E.W. Scripps (SSP) – Powering Through The Economic Headwinds


Wednesday, November 09, 2022

The E.W. Scripps Company (NASDAQ: SSP) is a diversified media company focused on creating a better-informed world. As one of the nation’s largest local TV broadcasters, Scripps serves communities with quality, objective local journalism and operates a portfolio of 61 stations in 41 markets. The Scripps Networks reach nearly every American through the national news outlets Court TV and Newsy and popular entertainment brands ION, Bounce, Defy TV, Grit, ION Mystery, Laff and TrueReal. Scripps is the nation’s largest holder of broadcast spectrum. Scripps runs an award-winning investigative reporting newsroom in Washington, D.C., and is the longtime steward of the Scripps National Spelling Bee. Founded in 1878, Scripps has held for decades to the motto, “Give light and the people will find their own way.”

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Patrick McCann, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Q3 miss. The company reported Q3 revenue of $612.1 million, below our estimate of $638.5 million. Adj. EBITDA of $149.1 million missed our forecast of $170.5. The disappointing quarter was due to lower-than-expected Political revenue.

Political below expectations.  The company recorded $63.2 million in Political revenue, compared with our forecast of $90.0 million. Management attributed the slowed Political revenue pace to spending falloffs in Florida and Montana as certain races became less competitive than initially expected. Political dollars shifted to more competitive markets where the company did not have a large TV station footprint. Notably, Political was still up strongly over the prior election cycle.


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This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Gray Television (GTN) – Learns A Hard Lesson On Forecasting Political


Monday, November 07, 2022

Gray Television is a multimedia company headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia. We are the nation’s largest owner of top-rated local television stations and digital assets in the United States. Our television stations serve 113 television markets that collectively reach approximately 36 percent of US television households. This portfolio includes 80 markets with the top-rated television station and 100 markets with the first and/or second highest rated television station. We also own video program companies Raycom Sports, Tupelo Honey, PowerNation Studios and Third Rail Studios.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Patrick McCann, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Q3 below expectations. The company reported Q3 revenue of $909 million, 4% below our estimate of $948 million. The revenue variance was due to lower than expected Political advertising. Adj. EBITDA of $336 million was 11% below our estimate of $377 million, surprisingly good given the absence of $50 million in high margin revenue.



Political below forecast. The quarterly miss was due primarily to lower-than-expected Political revenue, $144 million compared with our estimate of $194 million. Political advertising shifted toward some of the tight races in larger markets. Nonetheless, for the first nine months of the year, Political revenue was just 3.5% below the cyclical high Presidential election of 2020, on a combined historic basis. 


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This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

RCI Hospitality Holdings (RICK) – New Year, New Club


Monday, October 31, 2022

With more than 60 units, RCI Hospitality Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, is the country’s leading company in adult nightclubs and sports bars/restaurants. Clubs in New York City, Chicago, Dallas-Fort Worth, Houston, Miami, Minneapolis, Denver, St. Louis, Charlotte, Pittsburgh, Raleigh, Louisville, and other markets operate under brand names such as Rick’s Cabaret, XTC, Club Onyx, Vivid Cabaret, Jaguars Club, Tootsie’s Cabaret, Scarlett’s Cabaret, Diamond Cabaret, and PT’s Showclub. Sports bars/restaurants operate under the brand name Bombshells Restaurant & Bar.

Joe Gomes, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Keeps Getting Clubs. RCI Hospitality announced last week the acquisition of Heartbreakers Adult Nightclub for $9 million. The 5-stage, 23,000 square foot Heartbreakers club is located at 3200 Gulf Freeway, Dickinson, TX, and the Company acquired the club using $4.0 million in cash and $5.0 million in a 15-year, 6% real estate seller financing note. The Company did not release any financials for the club but we would expect the price to be within RCI’s 3-5x adjusted EBITDA for the club.

Area Around the Club. Dickinson, Texas had a population of 20,870 in 2020 according to Data USA with a median household income of $70,468. The median household income is a positive for RICK in our view as it is higher than the median income in the United States ($67,521), which we believe provides the Company with higher spending customers as the population has higher disposable income. The location of the club is also a positive due to it being near a freeway, which provides visibility to potential customers. Established in 1986, Heartbreakers is the number one adult entertainment venue in the Galveston, Texas, area.


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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Travelzoo (TZOO) – Are We On The Runway Or Still At The Gate?


Thursday, October 27, 2022

Travelzoo® provides its 30 million members with exclusive offers and one-of-a-kind experiences personally reviewed by our deal experts around the globe. We have our finger on the pulse of outstanding travel, entertainment, and lifestyle experiences. We work in partnership with more than 5,000 top travel suppliers—our long-standing relationships give Travelzoo members access to irresistible deals.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Misses Fiscal Q3. Revenues increased a modest 1% to $15.8 million, versus our $18.0 million estimate. On a constant currency basis, revenues increased 6% to $16.7 million. Adj. EBITDA missed our estimate, $1.1 million versus our $2.7 million estimate, largely due to lower than expected gross profit margins, which were over 200 basis points lower than expected.

Business too good? Management indicated that the recent results were impacted by a strong rebound in travel, which increased occupancy rates and at very high prices. As such, travel related businesses did not need to advertise and they were unwilling to provide discounted “deals”. This was a consistent message from the “miss” in the second quarter, as well.


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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.