Travelzoo® provides its 30 million members with exclusive offers and one-of-a-kind experiences personally reviewed by our deal experts around the globe. We have our finger on the pulse of outstanding travel, entertainment, and lifestyle experiences. We work in partnership with more than 5,000 top travel suppliers—our long-standing relationships give Travelzoo members access to irresistible deals.
Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Softer than expected Q3 Results. The company reported Q3 revenue of $22.2 million, an increase of a solid 10.4%, and adj. EBITDA of $0.9 million, both of which were below our estimates of $23.0 million and $2.9 million, respectively. Importantly, the modestly softer than expected results were largely driven by weakness in advertising and increased marketing spend on customer acquisition.
Customer acquisition. Notably, in Q3, customer acquisition costs increased to $40 per customer, up from $38 in Q2 and $28 in Q1, reflecting the company’s strategic efforts to grow its subscriber base. Furthermore, despite higher acquisition spend per customer, return on spend remains positive. Total return per customer in Q3 was $55, which consists of $40 from annual subscription fees and $15 from in-quarter transactions. While this strategy impacted adj. EBITDA in Q3, it’s supportive of a favorable long term growth outlook.
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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Initiating with an Outperform rating. After years of revenue declines, we believe that the company is on the cusp of a swing toward revenue growth, offering a breakout opportunity for a stock that has been range-bound. We are initiating coverage with an Outperform rating and a $12 price target.
Well-recognized brands with growth potential. The company has established brands in workout videos, such as Insanity and P90x, and nutritional supplements, including Shakeology, Beachbar, and Beachbody Performance. Such strong brands are expected to support the company’s revenue growth initiatives as it expands distribution of its products into mass merchants.
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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
Lucky Strike Entertainment is one of the world’s premier location-based entertainment platforms. With over 360 locations across North America, Lucky Strike Entertainment provides experiential offerings in bowling, amusements, water parks, and family entertainment centers. The company also owns the Professional Bowlers Association, the major league of bowling and a growing media property that boasts millions of fans around the globe. For more information on Lucky Strike Entertainment, please visit ir.luckystrikeent.com.
Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Strategic update. On September 10, the company announced that its wholly-owned subsidiary Kingpin Intermediate Holdings LLC initiated a private offering of $700 million in new senior secured notes, due in 2032. Concurrently, the company launched a refinancing of its corporate term loan and revolving credit facility. The company expects the initial amount of the refinanced term loan and revolving credit facility to be $1 billion and $400 million, respectively.
Use of capital. Importantly, the net proceeds from the new debt offering and the refinanced credit facilities are earmarked for retiring the company’s existing term loan, revolving credit facility, and bridge loan, which was used to acquire 58 real estate assets in July. Furthermore, the remaining proceeds will be used to fund the company’s strategic initiatives.
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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
Travelzoo® provides its 30 million members with exclusive offers and one-of-a-kind experiences personally reviewed by our deal experts around the globe. We have our finger on the pulse of outstanding travel, entertainment, and lifestyle experiences. We work in partnership with more than 5,000 top travel suppliers—our long-standing relationships give Travelzoo members access to irresistible deals.
Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Mixed second quarter results. Revenues significantly increased 13.1% to $23.9 million, a sequential quarterly increase from 5.3% in Q1, reflecting its strategic shift toward a subscription based model. Adj. EBITDA fell short of our expectations, however, due to a step up in customer acquisition spend and the purchase of “distressed” vouchers.
Favorable customer acquisition dynamics. Customer acquisition costs went up in Q2 to $38 from $28 in Q1, but still remains positive. Total return is $58, $40 from the annual subscription fee and $18 from transactions. Management anticipates to continue to aggressively spend on customer acquisition in light of the favorable Return on Investment. These moves support a longer term attractive revenue outlook, but have a near term adverse impact on adj. EBITDA.
Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.
This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
Lucky Strike Entertainment is one of the world’s premier location-based entertainment platforms. With over 360 locations across North America, Lucky Strike Entertainment provides experiential offerings in bowling, amusements, water parks, and family entertainment centers. The company also owns the Professional Bowlers Association, the major league of bowling and a growing media property that boasts millions of fans around the globe. For more information on Lucky Strike Entertainment, please visit ir.luckystrikeent.com.
Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Purchases real estate. The company announced that it purchased the real estate of 58 existing bowling centers for $306 million from Carlyle Group, its main sale leaseback partner. The real estate is located in California, Illinois, Georgia, Arizona, and Colorado. With the purchase, the company now owns roughly 75 of its over 350 bowling centers.
Financing set. The company amended its existing credit facility to provide a bridge loan of $230 million towards the purchase. Cash was used for the remaining purchase amount. We believe that the company will reduce the bridge loan over the course of the next year through free cash flow generation.
Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.
This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
Travelzoo® provides its 30 million members with exclusive offers and one-of-a-kind experiences personally reviewed by our deal experts around the globe. We have our finger on the pulse of outstanding travel, entertainment, and lifestyle experiences. We work in partnership with more than 5,000 top travel suppliers—our long-standing relationships give Travelzoo members access to irresistible deals.
Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Joining the Russell. On June 10, the company announced that it is expected to join the Russell 3000 Index at market open on June 27. Notably, membership in the Russell 3000 Index, which remains active for one year, provides the company with automatic inclusion in the Russell 2000 Index.
Improved share visibility. In our view, joining the Russell Indices could provide a meaningful impact for the TZOO shares. Notably, we believe the inclusion in the Russell indices is likely to enhance the company’s share visibility among institutional investors and has the potential to increase trading volume, improve share liquidity, and introduce new investors to the company. As such, we view the development favorably.
Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.
This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
Codere Online refers, collectively, to Codere Online Luxembourg, S.A. and its subsidiaries. Codere Online launched in 2014 as part of the renowned casino operator Codere Group. Codere Online offers online sports betting and online casino through its state-of-the art website and mobile application. Codere currently operates in its core markets of Spain, Italy, Mexico, Colombia, Panama and the City of Buenos Aires (Argentina). Codere Online’s online business is complemented by Codere Group’s physical presence throughout Latin America, forming the foundation of the leading omnichannel gaming and casino presence in the region.
Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Files 20-F with SEC. On June 2, the company announced the filing of its 2024 annual report with the SEC. As a reminder, the company was not in compliance with Nasdaq listing requirements regarding the timely filing of financial results and requested a hearing to review the delisting determination. The issue started with a change in the company’s auditors.
Satisfying listing requirements. Notably, with the filing of its 20-F, the company believes it has regained compliance with the Nasdaq listing requirements and does not anticipate the hearing requested on May 22 will be necessary. Importantly, the filing puts the company back on track with its financial reporting.
Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.
This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
Key Points: – DICK’S to acquire Foot Locker for $2.4B equity value, $2.5B enterprise value – Combined company to operate globally across 20+ countries – Deal expected to be accretive to earnings and unlock $100M–$125M in cost synergies – Foot Locker to remain a standalone brand under the DICK’S portfolio
In a bold move set to reshape the global sports retail landscape, DICK’S Sporting Goods announced plans to acquire Foot Locker in a transaction valued at approximately $2.5 billion. The deal, expected to close in the second half of 2025, creates a retail giant capable of reaching a broader demographic—from performance-driven athletes to sneaker culture enthusiasts—across more than 20 countries.
Under the terms of the agreement, Foot Locker shareholders will have the option to receive either $24 per share in cash or 0.1168 shares of DICK’S common stock for each Foot Locker share. This represents a premium of 66% over Foot Locker’s recent 60-day volume-weighted average price. The acquisition multiple stands at roughly 6.1x Foot Locker’s 2024 adjusted EBITDA.
The merger significantly expands DICK’S international footprint while preserving Foot Locker’s brand identity. DICK’S plans to operate Foot Locker as a standalone business unit, retaining its portfolio of popular sub-brands like Champs Sports, Kids Foot Locker, WSS, and atmos. Combined, the companies will operate over 3,200 stores and generate nearly $20 billion in annual revenue.
For investors, this acquisition represents a strategic play to unlock long-term value through scale and operational efficiency. DICK’S expects the deal to be accretive to earnings in the first full fiscal year following the close—excluding one-time costs—and estimates $100–$125 million in medium-term cost synergies. These savings are projected to come from procurement, direct sourcing, and supply chain optimization.
The move also marks DICK’S entry into international markets and builds on its successful House of Sport concept by leveraging Foot Locker’s expertise in sneaker culture. The combined company will cater to a more diverse consumer base with differentiated store concepts and enhanced digital experiences.
Leadership at both companies highlighted the strategic and cultural alignment behind the deal. DICK’S Executive Chairman Ed Stack emphasized Foot Locker’s brand equity and cultural relevance, while CEO Lauren Hobart noted that the merger creates a new global platform for sports and sneaker culture.
Foot Locker CEO Mary Dillon framed the acquisition as a natural evolution of the brand’s mission and a value-creating opportunity for shareholders, giving them the choice between immediate liquidity and future growth participation.
The transaction will be financed through a combination of cash-on-hand and new debt, with Goldman Sachs providing committed bridge financing. Regulatory approval and a shareholder vote are the final hurdles, with no major obstacles expected.
For small-cap investors, this deal has wide implications. While neither DICK’S nor Foot Locker are in the small-cap bracket themselves, the merger sends a strong signal that retail consolidation is accelerating. The competitive pressures and strategic partnerships that follow could impact suppliers, regional chains, and logistics companies that serve the growing global sports retail ecosystem.
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Today, the cruise ship industry is seeing remarkable activity in its stocks, with Carnival, Royal Caribbean, and Norwegian Cruise Line experiencing notable surges. This spike follows Norwegian Cruise Line’s announcement of enhanced financial guidance for 2024 and ambitious targets for 2026. The company’s new “Charting The Course” strategy, which includes significant yield growth expectations and improved EBITDA forecasts, has bolstered investor confidence, driving up not only Norwegian’s shares but also those of Carnival and Royal Caribbean.
The surge in these stocks signals a robust recovery for the cruise industry, which was one of the hardest-hit sectors during the COVID-19 pandemic. The current upswing is largely attributed to strong demand and record bookings reported by these companies, reflecting renewed consumer interest in cruise vacations. Additionally, strategic initiatives focusing on long-term financial health and sustainability are positioning these companies for continued growth and stability.
This positive momentum in the cruise sector has broader implications for the travel industry. Companies like Travelzoo, which specializes in travel deals, stand to benefit from the increased promotional activities and consumer interest in cruises. As cruise companies offer more deals to attract customers, platforms like Travelzoo can capitalize by featuring a wider range of cruise packages, driving higher engagement and potentially boosting revenues.
Investors observing these trends should note the underlying factors contributing to the surge. The increased bookings and optimistic financial forecasts indicate a strong recovery trajectory for the cruise industry. Moreover, strategic partnerships and marketing initiatives by cruise lines can enhance consumer reach and operational efficiency, creating a favorable environment for growth.
While the surge in cruise ship stocks is promising, it’s crucial for investors to consider the broader context and potential risks. The recovery is partly dependent on continued consumer confidence and the ability of these companies to manage operational challenges post-pandemic. Additionally, the sustainability initiatives and financial health strategies of these companies will play a significant role in their long-term performance.
In conclusion, the recent activity in cruise ship stocks highlights a positive outlook for the travel sector. Norwegian Cruise Line’s enhanced financial guidance and strategic targets have instilled confidence in the market, benefiting not only the company but also its competitors, Carnival and Royal Caribbean. For investors, understanding the dynamics driving this surge and the potential implications for related companies like Travelzoo can provide valuable insights into the evolving travel industry landscape. As always, it is essential to approach investment decisions with a comprehensive understanding of market trends and potential risks.
Shein, the Chinese fast fashion juggernaut, is aiming to achieve a massive $80-90 billion valuation in its eventual US stock market debut according to sources familiar with the company’s IPO plans.
The online fashion retailer has quickly become one of the largest in the world on the back of its ultra-fast production cycles and rock bottom pricing. Shein boasts a selection of over 5,000 fashion items with over 1,000 new products added daily. This rapid launch cadence along with AI-driven fashion designs and targeted social media marketing have supercharged Shein’s popularity among Gen Z consumers.
Shein’s meteoric rise has made it one of the most valuable private companies in the world. The company hit a $100 billion valuation in its last funding round in 2021. However, subsequent secondary market trades of Shein shares revealed erosion in its value, with estimates between $50-60 billion earlier this year.
The firm is looking to capitalize on the growth in online shopping with its planned US stock exchange listing. Shein is aiming to raise around $2 billion from public market investors as it continues its quest for global fashion industry dominance.
Shein has not officially confirmed its IPO plans yet, but is said to be targeting the second half of 2023 for its market debut. The timing remains in flux given the recent stock market volatility and economic uncertainty.
Unlike most ecommerce firms, Shein has claimed profitability since its inception. The company boasts strong margins partly derived from minimal advertising spend. Shein instead relies extensively on social media influencers and word-of-mouth among its primarily Gen Z fanbase.
The Chinese company does not disclose its financials publicly, but reportedly generated over $16 billion in sales in 2021. It has also expanded aggressively in Europe, the US and other international markets. Shein’s app was the second most downloaded shopping app globally on iOS last year after Amazon.
However, Shein faces controversies around alleged labor rights violations, plagiarized designs, and environmental concerns related to its fast fashion model. Critics also argue the opacity around its operations and finances warrant closer regulatory scrutiny especially as it plans to go public.
Shein’s US IPO will be a key test of investor appetite for cash-burning technology unicorns in the current market. Chinese companies listing in the US also face tighter regulations now. A number of them have opted instead for Hong Kong and domestic China exchanges more recently.
Nonetheless, the online fashion giant has its sights set firmly on tapping into public markets to fuel its next wave of worldwide expansion. Shein aims to leverage its digital-first model and supply chain agility to continue eating market share from struggling traditional retailers.
If Shein manages to pull off a $90 billion IPO, it would rank as one of the largest US listings ever for a foreign company. The blockbuster offering could set the stage for Shein to disrupt the global fashion hierarchy dominated by H&M, Zara and other legacy incumbents.
Casino and hotel operator MGM Resorts tumbled last week after revealing it was hit by a data breach impacting over 10 million former guests. The hack showcases the cyber risks facing hospitality firms and dragged down related stocks as investors weighed the potential fallout.
MGM shares dropped over 4% following its disclosure of the breach as investors reacted to the cyberattack. The stock slide reflected concerns over potential costs from lawsuits, technical remedies, and reputational damage.
The attack also stoked fears of similar incidents across the broader hospitality sector. Airline, cruise, and casino stocks all declined as analysts noted cyber threats facing the industry. Leisure companies handle vast customer data and suffer from downtime, making them prime hacker targets.
Broader equity markets proved resilient to the MGM incident. But cybersecurity stocks rallied on expectations companies may now invest more in protecting data and systems going forward. Top gainers included cyber firms Palo Alto Networks and CrowdStrike.
The MGM breach follows several recent high-profile hacks of casinos and gaming firms. The frequency of attacks has put the industry on notice. New Nevada regulations now require prompt breach disclosures from casinos. Once inside a network, hackers can often access customer financial data. Small casinos have paid millions in ransoms to regain control of systems.
While the MGM breach didn’t significantly sway major indexes, it highlights the dangers posed by cyber criminals. A larger incident paralyzing critical infrastructure could certainly roil markets. This incident is an important reminder of the growing cyber threats facing corporations and customers alike in today’s digitally connected world.
Investors Have Far Fewer Reservations Against Investing in Leisure
Memorial Day Weekend in the U.S. marks the beginning of the travel season. After a few years on hiatus, as a result of Covid-19 restrictions, travel in 2023 is expected to surpass pre-pandemic numbers. While many investors are focused on the debt ceiling, less accommodative monetary policy, and looking for an entry point to invest in AI technology, post-pandemic travel plans are increasing – and the returns of some companies reflect this. One segment of the travel sector has benefitted and provided double-digit YTD stock returns. Below we discuss this segment and the potential for the future.
Travel Booking Stocks
When was the last time you went to an airline website to book a flight with them, or even a hotel for that matter? Most of us now find ourselves on a booking website when we’re planning a vacation. On these platforms, we can compare prices more easily, and if we’d like, add on extras like a car rental. Some even have proprietary package deals.
Technological advancements have created even greater efficiencies among booking and vacation travel package companies. Other positives for growth are pent-up demand, diversified revenue streams, and valuations still considered attractive. These all provide a backdrop and potential for the medium and long-term growth of the travel booking industry.
The chart above is a year-to-date sampling of examples of stocks in this leisure segment that have outperformed the overall market (S&P 500). Below, from weakest performer to strongest, are details of each company’s unique business, market cap, and other interesting investor information:
Expedia (EXPE) is a global travel company that provides a wide range of travel services, including flights, hotels, car rentals, and vacation packages.
This is a large cap stock with a current market cap of $14.33 billion, at $96.85 per share.
The company is headquartered in Seattle, Washington.
Booking Holdings (BKNG) is a travel company that owns a number of popular travel brands, including Booking.com, Priceline.com, and Kayak.com.
This is a large-cap stock with a current market cap of $97.61 billion, at $45.41 per share.
The company is headquartered in Norwalk, CT.
Allegiant Travel (ALGT) is a leisure travel company that provides travel services and other products to under-served cities in the U.S. This includes flights between vacation destinations. As of February 1, 2023, Allegiant operated a fleet of 122 Airbus A320 series aircraft.
This is a small cap stock with a current market cap of $1.85 billion, at a price of $99.96 per share.
The company is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.
Travelzoo (TZOO) has a unique business model as it operates as an Internet media company that provides travel, entertainment, and deals from travel and leisure businesses worldwide. Publication products include the Travelzoo Top 20 email newsletter, Travelzoo emails, Travelzoo Network, Travelzoo mobile applications, Jack’s Flight Club website, Jack’s Flight Club mobile applications, and Jack’s Flight Club newsletters.
The year-to-date performance of TZOO is 10x that of the S&P 500.
In a research report dated April 28, 2023, Michael Kupinski, the senior research analyst for media and entertainment, had this to say about Travelzoo, “We believe that there is a disconnect with investors and the improved fundamentals at the company. Near current levels, the TZOO shares appear compelling, trading at 5.3 times Enterprise Value to our 2024 cash flow estimate or below the low end of the company’s 10-year and 15-year average trading ranges.” See the report here.
Current market cap is $133.05 million, at $8.69 per share.
The company is headquartered in New York, NY.
Image: “This Memorial Day weekend could be the busiest at airports since 2005” – AAA Newsroom
Take Away
Travel booking companies are well-positioned to benefit from the recovery of the overall leisure industry. Small cap travel booking companies are often more nimble and innovative than larger companies; this could give them an advantage in the travel booking market.
People are spending more money on travel. Companies like those mentioned above welcome the opening of China, allowing citizens to travel and return. In addition to the overall post-pandemic volume of business, travelers are spending more money on trips than they did before the restrictions.
