Author: cpereira@noblefcm.com

Defense Metals Corp. (DFMTF) – On a Positive Trajectory Going Into 2024

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Wednesday, November 29, 2023

Defense Metals Corp. is a mineral exploration and development company focused on the acquisition, exploration and development of mineral deposits containing metals and elements commonly used in the electric power market, defense industry, national security sector and in the production of green energy technologies, such as, rare earths magnets used in wind turbines and in permanent magnet motors for electric vehicles. Defense Metals owns 100% of the Wicheeda Rare Earth Element Property located near Prince George, British Columbia, Canada. Defense Metals Corp. trades in Canada under the symbol “DEFN” on the TSX Venture Exchange, in the United States, under “DFMTF” on the OTCQB and in Germany on the Frankfurt Exchange under “35D”.

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Mineral resource update. Defense Metals recently filed a NI 43-101 compliant mineral resource estimate (MRE) technical report for the Wicheeda Rare Earth Element (REE) Project. The 2023 mineral resource estimate, discussed in our research note dated September 13, represents an 18.2% increase in total rare earth oxide (TREO) and a 31.3% in tonnage compared to the 2021 MRE. Total measured and indicated mineral resources of 34.2 million tonnes, averaging 2.02% TREO is a significant upgrade compared to the previous estimate and can be included in the mine plan for the preliminary feasibility study that is expected to be completed in the first half of 2024.

Laying the ground work for off-take agreements. On Defense Metals’ behalf, SGS Canada shipped samples of mixed rare earth oxide and mixed rare earth carbonate to select processors, refiners, and metals traders in North America (2), Europe (2), and Asia (2). The shipments represent an important step toward future off-take agreements or strategic partnership opportunities. The company estimates a universe of 10 to 12 potential customers and so another set of shipments is expected.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 


Wednesday, November 29, 2023

Defense Metals Corp. is a mineral exploration and development company focused on the acquisition, exploration and development of mineral deposits containing metals and elements commonly used in the electric power market, defense industry, national security sector and in the production of green energy technologies, such as, rare earths magnets used in wind turbines and in permanent magnet motors for electric vehicles. Defense Metals owns 100% of the Wicheeda Rare Earth Element Property located near Prince George, British Columbia, Canada. Defense Metals Corp. trades in Canada under the symbol “DEFN” on the TSX Venture Exchange, in the United States, under “DFMTF” on the OTCQB and in Germany on the Frankfurt Exchange under “35D”.

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Mineral resource update. Defense Metals recently filed a NI 43-101 compliant mineral resource estimate (MRE) technical report for the Wicheeda Rare Earth Element (REE) Project. The 2023 mineral resource estimate, discussed in our research note dated September 13, represents an 18.2% increase in total rare earth oxide (TREO) and a 31.3% in tonnage compared to the 2021 MRE. Total measured and indicated mineral resources of 34.2 million tonnes, averaging 2.02% TREO is a significant upgrade compared to the previous estimate and can be included in the mine plan for the preliminary feasibility study that is expected to be completed in the first half of 2024.

Laying the ground work for off-take agreements. On Defense Metals’ behalf, SGS Canada shipped samples of mixed rare earth oxide and mixed rare earth carbonate to select processors, refiners, and metals traders in North America (2), Europe (2), and Asia (2). The shipments represent an important step toward future off-take agreements or strategic partnership opportunities. The company estimates a universe of 10 to 12 potential customers and so another set of shipments is expected.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Bit Digital (BTBT) – Finalized AI Contract

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, November 28, 2023

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Contract. Last week, Bit Digital announced details regarding its first Bit Digital AI contract. Under the terms of the agreement, Bit Digital will supply the customer with computational power from 1,504 GPUs for a period of three years. The contract will commence January 2024 and represents more than $35 million of annualized revenue to Bit Digital.

Platform. To fulfill the contract, the Company placed a purchase order for servers manufactured by Super Micro Computer, Inc., an authorized Nvidia OEM, that are equipped with 1,504 Nvidia HGX H100 GPUs along with related equipment, which are expected to be delivered to the Company by January 2024.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Maple Gold Mines (MGMLF) – Looking Ahead

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, November 27, 2023

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Board appointment. Mr. Kiran Patankar has been appointed President and Chief Executive Officer and has joined the company’s Board of Directors. He has served as Interim President and Chief Executive Officer since August. Mr. Patankar has led the execution of Maple Gold’s updated corporate strategy, which includes a detailed assessment of the company’s district-scale projects. We believe he will reshape the company into a leaner and more focused entity with an emphasis on value-added exploration.

Reining in costs. In 2020, 2021, and 2022, Maple Gold’s general and administrative expenses were C$3.0 million, C$4.9 million, and C$5.9 million, respectively, and C$2.8 million for the first six months of 2023. Third quarter G&A expenses were $0.4 million. Based on third quarter financials, Mr. Patankar is making excellent progress reducing corporate overhead costs. As the operating partner, we expect the company to be judicious with its capital and that of its joint venture partner, Agnico Eagle Mines. As of September 30, Maple Gold Mines reported cash and cash equivalents amounting to C$4.4 million and marketable securities amounting to C$336.4 thousand. Approximately $6.0 million of Douay-Joutel joint venture funding remains available through January 2025 from Agnico Eagle.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

LithiumBank Resources (LBNKF) – Favorable DLE Test Results Bode Well for Boardwalk PEA

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, November 27, 2023

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Impressive DLE test work results. Results from bench-scale G2L Greenview direct lithium extraction (DLE) test work on brine from LithiumBank’s Boardwalk lithium brine project produced a high-purity concentrated brine, or eluate, with lithium concentrations between 3,000 and 7,000 milligrams per liter with greater than 98% recovery of lithium from the brine and low levels of impurities.

Potential to reduce project operating costs. Lower cost reagents used in the G2L DLE processing are approximately a third of the cost of those used in the DLE process that was used in the company’s maiden Boardwalk PEA published in May 2023. The results are expected to be included in an updated Boardwalk PEA expected in late 2023.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Lifeway Foods (LWAY) – Moving Rating to Market Perform after Sharp Rise in Stock Price

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, November 27, 2023

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Moving to Market Perform. With the shares exceeding our recently instituted $13 price target, we are lowering our rating to Market Perform from Outperform. While we remain impressed with operating results, we believe a good portion of the recent share performance is being driven in anticipation of a sale of the Company, which we do not believe is imminent.

Stock Performance. LWAY shares are up 82% since closing at $9.38 on November 13th. While we believe the sell off in the shares following strong operating results was unwarranted, the subsequent price rebound has exceeded our $13 price target. To maintain an Outperform rating, our PT would need to exceed $19.50, which we believe would have LWAY shares “priced to perfection” from an operating standpoint, which, given the uncertain state of the economy, is a stretch in our view.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Labrador Gold Corp. (NKOSF) – Drills Are Turning

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, November 27, 2023

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Drilling program. Labrador Gold currently has two drill rigs operating at its Kingsway gold project. One drill is operating at the Knobby discovery, while the other is operating in the Gap Zone between the Big Vein and Pristine targets. A third rig will likely be deployed in early December at the Golden Glove target. Drilling will test the area south of the Big Vein target to the southern boundary of the property which encompasses the Knobby discovery and Golden Glove. Once drilling is completed in the Gap Zone, the number of rigs operating will be two. Knobby is a priority target since the east-west strike crosscuts the regional northeast trend like structures known to host high-grade gold in quartz veins within the district.

Acquisition of the Hopedale property. Labrador Gold fulfilled the requirements of the Hopedale option agreement and exercised its option to acquire 100% of the four licenses covering 695 claims comprising the Hopedale property. Work to date by Labrador Gold has resulted in the discovery of three gold occurrences, which together with the previously known Thurber Dog occurrence, stretch over a 3-kilometer section of the northern portion of the Florence Lake greenstone belt.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Kratos Defense & Security (KTOS) – New Awards; Raising PT to $22

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, November 27, 2023

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (NASDAQ:KTOS) develops and fields transformative, affordable technology, platforms, and systems for United States National Security related customers, allies, and commercial enterprises. Kratos is changing the way breakthrough technologies for these industries are rapidly brought to market through proven commercial and venture capital backed approaches, including proactive research, and streamlined development processes. At Kratos, affordability is a technology, and we specialize in unmanned systems, satellite communications, cyber security/warfare, microwave electronics, missile defense, hypersonic systems, training and combat systems and next generation turbo jet and turbo fan engine development. For more information go to www.kratosdefense.com.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

New Contracts. Kratos has been awarded some additional significant contracts over the past two weeks, maintaining the momentum of award receipt over the past couple of quarters. We believe the new awards demonstrate the Company’s multi-sector capabilities.

Award 1. Kratos received a single-award, indefinite-delivery/indefinite-quantity contract with a ceiling value of $579 million for the Command-and-Control System Consolidated (CCS-C) Sustainment and Resiliency. Space Systems Command (SSC) is the contracting activity for the award. Kratos will sustain and provide post-production development for the current CCS-C system for telemetry, tracking and commanding of current and future military communication satellites.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Xcel Brands (XELB) – All According To Plan

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Wednesday, November 22, 2023

Xcel Brands, Inc. 1333 Broadway 10th Floor New York, NY 10018 United States https:/Sector(s): Consumer Cyclical Industry: Apparel Manufacturing Full Time Employees: 84 Key Executives Name Title Pay Exercised Year Born Mr. Robert W. D’Loren Chairman, Pres & CEO 1.27M N/A 1958 Mr. James F. Haran CFO, Principal Financial & Accou

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Solid Q3 results. The company reported $2.9 million in revenue, which was in-line with our estimate of $2.6 million. Adj. EBITDA loss of $1.4 million was modestly lower than our estimate of a loss of $0.8 million. Notably, Q3 operating results were affected by less QVC programming due to talent scheduling conflicts related to a return to an in-studio production policy and non-recurring restructuring expenses.

Favorable licensing model. In November, the company completed its transition to a licensing model, and should report the last portion of its restructuring costs in Q4. Notably, we anticipate significant reductions in direct operating expenses from 2022 levels of roughly $7.5 million to roughly $4.0 million in 2024. Additionally, in Q4, we estimate sequential licensing revenue growth from Q3.


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Hemisphere Energy Corporation (HMENF) – Results beat expectations on higher pricing and lower costs

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Wednesday, November 22, 2023

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

2023-2Q production rose as expected with new wells coming online. A robust summer of drilling resulted in higher production. Post-quarter flow rates allow us to bump up future production estimates. 

Realized prices came in better than expected. The basin discount was reduced adding to the rise in oil index prices. Management added swaps at attractive prices in response to higher oil prices.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Xcel Brands (XELB) – Likely To Be The Trough Toward Improved Results

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, November 21, 2023

Xcel Brands, Inc. 1333 Broadway 10th Floor New York, NY 10018 United States https:/Sector(s): Consumer Cyclical Industry: Apparel Manufacturing Full Time Employees: 84 Key Executives Name Title Pay Exercised Year Born Mr. Robert W. D’Loren Chairman, Pres & CEO 1.27M N/A 1958 Mr. James F. Haran CFO, Principal Financial & Accou

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Solid Q3 results. The company reported $2.9 million in revenue, which was in-line with our estimate of $2.6 million. Adj. EBITDA loss of $1.4 million was modestly lower than our estimate of a loss of $0.8 million, as illustrated in Figure #1 Q3 Results. Notably, Q3 operating results were affected by less QVC programming due to talent scheduling conflicts related to a return to an in-studio production policy and non-recurring restructuring expenses.

Transition toward a licensing model. In November, the company completed a restructuring process by entering into licensing agreements for its Longaberger and made in the US baskets businesses. The new licensing model is expected to significantly lower operating costs and be a key catalyst toward a swing to positive cash flow in 2024.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Haynes International (HAYN) – Updating Estimates; Outlook Remains Favorable

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, November 20, 2023

Haynes International, Inc. is a leading developer, manufacturer and marketer of technologically advanced, nickel and cobalt-based high-performance alloys, primarily for use in the aerospace, industrial gas turbine and chemical processing industries.

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Fourth quarter and fiscal year 2023 financial results. Haynes reported fourth-quarter net income of $13.1 million or $1.02 per share compared to $16.3 million or $1.30 per share during the prior year period. Fiscal year 2023 net income was $42.0 million or $3.26 per share compared to $45.1 million or $3.57 per share during the prior period. We had forecast fourth quarter and fiscal year 2023 net income of $12.4 million and $41.1 million, respectively, or $0.97 per share and $3.22 per share. Compared to the prior year periods, fourth quarter and fiscal year net revenues increased by 11.7% and 20.3%, respectively, to $160.6 million and $590.0 million. On a year-over-year basis, the product average selling price during the fourth quarter and fiscal year increased 11.5% and 14.9%, respectively. Fiscal year 2023 adjusted EBITDA increased to $79.0 million compared to $77.4 million in fiscal year 2022.

Updating estimates. While our 2024 EPS estimate remains $4.50, we have made some quarterly adjustments. Revenue and earnings in the first quarter of fiscal 2024 are expected to be higher compared to the first quarter of fiscal 2023, but lower than the fourth quarter of fiscal 2023. First quarter results are generally lower due to holidays and planned equipment maintenance. Additionally, management expects commodity price fluctuations to have a greater negative impact in the first quarter of fiscal 2024 than in the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2023. We project fiscal 2024 EBITDA of $100.3 million compared to our $104.3 million estimate.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – Some More New Contracts

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, November 20, 2023

CoreCivic is a diversified, government-solutions company with the scale and experience needed to solve tough government challenges in flexible, cost-effective ways. We provide a broad range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through high-quality corrections and detention management, a network of residential and non-residential alternatives to incarceration to help address America’s recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. We are the nation’s largest owner of partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities, and believe we are the largest private owner of real estate used by government agencies in the United States. We have been a flexible and dependable partner for government for nearly 40 years. Our employees are driven by a deep sense of service, high standards of professionalism and a responsibility to help government better the public good. Learn more at www.corecivic.com.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

New Business. Last week, CoreCivic announced two additional management contracts, continuing the momentum exhibited since September. Significantly, the new business is with states and counties, two areas of focus for CoreCivic for growth. We believe the recent contract wins demonstrate both strong contracting progress and the high levels of interest in the Company’s services from governmental partners. Notably, utilizing existing bed inventory will help drive margin improvement at CoreCivic.

Wyoming. CoreCivic entered into a new management contract with the state of Wyoming for the housing of up to 240 male inmates at the Company’s 2,672-bed Tallahatchie County Correctional Facility in Tutwiler, Mississippi. The Company previously housed inmates for Wyoming under a management contract that had not been utilized since 2019. The term of the new contract runs through June 30, 2026.


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Haynes International (HAYN) – Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2023 Earnings Surpass Our Expectations

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, November 17, 2023

Haynes International, Inc. is a leading developer, manufacturer and marketer of technologically advanced, nickel and cobalt-based high-performance alloys, primarily for use in the aerospace, industrial gas turbine and chemical processing industries.

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Fourth quarter and fiscal year 2023 financial results. Haynes International reported fourth quarter net income of $13.1 million or $1.02 per share compared to $16.3 million or $1.30 per share during the prior year period. Fiscal year 2023 net income was $42.0 million or $3.26 per share compared to $45.1 million or $3.57 per share during the prior period. We had forecast fourth quarter and fiscal year 2023 net income of $12.4 million and $41.1 million, respectively, or $0.97 per share and $3.22 per share. Compared to the prior year periods, fourth quarter and fiscal year net revenues increased by 11.7% and 20.3%, respectively, to $160.6 million and $590.0 million. On a year-over year basis, the product average selling price during the fourth quarter and fiscal year increased 11.5% and 14.9%, respectively. Fiscal year 2023 adjusted EBITDA increased to $79.0 million compared to $77.4 million in fiscal year 2022.

Strong order backlog. Compared to the September 2022 quarter, the company’s order backlog increased 23.2% to $460.4 million although it declined by $7.7 million compared to the prior quarter. Haynes added production headcount and invested in inventory to increase shipping levels and net revenue. The strong order backlog has been driven by strength in aerospace and industrial gas turbine demand.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.