Iconic All-American Burger Chain to Open Four Locations in Okinawa Over The Next Five Years
LOS ANGELES, Sept. 25, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — FAT (Fresh. Authentic. Tasty.) Brands Inc., parent company of Fatburger and 17 other restaurant concepts, announces a new partnership with Green Micro Factory Inc. to bring the beloved burger brand back to Japan. Four locations will open in Okinawa over the next five years, with the first unit slated to open before the end of the year.
“Okinawa presents a strategic opportunity for our return to Japan with its robust tourism and steady foot traffic generated by its military base presence,” said Taylor Wiederhorn, Chief Development Officer of FAT Brands. “We see our debut in Okinawa as the first step in our broader growth across the country as we look to win locals over with our custom-built burgers, Fat and Skinny Fries, hand-scooped milkshakes, and more.”
Ever since the first Fatburger opened in Los Angeles over 70 years ago, the chain has been known for its delicious, grilled-to-perfection and cooked-to-order burgers. Founder Lovie Yancey believed that a big burger with everything on it is a meal in itself; at Fatburger “everything” is not just the usual roster of toppings. Burgers can be customized with everything from bacon and eggs to chili and onion rings. In addition to its famous burgers, the Fatburger menu also includes Fat and Skinny Fries, sweet potato fries, scratch-made onion rings, Impossible™ Burgers, turkeyburgers, hand-breaded crispy chicken sandwiches, and hand-scooped milkshakes made from 100 percent real ice cream.
FAT Brands (NASDAQ: FAT) is a leading global franchising company that strategically acquires, markets and develops fast casual, quick-service, casual and polished casual dining restaurant concepts around the world. The Company currently owns 18 restaurant brands: Round Table Pizza, Fatburger, Marble Slab Creamery, Johnny Rockets, Fazoli’s, Twin Peaks, Great American Cookies, Smokey Bones, Hot Dog on a Stick, Buffalo’s Cafe & Express, Hurricane Grill & Wings, Pretzelmaker, Elevation Burger, Native Grill & Wings, Yalla Mediterranean and Ponderosa and Bonanza Steakhouses, and franchises and owns over 2,300 units worldwide. For more information on FAT Brands, please visit www.fatbrands.com.
About Fatburger
An all-American, Hollywood favorite, Fatburger is a fast-casual restaurant serving big, juicy, tasty burgers, crafted specifically to each customer’s liking. With a legacy spanning over 70 years, Fatburger’s extraordinary quality and taste inspire fierce loyalty amongst its fan base, which includes a number of A-list celebrities and athletes. Featuring a contemporary design and ambiance, Fatburger offers an unparalleled dining experience, demonstrating the same dedication to serving gourmet, homemade, custom-built burgers as it has since 1952 – The Last Great Hamburger Stand™.
Forward Looking Statements
This press release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including statements relating to the timing and performance of new store openings and area development agreements. Forward-looking statements reflect expectations of FAT Brands Inc. (“we” or “our”) concerning the future and are subject to significant business, economic and competitive risks, uncertainties and contingencies. These factors are difficult to predict and beyond our control, and could cause our actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such forward-looking statements. We refer you to the documents that we file from time to time with the Securities and Exchange Commission, such as our reports on Form 10-K, Form 10-Q and Form 8-K, for a discussion of these and other factors. We undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statement to reflect events or circumstances occurring after the date of this press release.
Kratos Latest Weapons-Configured Valkyrie will be On-Site
Kratos MAKO Tactical Jet Drone, the First CCA to Demonstrate Manned-Unmanned Teaming in 2015, also to be Displayed
SAN DIEGO, Sept. 25, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (Nasdaq: KTOS), a Technology Company in the Defense, National Security and Global Markets and an industry-leading provider of high-performance, jet-powered unmanned aerial systems, will display tactical and target unmanned jet drones, including the latest weapons-configured Valkyrie, at the upcoming Marine Corps Air Station Miramar Air Show September 26-28. Kratos’ tactical family of unmanned jet drones is designed for a range of military operations, including strike, ISR (intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance), RF (radio frequency), and communications. This lineup features the latest advancements, including the XQ-58 Valkyrie, UTAP-22 Mako, Tactical Firejet, and BQM-177 target system.
The Miramar Air Show invites both domestic and international visitors to explore full-scale Kratos tactical and target aircraft systems on display. These innovative systems exemplify the future of uncrewed air technology, providing proven and affordable solutions for mass production, deployment, and military engagement. Kratos’ unique approach aligns seamlessly with the Department of Defense’s latest technology initiatives and affordability strategies, enabling systems that can operate effectively from even the most remote locations worldwide.
The XQ-58 Valkyrie is a Collaborative Combat Aircraft (CCA)/ Autonomous Collaborative Platform (ACP) designed to operate with Joint and Allied Forces. Flying since 2019, the XQ-58 continues to pioneer tactical unmanned aerial system (UAS) technology and collaborative manned-unmanned capability.
Steve Fendley, President of Kratos Unmanned Systems Division, said, “We are proud to showcase our latest drone technologies at Miramar, offering attendees a unique opportunity to see these systems in person. Kratos is a recognized leader in unmanned systems, delivering affordable, high-performance aerial platforms like the XQ-58 Valkyrie that support a wide range of national security missions with speed, agility, and innovation. The Miramar Air Show is the ideal venue to highlight Kratos’ game changing systems that represent the future.”
Eric DeMarco, President and CEO of Kratos, said, “We are once again honored to be able to display Kratos’ affordable, leading technology hardware and systems at the Miramar Air Show with our partner, the United States Marine Corps. The Marines are a demonstrated-technology innovation leader, including Kratos’ UTAP 22 Mako, a CCA that began flying manned-unmanned teaming with USMC Harrier manned jet fighters in 2015, through today with Kratos’ Valkyrie flying with USMC F-35s. Kratos will continue to work closely with the Marines, including with certain of our most recent Drone related systems and capabilities.”
Kratos’ Tactical Firejet is designed to affordably meet requirements for fast ingress and egress of tactically denied battle spaces with the ability to deliver significant payloads over long ranges at high speed.
Located in Hangar Three, visitors to Kratos’ display can also learn more about the Spartan Line of turbojet engines, showcasing unique capabilities for expendable engine applications, such as unmanned aerial systems and tactical missiles. Additionally, Kratos’ display will feature Elroy Air’s Chaparral, a hybrid-electric autonomous vertical takeoff-and-landing (VTOL) cargo drone, of which Kratos was recently announced as Elroy Air’s exclusive U.S. manufacturing partner.
Elroy Air’s Chaparral, of which Kratos is the exclusive U.S. manufacturer, is a hybrid-electric Vertical Take-Off and Landing cargo drone designed to autonomously transport 300 pounds of cargo over distances of 300 miles. Engineered for quick turnaround, efficiency, and safety, the Chaparral enables secure, uncrewed cargo delivery at a fraction of the capital and operational cost of piloted helicopters while eliminating risk to personnel in contested or high-risk logistics environments.
The Kratos Mako is a high-speed, highly maneuverable unmanned aerial system (UAS) with open mission-system flexibility and ample payload capacity to make it an affordable and highly effective solution.
Miramar Air Show attendees will have the opportunity to engage with various static displays of advanced aircraft, providing insights into the latest innovations in aviation technology. Held at Marine Corps Air Station Miramar in San Diego, California, the show also features aerial performances and dynamic flight demonstrations with cutting-edge aircraft.
With advanced aerodynamic design, the BQM-177 is a formidable high-performance target for live-fire training scenarios, including sub-sonic, sea-skimming anti-ship cruise missile accurate threat emulation.
About Kratos Defense & Security Solutions Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (NASDAQ: KTOS) is a technology, products, system and software company addressing the defense, national security, and commercial markets. Kratos makes true internally funded research, development, capital and other investments, to rapidly develop, produce and field solutions that address our customers’ mission critical needs and requirements. At Kratos, affordability is a technology, and we seek to utilize proven, leading-edge approaches and technology, not unproven bleeding edge approaches or technology, with Kratos’ approach designed to reduce cost, schedule and risk, enabling us to be first to market with cost effective solutions. We believe that Kratos is known as an innovative disruptive change agent in the industry, a company that is an expert in designing products and systems up front for successful rapid, large quantity, low-cost future manufacturing which is a value add competitive differentiator for our large traditional prime system integrator partners and also to our government and commercial customers. Kratos intends to pursue program and contract opportunities as the prime or lead contractor when we believe that our probability of win (PWin) is high and any investment required by Kratos is within our capital resource comfort level. We intend to partner and team with a large, traditional system integrator when our assessment of PWin is greater or required investment is beyond Kratos’ comfort level. Kratos’ primary business areas include virtualized ground systems for satellites and space vehicles including software for command & control (C2) and telemetry, tracking and control (TT&C), jet powered unmanned aerial drone systems, hypersonic vehicles and rocket systems, propulsion systems for drones, missiles, loitering munitions, supersonic systems, space craft and launch systems, C5ISR and microwave electronic products for missile, radar, missile defense, space, satellite, counter UAS, directed energy, communication and other systems, and virtual & augmented reality training systems for the warfighter.
Notice Regarding Forward-Looking Statements Certain statements in this press release may constitute “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements relate to a variety of matters including, without limitation, Kratos’ expectations regarding the use of the proceeds from the public offering, the pipeline for opportunities, and Kratos’ success with respect to such opportunities, as well as other statements that are not purely statements of historical fact. These forward-looking statements are made on the basis of the current beliefs, expectations and assumptions of the management of Kratos and are subject to significant risks and uncertainty. Investors are cautioned not to place undue reliance on any such forward-looking statements. All such forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are made, and Kratos undertakes no obligation to update or revise these statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Although Kratos believes that the expectations reflected in these forward-looking statements are reasonable, these statements involve many risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from what may be expressed or implied in these forward-looking statements including, but not limited to: risks and uncertainties related to market conditions as well as general economic factors. For a further discussion of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ from those expressed in these forward-looking statements, as well as risks relating to the business of Kratos in general, see the risk disclosures in the Annual Report on Form 10-K of Kratos for the year ended December 29, 2024 and in subsequent reports on Forms 10-Q and 8-K and other filings made with the SEC by Kratos.
U.S. jobless claims unexpectedly declined last week, signaling continued resilience in the labor market even as hiring has slowed and the Federal Reserve keeps a close eye on economic momentum.
Initial claims for unemployment benefits totaled a seasonally adjusted 218,000 for the week ending Sept. 20, according to the Labor Department. That was a drop of 14,000 from the prior week’s upwardly revised level and came in well below the consensus forecast of 235,000. Continuing claims, which measure those still receiving benefits, edged slightly lower to 1.926 million.
The latest claims figures arrive against a backdrop of uncertainty about the economy’s trajectory. Payroll growth has cooled, and job openings remain at multiyear lows. The Fed recently responded by cutting its benchmark borrowing rate by a quarter percentage point to a range of 4% to 4.25%, its first reduction of 2025. Policymakers cited rising risks to employment as one factor behind the decision.
Still, the claims data suggests companies remain hesitant to lay off workers despite a noticeable pullback in hiring. Volatility in weekly figures continues, with Texas accounting for a sizable portion of recent swings, but the broader picture points to a labor market that is holding firmer than many expected.
Beyond the employment data, Thursday also brought signs of strength in other corners of the economy. Gross domestic product for the second quarter was revised sharply higher to an annualized gain of 3.8%. That marked a half-point improvement from the prior estimate and reflected stronger consumer spending than initially reported. Personal consumption, which makes up about two-thirds of U.S. economic activity, rose at a 2.5% pace, well above earlier estimates and the tepid 0.6% increase seen in the first quarter.
Durable goods orders added to the positive picture. Purchases of long-lasting items such as appliances, aircraft, and computers climbed 2.9% in August, defying forecasts for a decline and reversing a steep drop from July. Even excluding transportation equipment, orders grew 0.4% in the month and 1.9% when defense-related spending was excluded, underscoring broad-based demand.
The housing sector, which has been under pressure from higher borrowing costs, also showed signs of improvement. Sales of newly built homes jumped 20.5% in August, the largest monthly gain since early 2022. Existing home sales came in slightly ahead of expectations at an annualized rate of 4 million.
Taken together, the data paints a picture of an economy that continues to expand despite headwinds from tighter credit conditions, shifting trade policies, and global geopolitical challenges. Markets currently anticipate that the Fed will follow through with two more rate cuts before the end of the year, at its October and December meetings.
While policymakers acknowledge that growth is being restrained by elevated borrowing costs, they also see resilience across consumer spending, business investment, and labor markets. That combination has kept the outlook more balanced than some had feared heading into the final stretch of 2025.
Cryptocurrency markets extended losses on Thursday as Bitcoin, Ether, and other digital assets tumbled in a week marked by heavy liquidations, ETF outflows, and growing caution across risk assets. The slide comes just a day before a massive $22 billion in options tied to the two largest tokens is set to expire, amplifying volatility across trading desks.
Bitcoin fell below $110,000 for the first time in four weeks, shedding more than 3% by late afternoon in New York. Ether fared worse, dropping as much as 8% intraday to below $4,000 before trimming losses. The sell-off spread quickly to smaller tokens, with Solana, Dogecoin, and Cronos posting declines of 6% to 10%.
The rout has erased more than $140 billion in market value this week, according to CoinMarketCap data. Analysts note that the pressure has been fueled by forced unwinds of leveraged positions on offshore exchanges, where opaque reporting and differing index rules can magnify price swings. More than $1.6 billion in long positions was liquidated earlier in the week, with an additional $500 million cleared in the past 24 hours alone.
Ether has faced particular selling pressure, with U.S.-listed exchange-traded funds seeing nearly $300 million in net outflows since Monday. That shift in flows has coincided with technical breakdowns, raising the risk of further liquidations if the token slips decisively below $3,800. A deeper slide could drag on listed companies that hold large amounts of Ether and Bitcoin on their balance sheets, since these so-called digital-asset treasury stocks trade as leveraged proxies for underlying coin prices.
The sell-off also weighed on publicly traded crypto-related firms. Robinhood and Coinbase both lost more than 3% on Thursday, while mining and digital asset infrastructure companies posted similar declines. Investor sentiment toward the “treasury model,” where firms hold cryptocurrencies as part of their capital strategy, has weakened as premiums over net asset value narrow and new issuance dilutes holders.
Beyond crypto-specific factors, the broader macro environment has added pressure. U.S. equities pulled back from recent record highs amid worries that enthusiasm around artificial intelligence may have overheated valuations. Uncertainty over the Federal Reserve’s interest rate path continues to ripple through risk assets. At the same time, the Treasury’s efforts to refill its General Account by issuing new debt has acted as a liquidity drain, redirecting capital away from speculative markets such as digital assets.
Despite the turbulence, Bitcoin and Ether remain among the year’s best-performing major assets, still up significantly from 2024 levels. Crypto advocates point out that historically, September has been one of the more volatile months for digital assets, with the final quarter often delivering stronger seasonal tailwinds.
Friday’s options expiry could prove pivotal. Roughly $17 billion in contracts tied to Bitcoin and $5.3 billion linked to Ether are due to roll off, a notional value large enough to trigger outsized price swings depending on how traders reposition. Market watchers suggest that whether Bitcoin can hold above $110,000 and Ether above $3,800 will help set the tone for the next leg of trading into year-end.
For now, caution is dominating sentiment, as investors weigh the possibility of further liquidations against the backdrop of one of the largest options expirations of the year.
Lottery.com’s International Gaming Platform Launch Accelerates Revenue Outlook
FORT WORTH, Texas, Sept. 24, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — SEGG Media Corporation (NASDAQ: SEGG, LTRYW) (the “Company” or “SEGG Media”) the global sports, entertainment, and gaming conglomerate, today announced the official launch of its international gaming platform at https://international.lottery.com. Players outside of the U.S. can visit the site today, create an account, and sample many games for free.
The strategic decision to bring operations in house to launch Lottery.com International will maximize revenue potential. The gaming platform was an asset acquired as part of the Company’s purchase of Spektrum Ltd. earlier this year. Lottery.com International will deploy the gaming platform in the global markets across Europe, Africa, and other high-growth territories and is projected to deliver approximately $6,350,000 in the coming FISCAL year (2026); marking an acceleration to the Company’s revenue outlook and sustained balance sheet growth.
Matthew McGahan, Chairman of SEGG Media, said: “This is another example of how the Company’s buy-and build strategy is allowing us to execute at speed and scale. We are confident in our ability to generate revenue from international gaming operations in the near term, and our mission is clear: to deliver long-term value for our shareholders and redefine the gaming experience for customers worldwide. This is about delivering results, quarter after quarter, and positioning SEGG Media as a leader in global gaming, including lottery.”
Tim Scoffham, CEO of Sports.com Media Group and Lottery.com International, added: “This is not just a launch — it’s a momentum shift. Letting consumers across the globe try our gaming platform provides a risk-free opportunity to introduce Lottery.com to millions of players around the world. Our strategy is disciplined operations, strategic expansion, rapid market penetration and capitalizing on the enormous opportunity at the convergence of sports, entertainment, and gaming.”
The Company’s international rollout represents a significant growth catalyss for the Company. By combining enhanced technology, local market execution, and SEGG Media’s buy-and-build approach, the Company is expected to scale revenues rapidly, drive higher multiples, and unlock shareholder value. Real money gaming will be made available to players on the platform in select jurisdictions starting in November. The Company will continue to allow players to enjoy free games in most markets as real money options are made available.
About SEGG Media Corporation SEGG Media (Nasdaq: SEGG, LTRYW) is a global sports, entertainment and gaming group operating a portfolio of digital assets including Sports.com, Concerts.com and Lottery.com. Focused on immersive fan engagement, ethical gaming and AI-driven live experiences, SEGG Media is redefining how global audiences interact with the content they love.
Forward-Looking Statements
This press release contains statements that constitute “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. All statements, other than statements of present or historical fact included in this press release, regarding the Company’s strategy, future operations, prospects, plans and objectives of management, are forward-looking statements. When used in this Form 8-K, the words “could,” “should,” “will,” “may,” “believe,” “anticipate,” “intend,” “estimate,” “expect,” “project,” “initiatives,” “continue,” the negative of such terms and other similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements, although not all forward-looking statements contain such identifying words. These forward-looking statements are based on management’s current expectations and assumptions about future events and are based on currently available information as to the outcome and timing of future events. The forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this press release or as of the date they are made. The Company cautions you that these forward-looking statements are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties, most of which are difficult to predict and many of which are beyond the control of the Company. In addition, the Company cautions you that the forward-looking statements contained in this press release are subject to risks and uncertainties, including but not limited to: the Company’s ability to secure additional capital resources; the Company’s ability to continue as a going concern; the Company’s ability to complete acquisitions; the Company’s ability to remain in compliance with Nasdaq Listing Rules; and those additional risks and uncertainties discussed under the heading “Risk Factors” in the Form 10-K/A filed by the Company with the SEC on April 22, 2025, and the other documents filed, or to be filed, by the Company with the SEC. Additional information concerning these and other factors that may impact the operations and projections discussed herein can be found in the reports that the Company has filed and will file from time to time with the SEC. These SEC filings are available publicly on the SEC’s website at www.sec.gov. Should one or more of the risks or uncertainties described in this press release materialize or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actual results and plans could differ materially from those expressed in any forward-looking statements. Except as otherwise required by applicable law, the Company disclaims any duty to update any forward-looking statements, all of which are expressly qualified by the statements in this section, to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this press release.
For additional information, visit www.seggmediacorp.com or contact media relations at media@seggmediacorp.com.
THIO-101 Phase 2 trial to enroll patients in the U.S. as part of the expansion of the study in third-line treatment for advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC)
CHICAGO, Sept. 24, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — MAIA Biotechnology, Inc. (NYSE American: MAIA) (“MAIA”, the “Company”), a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing targeted immunotherapies for cancer, announced today that the National Institutes of Health (NIH) has awarded a $2.3 million grant for the expansion of its THIO-101 Phase 2 clinical trial evaluating ateganosine as a third-line treatment for patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC).
The grant is intended to support expenses related to the enrollment of U.S. patients who are resistant to chemo and immunotherapy. The NIH grant allocations will be distributed over three years from 2025-2027.
“We are thrilled to receive this prestigious NIH grant for the expansion of our Phase 2 trial. It’s a great honor to have the support of the National Institutes of Health as we seek to further validate the efficacy of our lead agent ateganosine and its potential to be a breakthrough treatment within the vastly underserved NSCLC market,” said CEO Vlad Vitoc, M.D. “With the clearance of FDA Investigational New Drug (IND) for THIO-101 in 2023, we can begin enrolling U.S. patients in the expansion phase of the trial immediately.”
“The NIH grant is a tremendous achievement and a testament to the dedication, collaboration, and hard work of everyone involved in the clinical development of ateganosine,” added Victor Zaporojan, M.D., MAIA’s senior medical director. “Ateganosine represents a potential solution for the significant unmet clinical need in third-line NSCLC, where no established standard of care exists and where the overall survival outcomes observed with ateganosine have not been achieved by other therapies. By enrolling patients in the United States, our trial will gain access to a substantially larger patient pool across multiple continents, further strengthening the impact and relevance of our study.”
In Parts A and B of THIO-101, median overall survival (OS) for the 22 patients in third-line treatment was 17.8 months as of June 30, 2025, with a 95% confidence interval (CI) lower bound of 12.5 months and a 99% CI lower bound of 10.8 months. Studies of standard-of-care chemotherapy treatments for NSCLC in a similar setting have shown overall survival of 5 to 6 months. The first patient in the expansion of the trial was dosed in July 2025 in Taiwan.
Research referenced in this press release is supported by the National Cancer Institute of the National Institutes of Health under Award Number R44CA309843. The content is solely the responsibility of MAIA and does not necessarily represent the official views of the National Institutes of Health.
About Ateganosine
Ateganosine (THIO, 6-thio-dG or 6-thio-2’-deoxyguanosine) is a first-in-class investigational telomere-targeting agent currently in clinical development to evaluate its activity in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Telomeres, along with the enzyme telomerase, play a fundamental role in the survival of cancer cells and their resistance to current therapies. The modified nucleotide 6-thio-2’-deoxyguanosine induces telomerase-dependent telomeric DNA modification, DNA damage responses, and selective cancer cell death. Ateganosine-damaged telomeric fragments accumulate in cytosolic micronuclei and activates both innate (cGAS/STING) and adaptive (T-cell) immune responses. The sequential treatment of ateganosine followed by PD-(L)1 inhibitors resulted in profound and persistent tumor regression in advanced, in vivo cancer models by induction of cancer type–specific immune memory. Ateganosine is presently developed as a second or later line of treatment for NSCLC for patients that have progressed beyond the standard-of-care regimen of existing checkpoint inhibitors.
About THIO-101 Phase 2 Clinical Trial
THIO-101 is a multicenter, open-label, dose finding Phase 2 clinical trial. It is the first trial designed to evaluate ateganosine’s anti-tumor activity when followed by PD-(L)1 inhibition. The trial is testing the hypothesis that low doses of ateganosine administered prior to cemiplimab (Libtayo®) will enhance and prolong immune response in patients with advanced NSCLC who previously did not respond or developed resistance and progressed after first-line treatment regimen containing another checkpoint inhibitor. The trial design has two primary objectives: (1) to evaluate the safety and tolerability of ateganosine administered as an anticancer compound and a priming immune activator (2) to assess the clinical efficacy of ateganosine using Overall Response Rate (ORR) as the primary clinical endpoint. The expansion of the study will assess overall response rates (ORR) in advanced NSCLC patients receiving third line (3L) therapy who were resistant to previous checkpoint inhibitor treatments (CPI) and chemotherapy. Treatment with ateganosine followed by cemiplimab (Libtayo®) has shown an acceptable safety profile to date in a heavily pre-treated population. For more information on this Phase II trial, please visit ClinicalTrials.gov using the identifier NCT05208944.
About MAIA Biotechnology, Inc.
MAIA is a targeted therapy, immuno-oncology company focused on the development and commercialization of potential first-in-class drugs with novel mechanisms of action that are intended to meaningfully improve and extend the lives of people with cancer. Our lead program is ateganosine (THIO), a potential first-in-class cancer telomere targeting agent in clinical development for the treatment of NSCLC patients with telomerase-positive cancer cells. For more information, please visit www.maiabiotech.com.
Forward Looking Statements
MAIA cautions that all statements, other than statements of historical facts contained in this press release, are forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties, and other factors that may cause our or our industry’s actual results, levels or activity, performance or achievements to be materially different from those anticipated by such statements. The use of words such as “may,” “might,” “will,” “should,” “could,” “expect,” “plan,” “anticipate,” “believe,” “estimate,” “project,” “intend,” “future,” “potential,” or “continue,” and other similar expressions are intended to identify forward looking statements. However, the absence of these words does not mean that statements are not forward-looking. For example, all statements we make regarding (i) the initiation, timing, cost, progress and results of our preclinical and clinical studies and our research and development programs, (ii) our ability to advance product candidates into, and successfully complete, clinical studies, (iii) the timing or likelihood of regulatory filings and approvals, (iv) our ability to develop, manufacture and commercialize our product candidates and to improve the manufacturing process, (v) the rate and degree of market acceptance of our product candidates, (vi) the size and growth potential of the markets for our product candidates and our ability to serve those markets, and (vii) our expectations regarding our ability to obtain and maintain intellectual property protection for our product candidates, are forward looking. All forward-looking statements are based on current estimates, assumptions and expectations by our management that, although we believe to be reasonable, are inherently uncertain. Any forward-looking statement expressing an expectation or belief as to future events is expressed in good faith and believed to be reasonable at the time such forward-looking statement is made. However, these statements are not guarantees of future events and are subject to risks and uncertainties and other factors beyond our control that may cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in any forward-looking statement. Any forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date on which it was made. We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by law. In this release, unless the context requires otherwise, “MAIA,” “Company,” “we,” “our,” and “us” refers to MAIA Biotechnology, Inc. and its subsidiaries.
Shares of Lithium Americas (NYSE: LAC) soared nearly 100% on Wednesday after reports that the Trump administration is considering taking a stake in the company as part of a renegotiated federal loan package tied to the development of the Thacker Pass lithium mine in Nevada.
According to Reuters, the administration is seeking as much as a 10% equity stake in the Vancouver-based miner. The proposed arrangement comes as Lithium Americas works through terms of a $2.26 billion loan from the Department of Energy, originally granted during the first Trump administration.
Under the current negotiations, the company has offered the government no-cost warrants for up to 10% of its common stock. At the same time, the administration is reportedly pressing General Motors (NYSE: GM) — which owns a 38% stake in Thacker Pass and has invested $625 million — for purchase guarantees that would help shore up demand for the lithium produced at the site. GM shares ticked higher by more than 2% on the news.
A Strategic Lithium Project
Thacker Pass is expected to play a central role in U.S. energy security. Once operational, the project is projected to be the largest lithium mining operation in the Western Hemisphere. Its first production phase, slated for 2028, is forecast to produce more than 40,000 metric tons of lithium carbonate annually — enough to power batteries for roughly 800,000 electric vehicles.
For perspective, Albemarle’s (NYSE: ALB) Silver Peak mine in Nevada, currently the only operating lithium mine in the U.S., produces fewer than 5,000 metric tons per year. This makes Thacker Pass a significant leap in domestic production capacity at a time when global demand for electric vehicles, battery storage, and clean energy technologies is surging.
China currently dominates the global lithium industry, producing more than 40,000 metric tons per year and refining more than 65% of the world’s supply. By comparison, the U.S. refines less than 3%. This imbalance has made lithium one of the most strategically sensitive commodities in the energy transition.
“Lithium is the new oil,” said one energy analyst, noting that securing supply has become a cornerstone of U.S. industrial policy. “Without it, you can’t scale EV adoption or battery storage, and that makes projects like Thacker Pass crucial to long-term energy independence.”
The government’s interest in Lithium Americas follows similar moves to shore up domestic supply chains for other critical materials. In July, MP Materials (NYSE: MP) announced a multibillion-dollar deal with the Department of Defense that made the government its largest shareholder, boosting MP’s stock more than 50%. Meanwhile, Intel (NASDAQ: INTC) has climbed over 25% since talks of a potential government stake in the chipmaker became public.
This pattern underscores the administration’s strategy of leveraging federal investment to reduce reliance on foreign sources of essential resources, from rare earth elements to semiconductors.
Lithium Americas stock traded at $6.09 as of 2:08 p.m. EDT, up more than 98% on the day. The sharp rally comes despite ongoing weakness in lithium prices, which have fallen over the past year amid oversupply from China. Futures for lithium carbonate are down more than 12%, while lithium hydroxide has dropped more than 4.5%.
Those price pressures have raised concerns about the financial viability of large-scale U.S. mining projects. The administration’s involvement could provide a stabilizing force, ensuring that key projects like Thacker Pass remain on track. The first loan draw is expected this month, with construction at the Nevada site already underway.
For now, investors appear to be betting that federal backing — and a potential government equity stake — could cement Lithium Americas’ role as a cornerstone of America’s clean energy future.
Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Milestone in Findhelp partnership. SelectQuote announced that it has referred more than 200,000 low-income seniors to Findhelp, with nearly 50,000 of those individuals accessing free or reduced-cost services. The milestone demonstrates SelectQuote’s role in addressing the needs of Medicare-eligible consumers.
Partnership connects consumers to critical support. Findhelp is a closed-loop referral management software platform that connects individuals with community resources such as food, housing, transportation, and financial aid. SelectQuote has partnered with Findhelp for several years, directing seniors to assistance programs. The initiative does not generate revenue, but it extends SelectQuote’s Medicare distribution model by providing tangible value to consumers.
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Noble Capital Markets Research Report Wednesday, September 24, 2025
Companies contained in today’s report:
SelectQuote (SLQT)/OUTPERFORM – Reaches Milestone in Helping Medicare-Eligible Seniors
SelectQuote (SLQT/$2.08 | Price Target: $7) Patrick McCann, CFA pmccann@noblefcm.com | (314) 724-6266 Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com | (561) 994-5734 Reaches Milestone in Helping Medicare-Eligible Seniors Rating: OUTPERFORM
Milestone in Findhelp partnership. SelectQuote announced that it has referred more than 200,000 low-income seniors to Findhelp, with nearly 50,000 of those individuals accessing free or reduced-cost services. The milestone demonstrates SelectQuote’s role in addressing the needs of Medicare-eligible consumers.
Partnership connects consumers to critical support. Findhelp is a closed-loop referral management software platform that connects individuals with community resources such as food, housing, transportation, and financial aid. SelectQuote has partnered with Findhelp for several years, directing seniors to assistance programs. The initiative does not generate revenue, but it extends SelectQuote’s Medicare distribution model by providing tangible value to consumers.
Noble Capital Markets Research Report Tuesday, September 23, 2025
Companies contained in today’s report:
The ODP Corporation (ODP)/MARKET PERFORM – To Be Acquired for $28/sh
The ODP Corporation (ODP/$27.68) Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262 To Be Acquired for $28/sh Rating: MARKET PERFORM
An Acquisition. Yesterday morning, The ODP Corporation announced it entered into a definitive agreement to be acquired by an affiliate of Atlas Holdings for $28/sh. The purchase price represents a premium of 34% to Friday’s closing price. ODP’s Board is supporting the transaction, which is expected to close by the end of 2025.
Who Is Atlas Holdings? Founded in 2002 by Andrew Bursky and Tim Fazio, Greenwich, CT-based Atlas Holdings owns and operates a global family of manufacturing and distribution businesses that together generate more than $20 billion in annual revenue. Atlas has experience in the office supplies sector through its LSC Communications unit, a leader in organizational solutions through brands such as Pendaflex.
Noble Capital Markets Research Report Monday, September 22, 2025
Companies contained in today’s report:
Information Services Group (III)/OUTPERFORM – Raising Price Target
Information Services Group (III/$5.38 | Price Target: $6.5) Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262 Raising Price Target Rating: OUTPERFORM
Raising Price Target. We are raising our price target on III shares to $6.50 from a prior $5, as III shares have exceeded our price target. The recent and expected future interest rate cuts, ongoing cost optimization efforts from clients, and the increasing pace of AI adoption will continue to drive ISG’s operating performance, in our view.
Valuation. At our $6.50 price target, III shares would trade at 1.4x our 2026 revenue estimate on an EV/sales basis, 10.7x on an EV/projected 2026 adjusted EBITDA basis, and 19.1x adjusted 2026 earnings. This compares to a peer group that trades at 1.3x, 10x, and 15.8x, respectively, consensus 2026 estimates.
Noble Capital Markets Research Report Friday, September 19, 2025
Companies contained in today’s report:
Ocugen (OCGN)/OUTPERFORM – OCU400 Licensing Agreement For Korea Completed
Ocugen (OCGN/$1.4 | Price Target: $8) Robert LeBoyer rleboyer@noblefcm.com | (212) 896-4625 OCU400 Licensing Agreement For Korea Completed Rating: OUTPERFORM
OCU400 Licensing Completed. Ocugen has announced the completion of a licensing agreement for Korea with Kwangdong Pharmaceutical, Co., Ltd., a diversified pharmaceutical company in the Republic of South Korea. This finalizes the term sheet announced in August with the 2Q25 business update. We have based our revenue expectations on US and Europe, with the Korea agreement adding additional cash upon the signing and downstream royalties.
Agreement Provides Cash, Milestones, and Royalties. The terms provide Ocugen with signing and near-term milestones of $7.5 million. Under the agreement, Ocugen will manufacture and supply OCU400 in exchange for a royalty of 25% of Net Sales plus sales milestones of $1 million for every $15 million in Net Sales, or roughly 32% per $15 million in sales. There are an estimated 7,000 retinitis pigmentosa (RP) patients in Korea, with an estimated market of about $180 million over the first 10 years of sales. We estimate these potential payments at about $65 million to Ocugen.
Noble Capital Markets Research Report Thursday, September 18, 2025
Companies contained in today’s report:
FreightCar America (RAIL)/OUTPERFORM – RAIL Adopts Stockholder Rights Plan Great Lakes Dredge & Dock (GLDD)/OUTPERFORM – A Month of Awards Nicola Mining Inc. (HUSIF)/OUTPERFORM – Updating Our Sum-of-the-Parts Valuation; Increasing PT to US$1.05 or C$1.45
FreightCar America (RAIL/$8.71 | Price Target: $17) Mark Reichman mreichman@noblefcm.com | (561) 999-2272 Hans Baldau hbaldau@noblefcm.com | RAIL Adopts Stockholder Rights Plan Rating: OUTPERFORM
Protecting the interests of all shareholders. Following a review of the company’s current ownership structure, FreightCar America announced that its Board of Directors adopted a limited-duration stockholder rights plan.The rights plan will expire on August 5, 2026, unless terminated earlier by the Board. The Rights Plan is intended to reduce the likelihood that any person or group gains control of the company through open-market accumulation or other tactics without paying an appropriate control premium. The plan also ensures the Board has sufficient time to make informed decisions that protect the interests of the company and all RAIL shareholders.
Increasing 2026 estimates. We have increased our 2026 EBITDA and EPS estimates to $53.6 million and $0.65, respectively, from $53.2 million and $0.64. Our estimate update reflects stronger deliveries in the second half of the year, with a full-year estimate of 4,850 compared with our previous estimate of 4,800. We now expect quarterly deliveries of: 1Q: 982, 2Q: 1,200, 3Q: 1,284, and 4Q: 1,384. Previously we had assumed: 1Q: 1,346, 2Q: 1,275, 3Q: 1,058, and 4Q: 1,121.
Great Lakes Dredge & Dock (GLDD/$11.97 | Price Target: $14) Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262 A Month of Awards Rating: OUTPERFORM
More Business. Over the past month, Great Lakes continued to be awarded additional business, according to the Department of War’s daily contract awards release. In total, the announced awards (and recall not all awards are included in the daily notice), totaled approximately $80 million, demonstrating Great Lakes’ operating capabilities as well as the ongoing demand from the government.
September. Most recently, Great Lakes was awarded a $27.9 million firm-fixed-price contract for the removal and disposal of hopper dredge material. Work will be performed in Venice, Louisiana, with an estimated completion date of April 7, 2026. Fiscal 2025 civil operation and maintenance funds in the amount of $27.9 million were obligated at the time of the award.
Nicola Mining Inc. (HUSIF/$0.78 | Price Target: $1.05) Mark Reichman mreichman@noblefcm.com | (561) 999-2272 Updating Our Sum-of-the-Parts Valuation; Increasing PT to US$1.05 or C$1.45 Rating: OUTPERFORM
New Craigmont mining lease extensions. Nicola Mining Inc. (OTCQB: HUSIF, TSX.V: NIM) secured a five-year extension for six mining leases at its New Craigmont Property from the Ministry of Mining and Critical Minerals. The New Craigmont property encompasses over 10,800 hectares and is adjacent to Teck Resources Limited’s (NYSE: TECK, TSX: TECK.A and TECK.B) Highland Valley Copper Mine, the largest copper mine in Canada. On June 1, Nicola commenced a 4,000-to-5,000-meter diamond drill program at the New Craigmont project. The mining lease extension ensures continuity through the project’s lifecycle.
Shipments of gold concentrate. Earlier this month, Nicola announced that it had commenced shipping gold concentrate via a partnership with Talisker Resources Ltd. (TSX: TSK, OTCQX: TSKFF). Under a Mining, Milling, and Smelting Agreement, the parties sold 707 ounces of gold in August, generating gross proceeds of approximately US$2.3 million. Production benefited from upgrades to the Merritt Mill, including the installation of a large concentrator that optimized free gold recovery.
Noble Capital Markets Research Report Wednesday, September 17, 2025
Companies contained in today’s report:
Commercial Vehicle Group (CVGI)/OUTPERFORM – Activist Shareholder Calls for Strategic Review The GEO Group (GEO)/OUTPERFORM – A Renewal and Two New Contracts V2X (VVX)/OUTPERFORM – Continuing to Lighten Vince Holding Corp. (VNCE)/OUTPERFORM – A Closer Look Supports Our Favorable Outlook
Commercial Vehicle Group (CVGI/$1.94 | Price Target: $4) Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262 Activist Shareholder Calls for Strategic Review Rating: OUTPERFORM
Call For A Review. In an amended Schedule 13D filing, investor Lakeview Opportunity Fund has communicated its views on the Company to the CVG management and Board on opportunities for value creation, including through a review process that explores strategic alternatives, including a sale of the Company.
Who Is Lakeview? With Managing Partner Ari Levy, Lakeview is a concentrated and opportunistic multi-strategy fund. The Fund focuses on underfollowed or ignored market areas, such as small and mid-cap value equities, niche Wall Street vehicles, options, and selective shareholder activism, where Lakeview helps companies, generally trading at significant discounts to private market value, unlock shareholder value.
The GEO Group (GEO/$22.04 | Price Target: $35) Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262 A Renewal and Two New Contracts Rating: OUTPERFORM
Contracts. The Florida Department of Corrections has issued Notices of Intent to Award three managed-only contracts to GEO for the assumption of management and support services at the 985-bed Bay Correctional and Rehabilitation Facility and the 1,884-bed Graceville Correctional and Rehabilitation Facility and for the continuation of management and support services at the 985-bed Moore Haven Correctional and Rehabilitation Facility.
Details. The three contracts are expected to have an initial term of three years, effective July 1, 2026, with unlimited two-year renewal option periods. On a combined basis, the three contracts are expected to generate approximately $130 million in annualized revenues, including approximately $100 million in new incremental annualized revenues for GEO. While the new contracts will not begin until next year, the new awards reflect GEO’s ability to provide the services demanded by its government partners, in our view.
V2X (VVX/$56.62 | Price Target: $72) Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262 Continuing to Lighten Rating: OUTPERFORM
Another Sale. Private-equity firm American Industrial Partners (AIP), through its Vertex Aerospace subsidiary, sold another 1.7 million VVX shares on September 11th. According to the amended 13D filing, the shares were sold at a price of $52.203 per share through a Rule 144 sale. As we have stated in the past, we continue to expect AIP to sell off its V2X holding over time.
Ownership. Following the most recent share sale, AIP’s ownership is now 8,467,286 VVX shares, representing 26.9% of the outstanding common of V2X. This is down from the 18,591,866 VVX shares, or 61.1% of the then outstanding common, held by AIP just after the Vectrus/Vertex merger in July 2022.
Vince Holding Corp. (VNCE/$2.63 | Price Target: $4.5) Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com | (561) 994-5734 Jacob Mutchler jmutchler@noblefcm.com | A Closer Look Supports Our Favorable Outlook Rating: OUTPERFORM
Solid Q2 Results. The company reported Q2 revenue of $73.2 million, modestly beating our estimate of $72.0 million, and adj. EBITDA of $6.7 million, which strongly outperformed our estimate of $0.85 million by 685%. The strong adj. EBITDA was largely driven by management’s ability to execute on its tariff mitigation strategies, resulting in an improved gross profit margin.
Mitigating tariff impacts. Importantly, the company’s gross profit margin increased 300 basis points over the prior year period. The improvement was driven by lower product costing and higher pricing, contributing a 340 basis point improvement, as well as less discounting, which resulted in a 210 basis point improvement. However, the positive margin contributions were softened by tariff and freight impacts of 170 basis points and 100 basis points, respectively.
Noble Capital Markets Research Report Tuesday, September 16, 2025
Companies contained in today’s report:
Cadrenal Therapeutics (CVKD)/OUTPERFORM – Acquisition Builds The Pipeline With Anticoagulants In Development
Cadrenal Therapeutics (CVKD/$13.37 | Price Target: $45) Robert LeBoyer rleboyer@noblefcm.com | (212) 896-4625 Acquisition Builds The Pipeline With Anticoagulants In Development Rating: OUTPERFORM
Cadrenal Acquires Complimentary Cardiovascular Products. Cadrenal announced that it has acquired the anti-coagulant assets of eXlthera Pharmaceuticals. The products include frunexian, a Pre-Phase-2 anti-coagulant drug that inhibits a different step in the coagulation cascade from tecarfarin. Frunexian is in development for different indications and could extend Cadrenal’s product line to additional indications that are not served by current drugs. The acquisition also includes an oral formulation and other research-stage molecules.
Frunexian Has Several Distinguishing Features. The lead product from eXlthera is frunexian, a Factor XIa inhibitor. Most of the DOAC (direct-acting oral anticoagulant) class target Factor Xa and have been developed for long-term use on an outpatient basis. In contrast, frunexian targets Factor XIa, a different component of the coagulation cascade.
Noble Capital Markets Research Report Monday, September 15, 2025
Companies contained in today’s report:
Euroseas (ESEA)/OUTPERFORM – Favorable Time Charter Contract for the M/V Jonathan P Greenwich LifeSciences, Inc. (GLSI)/OUTPERFORM – Fast Track Designation Gives Benefits Now And In The Future Metals & Mining (Metals & Mining) – Insights from the Precious Metals Summit
Euroseas (ESEA/$63.97 | Price Target: $71) Mark Reichman mreichman@noblefcm.com | (561) 999-2272 Hans Baldau hbaldau@noblefcm.com | Favorable Time Charter Contract for the M/V Jonathan P Rating: OUTPERFORM
New time charter contract. Euroseas Ltd. announced a new time charter for the M/V Jonathan P at a gross daily rate of $25,000 for a minimum of 11 months, with an option to extend to a maximum of 12 months at the charterer’s option. The charter will commence on November 17th.
Attractive rate and improved charter coverage. The new contract is in direct continuation of the current charter and represents a $5,000 per day increase. It is expected to contribute approximately $5.7 million in EBITDA over the minimum contract period and raise Euroseas’ charter coverage to 100% for the remainder of 2025 and 70% for 2026.
Greenwich LifeSciences, Inc. (GLSI/$11.23 | Price Target: $45) Robert LeBoyer rleboyer@noblefcm.com | (212) 896-4625 Fast Track Designation Gives Benefits Now And In The Future Rating: OUTPERFORM
GLSI-100 Received Fast Track Designation. Greenwich LifeSciences announced that GLSI-100 has received Fast Track designation from the FDA. In the near term, this designation allows GLSI increased communications and more FDA meetings regarding regulatory requirements for its clinical trial data and use of biomarkers. Once the FLAMINGO-01 trial is completed, GLSI will be eligible to apply for Accelerated Approval and Priority Review, potentially shortening the time to market.
The Designation Mirrors The Trial Entry Criteria. GLSI-100 has received Fast Track Designation from the FDA for the treatment of “patients with HLA-A*02 genotype and HER2-positive breast cancer who have completed treatment with standard of care HER2/neu targeted therapy to improve invasive breast cancer free survival…” This includes the clinical trial entry criteria and endpoints for the current double-blind arms of the trial.
Metals & Mining Mark Reichman mreichman@noblefcm.com | (561) 999-2272 Insights from the Precious Metals Summit
Precious Metals Summit. Noble Capital Markets was well represented at The Precious Metals Summit on September 9-12at the Beaver Creek Resort in Colorado. The conference attracted 1,700 registrants compared to approximately 1,200 in 2024 and included a broad spectrum of mining companies and institutional investors. Collectively, Noble had private meetings with over 70 company management teams during the invitation-only event.
Relative performance. Year-to-date through September 12,mining companies (as measured by the XME) appreciated 51.2% compared to a gain of 11.9% for the S&P 500 index. The VanEck Vectors Gold Miners (GDX) and Junior Gold Miners (GDXJ) ETFs were up 105.7% and 110.6%, respectively. Platinum, silver, and gold futures prices have gained 55.0%, 46.5%, and 39.6%, respectively, while copper, lead, and nickel increased 15.5%, 3.4% and 0.4%. Zinc declined 1.0%. Precious metals have led the charge as Central Banks around the world have added to global gold reserves, along with greater portfolio allocations among investors to precious metals as a hedge against rising inflation, a depreciating U.S. dollar, concerns about government debt, and increased geopolitical uncertainty. Moreover, there has been a desire among some nations to diversify away from the U.S. dollar as the benchmark reserve currency. Gold has become the global asset of choice to preserve value amid declining confidence in fiat currencies and an era of global monetary, geopolitical, and fiscal uncertainty.
Noble Capital Markets Research Report Friday, September 12, 2025
Companies contained in today’s report:
Nutriband (NTRB)/OUTPERFORM – Nutriband Reports 2Q26 With Product Progress SEGG Media Corporation (SEGG)/OUTPERFORM – Leveraging Strong Brands As A Foundation For Growth
Nutriband (NTRB/$6.93 | Price Target: $15) Robert LeBoyer rleboyer@noblefcm.com | (212) 896-4625 Nutriband Reports 2Q26 With Product Progress Rating: OUTPERFORM
AVERSA Fentanyl Is Moving Forward. Nutriband reported results from 2Q26, ended July 31, 2025, with a loss of $2.12 per share. Revenues for 2Q26 were $0.6 million compared with $0.4 million in 2Q25. The increase was attributed to the expansion of contract manufacturing services in the Pocono Pharma division that produces kinesiology tape. Net loss was $2.0 million before Preferred Dividends of $21.8 million, bringing Net Loss Available To Shareholders to $23.8 million. Cash at the end of the quarter was $6.9 million.
Meeting With The FDA Later In September. The company has scheduled a meeting with the FDA on September 18, 2025, to discuss the upcoming Phase 1 clinical trial for AVERSA Fentanyl. This is a Type C Meeting, requested by the company to discuss product development. The meeting agenda includes the CMC (Chemistry, Manufacturing, and Controls) and other aspects of the Investigational New Drug Application (IND) using the 505(b)(2) route of regulatory approval.
SEGG Media Corporation (SEGG/$5.63 | Price Target: $20) Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com | (561) 994-5734 Jacob Mutchler jmutchler@noblefcm.com | Leveraging Strong Brands As A Foundation For Growth Rating: OUTPERFORM
Initiation of coverage with Outperform rating and $20 price target. We are initiating coverage on SEGG Media (NASDAQ: SEGG) with an Outperform rating and $20 target. The company is a development-stage operator of international sports and gaming businesses, anchored by valuable brand assets including Sports.com, Lottery.com, TicketStub.com, and Concerts.com.
Developmental stage. Formed out of Lottery.com’s collapse, SEGG has been reconstituted under new leadership with a defined focus on leveraging globally recognized brands. Management is pursuing an asset-light model combining digital platforms, sports media rights, and consumer venues. We believe this strategy positions SEGG to re-establish credibility and execute a compelling growth plan.
Noble Capital Markets Research Report Thursday, September 11, 2025
Companies contained in today’s report:
Lucky Strike Entertainment (LUCK)/OUTPERFORM – Initiated Debt Refinancing Vince Holding Corp. (VNCE)/OUTPERFORM – Delivered A Strong Quarter
Lucky Strike Entertainment (LUCK/$9.6 | Price Target: $17.5) Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com | (561) 994-5734 Jacob Mutchler jmutchler@noblefcm.com | Initiated Debt Refinancing Rating: OUTPERFORM
Strategic update. On September 10, the company announced that its wholly-owned subsidiary Kingpin Intermediate Holdings LLC initiated a private offering of $700 million in new senior secured notes, due in 2032. Concurrently, the company launched a refinancing of its corporate term loan and revolving credit facility. The company expects the initial amount of the refinanced term loan and revolving credit facility to be $1 billion and $400 million, respectively.
Use of capital. Importantly, the net proceeds from the new debt offering and the refinanced credit facilities are earmarked for retiring the company’s existing term loan, revolving credit facility, and bridge loan, which was used to acquire 58 real estate assets in July. Furthermore, the remaining proceeds will be used to fund the company’s strategic initiatives.
Vince Holding Corp. (VNCE/$1.66 | Price Target: $4.5) Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com | (561) 994-5734 Jacob Mutchler jmutchler@noblefcm.com | Delivered A Strong Quarter Rating: OUTPERFORM
Solid Q2 Results. The company reported Q2 revenue of $73.2 million, modestly beating our estimate of $72.0 million, and adj. EBITDA of $6.7 million, which strongly outperformed our estimate of $0.85 million by 685%, as illustrated in Figure #1 Q2 Results. The strong adj. EBITDA was largely driven by management’s ability to execute on its tariff mitigation strategies, resulting in an improved gross profit margin.
Mitigating tariff impacts. Importantly, the company’s gross profit margin increased 300 basis points over the prior year period. The improvement was driven by lower product costing and higher pricing, contributing a 340 basis point improvement, as well as less discounting, which resulted in a 210 basis point improvement. However, the positive margin contributions were softened by tariff and freight impacts of 170 basis points and 100 basis points, respectively.
Noble Capital Markets Research Report Tuesday, September 9, 2025
Companies contained in today’s report:
Gyre Therapeutics, Inc (GYRE)/OUTPERFORM – Positioned To End YE2025 With Strong Products and Pipeline Development
Gyre Therapeutics, Inc (GYRE/$7.89 | Price Target: $20) Robert LeBoyer rleboyer@noblefcm.com | (212) 896-4625 Positioned To End YE2025 With Strong Products and Pipeline Development Rating: OUTPERFORM
Gyre Has Made Strong YTD Progress. Gyre has made significant progress during the first three quarters of FY2025 that we believe positions the company for a strong year-end. These developments include continued sales growth from two products introduced in 1H25, an application for Hydronidone approval in China, and the start of a Phase 2 clinical trial for Hydronidone in the US. The company also announced the appointment of Dr. Han Ying as the new CEO, a member of the Board of Directors since January 2025.
Hydronidone Data Showed Efficacy and Proof of Concept. The pivotal Phase 3 trial testing Hydronidone in Chronic Hepatitis B-associated fibrosis has met its primary endpoint of fibrosis regression. The study was conducted in China, and an application for approval by the NMPA (the Chinese regulatory authority) is planned for 3Q2025. Hydronidone has received Breakthrough Therapy Designation, allowing for accelerated review. We expect approval in 2H2026, followed by launch in FY2027.
Noble Capital Markets Research Report Monday, September 8, 2025
Companies contained in today’s report:
Bit Digital (BTBT)/OUTPERFORM – Monthly Ethereum Treasury and Staking Metrics FAT Brands (FAT)/OUTPERFORM – Return of the CEO
Bit Digital (BTBT/$2.51 | Price Target: $5.5) Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262 Monthly Ethereum Treasury and Staking Metrics Rating: OUTPERFORM
Data. Bit Digital reported its monthly Ethereum (“ETH”) treasury and staking metrics for the month of August 2025. As of August 31, 2025, the Company held approximately 121,252 ETH, including approximately 15,084 ETH and ETH-equivalents held in an externally managed fund, and approximately 5,094 ETH presented on an as-converted basis from LsETH using the Coinbase conversion rate as of 8/31/25. The Company’s total staked ETH was approximately 105,031 as of August 31st.
Yield and Value. Staking operations generated approximately 249 ETH in rewards during August, representing an annualized yield of approximately 2.94%. Based on a closing ETH price of $4,391.91, as of August 31, 2025, the market value of the Company’s ETH holdings was approximately $532.5 million.
FAT Brands (FAT/$1.88 | Price Target: $15) Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262 Return of the CEO Rating: OUTPERFORM
Return. FAT Brands announced the return of Andrew Wiederhorn as Chief Executive Officer. Recall, Mr. Wiederhorn had stepped down from his CEO role in May 2023 when the U.S. Department of Justice filed fraud and tax evasion charges against Mr. Wiederhorn. With the criminal charges now dropped, Mr. Wiederhorn will resume leading the Company he founded. Current co-CEOs Ken Kuick and Taylor Wiederhorn will return to their original roles as CFO and Chief Development Officer, respectively.
Our View. We view the re-appointment of Mr. Wiederhorn as CEO as a positive, although in his role as Chairman of the Board and consultant over the past two years, we believe Mr. Wiederhorn was still a guiding force for the Company. We believe the Company will continue to focus on its strategic priorities: organic expansion, targeted acquisitions, increasing the manufacturing facility’s capacity, and focusing on the balance sheet.
Noble Capital Markets Research Report Friday, September 5, 2025
Companies contained in today’s report:
1-800-Flowers.com (FLWS)/MARKET PERFORM – A Refocused Growth Strategy
1-800-Flowers.com (FLWS/$5.18) Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com | (561) 994-5734 Jacob Mutchler jmutchler@noblefcm.com | A Refocused Growth Strategy Rating: MARKET PERFORM
Weak Q4 results. Fiscal Q4 revenues declined 6.7% to $336.6 million, roughly in line with our $338.0 million estimate. Adj. EBITDA loss of $24.2 million was larger than our loss estimate of $20.5 million. The quarter benefited by the Easter shift from Q3 a year earlier into Q4 this year. Gross margins declined 290 basis points from the year earlier quarter, in part, due to a highly promotional sales environment.
Reimagining its business. Management indicated that it is seeking an omnichannel approach to target customers, including opening storefronts, and broadening its reach beyond its own e-commerce sites. The company plans to lower its operating costs beyond the earlier announced $40 million in annualized costs, of which $17 million of annualized costs reductions were achieved in Q4.
Noble Capital Markets Research Report Wednesday, September 3, 2025
Companies contained in today’s report:
Century Lithium Corp. (CYDVF)/OUTPERFORM – Recent Financing Provides Financial Flexibility to Advance Angel Island GDEV (GDEV)/OUTPERFORM – Operating Metrics Gain Positive Momentum
Century Lithium Corp. (CYDVF/$0.19 | Price Target: $2.35) Mark Reichman mreichman@noblefcm.com | (561) 999-2272 Recent Financing Provides Financial Flexibility to Advance Angel Island Rating: OUTPERFORM
LIFE offering closed. Century Lithium closed the second and final tranche of its financing under the Listed Issuer Financing Exemption (LIFE). Together with the initial closing, the company issued a total of 15,785,833 units for aggregate gross proceeds of C$4,735,749.90. Each unit consists of one common share and one common share purchase warrant. Each warrant entitles the holder to purchase one common share at an exercise price of C$0.45 for a period of 60 months following the issuance of the units.
Use of net proceeds. Net proceeds from the financing will be used to complete an updated feasibility study for the company’s Angel Island Lithium Project, complete the project’s Plan of Operations, work towards National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) compliance, and fund general working capital.
GDEV (GDEV/$15.53 | Price Target: $70) Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com | (561) 994-5734 Jacob Mutchler jmutchler@noblefcm.com | Operating Metrics Gain Positive Momentum Rating: OUTPERFORM
Strong Q2 Results. The company reported strong Q2 results. Revenue of $119.9 million, and adj. EBITDA of $20.7 million, both easily surpassed our estimates of $97.0 million and $7.0 million, respectively, as illustrated in Figure #1 Q2 Results. Notably, management attributed the strong quarter to an increase in consumable in-app purchases, which are recognized during the quarter rather than being deferred over the average player life cycle of 28 months.
Key operating metrics. Bookings and monthly paying users (MPU) decreased by 14% and 18%, respectively, compared to the prior year period, but the decrease was expected as the company is focused on the quality of gameplay and not over-monetizing its user base. However, the company is showing signs of returning to growth as both average bookings per paying user (ABPPU) and MPUs increased sequentially from Q1. ABPPU increased from $90 in Q1’25 to $93 in Q2’25, and MPUs increased from 284,000 to 312,000 over the same period.
Noble Capital Markets Research Report Tuesday, September 2, 2025
Companies contained in today’s report:
MustGrow Biologics Corp. (MGROF)/MARKET PERFORM – Reports 2Q25 Results; Sold Out of TerraSante Nicola Mining Inc. (HUSIF)/OUTPERFORM – Early Innings of a Compelling Growth Story
MustGrow Biologics Corp. (MGROF/$0.55) Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262 Reports 2Q25 Results; Sold Out of TerraSante Rating: MARKET PERFORM
2Q25 Results. MustGrow reported record second quarter revenue of $2.8 million in 2Q25, compared to no revenue in the same period last year. Revenue was driven by the NexusBioAg segment, although TerraSante sales amounted to $318,832. Gross margin improved to 20.9%, up from 14.3% in the first quarter of 2025. MustGrow recorded a net loss of $1.1 million, or a loss of $0.02/sh in 2Q25, compared to a net loss of $0.96 million, or a loss of $0.02/sh, in 2Q24.
TerraSante. Initial sales ramp up of TerraSante has begun, with $318,832 of sales in the quarter, or triple its full year 2024 sales. MustGrow sold out of its TerraSante inventory in the U.S during the quarter. The improved TerraSante sales were a key driver in gross margin improvement. MustGrow is working on producing more TerraSante to meet demand.
Nicola Mining Inc. (HUSIF/$0.55 | Price Target: $0.75) Mark Reichman mreichman@noblefcm.com | (561) 999-2272 Early Innings of a Compelling Growth Story Rating: OUTPERFORM
Second quarter financial results. Nicola Mining Inc. (OTCQB: HUSIF, TSX.V: NIM) reported net income of C$1,181,286, or C$0.01 per share, compared to a net loss of C$2,519,885, or C$(0.02) per share, during the second quarter of 2024. We had projected a net loss of C$1,077,068, or C$(0.01) per share. The variance to our estimate was mostly due to a revaluation gain on marketable securities. We increased our 2025 net income and EPS estimates to C$11,004,631 and C$0.06 per share, respectively, from C$7,582,855 and C$0.04. We updated our commodity grade assumptions based on actual April and May pricing and CME futures settlements for the remainder of 2025 and 2026.
Merritt Mill is ramping up production. With 200 tonnes per day of capacity, Nicola’s Merritt Mill is transitioning to full commercial production and cash flow generation. Nicola expects to utilize 100% of the mill’s capacity by the end of the third quarter. In early July, the Merritt Mill began processing ore received from Talisker Resources’ (OTCQX: TSKFF, TSX: TSK) Bralorne project. In addition to processing ore for Talisker, ore is expected to be received during the third quarter from Blue Lagoon’s (OTCQB: BLAGF, CSE: BLLG) Dome Mountain gold mine, and from the Dominion Creek Gold Project, of which Nicola owns a 75% economic interest.
Noble Capital Markets Research Report Friday, August 29, 2025
Companies contained in today’s report:
Lucky Strike Entertainment (LUCK)/OUTPERFORM – Throws A Curve Ball, But Delivers A Strike!
Lucky Strike Entertainment (LUCK/$10.46 | Price Target: $17.5) Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com | (561) 994-5734 Jacob Mutchler jmutchler@noblefcm.com | Throws A Curve Ball, But Delivers A Strike! Rating: OUTPERFORM
A solid finish to the year. The company beat our fiscal Q4 revenue and adj. EBITDA estimates, culminating in a transitional fiscal full year 2025 with improving revenue trends. Total Q4 revenues of $318.0 million, beat our $292.0 million estimate, and adj. EBITDA of $88.7 million was better than our $83.0 million estimate.
Improving revenue trends. Same store revenues, while down 4.1%, reflecting sequential monthly improvement from the down 6% in April, negative 3% in May and flat in June. Management indicated that same store revenue trends were up over 1% in July.
Noble Capital Markets Research Report Wednesday, August 27, 2025
Companies contained in today’s report:
V2X (VVX)/OUTPERFORM – More Potential Opportunity
V2X (VVX/$58 | Price Target: $72) Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262 More Potential Opportunity Rating: OUTPERFORM
Another Seat. V2X, through its Vertex Aerospace unit, was awarded a seat on the Cooperative Threat Reduction (CTR) program. CTR is a combined $3.5 billion ID/IQ multiple award vehicle, according to the Department of Defense daily awards notice. This award adds to V2X’s strong opportunity potential, in our view.
CTR. CTR is a ten-year cost-plus-fixed-fee, cost, cost-plus-award-fee, cost-plus-incentive-fee, firm-fixed-price, firm-fixed-price-level of effort, and time-and-materials contract. This contract will deliver a broad range of services and products to provide sustainable chemical, biological, radiological, and nuclear threat reduction capabilities to partner nations. The CTR Program partners with willing countries to reduce the threat from weapons of mass destruction and related materials, technologies, facilities, and expertise.
Noble Capital Markets Research Report Tuesday, August 26, 2025
Companies contained in today’s report:
Euroseas (ESEA)/OUTPERFORM – Two New Vessels to be Delivered in 2028 Great Lakes Dredge & Dock (GLDD)/OUTPERFORM – Some Additional Work & Delivery of the Amelia Island The GEO Group (GEO)/OUTPERFORM – Some Estate Planning Moves
Euroseas (ESEA/$62.04 | Price Target: $71) Mark Reichman mreichman@noblefcm.com | (561) 999-2272 Hans Baldau hbaldau@noblefcm.com | Two New Vessels to be Delivered in 2028 Rating: OUTPERFORM
Two new orders. Euroseas Ltd. executed a contract for the construction of two modern fuel-efficient 4,300 twenty-foot-equivalent unit container vessels that are expected to be delivered in March and May of 2028. The vessels will cost approximately $59.25 million each and will be financed with a combination of debt and equity. Currently, Euroseas has a fleet of 22 vessels, including 15 feeder containerships and seven intermediate containerships, with a cargo capacity of 67,494 twenty-foot equivalent units (TEU). After the sale of the M/V Marcos V and the delivery of four intermediate containerships in 2027 and 2028, Euroseas’ fleet will consist of 25 vessels with a total carrying capacity of 78,344 TEU.
Commitment to growth and modernization. The most recent orders demonstrate Euroseas’ commitment to growing and modernizing its fleet. Management believes that investing in eco intermediate-sized containerships, a segment with a low orderbook and an aging existing fleet, will enhance the company’s competitive position, enable it to capitalize on future market opportunities, and create value for shareholders.
Great Lakes Dredge & Dock (GLDD/$11.77 | Price Target: $14) Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262 Some Additional Work & Delivery of the Amelia Island Rating: OUTPERFORM
Some Additional Work. According to the daily Department of Defense contract awards notice, Great Lakes continues to receive additional work, adding to an already full scorecard. The recent contract wins highlight the strength of the Company, as well as the overall bid environment, in our view.
Amelia Island. Last week, Great Lakes announced the delivery of its newest Jones Act-compliant hopper dredge, the Amelia Island. This completes the Company’s dredge newbuild program.The Amelia Island is specially designed for efficient and safe operations along shallow and narrow waters throughout all U.S. coastlines. With a full schedule for 2025 and 2026, the dredge will be going immediately to work.
The GEO Group (GEO/$21.03 | Price Target: $35) Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262 Some Estate Planning Moves Rating: OUTPERFORM
Stock Sales. After the market closed yesterday, The GEO Group Executive Chairman George Zoley filed a Form 4 with the Securities and Exchange Commission reporting the sale of GEO shares. We would note the sales were in connection with pre-arranged estate planning that ultimately will result in the sale of 230,918 GEO shares held by Mr. Zoley or trusts held for the benefit of his children.
Details. According to the filing, a total of 72,038 GEO shares were sold on 8/21 and 8/25 at prices ranging from $21.16-$21.72 per share. An additional 75,000 shares were reported sold for estate planning purposes on a Form 4 filed August 20th, with these shares sold at prices ranging from $20.93-$21.72 per share.
Oversubscribed private placement. Aurania raised gross proceeds of C$1,906,355.76 with the issuance of 15,886,298 units at C$0.12 per unit. Each unit is composed of one common share and one common share purchase warrant that entitles the holder to purchase one common share at an exercise price of C$0.25 for 24 months following the date of issuance. Dr. Keith Barron, CEO and director, acquired 5,741,666 units during the offering.
Use of proceeds. Aurania intends to use the net proceeds primarily for exploration programs and general working capital purposes. In our view, the oversubscribed private placement significantly enhances the company’s financial flexibility.
Nicola Mining Inc. (HUSIF/$0.17 | Price Target: $0.75) Mark Reichman mreichman@noblefcm.com | (561) 999-2272 Pivoting to Revenue and Cash Flow Growth Rating: OUTPERFORM
Accelerated warrant exercise. Nicola Mining Inc. (TSX.V: NIM, OTCQB: HUSIF, FSE: HLIA) reported the accelerated exercise of 2,019,477 share purchase warrants at C$0.40 each, generating C$807,791 in gross proceeds. On July 21, Nicola Mining announced that it was electing to accelerate the expiry of all the outstanding common share purchase warrants originally issued under a financing that closed in March 2025.
Merritt Mill is ramping up production. With 200 tonnes per day of capacity, Nicola’s Merritt Mill is transitioning to full commercial production and cash flow generation. Nicola expects to utilize 100% of the mill’s capacity by the end of the third quarter. In early July, the Merritt Mill began processing ore received from Talisker Resources’ Bralorne project. In addition to processing ore for Talisker, ore is expected to be received during the third quarter from Blue Lagoon’s Dome Mountain gold mine, and from the Dominion Creek Gold Project, of which Nicola owns a 75% economic interest. Cash milling margins of 15% to 18% are expected at full capacity.
SelectQuote (SLQT/$2.59 | Price Target: $7) Patrick McCann, CFA pmccann@noblefcm.com | (314) 724-6266 Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com | (561) 994-5734 Pharmacy Strength Highlights Revenue Stability Rating: OUTPERFORM
Fiscal Q4 beat. SelectQuote posted Q4 revenue of $345.1 million and adj. EBITDA of $2.7 million, beating expectations. Agent productivity improved with AI integration and workflow streamlining. The company navigated Medicare enrollment headwinds by reallocating resources efficiently, demonstrating continued operating discipline across its core platform.
SelectRx paying off. Healthcare Services revenue rose 49% year-over-year to $210.6 million with membership hitting 108,000, up from 82,000 the year prior. Notably segment adj. EBITDA margins of 5.5% are expected to improve throughout fiscal 2026 based on efficiency gains from the Kansas facility and customer maturity.
Government Solutions Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262 An ISAP RFP
ISAP RFP. In a somewhat surprising development, Immigration and Customs Enforcement has issued a request for proposals for the fifth iteration of its Intensive Supervision Appearance Program (ISAP), with a plan to award a potential $2 billion indefinite-delivery/indefinite-quantity contract. Consensus expectations were that an RFP would be released more towards the end of 2025.
Details. The contract will have a maximum performance period of two years, divided into two one-year ordering periods, a significant change from the prior 5-year performance periods. Responses are due by September 1st, a much shorter period than the 6 weeks from the 2019 contract. The contract is scheduled to begin on October 1, 2025.
Noble Capital Markets Research Report Thursday, August 21, 2025
Companies contained in today’s report:
Newsmax (NMAX)/OUTPERFORM – Riding The Red Wave
Newsmax (NMAX/$12.98 | Price Target: $23) Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com | (561) 994-5734 Patrick McCann, CFA pmccann@noblefcm.com | (314) 724-6266 Riding The Red Wave Rating: OUTPERFORM
Initiating coverage with an Outperform rating and $23 price target. Newsmax (NYSE: NMAX) is a conservative media company with growing reach across cable and digital platforms. Its national cable channel has evolved into the fourth most-watched cable news network in the U.S, with a loyal core audience and full distribution across major MVPDs and streaming platforms. We believe the company is positioned to unlock a multi-year monetization opportunity across both advertising and affiliate fee revenue streams.
Loyal audience and diversified revenue model. Newsmax serves a highly engaged, politically right-of-center audience that has historically been underserved by mainstream outlets. This loyal viewership has enabled the company to scale both advertising and distribution revenues while maintaining low customer acquisition costs. Since 2019, revenue has grown more than 300%, fueled by steady digital expansion and greater platform reach.
Noble Capital Markets Research Report Wednesday, August 20, 2025
Companies contained in today’s report:
Greenwich LifeSciences, Inc. (GLSI)/OUTPERFORM – Initiating Coverage With An Outperform Rating and $45 Price Target Snail (SNAL)/OUTPERFORM – Building The Foundation For StableCoin
Greenwich LifeSciences, Inc. (GLSI/$11.47 | Price Target: $45) Robert LeBoyer rleboyer@noblefcm.com | (212) 896-4625 Initiating Coverage With An Outperform Rating and $45 Price Target Rating: OUTPERFORM
Greenwich LifeSciences Is Developing An Immunotherapy For Prevention Of Breast Cancer Recurrence. Greenwich LifeSciences is a biotechnology company developing GSLI-100, an immunotherapy based on HER2/neu. GLSI-100 completed four clinical trials that lead to the design of the current Phase 3 Flamingo-01 trial. The trial is currently enrolling patients in the US and Europe.
GLSI-100 Is Directed At A Validated Target. GLSI-100 contains GP2, a segment of the HER2/neu (HER2, or human epidermal growth factor receptor 2) receptor found on the surface of breast cancer cells. HER2 is overexpressed in several common cancers, with an estimated 75% of all breast cancers expressing HER2 at some level. Monoclonal antibodies targeting HER2 are the current standard of care for treating certain types of breast cancer.
Snail (SNAL/$0.98 | Price Target: $3.5) Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com | (561) 994-5734 Jacob Mutchler jmutchler@noblefcm.com | Building The Foundation For StableCoin Rating: OUTPERFORM
Disappointing Q2. Total company revenues of $22.2 million increased nearly 3% over the prior year earlier period, but was lighter than our $26.0 million estimate. The variance was largely attributable to quality issues of its Aquatica DLC and subsequent disappointing sales. Adj. EBITDA loss of $2.2 million was higher than our slightly positive adj. EBITDA expectation.
Stronger finish to the year expected. While we believe that the company’s product roadmap should significantly improve revenue performance, particularly in Q4, we are lowering our second half and full year 2025 revenue and adj. EBITDA expectations. Based on a 2025 lower revenue base, we are tweaking our 2026 estimates lower, as well.
Noble Capital Markets Research Report Tuesday, August 19, 2025
Companies contained in today’s report:
CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW)/OUTPERFORM – A CEO Transition Hemisphere Energy (HMENF)/OUTPERFORM – Solid Second Quarter Performance Versus Our Estimates InPlay Oil (IPOOF)/OUTPERFORM – Outsized Production, Debt Reduction, and Strategic Alignment Drive Outlook Tonix Pharmaceuticals (TNXP)/OUTPERFORM – Webcast Details Product Attributes and Potential Market
CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW/$20.67 | Price Target: $28) Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262 A CEO Transition Rating: OUTPERFORM
A Transition. CoreCivic announced President and COO Patrick Swindle will succeed current CEO Damon Hininger effective January 1, 2026. As part of the transition, Mr. Hininger and the Company have entered into a transition agreement with an effective date of January 1, 2026. Under the transition agreement, Mr. Hininger will work closely with both Mr. Swindle and Mr. Emkes, as a Special Advisor to the CEO and Chairman, to ensure a smooth transition. Mr. Hininger will resign from CoreCivic’s Board effective January 1, 2026, with Mr. Swindle appointed to fill the vacancy.
Patrick Swindle. Mr. Swindle joined CoreCivic in 2007 as Managing Director, Treasury, and has held numerous positions, including Vice President, Strategic Development; Senior Vice President, Operations; Executive Vice President and Chief Corrections Officer; and Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, before being promoted to President and Chief Operating Officer in January 2025. Prior to joining CoreCivic, Mr. Swindle spent ten years in equity research in the equity capital markets divisions of SunTrust Equitable Securities, Raymond James Financial Services, Inc., and Avondale Partners, LLC.
Hemisphere Energy (HMENF/$1.4 | Price Target: $2.5) Mark Reichman mreichman@noblefcm.com | (561) 999-2272 Hans Baldau hbaldau@noblefcm.com | Solid Second Quarter Performance Versus Our Estimates Rating: OUTPERFORM
Second quarter financial results. Hemisphere reported oil and gas revenue of C$24.4 million in the second quarter, down 15.7% from the prior year period but ahead of our estimate of C$20.9 million. Net income was C$7.1 million, or C$0.07 per share, compared to C$10.4 million, or C$0.10 per share, last year, and above our forecast of C$5.8 million, or C$0.06 per share. Average daily production rose to 3,826 boe/d, up from 3,628 in Q2 2024 and modestly ahead of our estimate of 3,800 boe/d. The company realized an average sales price of C$70.06/boe, compared to C$87.65/boe in the prior year quarter. Adjusted funds flow totaled C$10.3 million, or C$0.10 per diluted share, versus C$13.6 million, or C$0.14 per diluted share, a year ago. This result exceeded our estimate of C$8.9 million, or C$0.09 per diluted share.
Updating estimates. Given the stronger-than-expected second quarter, we are raising our 2025 revenue forecast to C$97.7 million from C$95.0 million. Our operating expense assumption has been modestly increased to C$38.8 million from C$38.4 million. We now project net income of C$29.6 million, or C$0.30 per share, up from our prior forecast of C$28.7 million, or C$0.28 per share. Adjusted funds flow is expected to reach C$43.3 million, compared to our earlier estimate of C$42.2 million. For 2026, we forecast revenue of C$93.7 million, net income of C$27.5 million, or C$0.28 per share, and AFF of C$39.6 million, reflecting our expectation of a softer commodity price environment relative to 2025.
InPlay Oil (IPOOF/$8.11 | Price Target: $15) Mark Reichman mreichman@noblefcm.com | (561) 999-2272 Hans Baldau hbaldau@noblefcm.com | Outsized Production, Debt Reduction, and Strategic Alignment Drive Outlook Rating: OUTPERFORM
Second quarter financial results. InPlay Oil reported Q2 2025 revenue of C$91.6 million, above our estimate of C$87.9 million, driven by stronger-than-expected production of 20,401 boe/d compared to our forecast of 19,000 boe/d. The company recorded a net loss of C$3.2 million, versus net income of C$5.4 million in the prior-year period. On an adjusted basis, which excludes C$10.1 million in transaction and integration costs and reflects C$4.9 million in hedging gains, net income was C$2.0 million. Adjusted funds flow totaled C$40.1 million, or C$1.49 per share, ahead of our forecast of C$38.6 million, or C$1.38 per share.
2025 Guidance. Despite strong second-quarter production and AFF growth, management maintained full-year 2025 guidance across all metrics, noting that output is now expected to reach the upper end of the range. With oil prices still subdued, the company remains focused on maximizing free cash flow, materially reducing debt, and returning capital to shareholders, while benefiting from robust post-acquisition production levels.
Management Discussed Plans For Marketing and Launch. Following the FDA approval of Tonmya (or TNXP-102 SL) on August 15, Tonix held a webcast to discuss plans for marketing and sales in advance of its 4Q25 launch. The presentations included a discussion of fibromyalgia, the market, and the Tonmya product label. We believe the clinical data shows meaningful improvements for several important symptoms.
Fibromyalgia Market Is Large and Underestimated. The fibromyalgia population is estimated at about 10 million diagnosed patients. Patients live with symptoms for an average of 7 years before diagnosis, including bodily pain (the most common). Other symptoms include fatigue, insomnia, anxiety, “brain fog”. and depression. Many patients are on multiple drugs, taking an average of 2.7 drugs at any given time. As a non-opioid, non-habit forming drug, we believe Tonmya can meet the need for an effective therapy.
Noble Capital Markets Research Report Monday, August 18, 2025
Companies contained in today’s report:
AZZ (AZZ)/OUTPERFORM – Analyst Day Highlights Bit Digital (BTBT)/OUTPERFORM – Second Quarter Results Comstock (LODE)/MARKET PERFORM – De-Risking the Company by Raising Funds to Reduce Debt and Fund Growth Tonix Pharmaceuticals (TNXP)/OUTPERFORM – TNX-102 SL Receives FDA Approvals As Expected QuoteMedica Inc. (QMCI)/OUTPERFORM – Improved Revenue Trends
AZZ (AZZ/$112.63 | Price Target: $125) Mark Reichman mreichman@noblecapitalmarkets.com | (561)999-2272 Analyst Day Highlights Rating: OUTPERFORM
Analyst Day. AZZ hosted an analyst day that included a tour of the company’s new Precoat Metals facility in Washington, Missouri. Mr. Tom Ferguson, CEO, provided opening remarks followed by presentations by Mr. Kurt Russell, Chief Strategy Officer, Mr. Todd Bella, Senior Vice President, Metal Coatings, Mr. Jeff Vellines, President and Chief Operating Officer, Precoat Metals, and Mr. Jason Crawford, Chief Financial Officer.
Organic and acquired growth. The company’s three-year goals include generating over two billion dollars in sales in fiscal year 2028 compared to its trailing twelve-month sales of $1.6 billion. Organic growth is expected to exceed GDP growth by a factor of two, and AZZ is targeting acquisitions that strengthen both of its business segments. Management has identified over 68 potential acquisition opportunities, with 13 under evaluation.The company recently acquired Canton Galvanizing, LLC in July, which expanded AZZ’s metal coating capabilities in the U.S. Midwest.
Bit Digital (BTBT/$3.01 | Price Target: $5.50) Joe Gomes jgomes@noblecapitalmarkets.com | (561)999-2262 Second Quarter Results Rating: OUTPERFORM
Transformation. Since the end of 1Q25, Bit Digital has transformed the business: first moving to an Ethereum treasury and staking platform, and then the WhiteFiber IPO. The focus going forward at Bit Digital is to build one of the largest institutional balance sheets in the public markets and generate scalable staking yield. We expect the WhiteFiber holding to be liquidated over time to fund this goal.
2Q25 Results. Revenue of $25.7 million fell from $29.0 million in 2Q24, was flat sequentially, and in-line with our $25.4 million estimate. The key difference was Mining revenue, which fell to $6.6 million from $16.1 million last year. Cloud Services revenue rose to $16.6 million from $12.5 million in 2Q24. Higher one-time G&A costs and lower gross margins across most business lines, offset by a $27.1 million gain on Digital Assets, resulted in operating income of $13.9 million, compared to an operating loss of $11.5 million in 2Q24, which was impacted by a $11.5 million loss on Digital Assets. The Company reported net income of $14.9 million, or $0.07/sh, versus a net loss of $12 million, or $0.09/sh last year.
Comstock (LODE/$2.33) Mark Reichman mreichman@noblecapitalmarkets.com | (561)999-2272 De-Risking the Company by Raising Funds to Reduce Debt and Fund Growth Rating: MARKET PERFORM
Second quarter financial results. Comstock reported a net loss of $7.8 million or $(0.27) per share, compared to a net loss of $8.6 million or $(0.60) per share during the prior year period. Revenue decreased to $339.5 thousand compared to $434.8 thousand during the prior year period. The loss from operations widened to $7.7 million compared to $5.6 million during the second quarter of 2024 due to higher selling, general, and administrative expenses that increased to $4.6 million from $2.8 million. Relative to our net loss estimate of $5.0 million, or $(0.16) per share, revenues were below our estimates, while operating expenses were higher.
Recent financing. Comstock raised gross proceeds of ~$30.0 million with a public offering of 13.3 million shares priced at $2.25 per share. The net proceeds will be used to fund capital expenditures associated with commercializing its first industry-scale facility for Comstock Metals, development expenses, and general corporate purposes, including the repayment of existing debt. As of August 14, LODE shares outstanding were 49.3 million compared to 32.4 million as of June 30. The underwriters have a 30-day option to purchase up to an additional 2.0 million shares to cover over-allotments, which we assume will be exercised.
Tonix Pharmaceuticals (TNXP\$51.35 | Price Target: $70) Robert LeBoyer rleboyer@noblecapitalmarkets.com | (212) 896-4625 TNX-102 SL Receives FDA Approval As Expected Rating: OUTPERFORM
Tonix Announced The Approval of TNX-102 SL. As we had anticipated, TNX-102 SL (Tonmya) has received approval for the treatment of fibromyalgia. A conference call is planned for 8:30 am on August 17. Further details on the marketing program and plans for product launch are expect to be discussed. First sales are expected by 4Q25.
TNX-102 SL Addresses Numerous Symptoms of Fibromyalgia. The NDA (New Drug Application) was based on two Phase 3 studies. The primary endpoint was a reduction in pain scores at 14 days compared with placebo. After three months about 30% of the patients had a clinically meaningful reduction in pain compared with placebo. The studies also met all six of the secondary endpoints with high levels of statistically significance.
QuoteMedia Inc. (QMCI\$0.17 | Price Target: $0.23) Michael Kupinski mkupinksi@noblecapitalmarkets.com | (561) 994-5734 Improved Revenue Trends Rating: OUTPERFORM
Mixed Q2 Results. The company reported improved Q2 revenue trend, with revenue growing 5% over the prior year period to $4.9 million, marking the highest quarterly revenue in the company’s history and sequential improvement from 3% in Q1. Adj. EBITDA of $0.1 million in Q2 was lower than our estimate of $0.4 million, largely due to increased development costs, as illustrated in Figure #1 Q2 Results. In our view, the company’s business pipeline appears to be improving and revenue should gain momentum throughout the year and into 2026.
Capitalizing less development costs. Notably, the company capitalized less development costs in Q2 than in the prior year, leading to more development costs expensed in Q2. While this impacted Q2, we believe that margins should improve as the company begins to recognize the revenue from the new business “wins” in future quarters. Furthermore, the company will be expensing development costs at a similar rate to Q2 moving forward.
Noble Capital Markets Research Report Friday, August 15, 2025
Companies contained in today’s report:
Cocrystal Pharma (COCP)/OUTPERFORM – 2Q25 Reported With Norovirus and Influenza Product Updates Conduent (CNDT)/OUTPERFORM – New Business Momentum Picking Up CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW)/OUTPERFORM – Another New Contract DLH Holdings (DLHC)/OUTPERFORM – Ongoing Work with NIH Euroseas (ESEA)/OUTPERFORM – Second Quarter Financial Results Exceed Expectations; Increasing Estimates Unicycive Therapeutics (UNCY)/OUTPERFORM – Actions Taken To Address Issues That Caused The CRL Xcel Brands (XELB)/OUTPERFORM – Influencer Brands Set To Launch
Cocrystal Pharma (COCP/$1.68 | Price Target: $10) Robert LeBoyer rleboyer@noblefcm.com | (212) 896-4625 2Q25 Reported With Norovirus and Influenza Product Updates Rating: OUTPERFORM
Antivirals Continue To Move Forward. Cocrystal reported 2Q25 loss of $2.1 million or $(0.20) per share. During 2Q, the company presented data from its CDI-988 Phase 1 study in norovirus. Separately, CDI-988 has demonstrated inhibition of multiple strains, including GII.17 and GII.4 that have caused norovirus outbreaks over the past 2 years. The Phase 2a human challenge study testing CC-42344 in influenza has been extended. CC-42344 has shown inhibition of several strains of avian influenza that have caused public health concerns. Cash on June 30, 2025 was $4.8 million.
Phase 1b Is Planned For CDI-988 In Norovirus. Data from a Phase 1 trial showing safety and efficacy of CDI-988 was presented in August. The data show that CDI-988 was safe and effective through a range of doses in a single-ascending (SAD) and multiple-ascending (MAD) dose cohorts. A Phase 1b study testing CDI-988 as both treatment and prophylaxis for norovirus is planned for later in FY2025.
Conduent (CNDT/$2.49 | Price Target: $7) Patrick McCann, CFA pmccann@noblefcm.com | (314) 724-6266 Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com | (561) 994-5734 New Business Momentum Picking Up Rating: OUTPERFORM
Solid Q2 results. Q2 revenue of $754 million aligned with our estimate, while adj. EBITDA of $37 million exceeded our forecast of $33 million. All three segments delivered sequential, new business, Annual Contract Value (ACV ) growth, a key forward indicator. This sales momentum supports our view that Conduent is on track to return to top-line growth in 2026.
Big Beautiful Bill may present upside. We view the recently passed “Big Beautiful Bill” as a potential tailwind for Conduent’s Government segment. The legislation tightens eligibility enforcement for public benefits, which may drive increased demand for outsourced eligibility verification and fraud detection, which are core capabilities for the company.
CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW/$20.46 | Price Target: $28) Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262 Another New Contract Rating: OUTPERFORM
West Tennessee. As anticipated, CoreCivic announced another new contract with U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE). Through an intergovernmental services agreement (IGSA) between the City of Mason, Tennessee, and ICE, CoreCivic will resume operations at the Company’s 600-bed West Tennessee Detention Facility, a facility that has been idle since September 2021.
Details. The IGSA expires in August 2030 and may be further extended through bilateral modification. The agreement provides for a fixed monthly payment plus an incremental per diem payment based on detainee populations. Total annual revenue once the facility is fully activated is expected to be approximately $30 million to $35 million, with margins consistent with the CoreCivic Safety segment.
DLH Holdings (DLHC/$5.88 | Price Target: $10) Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262 Ongoing Work with NIH Rating: OUTPERFORM
Task Order. DLH has been awarded a task order valued at up to $46.9 million to continue providing information technology services, including enterprise IT systems management, cyber security, software development, cloud computing, and more, to the National Institutes of Health’s Office of Information Technology (“OIT”).
Details. The task order includes a base period and multiple options aggregating to a three-year period of performance. Through this award, DLH will leverage a comprehensive suite of digital transformation and cyber security solutions to support approximately 7,000 end-customers. As part of this new effort, DLH will design and implement a cloud migration strategy built on partnerships with leading commercial CSP vendors, including Azure, AWS, and Google.
Second quarter financial results. Total net revenues for the second quartertotaled $57.2 million, a 2.5% decrease year-over-year, but slightly higher than our estimate of $56.7 million. Adjusted EBITDA and EPS were $39.3 million and $4.20, respectively, above our estimates of $38.5 million and $3.87. The better-than-expected results were due to higher time charter equivalent (TCE) rates of $29,420 per day compared to our estimate of $28,502 per day, along with modestly lower-than-expected operating expenses of $23.9 million compared to our estimate of $24.7 million.
Market outlook. TCE rates for feeder vessels increased 8% in the second quarter due to limited vessel availability and robust demand. While the global containership orderbook remains high, the feeder and intermediate segments have a much smaller pipeline of just 4 to 8%, offering some insulation from the potential negative impact of an oversupplied market. Ongoing Red Sea conflicts have further supported rates by prompting Suez Canal re-routings and increasing distance. Although U.S. trade policies cloud visibility, we expect TCE rates to remain strong through year-end 2025 and into 2026.
Unicycive Therapeutics (UNCY/$4.63 | Price Target: $6) Robert LeBoyer rleboyer@noblefcm.com | (212) 896-4625 Actions Taken To Address Issues That Caused The CRL Rating: OUTPERFORM
Actions Taken To Correct Manufacturing Findings. Unicycive reported a 2Q25 loss of $6.4 million or $(0.52) per share, with cash on June 30, 2025 of $22.3 million. Based on our current estimates, we believe this is sufficient to fund operations through 2H25. On June 30, the company received a CRL (Complete Response Letter) following an FDA inspection that found deficiencies at a contract manufacturer’s facility. The findings stopped the labeling discussions required for completion of the NDA review. The company has shifted to one of its other manufacturers, and filed a request for a meeting with the FDA.
A Request For A Type A Meeting Was Filed. Following the receipt of the CRL, Unicycive filed a request for a Type A meeting with the FDA. This type of meeting is held to discuss the issues that led to the CRL and how to correct them. These meetings are usually scheduled within 30 days of the request. After meeting is held the company will receive the meeting minutes with requirements for resubmission of the NDA application. Unicycive expects to announce an updated plan for OCL development during 3Q25.
Xcel Brands (XELB/$1.06 | Price Target: $9) Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com | (561) 994-5734 Jacob Mutchler jmutchler@noblefcm.com | Influencer Brands Set To Launch Rating: OUTPERFORM
Q2 Results. The company reported Q2 revenue of $1.3 million and an adj. EBITDA loss of $0.3 million, as illustrated in Figure #1 Q2 results. Importantly, while revenue was 22.3% lower than our estimate of $1.7 million, the adj. EBITDA loss of $0.3 million was largely in line with our expectations of a loss of $0.35 million. Furthermore, the on target adj. EBITDA figure was driven by the company’s strategic cost reduction and business transformation efforts, as well as the Lori Goldstein divestiture.
Favorable outlook. While the company is approaching the back half of the year with caution, largely driven by potential tariff impacts, we believe it stands to benefit from a number of favorable developments. Notably, the company is launching its Longaberger brand in Q3 on QVC and announced an accelerated timeline for its new influencer brands. Additionally, the company stands to benefit from its Halston brand as royalties kick in.
Noble Capital Markets Research Report Thursday, August 14, 2025
Companies contained in today’s report:
SKYX Platforms (SKYX)/OUTPERFORM – Revised Forecasts Reflect Phased Rollout, Long-Term Outlook Intact The Oncology Institute, Inc. (TOI)/OUTPERFORM – Patient Additions And Pharmacy Division Drive 2Q25 Revenues Above Expectations
SKYX Platforms (SKYX/$1.28 | Price Target: $5) Patrick McCann, CFA pmccann@noblefcm.com | (314) 724-6266 Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com | (561) 994-5734 Revised Forecasts Reflect Phased Rollout, Long-Term Outlook Intact Rating: OUTPERFORM
Q2 results. SKYX reported Q2 revenue of $23.1 million, up 7.5% year over year and 14.7% sequentially. Gross margin expanded 190bps to 30.3%, supported by a favorable mix shift toward proprietary tech-embedded products. The adj. EBITDA loss of $2.6 million was slightly wider than our forecast of a $2.3 million loss but reflects underlying operating leverage as revenue scales.
Smart City partnership reinforces revenue growth trajectory. The company’s partnership with the $3 billion Smart City development in Miami’s Little River District positions it for sustained long-term growth. We expect the rollout to drive meaningful topline and branding impact over time, with strategic visibility among large-scale developers likely to reinforce future adoption of SKYX’s technology in both residential and commercial verticals.
The Oncology Institute, Inc. (TOI/$4.1 | Price Target: $8) Robert LeBoyer rleboyer@noblefcm.com | (212) 896-4625 Patient Additions And Pharmacy Division Drive 2Q25 Revenues Above Expectations Rating: OUTPERFORM
Revenues Were Driven By New Patients Under Contract. The Oncology Institute reported a loss for 2Q25 of $17.0 million or $(0.15) per share. Revenues of $119.8 million exceeded our estimate of $110.4 million. The company discussed newly active or pending contracts that will add covered lives during 2H25. It reiterated its guidance for Revenues, Gross Profit, Adjusted EBITDA, and Free Cash Flow. Cash on June 30, 2025 was $30.3 million.
Patient Services Were Close To Our Expectations. The Patient Services division reached $55.9 million. New payor contracts added patients during 1H25 that began generating revenues, although they have a period of higher cost during the transition to TOI management. We expect the patient mix to include more continuing patients during 2H25, improving margins while new contracts continue to drive growth.
Noble Capital Markets Research Report Wednesday, August 13, 2025
Companies contained in today’s report:
Bit Digital (BTBT)/OUTPERFORM – WhiteFiber IPO Bitcoin Depot (BTM)/OUTPERFORM – Q2 Upside Drives Full-Year Upward Revisions EuroDry (EDRY)/MARKET PERFORM – Weak Second Quarter, Better Results Expected Ahead Sky Harbour Group (SKYH)/OUTPERFORM – Pre-Leasing Momentum Reinforces Competitive Moat Tonix Pharmaceuticals (TNXP)/OUTPERFORM – 2Q25 Reported As We Await The TNX-102 SL PDUFA Date Of August 15
Bit Digital (BTBT/$3.03 | Price Target: $5.5) Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262 WhiteFiber IPO Rating: OUTPERFORM
IPO. WhiteFiber has been brought public through the sale of 9.375 million shares at $17/sh. Upon completion of the offering, Bit Digital retained ownership of 74.3% of the 36.4 million outstanding shares (71.5% if the underwriters exercised the full option). WhiteFiber shares are trading on the NASDAQ under the symbol WYFI.
Funding. Net proceeds from the IPO were expected to be approximately $145.1 million, or approximately $167.4 million if the underwriters exercised their option in full. Management anticipates using the funds for the build out and expansion of the business.
Bitcoin Depot (BTM/$4.22 | Price Target: $9) Patrick McCann, CFA pmccann@noblefcm.com | (314) 724-6266 Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com | (561) 994-5734 Q2 Upside Drives Full-Year Upward Revisions Rating: OUTPERFORM
Strong Q2 results. Bitcoin Depot reported Q2 revenue of $172.1 million (5.5% growth YoY), better than our estimate of $167.5 million. Adj. EBITDA of $18.5 million (46.2% growth YoY) beat our estimate of $15.5 million. The impressive results were driven by stronger revenue per kiosk, particularly among mature locations.
Kiosk expansion. The company added roughly 600 kiosks during Q2, ending with 9,000 units in operation. About 3,300 kiosks are still in early ramp, suggesting room for productivity gains. Bitcoin Depot also holds 1,700 units in inventory, enabling growth without near-term capex. In Australia, 200 kiosks have been deployed, and management is evaluating two more international markets.
EuroDry (EDRY/$10.67) Mark Reichman mreichman@noblefcm.com | (561) 999-2272 Hans Baldau hbaldau@noblefcm.com | Weak Second Quarter, Better Results Expected Ahead Rating: MARKET PERFORM
Second quarter financial results. EuroDry generated Q2 net revenues of $11.3 million, in line with our $11.4 million estimate but down about $6 million year-over-year due to a decline in average time charter equivalent (TCE) rates. Adjusted EBITDA of $1.9 million and a loss per share of $1.10 per share were better than our forecasts of $1.6 million and a loss of $1.23 per share, aided by lower voyage expenses, but trailed last year’s $5.0 million and $0.17 loss.
Market Outlook. The dry-bulk market saw a brief improvement in the second quarter as rates recovered from early-year lows, though momentum slowed later in the period amid trade policy developments and softer Chinese import activity. However, since the start of the third quarter, rates have improved, and the IMF slightly raised its 2025 global GDP guidance. Red Sea disruptions have continued to extend voyage distances, and demand has picked up slightly based on improved sentiment toward growth in China. The orderbook remains near historical lows, so while rates hover below 2024 levels, we expect the recent improvement to hold for the remainder of the year.
Sky Harbour Group (SKYH/$10.95 | Price Target: $23) Patrick McCann, CFA pmccann@noblefcm.com | (314) 724-6266 Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com | (561) 994-5734 Pre-Leasing Momentum Reinforces Competitive Moat Rating: OUTPERFORM
Q2 slightly below forecast. Sky Harbour reported Q2 revenue of $6.6 million and an adj. EBITDA loss of $3.0 million, both below expectations. Despite the shortfall, development milestones were notable with new long-term ground leases signed at Hillsboro (HIO) and Stewart (SWF), reinforcing execution on its expansion strategy.
Expansion on track. The company began pre-leasing at IAD and BDL (both pre-construction) at strong average rates of $47.06 per square foot, underscoring brand strength and tenant confidence. With DVT and ADS operational and leasing underway, management reiterated its goal of securing five additional long-term leases by year-end, which would bring the total to 23.
Tonix Pharmaceuticals (TNXP/$59.76 | Price Target: $70) Robert LeBoyer rleboyer@noblefcm.com | (212) 896-4625 2Q25 Reported As We Await The TNX-102 SL PDUFA Date Of August 15 Rating: OUTPERFORM
We Are On The Edge Of Our Seats Waiting For TNX-102 SL. Tonix reported a 2Q25 loss of $28.3 million or $(3.86) per share. Importantly, the PDUFA date for TNX-102 SL is August 15. This is the date when the FDA is required to answer the application for approval. We continue to expect TNX-102 SL to be approved this week. Cash on hand at the end of the quarter was $125.3 million.
TNX-102 SL Launch Is Planned For 4Q25. The company expects to have TNX-102 SL available during 4Q25, as we expected. It will be the first drug developed and approved for fibromyalgia, compared with the current therapies that were approved for other conditions then expanded into fibromyalgia. Importantly, TNX-102 SL met its primary endpoint of pain relief and all six secondary endpoints for relief of symptoms.
Noble Capital Markets Research Report Tuesday, August 12, 2025
Companies contained in today’s report:
Cadrenal Therapeutics (CVKD)/OUTPERFORM – 2Q25 Included Clinical Strategy Change and Manufacturing Progress Direct Digital Holdings (DRCT)/MARKET PERFORM – A Significant, Positive Development MariMed Inc (MRMD)/OUTPERFORM – Expand the Brand Nutriband (NTRB)/OUTPERFORM – CEO Gareth Sheridan To Run For President Of Ireland V2X (VVX)/OUTPERFORM – Expanding Capabilities
Cadrenal Therapeutics (CVKD/$10.94 | Price Target: $45) Robert LeBoyer rleboyer@noblefcm.com | (212) 896-4625 2Q25 Included Clinical Strategy Change and Manufacturing Progress Rating: OUTPERFORM
Cadrenal Reports 2Q With Product News. Cadrenal reported a 2Q25 loss of $3.7 million or $(1.87) per share. During the quarter, the company announced a design modification for the upcoming tecarfarin clinical trial. The company also transferred its manufacturing technology to a CDMO and completed production scale-up in preparation for clinical trials. Cash on June 30, 2025 was $5.6 million.
New Trial Focuses On First Months Of Dialysis. As described in our Research Note on August 7 , the new trial design reflects recent research showing the first four to six months after the start of renal dialysis are an ultra-high-risk period for cardiac events including myocardial infarction, stroke, embolism, and death. The design change will be testing tecarfarin as an anticoagulant to reduce these events. The clinical site activation and trial enrollment are expected to begin around year-end.
Direct Digital Holdings (DRCT/$0.42) Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com | (561) 994-5734 A Significant, Positive Development Rating: MARKET PERFORM
Converts the majority of its debt. The company announced that it has converted $25.0 million of its roughly $34.4 million in debt into a perpetual Series A Preferred Convertible Stock. The Preferred Stock will carry a cumulative annual 10% dividend, based on board of approval, and will be convertible at $2.50 per Class A common share. Following the transaction, the company will have roughly $9.4 million debt remaining under its Term Loan Facility. The move is viewed favorably.
Significant, but manageable restrictions. The company will be required to maintain total leverage below 3.5 to1 declining to 3.25 to 1. In addition, the company will need to maintain a fixed charge coverage of 1.25 to 1 rising to 1.5 to 1. In addition, the company must maintain $1.5 million in unrestricted cash. Finally, the company must maintain a minimum of consolidated EBITDA of $1.0 million for fiscal quarters end Sept. 2025 and then $500,000 thereafter.
MariMed Inc (MRMD/$0.13 | Price Target: $0.25) Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262 Expand the Brand Rating: OUTPERFORM
Expand the Brand. With the recent Pennsylvania and Maine announcements, MariMed continues to implement its Expand the Brand strategy, which is focused on making the Company’s products accessible to as many consumers as possible. We expect the Company to look at additional new markets, such as New York and New Jersey, for additional expansion.
Market Remains Mixed. There remains a lot of near-term uncertainty in the cannabis industry. Pricing pressures, market saturation, and the lack of federal reform still pose a challenge that MariMed will need to navigate. Entering into established cannabis markets that are expanding into the adult recreational use market enables the Company to quickly capture share in proven markets.
Nutriband (NTRB/$6.85 | Price Target: $15) Robert LeBoyer rleboyer@noblefcm.com | (212) 896-4625 CEO Gareth Sheridan To Run For President Of Ireland Rating: OUTPERFORM
CFO Will Transition To CEO. Nutriband CEO and Co-Founder Gareth Sheridan has announced plans to take a three-month leave from the company to run for President of the Republic of Ireland. The current CFO and Co-Founder, Serguei Melnik, will become Acting CEO as Mr. Sheridan campaigns. The election is expected to be held in late September or early October. If elected, Sergeui will become CEO. If Mr. Sheridan is not elected, he may return to the company.
We Wish Gareth Sheridan Well In The Election. As a Co-founder and CEO of the company, Gareth Sheridan has guided the company from an idea to becoming a NASDAQ-listed company with three divisions. Nutriband’s financial planning has allowed it to develop the AVERSA technology with low operating losses, keeping the share base low.
V2X (VVX/$52.93 | Price Target: $72) Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262 Expanding Capabilities Rating: OUTPERFORM
A Tuck-in. Last night, after the market closed, V2X announced it had entered into an agreement to acquire a specialized data engineering, intel mission support, and cyber solutions business serving the Intelligence Community (IC). The transaction is valued at approximately $24 million, net of estimated tax benefits. We expect additional details to follow.
IC Expansion. The acquisition advances V2X’s strategic growth objectives and further extends its reach beyond traditional defense markets, enabling the Company to pursue a greater share of the National Intelligence Program budget and related opportunities. The acquisition adds some 70 people to V2X.
Noble Capital Markets Research Report Monday, August 11, 2025
Companies contained in today’s report:
CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW)/OUTPERFORM – Post call Commentary DLH Holdings (DLHC)/OUTPERFORM – Post Call Commentary E.W. Scripps (SSP)/OUTPERFORM – Fed Rate Action Could Ignite Auto Advertising Information Services Group (III)/OUTPERFORM – Post 2Q25 Call Commentary Kelly Services (KELYA)/OUTPERFORM – New CEO; Reports 2Q25 Results Kratos Defense & Security (KTOS)/OUTPERFORM – Strong 2Q25, Raises Guidance, Increasing PT NN (NNBR)/OUTPERFORM – Post Call Update V2X (VVX)/OUTPERFORM – AIP Sells Some More
CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW/$20.5 | Price Target: $28) Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262 Post call Commentary Rating: OUTPERFORM
Availability. Increased use of CoreCivic’s remaining beds will help drive operating results going forward. If all of the idle 13,419 beds were activated, this would imply around $500 million in annual revenue, and around $200 million to $225 million in incremental EBITDA.
Activations. During the quarter, CoreCivic made substantial progress in reactivating three previously idled facilities, and the Company’s activation teams are preparing for additional contracting activity. Management noted that CoreCivic is in advanced negotiations to activate a fourth idle facility and has just begun negotiations for a fifth facility.
DLH Holdings (DLHC/$5.5 | Price Target: $10) Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262 Post Call Commentary Rating: OUTPERFORM
When, Not If. We continue to believe it is a matter of when, not if, DLH begins to capitalize on the large opportunity set for its mission critical skill set. Current disruptions in Federal government contracting will pass, and DLH’s capabilities, in areas such as digital transformation, cybersecurity, and addressing critical public health issues, align well with the government’s goals.
Still Accumulating. Mink Brook Asset Management continues to accumulate DLHC shares, including 5,900 shares at the end of last week. Mink Brook now owns 2,389,350 DLHC shares, representing 16.6% of the outstanding common, up from 2,164,058 shares at the end of May.
E.W. Scripps (SSP/$2.52 | Price Target: $10) Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com | (561) 994-5734 Jacob Mutchler jmutchler@noblefcm.com | Fed Rate Action Could Ignite Auto Advertising Rating: OUTPERFORM
Q2 results largely in line. Total company revenue of $540.0 million was a tad shy of our $546.6 million estimate, but was close enough. The biggest downside variance was Political, which is very unpredictable especially in an off election year. Importantly, the company overachieved our adj. EBITDA estimate, $88.8 million versus $84.8 million.
Tweaking estimates. Management indicated that Q3 Core advertising was pacing flat in Q3, a sequential improvement from down 1.9% in q2, but a little lighter than we had hoped given the year earlier Political displacement. We tweaked our Q3 revenue estimate down 2.1% to $528.5 million and adj. EBITDA estimate down 2.8% to $71.5 million.
Information Services Group (III/$4.44 | Price Target: $5) Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262 Jacob Mutchler jmutchler@noblefcm.com | Post 2Q25 Call Commentary Rating: OUTPERFORM
Riding the Waves. ISG is riding two key waves, one is AI adoption, with clients investing aggressively in modernizing their technology operations and infrastructure to support it. The other is cost optimization, as one of the means of funding the AI adoption is through optimization of cloud, infrastructure, and software costs.
AI & Recurring Revenue. AI-related revenue was 2.5x higher than it was a year ago. And in both the second quarter and first half, nearly 20% of total revenue was AI related. Recurring revenues in the second quarter reached $28 million, up 7% sequentially and represented 45% of overall revenue.
Kelly Services (KELYA/$14.15 | Price Target: $27) Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262 Jacob Mutchler jmutchler@noblefcm.com | New CEO; Reports 2Q25 Results Rating: OUTPERFORM
New CEO. Chris Layden has been selected to serve as President and Chief Executive Officer, effective September 2, 2025, replacing the retiring Peter Quigley. Having spent nearly two decades at Manpower Group and as COO of Prolink, Mr. Layden has extensive experience leading organizations through transformations to advance go-to-market initiatives and accelerate profitable growth.
2Q25 Results. Kelly reported revenue of $1.1 billion, up 4.2% y-o-y but down 3.3% on an organic basis. Second quarter adjusted EBITDA of $37.0 million was down 8.7% versus the prior year, with adjusted EBITDA margin down 40 bp to 3.4%. EPS was $0.52 compared to EPS of $0.12 in the second quarter of 2024. On an adjusted basis, EPS was $0.54 in 2Q25 compared to $0.71/sh in 2Q24. We had forecast $1.17 billion of revenue, $42.5 million adjusted EBITDA, EPS of $0.73, and adjusted EPS of $0.71.
Opportunity Knocks! Virtually every Kratos business unit is forecasting significant future organic growth, including the hypersonic system franchise, small jet engines for drones, missiles, and loitering munitions, the Israeli based microwave electronics business, and the military grade hardware business supporting missile, radar, hypersonic, counter UAS and strategic weapon systems.
2Q25 Results. Kratos reported revenue of $351.5 million, reflecting 17.1% y-o-y growth and 15.2% organic growth. We had projected revenue of $308 million. Adjusted EBITDA was $28.3 million versus $29.9 million a year ago and our $27.5 million estimate. Adjusted net income was $17.1 million, or $0.11/sh, versus $20.8 million, or $0.14/sh, last year and our $18.8 million, or $0.12/sh, estimate.
Second Quarter Developments. NN leveraged the soft market environment to upsize its business development activities and investments. The soft top-line centers around certain automotive customers, which NN was able to partially offset through the contribution of new business launches and precious metals pass-through pricing.
Changing for the Better. Management continues to work on its transformation plan to position the Company for significant upside when end markets improve. For example, YTD, the 18.2% adjusted gross margin is an expansion of 190 basis points over the past two years and well on the way to the 20% gm goal.
V2X (VVX/$50.78 | Price Target: $72) Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262 AIP Sells Some More Rating: OUTPERFORM
Another Sale. AIP, through its Vertex Aerospace Holdco LLC sub, is selling another 2 million shares of VVX stock through an offering that is expected to close on August 11th. This will be the fourth such sale as the private equity firm continues to lighten its V2X holdings.
V2X to Buy. Subject to the closing of the offering, V2X has agreed to purchase 200,000 shares of V2X’s common stock that are subject to the offering at a price per share of common stock equal to the price to be paid to Vertex Aerospace by the underwriter. V2X intends to fund the repurchase of its common stock with cash on hand. This will cost approximately $10 million.
Noble Capital Markets Research Report Friday, August 8, 2025
Companies contained in today’s report:
Cumulus Media (CMLS)/MARKET PERFORM – Can It Pull A Rabbit Out Of The Hat? GoHealth (GOCO)/OUTPERFORM – Forecast Trimmed, Flexibility Restored Saga Communications (SGA)/OUTPERFORM – Outlook Offers Glimmer Of Revenue Improvement
Cumulus Media (CMLS/$0.17) Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com | (561) 994-5734 Can It Pull A Rabbit Out Of The Hat? Rating: MARKET PERFORM
Exceeds Q2 expectations. Q2 revenue of $186.0 million was a tad better than our $183.9 million estimate, with the largest upside variance being Digital revenue and a little lift from Political advertising. Its Digital Marketing Services business was up an impressive 38% in revenue. Adj. EBITDA exceeded expectations at $22.4 million versus our $15.6 million estimate.
Ad trends still negative. Core spot advertising appears to be moderating and its Digital Marketing Services business appears to be a bright spot, pacing up 35% in Q3. Total company revenue is pacing down low double digits in Q3, however, worse than expected. Network advertising continues to be the culprit given the challenged macro economic environment and the company’s decision to decrease content/inventory.
GoHealth (GOCO/$5.73 | Price Target: $20) Patrick McCann, CFA pmccann@noblefcm.com | (314) 724-6266 Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com | (561) 994-5734 Forecast Trimmed, Flexibility Restored Rating: OUTPERFORM
Hits headwinds in Q2. GoHealth reported Q2 revenue of $94.0 million, below our $110.0 million forecast, as Medicare Advantage softness and CMS policy shifts weighed on volumes. Revenue declined 11% year-over-year. Despite the top-line miss, adj. EBITDA loss of $11.3 million beat our expected loss of $13.2 million, reflecting ongoing cost discipline and benefits from automation initiatives underway in agent workflows.
Recapitalization improves liquidity, alleviates covenant concerns. The company secured $80 million in new term loans and amended its credit agreement to eliminate principal payments through 2026. Liquidity covenants were reduced to a single minimum cash test. While the 4.77 million Class A shares issued represent roughly 20% dilution, we believe the transaction aligns lender and shareholder incentives and resolves the going concern issue.
Saga Communications (SGA/$12.75 | Price Target: $18) Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com | (561) 994-5734 Jacob Mutchler jmutchler@noblefcm.com | Outlook Offers Glimmer Of Revenue Improvement Rating: OUTPERFORM
An in line quarter. Even though the second quarter results were lackluster, total company revenues were down 5% from the comparable year earlier quarter, it was refreshing to have a company report an in line quarter. Total company Q2 revenues were $23.4 million, roughly in line with our $24.1 million estimate. Adj. EBITDA of $3.5 million was in line with our $3.5 million estimate.
Digital revenue gains traction. While Digital revenue grew a respectable 5.8% in the latest quarter, it faced difficult year earlier comparisons from a non recurring business (up 30.3% in the prior year quarter). Notably, management indicated that Digital revenue is pacing up 30% to 40% in Q3.
Noble Capital Markets Research Report Thursday, August 7, 2025
Companies contained in today’s report:
Cadrenal Therapeutics (CVKD)/OUTPERFORM – Tecarfarin Clinical Trial To Begin With Modified Design Conduent (CNDT)/OUTPERFORM – Improved Margins and Steady Execution CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW)/OUTPERFORM – First Look – 2Q25; Increased Guidance Direct Digital Holdings (DRCT)/MARKET PERFORM – A More Muted Near Term Revenue Recovery Expected DLH Holdings (DLHC)/OUTPERFORM – First Look – 3Q25 Results Eledon Pharmaceuticals (ELDN)/OUTPERFORM – Phase 1b Data Continues To Show Improved Outcomes Information Services Group (III)/OUTPERFORM – First Look – 2Q25 Results and an Acquisition MariMed Inc (MRMD)/OUTPERFORM – First Look 2Q25 Results NN (NNBR)/OUTPERFORM – First Look – 2Q25 ONE Group Hospitality (STKS)/OUTPERFORM – Some Good, Some Challenges; Reports 2Q25 Results Seanergy Maritime (SHIP)/OUTPERFORM – Second Quarter Rebound, Raising Estimates The GEO Group (GEO)/OUTPERFORM – Reports Second Quarter Results The ODP Corporation (ODP)/OUTPERFORM – Making Progress in the Second Quarter Townsquare Media (TSQ)/OUTPERFORM – Delivers On Expectations
Cadrenal Therapeutics (CVKD/$10.95 | Price Target: $45) Robert LeBoyer rleboyer@noblefcm.com | (212) 896-4625 Tecarfarin Clinical Trial To Begin With Modified Design Rating: OUTPERFORM
Cadrenal Announces New Trial Design. Cadrenal announced that it plans to begin a trial testing tecarfarin in patients who are starting renal dialysis, both with and without atrial fibrillation (ESKD-Afib). This design reflects recent studies showing that the first several months after starting dialysis are an ultra-high risk period for mortality and cardiac events. The trial will test tecarfarin efficacy in reducing these events and could begin in late 2025 to early 2026.
Modified Study Design Focuses On Highest Risk Period. The initiation of renal dialysis impacts several important cardiovascular and renal functions. New studies show that the first six months after starting dialysis have a 20-fold increase in cardiovascular events and mortality. This has not previously been recognized due to pathologies of the underlying conditions that lead to CKD and dialysis.
Conduent (CNDT/$2.45 | Price Target: $7) Patrick McCann, CFA pmccann@noblefcm.com | (314) 724-6266 Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com | (561) 994-5734 Improved Margins and Steady Execution Rating: OUTPERFORM
Solid Q2 results. Conduent reported second-quarter revenue of $754 million, in line with our estimate. Adj. EBITDA of $37 million exceeded our $33 million forecast. Importantly, all three business segments posted sequential growth in new business annual contract value, signaling building commercial momentum and suggesting that execution is improving across the platform.
Portfolio rationalization in the works. The company collected the remaining $50 million from its Curbside Management divestiture, completing phase one of its portfolio rationalization strategy. Management indicated additional transactions are in progress, aimed at boosting profitability. We believe updates are likely by year-end, as the team continues to reshape the business with a focus on higher-margin opportunities.
CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW/$19.6 | Price Target: $28) Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262 First Look – 2Q25; Increased Guidance Rating: OUTPERFORM
Increasing Demand. Increasing demand for the solutions provided, particularly from ICE, contributed to a strong second quarter, as nationwide detention populations under ICE custody reached an all-time high. ICE revenue rose 17.2% y-o-y, but we also note revenue from state partners increased 5.2% y-o-y and U.S. Marshals revenue increased 2.7% y-o-y.
2Q25 Results. Revenue was $538.2 million in 2Q25, up from $490.1 million last year. We were at $500.6 million. Safety and Community average occupancy increased to 76.8% from 74.3%, even with an overhang from the recently activated California City facility. Adjusted EBITDA was $103.3 million, up 23.2% y-o-y. NFFO per share was $0.59, up 40.5%. CoreCivic reported adjusted EPS of $0.36, up 80%.
Direct Digital Holdings (DRCT/$0.48) Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com | (561) 994-5734 Patrick McCann, CFA pmccann@noblefcm.com | (314) 724-6266 A More Muted Near Term Revenue Recovery Expected Rating: MARKET PERFORM
Mixed Q2 results. The company reported Q2 revenue of $10.1 million, below our forecast of $12.5 million, driven by continued underperformance in the Sell-side business, which generated $2.5 million vs. our forecast of $4.5 million. Despite the shortfall, adj. EBITDA loss of $1.5 million was better than expected, aided by cost reductions and lower headcount from increased automation.
Implications for second half performance. The Q2 revenue miss was largely attributable to slower-than-expected progress with the company’s “direct connections” initiative, in which its SSP integrates directly with DSPs to bypass intermediaries. While the strategy remains a critical long-term growth lever, the implementation delays have weighed on near-term Sell-side revenue performance, as well as the outlook for the second half 2025.
DLH Holdings (DLHC/$5.56 | Price Target: $10) Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262 First Look – 3Q25 Results Rating: OUTPERFORM
Making Progress. In the third quarter, DLH effectively navigated changes in the competitive landscape and transition in the industry overall, preserving margin delivery and strong operating cash flow. Headwinds such as the transition of CMOP locations, unbundling of DOD contracts, and scope reductions as a result of government efficiency efforts all impacted the quarter.
3Q25 Results. Revenue was $83.3 million, compared to $100.7 million in the year ago quarter. We had forecasted $83 million. DLH reported adjusted EBITDA of $8.1 million, down from $10 million in 3Q24 and our $8.5 million estimate. Net income was $0.3 million, or $0.02/sh, versus $1.1 million, or $0.08/sh last year. We had projected $0.35 million, or $0.02/sh.
Eledon Pharmaceuticals (ELDN/$3.44 | Price Target: $10) Robert LeBoyer rleboyer@noblefcm.com | (212) 896-4625 Phase 1b Data Continues To Show Improved Outcomes Rating: OUTPERFORM
Phase 1b Kidney Transplant Data Presented. Eledon presented data from its Phase 1b trial using tegoprubart as part of an immunosuppressive regimen at The World Transplant Congress. The data from the first 32 patients at two dosage cohorts continues to show meaningful improvement over the standard of care. We believe this supports our expectations for strong data for the Phase 2 BESTOW trial in November.
Study Design. The presentation included data from 32 patients receiving kidney transplants followed by an immunosuppressive regimen tegoprubart instead of tacrolimus, the standard of care. The primary endpoints are safety and pharmacokinetics. Secondary endpoints include patient survival, graft survival, biopsy proven acute rejection, with kidney function measured by eGFR and iBOX score.
Information Services Group (III/$4.23 | Price Target: $5) Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262 First Look – 2Q25 Results and an Acquisition Rating: OUTPERFORM
2Q25 Results. Revenue of $61.6 million was up 7% versus last year, excluding results for the divested automation unit. On the same basis, revenues were $39.5 million in the Americas, up 16% versus the prior year, revenues in Europe were $16.6 million, down 7%, and Asia Pacific revenues were $5.4 million, down 1%. Adjusted EBITDA of $8.3 million rose 17% y-o-y. ISG reported adjusted net income of $4.1 million, or $0.08/sh, compared with adjusted net income of $3.8 million, or $0.08/sh last year. We were at $60 million, $7.25 million, and $0.07/sh, respectively.
An Acquisition. ISG has signed a definitive agreement to acquire Martino & Partners, a highly respected strategic advisory firm serving public and private sector clients in Italy. The transaction is expected to close in early September. The acquisition is expected to expand ISG’s client base, geographic footprint, and capabilities in Italy, including AI, in a market with emerging growth potential.
MariMed Inc (MRMD/$0.11 | Price Target: $0.25) Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262 First Look 2Q25 Results Rating: OUTPERFORM
Overview. MariMed delivered sequential growth in both wholesale and retail revenues for the second quarter, a substantial increase in adjusted EBITDA, and was cash flow positive, reflecting strong execution in Massachusetts, full-quarter contributions from Delaware, and a solid retail strategy.
2Q25 Results. Total revenue was $39.6 million, down modestly from $40.4 million in the year ago period and our $40.5 million estimate. Wholesale sales rose to $17.1 million from $15.9 million, while retail sales declined to $22.4 million from $23.6 million. The Company reported adjusted EBITDA of $4.9 million versus $4.4 million and adjusted net income of $0.4 million versus an adjusted net loss of $0.2 million last year.
NN (NNBR/$2.14 | Price Target: $6) Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262 First Look – 2Q25 Rating: OUTPERFORM
Overview. NN delivered a solid quarter for gross margins, operating income, adjusted operating income, and adjusted EBITDA. The soft top-line centered around certain automotive customers, which is being partially offset through the contribution of new business launches and precious metals pass-through pricing.
2Q25. On a reported basis, Net sales were $107.9 million, a decrease of 12.3% compared to the second quarter of 2024. We were at $109 million. On an adjusted basis, net sales were off 2.4%. Adjusted income from operations for 2Q25 was $4.9 million compared to adjusted income from operations of $2.1 million for the same period in 2024. Adjusted EBITDA was $13.2 million, or 12.2% of sales, compared to $13.4 million, or 10.9% of sales, for the same period in 2024.
ONE Group Hospitality (STKS/$2.87 | Price Target: $5) Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262 Some Good, Some Challenges; Reports 2Q25 Results Rating: OUTPERFORM
A Mixed Bag. In the second quarter, Benihana delivered positive same store sales, and STK achieved positive traffic for the second and third consecutive quarters, respectively. However, Grill concept SSS were off 14.6% and the Company closed five locations in the quarter. Expenses were also higher than anticipated.
2Q25 Results. Overall revenue increased 20.2% y-o-y to $207.2 million, mostly due to a full quarter of Benihana. We had estimated $206.7 million. Adjusted EBITDA was $23.4 million, up 7.3% y-o-y, but below our $24.9 million estimate. ONE Group reported a GAAP net loss of $10.1 million, versus a net loss of $7.3 million a year ago. Including the preferred dividend, net loss per share was $0.59 versus a net loss per share of $0.38 last year. Adjusted EPS was $0.05 compared to $0.19 last year.
Seanergy Maritime (SHIP/$7.46 | Price Target: $12) Mark Reichman mreichman@noblefcm.com | (561) 999-2272 Hans Baldau hbaldau@noblefcm.com | Second Quarter Rebound, Raising Estimates Rating: OUTPERFORM
Second quarter results. Seanergy reported second quarter net revenue of $37.5 million, ahead of our estimate of $36.5 million, driven by modestly higher time charter equivalent (TCE) rates. Operating expenses were in line with expectations, resulting in adjusted EBITDA of $18.3 million and EPS of $0.18, both ahead of our prior estimates of $16.7 million and $0.11.
Market outlook. The Capesize market returned to profitability in the second quarter, with improving demand fundamentals due to projects in both the Atlantic basin and West Africa. We expect elevated iron ore and bauxite volumes to support demand through the remainder of 2025 and into 2026, resulting in increased ton-miles. Additionally, limited fleet growth is expected to support profitable rates.
The GEO Group (GEO/$22.88 | Price Target: $35) Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262 Reports Second Quarter Results Rating: OUTPERFORM
2Q25 Results. Revenue increased to $636.2 million from $607.2 million. We were at $615 million. Adjusted EBITDA was relatively flat at $118.6 million, or 18.6% of revenue, compared with $119.3 million, or 19.6% of revenue, last year, which was impacted by growth investments. GEO recorded adjusted EPS of $0.22 in 2Q25, flat with last year.
Growth. Management outlined additional growth opportunities over and above those already announced this year. For example, activation of the 5,900 idle beds could add $310 million to revenue, while temporary expanded capacity at facilities by another 5,000 beds could add another $250 million. Management noted ISAP growth is likely a 2026 plan.
The ODP Corporation (ODP/$19.21 | Price Target: $35) Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262 Jacob Mutchler jmutchler@noblefcm.com | Making Progress in the Second Quarter Rating: OUTPERFORM
Q2 Overview. During the quarter, ODP saw improved revenue trends and delivered solid operating results, highlighted by stronger adjusted free cash flow generation. The results reflect ongoing improvements across both the consumer and B2B businesses. Retail meaningfully improved same-store sales trends versus last year, while the B2B business achieved approximately a 200-basis point improvement in year-over-year revenue trends.
Q2 Results. The ODP Corporation reported revenue of $1.59 billion in 2Q25, down from $1.72 billion in 2Q24. We had estimated $1.58 billion. Adjusted EBITDA was $47 million, down from $57 million a year ago and in-line with our $44 million estimate. Adjusted EPS came in at $0.51 compared to $0.56 in 2Q24 and our $0.23 estimate.
Townsquare Media (TSQ/$6.78 | Price Target: $21) Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com | (561) 994-5734 Jacob Mutchler jmutchler@noblefcm.com | Delivers On Expectations Rating: OUTPERFORM
In line Q2 results. Total revenue of $115.4 million, down 2.3% from the comparable year quarter, was in line with our $114.9 million estimate, a reflection of economic headwinds and slower digital revenue growth. Adj. EBITDA of $26.4 million was better than our $25.2 million estimate, reflecting better margins.
Digital revenue slows, but margins improve. Digital advertising revenues were adversely impacted by industry wide declines in search referrals. And, its Interactive business revenue growth was interrupted by sales restructuring. Notably, margins rose in Q2 and are expected to be elevated above normalized levels for the balance of the year due to lower sales staffing.
Noble Capital Markets Research Report Wednesday, August 6, 2025
Companies contained in today’s report:
Century Lithium Corp. (CYDVF)/OUTPERFORM – First Tranche of Financing Closed; Angel Island Added to the Federal Permitting Dashboard Commercial Vehicle Group (CVGI)/OUTPERFORM – Post Call Commentary FreightCar America (RAIL)/OUTPERFORM – Better Than Expected Second Quarter Financial Results Graham (GHM)/OUTPERFORM – Another Good Quarter Great Lakes Dredge & Dock (GLDD)/OUTPERFORM – Another Strong Quarter Superior Group of Companies (SGC)/OUTPERFORM – Operating Momentum Improves
Century Lithium Corp. (CYDVF/$0.21 | Price Target: $2.35) Mark Reichman mreichman@noblefcm.com | (561) 999-2272 First Tranche of Financing Closed; Angel Island Added to the Federal Permitting Dashboard Rating: OUTPERFORM
First tranche of LIFE offering closed. Century Lithium recently closed the first tranche of its previously announced the Listed Issuer Financing Exemption (LIFE) offering of up to 16,666,667 units at a price of C$0.30 per unit for gross proceeds of up to C$5,000,000. Each unit consists of one common share and one common share purchase warrant. Each warrant entitles the holder to purchase one common share at an exercise price of C$0.45 for a period of 60 months following the issuance of the units. In the first tranche, Century issued a total of 9,559,833 units for aggregate gross proceeds of C$2,867,950. Certain directors and officers of the company purchased a total of 168,333 units in the initial closing.
Use of net proceeds. Net proceeds from the financing will be used to complete an updated feasibility study for the company’s Angel Island Lithium Project, complete the project’s Plan of Operations, work towards National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) compliance, and general working capital.
Commercial Vehicle Group (CVGI/$1.8 | Price Target: $4) Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262 Hans Baldau hbaldau@noblefcm.com | Post Call Commentary Rating: OUTPERFORM
Positives. There were a number of positives in the quarter, such as the 120 bp sequential improvement in gross margin, strong FCF generation, improved top line performance in Electrical Systems, and higher adjusted operating income in both Seating and Electrical Systems, reflecting benefits from prior restructuring actions.
But End Markets. In spite of the operating successes, CVG’s end markets remain challenged. It appears the much hoped for rebound in the Class 8 truck market will not occur in 2026, with only modest improvement in 2027. Still early days for these types of forecasts, but the Class 8 truck market is still 40% of revenue. And no real change in the Ag and Construction markets, which remain soft.
FreightCar America (RAIL/$10.4 | Price Target: $17) Mark Reichman mreichman@noblefcm.com | (561) 999-2272 Better Than Expected Second Quarter Financial Results Rating: OUTPERFORM
Second quarter financial results. FreightCar America generated adjusted net income of $3.8 million or $0.11 per share, compared to our estimate of $2.0 million or $0.06 per share. Second quarter revenue of $118.6 million exceeded our estimate of $100.6 million. Rail car deliveries were 939 units compared to 1,159 units during the prior year period and our estimate of 850. The year-over-year decline was attributed to a strategic shift in the product mix toward higher-margin rail cars. As a percentage of revenue, second quarter gross margin increased to 15.0% compared to 12.5% during the prior year period and our 12.7% estimate. Adjusted EBITDA amounted to $10.0 million compared to our $8.8 million estimate and represented an EBITDA margin of 8.4%.
Updating estimates. We are increasing our 2025 adjusted EBITDA and EPS estimates to $47.3 million and $0.54, respectively, from $45.9 million and $0.47. Our 2026 EBITDA and EPS estimates have increased to $53.2 million and $0.64, respectively, from $48.6 million and $0.53. While our estimates reflect higher gross margin as a percentage of revenue, they also reflect increased sales, general, and administrative expenses.
Graham (GHM/$46.97 | Price Target: $52) Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262 Hans Baldau hbaldau@noblefcm.com | Another Good Quarter Rating: OUTPERFORM
Strong Quarter. Driven by continued strength across the diversified product portfolio, Graham delivered another solid quarter to start fiscal 2026. A highlight was the Energy and Process markets with strong growth driven by execution on major commercial projects and robust aftermarket demand, along with increasing momentum in emerging energy segments.
1Q26 Results. Revenue increased 11% to $55.5 million, slightly above our $54 million estimate. Gross margin improved 170 bp to 26.5%. Adjusted EBITDA rose 33% y-o-y to $6.8 million, with adjusted EBITDA margin up 200 bp to 12.3%. We were at $5.1 million. EPS increased 56% to $0.42 with adjusted EPS up 36% to $0.45. We were at $0.22 and $0.25, respectively.
Great Lakes Dredge & Dock (GLDD/$11.45 | Price Target: $14) Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262 Hans Baldau hbaldau@noblefcm.com | Another Strong Quarter Rating: OUTPERFORM
2Q25 Results. Revenue was $193.8 million, compared to $170 million a year ago. We had forecast revenue of $175.5 million. Gross margin improved to 18.9% from 17.5% in the year ago quarter. Great Lakes reported adjusted EBITDA of $28 million in the quarter and EPS of $0.14. In 2Q24, the Company had adjusted EBITDA of $25.8 million and EPS of $0.11.
Drivers. Great Lakes delivered another solid quarter, supported by strong project execution, continued strength in capital dredging, and favorable equipment utilization, even with the headwinds of four dredges undergoing their regulatory drydocking at various points during the quarter.
Superior Group of Companies (SGC/$9.58 | Price Target: $16) Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com | (561) 994-5734 Jacob Mutchler jmutchler@noblefcm.com | Operating Momentum Improves Rating: OUTPERFORM
Solid Q2 results. The company reported solid revenue and adj. EBITDA of $144.0 million and $7.4 million, respectively, both of which were better than our estimates of $131.8 million and $6.1 million, respectively. Notably, the strong operating results were largely driven by a 14% increase in Branded Products sales over the prior year period.
Mitigating tariff impact. Notably, management highlighted that its Branded Products segment is well-positioned to navigate the current tariff environment. Importantly, the company started diversifying manufacturing away from China during the first Trump administration and now sources the majority of its Branded Products outside of China. Furthermore, the company’s Healthcare Apparel segment produces all of its finished products outside of China.
Noble Capital Markets Research Report Tuesday, August 5, 2025
Companies contained in today’s report:
Commercial Vehicle Group (CVGI)/OUTPERFORM – First Look: 2Q25 Shows Some Improvement but End Markets Remain Challenging FreightCar America (RAIL)/OUTPERFORM – Second Quarter Financial Results Exceed Expectations InPlay Oil (IPOOF)/OUTPERFORM – Delek Group Ltd. to Acquire Major Stake in InPlay Oil Steelcase (SCS)/MARKET PERFORM – To Be Acquired for $18.30/sh V2X (VVX)/OUTPERFORM – Solid 2Q25 Results
Commercial Vehicle Group (CVGI/$1.85 | Price Target: $4) Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262 First Look: 2Q25 Shows Some Improvement but End Markets Remain Challenging Rating: OUTPERFORM
2Q25 Results. Revenue came in at $172 million, down from $193.7 million a year ago, but above our $158 million estimate. Adjusted EBITDA was $5.2 million, down from $8.2 million a year ago, and in-line with our $5 million estimate. Net loss from continuing operations was $4.1 million, or a loss of $0.12/sh, versus $1.3 million, or a loss of $0.04/sh in 2Q24. Adjusted net loss was $0.09/sh in 2Q25 versus adjusted EPS of $0.05 last year. We had forecasted a net loss of $2 million, or a loss of $0.06/sh.
Highlights. Gross margin improved 80 bp sequentially to 11.3% due to operational efficiency improvements. Free cash flow was $17.3 million, up $16.5 million, due to better working capital management. Net debt decreased $31.8 million compared to the year end 2024 level.
FreightCar America (RAIL/$9.92 | Price Target: $16) Mark Reichman mreichman@noblefcm.com | (561) 999-2272 Second Quarter Financial Results Exceed Expectations Rating: OUTPERFORM
Second quarter financial results. FreightCar America generated adjusted net income of $3.8 million or $0.11 per share, compared to our estimate of $2.0 million or $0.06 per share. Second quarter revenue of $118.6 million exceeded our estimate of $100.6 million. Rail car deliveries were 939 units compared to 1,159 units during the prior year period and our estimate of 850. The year-over-year decline was attributed to a strategic shift in the product mix toward higher-margin rail cars. As a percentage of revenue, second quarter gross margin increased to 15.0% compared to 12.5% during the prior year period and our 12.7% estimate. Adjusted EBITDA amounted to $10.0 million compared to our $8.8 million estimate and represented an EBITDA margin of 8.4%. RAIL generated adjusted free cash flow of $7.9 million and ended the quarter with $61.4 million in cash and cash equivalents.
Favorable outlook. During the second quarter, RAIL received 1,226 new rail car orders valued at $106.9 million. With a backlog of 3,624 units valued at $316.9 million, we expect deliveries to accelerate throughout the year. During the quarter, RAIL increased utilization across its four production lines, enhanced productivity, and benefited from a higher-margin product mix. The company is advancing its growth strategy by investing in its tank car capabilities, which it expects to strengthen its cost position and support long-term accretive growth.
InPlay Oil (IPOOF/$7.47 | Price Target: $15) Mark Reichman mreichman@noblefcm.com | (561) 999-2272 Hans Baldau hbaldau@noblefcm.com | Delek Group Ltd. to Acquire Major Stake in InPlay Oil Rating: OUTPERFORM
Delek Group to acquire major stake in InPlay. Delek Group Ltd. (TASE: DLEKG) executed a definitive agreement to acquire Obsidian Energy’s (TSX: OBE, NYSE American: OBE) common share position in InPlay Oil, consisting of 9,139,784 common shares representing approximately 32.7% of InPlay’s issued and outstanding shares. Subject to certain adjustments, the purchase price is C$10.00 per InPlay share, representing an aggregate transaction value of C$91,397,840. Recall that Obsidian received the shares as partial consideration for its April sale of Pembina Cardium assets to InPlay Oil. The transaction with Delek is expected to close in the first half of August 2025 and remains subject to satisfaction or waiver of certain closing conditions.
Rationale. Delek is an independent exploration and production company based in Israel that has embarked on an international expansion with a focus on high-potential opportunities in the North Sea and North America. Delek views Canada as a strong and stable jurisdiction for oil and gas investment and identified InPlay as an attractive partner in the Canadian energy sector due to its strong record of operational performance and successful acquisitions. Delek holds a 52% equity interest in Ithaca Energy plc and has played a key role in supporting Ithaca’s production growth since the time of its initial investment.
Steelcase (SCS/$16.58) Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262 To Be Acquired for $18.30/sh Rating: MARKET PERFORM
To Be Acquired. Steelcase has entered into an agreement to be acquired by HNI Corporation in a cash and stock transaction with total consideration of approximately $2.2 billion to Steelcase common shareholders, or about $18.30/sh, an 80% premium to Friday’s close.
Details. Under the terms of the agreement, Steelcase shareholders will receive $7.20 in cash and 0.2192 shares of HNI common stock for each share of Steelcase. The implied per share purchase price of $18.30 is based on HNI’s closing share price of $50.62 on Friday, August 1, 2025, reflecting a valuation multiple at transaction close for Steelcase of approximately 5.8x TTM adjusted EBITDA, inclusive of run-rate cost synergies of $120 million. Upon closing, HNI shareholders will own approximately 64%, and Steelcase shareholders will own approximately 36% of the combined company. The deal is expected to close by year-end.
V2X (VVX/$48.5 | Price Target: $72) Joe Gomes, CFA jgomes@noblefcm.com | 561-999-2262 Solid 2Q25 Results Rating: OUTPERFORM
2Q25 Results. Revenue came in at $1.078 billion, essentially flat with last year’s $1.072 billion and was in-line with our $1.08 billion estimate. Helped by the pull forward of the conclusion of a non-recurring contractual commitment, adjusted EBITDA was $82.4 million, or a 7.6% margin, compared to $72.3 million, or a 6.7% margin, last year. V2X reported adjusted EPS of $1.33 for 2Q25, up from $0.83 in 2Q24.
Moving Up to Franchise Programs. Highlighted by last week’s T-6 services award, V2X’s pipeline is reflecting larger, franchise type programs. These programs typically leverage all of V2X’s mission critical capabilities. Management noted the 3-year qualified pipeline is now approximately $50 billion in size.
Integral Ad Science (Nasdaq: IAS), a global leader in media measurement and optimization, announced Wednesday that it has entered into a definitive agreement to be acquired by Novacap, a North American private equity firm, in a transaction valued at approximately $1.9 billion.
Under the deal, Novacap will purchase all outstanding shares of IAS for $10.30 per share in cash, representing a roughly 22% premium over the company’s closing price on September 23. The agreement, which has been unanimously approved by IAS’s board of directors, is expected to close before the end of 2025, pending regulatory approvals.
Once finalized, IAS will become a privately held company and its shares will no longer trade on public markets. Current shareholder Vista Equity Partners, which played a significant role in expanding IAS’s AI-powered platform and customer base, will exit its investment upon completion of the deal.
For IAS, the acquisition represents a chance to accelerate its growth and innovation strategy in digital media quality. CEO Lisa Utzschneider highlighted the move as a milestone that will provide the company with the resources and flexibility to expand its AI-first measurement and optimization platform.
“Our mission has always been to set the global benchmark for trust and transparency in digital media quality,” Utzschneider said in a statement. “With Novacap’s support, we’ll be able to further scale our platform and deliver even more value to advertisers, publishers, and media partners.”
Novacap, which manages more than $10 billion in assets, sees IAS as a category leader with significant potential. Samuel Nasso, a partner at the firm, said Novacap plans to work closely with IAS leadership to accelerate innovation and strengthen its solutions for global brands and publishers.
The transaction is not subject to any financing conditions, and a majority of IAS shareholders have already approved the deal through written consent. Financial advisory roles were split, with Jefferies advising IAS and Evercore advising Novacap. Legal counsel was provided by Kirkland & Ellis for IAS and Willkie Farr & Gallagher for Novacap.
Founded in 2009, IAS has established itself as a trusted player in the digital advertising ecosystem, providing data and tools to ensure ads are viewable, brand-safe, and optimized for performance. By joining forces with Novacap, the company is expected to sharpen its competitive edge and continue expanding its role as a benchmark for media transparency in the rapidly evolving adtech landscape.
If the transaction closes on schedule, IAS will continue operating under its existing name and brand while shifting into private ownership under Novacap.
Pfizer Inc. (NYSE: PFE) has announced plans to acquire Metsera, Inc. (NASDAQ: MTSR), a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing next-generation obesity and cardiometabolic treatments. The all-cash deal, valued at $47.50 per share, represents an enterprise value of approximately $4.9 billion, with the potential for an additional $22.50 per share in contingent milestone payments tied to clinical and regulatory approvals.
The acquisition marks Pfizer’s most significant push yet into the rapidly growing obesity treatment market, an area forecasted to reach hundreds of billions in value globally over the coming decade. With over 200 health conditions linked to obesity, pharmaceutical companies are racing to develop therapies that offer stronger efficacy, fewer side effects, and more convenient dosing schedules.
Metsera brings to Pfizer a diverse pipeline of incretin and amylin programs, including both injectable and oral formulations designed to improve weight loss outcomes. Its lead candidates include:
MET-097i, a weekly and monthly injectable GLP-1 receptor agonist currently in Phase 2 trials.
MET-233i, a monthly amylin analog in Phase 1 development, being tested both as monotherapy and in combination with MET-097i.
Two oral GLP-1 receptor agonist candidates expected to begin clinical trials in the near term.
Additional preclinical nutrient-stimulated hormone therapeutics under development.
Preliminary clinical data for MET-233i presented at the 61st Annual Meeting of the European Association for the Study of Diabetes (EASD) indicated a potentially best-in-class profile, with strong durability and tolerability supporting less frequent injections.
Pfizer expects to leverage its global clinical, manufacturing, and commercial infrastructure to accelerate the development of Metsera’s portfolio. The acquisition aligns with the company’s broader strategy of expanding into high-growth therapeutic areas where demand is accelerating.
Under the agreement, Metsera shareholders will receive $47.50 in cash upon closing, with the possibility of an additional $22.50 per share through contingent value rights (CVRs). These CVRs include:
$5 per share upon the initiation of a Phase 3 trial for the MET-097i + MET-233i combination.
$7 per share upon U.S. FDA approval of MET-097i as a monthly monotherapy.
$10.50 per share upon FDA approval of the monthly MET-097i + MET-233i combination.
If all milestones are achieved, the transaction value could exceed $7 billion.
The deal has been unanimously approved by both companies’ boards of directors and is expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2025, subject to regulatory approval and shareholder consent.
With this acquisition, Pfizer joins competitors such as Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk in intensifying the race to dominate the obesity treatment market. By combining Metsera’s innovative science with Pfizer’s scale, the company aims to deliver next-generation weight management solutions to millions of patients worldwide.
GEK800 Small Engine Designed to Power the Next Generation of Affordable Unmanned Aerial Systems and CCA-type Aircraft
AFRL, GE Aerospace, Kratos Defense, and Purdue Zucrow Labs Collaborating on Extremely Tight Testing Timeline
SAN DIEGO, Sept. 23, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (Nasdaq: KTOS), a Technology Company in the Defense, National Security and Global Markets, and GE Aerospace (NYSE: GE) announced that they have started altitude testing on its GEK800 small engine designed to power the next generation of affordable unmanned aerial systems and CCA-type aircraft. The testing began today at an altitude test facility at Purdue University’s Maurice J. Zucrow Laboratories.
“Altitude testing is the next milestone in demonstrating our commitment to delivering high-performance, affordable, jet engines to support our defense customers,” said Stacey Rock, President of Kratos Turbine Technologies. “Our team is uniquely positioned to bring these advanced designs into high-rate production to support the rising demand for propulsion systems for cruise missiles and CCA-type aircraft. The GEK800 has been designed and engineered up front, from conception, to be manufactured in large quantities at a low cost.”
“The GEK800 engine has performed well and exceeded our expectations in its ground testing to date,” said Mark Rettig, Vice President of Edison Works Advanced Programs at GE Aerospace. “During altitude testing, we will collect data on the engine’s performance in a range of altitudes to assess its operability in simulated real-world conditions.”
“We are thrilled that the propulsion test infrastructure of our new lab created the opportunity to test the new GEK800 engine,” said Scott Meyer, Managing Director of Zucrow Laboratories. “The cooperation and comradery between the GE and Kratos teams, and our students and staff at Zucrow Labs, has been amazingly productive and a pleasure to be a part of. We are excited to have a role in the development of this critical new capability for our nation.”
The GEK800 is an 800-lb jet engine that could potentially power unmanned aerial systems (UAS), collaborative combat aircraft (CCAs), and missiles. Initially developed and ground tested by Kratos over the course of a decade, Kratos and GE Aerospace began working together in 2023 to complete additional development efforts and testing on the engine and have completed more than 50 engine starts in ground testing at Kratos and GE Aerospace testing facilities.
The altitude testing will focus on an altitude window between 5,000-35,000 feet and is anticipated to be complete by the end of the year. GE Aerospace, Kratos, and Purdue University have been collaborating for the last few months on the engine testing, which will be the first engine to test at newly expanded ZL9 test facility at Zucrow Labs.
“The collaboration between AFRL, GE Aerospace, Kratos Defense, and Purdue Zucrow Labs on an extremely tight timeline is outstanding. While demonstrating engine technology is clearly significant, the successful development of rapid and affordable altitude test capability is a crucial element in delivering on our nation’s defense readiness,” said Chris Rawlings, Vice President, of Kratos Turbine Technologies Defense Programs.
In June, Kratos and GE Aerospace announced the signing of a formal teaming agreement to advance propulsion technologies for the next generation of affordable unmanned aerial systems and CCA-type aircraft. This collaboration strengthens the companies’ ongoing partnership and builds on last year’s Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) to advance the development and production of small, cost-effective engines for unmanned platforms. The new teaming agreement expands on that MOU and provides the framework for the two companies to develop, manufacture, test, and field the GEK800 engine.
Kratos brings more than 25 years of experience developing and producing small, affordable engines for UAS, drones, and missile platforms. GE Aerospace adds a century of expertise in propulsion technology and the ability to scale advanced designs into high-rate production —helping bridge the gap from prototype to deployment.
About Kratos Defense & Security Solutions Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (NASDAQ: KTOS) is a technology, products, system and software company addressing the defense, national security, and commercial markets. Kratos makes true internally funded research, development, capital, and other investments, to rapidly develop, produce and field solutions that address our customers’ mission critical needs and requirements. At Kratos, affordability is a technology, and we seek to utilize proven, leading-edge approaches and technology, not unproven bleeding edge approaches or technology, with Kratos’ approach designed to reduce cost, schedule, and risk, enabling us to be first to market with cost effective solutions. We believe that Kratos is known as an innovative disruptive change agent in the industry, a company that is an expert in designing products and systems up front for successful rapid, large quantity, low-cost future manufacturing which is a value-add competitive differentiator for our large traditional prime system integrator partners and also to our government and commercial customers. Kratos intends to pursue program and contract opportunities as the prime or lead contractor when we believe that our probability of win (PWin) is high, and any investment required by Kratos is within our capital resource comfort level. We intend to partner and team with a large, traditional system integrator when our assessment of PWin is greater or required investment is beyond Kratos’ comfort level. Kratos’ primary business areas include virtualized ground systems for satellites and space vehicles including software for command & control (C2) and telemetry, tracking and control (TT&C), jet powered unmanned aerial drone systems, hypersonic vehicles and rocket systems, propulsion systems for drones, missiles, loitering munitions, supersonic systems, space craft and launch systems, C5ISR and microwave electronic products for missile, radar, missile defense, space, satellite, counter UAS, directed energy, communication and other systems, and virtual & augmented reality training systems for the warfighter. For more information, visit www.KratosDefense.com.
About GE Aerospace GE Aerospace is a global aerospace propulsion, services, and systems leader with an installed base of approximately 49,000 commercial and 29,000 military aircraft engines. With a global team of approximately 53,000 employees building on more than a century of innovation and learning, GE Aerospace is committed to inventing the future of flight, lifting people up, and bringing them home safely. Learn more about how GE Aerospace and its partners are defining flight for today, tomorrow, and the future at www.geaerospace.com.
Notice Regarding Forward-Looking Statements Certain statements in this press release may constitute “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements are made on the basis of the current beliefs, expectations and assumptions of the management of Kratos and are subject to significant risks and uncertainty. Investors are cautioned not to place undue reliance on any such forward-looking statements. All such forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are made, and Kratos undertakes no obligation to update or revise these statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Although Kratos believes that the expectations reflected in these forward-looking statements are reasonable, these statements involve many risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from what may be expressed or implied in these forward-looking statements. For a further discussion of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ from those expressed in these forward-looking statements, as well as risks relating to the business of Kratos in general, see the risk disclosures in the Annual Report on Form 10-K of Kratos for the year ended December 29, 2024, and in subsequent reports on Forms 10-Q and 8-K and other filings made with the SEC by Kratos.
SAN DIEGO, Sept. 23, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (Nasdaq: KTOS), a Technology Company in the Defense, National Security and Global Markets, today announced that Elroy Air, a leading developer of autonomous aerial cargo systems for middle-mile logistics and military resupply, has selected Kratos as Elroy Air’s exclusive U.S. manufacturing partner for the Chaparral in a new five-year strategic manufacturing agreement to accelerate expected high-volume production of the Chaparral hybrid-electric autonomous vertical takeoff-and-landing (VTOL) cargo drone.
Elroy Air’s Chaparral, shown here in flight, to be manufactured by Kratos
“Kratos is an established and trusted producer of military UAS and is unique in their manufacturing focus on affordability. Kratos has produced and delivered thousands of uncrewed aircraft, with a well-established and reliable supply chain for these systems. Their expanded production capabilities make them the ideal partner to bring Chaparral to market at scale,” said Elroy Air CEO Andrew Clare. “This partnership accelerates our ability to deliver Chaparral systems to the many customers waiting for them, across both defense and commercial markets.”
Kratos, a proven leader in the development and production of affordable, jet-powered composite unmanned aircraft for the U.S. Department of Defense, recently expanded its manufacturing capacity to support next-generation drone production. This new partnership leverages Kratos’ deep expertise and scaled infrastructure to put the Chaparral into high-volume production.
Eric DeMarco, President and CEO of Kratos, said, “Kratos is the recognized industry leader for rapid development, production, and delivery of affordable, leading technology unmanned aerial drone systems, which is a perfect fit with Elroy Air’s UAV roadmap, incredibly large forecasted addressable market and related future high volume production plans, including for the U.S. military. Kratos provides Elroy Air an immediate and unique competitive, customer differentiating, value-multiplier advantage, with Kratos’ up and running manufacturing facilities, qualified and executing supply chain and relevant past performance qualifications. Kratos’ partnership with Elroy Air is a recent example of Kratos delivering relevant products, not promises, power points and renditions, with expected tangible value creation for our stakeholders.”
“We are thrilled to partner with Elroy Air to produce their industry-leading drone for the dual-use market,” said Steve Fendley, President of Kratos Unmanned Systems Division. “Elroy Air’s market opportunity for Chaparral is already large and continuing to grow. With this growth, Kratos is ideally suited to transition the system to production. The Kratos team is the best in the world at establishing UAS production lines and optimizing affordability.”
Chaparral is designed to autonomously transport up to 300 pounds of cargo over 300 miles, affordably bridging critical logistics gaps for military resupply, disaster relief, and commercial express delivery. The vehicle’s unique hybrid-electric powertrain enables rapid refueling, extra power for recharging batteries and powering payloads in cruise flight, and longer-range cargo transport than similar-sized battery-electric aircraft.
Kratos will perform initial production of Chaparral at their Sacramento, California aircraft production facility and over time, transition to high-rate production at Kratos’ facilities in Oklahoma City. These efforts are expected to bring aerospace jobs to both regions and expand the current supply chain infrastructure that includes many other states across our nation. The first production Chaparral aircraft are planned to be built in 2026.
“Kratos’ proven ability to produce large, composite drones in high volumes makes them the perfect partner to help us scale production of the Chaparral,” said Dave Merrill, Elroy Air’s Founder and Executive Chairman. “Our customers are eager to expand their operations with our systems, and Kratos’ deep production expertise and track record will enable us to deliver robust, world-class Chaparral vehicles in high volumes.”
Kratos and Elroy Air will have their unmanned aircraft systems on display together at the upcoming Miramar Air Show held September 26-28 at the Marine Corps Air Station Miramar in San Diego, California.
About Kratos Defense & Security Solutions Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (NASDAQ: KTOS) is a technology, products, system and software company addressing the defense, national security, and commercial markets. Kratos makes true internally funded research, development, capital and other investments, to rapidly develop, produce and field solutions that address our customers’ mission critical needs and requirements. At Kratos, affordability is a technology, and we seek to utilize proven, leading-edge approaches and technology, not unproven bleeding-edge approaches or technology, with Kratos’ approach designed to reduce cost, schedule and risk, enabling us to be first to market with cost effective solutions. We believe that Kratos is known as an innovative disruptive change agent in the industry, a company that is an expert in designing products and systems up front for successful rapid, large quantity, low-cost future manufacturing which is a value-add competitive differentiator for our large traditional prime system integrator partners and also to our government and commercial customers. Kratos intends to pursue program and contract opportunities as the prime or lead contractor when we believe that our probability of win (PWin) is high and any investment required by Kratos is within our capital resource comfort level. We intend to partner and team with a large, traditional system integrator when our assessment of PWin is greater or required investment is beyond Kratos’ comfort level. Kratos’ primary business areas include virtualized ground systems for satellites and space vehicles including software for command & control (C2) and telemetry, tracking and control (TT&C), jet powered unmanned aerial drone systems, hypersonic vehicles and rocket systems, propulsion systems for drones, missiles, loitering munitions, supersonic systems, space craft and launch systems, C5ISR and microwave electronic products for missile, radar, missile defense, space, satellite, counter UAS, directed energy, communication and other systems, and virtual & augmented reality training systems for the warfighter. For more information, visit http://www.kratosdefense.com.
About Elroy Air Elroy Air is developing industry-first autonomous aircraft systems and cutting-edge software to revolutionize express shipping. Deploying innovative hybrid-electric and autonomous vehicle technologies, their vertical-takeoff-and-landing (VTOL) aircraft transcend traditional airport limitations, unlocking new frontiers in commercial air cargo, humanitarian aid, and military logistics. From agile, low-risk resupply for troops, to dynamic disaster response and firefighting support, to warehouse-to-warehouse express parcel transport, Elroy Air’s technology reshapes logistics possibilities. With facilities in Byron California, Elroy Air is backed by premier venture capital firms including Diamondstream Partners, Catapult Ventures, Marlinspike Partners, Snowpoint Ventures, and Shield Capital. Strategic investment from industry giants like Lockheed Martin Ventures and support from visionary angel investors including early Uber executives drive the company’s mission to provide same-day shipping to every person on the planet. For more information, visit elroyair.com.
Notice Regarding Forward-Looking Statements Certain statements in this press release may constitute “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements are made on the basis of the current beliefs, expectations and assumptions of the management of Kratos and are subject to significant risks and uncertainty. Investors are cautioned not to place undue reliance on any such forward-looking statements. All such forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are made, and Kratos undertakes no obligation to update or revise these statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Although Kratos believes that the expectations reflected in these forward-looking statements are reasonable, these statements involve many risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from what may be expressed or implied in these forward-looking statements. For a further discussion of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ from those expressed in these forward-looking statements, as well as risks relating to the business of Kratos in general, see the risk disclosures in the Annual Report on Form 10-K of Kratos for the year ended December 29, 2024, and in subsequent reports on Forms 10-Q and 8-K and other filings made with the SEC by Kratos.
