Tag: Industrial

EuroDry (EDRY) – Shipping rates fall, a vessel is detained, operating costs rise

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Wednesday, August 09, 2023

EuroDry Ltd. was formed on January 8, 2018 under the laws of the Republic of the Marshall Islands to consolidate the drybulk fleet of Euroseas Ltd. into a separate listed public company. EuroDry was spun-off from Euroseas Ltd. on May 30, 2018; it trades on the NASDAQ Capital Market under the ticker EDRY. EuroDry operates in the dry cargo, drybulk shipping market. EuroDry’s operations are managed by Eurobulk Ltd., an ISO 9001:2008 and ISO 14001:2004 certified affiliated ship management company and Eurobulk (Far East) Ltd. Inc., which are responsible for the day- to-day commercial and technical management and operations of the vessels. EuroDry employs its vessels on spot and period charters and under pool agreements.

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Results continue to slide in response to falling shipping rates and a ship detention. Average TCE rates, which showed signs of improving in April, fell in May and June to an average quarterly rate of $12,179/day versus $23,490/day. Eurodry reported that one of its ships was detained for 35 days (out of service 48 days) due to alleged pollution violations resulting in the cancellation of a high-priced charter.

Operating costs rose. Total operating costs ($12.7m versus $10.2m) rose sharply. Higher voyage expenses are related to the ship detention. Management described the rise in vessel operating expenses relative to last year as due to “inflationary increases” although that explanation does not adequately explain the quarter-over-quarter increase ($12.7m versus $11.8m) in costs.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – Post Call Commentary and Updated Models

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Wednesday, August 09, 2023

CoreCivic is a diversified, government-solutions company with the scale and experience needed to solve tough government challenges in flexible, cost-effective ways. We provide a broad range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through high-quality corrections and detention management, a network of residential and non-residential alternatives to incarceration to help address America’s recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. We are the nation’s largest owner of partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities, and believe we are the largest private owner of real estate used by government agencies in the United States. We have been a flexible and dependable partner for government for nearly 40 years. Our employees are driven by a deep sense of service, high standards of professionalism and a responsibility to help government better the public good. Learn more at www.corecivic.com.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

More ICE Funding? CoreCivic had a 45% increase in ICE populations from the ending of Title 42 through July 31, 2023. Further increases in populations will partly depend on funding. Already, DHS has reprogrammed existing funds and, reportedly, will seek $2 billion in supplemental funds to address shortfalls related to border security. The additional funds, if approved, are expected to fund detention spaces, alternative-to-detention tracking programs, and transportation work. Such an increase should benefit CoreCivic, in our view.

And More For Fiscal 2024? In late July, the Homeland Security bill for fiscal 2024 was approved by the full committee in the House. The bill provides $3.55 billion for custody operations, which is more than ever previously appropriated, to fund an average daily ICE detainee population of 41,500, a significant increase from the 34,000 level. While much negotiations remain to be had, such a funding increase would be a strong positive.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Kratos Defense & Security (KTOS) – Reports Second Quarter Results

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, August 08, 2023

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (NASDAQ:KTOS) develops and fields transformative, affordable technology, platforms, and systems for United States National Security related customers, allies, and commercial enterprises. Kratos is changing the way breakthrough technologies for these industries are rapidly brought to market through proven commercial and venture capital backed approaches, including proactive research, and streamlined development processes. At Kratos, affordability is a technology, and we specialize in unmanned systems, satellite communications, cyber security/warfare, microwave electronics, missile defense, hypersonic systems, training and combat systems and next generation turbo jet and turbo fan engine development. For more information go to www.kratosdefense.com.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

2Q23 Results. Results came in above expectations. Revenue totaled $256.9 million, up 14.6% y-o-y. Adjusted EBITDA came in at $21.6 million, up from $17.7 million in 2Q22. GAAP EPS loss was $0.02 and adjusted EPS was $0.09, compared to a EPS loss of $0.04 and adjusted EPS of $0.07, respectively, a year ago. We had forecasted $235 million, $16.5 million, $(0.03), and $0.06, respectively.

Solid Organic Growth In KGS. The Government Solutions Segment saw overall revenue increase 22.1% to $204.8 million. Organic growth for KGS grew 17.1% in the quarter, with organic growth across all businesses within KGS and notable increases in the Space and Satellite, Turbine Technologies, Microwave products, and C5ISR units.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – 2Q23 In Line With Our Expectations

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, August 08, 2023

CoreCivic is a diversified, government-solutions company with the scale and experience needed to solve tough government challenges in flexible, cost-effective ways. We provide a broad range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through high-quality corrections and detention management, a network of residential and non-residential alternatives to incarceration to help address America’s recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. We are the nation’s largest owner of partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities, and believe we are the largest private owner of real estate used by government agencies in the United States. We have been a flexible and dependable partner for government for nearly 40 years. Our employees are driven by a deep sense of service, high standards of professionalism and a responsibility to help government better the public good. Learn more at www.corecivic.com.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

2Q23 Results. Total revenue of $463.7 million, better than our $463.1 million estimate, and up from $456.7 million last year. Adjusted EBITDA of $72.1 million compared to $78.8 million last year and our $73.2 million projection. Net income of $14.8 million, or EPS of $0.13, compared to $10.6 million, or EPS of $0.09, last year. We had forecast net income of $14.4 million, or $0.13 per share.

ICE, ICE Baby. The expiration of COVID related regulations in May has resulted in a 45% increase in ICE populations at CoreCivic facilities through July 31st. We would anticipate ICE populations to increase further as the border situations remains volatile, although politics make predictions challenging.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Eagle Bulk Shipping (EGLE) – Eagle reports results slightly below expectations, goes all in on shipping improvement

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, August 07, 2023

Eagle Bulk Shipping Inc. (“Eagle”) is a US-based drybulk owner-operator focused on the Supramax/Ultramax mid-size asset class, which ranges from 50,000 and 65,000 deadweight tons in size; these vessels are equipped with onboard cranes allowing for the self-loading and unloading of cargoes, a feature which distinguishes them from the larger classes of drybulk vessels and provides for greatly enhanced flexibility and versatility- both with respect to cargo diversity and port accessibility. The Company transports a broad range of major and minor bulk cargoes around the world, including coal, grain, ore, pet coke, cement, and fertilizer. Eagle operates out of three offices, Stamford (headquarters), Singapore, and Hamburg, and performs all aspects of vessel management in-house including: commercial, operational, technical, and strategic.

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Eagle reported 2023-2Q results that were slightly below expectations. Top-line results were slightly above expectations on higher-than-expected TCE rates (increased premium to index prices), but higher TCE reveues were offset by higher than expected operating costs. Adjusted net income/EPS ($16.7m/$1.13) was above our estimate of $7.7m/$0.47, but that was due to an $11.6m gain on the sale of ships. Absent that gain, earnings would have been $5.2m or $0.32 per share.

Management is betting on the shipping market. During the quarter, the company upgraded its fleet by acquiring two scrubber-fitted ships and selling two non-scrubber ships. It also repurchased 3.8m shares (28% of outstanding) at a cost of $221 million and increased its borrowing capacity by $175m.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Orion Group Holdings (ORN) – Some Good Contract News

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, August 04, 2023

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

New Awards. Orion has been the recipient of two significant awards from the Army Corps of Engineers in the last two days, according to the DoD. Together, the new awards represent some $58 million of new dredging business, which typically has had an outsized impact on profit. We are encouraged by the recent awards and are hopeful proposal and award activity from the Corps ramps up to more historic levels.

Contract One. Last night, the DoD, in its daily contract awards press release, noted that Orion Marine Construction Inc., Tampa, Florida, was awarded a $40 million firm-fixed-price contract for Atchafalaya Basin, Gulf Intracoastal Waterway dredging. Work locations and funding will be determined with each order, with an estimated completion date of July 27, 2025. 


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

DLH Holdings (DLHC) – Post Call Commentary: Ready to Pounce

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, August 04, 2023

DLH delivers improved health and readiness solutions for federal programs through research, development, and innovative care processes. The Company’s experts in public health, performance evaluation, and health operations solve the complex problems faced by civilian and military customers alike, leveraging digital transformation, artificial intelligence, advanced analytics, cloud-based applications, telehealth systems, and more. With over 2,300 employees dedicated to the idea that “Your Mission is Our Passion,” DLH brings a unique combination of government sector experience, proven methodology, and unwavering commitment to public health to improve the lives of millions. For more information, visit www.DLHcorp.com.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Standing Ready. With its acquisitions of S3, IBA, and, most recently GRSi, DLH has truly morphed into a one stop shop platform to address a broader range of client’s solution needs with expertise in science, research and development, systems engineering, and integration.

Promising Pipeline. Although the contract award environment continues to experience some headwinds, there does appear to be some movement both with anticipated proposals from previously won ID/IQ contracts as well as normal ongoing business. Overall, we believe there is significant demand from its clients for the services DLH provides.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Seanergy Maritime (SHIP) – Results better than expected and should improve in upcoming quarters

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, August 03, 2023

Seanergy Maritime Holdings Corp. is the only pure-play Capesize ship-owner publicly listed in the US. Seanergy provides marine dry bulk transportation services through a modern fleet of Capesize vessels. The Company’s operating fleet consists of 17 Capesize vessels with an average age of approximately 12 years and aggregate cargo carrying capacity of approximately 3,011,083 dwt. The Company is incorporated in the Marshall Islands and has executive offices in Glyfada, Greece. The Company’s common shares trade on the Nasdaq Capital Market under the symbol “SHIP” and its Class B warrants under “SHIPZ”.

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Seanergy reported 2023-2Q results slightly above our expectations. Seanergy reported net revenues of $28.3 million on an average TCE rate of $18,708/day versus our estimate of $26.4 million and $18,000/day, respectively. Adjusted EBITDA and EPS were $12.7 million and $0.18 versus our estimate of $10.6 million and $0.12. Higher-than-expected results reflect strong utilization rates, high interest income, and the positive effect of debt restructuring. 

The company is setting up for a strong 4Q and 2024. The company has locked in 53% of 2023-3Q shipping days at a rate of $16,710/day, slightly below 3Q rates. However, it has locked in 21% of 2023-2H days at rates above $20,000/day, implying that locked in rates will be improving in 4Q. In addition, Seanergy will take possession of a new ship in 4Q (with option to buy in a year) which management estimates will receive a 20% premium to Baltic Capesize Index prices. 


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

DLH Holdings (DLHC) – Better Than Expected Third Quarter Results

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, August 03, 2023

DLH delivers improved health and readiness solutions for federal programs through research, development, and innovative care processes. The Company’s experts in public health, performance evaluation, and health operations solve the complex problems faced by civilian and military customers alike, leveraging digital transformation, artificial intelligence, advanced analytics, cloud-based applications, telehealth systems, and more. With over 2,300 employees dedicated to the idea that “Your Mission is Our Passion,” DLH brings a unique combination of government sector experience, proven methodology, and unwavering commitment to public health to improve the lives of millions. For more information, visit www.DLHcorp.com.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

3Q Results. DLH posted revenue of $102.2 million from $66.4 million last year. Excluding FEMA (negative $5.1 million impact), revenue last year was $71.6 million. GRSi contributed $34.4 million towards revenue which indicates core business decreasing $3.8 million y-o-y. Net income for DLH was $1.7 million, or $0.12 per diluted share, compared to $4.9 million, or $0.34 per share, last year. EBITDA was at $11.4 million versus $9.0 million in the prior year. We had estimated revenue of $102 million, adjusted EBITDA of $11 million, and EPS of $0.10.

Other Key Indicators. DLH produced $15.0 million in operating cash in the quarter and had cash of $0.5 million and debt outstanding under its credit facilities of $195.8 million as of June 30, 2023. The Company paid off $8.4 million of debt from the previous quarter, and the Company lowered the range on its pace to reduce its total debt balance to between $185.0-$187 million from $185.0-$190 million by the end of this fiscal year.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock (GLDD) – A Top Line Miss, But Better than Expected Bottom Line

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Wednesday, August 02, 2023

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation is the largest provider of dredging services in the United States. In addition, Great Lakes is fully engaged in expanding its core business into the rapidly developing offshore wind energy industry. The Company has a long history of performing significant international projects. The Company employs experienced civil, ocean and mechanical engineering staff in its estimating, production and project management functions. In its over 131-year history, the Company has never failed to complete a marine project. Great Lakes owns and operates the largest and most diverse fleet in the U.S. dredging industry, comprised of approximately 200 specialized vessels. Great Lakes has a disciplined training program for engineers that ensures experienced-based performance as they advance through Company operations. The Company’s Incident-and Injury-Free® (IIF®) safety management program is integrated into all aspects of the Company’s culture. The Company’s commitment to the IIF® culture promotes a work environment where employee safety is paramount.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

2Q23. Revenue came in at $132.7 million down from $149.4 million last year, and below our $150 million projection. Reported gross margin was 13.5%, up from 7% in the year ago period and our 7.3% estimate. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $16.6 million, the highest since 1Q22, versus $10.2 million last year. The Company reported net income of $1.7 million, or EPS of $0.03 per share, compared to last year’s loss of $4.0 million, or a loss of $0.06 per diluted share. We had projected a net loss of $4.5 million, or a loss of $0.07 per share.

Quarter Impacts. Second quarter top line was impacted by the reduced award levels in 2022 as well as the removal of the Terrapin Island and the two cold stacked vessels. On the positive side, a better mix of revenue and the cost cutting measures implemented positively impacted the bottom line.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock (GLDD) – Two New Awards

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, July 31, 2023

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation is the largest provider of dredging services in the United States. In addition, Great Lakes is fully engaged in expanding its core business into the rapidly developing offshore wind energy industry. The Company has a long history of performing significant international projects. The Company employs experienced civil, ocean and mechanical engineering staff in its estimating, production and project management functions. In its over 131-year history, the Company has never failed to complete a marine project. Great Lakes owns and operates the largest and most diverse fleet in the U.S. dredging industry, comprised of approximately 200 specialized vessels. Great Lakes has a disciplined training program for engineers that ensures experienced-based performance as they advance through Company operations. The Company’s Incident-and Injury-Free® (IIF®) safety management program is integrated into all aspects of the Company’s culture. The Company’s commitment to the IIF® culture promotes a work environment where employee safety is paramount.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Two New Awards. Great Lakes was announced as the recipient of two awards by the Department of Defense last week, hopefully an indication of a return to a more normal award pace by the Army Corps of Engineers. In total, the two awards represent $36.7 million of new business for Great Lakes.

Award 1. Great Lakes was awarded a $20.7 million firm-fixed-price contract for Atchafalaya River basin maintenance dredging. Work will be performed in Morgan City, Louisiana, with an estimated completion date of February 15, 2024. Fiscal 2023 civil construction funds in the amount of $20.7 million were obligated at the time of the award.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Orion Group Holdings (ORN) – Post Call Commentary and Updated Models

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, July 28, 2023

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Marine Segment. Marine segment revenue was up 22.1% y-o-y driven by the Hawaii contract. Segment operating profit rose to $3.5 million, or a 3.5% margin, from $2.5 million, or a 3.1% margin last year. Orion is winning new awards in the segment, but the Army Corps continues to award business at a slower than historical rate.

Concrete Segment. Revenue of $82 million declined from $112.3 million last year, partly due to the exit of the Central Texas market and partly due to stricter bidding by Orion as the Company seeks to improve overall segment margins. Second quarter operating loss was $1.4 million versus a loss of $5.4 million last year. The segment was profitable on an Adjusted EBITDA basis.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Orion Group Holdings (ORN) – Second Quarter First Look

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, July 27, 2023

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

2Q Results. Contract revenues were $182.5 million, a 14.7% increase sequentially, but 6.2% decrease from last year. We estimated revenue at $174 million. Adjusted net loss for the quarter was at $4.5 million, or $0.14 per share, compared to an adjusted net loss of $0.92 million, or $0.03 per share, last year. Adjusted EBITDA was at $3.7 million from $5.7 million the prior year. We had estimated an adjusted net loss of $6.6 million, or $0.20 per share, and adjusted EBITDA of $2.8 million.

Improving from 1Q. Orion showed improvement from the Company’s first quarter results, including the 14.7% increase in revenues, and showed improvement in its Concrete business, as the segment turned profitable in March and has continued since. This, along with the flexibility in the Company’s balance sheet with the new ABL credit facility of $103 million and sale-leaseback transactions of $25 million and continued contracts wins, gives Orion catalysts for growth in the second half of the year and beyond, in our opinion.


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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.