Tag: CoreCivic

Government Solutions Industry Report: An ISAP RFP

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Friday, August 22, 2025

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

ISAP RFP. In a somewhat surprising development, Immigration and Customs Enforcement has issued a request for proposals for the fifth iteration of its Intensive Supervision Appearance Program (ISAP), with a plan to award a potential $2 billion indefinite-delivery/indefinite-quantity contract. Consensus expectations were that an RFP would be released more towards the end of 2025.

Details. The contract will have a maximum performance period of two years, divided into two one-year ordering periods, a significant change from the prior 5-year performance periods. Responses are due by September 1st, a much shorter period than the 6 weeks from the 2019 contract. The contract is scheduled to begin on October 1, 2025.

Best Value. Bids will be measured on the Best Value Trade-off principle, with the three evaluation factors
being, in terms of importance, (i) prior experience, (ii) technical scenarios, and (iii) price. Prior experience
and technical scenarios will be significantly more important than price.

Implication. The $2 billion max award over a two-year period suggests ICE is expecting a significant
increase in the number of ISAP participants. We would note that in 2024 GEO, the long-time holder of the
ISAP contract, generated approximately $330 million of revenue in its Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services segment, at a time when the average population was roughly 185,000.

Thoughts. The short response period, 2-year period of performance, and Best Value Trade-off principle
would all appear to favor the incumbent contract holder, in this case, GEO, in our opinion. We are somewhat surprised ICE is not seeking multiple awardees, although the relatively short nature of this award may reflect a stop gap to enable ICE to figure out any complexities of having multiple awardees.

Research reports on companies mentioned in this report are available by clicking below:

CoreCivic (CXW)

The GEO Group (GEO)

GENERAL DISCLAIMERS

All statements or opinions contained herein that include the words “we”, “us”, or “our” are solely the responsibility of Noble Capital Markets, Inc.(“Noble”) and do not necessarily reflect statements or opinions expressed by any person or party affiliated with the company mentioned in this report. Any opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice. All information provided herein is based on public and non-public information believed to be accurate and reliable, but is not necessarily complete and cannot be guaranteed. No judgment is hereby expressed or should be implied as to the suitability of any security described herein for any specific investor or any specific investment portfolio. The decision to undertake any investment regarding the security mentioned herein should be made by each reader of this publication based on its own appraisal of the implications and risks of such decision.

This publication is intended for information purposes only and shall not constitute an offer to buy/sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy/sell any security mentioned in this report, nor shall there be any sale of the security herein in any state or domicile in which said offer, solicitation or sale would be unlawful prior to registration or qualification under the securities laws of any such state or domicile. This publication and all information, comments, statements or opinions contained or expressed herein are applicable only as of the date of this publication and subject to change without prior notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Noble accepts no liability for loss arising from the use of the material in this report, except that this exclusion of liability does not apply to the extent that such liability arises under specific statutes or regulations applicable to Noble. This report is not to be relied upon as a substitute for the exercising of independent judgement. Noble may have published, and may in the future publish, other research reports that are inconsistent with, and reach different conclusions from, the information provided in this report. Noble is under no obligation to bring to the attention of any recipient of this report, any past or future reports. Investors should only consider this report as single factor in making an investment decision.

IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES

This publication is confidential for the information of the addressee only and may not be reproduced in whole or in part, copies circulated, or discussed to another party, without the written consent of Noble Capital Markets, Inc. (“Noble”). Noble seeks to update its research as appropriate, but may be unable to do so based upon various regulatory constraints. Research reports are not published at regular intervals; publication times and dates are based upon the analyst’s judgement. Noble professionals including traders, salespeople and investment bankers may provide written or oral market commentary, or discuss trading strategies to Noble clients and the Noble proprietary trading desk that reflect opinions that are contrary to the opinions expressed in this research report.
The majority of companies that Noble follows are emerging growth companies. Securities in these companies involve a higher degree of risk and more volatility than the securities of more established companies. The securities discussed in Noble research reports may not be suitable for some investors and as such, investors must take extra care and make their own determination of the appropriateness of an investment based upon risk tolerance, investment objectives and financial status.

Company Specific Disclosures

The following disclosures relate to relationships between Noble and the company (the “Company”) covered by the Noble Research Division and referred to in this research report.
Noble is not a market maker in any of the companies mentioned in this report. Noble intends to seek compensation for investment banking services and non-investment banking services (securities and non-securities related) with any or all of the companies mentioned in this report within the next 3 months

ANALYST CREDENTIALS, PROFESSIONAL DESIGNATIONS, AND EXPERIENCE

Senior Equity Analyst focusing on Basic Materials & Mining. 20 years of experience in equity research. BA in Business Administration from Westminster College. MBA with a Finance concentration from the University of Missouri. MA in International Affairs from Washington University in St. Louis.
Named WSJ ‘Best on the Street’ Analyst and Forbes/StarMine’s “Best Brokerage Analyst.”
FINRA licenses 7, 24, 63, 87

WARNING

This report is intended to provide general securities advice, and does not purport to make any recommendation that any securities transaction is appropriate for any recipient particular investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs. Prior to making any investment decision, recipients should assess, or seek advice from their advisors, on whether any relevant part of this report is appropriate to their individual circumstances. If a recipient was referred to Noble Capital Markets, Inc. by an investment advisor, that advisor may receive a benefit in respect of
transactions effected on the recipients behalf, details of which will be available on request in regard to a transaction that involves a personalized securities recommendation. Additional risks associated with the security mentioned in this report that might impede achievement of the target can be found in its initial report issued by Noble Capital Markets, Inc.. This report may not be reproduced, distributed or published for any purpose unless authorized by Noble Capital Markets, Inc..

RESEARCH ANALYST CERTIFICATION

Independence Of View
All views expressed in this report accurately reflect my personal views about the subject securities or issuers.

Receipt of Compensation
No part of my compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to any specific recommendations or views expressed in the public
appearance and/or research report.

Ownership and Material Conflicts of Interest
Neither I nor anybody in my household has a financial interest in the securities of the subject company or any other company mentioned in this report.

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – A CEO Transition

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com


Tuesday, August 19, 2025

CoreCivic is a diversified, government-solutions company with the scale and experience needed to solve tough government challenges in flexible, cost-effective ways. We provide a broad range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through high-quality corrections and detention management, a network of residential and non-residential alternatives to incarceration to help address America’s recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. We are the nation’s largest owner of partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities, and believe we are the largest private owner of real estate used by government agencies in the United States. We have been a flexible and dependable partner for government for nearly 40 years. Our employees are driven by a deep sense of service, high standards of professionalism and a responsibility to help government better the public good. Learn more at www.corecivic.com.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

A Transition. CoreCivic announced President and COO Patrick Swindle will succeed current CEO Damon Hininger effective January 1, 2026. As part of the transition, Mr. Hininger and the Company have entered into a transition agreement with an effective date of January 1, 2026. Under the transition agreement, Mr. Hininger will work closely with both Mr. Swindle and Mr. Emkes, as a Special Advisor to the CEO and Chairman, to ensure a smooth transition. Mr. Hininger will resign from CoreCivic’s Board effective January 1, 2026, with Mr. Swindle appointed to fill the vacancy.

Patrick Swindle. Mr. Swindle joined CoreCivic in 2007 as Managing Director, Treasury, and has held numerous positions, including Vice President, Strategic Development; Senior Vice President, Operations; Executive Vice President and Chief Corrections Officer; and Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, before being promoted to President and Chief Operating Officer in January 2025. Prior to joining CoreCivic, Mr. Swindle spent ten years in equity research in the equity capital markets divisions of SunTrust Equitable Securities, Raymond James Financial Services, Inc., and Avondale Partners, LLC.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Release – CoreCivic Announces Patrick D. Swindle to Succeed Damon T. Hininger as Chief Executive Officer

Posted on by aweinsoff@channelchek.com

Research News and Market Data on CXW

August 18, 2025

PDF Version

Hininger to Remain Special Advisor to both CEO and Board Chairman During Transition Agreement

BRENTWOOD, Tenn., Aug. 18, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — CoreCivic, Inc. (NYSE: CXW) (“CoreCivic” or “Company”) announced today that CoreCivic’s Board of Directors (the “Board”) has appointed Patrick D. Swindle to President and Chief Executive Officer, effective January 1, 2026. This follows Mr. Swindle’s appointment as President and Chief Operating Officer on January 1, 2025. Mr. Swindle will succeed Damon T. Hininger, who has served as Chief Executive Officer since August 17, 2009. In addition, effective January 1, 2026, Mr. Hininger will resign from CoreCivic’s Board, and Mr. Swindle will be appointed to fill the vacancy.

“We are excited to welcome Patrick as our new Chief Executive Officer,” said Mark Emkes, CoreCivic’s Board Chairman. “His vision and expertise make him the ideal leader to guide CoreCivic into its next chapter. As Chief Operating Officer, he has overseen the largest component of the business, and he has proven his ability to develop people and solve challenging problems. Since his promotion to President, Patrick’s responsibilities have expanded, and he’s led CoreCivic’s teams exceptionally well during a period of rapid growth.”

Mr. Swindle brings more than eighteen years of industry experience, having served in various leadership positions at CoreCivic. He joined CoreCivic in 2007 as Managing Director, Treasury and has held numerous positions, including Vice President, Strategic Development; Senior Vice President, Operations; Executive Vice President and Chief Corrections Officer; and Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer before being promoted to President and Chief Operating Officer in January 2025.

During his tenure, Mr. Swindle has enhanced the practices for our strategic development initiatives, transformed the Company’s operations department, and most recently, led the teams responsible for activations of certain idle facilities. In 2018, he led efforts to restructure CoreCivic’s operational leadership team while standardizing core processes such as workforce management, resident programming, and security functions, based on the evolving needs and opportunities for CoreCivic. Those efforts, which Mr. Swindle has continued to build upon and refine during his tenure, have resulted in greater operational consistency and organizational strength while positioning CoreCivic to meet the increased demand for the Company’s innovative solutions today and going forward. Most recently, Mr. Swindle’s leadership of the teams responsible for the activations of certain idle facilities has shown that the Company can act swiftly and efficiently scale to meet the growing needs of the Company’s government partners while maintaining the high level of professional integrity and quality operations expected by the Company’s stakeholders.

“I’m grateful to the Board for this opportunity and to Damon for his exemplary guidance and partnership,” said Swindle. “CoreCivic is uniquely positioned for growth and future success, and I’m excited to continue working alongside our talented team as we work to fulfill our mission, drive value for our government partners and stockholders, and make a difference in the lives of individuals entrusted to our care.”

Prior to joining CoreCivic, Mr. Swindle spent ten years in equity research in the equity capital markets divisions of SunTrust Equitable Securities, Raymond James Financial Services, Inc. and Avondale Partners, LLC. Mr. Swindle holds a bachelor’s degree in finance from Western Kentucky University.

“As I mentioned when Patrick was promoted to President, he’s an exceptional leader with a broad set of skills and experiences, and over many years, has developed a deep knowledge of CoreCivic’s business, strong relationships with our customers, field leaders, investors, and other key stakeholders,” said Hininger. “Having seen his outstanding performance since stepping into the role of President, I’m more confident than ever in Patrick’s ability to lead CoreCivic forward. Finally, this transition has gone exactly the way I had hoped and on a personal note, I am so extremely proud and happy for Patrick.”

In connection with the appointment of Mr. Swindle as CEO, Mr. Hininger and CoreCivic have entered into a transition agreement with an effective date of January 1, 2026. Under the transition agreement, Mr. Hininger will work closely with both Mr. Swindle and Mr. Emkes, as a Special Advisor to the CEO and Chairman, to ensure a smooth transition.

“On behalf of the Board and management, I would like to thank Damon for his invaluable service and leadership to CoreCivic,” said Emkes. “Damon has boldly led CoreCivic through periods of substantial transformation and innovation. His thoughtful leadership, strategic vision, and dedication to CoreCivic’s mission have established a foundation for continued growth and success. The Board and management extend their deep appreciation for his many years of service and his ongoing support during this transition period.”

“I am humbled by the opportunity to have served this great company since I started my career as a correctional officer in 1992. This has been such an amazing ride!  Never in my wildest dreams when starting my career with this company did I think someday I would be CEO,” added Hininger. “To our employees, both current and retired, customers, and investors, it has been a tremendous honor and a privilege to work with you all and to serve as CEO of CoreCivic for the past sixteen years.”

About CoreCivic

CoreCivic is a diversified, government-solutions company with the scale and experience needed to solve tough government challenges in flexible, cost-effective ways. We provide a broad range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through high-quality corrections and detention management, a network of residential and non-residential alternatives to incarceration to help address America’s recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. We are the nation’s largest owner of partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities, and one of the largest operators of such facilities in the United States. We have been a flexible and dependable partner for government for more than 40 years. Our employees are driven by a deep sense of service, high standards of professionalism and a responsibility to help government better the public good. Learn more at www.corecivic.com.

Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements

This press release contains statements as to our beliefs and expectations of the outcome of future events that are “forward-looking” statements as defined within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, as amended, including, but not limited to, statements concerning the expected transition of executive leadership at CoreCivic and prospects of growth in CoreCivic’s business. These forward-looking statements may include such words as “anticipate,” “estimate,” “expect,” “project,” “plan,” “intend,” “believe,” “may,” “will,” “should,” “can have,” “likely,” and other words and terms of similar meaning in connection with any discussion of the timing or nature of future operating or financial performance or other events. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from the statements made. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ from our expectations are described in the filings made from time to time by CoreCivic with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) and include the risk factors described in CoreCivic’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2024, filed with the SEC on February 21, 2025 and subsequent filings.

CoreCivic takes no responsibility for updating the information contained in this press release following the date hereof to reflect events or circumstances occurring after the date hereof or the occurrence of unanticipated events or for any changes or modifications made to this press release or the information contained herein by any third-parties, including, but not limited to, any wire or internet services, except as may be required by law.

Contact:Investors: Jeb Bachmann – Managing Director, Investor Relations – (615) 263-3024
Media: Steve Owen – Vice President, Communications – (615) 263-3107


A photo accompanying this announcement is available at https://www.globenewswire.com/NewsRoom/AttachmentNg/31f06d6b-25b5-4a6a-88fb-42ac1d96ad42

Release – CoreCivic Announces New Contract Award To Resume Operations At West Tennessee Detention Facility

Posted on by aweinsoff@channelchek.com

Research News and Market Data on CXW

August 14, 2025

PDF Version

BRENTWOOD, Tenn., Aug. 14, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — CoreCivic, Inc. (NYSE: CXW) (“CoreCivic”) announced today that it has been awarded a new contract under an intergovernmental services agreement (IGSA) between the City of Mason, Tennessee, and U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) to resume operations at the Company’s 600-bed West Tennessee Detention Facility, a facility that has been idle since September 2021.

The IGSA expires in August 2030 and may be further extended through bilateral modification. The agreement provides for a fixed monthly payment plus an incremental per diem payment based on detainee populations. Total annual revenue once the facility is fully activated is expected to be approximately $30 million to $35 million, with margins consistent with the CoreCivic Safety segment. We expect this award to have a minimal impact on earnings in the third quarter of 2025, and accretive to earnings beginning in the fourth quarter of 2025, with full ramp currently expected to be complete by the end of the first quarter of 2026.

Damon T. Hininger, CoreCivic’s Chief Executive Officer, commented, “We are grateful for the trust our government partner has placed in us in reactivating the West Tennessee Detention Facility. Including the West Tennessee Detention Facility, we have reactivated four previously idle facilities aggregating approximately 6,600 beds, and made available to ICE over 1,000 additional detention beds through four contract modifications announced earlier this year, providing the agency with over 7,600 beds to help the agency meet its growing needs.”

Patrick D. Swindle, CoreCivic’s President and Chief Operating Offer added, “We are also grateful for the cooperation the City of Mason has provided in quickly working to expedite the reactivation of the facility. When fully activated, we expect to add well over 200 jobs to the local community, and we look forward to working with the City under this new relationship.”

About CoreCivic

CoreCivic is a diversified, government-solutions company with the scale and experience needed to solve tough government challenges in flexible, cost-effective ways. We provide a broad range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through high-quality corrections and detention management, a network of residential and non-residential alternatives to incarceration to help address America’s recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. We are the nation’s largest owner of partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities, and one of the largest operators of such facilities in the United States. We have been a flexible and dependable partner for government for more than 40 years. Our employees are driven by a deep sense of service, high standards of professionalism and a responsibility to help government better the public good. Learn more at www.corecivic.com.

Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements

This press release includes statements as to our beliefs and expectations of the outcome of future events that are forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, as amended. These forward-looking statements may include such words as “anticipate,” “estimate,” “expect,” “project,” “plan,” “intend,” “believe,” “may,” “will,” “should,” “can have,” “likely,” and other words and terms of similar meaning in connection with any discussion of the timing or nature of future operating or financial performance or other events. Such forward-looking statements may be affected by risks and uncertainties in CoreCivic’s business and market conditions. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from the statements made. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ are described in the filings made from time to time by CoreCivic with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) and include the risk factors described in CoreCivic’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2024, filed with the SEC on February 21, 2025. Except as required by applicable law, CoreCivic undertakes no obligation to update forward-looking statements made by it to reflect events or circumstances occurring after the date hereof or the occurrence of unanticipated events.

Contact:  Investors: Jeb Bachmann – Managing Director, Investor Relations – (615) 263-3024
Media: Steve Owen – Vice President, Communications – (615) 263-3107

Government Solutions Industry Report: CXW and GEO Poised to Benefit from Big Beautiful Bill

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Thursday, June 3, 2025

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the bottom of the report for important disclosures

Big Beautiful Bill. The Senate version of the “One Big Beautiful Bill Act” aligns with or even improves upon the House version when it comes to spending on immigration. While it remains to be seen the exact version that will come out of the reconciliation process and be sent to President Trump for his signature, the proposed versions should prove to be beneficial to both CoreCivic and The GEO Group.

Detention Budget. Both the Senate and House proposals call for $45 billion of funding for detention capacity or an additional $10.6 billion annually through fiscal 2029. This would represent an over 300% increase over the current detention budget. This level of funding could support detention bed capacity in excess of 115,000 beds, up from a current 41,500.

Research reports on companies mentioned in this report are available by clicking below:

CoreCivic (CXW)

The GEO Group (GEO)

GENERAL DISCLAIMERS

All statements or opinions contained herein that include the words “we”, “us”, or “our” are solely the responsibility of Noble Capital Markets, Inc.(“Noble”) and do not necessarily reflect statements or opinions expressed by any person or party affiliated with the company mentioned in this report. Any opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice. All information provided herein is based on public and non-public information believed to be accurate and reliable, but is not necessarily complete and cannot be guaranteed. No judgment is hereby expressed or should be implied as to the suitability of any security described herein for any specific investor or any specific investment portfolio. The decision to undertake any investment regarding the security mentioned herein should be made by each reader of this publication based on its own appraisal of the implications and risks of such decision.

This publication is intended for information purposes only and shall not constitute an offer to buy/sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy/sell any security mentioned in this report, nor shall there be any sale of the security herein in any state or domicile in which said offer, solicitation or sale would be unlawful prior to registration or qualification under the securities laws of any such state or domicile. This publication and all information, comments, statements or opinions contained or expressed herein are applicable only as of the date of this publication and subject to change without prior notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Noble accepts no liability for loss arising from the use of the material in this report, except that this exclusion of liability does not apply to the extent that such liability arises under specific statutes or regulations applicable to Noble. This report is not to be relied upon as a substitute for the exercising of independent judgement. Noble may have published, and may in the future publish, other research reports that are inconsistent with, and reach different conclusions from, the information provided in this report. Noble is under no obligation to bring to the attention of any recipient of this report, any past or future reports. Investors should only consider this report as single factor in making an investment decision.

IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES

This publication is confidential for the information of the addressee only and may not be reproduced in whole or in part, copies circulated, or discussed to another party, without the written consent of Noble Capital Markets, Inc. (“Noble”). Noble seeks to update its research as appropriate, but may be unable to do so based upon various regulatory constraints. Research reports are not published at regular intervals; publication times and dates are based upon the analyst’s judgement. Noble professionals including traders, salespeople and investment bankers may provide written or oral market commentary, or discuss trading strategies to Noble clients and the Noble proprietary trading desk that reflect opinions that are contrary to the opinions expressed in this research report.
The majority of companies that Noble follows are emerging growth companies. Securities in these companies involve a higher degree of risk and more volatility than the securities of more established companies. The securities discussed in Noble research reports may not be suitable for some investors and as such, investors must take extra care and make their own determination of the appropriateness of an investment based upon risk tolerance, investment objectives and financial status.

Company Specific Disclosures

The following disclosures relate to relationships between Noble and the company (the “Company”) covered by the Noble Research Division and referred to in this research report.
Noble is not a market maker in any of the companies mentioned in this report. Noble intends to seek compensation for investment banking services and non-investment banking services (securities and non-securities related) with any or all of the companies mentioned in this report within the next 3 months

ANALYST CREDENTIALS, PROFESSIONAL DESIGNATIONS, AND EXPERIENCE

Senior Equity Analyst focusing on Basic Materials & Mining. 20 years of experience in equity research. BA in Business Administration from Westminster College. MBA with a Finance concentration from the University of Missouri. MA in International Affairs from Washington University in St. Louis.
Named WSJ ‘Best on the Street’ Analyst and Forbes/StarMine’s “Best Brokerage Analyst.”
FINRA licenses 7, 24, 63, 87

WARNING

This report is intended to provide general securities advice, and does not purport to make any recommendation that any securities transaction is appropriate for any recipient particular investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs. Prior to making any investment decision, recipients should assess, or seek advice from their advisors, on whether any relevant part of this report is appropriate to their individual circumstances. If a recipient was referred to Noble Capital Markets, Inc. by an investment advisor, that advisor may receive a benefit in respect of
transactions effected on the recipients behalf, details of which will be available on request in regard to a transaction that involves a personalized securities recommendation. Additional risks associated with the security mentioned in this report that might impede achievement of the target can be found in its initial report issued by Noble Capital Markets, Inc.. This report may not be reproduced, distributed or published for any purpose unless authorized by Noble Capital Markets, Inc..

RESEARCH ANALYST CERTIFICATION

Independence Of View
All views expressed in this report accurately reflect my personal views about the subject securities or issuers.

Receipt of Compensation
No part of my compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to any specific recommendations or views expressed in the public
appearance and/or research report.

Ownership and Material Conflicts of Interest
Neither I nor anybody in my household has a financial interest in the securities of the subject company or any other company mentioned in this report.

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – An Acquisition

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com


Thursday, June 12, 2025

CoreCivic is a diversified, government-solutions company with the scale and experience needed to solve tough government challenges in flexible, cost-effective ways. We provide a broad range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through high-quality corrections and detention management, a network of residential and non-residential alternatives to incarceration to help address America’s recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. We are the nation’s largest owner of partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities, and believe we are the largest private owner of real estate used by government agencies in the United States. We have been a flexible and dependable partner for government for nearly 40 years. Our employees are driven by a deep sense of service, high standards of professionalism and a responsibility to help government better the public good. Learn more at www.corecivic.com.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Acquisition. CoreCivic is expanding its Safety Segment with the proposed acquisition of The Farmville Detention Center in Farmville, Virginia, about 60 miles west of Richmond. Constructed in 2010, Farmville is a 736-bed facility that provides transportation, care, and civil detention services to adult male noncitizens through an Intergovernmental Service Agreement between Prince Edward County, Virginia, and U.S. Immigration & Customs Enforcement (“ICE”), which expires in March 2029.

Details. CoreCivic is paying $67 million for Farmville, or about $91,000 per bed. The transaction is expected to be funded with cash on hand and borrowings under the Company’s revolving credit facility. The acquisition is expected to close effective July 1st and will add approximately $40 million of incremental revenue on an annual basis. Using the Safety segment’s average 2024 operating margin, Farmville could add nearly $10 million of segment operating income on an annual basis.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – Noble Virtual Conference Highlights

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com


Monday, June 09, 2025

CoreCivic is a diversified, government-solutions company with the scale and experience needed to solve tough government challenges in flexible, cost-effective ways. We provide a broad range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through high-quality corrections and detention management, a network of residential and non-residential alternatives to incarceration to help address America’s recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. We are the nation’s largest owner of partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities, and believe we are the largest private owner of real estate used by government agencies in the United States. We have been a flexible and dependable partner for government for nearly 40 years. Our employees are driven by a deep sense of service, high standards of professionalism and a responsibility to help government better the public good. Learn more at www.corecivic.com.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Noble Virtual Conference. CoreCivic CFO David Garfinkle and Vice President Finance Brian Hammonds presented at the Noble Virtual Conference. Highlights included increased demand, long-term trends, and return of capital. A rebroadcast is available at https://www.channelchek.com/videos/corecivic-cxw-noble-capital-markets-virtual-conference-replay

Increased Demand. As regular readers know, CoreCivic has seen increased demand for its services from ICE. The Company already has received new awards for beds and expects to re-open currently idled facilities for ICE. Increased occupancy could drive significant earnings growth. Occupancy in 1Q25 was 77%, still below the low 80% range in 2018/19. The Company showed various illustrative potential for increased demand that could add $73-$131 million of additional NOI.


Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – Riding the Wave

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, May 12, 2025

CoreCivic is a diversified, government-solutions company with the scale and experience needed to solve tough government challenges in flexible, cost-effective ways. We provide a broad range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through high-quality corrections and detention management, a network of residential and non-residential alternatives to incarceration to help address America’s recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. We are the nation’s largest owner of partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities, and believe we are the largest private owner of real estate used by government agencies in the United States. We have been a flexible and dependable partner for government for nearly 40 years. Our employees are driven by a deep sense of service, high standards of professionalism and a responsibility to help government better the public good. Learn more at www.corecivic.com.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

A Rising Tide. This is a significant moment of time in CoreCivic’s history, in our opinion. Never in the 42-year company history has there been so much activity and demand for CoreCivic’s services. As we have stated in prior reports, demand for the Company’s services could have a significant upside impact on operating results.

1Q25. First quarter revenue came in at $488.6 million, compared to $500.7 million last year and our $480 estimate, with the decline related to the absence of revenue from the Dilley and CalCity facilities in 1Q25. Adjusted EBITDA was $78.3 million versus $89.5 million. CoreCivic reported EPS of $0.23 compared to an adjusted $0.25 last year and our $0.12 estimate.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – Exceeds 1Q25 Expectations; Raises Full Year Guidance

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, May 08, 2025

CoreCivic is a diversified, government-solutions company with the scale and experience needed to solve tough government challenges in flexible, cost-effective ways. We provide a broad range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through high-quality corrections and detention management, a network of residential and non-residential alternatives to incarceration to help address America’s recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. We are the nation’s largest owner of partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities, and believe we are the largest private owner of real estate used by government agencies in the United States. We have been a flexible and dependable partner for government for nearly 40 years. Our employees are driven by a deep sense of service, high standards of professionalism and a responsibility to help government better the public good. Learn more at www.corecivic.com.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Exceeds Expectations. Driven by an increase in occupancy to 77%, increased bed utilization, and cost management, CoreCivic exceeded internal expectations as well as our projections. Revenue was $488.6 million, better than our $480.1 million estimate. Adjusted EBITDA was $81 million compared to our $69.1 million estimate. FFO was $0.45/sh versus our $0.35/sh estimate, and EPS was $0.23 compared to our estimate of $0.12. In 1Q24, CoreCivic reported revenue of $500.7 million, adjusted EBITDA of $89.5 million, EPS of $0.08, and adjusted EPS of $0.25. The previous year benefited from contracts that were eventually lost during the year.

More Business. In addition to the 2,400 bed Dilley facility, CoreCivic has received letter agreements from ICE for the potential activation of the 1,033-bed Midwest Regional Reception Center in Leavenworth, Kansas and at the 2,560-bed California City Immigration Processing Center in California City, California. Management anticipates additional contracting activity as 2025 progresses.


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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – South Texas to Resume Operations

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, March 06, 2025

CoreCivic is a diversified, government-solutions company with the scale and experience needed to solve tough government challenges in flexible, cost-effective ways. We provide a broad range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through high-quality corrections and detention management, a network of residential and non-residential alternatives to incarceration to help address America’s recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. We are the nation’s largest owner of partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities, and believe we are the largest private owner of real estate used by government agencies in the United States. We have been a flexible and dependable partner for government for nearly 40 years. Our employees are driven by a deep sense of service, high standards of professionalism and a responsibility to help government better the public good. Learn more at www.corecivic.com.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

South Texas to Resume. Yesterday, CoreCivic announced a new intergovernmental agreement to resume operations at the 2,400-bed South Texas Family Residential Center in Dilley, Texas, for ICE. CoreCivic has entered into a new lease agreement with Target Hospitality, the owner of the facility, over period concurrent with the ICE agreement. We view this a further confirmation of the Federal government’s need for additional bed capacity in the drive to deport undocumented migrants.

Details. The amended IGSA expires in March 2030 and may be further extended through bilateral modification. The agreement provides for a fixed monthly payment in accordance with a graduated schedule to correlate with the activation of each neighborhood within the facility. Once fully activated, total annual revenue is expected to be approximately $180 million, including medical services. With the Company having already started pre-activation activities earlier this year, we expect this award to be accretive to earnings beginning in the second quarter of 2025.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – ICE Adding Capacity

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com


Friday, February 28, 2025

CoreCivic is a diversified, government-solutions company with the scale and experience needed to solve tough government challenges in flexible, cost-effective ways. We provide a broad range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through high-quality corrections and detention management, a network of residential and non-residential alternatives to incarceration to help address America’s recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. We are the nation’s largest owner of partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities, and believe we are the largest private owner of real estate used by government agencies in the United States. We have been a flexible and dependable partner for government for nearly 40 years. Our employees are driven by a deep sense of service, high standards of professionalism and a responsibility to help government better the public good. Learn more at www.corecivic.com.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Additional Capacity. Yesterday, CoreCivic announced the Company entered into contract modifications with the U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) at various facilities for up to an additional 1,036 beds. We view this as the first step by ICE to add capacity in its efforts to enforce President Trump’s crackdown on undocumented migrants. We anticipate additional contracting activity that will help satisfy ICE’s growing needs.

Details. ICE entered into contract modifications to add capacity for up to a total of 784 detainees at CoreCivic’s 2,016-bed Northeast Ohio Correctional Center, its 1,072-bed Nevada Southern Detention Center, and its 1,600-bed Cimarron Correctional Facility in Oklahoma. In addition, CoreCivic has obtained a contract modification to specify that ICE may use up to 252 beds at its 2,672-bed Tallahatchie County Correctional Facility in Mississippi.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

CoreCivic, Inc. (CoreCivic, Inc.) – Raising to Outperform with $25 PT

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Wednesday, February 12, 2025

CoreCivic is a diversified, government-solutions company with the scale and experience needed to solve tough government challenges in flexible, cost-effective ways. We provide a broad range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through high-quality corrections and detention management, a network of residential and non-residential alternatives to incarceration to help address America’s recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. We are the nation’s largest owner of partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities, and believe we are the largest private owner of real estate used by government agencies in the United States. We have been a flexible and dependable partner for government for nearly 40 years. Our employees are driven by a deep sense of service, high standards of professionalism and a responsibility to help government better the public good. Learn more at www.corecivic.com.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Opportunity, Opportunity, Opportunity. With the change in Administration and new Congress, CoreCivic is anticipating significant growth opportunities, possibly the most significant growth in the Company’s history, over the next several years. We believe the Company is exceptionally well positioned operationally and financially to meet this expected sharp increase in demand for its services.

Potential. Management has put forth a proposal to ICE for 28,000 beds. If accepted, such a proposal could be worth about $1.5 billion in revenue. Just adding in approximately 15,000 beds from existing idle facilities and the South Texas facility could add $750-$800 million of revenue and some $200-$275 million of adjusted EBITDA. Current proposals by the Administration and Congress support such growth, although funding will be key.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – A Solid End to 2024

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, February 11, 2025

CoreCivic is a diversified, government-solutions company with the scale and experience needed to solve tough government challenges in flexible, cost-effective ways. We provide a broad range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through high-quality corrections and detention management, a network of residential and non-residential alternatives to incarceration to help address America’s recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. We are the nation’s largest owner of partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities, and believe we are the largest private owner of real estate used by government agencies in the United States. We have been a flexible and dependable partner for government for nearly 40 years. Our employees are driven by a deep sense of service, high standards of professionalism and a responsibility to help government better the public good. Learn more at www.corecivic.com.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

A Solid End to the Year. CoreCivic posted solid 4Q24 results, especially given the facility closures from earlier in the year. Results for the quarter surpassed internal as well as consensus estimates, resulting from both cost management initiatives and increased occupancy, which reached 75.5% of available capacity, the Company’s highest level since the first quarter of 2020.

4Q24 Results. Revenue of $479.3 million compared to $491.2 million in 4Q24. We were at $463 million, and the consensus was $465 million. Adjusted EBITDA totaled $74.2 million compared to $90 million in 4Q24. We were at $65.2 million, and the consensus was $66.3 million. Adjusted diluted EPS of $0.16, versus $0.23 last year. We and consensus were at $0.10.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).