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InPlay Oil (IPOOF) – Estimates finetuned down to reflect weak December-quarter energy prices

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, January 09, 2024

InPlay Oil is a junior oil and gas exploration and production company with operations in Alberta focused on light oil production. The company operates long-lived, low-decline properties with drilling development and enhanced oil recovery potential as well as undeveloped lands with exploration possibilities. The common shares of InPlay trade on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the symbol IPO and the OTCQX Exchange under the symbol IPOOF.

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

As indicated in our last energy industry report, oil and natural gas prices were weak in the December quarter. WTI oil prices averaged $78.40/bbl. in the quarter, below our previous estimate of $80/bbl. Henry Hub natural gas prices average $2.74/mcf., below our previous estimate of $3.25/mcf. due to warm weather. The C$ to US$ exchange rate was 1.35 times, slightly higher than our 1.33 estimate. We have adjusted our InPlay models to reflect updated results.

We are fine tuning our estimates to reflect lower energy prices and a higher exchange rate. Our revenue estimate for the 2023  December quarter has been lowered to C$44.7 million from C$47.2 million. Our EBITDA estimate for the quarter is now C$23.3 million, down from C$25.5 million and our Adjusted Fund Flow estimate is C$18.9 million, down from C$20.6 million. Our EPS estimate for the quarter drops to C$0.08 from C$0.09. We have not made any changes to our 2024 estimates. With this report, we are initiating 2024 quarterly estimates.


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Boeing Stock Plunges After FAA Grounds More 737 Max Jets

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Boeing saw its stock plunge on Monday after the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) ordered the temporary grounding of some Boeing 737 Max jets over a faulty aircraft part that flew off during a flight on Friday.

Boeing shares fell 8.7% to close at $188.49, marking the stock’s largest single-day percentage decline since March 2020. The selloff wiped out over $10.6 billion in market value, dropping Boeing’s market capitalization to around $111 billion.

The FAA directive impacts 171 Boeing 737 Max 9 jets that have been fitted with a faulty door plug. During an Alaskan Airlines flight last Friday, one of these door plugs flew off the fuselage mid-flight, raising serious safety concerns. No one was injured in the incident.

This latest 737 Max issue comes on the heels of a disastrous period for Boeing’s bestselling aircraft. In 2018 and 2019, two deadly crashes involving the 737 Max occurred just months apart, taking the lives of all 346 passengers and crew.

Investigations found fault with the plane’s MCAS automated flight control system, leading to a complete grounding of all 737 Max planes worldwide for nearly two years as Boeing implemented software fixes and other changes. The 737 Max was recertified for service in late 2020.

While Friday’s door plug malfunction does not approach the severity of the systemic flight control problems that caused the prior crashes, it highlights that quality control and safety issues continue to plague Boeing’s production of the 737 Max.

The FAA indicated its grounding order was issued because the faulty door plug condition likely exists on other new Max 9 aircraft besides the one involved in Friday’s incident. The agency is working closely with Boeing to inspect all potentially impacted planes.

Boeing has declined to comment on whether it was aware of problems with the integrity of the door plugs during initial design and manufacturing of the 737 Max 9, which first entered service in 2018. The company stated it is fully cooperating with the FAA and the ongoing investigation by the National Transportation Safety Board.

Aviation analysts say while concerning, this latest 737 Max issue seems unlikely to have long-term negative repercussions for Boeing or airlines operating the plane.

“This accident does not alter our positive view on [Boeing],” said Ken Herbert, analyst at RBC Capital Markets. “Initial indications are that this is an isolated incident, and the financial risk to the MAX is not thesis changing.”

Analyst Seth Seifman of JPMorgan also characterized the event as a setback that is “not helpful” for Boeing’s efforts to ramp up 737 production and deliveries. However, Seifman noted the extent of the impact remains unclear until regulators determine next steps for returning the newly grounded planes to service.

While Wall Street sentiment toward Boeing remains cautiously optimistic, investors are reacting with an abundance of caution given the company’s checkered track record with the 737 Max family. Boeing simply cannot afford any more major quality issues or negative incidents related to its bestselling aircraft, which accounts for nearly 50% of total company revenue.

After the turbulence of the past few years, Boeing’s reputation has already taken a hit and its management team is under immense pressure to safely accelerate production and deliveries of the 737 Max and other aircraft. This will be no easy task as supply chain constraints and labor shortages continue to create headwinds for aerospace manufacturing.

With air travel demand roaring back after the pandemic plunge, Boeing’s order book is full and the company aims to play catch up after recent challenges. But if Boeing cannot deliver those orders efficiently while maintaining the highest safety standards, more occasions like Monday’s stock plunge are likely on the horizon.

Johnson & Johnson Spends $2 Billion to Buy Ambrx and Expand in Oncology

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Johnson & Johnson announced Monday that it will acquire clinical-stage biotech Ambrx Biopharma for $2 billion, making a big bet on Ambrx’s proprietary platform for developing next-generation antibody drug conjugates (ADCs) to treat cancer.

The acquisition provides Johnson & Johnson access to Ambrx’s promising pipeline of ADC candidates, while also allowing the healthcare giant to leverage Ambrx’s novel conjugate technology that improves the efficacy and safety of ADCs. Ambrx’s proprietary platform incorporates synthetic amino acids to allow site-specific conjugation of antibodies to toxic payloads, creating more stable ADCs with less off-target effects.

Johnson & Johnson is particularly interested in Ambrx’s lead asset ARX517, an anti-PSMA ADC currently in Phase 1/2 development for metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC). Prostate cancer has long been a focus for J&J and its Janssen pharmaceuticals unit, with blockbuster prostate cancer drug Zytiga bringing in over $2 billion in annual sales prior to losing patent protection in 2019.

The pressing need for improved mCRPC treatments provided additional impetus for the deal. Over 185,000 men in the U.S. currently have mCRPC, with a poor median overall survival of less than two years. The early data for ARX517 demonstrates promising anti-tumor activity, and Johnson & Johnson believes the drug could become a first-in-class targeted ADC therapy for mCRPC if approved.

“We see a unique opportunity to harness the potential of this innovative ADC platform, and with our deep understanding of prostate cancer, deliver a targeted PSMA therapeutic for addressing the growing needs of the more than 185,000 patients living with metastatic castration-resistant disease today,” said Dr. Yusri Elsayed, Global Therapeutic Area Head for Oncology at Johnson & Johnson.

Beyond ARX517, Ambrx has several other ADC candidates in its pipeline targeting cancer antigens like HER2 and CD70, providing Johnson & Johnson with a robust suite of new ADC therapies that can be optimized using Ambrx’s conjugate technology.

The acquisition reflects Johnson & Johnson’s strategy of using deals to access innovation, especially in high-potential areas like oncology. With in-house R&D productivity under scrutiny, major players like J&J and its pharma peers have turned to M&A to supplement pipeline development. Cancer has been the top therapy area target for M&A over the past 5 years, according to EY data, demonstrating the demand for innovative oncology drugs.

Ambrx was founded in 2003 as a spin-out from The Scripps Research Institute. The company raised over $200 million in venture capital and held its IPO in 2021, listing on the NASDAQ exchange. The $2 billion buyout price represents a nice return for Ambrx’s backers and shareholders.

The deal is expected to close in the first half of 2024, pending approval from Ambrx stockholders as well as regulatory clearance. Upon completion of the acquisition, Ambrx’s stock will be delisted and it will no longer be an independent public company.

Johnson & Johnson’s acquisition of Ambrx highlights the pharma industry’s race to find new modalities like ADCs that can precisely target cancer cells while minimizing side effects. With cancer poised to become the leading cause of death globally, the need for better tolerated treatments has never been more pressing. J&J is making a big bet that Ambrx’s next-gen ADC platform can yield breakthroughs in achieving that goal.

Take a moment to take a look at Noble Capital Markets’ Senior Research Analyst Robert LeBoyer’s coverage universe.

Merck Acquires Harpoon Therapeutics for $680 Million To Diversify Cancer Immunotherapies

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Merck has announced a definitive agreement to acquire clinical-stage biotech Harpoon Therapeutics for $23 per share in an all-cash deal valued at approximately $680 million. The acquisition provides Merck with Harpoon’s promising pipeline of novel T-cell engager immunotherapies that harness the body’s immune system to treat cancer.

Harpoon’s lead asset is HPN328, an investigational T-cell engager targeting delta-like ligand 3 (DLL3) for the treatment of small cell lung cancer (SCLC) and other neuroendocrine tumors expressing DLL3. HPN328 directs a patient’s T-cells to kill tumor cells displaying DLL3. In October 2022, Harpoon reported positive interim data from the ongoing Phase 1/2 trial showing encouraging tolerability and early signs of efficacy for HPN328.

The acquisition expands Merck’s burgeoning oncology portfolio, adding a new modality to its toolkit. “This agreement reflects the creativity and commitment of scientists and clinical development teams at Harpoon. We look forward to further evaluating HPN328 in innovative combinations with other pipeline candidates,” stated Dr. Dean Y. Li, President of Merck Research Laboratories.

Harpoon’s TriTAC and ProTriTAC Platforms

Beyond HPN328, Merck also gains Harpoon’s proprietary TriTAC and ProTriTAC platforms for developing novel T-cell engagers. TriTACs (tri-specific T-cell activating constructs) are engineered protein therapies designed to recruit a patient’s immune cells to attack tumor cells. The ProTriTAC platform applies a prodrug concept to remain inactive until reaching the tumor site.

Harpoon has an extensive pipeline of TriTAC candidates against various cancer targets, including:

  • HPN217: Targets B-cell maturation antigen (BCMA) for relapsed/refractory multiple myeloma, currently in Phase 1.
  • HPN601: Targets epithelial cell adhesion molecule (EpCAM) for solid tumors expressing EpCAM.
  • HPN424: Targets delta-like ligand 4 (DLL4) for solid tumors.
  • Other preclinical TriTACs targeting tumor antigens like NaPi2b, FLT3, and DLL3.

The platforms offer modular designs to quickly generate and test new immunotherapies directed to disease-specific targets. Merck can leverage these platforms to strengthen its immunotherapy pipeline in cancer and possibly other disease areas.

Merck Building an Oncology Powerhouse

Cancer immunotherapies represent the next wave of innovation in oncology drug development. The Harpoon acquisition aligns with Merck’s strategy to establish leadership in immuno-oncology.

Merck already markets the blockbuster PD-1 checkpoint inhibitor Keytruda, approved for 30 different cancer indications. Keytruda generated $17.2 billion in sales in 2021. Now with Harpoon, Merck adds T-cell engagers to its arsenal. These therapies provide another way to leverage the immune system against hard-to-treat tumors like SCLC.

Merck is also developing numerous other novel agents across various modalities:

  • Cancer vaccines targeting specific tumor mutations (Personalized Cancer Vaccine, V590, V591)
  • Antibody-drug conjugates (belantamab mafodotin, ladiratuzumab vedotin)
  • Bispecific fusion proteins targeting both PD-1 and LAG-3
  • First-in-class inhibitors (MK-6482, KL-A)

Combined with its extensive capabilities in discovery research and clinical development, Merck is positioning itself as an oncology powerhouse able to take on cancers from all angles.

The Harpoon acquisition provides another building block in this strategy. In Harpoon’s pipeline and platforms, Merck gains cutting-edge T-cell engager capabilities to complement internal immuno-oncology programs. Merck can advance Harpoon’s therapies into new combination regimens and indications to maximize their potential.

Deal Details

Under the terms of the agreement, Merck will acquire Harpoon through a subsidiary, purchasing all outstanding Harpoon shares for $23 each in cash. This represents a premium of 118% over Harpoon’s previous closing share price.

The deal has been approved by Harpoon’s Board of Directors and is expected to close in the first half of 2024, pending shareholder approval and regulatory clearances. It will be accounted for as an asset acquisition by Merck.

Harpoon shareholders will vote on the acquisition at a future shareholder meeting. The waiting period under the Hart-Scott-Rodino Antitrust Improvements Act will also need to expire.

Advisors on the deal include Evercore Group for Merck and Centerview Partners for Harpoon.

With promising new immunotherapies and platforms adding to its robust oncology pipeline, Merck strengthens its leadership in the high-growth cancer drug market. The Harpoon acquisition provides Merck with new T-cell engager capabilities to help develop life-changing medicines for patients with cancer worldwide.

Release – GeoVax Appoints Dr. Marc Pipas as Executive Medical Director, Oncology

Posted on by aweinsoff@channelchek.com

Research News and Market Data on GOVX

 

 Strengthening GeoVax’s Team Advancing Gedeptin® Clinical Program

Atlanta, GA, January 8, 2024 – GeoVax Labs, Inc. (Nasdaq: GOVX), a biotechnology company developing immunotherapies and vaccines against cancers and infectious diseases, today announced the appointment of J. Marc Pipas, M.D., to serve as the Company’s Executive Medical Director, Oncology.

Kelly McKee, M.D., MPH, GeoVax Chief Medical Officer, commented, “Dr. Pipas’ addition to our team represents an important step forward in the strengthening of GeoVax’s organizational and operational resources to support advancement of our principal oncology asset, Gedeptin®, through clinical development and regulatory approval.  He is also well-positioned to guide the clinical development of GeoVax’s broader immune-oncology portfolio. We are excited to leverage the wealth of knowledge, expertise, and insights he will provide relative to the clinical developments in support of our oncology programs.”

“I am pleased to be joining the GeoVax team,” said Dr. Pipas. “Oncologic research and development is my passion and I look forward to engaging with our clinical researchers, regulatory authorities, and the medical community at large, to advance GeoVax’s mission.”

Dr. Pipas has extensive clinical, research, and leadership expertise in oncology, built on a long and successful academic career at Dartmouth-Hitchcock Medical Center/Norris Cotton Cancer Center, an NCI Comprehensive Cancer Center.  During his academic career, Dr Pipas led the GI Clinical Oncology Group for >10 years, served as Hematology/Oncology Fellowship Director, was Medical Director for the Office of Clinical Research in the Cancer Center, and served for more than a decade as a member of Human Subject Protection and Data Monitoring Boards. Following his academic career, he held positions of increasing responsibility in the biopharma industry, guiding the development of several novel oncology therapeutics through early- and late-stage clinical trials.

Dr. Pipas received his Doctor of Medicine degree from SUNY-HSC at Syracuse in 1989 and completed a residency in Internal Medicine at the Medical University of South Carolina in Charleston.  Following this, he completed a fellowship in Hematology/Oncology at Dartmouth-Hitchcock Medical Center in New Hampshire and was then invited to become a faculty member at Dartmouth Medical School where he achieved the rank of Full Professor. He has 40 scientific papers and more than 60 abstracts to his credit and has numerous nominations and awards for teaching and humanism in medicine. Dr Pipas brings a deep understanding of oncologic therapeutics and clinical trial management, as well as a network of research contacts and leadership skills honed by many years of experience.

About GeoVax

GeoVax Labs, Inc. is a clinical-stage biotechnology company developing novel therapies and vaccines for solid tumor cancers and many of the world’s most threatening infectious diseases. The company’s lead program in oncology is a novel oncolytic solid tumor gene-directed therapy, Gedeptin®, presently in a multicenter Phase 1/2 clinical trial for advanced head and neck cancers. GeoVax’s lead infectious disease candidate is GEO-CM04S1, a next-generation COVID-19 vaccine targeting high-risk immunocompromised patient populations. Currently in three Phase 2 clinical trials, GEO-CM04S1 is being evaluated as a primary vaccine for immunocompromised patients such as those suffering from hematologic cancers and other patient populations for whom the current authorized COVID-19 vaccines are insufficient, and as a booster vaccine in patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL). In addition, GEO-CM04S1 is in a Phase 2 clinical trial evaluating the vaccine as a more robust, durable COVID-19 booster among healthy patients who previously received the mRNA vaccines. GeoVax has a leadership team who have driven significant value creation across multiple life science companies over the past several decades. For more information, visit our website: www.geovax.com.

Forward-Looking Statements

This release contains forward-looking statements regarding GeoVax’s business plans. The words “believe,” “look forward to,” “may,” “estimate,” “continue,” “anticipate,” “intend,” “should,” “plan,” “could,” “target,” “potential,” “is likely,” “will,” “expect” and similar expressions, as they relate to us, are intended to identify forward-looking statements. We have based these forward-looking statements largely on our current expectations and projections about future events and financial trends that we believe may affect our financial condition, results of operations, business strategy and financial needs. Actual results may differ materially from those included in these statements due to a variety of factors, including whether: GeoVax is able to obtain acceptable results from ongoing or future clinical trials of its investigational products, GeoVax’s immuno-oncology products and preventative vaccines can provoke the desired responses, and those products or vaccines can be used effectively, GeoVax’s viral vector technology adequately amplifies immune responses to cancer antigens, GeoVax can develop and manufacture its immuno-oncology products and preventative vaccines with the desired characteristics in a timely manner, GeoVax’s immuno-oncology products and preventative vaccines will be safe for human use, GeoVax’s vaccines will effectively prevent targeted infections in humans, GeoVax’s immuno-oncology products and preventative vaccines will receive regulatory approvals necessary to be licensed and marketed, GeoVax raises required capital to complete development, there is development of competitive products that may be more effective or easier to use than GeoVax’s products, GeoVax will be able to enter into favorable manufacturing and distribution agreements, and other factors, over which GeoVax has no control.

Further information on our risk factors is contained in our periodic reports on Form 10-Q and Form 10-K that we have filed and will file with the SEC. Any forward-looking statement made by us herein speaks only as of the date on which it is made. Factors or events that could cause our actual results to differ may emerge from time to time, and it is not possible for us to predict all of them. We undertake no obligation to publicly update any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise, except as may be required by law. 

Company Contact:                     Investor Relations Contact:                     Media Contact:
info@geovax.com paige.kelly@sternir.com sr@roberts-communications.com 
678-384-7220 212-698-8699 202-779-0929

Release – YS Biopharma Announces Changes to its Board Committees

Posted on by aweinsoff@channelchek.com

Research News and Market Data on YS

 Download this Press Release

GAITHERSBURG, Md., Jan. 8, 2024 /PRNewswire/ — YS Biopharma Co., Ltd. (NASDAQ: YS) (“YS Biopharma” or the “Company“), a global biopharmaceutical company dedicated to discovering, developing, manufacturing, and delivering new generations of vaccines and therapeutic biologics for infectious diseases and cancer, today announced that the Company’s Board of Directors (the “Board“) has approved Ms. Rui Yu as the new Chairperson of its Audit Committee, as a member of its Compensation Committee, and as a member of the Nominating and Corporate Governance Committee on January 7, 2024 (Beijing Time), with immediate effect. Ms. Yu currently serves as a partner at Oceanpine Capital, a position she has held since 2021. Prior to that, she served as a managing director at China Renaissance Group and vice president and head of China healthcare research at Gerson Lehman Group. Ms. Yu received her Bachelor of Science degree from Guangdong Pharmaceutical University, her Master of Science degree from the University of Missouri School of Medicine, and her MBA from the University of Chicago Booth School of Business with concentrations in finance, accounting and entrepreneurship.

   

Accordingly, the membership of each Board Committee will be as follows:

Audit Committee

Rui Yu (Chairperson), Viren Mehta, and Shaojing Tong

Compensation Committee

Viren Mehta (Chairperson), Ajit Shetty, Shaojing Tong, and Rui Yu

Nominating and Corporate Governance Committee

Ajit Shetty (Chairperson), Viren Mehta, Rui Yu, and Yi Zhang

About YS Biopharma

YS Biopharma is a global biopharmaceutical company dedicated to discovering, developing, manufacturing, and commercializing new generations of vaccines and therapeutic biologics for infectious diseases and cancer. It has developed a proprietary PIKA® immunomodulating technology platform and a series of preventive and therapeutic biologics with a potential for improved Rabies, Coronavirus, Hepatitis B, Influenza, and Shingles vaccines. YS Biopharma operates in China, the United States, Singapore and the Philippines, and is led by a management team that combines rich local expertise and global experience in the bio-pharmaceutical industry. For more information, please visit investor.ysbiopharm.com.

Investor Relations Contact
Robin Yang
Partner, ICR, LLC
Tel: +1 (212) 537-4035
Email: YSBiopharma.IR@icrinc.com

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SOURCE YS Biopharma Co., Ltd.

Annual JPMorgan Conference Attracts Investors Seeking Insights Into Biotech’s Promising Pipeline

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

The buzz in biotech circles is building as the industry prepares to descend on San Francisco for the annual JPMorgan Healthcare Conference running January 8th through 11th. The high-profile event represents a prime opportunity for investors to gain valuable insights into the sector’s most promising up-and-comers.

Now in its 42nd year, the JPMorgan conference attracts leading biotech and pharmaceutical companies along with institutional investors, analysts, and dealmakers. Presenting firms range from massive big pharma players to small emerging growth biotechs.

Nearly 500 companies are slated to present this year, most running 30-minute Q&A sessions. These tightly packed presentations offer a wealth of intel for those looking to separate promising science from speculative hype.

The event also facilitates crucial networking and dealmaking. With so many industry leaders gathered in one place, the conference often catalyzes partnerships, financing deals, and even M&A activity.

For investors, the information bonanza can heavily influence trading decisions in the year ahead. The majority of presenting firms see significant stock volatility around their presentations as analysts and investors digest new details.

This is especially true for micro-cap biotechs developing novel platforms. The conference represents their best shot at introducing promising science to a captive audience.

Noble Capital Markets analyst Robert LeBoyer will be at the JPMorgan conference seeking hidden gems among early-stage drug developers to add to his coverage universe. His focus areas include oncology, rare diseases, and molecular diagnostics.

The four-day gathering kicks off Monday evening with keynote presentations from industry luminaries like Eli Lilly CEO Dave Ricks and CVS Health Executive Vice President Karen Lynch.

But the real action gets going Tuesday morning when company presentations start at 7:30am local time. With non-stop panels running through Thursday afternoon, the schedule stays jam-packed.

Much of the focus tends to fall on clinical trial data reveals and pipeline updates for major drug development programs. However, digging into the schedules of micro-cap presenters can pay off big for enterprising analysts and investors.

These small companies are often where the next generation of groundbreaking therapies get their start. Wall Street has seen many cases where a small or microcap biotech makes waves at JPMorgan only to become a mammoth player years later.

For instance, cancer therapy innovator Mirati Therapeutics has skyrocketed from a $200 million micro-cap at the 2012 conference to now boast a $10 billion valuation. The company’s promising clinical data updates year after year built significant investor enthusiasm.

Success stories like Mirati help explain why the JPMorgan conference receives such massive interest despite its insider feel. Registering to attend requires an invitation, and getting meetings with management teams can prove challenging given packed schedules.

But resourceful attendees find ways to build productive agendas even without formal presentations. The four-day stretch offers countless sidebar conversations and impromptu meetups.

The healthcare sector faces no shortage of complex challenges, from surging costs to ageing populations across the developed world. But the constant flow of biopharmaceutical innovation provides reason for long-term optimism.

Conferences like JPMorgan offer a window into the relentless progress companies of all sizes are making against the world’s most pressing health needs. For investors, finding the next breakthrough drug before it makes headlines could lead to substantial upside. That’s why analysts like LeBoyer eagerly make the trek each year.

The scope of the JPMorgan Healthcare Conference mirrors the diverse breadth of the wider industry. Oncology, rare diseases, neurology, infectious diseases – no area with unmet needs goes overlooked.

Both science and business play equal roles at a conference ultimately aimed at facilitating capital flows into the most promising research. The progress showcased reflects the entwinement of noble medical advancement and shrewd financial investment.

In that sense, JPMorgan offers the ideal backdrop for launching promising biotech companies into the public markets. The conference’s elevated stage has introduced scores of now-large firms over the years, and 2024 will undoubtedly add to that list.

For a list of emerging growth biotech companies, take a look at Noble Capital Markets’ Senior Research Analyst Robert LeBoyer’s coverage universe.

Oil Major APA Corporation to Acquire Callon Petroleum in $4.5 Billion All-Stock Deal

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Independent oil and gas producer APA Corporation has agreed to purchase rival Callon Petroleum Company in an all-stock transaction valued at approximately $4.5 billion including debt. The deal expands APA’s operations in Texas’ prolific Permian Basin as the company continues building out a diversified oil and gas portfolio.

Under the definitive agreement announced Thursday, each Callon share will be exchanged for 1.0425 shares of APA common stock. This represents a purchase price of $38.31 per Callon share based on APA’s closing stock price on January 3rd.

APA expects to issue around 70 million new shares to fund the acquisition, leaving existing APA shareholders with 81% of the combined company. Callon shareholders will own the remaining 19% once the deal closes.

Strategic Fit

According to APA CEO and President John J. Christmann IV, Callon’s Delaware Basin assets perfectly complement APA’s existing Permian footprint.

He stated the deal “fits all the criteria of our disciplined approach to evaluating external growth opportunities.” It provides additional scale across the Permian while increasing APA’s oil mix.

Notably, Callon holds nearly 120,000 net acres in the Delaware Basin, an oil-rich subsection of the larger Permian. APA’s Delaware acreage will expand by over 50% after absorbing Callon’s properties.

Meanwhile, APA’s Midland Basin presence will continue driving natural gas volumes. The combined Permian portfolio increases APA’s total company oil production mix from 37% to 43%.

Accretive Metrics

APA expects the deal will prove accretive to key financial and value metrics. Management sees over $150 million in annual overhead, operational, and cost of capital synergies resulting from the increased scale.

The company will also benefit from Callon’s inventory of short-cycle drilling opportunities in the Permian. APA believes the deal enhances its portfolio of low-risk, high-return investments.

What’s more, the transaction stands to improve APA’s credit profile. The company will retire all of Callon’s existing debt after closing, replacing it with $2 billion in APA term loan facilities. This is expected to provide flexibility for near-term debt pay-down.

Conditions and Close

The definitive agreement has received unanimous approval from the boards of directors at both companies. The deal now requires customary regulatory clearances along with a thumbs up from Callon shareholders.

APA anticipates the acquisition will close during the second quarter of 2024. Upon closing, a representative from Callon will join APA’s board of directors.

APA’s current executive team led by Christmann will continue managing the expanded company. Headquarters will remain in Houston, Texas.

Diversified Portfolio

According to Christmann, the deal aligns with APA’s strategy of maintaining a globally diversified oil and gas portfolio. The company runs both legacy and exploration assets across the United States, Egypt, the UK, and offshore Suriname.

Post-acquisition, 36% of APA’s total production will come from international plays. The remaining 64% stems from U.S. assets, with the bulk supplied by the newly expanded Permian footprint.

Callon Brings Strong Permian Position

Founded in 1950, Callon Petroleum has grown into a leading independent Permian producer. The Houston-based company focuses on acquiring, exploring, and developing high-quality assets across the prolific West Texas basin.

As of September 2022, Callon reported net production of over 106,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day. Its portfolio includes a mix of productive acreage, infrastructure, and upside opportunities in both the Midland and Delaware Basins.

According to Callon President and CEO Joe Gatto, the combination with APA will enhance value for Callon shareholders. It also provides increased capital flexibility and potential from APA’s robust Permian operations.

The proposed acquisition marks the latest move in APA’s ongoing growth strategy. The company continues positioning itself as a diversified, large-scale independent oil and gas producer able to drive value across business cycles.

Take a moment to take a look at Noble Capital Markets’ Senior Research Analyst Michael Heim’s coverage list.

Release – Eledon Pharmaceuticals Highlights Recent Business Milestones and Provides 2024 Outlook

Posted on by aweinsoff@channelchek.com

Research News and Market Data on ELDN

January 4, 2024

PDF Version

Reported updated data from ongoing Phase 1b trial in kidney transplantation demonstrating tegoprubart treatment successfully prevented kidney transplant rejection and was generally safe and well-tolerated 

Dosed first participants in Phase 2 BESTOW trial in kidney transplantation 

Tegoprubart dosed in second-ever pig to human xenotransplant procedure

IRVINE, Calif., Jan. 04, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Eledon Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (“Eledon”) (NASDAQ: ELDN) today announced a summary of 2023 accomplishments and provided guidance for anticipated upcoming 2024 milestones.

2023 Key Highlights

  • Reported updated data from ongoing Phase 1b trial evaluating tegoprubart for prevention of rejection in kidney transplantation. Data from 11 trial participants demonstrated that tegoprubart was generally safe and well-tolerated in patients undergoing kidney transplantation, with aggregate mean estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) above 70 mL/min/1.73m2 at all reported time points after 90 days post-transplant. Amended the Phase 1b trial protocol to add a second cohort, now allowing enrollment of up to 24 trial participants who are undergoing kidney transplantation.
  • Dosed first participants in Phase 2 BESTOW trial assessing tegoprubart head-to-head with tacrolimus for the prevention of rejection in kidney transplantation.
  • Dosed tegoprubart in second-ever transplant of genetically modified heart from a pig to a human.
  • Completed financing of up to $185 million, with $35 million in upfront funding and additional aggregate financing of up to $105 million, subject to achieving clinical development milestones, volume weighted share price levels, and trading volume conditions, as well as up to an additional $45 million upon exercise of warrants. If all commitments are met, the financing is expected to be sufficient to fund the Company through the completion of the Phase 2 BESTOW trial, subject to the achievement of specified milestones, including clinical development enrollment targets.
  • Partnered with the University of Chicago Transplantation Institute to secure financing from the Juvenile Diabetes Research Foundation (JDRF) and The Cure Alliance to fund an investigator sponsored study in pancreatic islet cell transplantation in participants with type 1 diabetes. Tegoprubart treatment will be evaluated for the prevention of transplant rejection.
  • Strengthened leadership team with appointment of Eliezer Katz, M.D., FACS as Chief Medical Officer and strengthened board of directors with appointment of Allan Kirk, M.D., Ph.D. and James Robinson.

“Eledon made significant progress in 2023 on multiple fronts, highlighted by the presentation of the first clinical evidence of tegoprubart’s potential to prevent organ rejection while producing robust improvements in eGFR and maintaining a favorable safety profile. We were also honored to play an important role in the second-ever transplant of a genetically modified heart from a pig to a human with the use of tegoprubart as part of the patient’s cornerstone immunosuppressive regimen,” said David-Alexandre C. Gros, M.D., Chief Executive Officer of Eledon. “In the coming year, we look forward to building upon the promising results from our tegoprubart kidney transplant Phase 1b trial, generating additional long-term data from the Phase 1b extension study, and completing enrollment in our Phase 2 BESTOW trial.”

Anticipated 2024 Milestones

  • First half of 2024: Report updated interim clinical data from the ongoing Phase 1b trial of tegoprubart in kidney transplantation.
  • First half of 2024: Dose the 12th participant in the Phase 2 BESTOW trial. Upon the dosing of the 12th participant, the Company will have completed both clinical development milestones related to the second financing tranche from the private placement announced on May 1, 2023.
  • End of 2024: Complete enrollment in the Phase 2 BESTOW trial of tegoprubart in kidney transplantation.
  • 2024: Dose the first islet cell transplant participant for the treatment of type 1 diabetes at the University of Chicago Transplantation Institute.

About Eledon Pharmaceuticals and tegoprubart

Eledon Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is a clinical stage biotechnology company that is developing immune-modulating therapies for the management and treatment of life-threatening conditions. The Company’s lead investigational product is tegoprubart, an anti-CD40L antibody with high affinity for CD40 Ligand, a well-validated biological target within the costimulatory CD40/CD40L cellular pathway. The central role of CD40L signaling in both adaptive and innate immune cell activation and function positions it as an attractive target for non-lymphocyte depleting, immunomodulatory therapeutic intervention. The Company is building upon a deep historical knowledge of anti-CD40 Ligand biology to conduct preclinical and clinical studies in kidney allograft transplantation, xenotransplantation, and amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS). Eledon is headquartered in Irvine, California. For more information, please visit the Company’s website at www.eledon.com.

Follow Eledon Pharmaceuticals on social media: LinkedIn; Twitter

Forward-Looking Statements

This press release contains forward-looking statements that involve substantial risks and uncertainties. Any statements about the company’s future expectations, plans and prospects, including statements about planned clinical trials, the development of product candidates, expected timing for initiation of future clinical trials, expected timing for receipt of data from clinical trials, the company’s capital resources and ability to finance planned clinical trials, as well as other statements containing the words “believes,” “anticipates,” “plans,” “expects,” “estimates,” “intends,” “predicts,” “projects,” “targets,” “looks forward,” “could,” “may,” and similar expressions, constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements are inherently uncertain and are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties, including: risks relating to the safety and efficacy of our drug candidates; risks relating to clinical development timelines, including interactions with regulators and clinical sides, as well as patient enrollment; risks relating to costs of clinical trials and the sufficiency of the company’s capital resources to fund planned clinical trials; and risks associated with the impact of the ongoing coronavirus pandemic. Actual results may differ materially from those indicated by such forward-looking statements as a result of various factors. These risks and uncertainties, as well as other risks and uncertainties that could cause the company’s actual results to differ significantly from the forward-looking statements contained herein, are discussed in our quarterly 10-Q, annual 10-K, and other filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, which can be found at www.sec.gov. Any forward-looking statements contained in this press release speak only as of the date hereof and not of any future date, and the company expressly disclaims any intent to update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

Investor Contact:

Stephen Jasper
Gilmartin Group
(858) 525 2047
stephen@gilmartinir.com

Media Contact:

Jenna Urban
Berry & Company Public Relations
(212) 253 8881
jurban@berrypr.com

Source: Eledon Pharmaceuticals

Energy Industry Report – Energy Stocks Fell Alongside Energy Prices But Remain Attractive Investments

Posted on by cpatches

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Friday, January 5, 2024

Michael Heim, CFA, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the bottom of the report for important disclosures

Energy stocks declined in the fourth quarter in response to falling energy prices. Energy stocks declined 7.2% during the 2023 fourth quarter. The movement of the XLE is similar to that of near-month oil future prices.

Oil prices declined sharply in the fourth quarter after a runup in the third quarter. West Texas Intermediate oil prices declined 21.1% in the fourth quarter to $71.65 per barrel. Domestic oil production continues to grow (up 7% year over year through October) even as the number of domestic oil rigs has decreased 20% since this time last year. Natural gas prices declined 14.2% during the quarter to $2.51 per thousand cubic feet (mcf) of gas. Weather was 13% warmer than normal in the December quarter. As a result, natural gas storage levels are at five-year seasonally high levels as they have been for the last twelve months. 

Merger Activity is heating up. More than $100 billion in acquisitions were announced in the last three months as APA, Exxon Mobil and Chevron all announced transactions. The acquisitions come as major energy companies seek to expand production during a period when production growth from technological improvements seems to be slowing. 

Energy Companies continue to generate high cash levels at current energy prices. Despite the drop in energy prices, operating netbacks (revenues less royalties and operating costs) remain high. With debt levels low, energy managements have raised capital budgets, increased dividends, and repurchased shares. 

Valuations remain attractive. With the decline in energy company stock values, many companies are trading at enterprise values that are less than five times free cash flow. Given our belief that energy prices are entering a period of relative stability (oil prices trade in a range of $60-$10/bbl) and that stock prices have already reacted to energy price declines to the lower end of this range, we see limited downside to investing in energy stocks and large upside should energy prices rise.

Energy stocks declined in the fourth quarter in response to falling energy prices.

Energy stocks, as measured by the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE) declined 7.2% during the 2023 fourth quarter. The decline stands in sharp contrast to an 11.2% increase in the S&P Composite index. The decline in the XLE began early with the index dropping almost 10% in the first week of the quarter before regaining its losses in the next two weeks. After peaking on October 18th, the index fell sharply over the next two months and never recovered from its losses. The movement of the XLE is similar to that of near-month oil future prices.

Oil prices declined sharply in the fourth quarter after a runup in the third quarter.

West Texas Intermediate oil prices declined 21.1% in the fourth quarter to $71.65 per barrel, offsetting a 30.0% increase in the third quarter. For the year, WTI declined 10%. The oil price spikes of 2022 that sent prices above $120 per barrel shortly after Russia invaded Ukraine seem a distant memory. Energy production disruptions and political sanctions have changed the direction of the flow of energy but not the overall global demand and supply of energy. We are keeping an eye on political developments in the Red Sea, but to date there has been little impact on oil prices. Domestic oil production continues to grow (up 7% year over year through October) even as the number of domestic oil rigs has decreased 20% since this time last year. The biggest decline has been in the Permian Basin. Almost all wells being drilled are now horizontal wells.

The decline in natural gas prices was not as sharp and was largely explained by warm weather.

Natural gas prices declined 14.2% during the quarter to $2.51 per thousand cubic feet (mcf) of gas. After sharp spikes in 2022, natural gas prices have settled into a narrow range between $2.00/mcf and $3.00/mcf. Weather was 13% warmer than normal on a population-weighted basis in the December quarter. As a result, natural gas storage levels are at five-year seasonally high levels as they have been for the last twelve months. Gas production continues to increase steadily, mainly to feed an increased demand for natural gas for power generation.

Merger Activity is heating up.

On January 4, 2024, APA Corporation, parent of Apache Corporation, agreed to acquire Callon Petroleum for approximately $4.5 billion in a stock-swap deal. The acquisition follows Exxon Mobil’s $59.5 billion agreement to buy Pioneer Natural Resources and Chevron’s $53 billion deal to buy Hess Corporation in October 2023. The acquisitions come as major energy companies seek to expand production during a period when production growth from technological improvements seems to be slowing. The acquisitions, while all three stock transactions, may also represent improved balance sheets and cash flow. As we have discussed in the past, energy companies have used recent energy price upcycles to pay down debt and repurchase shares as opposed to previous cycles when management expanded drilling efforts that eventually drove down energy prices. The result has been more muted energy price cycles that extend for longer periods of time.

Energy Companies continue to generate high cash levels at current energy prices.

Despite the drop in energy prices, operating netbacks (revenues less royalties and operating costs) remain high. With debt levels low, energy management have raised capital budgets, increased dividends, and repurchased shares. Management is always reluctant to raise dividends to levels that are unsustainable in a down cycle. As a result several energy companies have begun to institute special dividends. We expect manage to continue to invest in growth and reward shareholders even at current energy levels. Should energy prices rise, these activities should accelerate.

Valuations remain attractive.

With the decline in energy company stock values, many companies are trading at enterprise values that are less than five times free cash flow. We view this multiple as unsustainable given an increased use of cash flow to repurchase shares. This is especially true of companies with slow production decline curves such as the companies we follow in western Canada. Given our belief that energy prices are entering a period of relative stability (oil prices trade in a range of $60-$10/bbl) and that stock prices have already reacted to energy price declines to the lower end of this range, we see limited downside to investing in energy stocks and large upside should energy prices rise. We believe this is especially true for smaller cap energy stocks that have ample drilling opportunities and that could be takeover targets for larger energy companies that do not.

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All statements or opinions contained herein that include the words “we”, “us”, or “our” are solely the responsibility of Noble Capital Markets, Inc.(“Noble”) and do not necessarily reflect statements or opinions expressed by any person or party affiliated with the company mentioned in this report. Any opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice. All information provided herein is based on public and non-public information believed to be accurate and reliable, but is not necessarily complete and cannot be guaranteed. No judgment is hereby expressed or should be implied as to the suitability of any security described herein for any specific investor or any specific investment portfolio. The decision to undertake any investment regarding the security mentioned herein should be made by each reader of this publication based on its own appraisal of the implications and risks of such decision.

This publication is intended for information purposes only and shall not constitute an offer to buy/sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy/sell any security mentioned in this report, nor shall there be any sale of the security herein in any state or domicile in which said offer, solicitation or sale would be unlawful prior to registration or qualification under the securities laws of any such state or domicile. This publication and all information, comments, statements or opinions contained or expressed herein are applicable only as of the date of this publication and subject to change without prior notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Noble accepts no liability for loss arising from the use of the material in this report, except that this exclusion of liability does not apply to the extent that such liability arises under specific statutes or regulations applicable to Noble. This report is not to be relied upon as a substitute for the exercising of independent judgement. Noble may have published, and may in the future publish, other research reports that are inconsistent with, and reach different conclusions from, the information provided in this report. Noble is under no obligation to bring to the attention of any recipient of this report, any past or future reports. Investors should only consider this report as single factor in making an investment decision.

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Noble is not a market maker in any of the companies mentioned in this report. Noble intends to seek compensation for investment banking services and non-investment banking services (securities and non-securities related) with any or all of the companies mentioned in this report within the next 3 months

ANALYST CREDENTIALS, PROFESSIONAL DESIGNATIONS, AND EXPERIENCE

Senior Equity Analyst focusing on Basic Materials & Mining. 20 years of experience in equity research. BA in Business Administration from Westminster College. MBA with a Finance concentration from the University of Missouri. MA in International Affairs from Washington University in St. Louis.
Named WSJ ‘Best on the Street’ Analyst and Forbes/StarMine’s “Best Brokerage Analyst.”
FINRA licenses 7, 24, 63, 87

WARNING

This report is intended to provide general securities advice, and does not purport to make any recommendation that any securities transaction is appropriate for any recipient particular investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs. Prior to making any investment decision, recipients should assess, or seek advice from their advisors, on whether any relevant part of this report is appropriate to their individual circumstances. If a recipient was referred to Noble Capital Markets, Inc. by an investment advisor, that advisor may receive a benefit in respect of
transactions effected on the recipients behalf, details of which will be available on request in regard to a transaction that involves a personalized securities recommendation. Additional risks associated with the security mentioned in this report that might impede achievement of the target can be found in its initial report issued by Noble Capital Markets, Inc.. This report may not be reproduced, distributed or published for any purpose unless authorized by Noble Capital Markets, Inc..

RESEARCH ANALYST CERTIFICATION

Independence Of View
All views expressed in this report accurately reflect my personal views about the subject securities or issuers.

Receipt of Compensation
No part of my compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to any specific recommendations or views expressed in the public
appearance and/or research report.

Ownership and Material Conflicts of Interest
Neither I nor anybody in my household has a financial interest in the securities of the subject company or any other company mentioned in this report.

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock (GLDD) – A “Reset” on Empire II

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, January 05, 2024

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation is the largest provider of dredging services in the United States. In addition, Great Lakes is fully engaged in expanding its core business into the rapidly developing offshore wind energy industry. The Company has a long history of performing significant international projects. The Company employs experienced civil, ocean and mechanical engineering staff in its estimating, production and project management functions. In its over 131-year history, the Company has never failed to complete a marine project. Great Lakes owns and operates the largest and most diverse fleet in the U.S. dredging industry, comprised of approximately 200 specialized vessels. Great Lakes has a disciplined training program for engineers that ensures experienced-based performance as they advance through Company operations. The Company’s Incident-and Injury-Free® (IIF®) safety management program is integrated into all aspects of the Company’s culture. The Company’s commitment to the IIF® culture promotes a work environment where employee safety is paramount.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

A Termination. Coming as no surprise, European energy firms Equinor and BP announced an agreement with the New York State Energy Research and Development Authority to terminate the Offshore Wind Renewable Energy Certificate Agreement for the Empire Wind II project. As we previously noted, rising inflation, higher borrowing costs, and supply chain issues combined to negatively impact potential returns from the project. Termination of the Empire Wind II project initiates a contractually obligated termination fee payable to Great Lakes and Van Oord that is intended to cover lost earnings potential related to Empire Wind II.

But A Reset. But all is not lost, as Equinor and BP can re-submit the project on more acceptable terms. With the state supporting offshore wind projects, we believe there remains a strong chance the project is revived in some form. Winners of an expedited solicitation for offshore wind will be announced in February.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Bit Digital (BTBT) – December BTC Production Increases 19%

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, January 05, 2024

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Production. During the month of December, Bit Digital produced 169.5 BTC, a 19% increase compared to the prior month. Active hash rate as of December 31st was approximately 2.52 EH/s, up from 2.25 EH/s as of November 30, 2023, and well on the way to the new goal of  doubling the operating fleet in the Bitcoin mining operations, to approximately 6.0 EH/s, during 2024.

Staking. Bit Digital had approximately 12,752 ETH actively staked in native and liquid staking protocols as of December 31, 2023, down slightly from 12,784 at the end of November. Approximately 12,352 ETH were natively staked and 400 ETH were deployed in liquid staking protocols as of that date. The Company earned a blended APY of approximately 3.67% on its staked ETH position for the month, down from 4.35% in November, and earned aggregate staking rewards of approximately 38.5 ETH.


Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Strong December Jobs Report Challenges Expectations of Imminent Fed Rate Cuts

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

The Labor Department’s December jobs report reveals continued strength in the U.S. economy that defies expectations of an imminent slowdown. Employers added 216,000 jobs last month, handily beating estimates of 170,000. The unemployment rate remained low at 3.7%, contrary to projections of a slight uptick.

This hiring surge indicates the labor market remains remarkably resilient, even as the Federal Reserve wages an aggressive battle against inflation through substantial interest rate hikes. While many anticipated slowing job growth at this stage of the economic cycle, employers continue adding workers at a solid clip.

Several sectors powered December’s payroll gains. Government employment rose by 52,000, likely reflecting hiring for the 2024 Census. Healthcare added 38,000 jobs across ambulatory care services and hospitals, showing ongoing demand for medical services. Leisure and hospitality contributed 40,000 roles, buoyed by Americans’ continued willingness to dine out and travel.

Notable gains also emerged in social assistance (+21,000), construction (+17,000), and retail (+17,000), demonstrating broad-based labor market vitality. Transportation and warehousing shed 23,000 jobs, a rare weak spot amid widespread hiring.

Just as importantly, wage growth remains elevated, with average hourly earnings rising 0.4% over November and 4.1% year-over-year. This exceeds projections, signaling ongoing inflationary pressures in the job market as employers compete for talent. It also challenges hopes that wage growth would start moderating.

Financial markets reacted negatively to the jobs data, with stock index futures declining sharply and Treasury yields spiking. The strong hiring and wage numbers dampen expectations for the Fed to begin cutting interest rates in the first half of 2023. Traders now see reduced odds of a rate cut at the March policy meeting.

This report paints a picture of an economy that is far from running out of steam. Despite the steepest interest rate hikes since the early 1980s, businesses continue adding jobs at a healthy pace. Consumers keep spending as well, with holiday retail sales estimated to have hit record highs.

Meanwhile, GDP growth looks solid, inflation has clearly peaked, and the long-feared recession has yet to materialize. Yet the Fed’s priority is returning inflation to its 2% target. With the job market still hot, the path to lower rates now appears more arduous than markets anticipated.

The data supports the notion that additional rate hikes may be necessary to cool economic activity and tame inflation. However, the Fed also wants to avoid triggering a recession through overtightening, making its policy stance a delicate balancing act.

For most of 2023, the central bank enacted a series of unusually large 0.75 percentage point rate increases. But it downshifted to a 0.5 point hike in December, and markets once priced in rate cuts starting as early as March 2024. This jobs report challenges that relatively dovish stance.

While inflation is clearly off its summertime highs, it remains well above the Fed’s comfort zone. Particularly concerning is the continued strong wage growth, which could fuel further inflation. Businesses will likely need to pull back on hiring before the wage picture shifts significantly.

Despite market hopes for imminent rate cuts, the Fed has consistently stressed the need to keep rates elevated for some time to ensure inflation is well and truly tamed. This data backs up the central bank’s more hawkish messaging in recent weeks.

The strong December jobs numbers reinforce the idea that the economy enters 2024 on solid ground, though facing uncertainties and challenges on the path ahead. With inflation still lingering and the full impacts of rising interest rates yet to be felt, the road back to normalcy remains long.

For policymakers, the report highlights the delicate balancing act between containing prices and maintaining growth. Cooling the still-hot labor market without triggering a downturn will require skillful and strategic policy adjustments informed by data like this jobs report.

While markets may hope for a swift policy pivot, the Fed is likely to stay the course until inflation undeniably approaches its 2% goal on a sustained basis. That day appears further off after this robust jobs data, meaning businesses and consumers should prepare for more rate hikes ahead.