Falling Mortgage Rates Lift U.S. Home Sales — But Prices Remain Stubbornly High

The U.S. housing market gained momentum in September as falling mortgage rates helped drive home sales to their strongest level in seven months. Despite the uptick, prices remain elevated, reflecting the persistent challenges of limited supply and strong demand.

Sales of previously owned homes rose 1.5% from August to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.06 million units, according to the National Association of Realtors. Although slightly below analysts’ expectations, sales were still more than 4% higher than a year earlier, signaling steady improvement in buyer activity.

The increase came as mortgage rates eased during the summer. The average rate on a 30-year fixed loan declined from 6.67% at the start of July to 6.17% by the end of September, making home purchases slightly more affordable for prospective buyers. Improved affordability, combined with rising confidence in the housing market, has encouraged more buyers to return despite lingering concerns about high costs.

Inventory levels also improved modestly, rising 14% from a year ago to 1.55 million homes for sale. However, supply remains below pre-pandemic norms, and at the current sales pace, the market still leans toward sellers. Many homeowners remain financially stable and see little urgency to sell, keeping distressed listings to a minimum.

Prices continued their steady climb in September. The median existing home price reached $415,200, up 2.1% from the previous year and marking the 27th consecutive month of annual gains. Home values are now more than 50% higher than before the pandemic began, underscoring how resilient pricing has remained even in the face of higher borrowing costs over the past two years.

Much of the current growth is being led by the upper end of the market. Sales of homes priced above $1 million jumped roughly 20% from last year, supported by a rise in luxury listings and affluent buyers taking advantage of more favorable borrowing conditions. In contrast, lower-priced homes under $100,000 saw only modest increases, constrained by affordability barriers and limited availability.

First-time buyers are beginning to reappear, accounting for 30% of September transactions compared with 26% a year ago. Lower rates and a modest increase in available homes are helping younger buyers re-engage, although many remain priced out of major metro areas. Roughly 30% of all transactions were completed in cash, highlighting the continued presence of investors and high-net-worth buyers in the market.

Homes are also taking slightly longer to sell, with properties remaining on the market for an average of 33 days compared with 28 a year ago. This may reflect both higher asking prices and a more measured pace among buyers evaluating their options.

Overall, the latest data suggests that easing mortgage rates are breathing some life back into the housing market. However, until supply improves meaningfully and price growth slows, affordability will remain a significant obstacle for many households hoping to buy a home.

Superior Group of Companies (SGC) – Looking Beyond The Third Quarter


Thursday, October 23, 2025

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Q3 Preview. We expect that there will be some impact on the third quarter from the “pull forward” in Branded Product revenue into the second quarter as consumers reacted ahead of possible trade policy changes. As such, we are modestly lowering our Q3 revenue and earnings expectations, highlighted in Figure #1 Q3 Revisions. 

Largest variance. The largest adjustment to our Q3 revenue estimate is in Branded Products, revised from $89.8 million to $85.0 million. In our view, this segment offers one of the largest upside surprise potential in Q4, which could benefit from an improving macro economy. 


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Release – Noble Capital Markets Initiates Equity Research Coverage on Twin Hospitality Group Inc.

Research News and Market Data on TWNP

October 22, 2025

PDF Version

DALLAS, Oct. 22, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Twin Hospitality Group Inc. (“Twin Hospitality”) (Nasdaq: TWNP), the parent company of Twin Peaks Restaurant and Smokey Bones, is pleased to announce that Noble Capital Markets has initiated company-sponsored equity research coverage on the Company. The full report by Noble Capital Markets Senior Research Analyst, Joe Gomes, as well as news and advanced market data on Twin Hospitality, is available on Channelchek.

FAT Brands Inc. (NASDAQ: FAT) served as the parent company that executed the strategic spin-out of Twin Hospitality Group earlier this year, separating its Twin Peaks and Smokey Bones restaurant brands into Twin Hospitality Group Inc. 

About Twin Hospitality Group Inc.:

Twin Hospitality Group Inc. (NASDAQ: TWNP) is a restaurant company that strategically develops, operates, and franchises specialty casual dining restaurant concepts with a goal of redefining the casual dining category with its experiential-driven brands, Twin Peaks and Smokey Bones. Twin Peaks, known as the ultimate sports lodge, is an award-winning restaurant and sports bar brand with 114 locations across 27 states and Mexico and is known for its made-from-scratch food, 29-degree draft beer, innovative cocktail program and sports on wall-to-wall televisions. Smokey Bones is a full-service, meat-centric restaurant brand and concept with 45 locations, across 15 states specializing in ribs and a variety of other slow-smoked, fire-grilled and seared meats, along with a full bar. For more information, please visit www.twinpeaksrestaurant.com.

About Noble Capital Markets:

Established in 1984, Noble Capital Markets is an SEC / FINRA registered full-service investment bank and advisory firm with an award-winning research team and proprietary investor distribution platform. We deliver middle market expertise to entrepreneurs, corporations, financial sponsors, and investors. Over the past 40 years, Noble has raised billions of dollars for companies and published more than 45,000 equity research reports.

About Channelchek:

Noble launched www.channelchek.com in 2018 – an investor community dedicated exclusively to public emerging growth and their industries. Channelchek is the first service to offer institutional-quality research to the public, for FREE at every level without a subscription. More than 7,000 public emerging growth companies are listed on the site, and content including equity research, webcasts, and industry articles.

Investor Relations:
ICR
Michelle Michalski
ir@twinpeaksrestaurant.com

Media Relations:
Erin Mandzik
emandzik@fatbrands.com
860-212-6509

Twin Hospitality (TWNP) – A High-Growth, Asset Light Restaurant Franchisor


Tuesday, October 21, 2025

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Initiation. We are initiating equity research coverage on Twin Hospitality Group with an Outperform rating and $10 price target. Twin Hospitality is a franchisor and operator of two specialty casual dining restaurant concepts: Twin Peaks and Smokey Bones. The Company is a high-growth, asset light restaurant franchisor with a compelling franchisee value proposition, in our view. On January 29, 2025, parent company FAT Brands distributed approximately 5% of Twin Hospitality Class A shares to FAT Brands shareholders, bringing Twin Hospitality public.

A Premium Sports Bar Leader. Twin Hospitality currently operates approximately 115 Twin Peaks locations, consisting of 35 Company-owned and 80 franchised units. Twin Peaks offers a differentiated sports bar experience, from the lodge experience, to its signature 28-degree draft beer, a made-from-scratch menu, always-on wall-to-wall TVs, to the Twin Peaks Ambassadors, every customer receives an experience differentiated from the competition.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Release – ACCO Brands Corporation Announces Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Webcast

Research News and Market Data on ACCO

10/17/2025

LAKE ZURICH, Ill.–(BUSINESS WIRE)– ACCO Brands Corporation (NYSE: ACCO) today announced that it will release its third quarter 2025 earnings after the market close on October 30, 2025. The Company will host a conference call and webcast to discuss the results on October 31 at 8:30 a.m. EST. The webcast can be accessed through the Investor Relations section of www.accobrands.com and will be available for replay.

About ACCO Brands Corporation

ACCO Brands is the leader in branded consumer products that enable productivity, confidence and enjoyment while working, when learning and while playing. Our widely recognized brands include AT-A-GLANCE®, Five Star®, Kensington®, Leitz®, Mead®, PowerA®, Swingline®, Tilibra® and many others. More information about ACCO Brands Corporation (NYSE: ACCO) can be found atwww.accobrands.com.

For further information:

Chris McGinnis
Investor Relations
(847) 796-4320

Kori Reed
Media Relations
(224) 501-0406

Source: ACCO Brands Corporation

Vince Holding Corp. (VNCE) – Highlights From Noble’s Virtual Conference


Tuesday, October 14, 2025

500 5th Avenue 20th Floor New York, NY 10110 United States Sector(s): Consumer Cyclical Industry: Apparel Manufacturing Full Time Employees: 599 Key Executives Name Title Pay Exercised Year Born Mr. Jonathan CEO & Director 825.62k N/A 1958 Ms. Marie Fogel Senior VP and Chief Merchandising & Manufacturing Officer 633.19k N/A 1961 Mr. John Chief Financial Officer

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Transformational progress. Brendan Hoffman, CEO, Yuji Okumura, CFO, and Akiko Okuma, Chief Administrative Officer, discussed the significant transformation of the company toward revenue and cash flow growth and profitability at Noble’s Virtual Emerging Growth Conference on October 8th & 9th. Highlights from the fireside chat are featured in this report, and the full discussion is available here

Minimizing the China impact. The company significantly reduced sourcing concentration from roughly 60% of production in China to approximately 25% today, offsetting the impact of tariff rates as high as 158%. Management noted that long-standing manufacturing partners in China have established sister facilities in other Asian countries, helping preserve quality standards while lowering exposure risk.


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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

SKYX Platforms (SKYX) – Noble Virtual Conference Highlights


Tuesday, October 14, 2025

Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Highlights from Noble’s Emerging Growth Virtual Conference. Lenny Sokolow, CEO of SKYX Platforms (NASDAQ: SKYX), presented at Noble’s Virtual Conference on October 8–9, 2025. He discussed growing developer adoption, the upcoming Smart Ceiling Heater / Fan launch, progress toward mandatory code standardization, and reaffirmed expectations for adj. EBITDA inflection in Q4. A rebroadcast can be found here.

Developer partnerships gaining momentum. SKYX continues to expand across the builder channel with projects from Landmark Companies (278-unit Austin apartments), Forte Developments (luxury towers in Miami, Clearwater Beach, and Jupiter), Cavco Homes (premium prefabricated models), and the $3 billion Miami Urban Smart City. These initiatives represent large-scale unit potential and underscore accelerating adoption among professional developers.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

ONE Group Hospitality (STKS) – Randian Adds Some Detail


Tuesday, October 14, 2025

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Additional Detail. Randian Capital added another post on the social media platform X, providing additional details to its proposed turnaround plan for ONE Group Hospitality. Reportedly, the latest Randian X post was in response to STKS CEO Manny Hilario and CFO Nicole Thaung stating they had not engaged with Randian and were unaware if the firm held shares. The pair reiterated that ONE Group had no changes to guidance or plans for capital deployment being made.

The Driver. As we noted in our September 29th note, Randian believes there is tangible, underutilized value in this franchise—especially in Benihana, a legendary brand with global recognition and untapped potential. However, poor capital allocation, slipping operational execution, and marketing that is failing to drive engagement have resulted in a 60% decline in the share price since the 2024 Benihana acquisition, according to Randian.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Alliance Entertainment Holding (AENT) – Noble Virtual Conference Highlights


Tuesday, October 14, 2025

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Management appeared confident. Bruce Ogilvie, Executive Chairman, and Jeffrey Walker, CEO, presented at Noble’s October 8th & 9th Virtual Emerging Growth Conference. This report highlights the company’s presentation and fireside Q&A chat, which provided a sanguine outlook for improved margins into fiscal 2026. Investors may listen to the company’s presentation here

Favorable margin expansion outlook. Operating margins are expected to expand in fiscal 2026, supported by a full year of the company’s high margin licensing deal with Paramount and development of its Handmade by Robots collectible line. In addition, management anticipates further operating efficiencies. 


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

FAT Brands (FAT) – Some Legal Resolution


Monday, October 13, 2025

FAT Brands (NASDAQ: FAT) is a leading global franchising company that strategically acquires, markets, and develops fast casual, quick-service, casual dining, and polished casual dining concepts around the world. The Company currently owns 17 restaurant brands: Round Table Pizza, Fatburger, Marble Slab Creamery, Johnny Rockets, Fazoli’s, Twin Peaks, Great American Cookies, Hot Dog on a Stick, Buffalo’s Cafe & Express, Hurricane Grill & Wings, Pretzelmaker, Elevation Burger, Native Grill & Wings, Yalla Mediterranean and Ponderosa and Bonanza Steakhouses, and franchises and owns over 2,300 units worldwide. For more information on FAT Brands, please visit www.fatbrands.com.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Legal Resolution. In an 8-K filing, FAT Brands disclosed that the Company and certain current and former directors and officers have reached a settlement agreement with stockholders of the Company to resolve two lawsuits known as Harris I and Harris II. The Derivative Actions were filed in June 2021, relating to the Company’s December 2020 merger with Fog Cutter Capital Group, and in March 2022, relating to the Company’s June 2021 recapitalization.

Details. Under the terms of the settlement agreement, the Company’s Board of Directors agreed to adopt and implement certain corporate governance modifications. In addition, the Company’s insurers will pay to the Company $10 million, from which fees and expenses of plaintiffs’ counsel will be deducted, and Fog Cutter Holdings LLC will contribute 200,000 Class A shares of Twin Hospitality Group Inc. to the Company.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Release – 1-800-FLOWERS.COM Names Home Depot Veteran Melanie Babcock Chief Marketing and Growth Officer

Research News and Market Data on FLWS

Oct 06, 2025

JERICHO, N.Y., Oct. 6, 2025 /PRNewswire/ — Today, 1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc. (NASDAQ: FLWS), a leading provider of thoughtful expressions designed to help inspire customers to express and connect, announced the appointment of Melanie Babcock as Chief Marketing and Growth Officer. In her new role, Babcock will lead all aspects of marketing strategy, brand positioning, customer acquisition and retention, and revenue growth initiatives.  She will report directly to 1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc. CEO Adolfo Villagomez.

Melanie Babcock, Chief Marketing and Growth Officer, 1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc.

A digital pioneer, Babcock has served in several leadership roles at The Home Depot for over a decade. Most recently, she served as Vice President of Orange Apron Media and Monetization, where she pioneered and built the retail media division and oversaw the strategy and execution of the company’s retail media network. Under her leadership, Orange Apron Media achieved double-digit year-over-year growth, rebranded from Retail Media+ to Orange Apron Media, and launched the industry’s first “InFronts” conference for advertisers.  At The Home Depot, Babcock also served as Vice President of Integrated Media and Retail Media+, where she transformed the company’s marketing strategy from product-centric to personalized customer marketing.

“We’re at an inflection point in our transformation, and Melanie brings the perfect combination of strategic vision and execution expertise,” said Adolfo Villagomez, CEO of 1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc. “Her proven ability to scale brands, build exceptional teams, and drive customer-centric growth will be invaluable to our market leadership. I’m thrilled to welcome her to the leadership team.”

In the newly created role, Babcock will drive the evolution of marketing into a full-funnel flywheel that builds awareness, acquisition, and retention—enabling a more intuitive, personalized, and connected customer journey. A key priority will be strengthening customer focus by modernizing the digital experience to improve product discoverability and enhancing merchandising strategy through stronger data infrastructure and streamlined brand architecture based on end-to-end AI strategy.  This customer-centric approach will be instrumental as the company accelerates its transformation and strengthens its position as a leader in gifting and celebrations.

“Few brands have the heritage and cultural connection that 1-800-FLOWERS.com has built over the last 50 years,” said Melanie Babcock, Chief Marketing and Growth Officer, 1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc. “I’m energized by the opportunity to help write its next chapter—strengthening its position as a leader while driving meaningful growth. I couldn’t be more excited to join Adolfo and this team.” 

Before joining The Home Depot, Babcock held leadership positions at Cardlytics, MSL GROUP/Publicis Groupe, and Ketchum, where she consistently built high-performing teams and drove significant revenue growth through digital and strategic partnership initiatives.

About 1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc.
‍For almost 50 years 1-800-FLOWERS.COM, and 1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc. has served as the premier destination for meaningful gifting, helping people express and connect through thoughtful giving. As an omnichannel retailer, the company’s portfolio includes more than 18 premium brands, such as 1-800-Flowers.com®, Harry & David®, PersonalizationMall.com®, and Things Remembered®1-800-FLOWERS.COM also supports local community businesses nationwide through BloomNet®, its network of local florists and merchants, that enables same-day delivery. The company also operates Napco℠, a leading resource for floral gifts and seasonal décor, and DesignPac Gifts, LLC, a manufacturer of gift baskets and towers.

FLWS-COMP

Media:
Press@1800flowers.com

1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc. Corporate Logo

CisionView original content to download multimedia:https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/1-800-flowerscom-names-home-depot-veteran-melanie-babcock-chief-marketing-and-growth-officer-302574956.html

SOURCE 1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc.

Xcel Brands (XELB) – Exiting A Successful Run


Monday, October 06, 2025

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Exits its Mizrahi interest. The company transferred its remaining 17.5% interest in Isaac Mizrahi to IM Topco, effectively exiting its interest in the brand. The exit of the Mizrahi relationship with Xcel caps a storied and successful run with the company since 2011. Under Xcel, Mizrahi expanded its categories and collections on QVC and into such retailers as Bloomingdale’s and Nordstrom.  

Financial upside. Xcel has a participation right should IM Topco sell the company above $46.0 million, coincidentally, the price that Xcel sold its 60% interest. Xcel would receive 15% of the net consideration in excess of the $46 million. In addition, we believe that the company will benefit from the absent of costs related to the brand, particularly employee costs. 


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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

SKYX Platforms (SKYX) – Strengthening Position Among Residential Developers


Monday, October 06, 2025

Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Landmark partnership expands builder channel. SKYX announced it will supply more than 10,000 smart plug-and-play lighting and safety products to a 278-apartment project in Austin, Texas led by Landmark Companies. We believe this marks another important step in the company’s efforts to penetrate the builder channel, signaling traction with traditional residential developers.

Potential for broader builder relationships. By establishing a relationship with a large developer like Landmark, SKYX positions itself for additional project opportunities if early deployments prove successful. This deal highlights the potential for SKYX to extend its platform into the broader residential developer market, with initial supply expected to begin as early as within the next quarter or two.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.