AI a New Favorite Among Retail Investors

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Recent Investment Trends Include Small-Cap Artificial Intelligence Stocks

C3 AI, sometimes written C3.ai, is an artificial intelligence platform that provides services for companies to build large-scale AI applications. Its stock had the fifth highest traded shares among Fidelity’s retail investors on Monday (February 6). This included a record-breaking $31.4 million worth of shares traded among the broker’s individual self-directed traders. According to Reuters, “Retail investors are piling up on small-cap firms that employ artificial intelligence amid intensifying competition between tech titans.”  The article points to Google and Microsoft as examples of companies that expect AI to be the next meaningful driver of growth.

Investors, for their part, are looking to get ahead of any acquisition spree that deep-pocketed companies may embark on, which could include buying the advanced technology by acquiring small-cap tech firms.

Focus Heightened by ChatGPT

The spotlight ChatGPT finds itself in, three months after its launch, is indicicative of the interest in this technology amongst investors and users. With applications as numerous than one can think up, the technology could outdate many services provided by tech companies like Alphabet (GOOGL), or Microsoft (MSFT) – big tech has catching up to do. This seems to have created a race by cash rich companies to not be disrupted and left behind.

Investor’s recent focus on small companies in this space prefer those that are concentrated in AI technology. One main reason is that small-cap or microcap firms in this space are likely to have AI as a more concentrated part of their business. The bet being that whether the small company continues to grow independently, or is acquired by a larger firm looking to instantly be par with current technology, doesn’t much matter, it is a win for the investor if either occurs.

And it is a win, C3 AI stock rallied 46% last week, and climbed another 6.5% on Monday. It is now up 146% year to date.

Other Companies Involved

SoundHound AI, provides a voice AI platform services, and Thailand-based security firm Guardforce AI have more than doubled so far this year, while analytics firm BigBear.AI has increased ninefold.

US-listed shares of Baidu Inc climbed after the Chinese search engine indicated it would complete an internal test of a ChatGPT-style project called “Ernie Bot” next month.

Shares of Microsoft, which supports ChatGPT parent OpenAI, had been ratcheting up over the past month. The company is expected to make an announcement on their AI gained 1.5% in premarket trading ahead of the AI plans this week. ​

Google-owner Alphabet Inc said this week it would launch Bard, a chatbot service for developers, alongside its search engine.

Take Away

Change in technology that leads to improvements in daily lives has always been a focus of investors betting on which companies will outlast the others with “the next big thing.” These companies start out as small growth companies as Apple (AAPL) did in 1976. Then, a number of paths lay ahead. They either grow on their own like the Jobs/Wozniak computer maker did, get acquired for an early payday for investors and other stakeholders, or they can be outcompeted leaving investors with a non-performing asset.

Channelchek is a platform that specializes in bringing data and research on small-cap companies, including many varieties of new technology, to the investors that insist on being informed before they place a trade. Discover more on the industries of tomorrow by signing up for notifications in your inbox from Channelchek by registering here.

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

Sources

https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/retail-investors-flock-small-cap-ai-firms-big-tech-battles-share-2023-02-07/

https://www.barrons.com/articles/c3-ai-stock-rally-bull-wall-street-51675441248?mod=Searchresults

Detecting Deepfake Voice is Now Crucial to Security

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Deepfake Audio Has a Tell – Researchers Use Fluid Dynamics to Spot Artificial Imposter Voices

Imagine the following scenario. A phone rings. An office worker answers it and hears his boss, in a panic, tell him that she forgot to transfer money to the new contractor before she left for the day and needs him to do it. She gives him the wire transfer information, and with the money transferred, the crisis has been averted.

The worker sits back in his chair, takes a deep breath, and watches as his boss walks in the door. The voice on the other end of the call was not his boss. In fact, it wasn’t even a human. The voice he heard was that of an audio deepfake, a machine-generated audio sample designed to sound exactly like his boss.

Attacks like this using recorded audio have already occurred, and conversational audio deepfakes might not be far off.

Deepfakes, both audio and video, have been possible only with the development of sophisticated machine learning technologies in recent years. Deepfakes have brought with them a new level of uncertainty around digital media. To detect deepfakes, many researchers have turned to analyzing visual artifacts – minute glitches and inconsistencies – found in video deepfakes.

Audio deepfakes potentially pose an even greater threat, because people often communicate verbally without video – for example, via phone calls, radio and voice recordings. These voice-only communications greatly expand the possibilities for attackers to use deepfakes.

To detect audio deepfakes, we and our research colleagues at the University of Florida have developed a technique that measures the acoustic and fluid dynamic differences between voice samples created organically by human speakers and those generated synthetically by computers.

Organic vs. Synthetic voices

Humans vocalize by forcing air over the various structures of the vocal tract, including vocal folds, tongue and lips. By rearranging these structures, you alter the acoustical properties of your vocal tract, allowing you to create over 200 distinct sounds, or phonemes. However, human anatomy fundamentally limits the acoustic behavior of these different phonemes, resulting in a relatively small range of correct sounds for each.

In contrast, audio deepfakes are created by first allowing a computer to listen to audio recordings of a targeted victim speaker. Depending on the exact techniques used, the computer might need to listen to as little as 10 to 20 seconds of audio. This audio is used to extract key information about the unique aspects of the victim’s voice.

The attacker selects a phrase for the deepfake to speak and then, using a modified text-to-speech algorithm, generates an audio sample that sounds like the victim saying the selected phrase. This process of creating a single deepfaked audio sample can be accomplished in a matter of seconds, potentially allowing attackers enough flexibility to use the deepfake voice in a conversation.

This article was republished  with permission from The Conversation, a news site dedicated to sharing ideas from academic experts. It represents the research-based findings and thoughts of Logan Blue, PhD student in Computer & Information Science & Engineering, University of Florida and Patrick Traynor, Professor of Computer and Information Science and Engineering, University of Florida.

Detecting Audio Deepfakes

The first step in differentiating speech produced by humans from speech generated by deepfakes is understanding how to acoustically model the vocal tract. Luckily scientists have techniques to estimate what someone – or some being such as a dinosaur – would sound like based on anatomical measurements of its vocal tract.

We did the reverse. By inverting many of these same techniques, we were able to extract an approximation of a speaker’s vocal tract during a segment of speech. This allowed us to effectively peer into the anatomy of the speaker who created the audio sample.

Deepfaked audio often results in vocal tract reconstructions that resemble drinking straws rather than biological vocal tracts. Logan Blue (The Conversation)

From here, we hypothesized that deepfake audio samples would fail to be constrained by the same anatomical limitations humans have. In other words, the analysis of deepfaked audio samples simulated vocal tract shapes that do not exist in people.

Our testing results not only confirmed our hypothesis but revealed something interesting. When extracting vocal tract estimations from deepfake audio, we found that the estimations were often comically incorrect. For instance, it was common for deepfake audio to result in vocal tracts with the same relative diameter and consistency as a drinking straw, in contrast to human vocal tracts, which are much wider and more variable in shape.

This realization demonstrates that deepfake audio, even when convincing to human listeners, is far from indistinguishable from human-generated speech. By estimating the anatomy responsible for creating the observed speech, it’s possible to identify the whether the audio was generated by a person or a computer.

Why this matters

Today’s world is defined by the digital exchange of media and information. Everything from news to entertainment to conversations with loved ones typically happens via digital exchanges. Even in their infancy, deepfake video and audio undermine the confidence people have in these exchanges, effectively limiting their usefulness.

If the digital world is to remain a critical resource for information in people’s lives, effective and secure techniques for determining the source of an audio sample are crucial.