Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Q2 results. The company reported Q2 revenue of $105.8 million, which was in line with our $105.0 million estimate. Due to lower than expected Selling & Marketing Expenses and efficiency initiatives, adj. EBITDA was $16.2 million, far better than our $0.9 million estimate. Selling & Marketing expenses were roughly $11 million lower than expected, accounting for the largest portion of the sizable “beat”.
PC picking up Steam. Notably, management highlighted the launch of Pixel Gun 3D PC Edition to the Steam platform, the largest digital distribution platform for PC gaming. The launch of Pixel Gun 3D on Steam and a solid quarter for Hero Wars: Dominion Era led to PC revenue accounting for 42% of total revenue, up from 38% in the prior year period. The addition of Steam is viewed favorably given that PC players tend to spend more money and time playing than mobile users.
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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
Bowlero Corp. is the worldwide leader in bowling entertainment, media, and events. With more than 300 bowling centers across North America, Bowlero Corp. serves more than 26 million guests each year through a family of brands that includes Bowlero, Bowlmor Lanes, and AMF. In 2019, Bowlero Corp. acquired the Professional Bowlers Association, the major league of bowling, which boasts thousands of members and millions of fans across the globe. For more information on Bowlero Corp., please visit BowleroCorp.com.
Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Q4 results. Q4 revenues exceeded our expectations, $283.9 million (up a strong 18.6% y-o-y) versus our $270.0 million estimate, driven by strong 6.9% growth in same store revenues. Adj. EBITDA was $83.4 million, roughly in line with our $86.5 million estimate.
Resilient against economic headwinds. Management indicated that its business caters to a high end consumer that appears to be resilient to the economy. It plans to roll out high end food items and focus on its event business as a key revenue growth driver in fiscal 2025. Event business is currently $275 million and is expected to exceed $300 million in fiscal 2025.
Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.
This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Overachieves expectations. Second quarter revenues of $105.8 million was in line with our $105.0 million estimate. Due to lower than expected Selling & Marketing Expenses and efficiency initiatives, adj. EBITDA was $16.2 million, far better than our $0.9 million estimate, illustrated in Figure #1 Q2 Results. Selling & Marketing expenses were roughly $11 million lower than expected, accounting for the largest portion of the sizable “beat”.
PC picking up Steam. Notably, management highlighted the launch of Pixel Gun 3D PC Edition to the Steam platform, the largest digital distribution platform for PC gaming. The launch of Pixel Gun 3D on Steam and a solid quarter for Hero Wars: Dominion Era led to PC revenue accounting for 42% of total revenue, up from 38% in the prior year period. The addition of Steam is viewed favorably given that PC players tend to spend more money and time playing than mobile users.
Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.
This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
LIMASSOL, Cyprus, Sept. 04, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — GDEV Inc. (NASDAQ: GDEV), an international gaming and entertainment company (“GDEV” or the “Company”) released its unaudited financial and operational results for the second quarter and first half-year ended June 30, 2024.
GDEV CEO, Andrey Fadeev stated:
“Over the past months, we’ve been refining our strategic vision, and now we’re prepared to push forward with renewed confidence. Despite the temporary decline in some of our key operational and financial metrics, our ability to maintain a robust revenue mix between PC and mobile platforms — where PC has grown to 42% of our total bookings — underscores our adaptive strategy and resilience. Additionally, our strong cash flow trends, the significant reduction in platform commissions and the reduction of the game operation costs reflect the operational efficiencies we’ve been able to achieve, reflected in our recording a net profit in Q2 2024 versus a net loss in Q1 2024 and an improvement in Adjusted EBITDA year over year. Each of our studios is laser-focused on delivering the top game for their audience. We are bringing in top talent from the gaming industry, which is helping us turn our long-held ambitions into reality. This journey is driven by strategic growth and a commitment to excellence in everything we do. This isn’t just about quick wins; it’s about building a strong, sustainable future. We’re here for the long haul, dedicated to creating experiences that will impress our players and solidify our position in the market.”
Second quarter 2024 financial highlights:
Revenue of $106 million decreased by 8% year-over-year.
Bookings of $108 million decreased by 3% year-over-year primarily due to decrease of advertising bookings while the bookings from in-app purchases remained relatively stable, demonstrating continued user engagement.
Selling and marketing expenses of $47 million decreased by 7% year-over-year driven by our successful shift in user acquisition strategy, focusing on enhancing efficiency and long-term value generation.
Platform commissions decreased by 16% year-over-year, driven by strong performance of our PC platforms, which carry lower commissions.
Profit for the period, net of tax of $15 million in Q2 2024 vs. $20 million in Q2 2023.
Adjusted EBITDA of $16 million in the second quarter of 2024 staying at the same level compared to the second quarter of 20231, highlighting our operational resilience amidst market fluctuations
Cash flows generated from operating activities were $11 million, demonstrating strong cash management and operational efficiency.
European share of bookings increased to 29%, reflecting our growing presence and successful marketing activities in the region.
Product updates:
Hero Wars, our flagship global mid-core franchise, recently celebrated a major milestone with its first-ever in-game collaboration featuring the legendary gaming icon, Lara Croft. This partnership garnered overwhelmingly positive feedback from our player community and was bolstered by extensive brand marketing campaigns. These efforts propelled the Hero Wars brand to an all-time high in Google Trends search interest.
Pixel Gun 3D, our pixel shooter franchise, successfully expanded to the PC platform with its launch on Steam. The game made an impressive debut, ranking among the Top 20 best-selling and Top 50 most-played games and peaking at 25,000 concurrent players. Remarkably, these achievements were secured with minimal marketing spend, enabling us to recover development costs on the very first day of release.
Second quarter and first half 2024 financial performance in comparison
In the second quarter of 2024, our revenue decreased by $9 million (or 8%) year-over-year and amounted to $106 million. While bookings for the second quarter of 2024 remained relatively stable, decreasing by $3 million, the decrease in revenue compared to Q2 2023 was primarily driven by a decrease in the recognition of deferred revenues associated with bookings recorded in periods prior to Q2 2024: in Q2 2024, $63 million of revenues resulted from the bookings recorded prior to Q2 2024 compared to $70 million of revenues booked in Q2 2023 which resulted from bookings recorded prior to Q2 2023. Revenues reported in Q2 2023, in turn, were impacted by the recognition of record high bookings generated in 2021. The decrease in revenues also reflects the increasing portion of our bookings in Q2 2024 that are required to be recognized as deferred revenue in later periods, as a greater proportion was generated from our PC platform, where players’ lifespan tends to be higher compared with other platforms.
Platform commissions decreased by $4 million (or 16%) in the second quarter of 2024 compared to the same period in 2023, driven by a 7% decrease in revenues generated from in-game purchases, and amplified by growth of revenues derived from PC platforms which are associated with lower commissions.
Game operation costs decreased by $2 million, reaching $12 million in the second quarter of 2024, driven mostly by a decrease in employee headcount in our office in Armenia compared with the same period in 2023.
Selling and marketing expenses in the second quarter of 2024 decreased by $3 million, amounting to $47 million. The decrease is attributed to a shift in user acquisition strategy focused on enhancing efficiency in Q2 2024 vs. the same period in 2023.
General and administrative expenses were $9 million in Q2 2024 compared with $8 million in Q2 2023. The increase was primarily due to the consulting fees related to investor relations activities.
As a result of the factors above, together with other diverse factors (including, principally, a change in fair value of share warrant obligation of $0.4 million in Q2 2024 vs. $5 million in Q2 2023), we recorded a profit for the period, net of tax, of $15 million compared with $20 million in the same period in 2023. Adjusted EBITDA in Q2 2024 amounted to $16 million, an increase of $0.6 million compared with the same period in 2023.
Cash flows generated from operating activities were $11 million in the second quarter of 2024 compared with $12 million in the same period in 2023.
First half 2024 financial performance
In the first half of 2024, our revenue decreased by $21 million (or 9%) year-over-year and amounted to $213 million. While bookings for the first half of 2024 remained relatively stable, increasing by $2 million, the decrease in revenue compared to the first half of 2023 was primarily driven by a decrease in the recognition of deferred revenues associated with bookings recorded in periods prior to H1 2024: in the first half of 2024, $138 million of revenues resulted from the bookings recorded prior to 2024 compared to $155 million of revenues booked in the first half of 2023 which resulted from bookings recorded prior to 2023. Revenues reported in the first half of 2023, in turn, were impacted by the recognition of record high bookings generated in 2021. The decrease in revenues also reflects the increasing portion of our bookings in Q2 2024 that are required to be recognized as deferred revenue in later periods, as a greater proportion was generated from our PC platform, where players’ lifespan tends to be higher compared with other platforms.
Platform commissions decreased by $10 million (or 18%) in the first half of 2024 compared to the same period in 2023, driven by a 9% decrease in revenues generated from in-game purchases, and amplified by growth of revenues derived from PC platforms which are associated with lower commissions.
Game operation costs decreased by $3 million, reaching $25 million in the first half of 2024, driven mostly by a decrease in employee headcount in our office in Armenia compared with the same period in 2023.
Selling and marketing expenses in the first half of 2024 decreased by $19 million, amounting to $111 million. The decrease is attributed to a shift in user acquisition strategy focused on enhancing efficiency in the first half of 2024 vs. the same period in 2023.
General and administrative expenses remained relatively stable at $16 million for the first half of 2024 and 2023.
As a result of the factors above, together with other factors (including, principally, (i) a change in fair value of share warrant obligation of $0.3 million in the first half of 2024 vs. $11 million in the first half of 2023, and (ii) other financial income related to the write-off of put option liability of $4 million in the first half of 2024 vs. nil in 2023), we recorded a profit for the period, net of tax, of $13 million compared with $11 million in the same period of 2023. Adjusted EBITDA in the first half of 2024 amounted to $14 million, an increase of $10 million compared with the same period in 2023.
Cash flows generated from operating activities amounted to $12 million in the first half of 2024, an increase from negative $0.1 million in the same period of 2023.
Second quarter and first half 2024 operational performance comparison
Q2 2024
Q2 2023
Change (%)
H1 2024
H1 20232
Change (%)
Bookings ($ million)
108
111
(3%)
216
214
1%
Bookings from in-app purchases
101
102
(1%)
201
198
2%
Bookings from advertising
7
9
(23%)
15
16
(5%)
Share of advertising
6.2%
7.7%
(1.5 p.p.)
6.9%
7.4%
(0.5 p.p)
MPU (thousand)
381
392
(3%)
381
387
(2%)
ABPPU ($)
88
87
2%
88
85
3%
Bookings stayed relatively stable at $108 million and $216 in the second quarter and first half of 2024, respectively, compared with the same periods of 2023.
The share of advertisement sales as a percentage of total bookings decreased in the second quarter and the first half of 2024 to reach 6.2% and 6.9%, respectively, compared to 7.7% and 7.4% in the respective periods of 2023. This decline was primarily driven by a global trend of declining CPM rates for advertising in 2024.
Split of bookings by platform
Q2 2024
Q2 2023
H1 2024
H1 2023
Mobile
58%
62%
60%
63%
PC
42%
38%
40%
37%
In the second quarter and first half of 2024, the share of PC versions of our games increased by 4 p.p. and 3 p.p. respectively, compared with the same periods of 2023.
Split of bookings by geography
Q2 2024
Q2 2023
H1 2024
H1 2023
US
34%
36%
34%
36%
Asia
22%
24%
22%
25%
Europe
29%
24%
29%
24%
Other
15%
16%
15%
15%
Our split of bookings by geography both in the second quarter of 2024 and first half of 2024 vs. the respective periods of 2023 remained broadly similar, with a certain increase in the share of Europe bookings.
Note:
Due to rounding, the numbers presented throughout this document may not precisely add up to the totals. The period-over-period percentage changes are based on the actual numbers and may therefore differ from the percentage changes if those were to be calculated based on the rounded numbers.
The figures in this release are unaudited.
Webcast details
To listen to the audio webcast please follow this link. To participate in the conference call, please use the following details:
US toll-free dial: +1 844-543-0451 US local: +1 864-991-4103 United Kingdom toll-free: +44 808 175 1536 United Kingdom local: +44 1400 220156
Conference ID: 886570
For additional dial-in options, please use this link.
About GDEV
GDEV is a hub of gaming studios, focused on development and growth of its franchise portfolio across various genres and platforms. With a diverse range of subsidiaries including Nexters and Cubic Games, among others, GDEV strives to create games that will inspire and engage millions of players for years to come. Its franchises, such as Hero Wars, Island Hoppers, Pixel Gun 3D and others have accumulated hundreds of millions of installs worldwide. For more information, please visit gdev.inc.
Contacts:
Investor Relations Roman Safiyulin | Chief Corporate Development Officer investor@gdev.inc
Certain statements in this press release may constitute “forward-looking statements” for purposes of the federal securities laws. Such statements are based on current expectations that are subject to risks and uncertainties. In addition, any statements that refer to projections, forecasts or other characterizations of future events or circumstances, including any underlying assumptions, are forward-looking statements.
The forward-looking statements contained in this press release are based on the Company’s current expectations and beliefs concerning future developments and their potential effects on the Company. There can be no assurance that future developments affecting the Company will be those that the Company has anticipated. Forward-looking statements involve a number of risks, uncertainties (some of which are beyond the Company’s control) or other assumptions. You should carefully consider the risks and uncertainties described in the “Risk Factors” section of the Company’s 2023 Annual Report on Form 20-F, filed by the Company on April 29, 2024, and other documents filed by the Company from time to time with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should any of the Company’s assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary in material respects from those projected in these forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are made. Readers are cautioned not to put undue reliance on forward-looking statements, and the Company undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as may be required under applicable securities laws.
Presentation of Non-IFRS Financial Measures
In addition to the results provided in accordance with IFRS throughout this press release, the Company has provided the non-IFRS financial measure “Adjusted EBITDA” (the “Non-IFRS Financial Measure”). The Company defines Adjusted EBITDA as the profit/loss for the period, net of tax as presented in the Company’s financial statements in accordance with IFRS, adjusted to exclude (i) goodwill and investments in equity accounted associates’ impairment, (ii) loss on disposal of subsidiaries, (iii) income tax expense, (iv) other financial income, finance income and expenses other than foreign exchange gains and losses and bank charges, (v) change in fair value of share warrant obligations and other financial instruments, (vi) share of loss of equity-accounted associates, (vii) depreciation and amortization, (viii) share-based payments expense and (ix) certain non-cash or other special items that we do not consider indicative of our ongoing operating performance. The Company uses this Non-IFRS Financial Measure for business planning purposes and in measuring its performance relative to that of its competitors. The Company believes that this Non-IFRS Financial Measure is a useful financial metric to assess its operating performance from period-to-period by excluding certain items that the Company believes are not representative of its core business. This Non-IFRS Financial Measure is not intended to replace, and should not be considered superior to, the presentation of the Company’s financial results in accordance with IFRS. The use of the Non-IFRS Financial Measure terms may differ from similar measures reported by other companies and may not be comparable to other similarly titled measures.
Reconciliation of the profit for the period, net of tax to the Adjusted EBITDA
US$ million
Q2 2024
Q2 2023
H1 2024
H1 2023
Profit for the period, net of tax
15
20
13
11
Adjust for:
Income tax expense
1
0.3
2
1
Adjusted finance (income)/expenses3
(0.4)
(0.7)
(5)
(3)
Change in fair value of share warrant obligations and other financial instruments
(0.4)
(5)
(0.3)
(11)
Share of loss of equity-accounted associates
—
—
—
0.5
Depreciation and amortization4
1
1
3
3
Share-based payments
0.2
0.5
0.4
1
Adjusted EBITDA
16
16
14
4
______________________________
1 For more information, see section titled “Presentation of Non-IFRS Financial Measures” in the last two pages of this report, including the reconciliation of the profit for the period, net of tax to the Adjusted EBITDA.
2 The previously released preliminary bookings for Q1 2023 as a part of our Q1 2024 press release have been adjusted to reflect the final amounts.
3 Adjusted finance income/expenses consist of other financial income, finance income and expenses other than foreign exchange gains and losses and bank charges, net.
4 Starting from 2024, the Company reports D&A expenses by function as a part of game operation cost, selling and marketing expenses and general and administrative expenses in accordance with IAS 1.
LIMASSOL, Cyprus, Aug. 28, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — GDEV Inc. (NASDAQ: GDEV), an international gaming and entertainment company (“GDEV” or the “Company”), announces that its financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2024 will be released at 8:00 a.m. (Eastern Time) on Wednesday, September 4, 2024.
GDEV will host a conference call and webcast to discuss its results at 09:00 a.m. U.S. Eastern Time the same day.
The press release, as well as supplementary slides will be available at gdev.inc. To listen to the audio webcast please follow this link. To participate in the conference call, please use the following details:
US toll-free dial: +1 844-543-0451 US local: +1 864-991-4103 United Kingdom toll-free: +44 808 175 1536 United Kingdom local: +44 1400 220156 Conference ID: 886570
For additional dial-in options, please use this link.
ABOUT GDEV GDEV is a hub of gaming studios, focused on development and growth of its franchise portfolio across various genres and platforms. With a diverse range of subsidiaries including Nexters and Cubic Games among others, GDEV strives to create games that will inspire and engage millions of players for years to come. Its franchises, such as Hero Wars, Island Hoppers, Pixel Gun 3D and others have accumulated hundreds of millions of installs worldwide. For more information, please visit gdev.inc
CONTACTS: Investor Relations Roman Safiyulin | Chief Corporate Development Officer investor@gdev.inc
CAUTIONARY STATEMENT REGARDING FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS Certain statements in this press release may constitute “forward-looking statements” for purposes of the federal securities laws. Such statements are based on current expectations that are subject to risks and uncertainties. In addition, any statements that refer to projections, forecasts or other characterizations of future events or circumstances, including any underlying assumptions, are forward-looking statements.
The forward-looking statements contained in this press release are based on the Company’s current expectations and beliefs concerning future developments and their potential effects on the Company. There can be no assurance that future developments affecting the Company will be those that the Company has anticipated. Forward-looking statements involve a number of risks, uncertainties (some of which are beyond the Company’s control) or other assumptions. You should carefully consider the risks and uncertainties described in the “Risk Factors” section of the Company’s 2023 Annual Report on Form 20-F, filed by the Company on April 29, 2024, and other documents filed by the Company from time to time with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should any of the Company’s assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary in material respects from those projected in these forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are made. Readers are cautioned not to put undue reliance on forward-looking statements, and the Company undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as may be required under applicable securities laws.
RICHMOND, Va.–(BUSINESS WIRE)– Bowlero Corp. (NYSE: BOWL) (“Bowlero” or the “Company”), one of the world’s premier operators of location-based entertainment, will report financial results for the fourth quarter and full year fiscal 2024 on Thursday, September 5, 2024, after the U.S. stock market closes. Management will discuss the results via webcast at 4:30 PM ET on the same day.
The live webcast, replay, and results presentation will be available in the Events & Presentations section of the Bowlero Investor Relations website at https://ir.bowlerocorp.com/ .
About Bowlero Corp.
Bowlero Corporation is one of the world’s premier operators of location-based entertainment. With approximately 350 locations across North America, the Company serves more than 40 million guest visits annually through a family of brands that include Lucky Strike, Bowlero and AMF. In 2019, Bowlero acquired the Professional Bowlers Association, the major league of bowling and a growing media property that boasts millions of fans around the globe. For more information on Bowlero, please visit BowleroCorp.com.
Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Reverse split. On August 21, the company announced a one for ten reverse stock split on its ordinary shares. Notably, the reverse split will be effective following the market close on August 28, and will be adjusted for the split when trading opens on August 29. We view the move favorably as the company sheds its SPAC image.
Positive implications. Management highlighted that the reverse split could improve the marketability and attractiveness of its shares, as an investment grade company that it is. We believe the higher share price could improve investor perception, liquidity and marketability of the GDEV shares and open the company to more institutional interest, with the shares trading above single digit price points.
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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
Snail is a leading, global independent developer and publisher of interactive digital entertainment for consumers around the world, with a premier portfolio of premium games designed for use on a variety of platforms, including consoles, PCs and mobile devices.
Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Q2 results. The company reported Q2 revenue of $21.6 million, and adj. EBITDA of $3.1 million, both of which were lower than our forecasts of $27.8 million and $7.4 million, respectively. In our view, there were multiple factors contributing to the shortfall, such as deferred revenue in the quarter, as well as lower than expected revenue from ARK: Survival Ascended (ASA) on Microsoft Game Pass.
Deferred revenue. Notably, deferred revenue is largely related to the five DLC packages included in the sale of ASA, of which four have not been released yet. Furthermore, as DLC packages included in ASA are released, the company will defer less revenue from future ASA sales. In our view, reducing deferred revenue will provide investors with a clearer picture of company operating results.
Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.
This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
Snail is a leading, global independent developer and publisher of interactive digital entertainment for consumers around the world, with a premier portfolio of premium games designed for use on a variety of platforms, including consoles, PCs and mobile devices.
Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Q2 results. The company reported Q2 revenue of $21.6 million, and adj. EBITDA of $3.1 million, both of which were lower than our forecasts of $27.8 million and $7.4 million, respectively, as illustrated in Figure #1 Q2 Results. In our view, there were multiple factors contributing to the shortfall, such as deferred revenue in the quarter, as well as lower than expected revenue from ARK: Survival Ascended (ASA) on Microsoft Game Pass.
Closing the gap. Notably, there is a technology gap between many potential ASA users’ PC hardware and the advanced processing power needed for the game, which uses Unreal Engine 5. This technology disparity has inhibited some users from migrating from the original game, ARK: Survival Evolved (ASE), to ASA, dampening ASA sales. However, an update to Unreal Engine 5 that is expected to take place in Q3. Should the update help bridge the technology gap, it could catalyze accelerated adaption of ASA.
Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.
This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
Harte Hanks (NASDAQ: HHS) is a leading global customer experience company whose mission is to partner with clients to provide them with CX strategy, data-driven analytics and actionable insights combined with seamless program execution to better understand, attract, and engage their customers. Using its unparalleled resources and award-winning talent in the areas of Customer Care, Fulfillment and Logistics, and Marketing Services, Harte Hanks has a proven track record of driving results for some of the world’s premier brands including Bank of America, GlaxoSmithKline, Unilever, Pfizer, HBOMax, Volvo, Ford, FedEx, Midea, Sony, and IBM among others. Headquartered in Chelmsford, Massachusetts , Harte Hanks has over 2,500 employees in offices across the Americas, Europe and Asia Pacific .
Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Installing a sales organization. We believe that the management team is focused on positioning the company for a swing toward revenue and cash flow growth. To that end, the company has hired high profile senior management that is transforming it into a sales and customer centric company.
A healthy revenue indicator. Management indicated that its pipeline of business is building and ahead of last year. We believe that the company’s investment into building its sales infrastructure, which began late last year, is likely to show improving revenue trends in the second half 2024.
Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.
This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
Saga Communications, Inc. is a broadcast company whose business is primarily devoted to acquiring, developing and operating radio stations. Saga currently owns or operates broadcast properties in 27 markets, including 79 FM and 33 AM radio stations. Saga’s strategy is to operate top billing radio stations in mid sized markets, defined as markets ranked (by market revenues) from 20 to 200. Saga’s radio stations employ a myriad of programming formats, including Active Rock, Adult Album Alternative, Adult Contemporary, Country, Classic Country, Classic Hits, Classic Rock, Contemporary Hits Radio, News/Talk, Oldies and Urban Contemporary. In operating its stations, Saga concentrates on the development of strong decentralized local management, which is responsible for the day-to-day operations of the stations in their market area and is compensated based on their financial performance as well as other performance factors that are deemed to effect the long-term ability of the stations to achieve financial objectives. Saga began operations in 1986 and became a publicly traded company in December 1992. The stock trades on NASDAQ under the ticker symbol “SGA”.
Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Delivers on expectations. The company reported Q2 revenue of $28.7 million and adj. EBITDA of $4.4 million, both of which were in line with our estimates of $28.8 million and $4.6 million, respectively as illustrated in Figure #1 Q2 Results. Notably, the revenue estimate was achieved in spite of weaker than expected Political advertising.
Pacings appear weak. Management indicated that Q3 revenues are pacing down mid single digits, which, we believe, may be conservative given that there is limited visibility on Political advertising. The weak revenue outlook reflects, however, lackluster core advertising which appears to be impacted by the current macroeconomic headwinds.
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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
Townsquare is a community-focused digital media and digital marketing solutions company with market leading local radio stations, principally focused outside the top 50 markets in the U.S. Our assets include a subscription digital marketing services business, Townsquare Interactive, providing website design, creation and hosting, search engine optimization, social media and online reputation management as well as other digital monthly services for approximately 26,800 SMBs; a robust digital advertising division, Townsquare IGNITE, a powerful combination of a) an owned and operated portfolio of more than 330 local news and entertainment websites and mobile apps along with a network of leading national music and entertainment brands, collecting valuable first party data, and b) a proprietary digital programmatic advertising technology stack with an in-house demand and data management platform; and a portfolio of 321 local terrestrial radio stations in 67 U.S. markets strategically situated outside the Top 50 markets in the United States. Our portfolio includes local media brands such as WYRK.com, WJON.com, and NJ101.5.com and premier national music brands such as XXLmag.com, TasteofCountry.com, UltimateClassicRock.com and Loudwire.com.
Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
In line quarter. The company delivered on expectations for its second quarter. Total company revenues of $118.2 million, down a modest 2.5% from the year earlier quarter, was in line with our $117.7 million estimate. Adj. EBITDA in the quarter was $26.2 million, in line with our $26.8 million estimate and within the company’s guidance range of $26.0 million to $27.0 million.
Digital on a recovery trajectory. Its Interactive business is sequentially gaining subscribers and its programmatic business, Ignite, had solid 9% revenue growth in Q2. With easier National Digital comps and with improving revenue trends in its Interactive business, we expect its Digital segment to return toward revenue growth in the second half.
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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
Cumulus Media (NASDAQ: CMLS) is an audio-first media company delivering premium content to over a quarter billion people every month — wherever and whenever they want it. Cumulus Media engages listeners with high-quality local programming through 406 owned-and-operated radio stations across 86 markets; delivers nationally-syndicated sports, news, talk, and entertainment programming from iconic brands including the NFL, the NCAA, the Masters, CNN, the AP, the Academy of Country Music Awards, and many other world-class partners across more than 9,500 affiliated stations through Westwood One, the largest audio network in America; and inspires listeners through the Cumulus Podcast Network, its rapidly growing network of original podcasts that are smart, entertaining and thought-provoking. Cumulus Media provides advertisers with personal connections, local impact and national reach through broadcast and on-demand digital, mobile, social, and voice-activated platforms, as well as integrated digital marketing services, powerful influencers, full-service audio solutions, industry-leading research and insights, and live event experiences. Cumulus Media is the only audio media company to provide marketers with local and national advertising performance guarantees. For more information visit www.cumulusmedia.com.
Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Mixed Q2 results. The company reported revenue of $204.8 million, slightly lighter than our expectations of $206.2M. Due to cost cuts, adj. EBITDA was $25.2 million, finishing ahead of our estimates by $2.1M. Digital revenues advanced 5%, but was slower than the 7% in the first quarter.
Lackluster pacing outlook. Management indicated that third quarter revenue pacing is disappointingly down low single digits, in spite of the anticipated influx of Political advertising. We believe that spot advertising is down mid single digits, with Network likely to be down double digits, similar to the second quarter.
Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.
This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
