Category: Natural Resources

Release – Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. Announces Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call

Posted on by aweinsoff@channelchek.com

Research News and Market Data on ARLP

October 13, 2025

TULSA, Okla.–(BUSINESS WIRE)– Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. (NASDAQ: ARLP) will report its third quarter 2025 financial results before the market opens on Monday, October 27, 2025. Alliance management will discuss these results during a conference call beginning at 10:00 a.m. Eastern that same day.

To participate in the conference call, dial U.S. Toll Free (877) 407-0784 and request to be connected to the Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. earnings conference call. International callers should dial (201) 689-8560 and request to be connected to the same call. Investors may also listen to the call via the “Investors” section of ARLP’s website at www.arlp.com.

An audio replay of the conference call will be available for approximately one week. To access the audio replay, dial U.S. Toll Free (844) 512-2921; International Toll (412) 317-6671 and request to be connected to replay using access code 13756408.

About Alliance Resource Partners, L.P.

ARLP is a diversified energy company that is currently the second largest coal producer in the eastern United States, supplying reliable, affordable energy domestically and internationally to major utilities, metallurgical and industrial users. ARLP also generates operating and royalty income from mineral interests it owns in strategic coal and oil & gas producing regions in the United States. In addition, ARLP is positioning itself as a reliable energy partner for the future by pursuing opportunities that support the growth and development of energy and related infrastructure.

News, unit prices and additional information about ARLP, including filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”), are available at www.arlp.com. For more information, contact the investor relations department of ARLP at (918) 295-7673 or via e-mail at investorrelations@arlp.com.

Investor Relations
Cary P. Marshall
Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
(918) 295-7673
investorrelations@arlp.com

Source: Alliance Resource Partners, L.P.

Silver Breaks $50: Precious Metal Hits Four-Decade High as Investors Flock to Safe Havens

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Silver has shattered a historic milestone, climbing past $50 per ounce for the first time since 1980 — marking one of the most significant rallies in the metals market in over forty years. The surge, up roughly 75% year-to-date, underscores a powerful combination of investor demand, industrial consumption, and persistent supply shortages.

While gold has dominated headlines with its record-breaking ascent above $4,000 per ounce, silver’s breakout is capturing equal attention. Often referred to as “gold’s more affordable cousin,” silver is benefiting from the same wave of safe-haven buying driven by global economic uncertainty, political instability, and weakening confidence in traditional fiat currencies.

This rally isn’t just about market sentiment. Silver’s unique dual identity — as both an investment asset and a critical industrial material — has amplified its momentum. The metal is an essential component in solar panels, electric vehicles, data centers, and smartphone manufacturing, making it a cornerstone of the modern green and tech economies.

“Silver’s industrial demand is skyrocketing, particularly with the ongoing boom in renewable energy and semiconductor expansion,” noted market strategists. “This growing utility, combined with investors seeking protection against inflation and currency risk, is creating a perfect storm for price growth.”

According to analysts, 2025 marks the fifth consecutive year of a structural supply deficit in the silver market. Sluggish mining output and limited new production are struggling to keep pace with global demand, further tightening supply. Many traders believe this imbalance could sustain elevated prices well into 2026.

Silver’s rally closely mirrors gold’s performance, but it’s also outpacing it in percentage terms. While gold has climbed around 51% this year, silver’s 75% surge and platinum’s 80% gain highlight the broad strength of the precious metals sector. The upward trend is being fueled by concerns about inflation, tariffs, central bank policy independence, and rising national debt levels.

At the institutional level, hedge funds and asset managers are rotating capital into tangible assets like precious metals and Bitcoin as a hedge against a weakening U.S. dollar. Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) tied to silver — particularly the iShares Silver Trust (SLV) — have seen record inflows not witnessed since 2020.

With demand surging and inventories thinning, analysts suggest silver may be entering a sustained breakout phase rather than a short-term spike. For retail and small-cap investors alike, the current rally presents both opportunity and volatility — hallmarks of a market on the move.

Gold Keeps Breaking Records as Global Demand Surges

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Gold prices have shattered records yet again, surging past $4,000 per ounce for the first time in history as investors continue to flock to the safe-haven asset amid global uncertainty and expectations of deeper Federal Reserve rate cuts. The yellow metal’s meteoric rise marks one of the strongest rallies in decades, gaining more than 50% year-to-date — its best annual performance since 1979.

According to data from the World Gold Council, global gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs) saw their largest quarterly inflows on record, with investors pouring in more than $26 billion during the third quarter of 2025. North American funds led the surge, followed by European and Asian markets, as geopolitical tensions, volatile currencies, and concerns over central bank policy fueled the rush into gold.

Analysts noted that a combination of economic uncertainty, political instability, and weakening confidence in traditional currencies has been fueling record levels of investment in gold. They suggested that even modest shifts of capital away from the bond market toward gold could be enough to push prices significantly higher.

Gold’s recent rally has been closely tied to growing speculation that the Federal Reserve will continue cutting interest rates to support the slowing economy. Lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold, making it more attractive to both institutional and retail investors.

Meanwhile, the US dollar has weakened, further boosting gold’s appeal. As the greenback loses strength, international buyers gain more purchasing power, often resulting in increased gold demand.

The gold market’s explosive momentum has also led to a surge in trading activity. Average daily trading volumes climbed 34% month over month, hitting all-time highs as prices broke new records 13 times in September alone.

Wall Street remains bullish. Goldman Sachs has reaffirmed gold as its “highest-conviction long recommendation,” forecasting that continued monetary easing and persistent global tensions could keep driving the metal upward.

Analysts predicts that gold could reach $4,500 by mid-2026, with a potential breakout toward $5,000 per ounce if capital continues to rotate out of government bonds and into precious metals.

As global markets navigate uncertainty — from geopolitical flashpoints to currency instability — gold’s appeal as a safe, tangible store of value remains as strong as ever. For now, the metal’s relentless climb shows no signs of slowing.

Critical Minerals Take Center Stage as U.S. Accelerates Domestic Mining Investments

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Trilogy Metals’ stock has skyrocketed following news that the Trump administration has taken a 10% stake in the company and approved a long-debated access road to Alaska’s Ambler Mining District. The move marks a major step in the administration’s ongoing push to strengthen the U.S. supply chain for critical minerals and metals—resources essential to clean energy, defense, and technology production.

Shares of Trilogy Metals surged more than 200% after reports confirmed that the administration invested roughly $35.6 million for the initial stake, with options to expand its position further. The approval of the Ambler Access Project is equally significant, as it clears the way for road construction to one of Alaska’s most mineral-rich areas, known to contain large deposits of copper, cobalt, silver, and other valuable metals.

The Ambler project, previously blocked due to environmental and tribal concerns, now represents one of the most promising developments in North American mining infrastructure. The administration justified the decision on the basis of national interest, emphasizing the need for reliable access to domestic sources of critical materials. To address environmental worries, the plan reportedly includes measures to protect local wildlife and mitigate ecological disruption.

This latest investment is part of a broader strategy that has seen the administration take direct stakes in several companies tied to the U.S. mineral supply chain. Earlier this year, similar investments were made in Lithium Americas and MP Materials—both key players in lithium and rare earth mining. These moves, combined with support for projects like Arizona’s Resolution copper mine and semiconductor manufacturing expansion, highlight a coordinated effort to reduce U.S. dependence on foreign suppliers, particularly China.

The ripple effects of these initiatives extend beyond the headline companies. Smaller-cap mining and exploration firms, many of which struggle to secure funding or regulatory approval, could see renewed investor interest as confidence builds in the sector. The U.S. government’s involvement signals a stronger commitment to domestic resource development, which could make financing and partnerships easier to obtain for junior mining companies.

Moreover, rising demand for materials like copper, cobalt, and lithium—driven by the energy transition, electric vehicles, and AI data centers—continues to push commodity prices higher. Smaller players positioned near viable deposits may become acquisition targets or strategic partners for larger corporations aiming to secure supply lines. As institutional investors seek exposure to the metals space, many could turn to small- and mid-cap miners as leveraged opportunities for growth.

However, this surge in optimism also brings potential volatility. Commodity-dependent small caps are notoriously cyclical, and their valuations can swing sharply with policy shifts, environmental challenges, or fluctuations in global metal prices. Still, the overarching narrative remains favorable: a renewed national focus on critical mineral independence, supported by both public and private capital, may ignite a renaissance in the U.S. mining and metals sector.

In the wake of Trilogy Metals’ dramatic rally, market watchers are increasingly eyeing other under-the-radar resource companies that could benefit from this wave of strategic investment. If current trends persist, the metals sector—long overshadowed by tech and energy—could become one of the most dynamic areas for small-cap growth over the next several years.

Gold Miners Outshine AI Stocks in 2025 With 135% Rally, Drawing Small-Cap Investor Interest

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Gold stocks have emerged as one of the most powerful performers in 2025, eclipsing the high-flying semiconductor sector and catching the attention of investors seeking value beyond artificial intelligence. While much of the market narrative this year has revolved around chipmakers riding the AI boom, gold miners have quietly delivered staggering gains — up more than 135% — and positioned themselves as an unexpected leader in global equities.

The rally has been fueled by multiple forces. Central banks have accelerated purchases of gold as part of a broader de-dollarization trend, while investors have sought safe-haven assets amid heightened economic uncertainty. Federal Reserve rate cuts and growing inflows into gold-backed exchange-traded funds have further supported the surge. As a result, gold itself has climbed more than 45% this year, setting new all-time highs and marking its strongest annual performance since 1979.

This has translated into significant upside for miners. Global heavyweights such as Newmont Corp. and Agnico Eagle Mines have seen their shares more than double, while Zijin Mining has surged over 130% in Hong Kong. In London, Fresnillo Plc has nearly quadrupled, becoming the standout performer in the FTSE 100. Yet, the momentum is not limited to large caps. Smaller mining companies — particularly those with scalable production capacity and strong cost control — are increasingly attractive to investors looking for opportunities that combine growth with relative undervaluation.

One of the striking differences between gold equities and semiconductor stocks lies in valuations. The MSCI Gold Miners Index currently trades at around 13 times forward earnings, slightly below its five-year average, suggesting the rally is backed by fundamentals. In contrast, the semiconductor index trades near 29 times earnings, well above its historical trend. For small-cap investors, this dynamic suggests gold miners may still offer more sustainable upside, especially as earnings growth outpaces share price appreciation.

Beyond valuations, sector fundamentals point to further resilience. Elevated margins, robust cash flows, and disciplined capital management have allowed gold miners to reinvest in operations while returning capital to shareholders. The sector is benefiting from margin expansion as gold prices remain elevated, giving even mid-tier and junior miners the potential to outperform. For small-cap investors, this creates a unique entry point into a sector often overlooked during periods of tech dominance.

While enthusiasm around AI-driven chipmakers is unlikely to fade, the current cycle underscores the importance of diversification. Investors chasing technology gains may risk overlooking industries where fundamentals remain strong, valuations are reasonable, and long-term demand drivers are intact. The outperformance of gold miners in 2025 serves as a reminder that market leadership can emerge from unexpected places — and for small-cap investors willing to broaden their focus, the precious metals sector offers compelling opportunities.

Century Lithium Corp. (CYDVF) – Progress on the Permitting Front

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com


Thursday, October 02, 2025

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Hans Baldau, Associate Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Moving through the permitting process. Century has completed all required environmental baseline studies to begin Angel Island’s National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) permitting process, which is expected to take up to two years before reaching a record of decision. The studies will be used by the Bureau of Land Management (BLM) to support the company’s upcoming Plan of Operations submission and subsequent NEPA analysis. 

FAST-41 designation. In August 2025, Angel Island was formally designated as a FAST-41 Transparency project under a federal initiative designed to improve the transparency, coordination, and timeliness of the federal environmental review and permitting process. The designation reflects Angel Island’s strategic importance in supporting the U.S. critical minerals supply chain. We think the Angel Island project is well-positioned for a timely progression through the permitting process.


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Release – Century Lithium Progress on Permitting at Angel Island

Posted on by aweinsoff@channelchek.com

Research News and Market Data on CYDVF

October 1, 2025 – Vancouver, Canada – Century Lithium Corp. (TSXV: LCE) (OTCQX: CYDVF) (Frankfurt: C1Z) (“Century Lithium” or “the Company”) is pleased to provide an update on the development and progress of Century Lithium’s wholly owned lithium project, Angel Island, located in Nevada, USA. The achievements include Angel Island’s inclusion in the FAST-41 Transparency Dashboard process, and the completion and submission of all required baseline environmental studies to the Bureau of Land Management (“BLM”).

“Angel Island’s addition to the FAST-41 Transparency program is a significant milestone for Century Lithium,” said Bill Willoughby, CEO of Century Lithium. “It signals strong federal interest in advancing secure domestic lithium supply and provides greater permitting certainty to our stakeholders and future project partners.”

In August 2025, Angel Island was formally designated as a FAST-41 Transparency project under the Fixing America’s Surface Transportation Act, a US federal initiative designed to improve the transparency, coordination, and timeliness of the federal environmental review and permitting process. This designation reflects Angel Island’s strategic importance in supporting the US critical minerals supply chain and strengthens federal agency coordination under the National Environmental Policy Act (“NEPA”) process.

Also in August, the Company closed a $4.7 million LIFE offering, which will fund the completion of an updated Feasibility Study and ongoing permitting efforts for Angel Island. The updated Feasibility Study will reflect the most current project data, including optimization of Angel Island’s lithium recovery process, and will provide the technical information supporting the Plan of Operations (“PoO”) leading into the NEPA process.

Century Lithium has completed all required environmental baseline studies to begin Angel Island’s NEPA permitting process. These studies span a range of biological, cultural, water, and land use resources and will be used by the BLM to support the Company’s upcoming PoO submission and the subsequent NEPA analyses. Completion of these studies was a critical prerequisite to entering the NEPA review phase and positions Angel Island for timely progression through the permitting process.

With Angel Island part of the FAST-41 Transparency program, funding for the updated Feasibility Study and permitting secured, and baseline studies completed, Century Lithium has further derisked Angel Island. The Company is now focusing its efforts on the next critical steps of permitting that will boost Angel Island’s visibility in the search for strategic investors, offtake partners, and government funding opportunities.

ABOUT CENTURY LITHIUM CORP.

Century Lithium Corp. is an advanced-stage lithium company, focused on developing its wholly owned lithium project, Angel Island in Esmeralda County, Nevada, which hosts one of the largest sedimentary lithium deposits in the United States. The Company has utilized its patent-pending process for chloride leaching combined with direct lithium extraction to make battery-grade lithium carbonate product samples from Angel Island’s lithium-bearing claystone on-site at its Demonstration Plant in Amargosa Valley, Nevada.

Angel Island is one of the few advanced lithium projects in development in the United States to provide an end-to-end process to produce battery-grade lithium carbonate for the growing electric vehicle and battery storage market. Angel Island is currently in the permitting stage for a three-phase feasibility-level production plan, expected to yield an estimated life-of-mine average of 34,000 tonnes per year of lithium carbonate over a 40-year mine-life.

Century Lithium trades on both the TSX Venture Exchange under the symbol “LCE” and the OTCQX under the symbol “CYDVF”, and on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange under the symbol “C1Z”.

To learn more, please visit centurylithium.com.

ON BEHALF OF CENTURY LITHIUM CORP.

WILLIAM WILLOUGHBY, PhD., PE
President & Chief Executive Officer

For further information, please contact:
Spiros Cacos | Vice President, Investor Relations
Direct: +1 604 764 1851
Toll Free: 1 800 567 8181
scacos@centurylithium.com
centurylithium.com

NEITHER THE TSX VENTURE EXCHANGE NOR ITS REGULATION SERVICES PROVIDER ACCEPTS RESPONSIBILITY FOR THE ADEQUACY OR ACCURACY OF THE CONTENT OF THIS NEWS RELEASE.

Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements

This release contains certain forward-looking statements within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities legislation. In certain cases, forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of words such as “plans”, “expects” or “does not anticipate”, or “believes”, or variations of such words and phrases or statements that certain actions, events or results “may”, “could”, “would”, “might” or “will be taken”, “occur” or “be achieved” and similar expressions suggesting future outcomes or statements regarding an outlook.

Forward-looking statements relate to any matters that are not historical facts and statements of our beliefs, intentions and expectations about developments, results and events which will or may occur in the future, without limitation, statements with respect to the potential development and value of the Project and benefits associated therewith, statements with respect to the expected project economics for the Project, such as estimates of life of mine, lithium prices, production and recoveries, capital and operating costs, IRR, NPV and cash flows, any projections outlined in the Feasibility Study in respect of the Project, the permitting status of the Project and the Company’s future development plans.

These and other forward-looking statements and information are subject to various known and unknown risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond the ability of the Company to control or predict, that may cause their actual results, performance or achievements to be materially different from those expressed or implied thereby, and are developed based on assumptions about such risks, uncertainties and other factors set out herein. These risks include those described under the heading “Risk Factors” in the Company’s most recent annual information form and its other public filings, copies of which can be under the Company’s profile at www.sedarplus.com. The Company expressly disclaims any obligation to update-forward-looking information except as required by applicable law. No forward-looking statement can be guaranteed, and actual future results may vary materially. Accordingly, readers are advised not to place reliance on forward-looking statements or information. Furthermore, Mineral Resources that are not Mineral Reserves do not have demonstrated economic viability.

Aurania Directors Receive Stock Options in Lieu of Fees

Posted on by aweinsoff@channelchek.com

Research News and Market Data on AUIAF

October 01, 2025 7:00 AM EDT | Source: Aurania Resources Ltd.

Toronto, Ontario–(Newsfile Corp. – October 1, 2025) – Aurania Resources Ltd. (TSXV: ARU) (OTCQB: AUIAF) (FSE: 20Q) (“Aurania” or the “Company”) announces that its Board of Directors have agreed to receive their quarterly director fees in the form of stock options in lieu of cash for the third quarter of 2025. For more information, see press releases dated March 31, 2025, and July 1, 2025.

On September 30, 2025, each director was granted 42,000 stock options at an exercise price of $0.145 in lieu of their director fees for the third quarter of 2025. An aggregate of 168,000 stock options was granted. All such stock options will be exercisable for a period of three years from the date of grant and vested immediately upon grant. In the event a director intends to exercise such stock options, such director shall be solely responsible for paying the entirety of the exercise price.

About Aurania
Aurania is a mineral exploration company engaged in the identification, evaluation, acquisition, and exploration of mineral property interests, with a focus on precious metals and copper in South America. Its flagship asset, The Lost Cities – Cutucu Project, is located in the Jurassic Metallogenic Belt in the eastern foothills of the Andes mountain range of southeastern Ecuador.

Information on Aurania and technical reports are available at www.aurania.com and www.sedarplus.ca, as well as on Facebook at https://www.facebook.com/auranialtd/, Twitter at https://twitter.com/auranialtd, and LinkedIn at https://www.linkedin.com/company/aurania-resources-ltd-.

For further information, please contact:

Carolyn Muir
VP Corporate Development & Investor Relations
Aurania Resources Ltd.
(416) 367-3200
carolyn.muir@aurania.com		 

Neither the TSX Venture Exchange nor its Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in the policies of the TSX Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this release.

info

SOURCE: Aurania Resources Ltd.

Alliance Resource Partners (ARLP) – U.S. Coal as a Strategic and Competitive Advantage

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com


Tuesday, September 30, 2025

ARLP is a diversified natural resource company that generates operating and royalty income from coal produced by its mining complexes and royalty income from mineral interests it owns in strategic oil & gas producing regions in the United States, primarily the Permian, Anadarko and Williston basins. ARLP currently produces coal from seven mining complexes its subsidiaries operate in Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Maryland and West Virginia. ARLP also operates a coal loading terminal on the Ohio River at Mount Vernon, Indiana. ARLP markets its coal production to major domestic and international utilities and industrial users and is currently the second largest coal producer in the eastern United States. In addition, ARLP is positioning itself as an energy provider for the future by leveraging its core technology and operating competencies to make strategic investments in the fast growing energy and infrastructure transition.

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Hans Baldau, Associate Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Investments to reinvigorate the U.S. coal industry.  The U.S. Department of Energy announced a $625 million program to expand and reinvigorate the U.S. coal industry. This includes $350 million to recommission or modernize coal power units, $175 million for coal power projects directly benefiting rural communities, $50 million to support advanced wastewater management systems to enable coal plants to extend their service life and reduce operational costs, $25 million for dual-firing retrofits, and $25 million for development and testing of natural gas cofiring systems.

Expanded coal leasing on federal lands. Moreover, the U.S. Department of the Interior announced it is making up to 13.1 million acres of federal land available for coal leasing and streamlining approvals for projects. The Department is accelerating efforts to fast-track projects that can recover strategic minerals from mine waste and abandoned sites. The One Big Beautiful Bill, passed on July 4, established lower coal leasing royalty rates of not more than 7% for both surface and underground mines for the period July 4, 2025, to September 30, 2034.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Gold Hits Record High Above $3,800 as Dollar Weakens and US Shutdown Looms

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Gold extended its powerful rally on Monday, breaking above $3,800 an ounce for the first time as a weaker dollar and growing political uncertainty in Washington sent investors rushing toward safe-haven assets. The move underscores gold’s role as one of the top-performing investments of 2025, with prices already soaring more than 45% year-to-date.

Spot gold climbed as much as 2% to $3,833.59 an ounce, eclipsing last week’s record and securing a seventh consecutive weekly advance. The broader precious metals complex followed suit, with silver, platinum, and palladium also notching sizable gains. Silver jumped to $46.87, its highest level since 2011, while platinum briefly traded above $1,600 for the first time in more than a decade.

The surge comes as investors brace for the possibility of a US government shutdown. Without a short-term spending deal, federal funding will lapse this week, stalling critical government services and delaying key economic data releases, including September’s jobs report. Such an outcome could inject fresh volatility into financial markets, intensifying demand for gold as a defensive asset.

At the same time, the dollar slipped against major peers, further fueling gold’s rise. A softer greenback typically makes precious metals more affordable for international buyers, expanding global demand. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.2% on Monday, extending recent weakness as traders weighed the implications of fiscal gridlock in Washington.

Beyond near-term political risks, gold continues to benefit from shifting expectations for Federal Reserve policy. Weaker job growth or signs of cooling inflation could strengthen the case for another rate cut when the Fed meets in October. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold, making the metal more attractive to both institutional and retail investors.

Despite ongoing debate among Fed officials about the pace of easing, markets are increasingly betting on additional support. That prospect, coupled with concerns about the central bank’s independence amid political pressures, has encouraged investors to seek hedges in tangible assets such as gold.

This year’s rally has been reinforced by sustained demand from both central banks and exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Gold-backed ETFs now hold their largest reserves since 2022, reflecting consistent inflows as investors look to diversify portfolios and guard against macroeconomic risks. Meanwhile, central banks across Asia and the Middle East have continued adding to their bullion reserves, contributing to persistent tightness in the physical market.

Silver, platinum, and palladium markets are also showing signs of strain. Analysts note that lease rates — the cost of borrowing metal — for these commodities have surged well above normal levels, signaling limited availability. Additional volatility may emerge as the US reviews potential tariffs on platinum-group metals, a move that could further squeeze supply.

With gold repeatedly setting new highs, questions are mounting about whether the rally is overextended. Yet many analysts argue bullion remains reasonably priced relative to the dollar and Treasury markets. As long as political risks remain elevated, the dollar stays under pressure, and the Fed leans toward easing, gold may continue to climb into uncharted territory.

For investors, the latest breakout reinforces gold’s dual role as both a crisis hedge and a long-term portfolio stabilizer. If Washington fails to reach a spending compromise, the metal’s safe-haven status could push prices toward fresh records before year-end.

Aurania Resources (AUIAF) – Heightened Risk in Ecuador

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com


Friday, September 26, 2025

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Second quarter financial results. As an exploration company, Aurania does not generate revenue and has expenses to advance its projects. During the second quarter of 2025, the company generated a net loss of C$1,610,843 or C$0.01 per share. We had projected a loss of C$1,432,419 or C$0.01 per share. The variance to our estimate was mostly due to higher exploration expenditures, along with higher stock-based compensation. We project a full-year 2025 net loss of C$11.1 million, or C$(0.10) per share, compared to our prior loss estimate of C$10.5 million, or C$(0.09) per share.

Mining service fee. Ecuador recently implemented a new mining service fee on the resource sector (refer to our note dated July 29, 2025). The Ecuadorian Control and Regulation Agency (ARCOM) requested payment from Aurania of US$2,012,618 by July 31, 2025, representing one month of the total annual fee of US$24,151,420. While the penalty for non-payment is unclear, we think Aurania is withholding payment until it becomes clear whether TASA will stand in its current form due to multiple constitutional challenges.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Lithium Americas Stock Nearly Doubles as U.S. Government Weighs Stake in Thacker Pass Mine

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Shares of Lithium Americas (NYSE: LAC) soared nearly 100% on Wednesday after reports that the Trump administration is considering taking a stake in the company as part of a renegotiated federal loan package tied to the development of the Thacker Pass lithium mine in Nevada.

According to Reuters, the administration is seeking as much as a 10% equity stake in the Vancouver-based miner. The proposed arrangement comes as Lithium Americas works through terms of a $2.26 billion loan from the Department of Energy, originally granted during the first Trump administration.

Under the current negotiations, the company has offered the government no-cost warrants for up to 10% of its common stock. At the same time, the administration is reportedly pressing General Motors (NYSE: GM) — which owns a 38% stake in Thacker Pass and has invested $625 million — for purchase guarantees that would help shore up demand for the lithium produced at the site. GM shares ticked higher by more than 2% on the news.

A Strategic Lithium Project

Thacker Pass is expected to play a central role in U.S. energy security. Once operational, the project is projected to be the largest lithium mining operation in the Western Hemisphere. Its first production phase, slated for 2028, is forecast to produce more than 40,000 metric tons of lithium carbonate annually — enough to power batteries for roughly 800,000 electric vehicles.

For perspective, Albemarle’s (NYSE: ALB) Silver Peak mine in Nevada, currently the only operating lithium mine in the U.S., produces fewer than 5,000 metric tons per year. This makes Thacker Pass a significant leap in domestic production capacity at a time when global demand for electric vehicles, battery storage, and clean energy technologies is surging.

China currently dominates the global lithium industry, producing more than 40,000 metric tons per year and refining more than 65% of the world’s supply. By comparison, the U.S. refines less than 3%. This imbalance has made lithium one of the most strategically sensitive commodities in the energy transition.

“Lithium is the new oil,” said one energy analyst, noting that securing supply has become a cornerstone of U.S. industrial policy. “Without it, you can’t scale EV adoption or battery storage, and that makes projects like Thacker Pass crucial to long-term energy independence.”

The government’s interest in Lithium Americas follows similar moves to shore up domestic supply chains for other critical materials. In July, MP Materials (NYSE: MP) announced a multibillion-dollar deal with the Department of Defense that made the government its largest shareholder, boosting MP’s stock more than 50%. Meanwhile, Intel (NASDAQ: INTC) has climbed over 25% since talks of a potential government stake in the chipmaker became public.

This pattern underscores the administration’s strategy of leveraging federal investment to reduce reliance on foreign sources of essential resources, from rare earth elements to semiconductors.

Lithium Americas stock traded at $6.09 as of 2:08 p.m. EDT, up more than 98% on the day. The sharp rally comes despite ongoing weakness in lithium prices, which have fallen over the past year amid oversupply from China. Futures for lithium carbonate are down more than 12%, while lithium hydroxide has dropped more than 4.5%.

Those price pressures have raised concerns about the financial viability of large-scale U.S. mining projects. The administration’s involvement could provide a stabilizing force, ensuring that key projects like Thacker Pass remain on track. The first loan draw is expected this month, with construction at the Nevada site already underway.

For now, investors appear to be betting that federal backing — and a potential government equity stake — could cement Lithium Americas’ role as a cornerstone of America’s clean energy future.

Take a moment and take a look at Noble Capital Markets’ Research Analyst Mark Reichman’s coverage list.

Gold Surges Over 40% in 2025, On Track for Strongest Year Since 1979

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Gold prices extended their rally on Monday, climbing to fresh record highs and setting the stage for what could be the precious metal’s best year in nearly half a century. Futures contracts rose to around $3,750 per ounce, while spot bullion held above $3,700. With a gain of more than 40% year-to-date, gold is on track for its most impressive annual performance since 1979.

The remarkable run has been fueled by a combination of macroeconomic forces, led by expectations of an extended Federal Reserve easing cycle. Last week, policymakers cut interest rates for the first time this year and signaled the likelihood of two more reductions before year-end. Lower rates typically enhance the appeal of gold, which does not generate yield, by reducing the opportunity cost of holding the asset.

A weakening U.S. dollar has added another layer of support. The dollar index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of major currencies, is down roughly 10% in 2025, giving gold buyers in other currencies stronger purchasing power. The dual dynamic of a softer dollar and looser monetary policy has created a powerful tailwind for the precious metal.

Investor demand has also been evident through record inflows into physically backed gold exchange-traded funds, which recently hit a three-year high. At the same time, central banks, particularly in emerging markets, have steadily expanded their reserves, increasing their reliance on gold as a hedge against currency volatility and shifting global trade dynamics.

Gold’s surge has easily outpaced traditional risk assets. The S&P 500 has gained about 13% this year, while bitcoin has advanced close to 20%. In contrast, gold’s rise above 40% underscores its position not only as a hedge during uncertain times but also as a top-performing asset class in 2025.

Fund manager sentiment reflects the divide between performance and positioning. A recent survey by Bank of America found gold now ranks as the second most crowded trade, just behind major U.S. technology stocks. Yet despite the recognition, the average allocation to gold among managers remains low at just over 2%, suggesting there could be room for further institutional participation.

Analysts remain constructive on the outlook. Goldman Sachs recently reiterated its view that gold could climb toward $4,000 per ounce by mid-2026, citing structural demand from ETFs, robust speculative interest, and accelerating central bank purchases. With geopolitical risks, trade uncertainty, and global monetary easing all converging, gold may continue to attract flows from investors seeking safety and diversification.

As 2025 heads into its final quarter, gold is not only outperforming but also reshaping how investors think about portfolio protection in a shifting economic landscape. Whether the momentum sustains into 2026 will depend on the trajectory of inflation, interest rates, and global risk appetite, but for now, gold is shining brighter than it has in decades.