Research – Cumulus Media (CMLS) –

Tuesday, April 16, 2019

Cumulus Media (CMLS)

Four Key Takeaways From The Recent Announcement.

Cumulus Media, Inc., a radio broadcasting company, engages in the acquisition, operation, and development of commercial radio stations in mid-size radio markets in the United States. It owns and operates FM and AM radio station clusters that serve mid-sized markets. The company, through its investment in Cumulus Media Partners, LLC, also operates radio station clusters serving large-sized markets. 

Michael Kupinski, DOR, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to full report for price target, fundamental analysis and rating. 

  • Another deleveraging transaction. The company announced plans to sell KLOS radio station
    for a favorable $43 million, an estimated multiple of an attractive 8 times
    cash flow. We believe that the net proceeds from the transaction will be
    roughly $39 million, with the proceeds to be used to pay down debt. The
    transaction is expected to close in the third quarter 2019.
  • The company also announced plans to swap two of its
    Connecticut radio stations for four stations in Allentown, Pennsylvania,
    strengthening its portfolio of two existing stations in that market and
    complimenting its strong station group in Pennsylvania. The move should enhance
    cash flow margins. 


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Research – Coeur Mining (CDE) – First quarter production results

Monday, April 15, 2019

Coeur Mining (CDE)

What Will It Take To Turn The Tide?

Coeur Mining Inc is a metals producer focused on mining precious minerals in the Americas. The company is involved on the discovery and mining of gold and silver, and generates the vast majority of revenue from the sale of these precious metals. The operating mines of company are palmarejo, rochester, wharf, and kensington.

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to full report for price target, fundamental analysis and rating. 

  • CDE reports first quarter
    2019 production results.
      Coeur Mining reported lower than expected first
    quarter production of 78,336 ounces of gold, 2.5 million ounces of silver, 3.7
    million pounds of zinc and 3.1 million pounds of lead.  While management
    indicated that first quarter production met their expectations and maintained
    full year 2019 production guidance, the company may have some catching up to do
    in subsequent quarters.   
  • Adjusting estimates.  We are lowering our first quarter estimate to roughly
    break-even per share, compared to our prior estimate of $0.02 per share. 
    Our full year 2019 EPS and EBITDA estimates have been lowered to $0.11 and
    $160.4 million, from $0.15 and $183.3 million.  We have also reduced our
    2020 EPS and EBI
    … 







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Research – Endeavour Silver (EXK) – Waiting for a turnaround

Monday, April 15, 2019

Endeavour Silver Corporation (EXK)

Waiting for the Turnaround at Guanacevi.

Endeavour Silver Corp is a precious metal mining company. The company is primarily engaged in silver mining and owns three high-grade, underground, silver-gold mines in Mexico. Its other business activities include acquisition, exploration, development, extraction, processing, refining and reclamation.

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to full report for price target, fundamental analysis and rating. 

  • EXK reports first quarter
    production results.  
    Compared to the prior year period, first quarter silver and
    gold production declined 20.7% and 23.9% to 1,071,355 ounces and 10,055 ounces,
    respectively.  The decline was attributed to lower silver grades at the
    Guanacevi mine and anticipated production declines at the Bolanitos and El Cubo
    mines.  Compared to the fourth quarter of 2018, first quarter silver and
    gold production declined 22.7% and 23.3%, respectively.
  • Updating estimates.  While our 2020 estimates are unchanged, we are
    lowering our 2019 EPS and EBITDA estimates to $0.04 and $36.6 million from
    $0.05 and $40.1 million, respectively.  Our
    … 







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Research – Dyadic (DYAI) – Nasdaq Up-Listing Approved

Monday, April 15, 2019

Dyadic International (DYAI)

The Importance Behind The Nasdaq Up-Listing.

Dyadic International Inc. is a biotechnology company developing a proprietary expression platform to manufacture of biologic products. The company is employing C1 technology, part of a fungi expression system, to produce variety of modalities of biologic products, including vaccines, oncolytic viruses, monoclonal and bispecific antibodies, as well as biosimilars. 

Ahu Demir, Ph.D., Biotechnology Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to full report for price target, fundamental analysis and rating. 

  • Important Milestone Accomplishment. Dyadic has announced the up-listing of its common stock on The Nasdaq
    Capital Market Exchange under stock symbol “DYAI”. The company has
    maintained the stock price requirement, for Nasdaq, following its SEC filing on
    February 2019. Trading will commence as early as 

    April 17, 2019. We believe this
    is an important milestone for the company and its current and future investors. 
  • Why is this important?  The company has accomplished key
    milestones as guided, including the SEC filing and the Nasdaq up-listing. The
    stock has gained +112% YTD 2019. We believe the biggest potential benefit from
    the up-listing is increased visibility and tran…





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Research – Scorpio Bulkers (SALT) – Liquidity boost; adjusting estimates

Friday, April 12, 2019

Scorpio Bulkers Inc. (SALT)

Dry Bulk Market Weakness Impacts Estimates, But Refinancing Activity Boosts Liquidity.

Scorpio Bulkers Inc is a shipping company based in Monaco. It owns and operates a fleet of modern mid to large-size dry bulk carriers which provide marine transportation for major bulks, which include iron ore, coal and grain and minor bulks which include bauxite, fertilizers and steel products internationally. 

  

Poe Fratt, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to full report for price target, fundamental analysis and rating.

  • Adjusting estimates for 1Q2019
    contract cover, financing activity, timing of scrubber installations
    and recent dry bulk market weakness. 
    Our 2019 EBITDA estimate drops to $86.3 million (from $110.3
    million) and TCE rates to $10,819/day (from $11,938/day). 
  • Recent financing activity boosts liquidity again. Over the past three months, two
    Kamsarmaxes were sold, and five Kamsarmaxes and five Ultramaxes were sold and
    leased back. Liquidity should positively be impacted by ~$100.7 million over the
    next six months. Net cash will increase by ~$84.9 million and ~$…





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Research – Great Panther Silver (GPL) – Production numbers slightly lower than expected

Thursday, April 11, 2019

Great Panther Silver (GPL)

What Was Behind Lower Than Expected Production Results?

Great Panther Silver Ltd is a precious metals mining and exploration company. It owns two mines Topia and Guanajuato Mine Complex (GMC). The Topia operations produce silver, gold, lead, and zinc whereas the GMC operation produces silver and gold.

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to full report for price target, fundamental analysis and rating. 

  • GPL reports first quarter production results.  In aggregate, first quarter production increased 6.7%
    to 14,860 gold equivalent ounces versus the prior year period and increased
    24.9% compared to the fourth quarter of 2018.  First quarter production
    was negatively impacted by lower production at the San Ignacio mine due to
    variability in vein widths and lower throughput at the mill that serves the
    Tucano mine.  Management expects to provide updated 2019 consolidated
    guidance when it reports first quarter 2019 financial results.
  • Adjusting estimates.  Based on lower than expected production, we now
    forecast a first quarter loss of ($0.02) per share versus our prior estimate of
    ($0.01).  Our full year earnings 2019 earnings per share and EBI
    … 






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Research – Aurania Resources (ARU:CA) – Another promising copper target

Wednesday, April 10, 2019

Aurania Resources Ltd. (ARU:CA)

Kirus Target Shows Its Colors.

Aurania Resources Ltd. is a Canada-based junior mining exploration company engaged in the identification, evaluation, acquisition, and exploration of mineral property interests, with a focus on precious metals and copper. Its flagship asset, The Lost Cities-Cutucu Project, is in southeastern Ecuador in the Province of Morona-Santiago. The company also has several minor projects in Switzerland.

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to full report for price target, fundamental analysis and rating.

  • Another promising
    copper target. 
     High-grade copper and silver have been discovered in an
    area measuring 6 kilometers by 3 kilometers in the Kirus copper target
    area.  Exploration identified boulders in streams containing up to 11.9%
    copper with 166 grams per tonne of silver.  Follow-up exploration led to
    the discovery of outcrop with grades of up to 5.1% copper and 70 grams per
    tonne of silver.  This follows last week’s announcement by the company that
    high-grade copper and silver had been discovered at the Tsenken target, located
    ~6 kilometers from the Kirus target.
  • More evidence
    supporting a cluster of copper porphyrys. 
     Both Tsenken and Kirus contain high-grade copper and
    silver in sedimentary rocks.  What is unique about these sediment-hosted
    targets is that they exhibit flat-lying copper and silver-bearing rock which
    would be relatively easy to drill.  However, both exhibit evidence of
    po…





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News – Could renewables supply 50% of all generation? How about 80%?

Are Fossil Fuels Going the Way of the Dinosaurs?

(Note: companies that could be impacted by the content of this article are listed at the base of the story (desktop version). This article uses third-party references to provide a bullish, bearish and balanced point of view; sources listed in the “Balanced” section)

There has been an exponential rise in the U.S. in renewable energy for electricity needs. Currently, 33% of

electricity
that is being generated in the US comes from carbon-free sources (nuclear and renewables).  This percent has quadrupled since 2005, smashing projections made just a few years ago.  Renewables are now responsible for generating as much electricity as coal, oil, or natural gas.  Renewable energy sources are likely to continue to increase at a fast pace for the foreseeable future. Over half of all new energy plants being built are either wind or solar.  But, will this growth trajectory continue without government support, and just how much electricity can renewables produce?

Research – One Stop Systems (OSS) – Initiation of Research Coverage

Thursday, April 4, 2019

One Stop Systems (OSS)

A Leader in the High Performance Computing Space.

One Stop Systems Inc is US-based company which is principally engaged in designing, manufacturing, marketing high-end systems for high performance computing (HPC) applications. The company offers custom servers, compute accelerators, solid-state storage arrays and system expansion systems.

Joe Gomes, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to full report for price target, fundamental analysis and rating.

  • Initiating Coverage. One
    Stop Systems is a leader in the High Performance Computing (HPC) space with a
    particular emphasis on the “AI on the Fly” and the migration to PCI
    Express (PCIe) Gen 4 spaces through the design and manufacture of custom
    servers, compute accelerators, solid-state storage arrays, and system expansion
    systems.  
  • A Company of
    firsts.
     In spite of its relatively small size, OSS punches
    above its weight having been the first to market with PCIe interconnect
    products, the most powerful GP…





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News – Stock Buybacks: Good, evil, or maybe something in between?

Who benefits from stock repurchases, the investors or the executives?

(Note: companies that could be
impacted by the content of this article are listed at the base of the story
(desktop version). This article uses third-party references to provide a
bullish, bearish and balanced point of view; sources listed in the
“Balanced” section)

Stock buybacks are on the rise and there are concerns over the effectiveness. It is even becoming a Political issue. Share buybacks, also known as stock repurchases, are when corporations purchase its own shares in the open stock market, reducing the total number of shares outstanding. The result of the buyback could increase earnings per share and increase return on equity, possibly increasing the stock price. 2018 was an all-time, record year for buybacks, with $1.1 trillion in announcements and some $800 billion repurchased during the year. Reasons have been postulated about why the pace of buybacks has increased over the years, including the generation of significant free cash flow by companies, muted organic investment opportunities, a lack of accretive acquisitions, as a means of boosting EPS by reducing the share count. Notably, stock repurchases were illegal until 1982 and Congress is looking at curbing the exercise as a means of narrowing the growing income inequality in America and advocating an element of social responsibility. Senators Charles Schumer and Bernie Sanders penned an op-ed in the New York Times arguing that, “corporate boardrooms have become obsessed with maximizing only shareholder earnings to the detriment of workers.” The pair suggest they will introduce legislation to limit buybacks unless companies meet certain conditions, including a $15 per hour minimum wage, providing workers with decent pensions, and solid health benefits, among other things.

Research – Prize Mining (PRZ:CA) – Behind the recent deal

Wednesday, April 3, 2019

Prize Mining (PRZ:CA)

More To The Deal Than Meets the Eye.

Prize Mining Corp is a Canada based resource exploration company. It is primarily engaged in the business activity of acquiring and exploring resource properties in Canada. All the operations of the company are carried out in Canada. The organization is focused on Kena and Daylight Gold project which is located in the Nelson area of British Columbia, Canada. 

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to full report for price target, fundamental analysis and rating. 

  • Prize announces option
    agreement to acquire gold properties.
      Prize Mining announced a performance-based option
    agreement with Denton Resources Inc., a private corporation, to acquire a 100%
    interest in 62 mineral claims comprising the Carscallan property near the town
    of Cochrane in northeastern Ontario, Canada.  The option agreement is
    contingent on approval by the TSX Venture Exchange (TSX-V).
  • Performance-based
    payments require little up-front capital.  
    The option agreement requires little up-front capital and
    Prize has the option to move forward based on key predictors of success. 
    The initial capital out…





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Research – Aurania Resources (ARU:CA) – Updates on copper production

Wednesday, April 3, 2019

Aurania Resources Ltd. (ARU:CA)

Scratching the Surface?

Aurania Resources Ltd. is a Canada-based junior mining exploration company engaged in the identification, evaluation, acquisition, and exploration of mineral property interests, with a focus on precious metals and copper. Its flagship asset, The Lost Cities-Cutucu Project, is in southeastern Ecuador in the Province of Morona-Santiago. The company also has several minor projects in Switzerland.

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to full report for price target, fundamental analysis and rating.

  • Tsenken evolves into a high-potential copper target.  High-grade copper and silver have been discovered over
    a nine-kilometer trend.  Recent grab samples from boulders in streams
    contain up to 7% copper with 70 grams per tonne of silver.  Recall that in
    January, Aurania reported that grab samples of rock in streams draining from
    the Tsenken-A porphyry target contained up to 9% copper with 185 grams per
    tonne of silver over three kilometers.
  • Evidence points to a cluster of
    copper porphyrys. 
     Recent work appears to corroborate management’s earlier
    belief that rather than being one very large target area, Tsenken may be a
    cluster of porphyry bodies.  Rather than having one potential source of
    copper at Tsen…





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Research – Trovagene (TROV) – Update on data readout

Tuesday, April 2, 2019

Trovagene Inc. (TROV)

Improved and updated data from AML patients.

TrovaGene Inc is a US-based life science company which focuses on the development and commercialization of a proprietary molecular genetic detection technology for use in pharmaceutical development, clinical research and medical testing across a variety of clinical disciplines, including oncology and virology. 

Ahu Demir, Ph.D., Biotechnology Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to full report for price target, fundamental analysis and rating.  

  • AACR Data
    Presentation.  
    The company presented data from a Phase 1b clinical trial of
    onvansertib in patients with acute myeloid leukemia (AML) at the American
    Association for Cancer Research (AACR) annual meeting on April 1st, 2019. The
    anti-leukemic activity improved with an increased number of patients treated.
    The disease control rate (DCR) rose to 89% (17/19 patients) from previous
    reported rate of 83% (10/12 patients) at The American Society of
    Hematology (ASH) on December 2018.
  • Digging Through Data. In addition to the improved DCR,  the overall response
    rate also increased; one patient with complete response (CR), one
    incomplete blood recovery (iCR), one morphologic leukemia-freestate (MLFS) and
    one partial response (PR) compar
    … 






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