two companies.

Discussions With Abbott Confirmed. Abbott makes the HeartMate 3 LVAD device and has presented data from its ARES-HM3 study highlighting the need for an improved anticoagulant in LVAD patients. This presentation was discussed in our Research Note on June 5. While a collaboration has not been announced, confirmation of discussions for a pivotal trial testing tecarfarin in LVAD patients is good news.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

The ODP Corporation (ODP) – An Overreaction To A Difficult Quarter

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, August 08, 2024

Office Depot, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, supplies a range of office products and services. It offers merchandise, such as general office supplies, computer supplies, business machines and related supplies, and office furniture through its chain of office supply stores under the Office Depot, Foray, Ativa, Break Escapes, Worklife, and Christopher Lowell brand names. The company also provides graphic design, printing, reproduction, mailing, shipping, and other services through design, print, and ship centers. It has operations throughout North America, Europe, Asia, and Central America. The company also sells its products and services through direct mail catalogs, contract sales force, Internet sites, and retail stores, through a mix of company-owned operations, joint ventures, licensing and franchise agreements, alliances, and other arrangements. As of December 31, 2008, Office Depot operated 1,267 North American retail division office supply stores and 162 international division retail stores, as well as participated under licensing and merchandise arrangements in 98 stores. The company was founded in 1986 and is based in Boca Raton, Florida.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

2Q24 Results. The Company reported lackluster operating results that were largely driven by a challenging macroeconomic environment. Revenue of $1.72 billion, adj. EBITDA of $57 million, and net income of negative $4 million, or negative $0.12 per share, all experienced y-o-y decreases. Notably, ODP shares were down roughly 35% at market close, which, in our opinion was an overreaction, spurred on by recessionary concerns.

Veyer gains traction. During the earnings call management highlighted that Veyer received a verbal agreement from a large e-commerce company that has the potential to nearly double the segment’s top line. Notably, the agreement pertains to warehousing and the company’s well established supply chain. Importantly, we view the contract as a significant development that has the ability to favorably alter the Company’s trajectory.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Oil Prices Bounce Back Amid Geopolitical Risks and Economic Resilience

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com
Key Points:
– Oil prices rise amid concerns over Middle East instability and positive US economic data
– Tight global supply and potential weather disruptions add further upside risk
– Investors should monitor geopolitical developments and economic indicators closely

As investors closely track the volatile oil markets, the latest developments have painted a complex picture, with geopolitical tensions and economic resilience emerging as the key drivers behind the recent price rebound. The oil benchmarks, Brent and WTI, have staged a recovery after hitting an eight-month low earlier this week, signaling the industry’s sensitivity to both supply-side and demand-side factors.

The catalyst for the price increase was a combination of heightened tensions in the Middle East and positive economic data from the United States. The killing of senior members of militant groups Hamas and Hezbollah last week has raised the specter of potential retaliatory strikes by Iran against Israel, stoking concerns over oil supply from the world’s largest producing region. “It will spike the price of crude oil if there is an Iranian retaliation on a large scale and I think that is what everyone is most worried about,” said Tim Snyder, chief economist at Matador Economics.

Compounding these geopolitical risks, the latest US job market data provided a positive surprise, easing fears of a wider economic slowdown and its potential impact on oil demand. The number of Americans filing new applications for unemployment benefits fell more than expected last week, suggesting the labor market remains robust despite recessionary headwinds. “The latest US data on jobless claims indicates still a growing U.S. economy, reducing some of the oil demand concerns,” said UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo.

Furthermore, the Energy Information Administration reported a significant 3.7 million barrel drop in US crude inventories last week, marking the sixth consecutive weekly decline to six-month lows. This tightening of global supply, coupled with the potential for weather-related disruptions during the hurricane season, has added to the upside pressure on oil prices.

Looking ahead, analysts at Citi believe there is a possibility of oil prices bouncing to the low to mid-$80s per barrel for Brent, citing “still-tight balances through August, heightened geopolitical risks across North Africa and the Middle East, the possibility of weather-related disruptions through hurricane season and light managed money positioning.”

For investors, navigating the oil market landscape requires a careful balance of monitoring both geopolitical developments and economic indicators. The escalating tensions in the Middle East, coupled with the resilience of the US economy, have underscored the complex interplay between supply-side and demand-side factors that ultimately shape the trajectory of oil prices.

As the industry continues to grapple with these dynamics, investors should remain vigilant in assessing the potential risks and opportunities that may arise. Close attention to factors such as inventory levels, weather patterns, and global economic trends will be crucial in making informed investment decisions in the volatile oil market.