Tag: Industrial

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock (GLDD) – Reports 3Q Results

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Wednesday, November 08, 2023

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation is the largest provider of dredging services in the United States. In addition, Great Lakes is fully engaged in expanding its core business into the rapidly developing offshore wind energy industry. The Company has a long history of performing significant international projects. The Company employs experienced civil, ocean and mechanical engineering staff in its estimating, production and project management functions. In its over 131-year history, the Company has never failed to complete a marine project. Great Lakes owns and operates the largest and most diverse fleet in the U.S. dredging industry, comprised of approximately 200 specialized vessels. Great Lakes has a disciplined training program for engineers that ensures experienced-based performance as they advance through Company operations. The Company’s Incident-and Injury-Free® (IIF®) safety management program is integrated into all aspects of the Company’s culture. The Company’s commitment to the IIF® culture promotes a work environment where employee safety is paramount.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Results. Great Lakes reported total revenue of $117.2 million, a decrease from $158.4 million the prior year and below our estimate of $137 million. Gross margin was 7.7% compared to 2.4%, but lower than our projection of 8.8%. Net loss was at $6.2 million, or $0.09 per diluted share compared to $9.9 million last year, or $0.15. We projected a net loss of $6 million, or $0.09 per share. Adjusted EBTIDA totaled $5.3 million versus $1.3 million in the previous year.

Backlog. Great Lakes ended the quarter record backlog of $1.03 billion, up from $327.1 million at 1Q23, not including approximately $50.0 million of performance obligations related to offshore wind contracts. In addition, the Company ended the quarter with $225 million in low bids and options pending award. Significantly, 71% of backlog was capital projects work, which will help drive margins higher going forward.  


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

V2X, Inc. (VVX) – 3Q23 Highlights Include a Record Revenue Quarter

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, November 07, 2023

For more than 70 years, Vectrus has provided critical mission support for our customers’ toughest operational challenges. As a high-performing organization with exceptional talent, deep domain knowledge, a history of long-term customer relationships, and groundbreaking technical expertise, we deliver innovative, mission-matched solutions for our military and government customers worldwide. Whether it’s base operations support, supply chain and logistics, IT mission support, engineering and digital integration, security, or maintenance, repair and overhaul, our customers count on us for on-target solutions that increase efficiency, reduce costs, improve readiness, and strengthen national security. Vectrus is headquartered in Colorado Springs, Colo., and includes about 8,100 employees spanning 205 locations in 28 countries. In 2021, Vectrus generated sales of $1.8 billion. For more information, visit the company’s website at www.vectrus.com or connect with Vectrus on Facebook, Twitter, and LinkedIn.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

3Q23 Results. Record revenue of $1.0 billion was up 4.5% y-o-y, and above our $965 million forecast. Adjusted EBITDA came in at $64.7 million, versus $79 million in 3Q22 and our $64 million estimate. Adjusted diluted EPS was $0.73 compared to $1.33 last year and our $0.90 estimate.

Some Headwinds. 3Q23 results were impacted by a couple items, including contract mix and performance on certain integrated electronic security programs. In addition, the strong 2Q23 benefitted from the pull forward of some business that was expected to occur in the just completed quarter.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – First Look at 3Q23 Results

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, November 07, 2023

CoreCivic is a diversified, government-solutions company with the scale and experience needed to solve tough government challenges in flexible, cost-effective ways. We provide a broad range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through high-quality corrections and detention management, a network of residential and non-residential alternatives to incarceration to help address America’s recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. We are the nation’s largest owner of partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities, and believe we are the largest private owner of real estate used by government agencies in the United States. We have been a flexible and dependable partner for government for nearly 40 years. Our employees are driven by a deep sense of service, high standards of professionalism and a responsibility to help government better the public good. Learn more at www.corecivic.com.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

3Q Results. Revenue totaled $483.7 million, up 4.2% year-over-year and up 4.3% sequentially, driven by higher populations and increased per diems. Net income was $13.9 million, or $0.12/sh versus $68.3 million, or $0.58 per share last year. Adjusted EPS was $0.14 for 3Q23 versus $0.08 for 3Q22. Adjusted EBITDA was $75.2 million, up from $68.4 million last year.

ICE Populations. Since the ending of Title 42 on May 11th, overall ICE populations are up 66% through the end of September. CoreCivic ICE populations are up by 4,729, or 84% over the same time frame. We believe this has been driven by management’s foresight in adding staff in anticipation of higher population levels. Reportedly, ICE populations have continued to rise.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Kratos Defense & Security (KTOS) – Third Quarter Results Above Expectations

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, November 06, 2023

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (NASDAQ:KTOS) develops and fields transformative, affordable technology, platforms, and systems for United States National Security related customers, allies, and commercial enterprises. Kratos is changing the way breakthrough technologies for these industries are rapidly brought to market through proven commercial and venture capital backed approaches, including proactive research, and streamlined development processes. At Kratos, affordability is a technology, and we specialize in unmanned systems, satellite communications, cyber security/warfare, microwave electronics, missile defense, hypersonic systems, training and combat systems and next generation turbo jet and turbo fan engine development. For more information go to www.kratosdefense.com.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

3Q23 Results. Partially helped by one extra week, third quarter results came in above expectations. Revenue totaled $274.6 million, up 20.1% y-o-y. Adjusted EBITDA came in at $27.7 million, up from $20 million in 3Q22. GAAP EPS loss was $0.01 and adjusted EPS was $0.12, compared to a EPS loss of $0.06 and adjusted EPS of $0.08, respectively, a year ago. We had forecasted $250 million, $20.5 million, breakeven, and $0.09, respectively.

Organic Growth Again the Driver. Kratos generated 20.1% overall organic growth in the quarter. The Government Solutions Segment saw overall revenue increase 22% organically to $217.9 million. The Unmanned Systems segment saw 13.4% organic revenue growth, with revenue of $56.7 million.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Eagle Bulk Shipping (EGLE) – September Quarter Results Near Expectations, Management Locks in More Pricing

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, November 06, 2023

Eagle Bulk Shipping Inc. (“Eagle”) is a US-based drybulk owner-operator focused on the Supramax/Ultramax mid-size asset class, which ranges from 50,000 and 65,000 deadweight tons in size; these vessels are equipped with onboard cranes allowing for the self-loading and unloading of cargoes, a feature which distinguishes them from the larger classes of drybulk vessels and provides for greatly enhanced flexibility and versatility- both with respect to cargo diversity and port accessibility. The Company transports a broad range of major and minor bulk cargoes around the world, including coal, grain, ore, pet coke, cement, and fertilizer. Eagle operates out of three offices, Stamford (headquarters), Singapore, and Hamburg, and performs all aspects of vessel management in-house including: commercial, operational, technical, and strategic.

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Eagle Bulk Shipping 2023-3Q revenues and earnings were in line with recently updated projections. Eagle reported an average TCE rate of $11,482/day down from $14,367/day in the previous quarter. Eagle continues to command a premium to index rates due to its fleet of newer, scrubber-installed ships.

Management indicated it locked in 68% of 2023-4Q shipping days at a favorable rate of $15,655/day. Guidance for costs per day were largely unchanged from the recently reported quarter. The upcoming jump in TCE rates should result in an improvement in cash flow. Management indicated it will likely use free cash flow to pay down debt. The company fixed additional debt with swaps during the quarter and now estimates that 75% of its debt has been fixed at a rate of 5.2%. 


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This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Kelly Services (KELYA) – Selling International Staffing Business

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, November 03, 2023

Kelly (Nasdaq: KELYA, KELYB) connects talented people to companies in need of their skills in areas including Science, Engineering, Education, Office, Contact Center, Light Industrial, and more. We’re always thinking about what’s next in the evolving world of work, and we help people ditch the script on old ways of thinking and embrace the value of all workstyles in the workplace. We directly employ nearly 350,000 people around the world and connect thousands more with work through our global network of talent suppliers and partners in our outsourcing and consulting practice. Revenue in 2021 was $4.9 billion. Visit kellyservices.com and let us help with what’s next for you.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Selling A Piece. Kelly Services is selling its European Staffing Business to Gi Group Holdings S.P.A. The sale is for cash consideration of €100 million (about $106 million at current exchange rates) with a €30 million earnout based on a multiple of adjusted 2023 EBITDA and payable in 2Q24. The transaction is expected to close in 1Q24.

But Not All. The deal includes Kelly’s European Staffing business across 14 European countries. Notably, Kelly will maintain its global footprint and continue to provide higher margin, higher growth potential MSP, RPO, and FSP solutions to customers in the EMEA region through KellyOCG. As a leading global vendor-neutral provider of talent supply chain strategies and workforce solutions, KellyOCG leverages a network of 3,000 suppliers – including Gi – spanning 140 countries to connect customers across North America, Asia Pacific, and EMEA with top talent.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock (GLDD) – Updating 3Q23 Estimates

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, October 31, 2023

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation is the largest provider of dredging services in the United States. In addition, Great Lakes is fully engaged in expanding its core business into the rapidly developing offshore wind energy industry. The Company has a long history of performing significant international projects. The Company employs experienced civil, ocean and mechanical engineering staff in its estimating, production and project management functions. In its over 131-year history, the Company has never failed to complete a marine project. Great Lakes owns and operates the largest and most diverse fleet in the U.S. dredging industry, comprised of approximately 200 specialized vessels. Great Lakes has a disciplined training program for engineers that ensures experienced-based performance as they advance through Company operations. The Company’s Incident-and Injury-Free® (IIF®) safety management program is integrated into all aspects of the Company’s culture. The Company’s commitment to the IIF® culture promotes a work environment where employee safety is paramount.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Updating 3Q23 Estimates. On the heels of Orion Group’s release late last week, we are adjusting our third quarter 2023 projections for Great Lakes downward. On its earnings call, Orion management noted the ongoing sluggishness in Army Corps of Engineers dredging awards. As a result, competition for business has increased. We suspect Great Lakes has been impacted to some degree by the market conditions.

Updated Projections. On the revenue side, we are lowering our estimate to $137 million from a prior $145 million. With reduced utilization, we also are decreasing our gross margin estimate. Net net, our projected quarterly net loss projection is now $6 million, or a loss of $0.09 per share, compared to a previous estimated loss of $3.0 million, or a loss of $0.04 per share. Our adjusted EBITDA estimate declines to $8 million from $11.5 million.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Orion Group Holdings (ORN) – Expecting the Momentum to Continue

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, October 30, 2023

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Momentum. While top line in the third quarter was impacted by a more measured pace of award roll-out and the withdrawal from the Central Texas market, operating momentum continued, driven by implementation of management’s operating plan and an increasing mix of higher margin projects. We expect the momentum to continue going forward.

Marine Segment. Marine segment revenue was up 6.3% y-o-y driven by the Hawaii contract. Partly due to recognition of outstanding claims in the year-ago quarter, segment operating profit fell to $2.0 million, or a 2.5% margin, from $5.2 million, or a 6.8% margin last year. Orion is winning new awards in the segment at higher margins, but the Army Corps continues to award business at a slower than historical rate.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Orion Group Holdings (ORN) – Improving on its Margins

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, October 26, 2023

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Third Quarter Results. Revenue for Orion was $168.5 million, a 7.7% decrease from $182.6 million last year reflecting the exit of the Central Texas concrete market. Adjusted net income for the quarter was $0.8 million, or diluted EPS of $0.02, flat with last year. Adjusted EBTIDA was $9.4 million compared to $8.8 million in the previous year.

Better Margins. Although revenue decreased year-over-year, Orion showcased better margin improvement in its gross and adjusted EBITDA margins through taking higher quality projects and better execution. Gross margin improved to 11.3% from 7.4% last year and adjusted EBITDA to 5.6% from 4.8%. We believe margin improvement can continue as the Company further implements its current strategy and executes it, and puts another feather in the Company’s cap heading into the new year.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

DLH Holdings (DLHC) – Reports Key Metrics for Fiscal 2023 Year End

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Wednesday, October 25, 2023

DLH delivers improved health and readiness solutions for federal programs through research, development, and innovative care processes. The Company’s experts in public health, performance evaluation, and health operations solve the complex problems faced by civilian and military customers alike, leveraging digital transformation, artificial intelligence, advanced analytics, cloud-based applications, telehealth systems, and more. With over 2,300 employees dedicated to the idea that “Your Mission is Our Passion,” DLH brings a unique combination of government sector experience, proven methodology, and unwavering commitment to public health to improve the lives of millions. For more information, visit www.DLHcorp.com.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Key Metrics. Yesterday, DLH Holdings released some key metrics for the fiscal year ended September 30, 2023. The Company expects to release full audited financial results on December 6th. We will update our models following the full release.

Revenue. The preliminary 4Q23 revenue estimate is $100 million, which would be below our $103 million estimate and the $104 million consensus estimate, up from $67.2 million in 4Q22. The increase was driven by the GRSi acquisition. The legacy contract portfolio grew modestly. We believe the slow roll out of work under recently won ID/IQs negatively impacted quarterly revenue growth. 


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Eagle Bulk Shipping (EGLE) – September Quarter Preview

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, October 24, 2023

Eagle Bulk Shipping Inc. (“Eagle”) is a US-based drybulk owner-operator focused on the Supramax/Ultramax mid-size asset class, which ranges from 50,000 and 65,000 deadweight tons in size; these vessels are equipped with onboard cranes allowing for the self-loading and unloading of cargoes, a feature which distinguishes them from the larger classes of drybulk vessels and provides for greatly enhanced flexibility and versatility- both with respect to cargo diversity and port accessibility. The Company transports a broad range of major and minor bulk cargoes around the world, including coal, grain, ore, pet coke, cement, and fertilizer. Eagle operates out of three offices, Stamford (headquarters), Singapore, and Hamburg, and performs all aspects of vessel management in-house including: commercial, operational, technical, and strategic.

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Shipping rates remain low but are improving. Eagle shipping rates remained low in the third quarter. Eagle has fixed approximately 66% of its shipping days for the quarter at a TCE rate near $10,900/day. Rates for unfixed shipping days dipped early in the quarter below fixed rates but exited the quarter closer to $14,000 giving hope that fourth quarter results will show improvement. We are lowering our assumed TCE rate for unfixed days to $10,500 from $12,000.

Operating costs should be fairly steady but interest costs rise. With 2023-2Q results, management provided guidance for operating costs per ownership days for the third quarter that were similar to the second quarter. One exception was interest expense which increased several million dollars with debt levels rising as part of a share repurchase program. We are increasing our estimated interest expense for the quarter and going forward.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

AZZ Inc. (AZZ) – Model Adjustments

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, October 24, 2023

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

We have updated our models to reflect reported August quarter financial results. We are fine tuning our models to reflect August quarter results. We have raised our sales projections modestly to reflect anticipated growth in the Precoat division in the February quarter, typically the weakest quarter for the company. We now project Precoat sales and overall sales in the fourth quarter of $195 million and $345 million, respectively.

We have trimmed margins a bit. We have lowered our gross margin and EBITDA margin assumptions for the third and fourth quarter. Our margin assumptions now show improvement over previous year results, but now allow for a decrease in margins in the winter quarters relative to the summer quarters to reflect lower sales.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Orion Group Holdings (ORN) – Additional Detail On New Award

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, October 16, 2023

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Detail. Orion released some additional info regarding the new awards announced in its September 28th 8-K filing. The over $100 million design/build award was awarded by Grand Bahama Shipyard Limited for the turnkey design-build of the Grand Bahama Shipyard Dry Dock Replacement Project. The $121 million of other awards was split into $50.8 million of new Concrete business and $68.5 million of new Marine business.

Dry Dock. Grand Bahama Shipyard Dry Dock award was a competitive bid/negotiation process. The scope of work includes marine works and infrastructure construction, dredging, creating new mooring facilities, and providing enhancements to shore stability. In addition, Orion will modify and extend service piers for the installation of two cutting-edge floating dry docks, which are among the largest in the western hemisphere. The project is set to commence immediately and will conclude in late 2025.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.