Tag: Industrial

V2X (VVX) – NobleCon19 Presentation Notes

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, December 14, 2023

For more than 70 years, Vectrus has provided critical mission support for our customers’ toughest operational challenges. As a high-performing organization with exceptional talent, deep domain knowledge, a history of long-term customer relationships, and groundbreaking technical expertise, we deliver innovative, mission-matched solutions for our military and government customers worldwide. Whether it’s base operations support, supply chain and logistics, IT mission support, engineering and digital integration, security, or maintenance, repair and overhaul, our customers count on us for on-target solutions that increase efficiency, reduce costs, improve readiness, and strengthen national security. Vectrus is headquartered in Colorado Springs, Colo., and includes about 8,100 employees spanning 205 locations in 28 countries. In 2021, Vectrus generated sales of $1.8 billion. For more information, visit the company’s website at www.vectrus.com or connect with Vectrus on Facebook, Twitter, and LinkedIn.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

NobleCon19. V2X CEO Chuck Prow presented at NobleCon19. Highlights included are its backlog, organic growth strategy through its segments in Aerospace Solutions, Advanced Technology, and Global Mission Training & Sustainment, and reducing debt. A rebroadcast is available at https://www.channelchek.com/videos/v2x-noblecon19-replay.

Backlog. The Company’s total backlog is about $13.3 billion, a record for V2X, and translates to approximately three years of revenue, based on the Company’s revenue guidance mid-point. The backlog also does not have any single contract re-compete risk of more than 2% of revenue for the next 24 months.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

The GEO Group (GEO) – NobleCon19 Presentation Notes

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, December 14, 2023

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 103 facilities totaling approximately 83,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

NobleCon19. The GEO Group CFO Brian Evans presented at NobleCon19. Highlights included the ongoing rise in detainee populations, the continuing challenges of aging facilities and staffing for state correctional agencies, and GEO’s debt reduction efforts. A rebroadcast is available at https://www.channelchek.com/videos/the-geo-group-noblecon19-replay.

Populations. ICE populations move upward and, with recent requests for additional beds, GEO should see incremental benefit, in our view. Border crossings are not slowing to any significant degree, suggesting the the need for additional private sector beds could have a longer tail than expected.


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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Orion Group Holdings (ORN) – NobleCon19 Presentation Notes

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Wednesday, December 13, 2023

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

NobleCon19. Orion Group Holdings CEO Travis Boone and CFO Scott Thanisch presented at NobleCon19. Management highlighted recent improvements at the Marine and Concrete segments and the strategy for growth. A rebroadcast is available at https://www.channelchek.com/videos/orion-group-holdings-noblecon19-replay.

Marine Segment. Orion’s Marine segment is being provided with some tailwinds for growth, including U.S. Navy expansion in the Pacific with Orion’s contract award earlier in the year, and port expansion and maintenance, among other events. The segment also carries a diversified revenue base, with 46% being in private customers and the remaining 54% being the government (34% state and local, 20% federal).


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock (GLDD) – NobleCon19 Presentation Notes

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Wednesday, December 13, 2023

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation is the largest provider of dredging services in the United States. In addition, Great Lakes is fully engaged in expanding its core business into the rapidly developing offshore wind energy industry. The Company has a long history of performing significant international projects. The Company employs experienced civil, ocean and mechanical engineering staff in its estimating, production and project management functions. In its over 131-year history, the Company has never failed to complete a marine project. Great Lakes owns and operates the largest and most diverse fleet in the U.S. dredging industry, comprised of approximately 200 specialized vessels. Great Lakes has a disciplined training program for engineers that ensures experienced-based performance as they advance through Company operations. The Company’s Incident-and Injury-Free® (IIF®) safety management program is integrated into all aspects of the Company’s culture. The Company’s commitment to the IIF® culture promotes a work environment where employee safety is paramount.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

NobleCon19. Great Lakes CEO Lasse Petterson and CFO Scott Kornblau presented at NobleCon19. Highlights included record backlog, the improving quality of the Company’s backlog, and the opportunity the wind market is providing for Great Lakes. A rebroadcast is available at https://www.channelchek.com/videos/great-lakes-dredge-dock-noblecon19-replay.

Size of Backlog. Great Lakes’ backlog is at a record $1.03 billion and consists of roughly 71% in capital projects. The bid market has continued to remain strong, as year-to-date, the market has totaled $1.8 billion compared to $1.3 billion for all of last year and a $1.4 billion five year average. The Company expects the market to grow to $2 billion by the end of the year. 


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

The GEO Group (GEO) – Senior Leadership Shuffle

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, December 01, 2023

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 103 facilities totaling approximately 83,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

New CEO. Yesterday, GEO announced Brian Evans, who has been with the Company for 23 years and has served as the Company’s Chief Financial Officer for 14 years, has been appointed Chief Executive Officer, effective January 1, 2024. Current CEO Jose Gordo is transitioning to an advisor role, by mutual agreement. Given Mr. Evans’ familiarity with GEO and his strong performance as CFO, we believe this is a strong choice for the Company.

Zoley Term. Company founder and Executive Chairman George Zoley will step down as Executive Chairman as of June 30, 2026, the end of his current employment term. Mr. Zoley then will transition into the role as an advisor to the Company, while continuing to serve as the Company’s non-Executive Chairman of the Board of Directors.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Kratos Defense & Security (KTOS) – New Awards; Raising PT to $22

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, November 27, 2023

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (NASDAQ:KTOS) develops and fields transformative, affordable technology, platforms, and systems for United States National Security related customers, allies, and commercial enterprises. Kratos is changing the way breakthrough technologies for these industries are rapidly brought to market through proven commercial and venture capital backed approaches, including proactive research, and streamlined development processes. At Kratos, affordability is a technology, and we specialize in unmanned systems, satellite communications, cyber security/warfare, microwave electronics, missile defense, hypersonic systems, training and combat systems and next generation turbo jet and turbo fan engine development. For more information go to www.kratosdefense.com.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

New Contracts. Kratos has been awarded some additional significant contracts over the past two weeks, maintaining the momentum of award receipt over the past couple of quarters. We believe the new awards demonstrate the Company’s multi-sector capabilities.

Award 1. Kratos received a single-award, indefinite-delivery/indefinite-quantity contract with a ceiling value of $579 million for the Command-and-Control System Consolidated (CCS-C) Sustainment and Resiliency. Space Systems Command (SSC) is the contracting activity for the award. Kratos will sustain and provide post-production development for the current CCS-C system for telemetry, tracking and commanding of current and future military communication satellites.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Haynes International (HAYN) – Updating Estimates; Outlook Remains Favorable

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, November 20, 2023

Haynes International, Inc. is a leading developer, manufacturer and marketer of technologically advanced, nickel and cobalt-based high-performance alloys, primarily for use in the aerospace, industrial gas turbine and chemical processing industries.

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Fourth quarter and fiscal year 2023 financial results. Haynes reported fourth-quarter net income of $13.1 million or $1.02 per share compared to $16.3 million or $1.30 per share during the prior year period. Fiscal year 2023 net income was $42.0 million or $3.26 per share compared to $45.1 million or $3.57 per share during the prior period. We had forecast fourth quarter and fiscal year 2023 net income of $12.4 million and $41.1 million, respectively, or $0.97 per share and $3.22 per share. Compared to the prior year periods, fourth quarter and fiscal year net revenues increased by 11.7% and 20.3%, respectively, to $160.6 million and $590.0 million. On a year-over-year basis, the product average selling price during the fourth quarter and fiscal year increased 11.5% and 14.9%, respectively. Fiscal year 2023 adjusted EBITDA increased to $79.0 million compared to $77.4 million in fiscal year 2022.

Updating estimates. While our 2024 EPS estimate remains $4.50, we have made some quarterly adjustments. Revenue and earnings in the first quarter of fiscal 2024 are expected to be higher compared to the first quarter of fiscal 2023, but lower than the fourth quarter of fiscal 2023. First quarter results are generally lower due to holidays and planned equipment maintenance. Additionally, management expects commodity price fluctuations to have a greater negative impact in the first quarter of fiscal 2024 than in the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2023. We project fiscal 2024 EBITDA of $100.3 million compared to our $104.3 million estimate.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – Some More New Contracts

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, November 20, 2023

CoreCivic is a diversified, government-solutions company with the scale and experience needed to solve tough government challenges in flexible, cost-effective ways. We provide a broad range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through high-quality corrections and detention management, a network of residential and non-residential alternatives to incarceration to help address America’s recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. We are the nation’s largest owner of partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities, and believe we are the largest private owner of real estate used by government agencies in the United States. We have been a flexible and dependable partner for government for nearly 40 years. Our employees are driven by a deep sense of service, high standards of professionalism and a responsibility to help government better the public good. Learn more at www.corecivic.com.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

New Business. Last week, CoreCivic announced two additional management contracts, continuing the momentum exhibited since September. Significantly, the new business is with states and counties, two areas of focus for CoreCivic for growth. We believe the recent contract wins demonstrate both strong contracting progress and the high levels of interest in the Company’s services from governmental partners. Notably, utilizing existing bed inventory will help drive margin improvement at CoreCivic.

Wyoming. CoreCivic entered into a new management contract with the state of Wyoming for the housing of up to 240 male inmates at the Company’s 2,672-bed Tallahatchie County Correctional Facility in Tutwiler, Mississippi. The Company previously housed inmates for Wyoming under a management contract that had not been utilized since 2019. The term of the new contract runs through June 30, 2026.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Kelly Services (KELYA) – Moving Forward with Transformation in Challenging Environment

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, November 13, 2023

Kelly (Nasdaq: KELYA, KELYB) connects talented people to companies in need of their skills in areas including Science, Engineering, Education, Office, Contact Center, Light Industrial, and more. We’re always thinking about what’s next in the evolving world of work, and we help people ditch the script on old ways of thinking and embrace the value of all workstyles in the workplace. We directly employ nearly 350,000 people around the world and connect thousands more with work through our global network of talent suppliers and partners in our outsourcing and consulting practice. Revenue in 2021 was $4.9 billion. Visit kellyservices.com and let us help with what’s next for you.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

3Q23 Results. Revenue of $1,118 million was down 4.3% y-o-y and down 5.8% on a constant currency basis. We had estimated $1,180 million. The Company incurred $15.4 million of transformation expenses in the quarter. Adjusted net income was $18.1 million or EPS of $0.50. We had estimated EPS of $0.28. Adjusted EBITDA was $25.5 million, or a 2.3% margin.

Transformation. Kelly continues to move ahead with the transformation plan, already eliminating a significant amount of expenses. We expect the transformation to position Kelly to accelerate profitable growth over the long-term with improved adjusted EBITDA margins.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Euroseas (ESEA) – Euroseas reports strong earnings bucking a trend in the shipping industry

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, November 10, 2023

Euroseas Ltd. was formed on May 5, 2005 under the laws of the Republic of the Marshall Islands to consolidate the ship owning interests of the Pittas family of Athens, Greece, which has been in the shipping business over the past 140 years. Euroseas trades on the NASDAQ Capital Market under the ticker ESEA. Euroseas operates in the container shipping market. Euroseas’ operations are managed by Eurobulk Ltd., an ISO 9001:2008 and ISO 14001:2004 certified affiliated ship management company, which is responsible for the day-to-day commercial and technical management and operations of the vessels. Euroseas employs its vessels on spot and period charters and through pool arrangements.

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Euroseas reported strong 2023-3Q results due to fleet expansion and better-than-expected shipping rates. Euroseas’ average TCE rate of $30,074 was similar to last year and last quarter. Euroseas’ strategy of locking in rates for the next 12-24 months has allowed it to escape the decline in shipping rates that is hurting other shipping companies. Euroseas continues to command a premium shipping rate due to the modernization of its fleet and size of ships. 

Costs inched higher due to fleet expansion. One exception is drydocking expense, which decreased with no ships in drydock during the quarter as compared to two ships in drydock at this time last year. Note that this quarter includes a $14 million impairment charge and a $16 million gain on the termination of a charter. Absent these two non-recurring items, operating costs would have been near expectations.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

EuroDry (EDRY) – September-quarter results

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, November 09, 2023

EuroDry Ltd. was formed on January 8, 2018 under the laws of the Republic of the Marshall Islands to consolidate the drybulk fleet of Euroseas Ltd. into a separate listed public company. EuroDry was spun-off from Euroseas Ltd. on May 30, 2018; it trades on the NASDAQ Capital Market under the ticker EDRY. EuroDry operates in the dry cargo, drybulk shipping market. EuroDry’s operations are managed by Eurobulk Ltd., an ISO 9001:2008 and ISO 14001:2004 certified affiliated ship management company and Eurobulk (Far East) Ltd. Inc., which are responsible for the day- to-day commercial and technical management and operations of the vessels. EuroDry employs its vessels on spot and period charters and under pool agreements.

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Shipping rates weren’t as bad as expected. The average TCE rate for the 2023-3Q was $12,126 down 37% but better than our forecast. Operating costs declined relative to last year with the sale of an older vessel. Costs will rise in future quarters with the addition of three ships. Financing costs rose due to higher interest rates. The company will add $30 million in debt as part of the ship acquisition, financing and additional $18 million from cash on hand. With shipping rates above expectations and operating costs below expectations, EBITDA and earnings surpassed our estimates.

What’s did we learn this quarter: EuroDry repurchased approximately 52,000 shares during the quarter at an an average price of $14.43. Several ships were rechartered at favorable rates, most notably the Alexadros P ($24,500 for the December quarter versus $9,450 in the September quarter). Management believes its recent partnership arrangement establishes the company as an investment partner amongst private investors. The implication is that future such arrangements are likely. Management estimates a net asset value of $51.47, significantly above the current stock price of approximately $15 per share. The company will continue replacing older vessels with new vessels. It would like to see the market improve over the next few years before selling older vessels.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – Post Call Commentary – Improving Environment

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, November 09, 2023

CoreCivic is a diversified, government-solutions company with the scale and experience needed to solve tough government challenges in flexible, cost-effective ways. We provide a broad range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through high-quality corrections and detention management, a network of residential and non-residential alternatives to incarceration to help address America’s recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. We are the nation’s largest owner of partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities, and believe we are the largest private owner of real estate used by government agencies in the United States. We have been a flexible and dependable partner for government for nearly 40 years. Our employees are driven by a deep sense of service, high standards of professionalism and a responsibility to help government better the public good. Learn more at www.corecivic.com.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

ICE Pops Still Increasing. ICE detainee population grew to 36,845 at the end of the Federal government fiscal year, up from 35,289 in the prior week and press reports indicate the current population is closer to 40,000. CoreCivic ICE pops grew from 8,200 at the end of July, to 8,900 at the end of August, to 10,300 at the end of September and were up to 11,800 on Monday.

Positive Impact. The increasing ICE populations, if maintained, will benefit operating results to a greater extent in 4Q than they did in 3Q as many of CoreCivic’s ICE facilities reached the minimum guarantee level by the end of the third quarter. This should result in greater revenue and margin dollar growth for the Safety segment in 4Q23.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

The GEO Group (GEO) – Reported Third Quarter Results

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Wednesday, November 08, 2023

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 103 facilities totaling approximately 83,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

3Q23 Results. Revenue for the quarter came in at $602.8 million, compared to $616.7 million a year ago. Adjusted EBITDA totaled $118.7 million, EPS was $0.16, and adjusted EPS $0.19. In the year ago period, GEO reported $136.2 million, $0.26, and $0.33, respectively. We had forecast $595 million, $125.6 million, $0.21, and $0.21, respectively.

Overcoming ISAP. Population declines under the ISAP program continue to be a headwind, with segment revenue $42.6 million y-o-y. Secure Services revenue was off modestly, while Reentry Services, Managed Only, and Non-residential Services all saw nice increases in revenue.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.