Author: cpereira@noblefcm.com

Snail, Inc. (SNAL) – A First Look At Q4 Results

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, March 27, 2025

Snail is a leading, global independent developer and publisher of interactive digital entertainment for consumers around the world, with a premier portfolio of premium games designed for use on a variety of platforms, including consoles, PCs and mobile devices.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Solid Q4 results. The company reported Q4 revenue and adj. EBITDA of $26.2 million and $1.6 million, respectively. While revenue was modestly better than our estimate of $25.0 million, adj. EBITDA was a tad softer, as illustrated in Figure #1 Q4 Results. Notably, the variance in adj. EBITDA was driven by an increased focus on in-house development, resulting in higher R&D costs. We view the company’s efforts to diversify its revenue stream as a favorable development.

Portfolio expansion. The company has been taking steps to offer more games and products that could drive revenue diversification. Notably, the company launched ARK: Ultimate Mobile Edition in December and gained over 2 million users during the month. Additionally, the company soft launched a new mobile app, SaltyTV, which offers original short film content. Furthermore, the company acquired eleven games in 2024, with several releases expected in 2025.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

SKYX Platforms (SKYX) – Expecting Revenue Growth Momentum Throughout 2025

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, March 25, 2025

Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Favorable revenue growth. The company reported 7% year-over-year revenue growth to $23.7 million, largely in line with our estimate of $24.0 million. The adj. EBITDA loss of $3.8 million was greater than our estimated loss of $2.1 million, due to gross margin compression resulting from a shift in product mix on the company’s lighting website.

Mandatory standardization application. Management noted that the company’s team responsible for applying the mandatory standardization to the National Electrical Code believes it will receive assistance from certain key organizations during its application process. This is due to the significant safety advantages of the company’s technology. We view this development favorably, as the prospect of mandatory standardization represents a potentially transformative revenue opportunity for the company.


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Tonix Pharmaceuticals (TNXP) – FDA Sends Positive Signal For Tonmya Approval With No Advisory Committee Meeting Needed

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, March 25, 2025

Tonix is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on discovering, licensing, acquiring and developing therapeutics and diagnostics to treat and prevent human disease and alleviate suffering. Tonix’s portfolio is composed of immunology, rare disease, infectious disease, and central nervous system (CNS) product candidates. Tonix’s immunology portfolio includes biologics to address organ transplant rejection, autoimmunity and cancer, including TNX-15001 which is a humanized monoclonal antibody targeting CD40-ligand being developed for the prevention of allograft and xenograft rejection and for the treatment of autoimmune diseases. A Phase 1 study of TNX-1500 is expected to be initiated in the second half of 2022. Tonix’s rare disease portfolio includes TNX-29002 for the treatment of Prader-Willi syndrome. TNX-2900 has been granted Orphan-Drug Designation by the FDA. Tonix’s infectious disease pipeline includes a vaccine in development to prevent smallpox and monkeypox called TNX-8013, next-generation vaccines to prevent COVID-19, and an antiviral to treat COVID-19. Tonix’s lead vaccine candidates for COVID-19 are TNX-1840 and TNX-18504, which are live virus vaccines based on Tonix’s recombinant pox vaccine (RPV) platform. TNX-35005 (sangivamycin, i.v. solution) is a small molecule antiviral drug to treat acute COVID-19 and is in the pre-IND stage of development. TNX-102 SL6, (cyclobenzaprine HCl sublingual tablets), is a small molecule drug being developed to treat Long COVID, a chronic post-acute COVID-19 condition. Tonix expects to initiate a Phase 2 study in Long COVID in the second quarter of 2022. The Company’s CNS portfolio includes both small molecules and biologics to treat pain, neurologic, psychiatric and addiction conditions. Tonix’s lead CNS candidate, TNX-102 SL, is in mid-Phase 3 development for the management of fibromyalgia with a new Phase 3 study launched in the second quarter of 2022. Finally, TNX-13007 is a biologic designed to treat cocaine intoxication that is expected to start a Phase 2 trial in the second quarter of 2022. TNX-1300 has been granted Breakthrough Therapy Designation by the FDA.

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

No Advisory Panel Required. Tonix has been informed that the FDA will not require an Advisory Committee Meeting to determine approvability of the NDA for Tonmya (TNX-102 SL). We see this as a sign that the NDA review has not raised questions about the clinical trial data, potential patient use, or other factors that would be answered by an Advisory Committee. Since the trial met its primary endpoint and all six secondary endpoints with high statistical significance, we interpret this to be a positive sign.

FDA Advisory Panel Hearings Evaluate and Provide Insight To Trial Data. As part of its NDA review process, the FDA may schedule an Advisory Committee hearing. The committee members each bring expertise in aspects of clinical practice, research, or statistical analysis. At a hearing, the company presents its analysis of the trial and the data, followed by the FDA’s analysis. The Committee members then ask questions to make recommendations for or against NDA approval and/or product labeling. We see the review without an Advisory Committee as a sign that the FDA does not need additional information on efficacy or safety.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Eledon Pharmaceuticals (ELDN) – All’s Well That Continues Well For Tegoprubart

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, March 24, 2025

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Eledon Reported 4Q24 Results and Reviewed Progress During The Quarter. Eledon reported a loss for 4Q24 of $44.6 million or $(0.64) per share and $36.2 million or $(0.75) per share for FY2024. Cash and equivalents on December 31, 2024 was $140.2 million, which is expected to fund operations through YE2026. Based on our estimated loss for 1Q25, we project the cash balance on March 31, 2025 to be about $115 million to $120 million.

Tegoprubart Has Clinical Trial Milestones Ahead.  Enrollment in the Phase 2 BESTOW trial for prevention of kidney transplant rejection was completed ahead of schedule in August 2024 due to higher than anticipated interest from transplant surgeons. We anticipate top-line results in 4Q25. The Phase 1b open-label trial continues to evaluate patients and is expected to provide an interim data update in mid-year 2025.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Xcel Brands (XELB) – Reverse Split Addresses NASDAQ Listing Requirement.

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, March 24, 2025

Xcel Brands, Inc. 1333 Broadway 10th Floor New York, NY 10018 United States https:/Sector(s): Consumer Cyclical Industry: Apparel Manufacturing Full Time Employees: 84 Key Executives Name Title Pay Exercised Year Born Mr. Robert W. D’Loren Chairman, Pres & CEO 1.27M N/A 1958 Mr. James F. Haran CFO, Principal Financial & Accou

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Reverse split. On March 21, 2025, the company announced a one-for-ten reverse stock split that will take effect at market open on March 25, 2025. Notably, we view the reverse split as a favorable development in the company’s efforts to satisfy NASDAQ’s minimum share price listing requirement of $1. In order to meet NASDAQ’s listing requirement, the XELB shares will need to close above $1 for ten consecutive trading days. Given the current share price of $0.32, we believe the company will likely regain NASDAQ compliance following the reverse split.

Reverse split details. In connection with the reverse split, the company will pay out cash considerations in lieu of issuing fractional shares, and proportionately adjust the underlying common stock and exercise prices of outstanding stock options and warrants. Additionally, the company will continue to trade under the XELB ticker, but will use a new CUSIP number of 98400M200.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

The GEO Group (GEO) – An Investor Day Full of Opportunity; Raising PT to $35

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, March 24, 2025

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 103 facilities totaling approximately 83,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Investor Day. The GEO Group hosted an investor day at the end of last week, during which the Company outlined the substantial growth opportunities available under the new programs to manage undocumented migrants, as well as its goal to both significantly reduce debt and return capital to shareholders.

Secure Facilities. There is an immediate need from ICE for additional detention capacity. This is illustrated by the new contract for GEO’s 1,800 bed North Lake Facility announced last Thursday. This new contract will add $70 million of annualized revenue. Management estimates currently unused bed capacity (including the three facilities recently contracted by ICE) could add $575-$625 million to revenue.


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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Resources Connection (RGP) – Attractive Risk/Reward

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, March 21, 2025

Resources Connection, Inc. provides agile consulting services in North America, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. The company offers finance and accounting services, including process transformation and optimization, financial reporting and analysis, technical and operational accounting, merger and acquisition due diligence and integration, audit readiness, preparation and response, implementation of new accounting standards, and remediation support. It also provides information management services, such as program and project management, business and technology integration, data strategy, and business performance management. In addition, the company offers corporate advisory, strategic communications, and restructuring services; and corporate governance, risk, and compliance management services, such as contract and regulatory compliance, enterprise risk management, internal controls management, and operation and information technology (IT) audits. Further, it provides supply chain management services comprising strategy development, procurement and supplier management, logistics and materials management, supply chain planning and forecasting, and unique device identification compliance; and human capital services, including change management, organization development and effectiveness, compensation and incentive plan strategies, and optimization of human resources technology and operations. Additionally, the company offers legal and regulatory supporting services for commercial transactions, global compliance initiatives, law department operations, and law department business strategies and analytics. It also provides policyIQ, a proprietary cloud-based governance, risk, and compliance software application. The company was formerly known as RC Transaction Corp. and changed its name to Resources Connection, Inc. in August 2000. Resources Connection, Inc. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Irvine, California.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

3Q25. With earnings expected on April 2nd, we continue to favor RGP shares. We expect 3Q25 results to remain muted, given the ongoing economic uncertainty and elongated decision times. Nonetheless, we believe RGP’s rich portfolio of diversified offerings encompassing professional staffing support, consulting, and outsourced services creates a strategic powerhouse that we believe will drive value for investors over the long term.

Increased Efficiency in a Growing Market. The global professional services industry is projected to increase by a 6% CAGR over the next five years, growing to $95 billion, according to research published by Statista. With RGP implementing a new technology platform, which will enable increased use of artificial intelligence and automation in the delivery of services as well as back-office operations, we expect the combination of greater revenue and increased efficiency to drive significant results once the economy improves.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Euroseas (ESEA) – EuroHoldings Spin-Off and a New Time Charter Contract

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, March 21, 2025

Euroseas Ltd. was formed on May 5, 2005 under the laws of the Republic of the Marshall Islands to consolidate the ship owning interests of the Pittas family of Athens, Greece, which has been in the shipping business over the past 140 years. Euroseas trades on the NASDAQ Capital Market under the ticker ESEA. Euroseas operates in the container shipping market. Euroseas’ operations are managed by Eurobulk Ltd., an ISO 9001:2008 and ISO 14001:2004 certified affiliated ship management company, which is responsible for the day-to-day commercial and technical management and operations of the vessels. Euroseas employs its vessels on spot and period charters and through pool arrangements.

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Hans Baldau, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

New time charter contract. Euroseas executed a new time charter contract for the M/V Rena P, a 4,250 twenty-foot equivalent unit (TEU) intermediate containership. The charter contract is at a gross daily rate of $35,500 for a minimum period of 35 months and a maximum period of 37 months at the charterer’s option. The contract is expected to take effect on August 21, 2025, in continuation of its present charter. The contract is anticipated to contribute roughly $29.0 million in EBITDA during the minimum contract period. The new contract strengthens the company’s charter coverage to 88% in 2025 and 54% in 2026.

Updating estimates. The new charter contract for $35,500 represents a significant improvement compared to the previous rate of $21,000. Consequently, we have increased our 2025 adjusted EBITDA and EPS estimates to $145.1 million and $14.20, respectively, from $139.1 million and $13.35. In addition to the M/V Rena P, our estimates reflect updated time charter contract information for the M/V Marcos, M/V Synergy Antwerp, M/V Synergy Keelung, and M/V EM Hydra.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holdings (TNXP) – Fourth Quarter Reported As Tonmya PDUFA Approaches

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, March 20, 2025

Tonix is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on discovering, licensing, acquiring and developing therapeutics and diagnostics to treat and prevent human disease and alleviate suffering. Tonix’s portfolio is composed of immunology, rare disease, infectious disease, and central nervous system (CNS) product candidates. Tonix’s immunology portfolio includes biologics to address organ transplant rejection, autoimmunity and cancer, including TNX-15001 which is a humanized monoclonal antibody targeting CD40-ligand being developed for the prevention of allograft and xenograft rejection and for the treatment of autoimmune diseases. A Phase 1 study of TNX-1500 is expected to be initiated in the second half of 2022. Tonix’s rare disease portfolio includes TNX-29002 for the treatment of Prader-Willi syndrome. TNX-2900 has been granted Orphan-Drug Designation by the FDA. Tonix’s infectious disease pipeline includes a vaccine in development to prevent smallpox and monkeypox called TNX-8013, next-generation vaccines to prevent COVID-19, and an antiviral to treat COVID-19. Tonix’s lead vaccine candidates for COVID-19 are TNX-1840 and TNX-18504, which are live virus vaccines based on Tonix’s recombinant pox vaccine (RPV) platform. TNX-35005 (sangivamycin, i.v. solution) is a small molecule antiviral drug to treat acute COVID-19 and is in the pre-IND stage of development. TNX-102 SL6, (cyclobenzaprine HCl sublingual tablets), is a small molecule drug being developed to treat Long COVID, a chronic post-acute COVID-19 condition. Tonix expects to initiate a Phase 2 study in Long COVID in the second quarter of 2022. The Company’s CNS portfolio includes both small molecules and biologics to treat pain, neurologic, psychiatric and addiction conditions. Tonix’s lead CNS candidate, TNX-102 SL, is in mid-Phase 3 development for the management of fibromyalgia with a new Phase 3 study launched in the second quarter of 2022. Finally, TNX-13007 is a biologic designed to treat cocaine intoxication that is expected to start a Phase 2 trial in the second quarter of 2022. TNX-1300 has been granted Breakthrough Therapy Designation by the FDA.

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Fourth Quarter Reported With Product Development Updates. Tonix reported 4Q Net Loss to Common Shareholders of $22.1 million or $(9.77) per share and $130.0 million or $(176.60) per share for FY2024. Total Product sales were $10.1 million with Gross Margin averaging 23% for the full year. The company ended FY2024 with $98.8 million in cash then raised $46.3 million in 1Q25. Including our expected loss for 1Q25, we estimate cash on March 31 to be around $125 million and believe the company has sufficient operating funds into FY2026.

Preparations For Tonmya Are In Progress. Tonix has been assigned a PDUFA date of August 15, 2025, the statutory date for the FDA to answer its NDA for Tonmya (TNX-102 SL). We believe the Phase 3 trials justify approval for fibromyalgia and anticipate broad use for relief of its multiple symptoms. Based on its patient population of over 10 million patients, we believe Tonmya could be a significant revenue generator for Tonix.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Hemisphere Energy Corp. (HMENF) – Strong Cash Flow Supported 2024 Growth and Return of Capital

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, March 20, 2025

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Hans Baldau, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Reserve report. Hemisphere released results from its independent reserve evaluation as of December 31, 2024. Compared to the year-end 2023 reserve report, proved developed producing (PDP) reserves increased 13.1% to 9,302.2 thousand barrels of oil equivalents. The growth in PDP reserves replaced 186% of 2024 production. Hemisphere’s estimated 2024 capital expenditures of ~C$22 million funded PDP reserve growth, annual production growth of ~10%, additional infrastructure, and the testing of a new resource play in Saskatchewan with an enhanced oil recovery (EOR) polymer pilot project.

Outlook for 2025.Hemisphere expects 2025 capital expenditures of ~C$17 million which are expected to support ~15% growth in annual average production to 3,900 barrels of oil equivalent per day (boe/d) compared to 2024. Most of the capital will be allocated to drilling, optimization, and facility work, with ~10% allotted to exploration and land acquisition. The majority of the planned expenditures are scheduled for the third quarter of 2025, providing the company with the flexibility to adjust plans based on changes in commodity prices.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Bitcoin Depot Inc. (BTM) – Poised for a Return Toward Revenue Growth

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Wednesday, March 19, 2025

Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Solid Q4 results. The company reported sequential revenue growth in Q4 with revenue of $136.8 million (up from $135.3 million in Q3), better than our estimate of $125.1 million. Adj. EBITDA was $12.0 million, better than our estimate of $6.4 million.

Margin improvement. The strong adj. EBITDA margins of 8.8% in Q4 were the highest of any quarter in 2024. The impressive margins were driven by better transaction spreads at the company’s kiosks, armored transport cost reductions, and lower rents in some kiosk locations. Moreover, the company benefitted from a falloff of initial public company costs (in comparison to the prior year period). 


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

SKYX Platforms Corp. (SKYX) – Pre-Releases Solid Q4 Revenue

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Wednesday, March 19, 2025

Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Q4 pre-release. On Monday, SKYX pre-released its Q4 revenue results, reporting revenue of $23.7 million (largely aligning with our estimate of $24.0 million). Notably, the company’s revenue grew throughout 2024, from $19.0 million in Q1 to $21.4 million, $22.2 million, and $23.7 million, in the subsequent quarters.

Key leadership additions. The company recently announced the additions of Huey Long as Head of E-commerce and Greg St. John as President of Lighting, Fans and Smart Home Products. Mr. Long previously served as director of e-commerce for Amazon and as an executive at both Ashley Furniture and Walmart. Mr. St. John previously served as head of lighting at Home Depot as well as CEO of EGLO.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Kratos Defense & Security (KTOS) – Some More Business Wins

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Wednesday, March 19, 2025

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (NASDAQ:KTOS) develops and fields transformative, affordable technology, platforms, and systems for United States National Security related customers, allies, and commercial enterprises. Kratos is changing the way breakthrough technologies for these industries are rapidly brought to market through proven commercial and venture capital backed approaches, including proactive research, and streamlined development processes. At Kratos, affordability is a technology, and we specialize in unmanned systems, satellite communications, cyber security/warfare, microwave electronics, missile defense, hypersonic systems, training and combat systems and next generation turbo jet and turbo fan engine development. For more information go to www.kratosdefense.com.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Business Wins. Kratos has been awarded a number of new and additions to existing contracts in March. We view these developments positively, although we remain watchful as to the impact of the ongoing continuing resolution for the Federal budget and its implications on new awards in 2025.

BQM-177A Awards. Kratos was awarded $3.4 million from the U.S. Navy for the base year of its next Contractor Logistics Support and Engineering Services contract, supporting BQM-177A aerial target system operations. If all four option years awarded under this contract are exercised, this contract has a potential value of  $19.1 million. The Company also received $59.3 million for an additional 70 BQM-177A Subsonic Aerial Target aircraft through the exercise of the contract option for Full Rate Production (FRP) Lot 6.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.