Category: Retail and Consumer

Release – Vera Bradley, Inc. Announces Reporting Date For Fiscal Year 2024 Third Quarter Results

Posted on by aweinsoff@channelchek.com

Research News and Market Data on VRA

Nov 1, 2023

FORT WAYNE, Ind., Nov. 01, 2023 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Vera Bradley, Inc. (Nasdaq: VRA) (the “Company”) today announced that it plans to report results for the third quarter ended October 28, 2023 at 8:00 a.m. Eastern Time on Wednesday, December 6, 2023.

The Company will host a conference call to discuss its financial results at 9:30 a.m. Eastern Time that same day. A live webcast of the conference call will be available on the Investor Relations section of the Company’s website, www.verabradley.com. Alternatively, interested parties may dial into the call at (888) 204-4368, and enter the access code 7089328. A replay will be available shortly after the conclusion of the call and remain available through December 20, 2023. To access the recording, listeners should dial (844) 512-2921, and enter the access code 7089328.

ABOUT VERA BRADLEY, INC.

Vera Bradley, Inc. operates two unique lifestyle brands – Vera Bradley and Pura Vida. Vera Bradley and Pura Vida are complementary businesses, both with devoted, emotionally connected, and multi-generational female customer bases; alignment as causal, comfortable, affordable, and fun brands; positioning as “gifting” and socially-connected brands; strong, entrepreneurial cultures; a keen focus on community, charity, and social consciousness; multi-channel distribution strategies; and talented leadership teams aligned and committed to the long-term success of their brands.

Vera Bradley, based in Fort Wayne, Indiana, is a leading designer of women’s handbags, luggage and other travel items, fashion and home accessories, and unique gifts. Founded in 1982 by friends Barbara Bradley Baekgaard and Patricia R. Miller, the brand is known for its innovative designs, iconic patterns, and brilliant colors that inspire and connect women unlike any other brand in the global marketplace.

In July 2019, Vera Bradley, Inc. acquired a 75% interest in Creative Genius, Inc., which also operates under the name Pura Vida Bracelets (“Pura Vida”). Pura Vida, based in La Jolla, California, is a digitally native, highly engaging lifestyle brand founded in 2010 by friends Paul Goodman and Griffin Thall. Pura Vida has a differentiated and expanding offering of bracelets, jewelry, and other lifestyle accessories. The Company acquired the remaining 25% of Pura Vida in January 2023.

CONTACTS:
Investors:
Julia Bentley
jbentley@verabradley.com

Media:
877-708-VERA (8372)
Mediacontact@verabradley.com

Release – ACCO Brands Corporation Declares Quarterly Dividend

Posted on by aweinsoff@channelchek.com

Research News and Market Data on ACCO

October 27, 2023

LAKE ZURICH, Ill.–(BUSINESS WIRE)– ACCO Brands Corporation (NYSE: ACCO) today announced that its board of directors has declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.075 per share. The dividend will be paid on December 6, 2023, to stockholders of record as of the close of business on November 15, 2023.

“This is the Company’s 24th quarterly cash dividend since it began paying dividends in 2018. The Company’s dividend has become an important part of our capital allocation strategy and we remain committed to supporting our quarterly dividend with our robust free cash flow. At the current stock price, on an annualized basis, our shareholders are receiving an almost 6% yield on their investment,” said Tom Tedford, President and Chief Executive Officer of ACCO Brands.

About ACCO Brands Corporation

ACCO Brands, the Home of Great Brands Built by Great People, designs, manufactures and markets consumer and end-user products that help people work, learn, play and thrive. Our widely recognized brands include AT-A-GLANCE®, Five Star®, Kensington®, Leitz®, Mead®, PowerA®, Swingline®, Tilibra® and many others. More information about ACCO Brands Corporation (NYSE: ACCO) can be found at www.accobrands.com.

Chris McGinnis
Investor Relations
(847) 796-4320

Kori Reed
Media Relations
(224) 501-0406

Source: ACCO Brands Corporation

Release – ACCO Brands Corporation Announces Third Quarter 2023 Earnings Webcast

Posted on by aweinsoff@channelchek.com

Research News and Market Data on ACCO

October 20, 2023

LAKE ZURICH, Ill.–(BUSINESS WIRE)– ACCO Brands Corporation (NYSE: ACCO) today announced that it will release its third quarter 2023 earnings after the market close on November 2, 2023. The Company will host a conference call and webcast to discuss the results on November 3 at 8:30 a.m. ET. The webcast can be accessed through the Investor Relations section of www.accobrands.com and will be available for replay.

About ACCO Brands Corporation

ACCO Brands, the Home of Great Brands Built by Great People, designs, manufactures and markets consumer and end-user products that help people work, learn, play and thrive. Our widely recognized brands include AT-A-GLANCE®, Five Star®, Kensington®, Leitz®, Mead®, PowerA®, Swingline®, Tilibra® and many others. More information about ACCO Brands Corporation (NYSE: ACCO) can be found at www.accobrands.com.

Christopher McGinnis
Investor Relations
(847) 796-4320

Kori Reed
Media Relations
(224) 501-0406

Source: ACCO Brands Corporation

September Sees Record Lows in Home Sales

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

The US housing market continues to show signs of a significant downturn, with existing home sales in September dropping to the slowest pace since October 2010. This marks a 15.4% decline compared to September 2022, according to new data from the National Association of Realtors (NAR).

The sharp drop in home sales highlights how rising mortgage rates and declining affordability are severely impacting the housing market. The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate now sits around 8%, more than double what it was just a year ago. This rapid surge in borrowing costs has priced many buyers out of the market, especially first-time homebuyers.

Only 27% of September home sales went to first-time buyers, well below the historical norm of 40%. Many simply cannot afford today’s high home prices and mortgage payments. As a result, sales activity has fallen dramatically. The current sales pace of 3.96 million units annualized is down markedly from over 6 million just two years ago, when rates were around 3%.

At the same time, inventory remains extremely tight. There were just 1.13 million existing homes available for sale at the end of September, an over 8% decline from last year. This persistent shortage of homes for sale continues to put upward pressure on prices. The median sales price in September hit $394,300, up 2.8% from a year ago.

While higher prices are squeezing buyers, they are not denting demand enough to significantly expand inventory. Many current homeowners are reluctant to sell and give up their ultra-low mortgage rates. This dynamic is keeping the market undersupplied, even as sales cool.

Not all buyers are impacted equally by higher rates. Sales have held up better on the upper end of the market, while declining sharply for mid-priced and affordable homes. This divergence reflects that high-end buyers often have more financial flexibility, including the ability to purchase in cash.

All-cash sales represented 29% of transactions in September, up notably from 22% a year earlier. Wealthier buyers with financial assets can better absorb higher borrowing costs. In contrast, first-time buyers and middle-income Americans are being squeezed the most by rate hikes.

Looking ahead, the housing slowdown is likely to persist and potentially worsen. Mortgage applications are now at their lowest level since 1995, signaling very weak demand ahead. And while inflation has eased slightly, the Federal Reserve is still expected to continue raising interest rates further to combat it.

Higher rates mean reduced affordability and housing activity, especially if home prices remain elevated due to limited inventory. This perfect storm in the housing market points to significant headwinds for the broader economy going forward.

The housing sector has historically been a key driver of economic growth in the US. But with sales and construction activity slowing substantially, it may act as a drag on GDP growth in coming quarters. Combined with declining affordability, fewer homes being purchased also means less spending on furniture, renovations, and other housing-related items.

Some analysts believe the Fed’s aggressive rate hikes will ultimately tip the economy into a recession. The depth of the housing market downturn so far this year does not bode well from a macroeconomic perspective. It signals households are pulling back materially on major purchases, which could contribute to a broader economic contraction.

While no significant recovery is expected in the near-term, lower demand could eventually help rebalance the market. As sales moderate, competitive bidding may ease, taking some pressure off prices. And if economic conditions worsen substantially, the Fed may again reverse course on interest rates. But for now, the housing sector appears poised for more weakness ahead. Homebuyers and investors should brace for ongoing volatility and uncertainty.

Surprisingly Strong September Retail Sales Raises Hopes for Soft Landing

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

U.S. retail sales rose an unexpectedly robust 0.7% in September, surpassing economist forecasts of a flat or negative number. The solid spending data provides a dose of optimism that the economy can achieve a soft landing amidst high inflation and aggressive Fed rate hikes.

September’s gains were broad-based across categories like autos, gasoline, furniture, clothing, hobbies, and food services. The growth comes even as inflation persists at elevated levels, with the September Consumer Price Index report showing prices climbed 8.2% year-over-year.

However, the 0.4% monthly CPI increase was smaller than anticipated. This potentially indicates inflationary pressures are beginning to gradually ease.

Markets rallied on the retail sales beat, interpreting it as a sign of consumer resilience despite inflation chipping away at budgets. Stocks rose on hopes a soft landing—where the Fed engineers an economic cooldown without triggering a recession—appears more plausible.

Retail spending has seesawed in recent months, decreasing 0.4% in August as high prices at the pump drained consumer budgets. But gas prices have since moderated, alleviating some of this pressure. This freed up disposable income in September, evidenced by solid auto sales and increases in discretionary categories.

The better-than-expected data implies consumers still have some power to prop up the economy, though inflation remains a challenge. Prices dipped from the previous month’s 8.3% annual increase but continue running severely above the Fed’s 2% target. This explains why the central bank is almost certain to enact another large interest rate hike in early November.

Fed officials assert they will continue raising rates aggressively until inflation is convincingly tamed. This risks going too far and sparking a recession. But if inflation keeps gradually trending downwards, it raises confidence the Fed can stick the landing.

Firms are bracing for a potential downturn, with many announcing hiring freezes and cost cuts. However, the job market has yet to take a significant hit, which would severely impair consumer spending power. As long as individuals keep spending reasonably well, it makes a soft landing more feasible.

Looking ahead, the path for retail sales and inflation remains highly uncertain. More data will be required to determine if September’s retail boost was an anomaly or the start of more sustainable momentum. Inflation similarly needs to keep dropping before proclaiming victory.

But for now, September’s numbers provide a dose of positivity that the economy is not yet on the brink of cratering into recession. Consumers are weathering the inflation storm better than feared, aided by falling gas prices and healthy job gains.

This means the Fed can continue ratcheting up interest rates with less risk of immediately crashing growth. However, policymakers are unlikely to declare mission accomplished and halt hikes anytime soon.

For the soft landing narrative to play out, retail strength and inflation moderation will need to persist over coming months. September offered promising signs, but more evidence is required to confidently say a harsh recession is avoidable. The Fed will be monitoring data closely to ensure its forceful actions steer the economy in the right direction.

Rising Housing Costs Drive Consumer Inflation Even Higher in September

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Consumer inflation accelerated more than expected in September due largely to intensifying shelter costs, putting further pressure on household budgets and keeping the Federal Reserve on high alert.

The consumer price index (CPI) increased 0.4% last month after rising 0.1% in August, the Labor Department reported Thursday. On an annual basis, prices were up 3.7% through September.

Both the monthly and yearly inflation rates exceeded economist forecasts of 0.3% and 3.6% respectively.

The higher than anticipated inflation extends the squeeze on consumers in the form of elevated prices for essentials like food, housing, and transportation. It also keeps the Fed under the microscope as officials debate further interest rate hikes to cool demand and restrain prices.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

Surging Shelter Costs in Focus

The main driver behind the inflation uptick in September was shelter costs. The shelter index, which includes rent and owners’ equivalent rent, jumped 0.6% for the month. Shelter costs also posted the largest yearly gain at 7.2%.

On a monthly basis, shelter accounted for over half of the total increase in CPI. Surging rents and housing costs reflect pandemic trends like strong demand amid limited supply.

“Just because the rate of inflation is stable for now doesn’t mean its weight isn’t increasing every month on family budgets,” noted Robert Frick, corporate economist at Navy Federal Credit Union. “That shelter and food costs rose particularly is especially painful.”

Energy and Food Costs Also Climb

While shelter led the inflation surge, other categories saw notable increases as well in September. Energy costs rose 1.5% led by gasoline, fuel oil, and natural gas. Food prices gained 0.2% for the third consecutive month, with a 6% jump in food away from home.

On an annual basis, energy costs were down 0.5% but food was up 3.7% year-over-year through September.

Used vehicle prices declined 2.5% in September but new vehicle costs rose 0.3%. Overall, transportation services inflation eased to 0.9% annually in September from 9.5% in August.

Wage Growth Lags Inflation

Rising consumer costs continue to outpace income growth, squeezing household budgets. Average hourly earnings rose just 0.2% in September, not enough to keep pace with the 0.4% inflation rate.

That caused real average hourly earnings to fall 0.2% last month. On a yearly basis, real wages were up only 0.5% through September—a fraction of the 3.7% inflation rate over that period.

American consumers have relied more heavily on savings and credit to maintain spending amid high inflation. But rising borrowing costs could limit their ability to sustain that trend.

Fed Still Focused on Inflation Fight

The hotter-than-expected CPI print keeps the Fed anchored on inflation worries. Though annual inflation has eased from over 9% in June, the 3.7% rate remains well above the Fed’s 2% target.

Officials raised interest rates by 75 basis points in both September and November, pushing the federal funds rate to a range of 3-3.25%. Markets expect another 50-75 basis point hike in December.

Treasury yields surged following the CPI report, reflecting ongoing inflation concerns. Persistently high shelter and food inflation could spur the Fed to stick to its aggressive rate hike path into 2023.

Taming inflation remains the Fed’s number one priority, even at the risk of slowing economic growth. The latest CPI data shows they still have work to do on that front.

All eyes will now turn to the October and November inflation reports heading into the pivotal December policy meeting. Further hotter-than-expected readings could force the Fed’s hand on more supersized rate hikes aimed at cooling demand and prices across the economy.

Sandal Sensation: Why Birkenstock’s IPO Has Investors on Their Toes

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Legendary German footwear company Birkenstock priced its highly anticipated initial public offering at $46 per share on Tuesday, at the lower end of its projected range of $44 to $49 per share.

The conservative pricing comes as investors are displaying caution towards new public offerings in the face of market volatility. At $46 per share, Birkenstock would raise approximately $1.5 billion in proceeds and gain a valuation of $8.6 billion.

The sandal maker is slated to begin trading Wednesday on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol “BIRK.”

Birkenstock is going public at an intriguing moment for the footwear industry, as major players like Nike and Adidas adapt their offerings to capitalize on surging demand for comfortable, casual styles that became popular during the pandemic.

As a storied brand known for its sandals and clogs, Birkenstock is uniquely positioned to ride this trend. However, questions remain about the nearly 250-year old company’s growth trajectory and valuation.

Built on Heritage, Positioned for Growth

Dating back to 1774, Birkenstock has a long legacy as a comfort-focused footwear brand, securing devotees across the decades with its contoured footbeds and versatile sandal styles. The company lays claim to inventing the original cork footbed.

In recent years, Birkenstock has experienced a resurgence in popularity, spearheaded by its iconic Boston clogs. Younger consumers are discovering the brand, enticed by its commitment to quality, comfort and sustainability.

This has fueled strong financials, with Birkenstock generating 1.2 billion euros in revenue in its latest fiscal year, representing a CAGR of 17% over the last decade. Its sales are split nearly evenly between Europe and the Americas.

To stoke further growth, Birkenstock plans to expand its digital presence, having already grown e-commerce sales to just under 20% of total revenue. It will also continue broadening its product portfolio into areas like athletic leisure.

Reasons for Caution Among Investors

However, Birkenstock also holds substantial debt of around 1 billion euros, sparking questions about its financial profile.

Additionally, the company conceded in its prospectus that it has “identified material weaknesses in our internal control over financial reporting” – never reassuring words for potential investors.

The Birkenstock IPO comes on the heels of disappointing public debuts from companies like grocery delivery platform Instacart and chip technology firm ARM Holdings. This rocky landscape has left investors apprehensive about overvalued offerings.

Some analysts argue that Birkenstock’s projected valuation range of up to $5 billion was simply too optimistic, given the market environment. The tepid pricing indicates investors are unwilling to take an exuberant bet on the storied brand.

Many also point to the fiercely competitive footwear arena, where Birkenstock must compete with a range of established casual brands and new direct-to-consumer upstarts. While Birkenstock enjoys enviable brand cachet, it may lack the scale and resources of giants like Nike and Adidas.

The Road Ahead

While Birkenstock took a conservative approach with its IPO pricing, the offering will still generate a substantial cash infusion to fuel the company’s expansion.

The true test will be whether Birkenstock can sustain momentum among younger demographics while defending its turf against deep-pocketed rivals. Its ultimate post-IPO performance will be determined by strategic decisions in areas like brand positioning, product innovation, and digital sales.

But with almost 250 years of history behind it, few companies can claim a legacy comparable to Birkenstock’s. This pedigree provides confidence that the brand has staying power, whatever public market challenges may arise. For long-term investors, Birkenstock remains a compelling story combining heritage and growth.

DoorDash Ditches NYSE for Nasdaq in Major Stock Exchange Switch

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Food delivery app DoorDash announced it will transfer its stock exchange listing from the New York Stock Exchange to the Nasdaq. The company will begin trading on the Nasdaq Global Select Market under the ticker ‘DASH’ starting September 27, 2023.

This represents a high-profile switch that exemplifies the fierce competition between the NYSE and Nasdaq to attract Silicon Valley tech listings. It also reflects shifting sentiments around brand associations and target investor bases.

DoorDash first went public on the NYSE in December 2020 at a valuation of nearly $60 billion. At the time, the NYSE provided the prestige and validation desired by the promising young startup.

However, DoorDash has since grown into an industry titan boasting a market cap of over $30 billion. As a maturing technology company, Nasdaq’s brand image and investor mix provide better positioning.

Tony Xu, co-founder and CEO of DoorDash, emphasized the benefits of the Nasdaq in the company’s announcement. “We believe DoorDash will benefit from Nasdaq’s track record of being at the forefront of technology and progress,” he said.

Nasdaq has built a reputation as the go-to exchange for Silicon Valley tech firms and growth stocks. Big name residents include Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Tesla, Alphabet, and Facebook parent company Meta.

The exchange is also home to leading next-gen companies like Zoom, DocuSign, Crowdstrike, Datadog, and Snowflake. This creates an environment tailor-made for high-growth tech outfits.

Meanwhile, the NYSE leans toward stalwart blue chip companies including Coca Cola, Walmart, Visa, Walt Disney, McDonald’s, and JPMorgan Chase. The historic exchange tends to attract mature businesses and financial institutions.

Another factor likely influencing DoorDash is the investor makeup across the competing exchanges. Nasdaq generally appeals more to growth-oriented funds and active traders. The NYSE caters slightly more to institutional investors like pension funds, endowments, and passive index funds.

DoorDash’s switch follows ride sharing pioneer Lyft’s jump from Nasdaq to the NYSE exactly one year ago. Like DoorDash, Lyft desired a brand halo as it evolved past its early startup days.

“It’s a signal of us being mature, of us continuing to build a lasting company,” said Lyft co-founder John Zimmer at the time of the company’s NYSE listing.

Jared Carmel, managing partner at Manhattan Venture Partners, believes these exchange transfers reflect the “changing identities of the companies.”

As startups develop into multi-billion dollar giants, they evaluate whether their founding exchange still aligns with their needs and desired perceptions. Brand association and shareholder registration are becoming as important as operational capabilities for listings.

High-flying growth stocks like DoorDash also consider indexes, as the Nasdaq 100 often provides greater visibility and buying power from passive funds tracking the benchmark. Prominent inclusion in those indexes requires trading on Nasdaq.

Whether mature blue chips or emerging Silicon Valley darlings, the rivalry between Nasdaq and NYSE will continue heating up as each exchange vies to attract and retain brand name public companies. With lucrative listing fees on the line, exchanges will evolve branding, services, and capabilities to better cater to their target customers.

The DoorDash switcheroo exemplifies the changing perspectives and motivations influencing exchange selection. As companies lifecycles and personas transform, they reevaluate decisions made during those frenetic early IPO days.

The $68.7B Blockbuster Microsoft-Activision Deal

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Microsoft’s proposed $68.7 billion acquisition of Activision Blizzard has the potential to completely transform the gaming landscape. While regulators have scrutinized the deal over competition concerns, the merger could bring tremendous benefits to Microsoft, Activision, and the broader video game industry.

For Microsoft, owning Activision Blizzard will expand its catalog of exclusive titles and strengthen its position in the rapidly growing cloud and mobile gaming markets. Activision’s stable of popular franchises, including Call of Duty, World of Warcraft, and Overwatch, will give Microsoft’s Xbox platform exclusive access to some of the most iconic brands in gaming.

The deal also bolsters Microsoft’s Game Pass subscription service. By adding Activision games into the Game Pass library, Microsoft could attract millions of new subscribers. Game Pass now has over 25 million subscribers, and Activision’s titles provide strong incentive for even more gamers to sign up.

Microsoft also aims to leverage Activision’s titles to boost its cloud gaming efforts. Cloud gaming allows players to stream games over the internet, without needing expensive hardware. Microsoft’s Project xCloud trails behind competitors, but owning rights to Activision’s diverse lineup of games could help close the gap with rivals.

For Activision Blizzard, the deal provides much-needed stability after a rocky couple of years. The company faced intense backlash over allegations of sexual harassment and discrimination against female employees. Activision also lost favor with gamers over accusations of declining game quality. Joining forces with Microsoft gives Activision renewed focus along with the resources to potentially revitalize its culture and game development efforts.

Take a moment to take a look at Motorsport Games Inc., an award-winning esports video game developer and publisher for racing fans and gamers around the globe.

The merger can also reinvigorate Activision’s floundering esports leagues. Microsoft brings immense expertise in managing leagues like the NBA 2K League. With dedicated support, Activision’s Overwatch League and Call of Duty League can get back on track to engage fans.

More broadly, the deal validates the tremendous growth potential of the $200 billion gaming market. Investors originally balked at the $68.7 billion price tag, which was nearly a 50% premium over Activision’s market value. However, Microsoft likely sees this as a long-term investment, as analysts forecast the gaming sector to expand to over $300 billion by 2027.

While there are understandable concerns about one company gaining so much influence, Microsoft has committed to keeping Activision games available across multiple platforms. The tech giant also faces strong incentives to continue investing in blockbuster franchises like Call of Duty rather than making them Xbox exclusives.

After months in limbo, the deal now appears to be back on track for completion in late 2023 or early 2024. Assuming it passes the final regulatory hurdles, this acquisition has the scope to reshape gaming for players and developers alike. By bringing together two titans of the industry, the new Microsoft-Activision partnership could help unlock gaming’s true potential.

MGM Hack Highlights Casino Cyber Risks

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Casino and hotel operator MGM Resorts tumbled last week after revealing it was hit by a data breach impacting over 10 million former guests. The hack showcases the cyber risks facing hospitality firms and dragged down related stocks as investors weighed the potential fallout.

MGM shares dropped over 4% following its disclosure of the breach as investors reacted to the cyberattack. The stock slide reflected concerns over potential costs from lawsuits, technical remedies, and reputational damage.

The attack also stoked fears of similar incidents across the broader hospitality sector. Airline, cruise, and casino stocks all declined as analysts noted cyber threats facing the industry. Leisure companies handle vast customer data and suffer from downtime, making them prime hacker targets.

Take a look at Travelzoo, a company providing members with travel, entertainment and lifestyle experiences.

Broader equity markets proved resilient to the MGM incident. But cybersecurity stocks rallied on expectations companies may now invest more in protecting data and systems going forward. Top gainers included cyber firms Palo Alto Networks and CrowdStrike.

The MGM breach follows several recent high-profile hacks of casinos and gaming firms. The frequency of attacks has put the industry on notice. New Nevada regulations now require prompt breach disclosures from casinos. Once inside a network, hackers can often access customer financial data. Small casinos have paid millions in ransoms to regain control of systems.

While the MGM breach didn’t significantly sway major indexes, it highlights the dangers posed by cyber criminals. A larger incident paralyzing critical infrastructure could certainly roil markets. This incident is an important reminder of the growing cyber threats facing corporations and customers alike in today’s digitally connected world.

FedEx Gains Market Share Amid Rival Struggles

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Shares of FedEx jumped over 5% on Thursday after the shipping giant reported better-than-expected fiscal first quarter results. The stock rally comes amid a broader market selloff, with investors cheering FedEx’s improved profitability and outlook.

FedEx earned $4.55 per share last quarter, handily beating analyst forecasts of $3.70. Though revenue declined 6.5% year-over-year to $21.7 billion, the company boosted its operating margin to 7.3%, surpassing expectations.

The strong quarter was driven by effective cost-cutting under CEO Raj Subramaniam and higher shipping volumes as key rivals dealt with challenges. FedEx gained U.S. market share in recent months which it expects to retain.

Management raised full-year EPS guidance to a range of $17.00 to $18.50, up from prior outlook of $16.50 to $18.50. The company also announced new demand surcharges for the holiday peak season and a January rate increase.

FedEx continued benefiting from its DRIVE cost savings program which seeks $1.8 billion in total reductions. Steps like reducing flights, realigning staff and shifting to one daily delivery wave boosted efficiency.

The Ground segment was a standout with a 59% jump in operating income as volumes improved. The Express unit grew operating income 18% despite lower revenue. But the Freight division saw income drop 26% on reduced shipments.

The outperformance comes as labor negotiations weighed on service levels at rival UPS. UPS disclosed it lost 1 million packages daily to other carriers, which FedEx said it captured 400,000 of. The bankruptcy of trucking company Yellow also benefited FedEx.

Demand for logistics and shipping services remains resilient despite economic uncertainty. And challenges at competitors created an opening for FedEx to flex its network strength and snatch market share. It expects to maintain most new volumes.

Take a moment to take a look at a few shipping and logistics companies covered by Noble Capital Markets Senior Analyst Michael Heim.

The results suggest FedEx has turned a corner after recent struggles with costs and service issues. The company’s turnaround plan is clearly bearing fruit. And investors have taken notice, bidding the stock price higher after the earnings beat.

FedEx shares have now rebounded nearly 20% from 52-week lows hit in June. The stock remains down 25% year-to-date amid broader market volatility. But it has outpaced the S&P 500 recently.

Thursday’s post-earnings pop provides encouragement that FedEx may sustain its momentum if execution remains solid. But the company still faces macro uncertainty and must continue improving productivity.

The holiday quarter is crucial for delivery firms like FedEx. The company aims to avoid last year’s service shortfalls. Management expressed confidence its initiatives will enable strong peak season performance.

While risks remain, FedEx has proactively adapted its network for holiday demand spikes. And it should reap continued benefits from rival struggles if recent market share gains stick.

Ongoing cost discipline also remains key. As higher rates kick in, boosting revenue, FedEx must maintain focus on trimming unnecessary expenses. Investors want to see margins continue expanding.

The quarterly beat suggests the shipping titan is making strides in its turnaround bid under new leadership. If FedEx sustains stronger operational execution, its stock price could continue recovering lost ground.

But the company must keep innovating and finding efficiency gains in the rapidly evolving logistics arena. Satisfying customers and shareholders means continually improving services and profitability, even in a weakened economic climate.

High Gas Prices Return, Complicating Inflation Fight

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Pain at the pump has made an unwelcome return, with gas prices rapidly rising across the United States. The national average recently climbed to $3.88 per gallon, while some states now face prices approaching or exceeding $6 per gallon.

In California, gas prices have spiked to $5.79 on average, up 31 cents in just the past week. It’s even worse in metro Los Angeles where prices hit $6.07, a 49 cent weekly jump. Besides California, drivers in 11 states now face average gas prices of $4 or more.

This resurgence complicates the Federal Reserve’s fight against high inflation. Oil prices are the key driver of retail gas costs. With oil climbing back to $90 per barrel, pushed up by supply cuts abroad, gas prices have followed.

West Texas Intermediate crude rose to $93.74 on Tuesday, its highest level in 10 months, before retreating below $91 on Wednesday. The international benchmark Brent crude hit highs above $96 per barrel. Goldman Sachs warned Brent could reach $107 if OPEC+ nations don’t unwind production cuts.

For consumers, higher gas prices add costs and sap purchasing power, especially for lower-income families. Drivers once again face pain filling up their tanks. Households paid an average of $445 a month on gas during the June peak when prices topped $5 a gallon. That figure dropped to $400 in September but is rising again.

Politically, high gas also causes headaches for the Biden administration. Midterm voters tend to blame whoever occupies the White House for pain at the pump, whether justified or not. President Biden has few tools to immediately lower prices set by global markets.

Take a look at other energy companies by taking a look at Noble Capital Markets Research Analyst Michael Heim’s coverage list.

However, economists say oil and gas prices must rise significantly further to seriously jeopardize the U.S. economy. Past recessions only followed massive oil price spikes of at least 100% within a year. Oil would need to double from current levels, to around $140 per barrel, to inevitably tip the economy into recession, according to analysis.

Nonetheless, the energy resurgence does present challenges for the Fed’s inflation fight. While core inflation has cooled lately, headline inflation has rebounded in part due to pricier gas. Consumer prices rose 0.1% in August, defying expectations of a drop, largely because of rising shelter and energy costs.

This complicates the Fed’s mission to cool inflation through interest rate hikes. Some economists believe the energy volatility will lead the Fed to pencil in an additional quarter-point rate hike this year to around 4.5%. However, a dramatic policy response is unlikely with oil still below $100 per barrel.

In fact, some argue the energy spike may even inadvertently help the Fed. By sapping consumer spending power, high gas prices could dampen demand and ease price pressures. If energy costs siphon purchases away from discretionary goods and services, it may allow inflation to fall without more aggressive Fed action.

Morgan Stanley analysis found past energy price shocks had a “small” impact on core inflation but took a “sizable bite out of” consumer spending. While bad for growth, this demand destruction could give the Fed space to cool inflation without triggering serious economic damage.

For now, energy volatility muddies the inflation outlook and complicates the Fed’s delicate task of engineering a soft landing. Gas prices swinging upward once again present both economic and political challenges. But unless oil spikes drastically higher, the energy complex likely won’t force the Fed’s hand. The central bank will keep rates elevated as long as underlying inflation remains stubbornly high.

Public Storage Bets $2.2B on Buyouts for Growth in Crowded Self-Storage Market

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Public Storage recently placed a major $2.2 billion bet on acquisitions to fuel its growth. The self-storage titan just closed on its purchase of rival Simply Self Storage for $2.2 billion, expanding its footprint while the market gets more crowded.

The deal underscores how mergers and buyouts offer an avenue for rapid growth in competitive industries. With over 127 properties across 18 states, the Simply Self Storage acquisition significantly boosted Public Storage’s presence, especially in high-demand Sunbelt markets.

These new assets align with Public Storage’s strategy of focusing on regions with above-average population expansion. The company can leverage its operational expertise and industry-leading brand to optimize performance across the acquired locations.

Importantly, the $2.2 billion purchase grows Public Storage’s portfolio by a whopping 33% since 2019, equivalent to over 54 million square feet added through acquisitions and developments. This exemplifies how buyouts can catalyze step-function growth.

With its formidable size and balance sheet, Public Storage boasts the financial flexibility to pursue transformative deals in the fragmented self-storage industry. The Simply Self Storage acquisition was financed through $2.2 billion in new debt issuance.

The company is also integrating 25 additional properties into its third-party management platform, expanding its revenue streams. Overall, the mega $2.2 billion deal reshapes Public Storage’s footprint and offerings to align with market growth opportunities.

However, the self-storage landscape is getting more crowded, heightening the need for competitive differentiation. Public Storage’s larger rival, Extra Space Storage, recently closed an even bigger $1.6 billion acquisition of Life Storage to become the sector’s largest operator.

Businesses across real estate and other industries often turn to mergers and acquisitions when organic growth slows. Buyouts can rapidly scale up platforms, capabilities and talent. Public Storage’s appetite for $2.2 billion in acquisitions highlights their role in growth strategies when conditions get tougher.

Yet deals come with integration risks and may face pricing pressure in downturns. As interest rates rise, Public Storage faces macroeconomic headwinds that could offset its bigger footprint. Its performance integrating Simply Self Storage properties will be pivotal.

With self-storage development accelerating, Public Storage’s recent mega-buyout represents a bold bet on external growth to stay ahead. Its ability to successfully absorb these new $2.2 billion in assets and thrive in a more crowded competitive landscape will determine if this big-money M&A pays off.