Tag: Industrial

SKYX Platforms (SKYX) – Seeding Future Revenue Growth

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Wednesday, November 13, 2024

Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Q3 results. The company reported Q3 revenue of $22.2 million and an adj. EBITDA loss of $2.6 million. While the revenue was slightly below our estimate of $24.1 million, the adj. EBITDA loss was milder than our estimate of $3.4 million.

Gaining traction with Home Depot. Since announcing the partnership in July, the company’s presence in Home Depot locations has expanded to 100 stores. Additionally, SKYX products are available on Home Depot’s website. We anticipate more SKUs to become available both online and in stores soon, as a wide variety of SKYX products are expected to arrive from the company’s manufacturing partner, Ruee Appliances.  


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

FreightCar America (RAIL) – Stock Price Decline May Offer an Attractive Entry Point for Investors

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Wednesday, November 13, 2024

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Third quarter financial results. FreightCar America generated third quarter adjusted net income to common stockholders of $2.455 million or $0.08 per share compared to $3.953 million or $0.13 per share during the prior year period. We had anticipated adjusted net income to common stockholders of $2.465 million or $0.07 per share. Average shares outstanding of 31.4 million were lower than our estimate of 34.5 million. Revenue and rail car deliveries increased to $113.3 million and 961, respectively, compared to $61.9 million and 503 during the third quarter of 2023. On a year-over-year basis, adjusted EBITDA increased to $10.9 million compared to $3.5 million during the prior year period and our estimate of $9.8 million. Free cash flow amounted to $5.7 million.

Full year 2024 corporate guidance. While guidance for revenue and rail car deliveries is unchanged, management narrowed its guidance range for EBITDA to $37.0 million to $39.0 million compared to previous expectations of $35.0 million to $39.0 million.


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The GEO Group (GEO) – Moving to Market Perform as Shares Skyrocket

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, November 11, 2024

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 103 facilities totaling approximately 83,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Below Expectations. The GEO Group reported third quarter 2024 results below management’s and our expectations. Results in the quarter were driven by lower-than-expected revenues in the Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services segment, reflecting reduced participant count. ICE populations have remained relatively flat over the past three quarters, although they are up y-o-y.

3Q24. GEO reported total revenues for the third quarter 2024 of $603.1 million compared to $602.8 million last year. We forecasted $612 million. Adjusted EBITDA was $118.6 million, flat with 3Q23. We were at $128 million. Net income for 3Q24 totaled $26.3 million, or $0.19 per diluted share, compared to $24.5 million, or $0.16 per diluted share, for 3Q23. Adjusted EPS was $0.21 per diluted share compared to $0.19 per diluted share for 3Q23. We had projected $0.25 and $0.26, respectively.


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Kratos Defense & Security (KTOS) – Reports 3Q24 Results; Raising PT to $30

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, November 11, 2024

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (NASDAQ:KTOS) develops and fields transformative, affordable technology, platforms, and systems for United States National Security related customers, allies, and commercial enterprises. Kratos is changing the way breakthrough technologies for these industries are rapidly brought to market through proven commercial and venture capital backed approaches, including proactive research, and streamlined development processes. At Kratos, affordability is a technology, and we specialize in unmanned systems, satellite communications, cyber security/warfare, microwave electronics, missile defense, hypersonic systems, training and combat systems and next generation turbo jet and turbo fan engine development. For more information go to www.kratosdefense.com.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Environment. The ongoing generational recapitalization of strategic weapon systems, including strategic satellites, air defense radar, and missile systems, continues to be a catalyst for Kratos. Current world events are driving demand for Kratos products, including target drones, which are used to exercise and test air defense systems.

Strong Engine. Kratos’ turbine technologies and engine business is generating record results, including having a record opportunity pipeline with hypersonic supersonic cruise missiles, loitering munitions drones, and space systems, all being expected future growth areas.  


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Graham Corp. (GHM) – Strong 2Q25 Results; Raising PT to $45

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, November 11, 2024

Graham Corporation designs, manufactures and sells critical equipment for the energy, defense and chemical/petrochemical industries. The Company designs and manufactures custom-engineered ejectors, vacuum pumping systems, surface condensers and vacuum systems. It is a nuclear code accredited fabrication and specialty machining company. It supplies components used inside reactor vessels and outside containment vessels of nuclear power facilities. Its equipment is found in applications, such as metal refining, pulp and paper processing, water heating, refrigeration, desalination, food processing, pharmaceutical, heating, ventilating and air conditioning. For the defense industry, its equipment is used in nuclear propulsion power systems for the United States Navy. The Company’s products are used in a range of industrial process applications in energy markets, including petroleum refining, defense, chemical and petrochemical processing, power generation/alternative energy and other.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

2Q25 Results. Graham’s 2Q25 results exceeded expectations. The Company reported strong sales growth in its markets, along with exceptional execution throughout the business, which drove meaningful margin expansion. The balance sheet remained stellar with $32.3 million of cash and no debt. Graham raised full year gross margin and adjusted EBITDA estimates. GHM shares reacted favorably to the news, rising 17% to $39.07.

Financials. Record quarterly revenue of $53.6 million, up 19% y-o-y. Defense revenue was up 23%, Chemical/Petro sales were up 23%, and Space revenue was up 23%. Gross margin improved 790 basis points to 23.9%, fueled by sales growth and execution. Adjusted EBITDA rose 150% to $5.6 million. Adjusted net income up 353% to $3.4 million, or $0.31. 


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Kratos Defense & Security (KTOS) – First Look at 3Q24 Results

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, November 08, 2024

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (NASDAQ:KTOS) develops and fields transformative, affordable technology, platforms, and systems for United States National Security related customers, allies, and commercial enterprises. Kratos is changing the way breakthrough technologies for these industries are rapidly brought to market through proven commercial and venture capital backed approaches, including proactive research, and streamlined development processes. At Kratos, affordability is a technology, and we specialize in unmanned systems, satellite communications, cyber security/warfare, microwave electronics, missile defense, hypersonic systems, training and combat systems and next generation turbo jet and turbo fan engine development. For more information go to www.kratosdefense.com.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Solid Quarter. Kratos reported a solid quarter, with Unmanned Systems reporting 8.7% organic revenue growth. Turbine Technologies, Microwave Products, C5ISR, Defense  Rocket Support, and Training Solutions businesses also all reported organic revenue growth. This was offset by the previously reported and expected decline of approximately  $24.2 million in the Space and Satellite business, primarily resulting from the industry related impact from OEM delays.

3Q24 Results. Kratos reported revenue of $275.9 million, flat with the same period last year. We had estimated $280 million. Adjusted EBITDA was $24.6 million, compared to $27.7 million last year and our $21 million estimate. Reported net income was $3.2 million, or $0.02/sh, up from a $1.6 million loss, or a loss of $0.01/sh in 3Q23. Adjusted EPS was $0.11 compared to $0.12 last year. We were at $0.01 and $0.06, respectively.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Kelly Services (KELYA) – Reports 3Q24 Results

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, November 08, 2024

Kelly (Nasdaq: KELYA, KELYB) connects talented people to companies in need of their skills in areas including Science, Engineering, Education, Office, Contact Center, Light Industrial, and more. We’re always thinking about what’s next in the evolving world of work, and we help people ditch the script on old ways of thinking and embrace the value of all workstyles in the workplace. We directly employ nearly 350,000 people around the world and connect thousands more with work through our global network of talent suppliers and partners in our outsourcing and consulting practice. Revenue in 2021 was $4.9 billion. Visit kellyservices.com and let us help with what’s next for you.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Challenges. In the third quarter, Kelly remained focused on what it could control, but the uncertain economic environment persisted, impacting consolidated results. On an organic basis, revenue rose in two of the business units, while gross profit rate fell in three of the four units. Integration costs related to the MRP acquisition of $6.1 million also impacted results. Investors reacted negatively to the results, sending the shares down 18% to $18.14.

3Q24 Results. Revenue of $1.038 billion, down 7.1% y-o-y, but essentially flat on an organic basis. We were at $1.075 billion, the same as the consensus. Adjusted EBITDA of $26.2 million, up 2.7% y-o-y, but below our $34 million estimate and consensus $33 million. Net income of $0.8 million, or $0.02/sh and adjusted EPS of $0.21, compared to $0.18 and $0.50 in 3Q23. 


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CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – Another Solid Quarter

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, November 08, 2024

CoreCivic is a diversified, government-solutions company with the scale and experience needed to solve tough government challenges in flexible, cost-effective ways. We provide a broad range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through high-quality corrections and detention management, a network of residential and non-residential alternatives to incarceration to help address America’s recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. We are the nation’s largest owner of partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities, and believe we are the largest private owner of real estate used by government agencies in the United States. We have been a flexible and dependable partner for government for nearly 40 years. Our employees are driven by a deep sense of service, high standards of professionalism and a responsibility to help government better the public good. Learn more at www.corecivic.com.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

3Q24 Results. CoreCivic’s financial results for the third quarter of 2024 demonstrated the Company’s continued strong operating momentum. Increased occupancy and higher per diems drove the increased revenue in the quarter. While ICE populations were relatively stable in the quarter, management did note populations have increased by 5% since the beginning of October. Operating margin increased compared with the prior-year quarter through continued cost management and strong demand for CXW’s services.

Opportunity. Obviously, with the coming change in the President, most industry observers expect to see a step change in the use of services provided by the industry. There also is significant opportunity at the state and local levels being driven by increasing jail populations, forecasts for prison population’s to rise over the next five years, ongoing staffing issues, and an aging physical stock.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Seanergy Maritime (SHIP) – Third Quarter Financial Results Exceed Our Estimates

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, November 07, 2024

Seanergy Maritime Holdings Corp. is a prominent pure-play Capesize shipping company listed in the U.S. capital markets. Seanergy provides marine dry bulk transportation services through a modern fleet of Capesize vessels. The Company’s operating fleet consists of 18 vessels (1 Newcastlemax and 17 Capesize) with an average age of approximately 13.4 years and an aggregate cargo carrying capacity of approximately 3,236,212 dwt. Upon completion of the delivery of the previously announced Capesize vessel acquisition, the Company’s operating fleet will consist of 19 vessels (1 Newcastlemax and 18 Capesize) with an aggregate cargo carrying capacity of approximately 3,417,608 dwt. The Company is incorporated in the Marshall Islands and has executive offices in Glyfada, Greece. The Company’s common shares trade on the Nasdaq Capital Market under the symbol “SHIP”.

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Hans Baldau, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Third quarter financial results. The company reported third quarter adjusted EBITDA and earnings per share (EPS) of $26.8 million and $0.69, respectively, exceeding our estimates of $25.5 million and $0.61. Revenue was $1.1 million above our estimate, while expenses were only modestly higher. The variance to our net revenue estimate is attributed to lower commissions and greater fees from related parties. Operating income was $17.7 million compared to our estimate of $17.0 million. 

Updating estimates. We are lowering our 2024 adjusted EBITDA and EPS estimates to $101.7 million and $2.52, respectively, from our previous estimates of $102.1 million and $2.56. Additionally, we are lowering our 2025 adjusted EBITDA and EPS estimates to $93.7 million and $1.93, respectively, from $102.0 million and $2.39. The revisions are mainly due to lower time charter equivalent (TCE) rates and more dry-docking days in 2025, resulting in lower operating days and net revenue than previously estimated.


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CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – Solid 3Q24 Results – A First Look

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, November 07, 2024

CoreCivic is a diversified, government-solutions company with the scale and experience needed to solve tough government challenges in flexible, cost-effective ways. We provide a broad range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through high-quality corrections and detention management, a network of residential and non-residential alternatives to incarceration to help address America’s recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. We are the nation’s largest owner of partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities, and believe we are the largest private owner of real estate used by government agencies in the United States. We have been a flexible and dependable partner for government for nearly 40 years. Our employees are driven by a deep sense of service, high standards of professionalism and a responsibility to help government better the public good. Learn more at www.corecivic.com.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Solid Results and a Favorable Reaction. CoreCivic reported above expected 3Q24 results, driven by higher compensated occupancy and continued cost management. Notably, the results were achieved even with the headwinds of CalCity and South Texas, which resulted in ICE revenue declining 3.4% y-o-y. Excluding the South Texas facility, ICE revenue rose 10.9% y-o-y. CXW shares reacted favorably to the election results, rising nearly 30% to close at $17.58 yesterday.

Third Quarter Detail. Total revenue was at $491.6 million (including $5.7 million of deferred revenue related to South Texas), above our forecast of $479.5 million and above last year’s $483.7 million. Occupancy rates increased to 75.2% from 72.0% in the prior year. Operating margin improved 130 basis points y-o-y, reflecting the increased top line and cost control. Adjusted EBITDA was $83.3 million, up from $75.2 million. Net income was $21.1 million, or $0.19 per diluted share, compared to $13.9 million or $0.12 last year. Adjusted EPS was $0.20 versus $0.14 last year. We estimated net income of $10 million or $0.09 per diluted share.


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DLH Holdings (DLHC) – New Contract Award

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Wednesday, November 06, 2024

DLH delivers improved health and readiness solutions for federal programs through research, development, and innovative care processes. The Company’s experts in public health, performance evaluation, and health operations solve the complex problems faced by civilian and military customers alike, leveraging digital transformation, artificial intelligence, advanced analytics, cloud-based applications, telehealth systems, and more. With over 2,300 employees dedicated to the idea that “Your Mission is Our Passion,” DLH brings a unique combination of government sector experience, proven methodology, and unwavering commitment to public health to improve the lives of millions. For more information, visit www.DLHcorp.com.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

New Award. DLH has been awarded a contract to support the Naval Information Warfare Center Atlantic’s (“NIWC Atlantic”) Tactical Networks. NIWC Atlantic conducts research, development, and engineering to bolster integrated information warfare capabilities, with an emphasis on Enterprise IT systems.

Details. The award has a total value of approximately $76 million, comprised of $61 million in initial firm value and $15 million in optional services. The contract term includes up to a five-year period of performance. As the prime contractor, DLH will perform In-Service Engineering Agent and Integrated Logistics Support services. DLH’s work will support the missions of several C5ISR program offices and systems including PEO-C4I, PMW-160, NAVWAR, NAVSEA, and others.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

NN, Inc. (NNBR) – Accelerating on its Transformation

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, November 01, 2024

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Adjusted Results. Adjusted net loss during the quarter was $2.5 million, or $0.05 per share compared to adjusted net income of $0.1 million or $0.01 last year. Adjusted EBITDA was $11.6 million, or a margin of 10.2%, compared to last year’s $14.5 million or 11.6%. Both items were impacted by the Company’s rationalization of plants undergoing turnarounds and the sale of the Lubbock plastic plant operations.

Accelerated Transformation. Management has been accelerating its transformation initiatives, as the Company continues to win business, nearing the lower end of guidance for the year, and is continuously undergoing cost reduction, including $2 million in annualized cost savings enacted in the third quarter. New business wins bring over higher margins for NN at over 20% compared to the legacy business at around 11%, providing higher gross margins overtime as legacy contracts become more offset.


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Haynes International (HAYN) – Lowering Estimates to Reflect Anticipated Negative Revenue Impact of Boeing Strike

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, November 01, 2024

Haynes International, Inc. is a leading developer, manufacturer and marketer of technologically advanced, nickel and cobalt-based high-performance alloys, primarily for use in the aerospace, industrial gas turbine and chemical processing industries.

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Boeing strike. In fiscal year 2023 and for the first nine months of fiscal 2024, aerospace represented 49% and 51% of Haynes’ net revenue. A significant portion of the company’s aerospace sales are dependent on the number of aircraft built by The Boeing Company and Airbus. On September 13, Boeing union members went on strike after rejecting a contract proposal from the company. Boeing has extended a pause on component shipments for several of its programs. While we are hopeful that the strike will be resolved soon, we expect it to have a negative impact on Haynes’ fourth quarter of fiscal year 2024 which ended September 30 and the first quarter of fiscal year 2025 which ends on December 31, 2024. Seasonally, the first quarter of the fiscal year is generally the company’s weakest.

Updating estimates. We have lowered our 2024 EBITDA and EPS estimates to $67.4 million and $2.46, respectively, from $68.5 million and $2.52. The revisions reflect weaker demand in the aerospace segment and lower sales expectations for the fourth quarter. Our expectations for weaker demand extend into fiscal year 2025, and we have lowered our EBITDA and EPS estimates to $82.5 million and $3.35, respectively, from $99.5 million and $4.15. Our revisions reflect lower shipment, revenue, and margin expectations, particularly during the first half of the year.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.