Kratos Defense & Security (KTOS) – Well Positioned to Benefit From Administration Priorities


Monday, May 12, 2025

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (NASDAQ:KTOS) develops and fields transformative, affordable technology, platforms, and systems for United States National Security related customers, allies, and commercial enterprises. Kratos is changing the way breakthrough technologies for these industries are rapidly brought to market through proven commercial and venture capital backed approaches, including proactive research, and streamlined development processes. At Kratos, affordability is a technology, and we specialize in unmanned systems, satellite communications, cyber security/warfare, microwave electronics, missile defense, hypersonic systems, training and combat systems and next generation turbo jet and turbo fan engine development. For more information go to www.kratosdefense.com.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

1Q25. In the first quarter of 2025, revenue increased $25.4 million to $302.6 million from $277.2 million in 1Q24. We had forecast revenue of $290 million. Kratos reported adjusted EBITDA of $26.7 million, compared to $26 million in 1Q24 and our $22.5 million estimate. Diluted GAAP EPS was $0.03 versus breakeven last year. Adjusted EPS was $0.12 up from $0.11 last year.

Positioning. With expectations the Defense budget will soon exceed $1 trillion and a major emphasis from the government on increasing innovation, reducing cost, increasing efficiencies, receiving more for less, and rapidly fielding relevant hardware and systems now, we believe Kratos is extremely well positioned.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Kelly Services (KELYA) – MRP Integration Drives Strong Results


Monday, May 12, 2025

Kelly (Nasdaq: KELYA, KELYB) connects talented people to companies in need of their skills in areas including Science, Engineering, Education, Office, Contact Center, Light Industrial, and more. We’re always thinking about what’s next in the evolving world of work, and we help people ditch the script on old ways of thinking and embrace the value of all workstyles in the workplace. We directly employ nearly 350,000 people around the world and connect thousands more with work through our global network of talent suppliers and partners in our outsourcing and consulting practice. Revenue in 2021 was $4.9 billion. Visit kellyservices.com and let us help with what’s next for you.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Q1 Results. The Company recorded revenue of $1.16 billion, up 11.5% year-over-year, in line with our estimate of $1.16 billion. Adj. EBITDA came in at $34.9 million, up 4.8% over the prior year period and modestly lower than our estimate of $36.5 million. Adj. EBITDA margin decreased 20 basis points to 3.0%. Furthermore, Kelly reported net income of $0.16/sh. On an adjusted basis, EPS was $0.39/sh compared to $0.56/sh last year and our estimate of $0.60/sh.

MRP Integration. The majority of MRP operations were absorbed into the SET segment. However, MRP’s Sevenstep business, along with the OCG and P&I segments, have been combined into Enterprise Talent Management (ETM). In connection with the integration and realignment, Kelly took a $10.7 million charge in the quarter.


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Information Services Group (III) – Reports 1Q25 Results


Monday, May 12, 2025

ISG (Information Services Group) (Nasdaq: III) is a leading global technology research and advisory firm. A trusted business partner to more than 700 clients, including more than 75 of the world’s top 100 enterprises, ISG is committed to helping corporations, public sector organizations, and service and technology providers achieve operational excellence and faster growth. The firm specializes in digital transformation services, including automation, cloud and data analytics; sourcing advisory; managed governance and risk services; network carrier services; strategy and operations design; change management; market intelligence and technology research and analysis. Founded in 2006, and based in Stamford, Conn., ISG employs more than 1,300 digital-ready professionals operating in more than 20 countries—a global team known for its innovative thinking, market influence, deep industry and technology expertise, and world-class research and analytical capabilities based on the industry’s most comprehensive marketplace data. For additional information, visit www.ISG-One.com

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Q1 Results. Reported Q1 revenue of $59.6 million, slightly over the top end of management’s issued guidance and our estimate of $59.0 million. Net income totaled $1.5 million, or $0.03 per diluted share, an improvement from a loss of $3.4 million, or $0.07 per share, last year. We estimated net income of $0.78 million or $0.02 per share. Adjusted EBITDA was $7.4 million, near the high end of management’s issued guidance and above our estimate of $6.5 million. Adjusted EPS for Q1 came in at $0.07 per share, up from $0.01 per share last year, and above our estimate of $0.05 per share.

Economic Outlook. ISG is well positioned to capitalize on market disruption as clients accelerate digital transformation, adopting cloud solutions, modernizing infrastructure, and deploying AI operations to improve IT performance and reduce costs. These industry shifts align directly with ISG’s core strengths in digital strategy, sourcing advisory, and cost optimization.


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FAT Brands (FAT) – First Quarter Results


Monday, May 12, 2025

FAT Brands (NASDAQ: FAT) is a leading global franchising company that strategically acquires, markets, and develops fast casual, quick-service, casual dining, and polished casual dining concepts around the world. The Company currently owns 17 restaurant brands: Round Table Pizza, Fatburger, Marble Slab Creamery, Johnny Rockets, Fazoli’s, Twin Peaks, Great American Cookies, Hot Dog on a Stick, Buffalo’s Cafe & Express, Hurricane Grill & Wings, Pretzelmaker, Elevation Burger, Native Grill & Wings, Yalla Mediterranean and Ponderosa and Bonanza Steakhouses, and franchises and owns over 2,300 units worldwide. For more information on FAT Brands, please visit www.fatbrands.com.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Progressing. In spite of the uncertain economy, FAT Brands continued to make progress during 1Q25. A total of 23 locations were opened in 1Q25, up 37% from 1Q24. YTD, the Company has signed agreements for an additional 100-plus locations, adding to the over 1,000 location pipeline. The initial Twin Hospitality distribution was accomplished and one of the whole business securitizations was amended.

1Q25 Results. Revenue was $142 million, down from $152 million in the year ago period, impacted by a 3.4% system-wide same store sale decline and lower revenues due to the closure of one Smokey Bones location during its conversion to a Twin Peaks lodge, partially offset by revenues generated by new Twin Peaks lodges. Reported loss was $46 million, or $2.73/sh, compared to a net loss of $38.3 million, or $2.37/sh, in 1Q24.


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E.W. Scripps (SSP) – Sports Gives It A Leg Up


Monday, May 12, 2025

The E.W. Scripps Company (NASDAQ: SSP) is a diversified media company focused on creating a better-informed world. As one of the nation’s largest local TV broadcasters, Scripps serves communities with quality, objective local journalism and operates a portfolio of 61 stations in 41 markets. The Scripps Networks reach nearly every American through the national news outlets Court TV and Newsy and popular entertainment brands ION, Bounce, Defy TV, Grit, ION Mystery, Laff and TrueReal. Scripps is the nation’s largest holder of broadcast spectrum. Scripps runs an award-winning investigative reporting newsroom in Washington, D.C., and is the longtime steward of the Scripps National Spelling Bee. Founded in 1878, Scripps has held for decades to the motto, “Give light and the people will find their own way.”

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Q1 better than expected. The first quarter results were solid, beating expectations. Total revenues were $524.4 million, better than our $519.5 million estimate. Importantly, the largest revenue variance was due to better than expected core advertising, which carries incrementally higher margins. Combined with earlier cost reductions, particularly in its Network segment, the company roundly beat adj. EBITDA expectations, $75.6 million versus our $56.5 million estimate.

Powering through the headwinds. The company gave encouraging Q2 revenue guidance, reflecting improving core advertising trends and strong Connected TV revenue. Core advertising is expected to be down more modestly in Q2 than in Q1, driven by ad demand for its sports programming. Connected TV is expected to continue its favorable revenue trajectory (which was up 42% in Q1). 


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – Riding the Wave


Monday, May 12, 2025

CoreCivic is a diversified, government-solutions company with the scale and experience needed to solve tough government challenges in flexible, cost-effective ways. We provide a broad range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through high-quality corrections and detention management, a network of residential and non-residential alternatives to incarceration to help address America’s recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. We are the nation’s largest owner of partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities, and believe we are the largest private owner of real estate used by government agencies in the United States. We have been a flexible and dependable partner for government for nearly 40 years. Our employees are driven by a deep sense of service, high standards of professionalism and a responsibility to help government better the public good. Learn more at www.corecivic.com.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

A Rising Tide. This is a significant moment of time in CoreCivic’s history, in our opinion. Never in the 42-year company history has there been so much activity and demand for CoreCivic’s services. As we have stated in prior reports, demand for the Company’s services could have a significant upside impact on operating results.

1Q25. First quarter revenue came in at $488.6 million, compared to $500.7 million last year and our $480 estimate, with the decline related to the absence of revenue from the Dilley and CalCity facilities in 1Q25. Adjusted EBITDA was $78.3 million versus $89.5 million. CoreCivic reported EPS of $0.23 compared to an adjusted $0.25 last year and our $0.12 estimate.


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Comstock Inc. (LODE) – Gaining Momentum


Monday, May 12, 2025

Comstock (NYSE: LODE) innovates technologies that contribute to global decarbonization and circularity by efficiently converting under-utilized natural resources into renewable fuels and electrification products that contribute to balancing global uses and emissions of carbon. The Company intends to achieve exponential growth and extraordinary financial, natural, and social gains by building, owning, and operating a fleet of advanced carbon neutral extraction and refining facilities, by selling an array of complimentary process solutions and related services, and by licensing selected technologies to qualified strategic partners. To learn more, please visit www.comstock.inc.

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Investor webinar. Comstock recently hosted a webinar to discuss the company’s first-quarter 2025 financial and operational performance, milestones associated with its renewable fuels and metals recycling platforms, and the outlook for the remainder of 2025. While Comstock continues to make rapid progress toward commercializing its Fuels and Metals businesses, perhaps the most significant achievement has been laying the financial foundation and framework for capitalizing its businesses to facilitate growth. These include LODE’s maintenance of the authorized share count, the recent share consolidation, a Series A financing for Comstock Fuels, and seeking financial and strategic partners to provide direct subsidiary-level financing.

Upcoming milestones. While Comstock summarized corporate and subsidiary-level objectives for 2025, we view several as significant. These include: 1) completing a Comstock Fuels Series A financing during the second quarter, 2) receipt of permits to expand Comstock Metals’ storage capacity and for the construction of its first industry-scale facility, 3) advancing project level financing for subsidiary projects, 4) the planned spin-off of Comstock Fuels, and 5) finalizing a plan to monetize Comstock’s properties and water rights in Silver Springs, Nevada.


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Cadrenal Therapeutics (CVKD) – Cadrenal Reports Tecarfarin Updates With 1Q25 Report


Friday, May 09, 2025

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

First Quarter Was Highlighted By The Collaboration With Abbott. Cadrenal Therapeutics reported a 1Q25 loss of $3.8 million or $(2.09) per share. An important development during the quarter was an agreement with Abbott to develop tecarfarin in LVADs (Left Ventricular Assist Devices). As planned, the company held a meeting with the FDA to discuss the next steps for clinical development of tecarfarin, its anticoagulant. Cash on March 31, 2025 was $7.3 million.

Meeting For Clinical Development Guidance Held With FDA. Cadrenal and the FDA held a meeting to discuss plans to conduct clinical trials to support an application for tecarfarin approval. The FDA gave guidance on the design and data requirements. Cadrenal plans to use the information to plan the final study design then submit it to the FDA for review and feedback.


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Information Services Group (III) – First Look 1Q25


Friday, May 09, 2025

ISG (Information Services Group) (Nasdaq: III) is a leading global technology research and advisory firm. A trusted business partner to more than 700 clients, including more than 75 of the world’s top 100 enterprises, ISG is committed to helping corporations, public sector organizations, and service and technology providers achieve operational excellence and faster growth. The firm specializes in digital transformation services, including automation, cloud and data analytics; sourcing advisory; managed governance and risk services; network carrier services; strategy and operations design; change management; market intelligence and technology research and analysis. Founded in 2006, and based in Stamford, Conn., ISG employs more than 1,300 digital-ready professionals operating in more than 20 countries—a global team known for its innovative thinking, market influence, deep industry and technology expertise, and world-class research and analytical capabilities based on the industry’s most comprehensive marketplace data. For additional information, visit www.ISG-One.com

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Q1 Results.  Reported Q1 revenue of $59.6 million, slightly over the top end of management’s issued guidance and our estimate of $59.0 million. Net income totaled $1.5 million, or $0.03 per diluted share, an improvement from a loss of $3.4 million, or $0.07 per share, last year. We estimated a net income of $0.78 million or $0.02 per share. Adjusted EBITDA was $7.4 million, near the high end of management’s issued guidance and above our estimate of $6.5 million. Adjusted EPS for Q1 came in at $0.07 per share, up from $0.01 per share last year, and above our estimate of $0.05 per share.

Favorable Developments. Notably, adj. EBITDA increased 68%, and adj. EBITDA margin increased by more than 550 basis points compared to the prior year period. The favorable growth in adj. EBITDA and adj. EBITDA margin are reflective of the Company’s disciplined operating approach and improved business mix. Additionally, we believe the Company is well-positioned to benefit from the uncertain economic environment as more companies look to optimize costs with investments in technology.


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Kelly Services (KELYA) – First Look 1Q25


Friday, May 09, 2025

Kelly (Nasdaq: KELYA, KELYB) connects talented people to companies in need of their skills in areas including Science, Engineering, Education, Office, Contact Center, Light Industrial, and more. We’re always thinking about what’s next in the evolving world of work, and we help people ditch the script on old ways of thinking and embrace the value of all workstyles in the workplace. We directly employ nearly 350,000 people around the world and connect thousands more with work through our global network of talent suppliers and partners in our outsourcing and consulting practice. Revenue in 2021 was $4.9 billion. Visit kellyservices.com and let us help with what’s next for you.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Q1 Results. The Company recorded revenue of $1.16 billion, up 11.5% year over year, in line with our estimate of $1.16 billion. Adj. EBITDA came in at $34.9 million, up 4.8% over the prior year period and modestly lower than our estimate of $36.5 million. Adj. EBITDA margin decreased 20 basis points to 3.0%. Furthermore,  Kelly reported net income of $0.16/sh. On an adjusted basis, EPS was $0.39/sh compared to $0.56/sh last year and our estimate of $0.60/sh.

Solid Results. The y-o-y revenue growth of 11.5% was largely driven by the Company’s May 2024 acquisition of Motion Recruitment Partners (MRP). On an organic basis, total revenue was only up 0.2%, which includes a 0.8% decrease in revenue from U.S. federal contractors and a 6.3% increase in Education segment revenue.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

1-800-Flowers.com (FLWS) – Recent Quarter Highlights Significant Challenges


Friday, May 09, 2025

For more than 45 years, 1-800-Flowers.com has offered truly original floral arrangements, plants and unique gifts to celebrate birthdays, anniversaries, everyday occasions, and seasonal holidays, and to deliver comfort during times of grief. Backed by a caring team obsessed with service, 1-800-Flowers.com provides customers thoughtful ways to express themselves and connect with the most important people in their lives. 1-800-Flowers.com is part of the 1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc. family of brands. Shares in 1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc. are traded on the NASDAQ Global Select Market, ticker symbol: FLWS.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Fiscal Q3 disappoints. Fiscal Q3 revenues of $311.5 million was well below our $367.8 million estimate. Adj. EBITDA loss of $38.6 million was below our seasonal loss estimate of $12.4 million. In spite of a good Valentine’s Day, fiscal third quarter results were adversely affected by weakened consumer confidence and macro economic forces. 

Pulls guidance. In lieu of recent trade policies and a weakened consumer, management pulled fiscal full year 2025 guidance. We estimate that fiscal Q4 revenues will decline roughly 6.3% (including the benefit of Easter) and that the company will report an adj. EBITDA loss of $20.5 million. Fiscal full year 2025 revenue and adj. EBIDA are revised to $1.687 billion and $29.2 million, respectively. 


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DLH Holdings (DLHC) – Post Call Commentary and Updated Models


Friday, May 09, 2025

DLH delivers improved health and readiness solutions for federal programs through research, development, and innovative care processes. The Company’s experts in public health, performance evaluation, and health operations solve the complex problems faced by civilian and military customers alike, leveraging digital transformation, artificial intelligence, advanced analytics, cloud-based applications, telehealth systems, and more. With over 2,300 employees dedicated to the idea that “Your Mission is Our Passion,” DLH brings a unique combination of government sector experience, proven methodology, and unwavering commitment to public health to improve the lives of millions. For more information, visit www.DLHcorp.com.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Moving Forward. While the path forward has been more challenging than we had anticipated, we believe DLH remains on the right path to strong operating results. We believe the Company’s core competencies are well aligned with the Federal government’s goals.

New Business. Management expects some $1 billion of business to be awarded by the end of the fiscal year, providing a substantial opportunity for DLH to win its fair share and drive organic growth in 2026. Yesterday, the Company announced it had been awarded a five year task order valued at up to $37.7 million to continue delivering scientific research and development, modeling & simulation, artificial intelligence, machine learning, robotic process automation, biomedical engineering, and cloud-enabled big data analytic solutions for the Telemedicine and Advanced Technology Research Center.


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InPlay Oil (IPOOF) – Revising Estimates Based on Updated Corporate Guidance


Friday, May 09, 2025

InPlay Oil is a junior oil and gas exploration and production company with operations in Alberta focused on light oil production. The company operates long-lived, low-decline properties with drilling development and enhanced oil recovery potential as well as undeveloped lands with exploration possibilities. The common shares of InPlay trade on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the symbol IPO and the OTCQX Exchange under the symbol IPOOF.

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Hans Baldau, Associate Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

First quarter financial results. InPlay Oil reported a first quarter net loss of C$2.9 million or C$0.18 per share compared to net income of C$1.7 million or C$0.02 per share during the prior year period. This was below our net income estimate of C$4.2 million or C$0.15 per share, primarily due to an unrealized loss on derivative contracts of C$4.6 million and higher-than-expected expenses. Moreover, commodity prices declined slightly during the first quarter, leading to lower revenues of C$38.4 million compared to our estimate of C$40.4 million.

Corporate 2025 guidance. The company generated quarterly production of 9,076 barrels of oil equivalent per day (boe/d), a 5% increase year-over-year and above our expectations of 8,800 boe/d. The company is raising its estimated field production expectations to 21,500 boe/d, a marked increase from 18,750 boe/d, and expects 2025 full year production to be in the range of 16,000 to 16,800 boe/d. Revenue guidance has been adjusted downward to C$46.75 to C$51.75 boe/d from C$56.50 to C$61.50 boe/d. Adjusted funds flow is expected to be between C$124 million and C$133 million, down from $204 million.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.