Author: cpereira@noblefcm.com

Euroseas (ESEA) – Thoughts on Euroseas Planned Spin-Off

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Wednesday, January 08, 2025

Euroseas Ltd. was formed on May 5, 2005 under the laws of the Republic of the Marshall Islands to consolidate the ship owning interests of the Pittas family of Athens, Greece, which has been in the shipping business over the past 140 years. Euroseas trades on the NASDAQ Capital Market under the ticker ESEA. Euroseas operates in the container shipping market. Euroseas’ operations are managed by Eurobulk Ltd., an ISO 9001:2008 and ISO 14001:2004 certified affiliated ship management company, which is responsible for the day-to-day commercial and technical management and operations of the vessels. Euroseas employs its vessels on spot and period charters and through pool arrangements.

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Hans Baldau, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Planned spin-off of older vessels. On January 7, Euroseas held an investor call to discuss its planned spin off the company’s three older vessels into a separate company, Euroholdings Ltd., which has applied for a listing on the NASDAQ Capital Market. The three unlevered vessels include M/V Aegean Express, M/V Diamantis P, and M/V Joanna. In exchange for contributing the three vessels, Euroseas will receive 100% of the shares of Euroholdings, which will then be distributed to its shareholders.

Euroseas to modernize its fleet. Following the spin-off, Euroseas will own 22 vessels, including 15 feeder and 7 intermediate containerships with 2 under construction. Euroseas will be positioned to expand its fleet of modern, eco-friendly containerships, with the goal of becoming a significant competitor in the feeder/intermediate containership segment. A modern and fuel-efficient fleet should command premium rates and longer contracts resulting in greater profitability and earnings visibility.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

AZZ, Inc. (AZZ) – Third Quarter Financial Results Exceed Expectations

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Wednesday, January 08, 2025

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Third quarter financial results. For the fiscal year (FY) 2025, AZZ reported third quarter adjusted net income of $41.9 million or $1.39 per share compared to $34.8 million or $1.19 per share during the prior year period and our estimate of $37.7 million or $1.25 per share. Compared to the prior year period, sales increased 5.8% to $403.6 and exceeded our estimate of $398.5 million. AZZ generated a 24.2% gross margin as a percentage of sales compared to 23.1% during the prior year period and our estimate of 23.3%. Adjusted EBITDA increased 5.0% to $90.7 million, above our estimate of $86.1 million, representing 22.5% of sales versus 22.6% of sales during the third quarter of FY 2024. AZZ narrowed the range of its FY 2025 sales guidance range to $1.550 billion to $1.600 billion, lifted the lower end of adjusted EBITDA to a range of $340 million (from $320 million) to $360 million, and increased adjusted diluted EPS expectations to a range of $5.00 to $5.30 from $4.70 to $5.10.

Debt reduction. During the first nine months of FY 2025, AZZ generated operating cash flow of $185.6 million and reduced debt by $80 million and expects full year debt reduction to exceed $100 million. At quarter end, the company’s net leverage was 2.6 times trailing twelve months EBITDA, and cash and cash equivalents amounted to $1.5 million.


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FreightCar America (RAIL) – FreightCar America Lowers its Cost of Capital

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, January 07, 2025

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Redemption of preferred stock. FreightCar America closed a $115 million four-year term loan on December 31, 2024. The loan is priced at the secured overnight financing rate (SOFR) plus 600 basis points. Proceeds from the term loan were used to redeem all 85,412 shares of Series C preferred stock for a total redemption price of $113,274,739, including accrued dividends of $27,862,739. Recall that the dividends accrued at a rate of 17.5% per annum on the initial stated value of the preferred stock.

Lower cost of capital. The completion of the term loan financing, along with the retirement of the Series C preferred stock, enhances the company’s financial flexibility, cash flow profile, and lowers borrowing costs. Most recently, the secured overnight financing rate was ~4.40%.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Kratos Defense & Security (KTOS) – Awarded Largest Contract in Company History

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, January 07, 2025

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (NASDAQ:KTOS) develops and fields transformative, affordable technology, platforms, and systems for United States National Security related customers, allies, and commercial enterprises. Kratos is changing the way breakthrough technologies for these industries are rapidly brought to market through proven commercial and venture capital backed approaches, including proactive research, and streamlined development processes. At Kratos, affordability is a technology, and we specialize in unmanned systems, satellite communications, cyber security/warfare, microwave electronics, missile defense, hypersonic systems, training and combat systems and next generation turbo jet and turbo fan engine development. For more information go to www.kratosdefense.com.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Award. Kratos announced yesterday that it was awarded a five-year OTA contract for the Multi-Service Advanced Capability Hypersonic Test Bed (MACH-TB) 2.0 under Task Area 1. The total value of this award, if all options are exercised over the five-year period, is  $1.45 billion, which would be the largest contract in the Company’s history.

Tasks. Kratos was awarded the prime role in Task Area 1 Systems Engineering, Integration, and Testing (SEIT), to include integrated subscale, full-scale, and air launch services to address the need to affordably increase hypersonic flight test cadence. Kratos will lead a team of subcontractors that will provide systems engineering, assembly, integration, and test (AI&T), mission planning and execution, and launch services.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Graham Corp. (GHM) – Raising Price Target

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, January 07, 2025

Graham Corporation designs, manufactures and sells critical equipment for the energy, defense and chemical/petrochemical industries. The Company designs and manufactures custom-engineered ejectors, vacuum pumping systems, surface condensers and vacuum systems. It is a nuclear code accredited fabrication and specialty machining company. It supplies components used inside reactor vessels and outside containment vessels of nuclear power facilities. Its equipment is found in applications, such as metal refining, pulp and paper processing, water heating, refrigeration, desalination, food processing, pharmaceutical, heating, ventilating and air conditioning. For the defense industry, its equipment is used in nuclear propulsion power systems for the United States Navy. The Company’s products are used in a range of industrial process applications in energy markets, including petroleum refining, defense, chemical and petrochemical processing, power generation/alternative energy and other.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Strong Performance. Since the beginning of November, GHM shares have risen from approximately $30 to over $45, exceeding our $45 price target, which we had raised on November 8th. We believe the positive stock performance reflects investors’ increased awareness of Graham’s current operating performance and future potential.

Defense Opportunity. Graham already has a significant billion dollar plus opportunity with the U.S. Navy. The incoming Trump Administration is likely to drive defense spending at an increased pace, potentially targeting areas in which Graham specializes for even faster growth.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Resources Connection (RGP) – Reports 2Q25 Results

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, January 06, 2025

Resources Connection, Inc. provides agile consulting services in North America, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. The company offers finance and accounting services, including process transformation and optimization, financial reporting and analysis, technical and operational accounting, merger and acquisition due diligence and integration, audit readiness, preparation and response, implementation of new accounting standards, and remediation support. It also provides information management services, such as program and project management, business and technology integration, data strategy, and business performance management. In addition, the company offers corporate advisory, strategic communications, and restructuring services; and corporate governance, risk, and compliance management services, such as contract and regulatory compliance, enterprise risk management, internal controls management, and operation and information technology (IT) audits. Further, it provides supply chain management services comprising strategy development, procurement and supplier management, logistics and materials management, supply chain planning and forecasting, and unique device identification compliance; and human capital services, including change management, organization development and effectiveness, compensation and incentive plan strategies, and optimization of human resources technology and operations. Additionally, the company offers legal and regulatory supporting services for commercial transactions, global compliance initiatives, law department operations, and law department business strategies and analytics. It also provides policyIQ, a proprietary cloud-based governance, risk, and compliance software application. The company was formerly known as RC Transaction Corp. and changed its name to Resources Connection, Inc. in August 2000. Resources Connection, Inc. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Irvine, California.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

2Q25 Results. RGP exceeded expectations in 2Q25 with sequential improvement in revenue, gross margin, run rate SG&A, and adjusted EBITDA. Revenue totaled $145.6 million, up 6.3% sequentially (up 5% on a constant currency basis), but fell 10.7% (down 13.2% constant currency) y-o-y. Gross margin of 38.5% was up 200 bp sequentially, and nearly flat with the prior year’s 38.9%. RGP reported adjusted EPS of $0.18 in 2Q25 compared to $0.25 a year ago.

Green Shoots. RGP is seeing early signs of success in its new strategy, although the market remains choppy. Management highlighted cross selling opportunities and success on pipeline activities and client dialogue this quarter. Management is cautiously optimistic the new calendar year will bring a stronger demand environment.


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NN, Inc. (NNBR) – New ABL Facility

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, January 06, 2025

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

New Facility. As part of the ongoing strategic transformation, NN entered into a new ABL facility. The new agreement provides NN with a $50 million revolving credit facility, with proceeds used to repay amounts outstanding under the previous ABL. The new agreement eliminates liquidity covenants under the previous ABL. We view the new ABL as a positive.

Improved Terms. The new ABL comes with improved terms, an indicator of the markets growing confidence in NN. The maturity date has been pushed out until December 2029, assuming the term loan is refinanced. The fee structure is lower across the board. And, most significantly, the interest rate should be lower. Based on the current one-month SOFR rate, the interest rate would be approximately 6%, down from approximately 7.2% at the end of September.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

MustGrow Biologics Corp. (MGROF) – Completes Acquistion of NexusBioAg

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, January 06, 2025

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Acquisition Finalized. MustGrow announced the execution and closing of an Asset Purchase Agreement of assets representing NexusBioAg. The purchase price consists of (i) a deferred cash payment of approximately CAD$1,662,000, subject to adjustment in accordance with the terms of the APA; and (ii) earn-out payments equal to a specified percentage amount of gross margin on certain itemized products sold by MGRO in 2025 and 2026.

Financial Impact. Based on historical sales figures, management noted that NexusBioAg brings roughly CAD$15-$20 million of revenue annually to MustGrow and expects this to continue into 2025 and 2026. While no comment was made about the NexusBioAg’s margins, the expectation is that the Nexus side will be cashflow breakeven for 2025 as revenue stays the course. EBITDA is expected to be positive by 2026.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Euroseas (ESEA) – Intention to Spin Off Older Vessels into a Separate Company

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, January 06, 2025

Euroseas Ltd. was formed on May 5, 2005 under the laws of the Republic of the Marshall Islands to consolidate the ship owning interests of the Pittas family of Athens, Greece, which has been in the shipping business over the past 140 years. Euroseas trades on the NASDAQ Capital Market under the ticker ESEA. Euroseas operates in the container shipping market. Euroseas’ operations are managed by Eurobulk Ltd., an ISO 9001:2008 and ISO 14001:2004 certified affiliated ship management company, which is responsible for the day-to-day commercial and technical management and operations of the vessels. Euroseas employs its vessels on spot and period charters and through pool arrangements.

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Hans Baldau, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Spin-off of older vessels into a new entity. Euroseas announced that it intends to spin off the company’s three older vessels into a separate company, Euroholdings Ltd., which has applied for a listing on the NASDAQ Capital Market. The three unlevered vessels include M/V Aegean Express, M/V Diamantis P, and the M/V Joanna. In exchange for contributing the three vessels, Euroseas will receive 100% of the shares of Euroholdings, which will then be distributed to its shareholders.

Investor conference call. Euroseas does not expect the spin-off to have any impact on its growth strategy or dividend policy and expects to continue modernizing its fleet. Management believes Euroholding’s valuation will be supported by the company’s fleet profile, capital structure, and higher intended dividend distribution policy. Euroseas management will host a conference call and webcast to discuss the spin-off on January 7 at 9:00 a.m. ET.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

E.W. Scripps (SSP) – Executing on Its Asset Monetization Strategy

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, January 06, 2025

The E.W. Scripps Company (NASDAQ: SSP) is a diversified media company focused on creating a better-informed world. As one of the nation’s largest local TV broadcasters, Scripps serves communities with quality, objective local journalism and operates a portfolio of 61 stations in 41 markets. The Scripps Networks reach nearly every American through the national news outlets Court TV and Newsy and popular entertainment brands ION, Bounce, Defy TV, Grit, ION Mystery, Laff and TrueReal. Scripps is the nation’s largest holder of broadcast spectrum. Scripps runs an award-winning investigative reporting newsroom in Washington, D.C., and is the longtime steward of the Scripps National Spelling Bee. Founded in 1878, Scripps has held for decades to the motto, “Give light and the people will find their own way.”

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Asset Sale. On December 30, the company completed the sale of its San Diego Tower sites to K2 Towers for $20 million and entered into tower space leases with the buyer for $1 million annually. We view the sale as a favorable step toward the company’s asset monetization strategy. The proceeds from the sales is expected to be used to pare down debt.

Asset monetization. Prior to the asset sale announcement, management highlighted that it had letters of intent for roughly $60 million in real estate transactions and is still shopping Bounce, a leading Over The Air (OTA) broadcast network. Notably, we believe Bounce could be worth more than $150 million. We believe that a sale of Bounce could be announced in the first half 2025. 


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Cocrystal Pharma (COCP) – Influenza Trial To Extend Enrollment, Norovirus Trial Data Expected in 1H25

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, January 06, 2025

Cocrystal Pharma, Inc. is a clinical-stage biotechnology company discovering and developing novel antiviral therapeutics that target the replication process of influenza viruses, coronaviruses (including SARS-CoV-2), hepatitis C viruses and noroviruses. Cocrystal employs unique structure-based technologies and Nobel Prize-winning expertise to create first- and best-in-class antiviral drugs. For further information about Cocrystal, please visit www.cocrystalpharma.com.

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Phase 2a Trial Enrollment To Be Extended. Cocrystal announced plans to extend enrollment for the Phase 2a clinical trial testing its influenza drug, CC-42344. The trial was designed to infect healthy volunteers with a pharmaceutically prepared H3N2 strain of influenza and then test the drug’s effects against the infection. However, the rate of infection was lower than anticipated, so the effects could not be tested.

Volunteers Did Not Develop Robust Influenza Infections. The trial administered influenza virus to healthy volunteers as planned, but there was an unexpectedly low infection rate. The subjects did not have the influenza measures needed to test CC-42344 efficacy. Cocrystal plans to submit a protocol amendment to the UK’s MHPA to extend the enrollment in the study.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

AZZ Inc. (AZZ) – Favorable Outlook Through FY 2026; Increasing Estimates

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, January 03, 2025

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Corporate guidance for fiscal year 2025. Following AZZ’s strong second quarter earnings report for fiscal year 2025, the company maintained its FY 2025 sales guidance range of $1.525 billion to $1.625 billion, lifted the lower end of adjusted EBITDA to a range of $320 million to $360 million, and increased adjusted diluted EPS expectations to a range of $4.70 to $5.10. During the company’s second quarter investor conference call, management indicated that AZZ had experienced a strong start to the third quarter of fiscal year 2025. Moreover, the tone seemed to indicate that the company’s fiscal year 2025 guidance was grounded in conservative assumptions knowing that the latter half of the fiscal year is generally weaker than the first half due to seasonality. 

Updating estimates.We have increased our FY 2025 EBITDA and EPS estimates to $346.8 million and $5.05, respectively, from $344.8 million and $5.00. The revisions are driven mostly by higher third quarter margin expectations. Our estimates for FY 2026 revenue, EBITDA, and EPS have been increased to $1.675 billion, $371.5 million, and $5.70, respectively, from $1.673 billion, $367.4 million, and $5.60. We think the incoming Trump administration could support pro-growth economic policies that could favorably impact AZZ’s business.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

FAT Brands (FAT) – New Locations

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, January 02, 2025

FAT Brands (NASDAQ: FAT) is a leading global franchising company that strategically acquires, markets, and develops fast casual, quick-service, casual dining, and polished casual dining concepts around the world. The Company currently owns 17 restaurant brands: Round Table Pizza, Fatburger, Marble Slab Creamery, Johnny Rockets, Fazoli’s, Twin Peaks, Great American Cookies, Hot Dog on a Stick, Buffalo’s Cafe & Express, Hurricane Grill & Wings, Pretzelmaker, Elevation Burger, Native Grill & Wings, Yalla Mediterranean and Ponderosa and Bonanza Steakhouses, and franchises and owns over 2,300 units worldwide. For more information on FAT Brands, please visit www.fatbrands.com.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Business Update. With 2024 coming to a close and the focus on the Twin Hospitality distribution, we wanted to review the ongoing business in terms of new openings for additional expansion. As we have emphasized in the past, the continuing expansion of the overall operating units provides a “cost free” means of improving overall adjusted EBITDA for FAT Brands.

New Openings. Since the beginning of November, or since FAT Brands reported third quarter results, the Company has announced the opening of a number of new locations, including a Hurricane Grill & Wings location in a Six Flags Great Escape Lodge in upstate NY, a Johnny Rockets in the Soaring Eagle Casino Resort in MI, a Pretzelmaker location in Clear Lake, IA, the fifth Round Table Pizza in Reno, NV, and five new locations for Great American Cookies and Marble Slab Creamery in Texas.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.