Metals & Mining Industry Report – Observations from the 2026 Precious Metals Summit

Monday, September 28, 2026

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Precious Metals Summit. We attended the Precious Metals Summit last week at the Beaver Creek Resort in Colorado. While strong increases in metal prices led to exceptional investment returns in 2025, returns have moderated in 2026. Year-to-date through September 25, mining companies (as measured by the XME) appreciated 4.6% compared to a gain of 13.1% for the S&P 500 Index. The VanEck Vectors Gold Miners (GDX) and Junior Gold Miners (GDXJ) ETFs were up 8.3% and 6.4%, respectively. While metals prices remain strong, gold, silver, nickel, and lead prices have retreated modestly since the end of last year, while copper and zinc prices have continued to advance. While rising rate expectations may pose a headwind for gold, an uncertain geopolitical environment and other factors may provide an offset.

Investors are more discerning. Sentiment remains constructive, supported by strong metals prices, robust industry cash flows, and continued institutional interest in the sector. Conference participation was strong, including executive teams from over 225 mining companies and a broad mix of institutional investors, sell-side brokerage firms, and other industry participants. Investors appear to be increasingly focused on companies with scale, grade, strong metallurgy, manageable capital requirements, and an identifiable path for converting exploration success into economic value. 


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Junior Mining Consolidation Isn’t Coming. It’s Already Underway

The Artemis Gold acquisition of Vista Gold we covered earlier this week wasn’t an isolated event. It was one data point in what industry data increasingly confirms is a genuine, extended wave of consolidation sweeping through the junior and intermediate mining sector, and the drivers behind it suggest this cycle has real staying power rather than representing a short-term spike.

The numbers tell a clear story. Global mining M&A totaled roughly $93.7 billion in completed deals during 2025, and gold and silver assets alone accounted for more than 77% of total deal volume in early 2026. The list of major transactions reads like a sector-wide roll-up already in progress, Gold Fields acquiring Gold Road Resources for approximately $2.4 billion, Northern Star Resources buying De Grey Mining for roughly $3.3 billion, Equinox Gold’s $2.8 billion purchase of Calibre Mining, Coeur Mining’s $1.7 billion acquisition of SilverCrest Metals, and Pan American Silver’s $2.1 billion takeover of MAG Silver. Mining stocks claimed a record 60% of the spots on this year’s TSX30, the annual ranking of Canada’s top-performing stocks, a genuinely striking signal of where investor capital has been flowing.

Three forces are converging to drive this cycle, and each appears structural rather than cyclical. First, reserve depletion. Major producers spent much of the 2010s underinvesting in exploration during a prolonged bear market, and many are now confronting genuinely thinning production pipelines that organic exploration alone cannot refill quickly enough. Acquiring juniors with already-defined, advanced-stage resources is simply faster than starting from scratch. Second, sustained strength in gold and silver prices has given larger producers the cash flow and equity currency to pursue acquisitions, while depressed valuations among smaller developers following years of underperformance have made those same juniors attractively priced targets. Third, and increasingly important, critical minerals supply security has become an explicit policy priority, with roughly a third of surveyed industry executives specifically expecting consolidation in this category as governments and producers alike race to secure supply chains independent of Chinese dominance, a theme we detailed closely when covering the Greenland security agreement earlier this year.

Industry analysts point to a fairly consistent profile among likely takeover targets, advanced-stage resources located in stable, Tier-1 mining jurisdictions, high-grade or district-scale potential, reasonable valuations following recent market corrections, and experienced management teams with a track record of either developing or successfully exiting projects.

That profile is worth keeping in mind when evaluating smaller companies in this space. Junior developers advancing resources in favorable jurisdictions such as Century Lithium, working a lithium project in Nevada, Kuya Silver, developing precious metals assets in Peru, Tectonic Metals, advancing gold exploration in Alaska, and Power Metallic Mines, exploring nickel and copper deposits in Quebec, all sit in exactly the category this consolidation wave has been targeting, smaller companies with defined, advanced-stage projects in stable jurisdictions that larger, cash-generative producers are actively seeking to acquire.

None of this guarantees any individual company becomes a takeover target, and early-stage mining developers carry substantial execution, financing, and geological risk regardless of broader sector M&A trends. But the structural case for continued consolidation, depleted major-producer pipelines, strong commodity prices, and mounting critical minerals policy pressure, looks considerably more durable than a passing trend.

Take a moment and take a look at more small cap mining companies by taking a look at Noble Capital Markets’ Analyst Mark Reichman’s coverage list.

Kuya Silver (KUYAF) – Thoughts on Recent Drilling at the Umm-Hadid Project


Thursday, September 03, 2026

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Encouraging Drill Results. Kuya Silver reported strong drilling results from the Umm-Hadid Project in Saudi Arabia, advancing toward a maiden NI 43-101 mineral resource estimate. Highlights include 26.10 meters grading 77.8 grams of silver per tonne and 9.17 meters grading 137.1 grams of silver per tonne, with both intervals containing exceptionally high-grade silver and gold zones. The new Target 01 drill results are part of an ongoing 10,000-meter drill program to define the continuity, geometry, and grade distribution of the silver-gold vein system and support delivery of a maiden mineral resource estimate and accompanying NI 43-101 technical report. 

Establishing Continuity. The current resource-definition work is focused on Target 01. High-grade mineralization has been encountered across multiple holes and drill sections, supporting the continuity of the broader silver-gold system. Target 01 covers approximately 4.5 kilometers by 2.5 kilometers, with the latest mineralized intervals occurring at relatively shallow depths averaging about 58 meters below surface.


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Kuya Silver (KUYAF) – Advancing Bethania Toward Commercial Production


Friday, August 21, 2026

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Q2 and 1H FY 2026 Financial Performance. Kuya Silver generated Q2 FY 2026 revenue of $1,252,925, compared with $1,163,673 in the prior-year period. The company reported a net loss of $1,529,381, or $(0.01) per share, compared with a net loss of $282,559, or $(0.00) per share, in Q2 of FY 2025. During the 1H of FY 2026, revenue totaled $2,717,922, compared with $1,389,670 during the same period in FY 2025. The 1H net loss increased to $2,766,547, or $(0.01) per share, from $1,631,545, or $(0.01) per share, in the 1H of FY 2025. The greater loss reflected increased activity at the Bethania mine associated with the production ramp-up, as well as higher administrative expenses as Kuya expanded the organizational structure and capabilities required to support its growing operations. Increases in these line items were partially offset by higher revenue from Bethania and lower exploration and evaluation expenses.

Operational Momentum. Kuya continues to add contractors at the Bethania mine to augment its workforce, which is expected to accelerate mine development and underground drilling productivity during the remainder of the year. The mine team has initiated a focused development program and is allocating additional resources to unlock mineralized material for mining later in 2026 and into 2027. Key underground development initiatives, including construction of a new ramp and ore-handling systems to support the Phase 1 expansion to 350 tonnes per day, are progressing and are expected to improve operational stability and long-term production capacity.


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Tectonic Metals Inc. (TETOF) – Moving in the Right Direction


Friday, July 31, 2026

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Tier 1 Gold Deposit Potential. Tectonic Metals Inc. is a Canadian mineral exploration company focused on the acquisition, exploration, and advancement of gold projects in Alaska, one of the world’s premier mining jurisdictions. The company’s flagship asset is the district-scale Flat Gold Project in southwestern Alaska, which hosts a rapidly growing intrusion-related gold system with multi-million-ounce potential and remains the primary focus of exploration and resource expansion. Tectonic also owns the Tibbs Gold Project in Alaska’s Goodpaster Mining District.

Expanding the Leadership Team. Tectonic Metals recently appointed Ms. Keren Yun as Vice President, Investor Relations to lead investor relations, stakeholder engagement, and capital markets communications. Her appointment will strengthen the company’s engagement with the investment community as the company advances the Flat Gold Project and executes its district-scale exploration strategy. Ms. Yun is a strategic communications and investor relations professional with over two decades of experience working with exploration, development, and producing companies across the global mining sector. Prior to joining Tectonic, Ms. Yun led communications initiatives supporting Wyloo’s Eagle Nest Project in Ontario.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Kuya Silver (KUYAF) – Bethania Delivers Record Quarter as Production Gains Momentum


Wednesday, July 22, 2026

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Strong Operating Momentum. Kuya Silver reported another record quarter at its Bethania mine, with mined mineralized material increasing 66% sequentially to 5,097 tonnes. The company also achieved record quarterly silver production of 23,912 ounces or 30,559 silver-equivalent ounces, along with record monthly production in June as underground development, mine sequencing, and production rates continued to improve. Management expects recoveries and grades to continue strengthening as the operation advances toward steady-state production.

Quarterly Financial Highlights. Revenue for the quarter totaled approximately $1.25 million, generated primarily from silver sales, which accounted for 87% of total revenue. Metal sold included 17,450 ounces of silver or 20,006 ounces of silver equivalent. The company realized an average silver selling price of $72 per ounce during the quarter, benefiting from a favorable silver price environment. While quarterly silver sales volumes were lower than the prior year due to the timing of sales, higher realized silver prices supported revenue growth as production continued to ramp toward higher sustainable mining rates. We expect the company to release full second quarter financial and operational results in mid-August. 


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Resolution Minerals Ltd (RLMLF) – Resolution Advances Horse Heaven Toward Maiden Resource


Thursday, July 02, 2026

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

2026 Drill Program. Resolution continues to de-risk its flagship Horse Heaven Antimony-Tungsten-Gold-Silver Project in Idaho. The company has completed 16 diamond drill holes totaling 4,470 meters at the Golden Gate South target, maintaining a rapid drilling rate while keeping geological logging and sample preparation current. With approximately one-third of the drilling campaign complete, Resolution is advancing Golden Gate toward its first mineral resource estimate, which is expected during the first quarter of 2027. Successful drilling could substantially de-risk the project and establish the foundation for future economic studies.

Defining Scale and Continuity. The program is designed to define the scale and continuity of gold mineralization along strike and at depth while also evaluating the extent of tungsten mineralization surrounding the historic Golden Gate Tungsten Mine and a large tungsten soil anomaly. The campaign builds on encouraging 2025 drilling results that intersected broad intervals of gold mineralization.


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Tectonic Metals Inc. (TETOF) – Alaska’s Next Tier One Gold Deposit?


Thursday, June 25, 2026

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

George Proost, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Initiating coverage. We are initiating coverage of Tectonic Metals Inc. with an Outperform rating and price target of US$3.50 (C$4.85) per share. In our view, Tectonic’s Flat Gold Project, located in the prolific Kuskokwim Mineral Belt in Alaska, offers the potential to become a Tier 1 gold mine which are generally defined as those producing at least 500 thousand gold ounces per year, exhibit a mine life of 10+ years, with costs in the lower half of the global industry cost curve. Based on drilling results to date, we estimate a potential mineral endowment of at least 5.3 million gold ounces with significant growth prospects. Tectonic expects to publish an initial resource estimate in the first quarter of 2027.

Exploration and drilling program yields significant discoveries. Drilling at the Flat Gold Project continues to demonstrate scale, with mineralization at the Chicken Mountain target now defined over approximately 3.3 kilometers of strike length, widths of up to 700 meters, and depths exceeding 300 meters while remaining open in all directions. All 191 holes drilled at Chicken Mountain have intersected gold mineralization, with 117 of 191 holes ending in mineralization.


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Kuya Silver (KUYAF) – Operational Momentum and Revenue Growth


Friday, May 29, 2026

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

First-quarter 2026 Financial Performance.Kuya Silver generated first-quarter revenue of $1,464,997 compared to $225,997 during the first quarter of 2025. The company reported a loss of $1,237,166, or $(0.01) per share, compared to a loss of $1,348,986, or $(0.01) per share, during the prior year period. We have adjusted our 2026 estimates to reflect lower production than previously estimated due to a modestly slower ramp-up in production and expected variability in grade and recoveries. The company expects to produce between 150.0 thousand and 200.0 thousand silver equivalent ounces in 2026, and we think 2027 production could be in the range of 1.0 million and 1.5 million silver equivalent ounces. 

Operational Momentum. The company remains focused on ramping up production at the Bethania project, with production expected to accelerate later in the year. Key underground development initiatives, including the construction of a new ramp and ore handling systems to support Phase 1 expansion to 350 tonnes per day, are progressing and are expected to improve operational stability and long-term production capacity. Kuya Silver is also advancing due diligence on the proposed Camila plant acquisition, which would give the company full control over processing schedules and ore blend strategies, eliminate future toll-milling costs, and improve costs and margins as production from the Bethania mine increases.


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Equinox Gold and Orla Mining Merge to Create a North American Gold Powerhouse

The North American gold mining sector just got a major reshuffling. Equinox Gold Corp. (TSX/NYSE American: EQX) and Orla Mining Ltd. (TSX/NYSE American: ORLA) announced Tuesday a definitive all-share merger agreement that will create one of the continent’s largest gold producers, carrying an implied market capitalization of $18.5 billion and a combined annual production target of 1.1 million ounces of gold.

The deal is structured as an at-market combination in which each Orla shareholder will receive one Equinox common share plus a nominal cash payment of $0.0001 per share. Upon closing, existing Equinox shareholders will hold approximately 67% of the combined entity, with former Orla shareholders retaining 33% on a fully diluted, in-the-money basis. The transaction is expected to close in Q3 2026, pending shareholder votes anticipated for July and standard regulatory approvals in both Canada and Mexico.

Scale Built on Canadian Bedrock

The strategic logic here is hard to argue with. The combined company will be anchored by three long-life Canadian gold mines — Equinox’s Greenstone (Ontario) and Valentine (Newfoundland & Labrador) assets, alongside Orla’s Musselwhite mine in Ontario. Together, those three Canadian operations alone are projected to produce approximately 685,000 ounces in 2026, positioning the new Equinox Gold as the second-largest producer of Canadian gold.

The remaining production is spread across the U.S. (75,000 oz), Mexico (115,000 oz), and Nicaragua (225,000 oz), rounding out a six-mine North American portfolio that offers both operational diversification and jurisdictional focus.

A Growth Pipeline With Teeth

What separates this deal from a simple consolidation play is the organic growth runway. Management has outlined a clear path to more than 1.9 million ounces of annual gold production — an approximately 70% increase from the 1.1 million ounce baseline — driven entirely by internally funded North American expansion projects. Key growth contributors include the Valentine Phase 2 expansion in Canada, South Railroad and Castle Mountain in the U.S., and Los Filos and Camino Rojo underground in Mexico. All four projects carry established Mineral Reserves, reducing the execution risk that typically plagues expansion-stage narratives.

Combined Proven & Probable Mineral Reserves stand at 22.7 million ounces, with an additional 25.1 million ounces of Measured & Indicated Resources, giving the new entity a reserve base that rivals many of its senior peers.

Financial Firepower

Based on current analyst consensus estimates, the combined company is projected to generate roughly $1.4 billion in free cash flow and approximately $3.4 billion in EBITDA in 2026. Combined available liquidity is also pegged at $1.4 billion, providing the financial flexibility to fund growth without dilutive equity raises — a critical distinction in a capital-intensive sector.

What It Means for the Market

This merger is the latest signal that gold sector consolidation is accelerating, driven by elevated gold prices, rising development costs, and the premium the market increasingly assigns to scale and reserve quality. For investors tracking mid-tier and senior producers, the creation of a new $18.5 billion North American-focused gold company sets a new benchmark for what a fully integrated, internally funded growth story looks like in this cycle.

The transaction includes break fees of $475 million payable by Equinox and $250 million by Orla in certain termination scenarios, underscoring the commitment both boards have made to seeing this through.

Copper Surges Past $14,000 a Ton — And the Real Opportunity May Be in the Junior Miners

Copper is back above $14,000 a metric ton and closing in on its all-time high, and the forces driving this rally are not short-term noise. For small and microcap investors, the more relevant conversation is what happens to the junior miners when the red metal runs.

Prices on the London Metal Exchange climbed as high as $14,106 a ton Tuesday — within striking distance of the all-time high of $14,527 set in January. The move comes despite a fragile geopolitical backdrop, as the ongoing Iran conflict continues to cloud the global growth outlook. Copper is up roughly 13% year-to-date, a run that few predicted given the macro headwinds that dominated early 2026.

Why Copper Is Running

The rally is being driven by a confluence of factors that show no signs of reversing. Chinese industrial demand has rebounded meaningfully after a sluggish start to the year, tightening physical supply pipelines. At the same time, Middle Eastern conflict has squeezed sulfur supplies — a key input in certain copper production processes — adding an upstream constraint that is putting additional pressure on an already tight market.

Supply disruptions at major copper mines across Africa and Indonesia have compounded the picture. Ore grades at legacy mines continue to decline — the average grade across the top 20 copper mines globally has fallen roughly 9% over the past two decades — and there are few meaningful new projects with near-term production timelines to offset that degradation.

Analysts are taking notice. A mining analyst at Scotiabank now projects the global copper market will run a deficit of 350,000 tons by 2027, a dramatic revision from a roughly balanced market forecast just two months ago. J.P. Morgan has a similar view, projecting a refined copper shortfall of approximately 330,000 metric tons in 2026. Goldman Sachs has labeled copper a core target of what it calls the AI and electrification supercycle — and the numbers support that framing. Each electric vehicle requires four to five times the copper of a traditional internal-combustion vehicle, and hyperscale AI data centers are adding millions of tonnes of incremental demand to forecasts through 2030.

The Junior Miner Angle

For ChannelChek’s audience, the large-cap copper story — Freeport, BHP, Southern Copper — is well-covered elsewhere. The more compelling conversation is at the junior and small-cap level, where price leverage to copper is most pronounced. When copper moves, junior miners tend to move harder and faster, because their economics are highly sensitive to spot prices.

Names like HudBay Minerals (HBM), Capstone Copper, and Foran Mining sit in the small-to-mid cap range and carry significant operational leverage to sustained copper pricing above $13,000 a ton. For investors seeking a basket approach to junior copper exposure, the Sprott Junior Copper Miners ETF (COPJ) tracks mid-, small-, and microcap companies across the copper mining universe and has gained significant traction as copper’s structural story has matured.

The broader thesis is straightforward: copper demand is structural, driven by electrification, AI infrastructure, and defense modernization. Supply is challenged, fragile, and years away from meaningful new capacity. That combination — tight supply meeting accelerating demand — is precisely the environment where smaller, earlier-stage copper producers and developers tend to generate the most asymmetric upside.

With the preliminary list of copper supply constraints only growing and prices pressing near records, this is a space worth watching closely.

Century Lithium Corp. (CYDVF) – Significant Steps Forward


Friday, May 08, 2026

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Permitting Progress. Century Lithium announced significant progress in the federal permitting process for its wholly owned Angel Island Lithium Project in Nevada. The company submitted a Draft Mine Plan of Operations to the U.S. Bureau of Land Management and executed a Memorandum of Understanding with the agency to coordinate responsibilities during the National Environmental Policy Act review process. The submission marks an important milestone that advances the project toward a formal environmental analysis and broader regulatory review.

Next Steps. Century expects to receive initial feedback from the Bureau of Land Management within the next month as it works toward completion of the final Mine Plan of Operations. Angel Island has also been designated as a Transparency Project under the federal FAST 41 program, which supports streamlined permitting oversight. Alongside federal permitting efforts, Century Lithium continues to advance state and local permitting, engineering, infrastructure planning, and research initiatives aimed at improving project economics and attracting potential funding opportunities.


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Power Metallic Mines Inc. (PNPNF) – Drilling Reveals Exceptional Grade and Scale Potential at the Lion Zone


Thursday, May 07, 2026

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Drilling continues to reveal exceptional grades. Power Metallic Mines reported another strong set of drill results from the Lion Zone, highlighted by Hole PML 26-095, which returned 22 meters grading 11.46% copper equivalent, including two ultra high-grade intervals above 18% copper equivalent. The results reinforce the Lion Zone as an emerging polymetallic discovery with grades that exceed global copper mining averages.

New results confirm the growing scale of the deposit. The latest drilling confirms both the continuity and expansion potential of the deposit, with high-grade mineralization extending from near surface to depths of roughly 600 meters. This is important as the company advances toward its inaugural Mineral Resource Estimate expected in the third quarter of 2026, as strong continuity and scale could materially enhance future project economics and valuation.


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