cpereira@noblefcm.com, Author at Channelchek

Kratos Defense & Security (KTOS) – Raising Price Target

Posted on January 28, 2025January 28, 2025 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Tuesday, January 28, 2025

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (NASDAQ:KTOS) develops and fields transformative, affordable technology, platforms, and systems for United States National Security related customers, allies, and commercial enterprises. Kratos is changing the way breakthrough technologies for these industries are rapidly brought to market through proven commercial and venture capital backed approaches, including proactive research, and streamlined development processes. At Kratos, affordability is a technology, and we specialize in unmanned systems, satellite communications, cyber security/warfare, microwave electronics, missile defense, hypersonic systems, training and combat systems and next generation turbo jet and turbo fan engine development. For more information go to www.kratosdefense.com.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Raising Price Target. We are maintaining our Outperform rating but raising our price target on KTOS shares to $38 from a prior $30. KTOS shares have performed well since we raised our price target to $30 in mid-November and have spent the last two weeks above our old target. We remain positive on the growth potential for Kratos, both on the defense and commercial sides.

Drivers. We continue to believe KTOS shares benefit from investor belief in the Trump Administration’s determination to increase defense spending and allocate more dollars to areas in Kratos’ wheelhouse, such as unmanned systems, hypersonics, and space. We also expect less friction from a drawn-out continuing resolution.

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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.

Bit Digital (BTBT) – Secures New HPC Contract with Anchor Customer

Posted on January 27, 2025January 27, 2025 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Monday, January 27, 2025

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

New Contract. Last Friday, Bit Digital announced a new agreement with its anchor customer in the GPU Cloud portion of its HPC business. The new 464 Nvidia B200 GPUs contract replaces a prior agreement to provide 2,048 H100 GPUs. The contract represents approximately $15 million of annualized revenue and features a two-month prepayment from the customer. While the new agreement reduces annualized revenue from what the Company anticipated last year (roughly $50 million), management is exploring additional contracts with the customer, which we are hopeful, when combined, will at least rise to the originally expected contract level.

Additional Terms. Under the new agreement, Bit Digital will provide the customer with 58 B200 servers (464 GPUs) for 18 months. Furthermore, the customer may deduct 100% of the service fees from the previously paid $30 million non-refundable deposit.

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Vince Holding Corp. (VNCE) – Hoffman Returns; Sowing Seeds For Growth

Posted on January 23, 2025January 23, 2025 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Thursday, January 23, 2025

500 5th Avenue 20th Floor New York, NY 10110 United States Sector(s): Consumer Cyclical Industry: Apparel Manufacturing Full Time Employees: 599 Key Executives Name Title Pay Exercised Year Born Mr. Jonathan CEO & Director 825.62k N/A 1958 Ms. Marie Fogel Senior VP and Chief Merchandising & Manufacturing Officer 633.19k N/A 1961 Mr. John Chief Financial Officer

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Well timed move. P-180, a venture between Christine Hunsicker and former CEO of Vince, Brendan Hoffman, purchased Sun Capital’s 65% majority stake, or 8.4 million shares, for $19.8 million in cash. The transaction also included significant debt paydown and debt forgiveness, highlighted later in this report. We believe that the transaction puts the company into friendly hands and with a stronger balance sheet.

Management shuffle. Brendan Hoffman will reassume his role as CEO on February 3. David Stefko will step down as interim CEO but will continue to serve on the board of directors. Additionally, Matthew Garff, who represented Sun Capital Partners on the board of directors, resigned.

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NN, Inc. (NNBR) – A First Look at 2025

Posted on January 23, 2025January 23, 2025 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Thursday, January 23, 2025

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Corporate Presentation. Yesterday, NN management presented at an investment conference. Among the topics discussed were the enterprise transformation, tariffs, balance sheet transformation, M&A, and the five-year growth plan. Management also introduced 2025 guidance.

Transformation Plan and Tariffs. The transformation plan continues to move forward. Notably, management indicated that all plants will be profitable in 2025, with a new focus on improving below average performing plants. Management does not expect the proposed Trump tariffs to impact business negatively as the vast majority of products are consumed in the country in which they are produced. Management did note recent inquiries from potential customers seeking capacity to produce products in the U.S. that customers had previously purchased overseas.

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Maple Gold Mines (MGMLF) – Maple Gold Commences Drilling at the Douay Gold Project

Posted on January 23, 2025January 23, 2025 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Thursday, January 23, 2025

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Phase I Drilling at Douay. Maple Gold Mines commenced a Phase I diamond drilling program at the Douay Gold project that is expected to last three to four months. The company’s drilling program will entail a minimum of 10,000 meters of diamond drilling, with ~70% dedicated to de-risking and expanding the Douay mineral resource and 30% for testing new regional geological and geophysical targets. At the Douay gold project, the goal is to expand and upgrade the current three-million-ounce gold resource to five million ounces. The first phase will target shallow portions of the Douay system at a vertical depth of less than 500 meters, while the second phase will test vertical depths greater than 500 meters.

Drilling at Joutel is planned in 2H 2025. An additional 3,000 meters of diamond drilling is planned at Joutel in the second half of 2025 to extend the known high-grade gold mineralization along the past-producing Eagle-Telbel mine trend.

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Great Lakes Dredge & Dock (GLDD) – Options for the Acadia, if Needed

Posted on January 23, 2025January 23, 2025 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Thursday, January 23, 2025

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation is the largest provider of dredging services in the United States. In addition, Great Lakes is fully engaged in expanding its core business into the rapidly developing offshore wind energy industry. The Company has a long history of performing significant international projects. The Company employs experienced civil, ocean and mechanical engineering staff in its estimating, production and project management functions. In its over 131-year history, the Company has never failed to complete a marine project. Great Lakes owns and operates the largest and most diverse fleet in the U.S. dredging industry, comprised of approximately 200 specialized vessels. Great Lakes has a disciplined training program for engineers that ensures experienced-based performance as they advance through Company operations. The Company’s Incident-and Injury-Free® (IIF®) safety management program is integrated into all aspects of the Company’s culture. The Company’s commitment to the IIF® culture promotes a work environment where employee safety is paramount.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Executive Order. Monday, President Trump signed an Executive Order for the temporary withdrawal of all areas on the Outer Continental Shelf (OCS) from offshore wind leasing as well as a review of the federal government’s leasing and permitting practices for wind projects. This withdrawal temporarily prevents consideration of any area in the OCS for any new or renewed wind energy leasing for the purposes of generation of electricity or any other such use derived from the use of wind.

Impact on GLDD. Notably, nothing in the withdrawal affects rights under existing leases in the withdrawn areas. However, the President has directed the Secretary of the Interior to comprehensively review the ecological, economic, and environmental necessity of terminating or amending any existing wind energy leases. Great Lakes’ two existing projects, Empire Wind and Sunrise Wind, have already undergone extensive governmental review and, presumably, should go forward.

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Nutriband (NTRB) – Initiating Coverage With An Outperform Rating And $13 Price Target

Posted on January 22, 2025January 22, 2025 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Wednesday, January 22, 2025

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

We Are Initiating Coverage With An Outperform Rating. Nutriband, Inc. is a pharmaceutical company developing transdermal patch technologies for drug delivery. Its proprietary technology, known as AVERSA, has abuse-deterrent features with important differences from other transdermal patches on the market. The lead product is AVERSA Fentanyl, an abuse-deterrent transdermal patch for delivering fentanyl that improves safety, compliance, and patient comfort.

Only One Clinical Trial Is Required For the 505 (b)(2) New Drug Application. AVERSA Fentanyl can follow the 505(b)(2) regulatory pathway with only a single Phase 1 clinical abuse potential study required to support the new label claims. We expect this study to begin in 1H25, announce results in 2H25, and file an NDA around YE2025 to early 2026.

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Townsquare Media (TSQ) – Preliminary Q4 Results Appear Promising

Posted on January 22, 2025January 22, 2025 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Wednesday, January 22, 2025

Townsquare is a community-focused digital media and digital marketing solutions company with market leading local radio stations, principally focused outside the top 50 markets in the U.S. Our assets include a subscription digital marketing services business, Townsquare Interactive, providing website design, creation and hosting, search engine optimization, social media and online reputation management as well as other digital monthly services for approximately 26,800 SMBs; a robust digital advertising division, Townsquare IGNITE, a powerful combination of a) an owned and operated portfolio of more than 330 local news and entertainment websites and mobile apps along with a network of leading national music and entertainment brands, collecting valuable first party data, and b) a proprietary digital programmatic advertising technology stack with an in-house demand and data management platform; and a portfolio of 321 local terrestrial radio stations in 67 U.S. markets strategically situated outside the Top 50 markets in the United States. Our portfolio includes local media brands such as WYRK.com, WJON.com, and NJ101.5.com and premier national music brands such as XXLmag.com, TasteofCountry.com, UltimateClassicRock.com and Loudwire.com.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Preliminary Q4 results. The company announced preliminary Q4 results that were in-line with previously issued guidance. The company expects Q4 revenue to be in the range of $117 million – $119 million and adj. EBITDA to be approximately $31 million. Notably, the company’s digital segment is expected to increase revenue by 11% over the comparable year-earlier period.

In line results. The Q4 preliminary results exceed our revenue estimate of $115.0 million, and our adj. EBITDA estimate of $30.4 million. Preliminary results and our Q4 and full year 2024 forecasts are illustrated in Figure #1 & Figure #2, respectively.

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Comstock Inc. (LODE) – Strategic Agreement with Hexas Biomass Supports Liquid Fuels Innovation and Commercialization

Posted on January 22, 2025January 22, 2025 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Wednesday, January 22, 2025

Comstock (NYSE: LODE) innovates technologies that contribute to global decarbonization and circularity by efficiently converting under-utilized natural resources into renewable fuels and electrification products that contribute to balancing global uses and emissions of carbon. The Company intends to achieve exponential growth and extraordinary financial, natural, and social gains by building, owning, and operating a fleet of advanced carbon neutral extraction and refining facilities, by selling an array of complimentary process solutions and related services, and by licensing selected technologies to qualified strategic partners. To learn more, please visit www.comstock.inc.

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Hans Baldau, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Agreement with Hexas Biomass. Comstock Fuels executed an agreement with Hexas Biomass Inc. to acquire an exclusive worldwide license to Hexas’ intellectual properties in liquid fuels applications, subject to certain pre-existing agreements and relationships. Moreover, Hexas will provide development services in connection with Comstock Fuels’ site development and innovation activities. Comstock Fuels will invest $500,000 in Hexas to be paid in four tranches on January 15, January 31, February 28, and March 31, 2025.

High yield energy crops. Hexas has developed a portfolio of proprietary intellectual properties supporting the propagation, production, harvesting, and processing of purpose-grown energy crops with yields exceeding 25 to 30 dry metric tons per acre per year, or about 4 to 7 times the yields of traditional forestry species.

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Century Lithium Corp. (CYDVF) – Setting the Stage for an Anchor Sodium Hydroxide Off-take Agreement

Posted on January 22, 2025January 22, 2025 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Wednesday, January 22, 2025

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Paving the way for an off-take agreement. Century Lithium recently executed a non-binding memorandum of understanding (MOU) to formalize a multi-year off-take agreement with Orica Specialty Chemicals to purchase sodium hydroxide from Century Lithium’s wholly owned Angel Island project. Orica is a leading mining and infrastructure solutions provider, the largest producer of sodium cyanide, and a supplier of specialty mining chemicals to Nevada’s mining industry.

Initial term of five years. The contemplated off-take agreement will have an initial term of five years and a right of first offer for an additional five years. It would account for a large portion of the surplus sodium hydroxide produced during the early years of the Angel Island project’s operation. A definitive agreement will contain pricing terms.

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GeoVax Labs (GOVX) – Gedeptin To Begin Phase 2 Clinical Trial

Posted on January 21, 2025January 21, 2025 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Tuesday, January 21, 2025

GeoVax Labs, Inc. is a clinical-stage biotechnology company developing novel therapies and vaccines for solid tumor cancers and many of the world’s most threatening infectious diseases. The company’s lead program in oncology is a novel oncolytic solid tumor gene-directed therapy, Gedeptin®, presently in a multicenter Phase 1/2 clinical trial for advanced head and neck cancers. GeoVax’s lead infectious disease candidate is GEO-CM04S1, a next-generation COVID-19 vaccine targeting high-risk immunocompromised patient populations. Currently in three Phase 2 clinical trials, GEO-CM04S1 is being evaluated as a primary vaccine for immunocompromised patients such as those suffering from hematologic cancers and other patient populations for whom the current authorized COVID-19 vaccines are insufficient, and as a booster vaccine in patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL). In addition, GEO-CM04S1 is in a Phase 2 clinical trial evaluating the vaccine as a more robust, durable COVID-19 booster among healthy patients who previously received the mRNA vaccines. GeoVax has a leadership team who have driven significant value creation across multiple life science companies over the past several decades.

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

GeoVax Starts The Year By Announcing Phase 2 Trial For Gedeptin. GeoVax has announced that a Phase 2 trial for Gedeptin, its gene therapy for delivering cytotoxic cancer drugs, is planned to start in 1H25. As we expected, the trial will test Gedeptin with a checkpoint inhibitor in patients with recurrent squamous cell carcinoma of the head and neck (SCCHN).

Gedeptin Delivers A Gene To Activate The Cancer Drug In The Tumor. Gedeptin is based on the Gene-Directed Enzyme Prodrug Therapy (GDEPT) technology platform. It uses an adenovirus vector to deliver the E. coli PNP gene to cancer cells. Once inside the cells, the gene produces an enzyme that converts an inactive prodrug (fludarabine) into an active cytotoxic drug. This increases the drug’s potency inside the cancer cells while avoiding healthy tissue. Gedeptin has completed Phase 1/2 trials in advanced head and neck cancer and has been granted Orphan Drug Designation for oral and pharyngeal cancers.

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Euroseas (ESEA) – Vessel Sale Adds a New Wrinkle to the Proposed Euroholdings Ltd. Spin-Off

Posted on January 21, 2025January 21, 2025 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Tuesday, January 21, 2025

Euroseas Ltd. was formed on May 5, 2005 under the laws of the Republic of the Marshall Islands to consolidate the ship owning interests of the Pittas family of Athens, Greece, which has been in the shipping business over the past 140 years. Euroseas trades on the NASDAQ Capital Market under the ticker ESEA. Euroseas operates in the container shipping market. Euroseas’ operations are managed by Eurobulk Ltd., an ISO 9001:2008 and ISO 14001:2004 certified affiliated ship management company, which is responsible for the day-to-day commercial and technical management and operations of the vessels. Euroseas employs its vessels on spot and period charters and through pool arrangements.

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Hans Baldau, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Sale of the M/V Diamantis P. A wholly owned subsidiary of Euroseas sold the M/V Diamantis P for ~$13.2 million and delivered the vessel to its new owners on January 15. Recall that the Diamantis P is a feeder containership that was built in 1998. The transaction is expected to result in a gain on sale of ~$10.2 million.

Spin-off transaction. Recall that Euroseas announced its intention to spin off three of its subsidiaries, two owning the M/V Aegean Express and M/V Joanna, and one that owned the M/V Diamantis P (prior to its sale) into Euroholdings Ltd. In exchange, Euroseas will receive 100% of the shares of Euroholdings Ltd., which will then be distributed to its shareholders (please refer to our note dated January 3 for transaction details).

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SKYX Platforms (SKYX) – A Step Forward for Its Commercial Distribution Channel

Posted on January 16, 2025January 16, 2025 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Thursday, January 16, 2025

Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Commercial expansion. On January 15th, the company announced that it will begin supplying its products to real estate developer Jeremiah Baron Companies. The developer has mixed-use residential and commercial projects underway in Florida. The partnership is expected to encompass approximately 1,000 units, which we believe equates to roughly 30,000 receptacles.

Seeding for the future. The company will initially supply receptacles to the developer, followed by plug-in products in the later stages of development, such as chandeliers, ceiling fans, and others. Importantly, the company’s fixtures, which plug into the receptacles, sell at higher prices. As such, we expect initial revenue impacts from the partnership to be modest, followed by a more meaningful impact when the units are ready for the installation of plug-in products. We anticipate that the development of the mixed-use project will extend into 2026.

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