Release – Kratos Reports Third Quarter 2024 Financial Results

Research News and Market Data on KTOS

Third Quarter 2024 Revenues of $275.9 Million Compared with Third Quarter 2023 Revenues of $274.6 Million

Third Quarter 2024 Unmanned Systems Revenues of $64.2 Million Compared with Third Quarter 2023 Revenues of $56.7 Million

Third Quarter 2024 Consolidated Book to Bill Ratio of 1.0 to 1 and Last Twelve Months Ended September 29, 2024 
Consolidated Book to Bill Ratio of 1.1 to 1

Third Quarter 2024 Consolidated Bookings of $267.2 Million and Last Twelve Months Ended September 29, 2024 Consolidated Bookings of $1.240 Billion

Affirms Full Year 2024 Financial Forecast

SAN DIEGO, Nov. 07, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (Nasdaq:KTOS), a Technology Company in the Defense, National Security and Global Markets, today reported its third quarter 2024 financial results, including Revenues of $275.9 million, Operating Income of $6.5 million, Net Income of $3.2 million, Adjusted EBITDA of $24.6 million and a consolidated book to bill ratio of 1.0 to 1.0.

Included in third quarter 2024 Net Income and Operating Income is non-cash stock compensation expense of $7.2 million and Company-funded Research and Development (R&D) expense of $9.9 million.

Kratos reported third quarter 2024 GAAP Net Income attributable to Kratos of $3.2 million and Earnings Per Share of $0.02 compared to a GAAP Net Loss attributable to Kratos of $1.6 million and a GAAP Net Loss per share of $0.01 for the third quarter of 2023. Adjusted EPS was $0.11 for the third quarter of 2024 compared to $0.12 for the third quarter of 2023.

Third quarter 2024 Revenues of $275.9 million increased $1.3 million, or 0.5 percent, from third quarter 2023 Revenues of $274.6 million. Including the impact of the Sierra Technical Services, Inc. (STS) acquisition on a pro forma basis as if acquired at the beginning of 2023, Unmanned Systems reported 8.7 percent organic revenue growth. Kratos Turbine Technologies, Microwave Products, C5ISR, Defense Rocket Support and Training Solutions businesses in KGS also all reported organic revenue growth, offset by the previously reported and expected decline of approximately $24.2 million in the Space and Satellite business, primarily resulting from the industry related impact from OEM delays in the manufacture and delivery of software defined satellites.

Third quarter 2024 Cash Flow Generated from Operations was $6.1 million, which includes working capital requirements for increases in prepaid assets, inventory balances, vendor required deposits and reduction in deferred revenue or customer prepayment balances. Free Cash Flow Used in Operations was $9.2 million after funding of $15.3 million of capital expenditures, including the continued manufacture of two production lots of Kratos Valkyrie unmanned tactical jet drone aircraft prior to contract award.

For the third quarter of 2024, Kratos’ Unmanned Systems Segment (KUS) generated Revenues of $64.2 million, compared to $56.7 million in the third quarter of 2023, with organic revenue growth of 8.7 percent, driven primarily by increased target drone production, and reflects the pro forma impact of the STS acquisition as if acquired at the beginning of 2023. KUS’s Operating Income was $0.4 million in the third quarter of 2024 compared to Operating Income of $2.6 million in the third quarter of 2023, primarily reflecting the mix of revenues and resources.

KUS’s Adjusted EBITDA for the third quarter of 2024 was $3.6 million, compared to third quarter 2023 KUS Adjusted EBITDA of $5.4 million, reflecting the mix of revenues and resources.
        
KUS’s book-to-bill ratio for the third quarter of 2024 was 0.5 to 1.0 and 1.1 to 1.0 for the last twelve months ended September 29, 2024, with bookings of $32.6 million for the three months ended September 29, 2024, and bookings of $295.1 million for the last twelve months ended September 29, 2024. Total backlog for KUS at the end of the third quarter of 2024 was $273.9 million compared to $305.5 million at the end of the second quarter of 2024.

For the third quarter of 2024, Kratos’ Government Solutions Segment (KGS) generated Revenues of $211.7 million compared to $217.9 million in the third quarter of 2023, reflecting aggregate organic revenue increases of $18.0 million generated by the Kratos’ Turbine Technologies, Microwave Products, C5ISR, Defense Rocket Support and Training Solutions businesses in KGS, offset by the previously reported and expected decline of $24.2 million in the Space and Satellite business, as noted above.

KGS reported operating income of $13.5 million in the third quarter of 2024 compared to $15.9 million in the third quarter of 2023, primarily reflecting the revenue volume and mix of revenues and resources. Third quarter 2024 KGS Adjusted EBITDA was $21.0 million, compared to third quarter 2023 KGS Adjusted EBITDA of $22.3 million, reflecting the mix in revenues, revenue volume and resources.

For the third quarter of 2024 and the last twelve months ended September 29, 2024, KGS reported a book-to-bill ratio of 1.1 to 1.0, and bookings of $234.6 million and $945.0 million for the three and last twelve months ended September 29, 2024, respectively. KGS’s total backlog at the end of the third quarter of 2024 was $1.02 billion, as compared to $997.2 million at the end of the second quarter of 2024.

For the third quarter of 2024, Kratos reported consolidated bookings of $267.2 million and a book-to-bill ratio of 1.0 to 1.0, with consolidated bookings of $1.24 billion and a book-to-bill ratio of 1.1 to 1.0 for the last twelve months ended September 29, 2024. Consolidated backlog was $1.294 billion on September 29, 2024 and $1.303 billion on June 30, 2024. Kratos’ bid and proposal pipeline was $12.0 billion at September 29 and June 30, 2024. Backlog at September 29, 2024 was comprised of funded backlog of $1.098 billion and unfunded backlog of $195.4 million.

Eric DeMarco, Kratos’ President and CEO, said, “Kratos’ strategy of making internally funded investments, to be first to market with relevant hardware, software and systems, in coordination with our partners and customers is working, as reflected in our financial results and our $12 billion opportunity pipeline. A recent representative example of this success is the successful flight of Kratos’ Zeus 1 and Zeus 2 system solid rocket motor stack with our customer’s payload, positioning Kratos for potential growth above our current future revenue year over year 10% target beginning in 2026.”

Mr. DeMarco went on, “Consistent with the success of and opportunities from Kratos’ strategy, earlier this year we completed an equity raise to position the Company to ensure successful execution on programs we have received and expect to receive. As an update to the related investments we are making: Kratos is currently manufacturing ~ 165 jet drones a year and we are now positioned to increase to ~400 a year including Valkyrie. Kratos can now produce ~10,000 small jet engines annually for drones and missiles, Kratos Microwave Electronics’ expansion in Israel is on track for a Q2 2025 completion, including an additional new manufacturing facility, an expanded existing manufacturing facility and a space & satellite qualified capability; we have identified the site for our new rocket system production and integration facility including for Zeus, Oriole and Erinyes and plan to break ground by the end of this year; and we have now identified the site for our new turbofan engine facility. Importantly, each of these expansion initiatives have existing programs, customer funded backlog or opportunities, or are in conjunction with a partner.”

Mr. DeMarco continued, “We continue to make progress in Kratos’ tactical drone business, with Kratos’ Apollo drone program now in contract documentation and Kratos’ Athena drone program under contract. Additionally, we have had recent successful Valkyrie flights with the U.S. Marines, Navy and Office of the Secretary of Defense, and Kratos recently has been selected on a new tactical drone opportunity. Importantly, our Ghost Works is on track to fly both a Kratos tactical drone and Kratos target drone in 2025 with Kratos internally funded, developed and manufactured jet engines, which will provide increased performance and electrical power, at reduced cost. Kratos Ghost Works is also expecting to fly the newest version of Kratos Valkyrie in 2025, as we make internally funded investments and continue to expand the Valkyrie families’ capability set and further drive down its operating and overall cost, and our newest 5th Generation drone is also scheduled for first flight in 2025 in conjunction with our customer.”

Mr. DeMarco concluded, “We are in a generational recapitalization of strategic weapon systems, with Kratos being an industry leader in hardware, software and systems for mission critical National Security and Defense applications. Expected growth drivers for Kratos in 2025 include; Kratos Erinyes, Zeus, Dark Fury, Oriole and other relevant rocket systems; Kratos jet engine and propulsion systems for missiles, drones, supersonic and space systems; microwave electronics and C5ISR products for air defense, CUAS, missile and radar systems and jet target drone systems.”

Financial Guidance

We are providing our initial 2024 fourth quarter financial guidance and affirming our full year 2024 guidance today, which ranges include our current forecasted business mix assumptions and expected contract execution and delivery schedules. Our financial guidance also includes our expectations and assumptions for our supply chain’s execution, and for employee sourcing, hiring, retention and related costs. We have also taken into consideration in our affirmed fiscal 2024 guidance the Federal Fiscal Year 2025 Continuing Resolution Authorization (CRA) which began on October 1, 2024, and under such expected CRA, no new program or contract awards, no increases in existing production contract funding, and no transition from program development to production are expected.

Our fourth quarter and full year 2024 guidance ranges are as follows:

For Kratos’ Fiscal year 2025, we are currently forecasting base case Revenue growth of approximately 10%, and Adjusted EBITDA growth. Our industry is currently operating under a Federal Fiscal Year 2025 CRA, which began October 1, 2024 and which is currently expected to continue into Kratos’ Fiscal 2025. There was also an approximate 6-month Federal Fiscal 2024 CRA, which was previously resolved in March 2024, Kratos’ current 2024 fiscal year. Additionally, the recent election will impact the Administration, House and Senate. Accordingly, we will be providing our detailed 2025 Revenue, Adjusted EBITDA, Cash Flow and other financial forecast information and guidance when we report our Fiscal 2024 results, currently expected to be in late February 2025. This will provide Kratos additional time to assess the impacts of these ongoing and recent events, if any, on National Security priorities, our 2025 business mix, contractual and program funding and timing assumptions and potential fiscal year 2025 fiscal quarter to quarter impacts. Kratos’ base case financial forecast does not assume or include any potential tactical drone program production.

Management will discuss the Company’s financial results, on a conference call beginning at 2:00 p.m. Pacific (5:00 p.m. Eastern) today. The call will be available at www.kratosdefense.com. Participants may register for the call using this Online Form. Upon registration, all telephone participants will receive the dial-in number along with a unique PIN that can be used to access the call. For those who cannot access the live broadcast, a replay will be available on Kratos’ website.

About Kratos Defense & Security Solutions

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (NASDAQ: KTOS) is a technology, products, system and software company addressing the defense, national security, and commercial markets.  Kratos makes true internally funded research, development, capital and other investments, to rapidly develop, produce and field solutions that address our customers’ mission critical needs and requirements.  At Kratos, affordability is a technology, and we seek to utilize proven, leading edge approaches and technology, not unproven bleeding edge approaches or technology, with Kratos’ approach designed to reduce cost, schedule and risk, enabling us to be first to market with cost effective solutions.  We believe that Kratos is known as an innovative disruptive change agent in the industry, a company that is an expert in designing products and systems up front for successful rapid, large quantity, low cost future manufacturing which is a value add competitive differentiator for our large traditional prime system integrator partners and also to our government and commercial customers.  Kratos intends to pursue program and contract opportunities as the prime or lead contractor when we believe that our probability of win (PWin) is high and any investment required by Kratos is within our capital resource comfort level. We intend to partner and team with a large, traditional system integrator when our assessment of PWin is greater or required investment is beyond Kratos’ comfort level. Kratos’ primary business areas include virtualized ground systems for satellites and space vehicles including software for command & control (C2) and telemetry, tracking and control (TT&C), jet powered unmanned aerial drone systems, hypersonic vehicles and rocket systems, propulsion systems for drones, missiles, loitering munitions, supersonic systems, space craft and launch systems, C5ISR and microwave electronic products for missile, radar, missile defense, space, satellite, counter UAS, directed energy, communication and other systems, and virtual & augmented reality training systems for the warfighter.  For more information, visit www.KratosDefense.com

Notice Regarding ForwardLooking Statements
This news release contains certain forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties, including, without limitation, express or implied statements concerning the Company’s expectations regarding its future financial performance, including the Company’s expectations for its fourth quarter and full year 2024 and fiscal year 2025 revenues, revenue growth, Adjusted EBITDA growth, organic revenue growth rates, R&D, operating income (loss), depreciation, amortization, stock based compensation expense, and Adjusted EBITDA, and full year 2024 operating cash flow, capital expenditures and other investments, and free cash flow, the Company’s future growth trajectory and ability to achieve improved revenue mix and profit in certain of its business segments and the expected timing of such improved revenue mix and profit, including the Company’s ability to achieve sustained year over year increasing revenues, profitability and cash flow, the Company’s expectation of ramp on projects and that investments in its business, including Company funded R&D expenses and ongoing development efforts, will result in an increase in the Company’s market share and total addressable market and position the Company for significant future organic growth, profitability, cash flow and an increase in shareholder value, the Company’s bid and proposal pipeline and backlog, including the Company’s ability to timely execute on its backlog, demand for its products and services, including the Company’s alignment with today’s National Security requirements and the positioning of its C5ISR and other businesses, planned 2024 investments, including in the tactical drone and satellite areas, and the related potential for additional growth in 2025 and beyond, ability to successfully compete and expected new customer awards, including the magnitude and timing of funding and the future opportunity associated with such awards, including in the target and tactical drone and satellite communication areas, performance of key contracts and programs, including the timing of production and demonstration related to certain of the Company’s contracts and control (TT&C) product offerings, the impact of the Company’s restructuring efforts and cost reduction measures, including its ability to improve profitability and cash flow in certain business units as a result of these actions and to achieve financial leverage on fixed administrative costs, the ability of the Company’s advanced purchases of inventory to mitigate supply chain disruptions and the timing of converting these investments to cash through the sales process, benefits to be realized from the Company’s net operating loss carry forwards, the availability and timing of government funding for the Company’s offerings, including the strength of the future funding environment, the short-term delays that may occur as a result of Continuing Resolutions or delays in U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) budget approvals, timing of LRIP and full rate production related to the Company’s unmanned aerial target system offerings, as well as the level of recurring revenues expected to be generated by these programs once they achieve full rate production, market and industry developments, and the current estimated impact of the national election, supply chain disruptions, availability of an experienced skilled workforce, inflation and increased costs, risks related to potential cybersecurity events or disruptions of our information technology systems, and delays in our financial projections, industry, business and operations, including projected growth. Such statements are only predictions, and the Company’s actual results may differ materially from the results expressed or implied by these statements. Investors are cautioned not to place undue reliance on any such forward-looking statements. All such forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are made, and the Company undertakes no obligation to update or revise these statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Factors that may cause the Company’s results to differ include, but are not limited to: risks to our business and financial results related to the reductions and other spending constraints imposed on the U.S. Government and our other customers, including as a result of sequestration and extended continuing resolutions, the Federal budget deficit and Federal government shut-downs; risks of adverse regulatory action or litigation; risks associated with debt leverage; risks that our cost-cutting initiatives will not provide the anticipated benefits; risks that changes, cutbacks or delays in spending by the DoD may occur, which could cause delays or cancellations of key government contracts; risks of delays to or the cancellation of our projects as a result of protest actions submitted by our competitors; risks that changes may occur in Federal government (or other applicable) procurement laws, regulations, policies and budgets; risks of the availability of government funding for the Company’s products and services due to performance, cost growth, or other factors, changes in government and customer priorities and requirements (including cost-cutting initiatives, the potential deferral of awards, terminations or reduction of expenditures to respond to the priorities of Congress and the Administration, or budgetary cuts resulting from Congressional committee recommendations or automatic sequestration under the Budget Control Act of 2011, as amended); risks that the unmanned aerial systems and unmanned ground sensor markets do not experience significant growth; risks that products we have developed or will develop will become programs of record; risks that we cannot expand our customer base or that our products do not achieve broad acceptance which could impact our ability to achieve our anticipated level of growth; risks of increases in the Federal government initiatives related to in-sourcing; risks related to security breaches, including cyber security attacks and threats or other significant disruptions of our information systems, facilities and infrastructures; risks related to our compliance with applicable contracting and procurement laws, regulations and standards; risks related to the new DoD Cybersecurity Maturity Model Certification; risks relating to the ongoing conflict in Ukraine and the Israeli-Palestinian military conflict; risks to our business in Israel; risks related to our international operations; risks related to contract performance; risks related to failure of our products or services; risks associated with our subcontractors’ or suppliers’ failure to perform their contractual obligations, including the appearance of counterfeit or corrupt parts in our products; changes in the competitive environment (including as a result of bid protests); failure to successfully integrate acquired operations and compete in the marketplace, which could reduce revenues and profit margins; risks that potential future goodwill impairments will adversely affect our operating results; risks that anticipated tax benefits will not be realized in accordance with our expectations; risks that a change in ownership of our stock could cause further limitation to the future utilization of our net operating losses; risks that we may be required to record valuation allowances on our net operating losses which could adversely impact our profitability and financial condition; risks that the current economic environment will adversely impact our business, including with respect to our ability to recruit and retain sufficient numbers of qualified personnel to execute on our programs and contracts, as well as expected contract awards and risks related to increasing interest rates and risks related to the interest rate swap contract to hedge Term SOFR associated with the Company’s Term Loan A; and risks related to natural disasters or severe weather. These and other risk factors are more fully discussed in the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the period ended December 31, 2023, and in our other filings made with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

Note Regarding Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures and Other Performance Metrics
This news release contains non-GAAP financial measures, including organic revenue growth rates, Adjusted EPS (computed using income from continuing operations before income taxes, excluding income (loss) from discontinued operations, excluding income (loss) attributable to non-controlling interest, excluding depreciation, amortization of intangible assets, amortization of capitalized contract and development costs, stock-based compensation expense, acquisition and restructuring related items and other, which includes, but is not limited to, legal related items, non-recoverable rates and costs, and foreign transaction gains and losses, less the estimated impact to income taxes) and Adjusted EBITDA (which includes net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest and excludes, among other things, losses and gains from discontinued operations, acquisition and restructuring related items, stock compensation expense, foreign transaction gains and losses, and the associated margin rates). Additional non-GAAP financial measures include Free Cash Flow from Operations computed as Cash Flow from Operations less Capital Expenditures plus proceeds from sale of assets and Adjusted EBITDA related to our KUS and KGS businesses. Kratos believes this information is useful to investors because it provides a basis for measuring the Company’s available capital resources, the actual and forecasted operating performance of the Company’s business and the Company’s cash flow, excluding non-recurring items and non-cash items that would normally be included in the most directly comparable measures calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP. The Company’s management uses these non-GAAP financial measures, along with the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures, in evaluating the Company’s actual and forecasted operating performance, capital resources and cash flow. Non-GAAP financial measures should not be considered in isolation from, or as a substitute for, financial information presented in compliance with GAAP, and investors should carefully evaluate the Company’s financial results calculated in accordance with GAAP and reconciliations to those financial results. In addition, non-GAAP financial measures as reported by the Company may not be comparable to similarly titled amounts reported by other companies. As appropriate, the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures and information reconciling these non-GAAP financial measures to the Company’s financial results prepared in accordance with GAAP are included in this news release.

Another Performance Metric the Company believes is a key performance indicator in our industry is our Book to Bill Ratio as it provides investors with a measure of the amount of bookings or contract awards as compared to the amount of revenues that have been recorded during the period and provides an indicator of how much of the Company’s backlog is being burned or utilized in a certain period. The Book to Bill Ratio is computed as the number of bookings or contract awards in the period divided by the revenues recorded for the same period. The Company believes that the rolling or last twelve months’ Book to Bill Ratio is meaningful since the timing of quarter-to-quarter bookings can vary.

Press Contact:
Yolanda White
858-812-7302 Direct

Investor Information:
877-934-4687
investor@kratosdefense.com

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Mattr Corp. to Acquire AmerCable in $280 Million Deal, Expanding Cable Capabilities in U.S. Market

Key Points:
– Mattr’s acquisition of AmerCable strengthens its presence in North America and broadens its product offerings.
– The acquisition is immediately accretive to EPS and expected to bring recurring revenue and stability.
– Addition of AmerCable’s medium-voltage cable capabilities complements Mattr’s Shawflex line, supporting growth in electrification and infrastructure.

Mattr Corp. (TSX: MATR), a leader in materials technology, has announced an agreement to acquire AmerCable Incorporated, a premier U.S.-based manufacturer of highly engineered wire and cable solutions. The acquisition, valued at $280 million USD, is expected to close by the end of 2024, subject to regulatory approvals. This strategic move positions Mattr to enhance its footprint in the U.S. and expand its product offerings in the growing global electrification market.

This acquisition will integrate AmerCable’s capabilities with Mattr’s Connection Technologies segment, allowing Mattr to better serve its North American clients by increasing its manufacturing capacity for medium and low-voltage electrical power, control, and instrumentation cables. Through AmerCable’s facilities in Arkansas and Texas, Mattr is poised to strengthen its North American manufacturing network, which includes its Shawflex brand in Canada.

The acquisition is aligned with Mattr’s strategy of diversifying its portfolio and building a more extensive geographic presence. Mattr CEO Mike Reeves highlighted that this acquisition will support the ongoing modernization of critical infrastructure in North America, bringing enhanced capabilities in low and medium voltage cable solutions essential to the electrification movement.

AmerCable’s products are designed for mission-critical applications, where durability and reliability are paramount. Its robust production network in the U.S. adds complementary capabilities to Mattr’s existing Shawflex brand, offering an expanded product range. In particular, AmerCable’s medium-voltage solutions will broaden Mattr’s offerings, making it a key provider of both high-tech and durable cable systems for extreme operating environments.

The acquisition is expected to be immediately accretive to Mattr’s earnings per share (EPS) and is projected to create substantial long-term value for Mattr shareholders. CFO Tom Holloway noted that AmerCable’s addition would boost Mattr’s financial performance and is expected to bring added stability through recurring revenues, thanks to AmerCable’s long-term relationships with key blue-chip clients.

The transaction value of $280 million USD represents a compelling valuation, with a purchase price set at approximately 5.0 times AmerCable’s Adjusted EBITDA for the 12-month period ending June 2024. Post-transaction, AmerCable will add around $75 million CAD in TTM Adjusted EBITDA, reinforcing Mattr’s commitment to margin growth within its Connection Technologies segment.

In addition to enhancing its financial profile, the acquisition will also improve Mattr’s raw material procurement efficiency and create opportunities for cross-selling and innovation by leveraging the shared technical expertise of both companies. This move is expected to accelerate Mattr’s position in high-growth markets, driven by the rise of electrification and infrastructure renewal.

With AmerCable’s production sites in Arkansas and Texas complementing Mattr’s facilities in Vaughan, Ontario, the combined network will provide a platform for organic and acquisition-driven growth opportunities across North America. The transaction has received unanimous board approval from both Mattr and Nexans, AmerCable’s previous parent company, with the anticipated close set for year-end.

Mattr will host a shareholder and analyst conference call to discuss further details on the acquisition and its strategic implications on November 8, 2024.

Cadrenal Therapeutics (CVKD) – Cadrenal Reports 3Q24 With Tecarfarin Progress Updates


Friday, November 08, 2024

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Financial Condition Improved In 3Q24. Cadrenal reported a loss of $2.4 million or $(2.18) per share, adjusted for the 1-for-15 reverse split on August 20, 2024. This loss was slightly less than our projections. Cash on September 30 was $4.4 million, excluding financing that brought in $9.8 million after the close of the quarter. The company reported that its current cash balance was approximately $11.3 million on November 7, 2024.

The Tecarfarin Made Progress In Its Next Indication. Cadrenal held a Type-B meeting with the FDA to discuss the planned Phase 3 trial for use of tecarfarin in patients with left ventricular assist devices. The company will use the guidance and comments from the meeting to design the pivotal trial. Cadrenal also continued to discuss collaborating with Abbott about a clinical trial with patients that have the Abbott HeartMate 3, the only LVAD available in the United States. Cadrenal has Orphan Drug designation for the LVAD indication, providing a strong incentive for collaborations.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Lifeway Foods (LWAY) – In Danone’s Corner


Friday, November 08, 2024

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Support for Danone. In response to Lifeway’s rejection of the Danone offer to acquire the Company, yesterday, Edward and Ludmila Smolyansky released a statement stating, among other things, “we strongly support Danone’s offer, which represents a substantial premium over Lifeway’s recent share price and reflects their confidence in the growing U.S. kefir market…” They go on to say, “As we approach one of most significant and closely watched earnings releases in Lifeway’s history, we remain optimistic about the company’s potential and believe that Danone’s proposal presents a unique opportunity to enhance value for all shareholders.”

Ownership. According to their most recent amended 13D filing dated August 14th, Edward and Ludmila may be deemed to be the beneficial owners of an aggregate of 4,332,451 shares of common stock, representing approximately 29.3% of the outstanding shares of common stock. This includes 500,000 shares (3.3% of the outstanding) held in a trust of which Edward and Julie each own 50%. Danone owns 3,454,756 shares representing 23.4% of the outstanding. Together, Danone and the Smolyansky’s control over 50% of the outstanding, even if we split the 500,000 trust shares equally. 


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Kratos Defense & Security (KTOS) – First Look at 3Q24 Results


Friday, November 08, 2024

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (NASDAQ:KTOS) develops and fields transformative, affordable technology, platforms, and systems for United States National Security related customers, allies, and commercial enterprises. Kratos is changing the way breakthrough technologies for these industries are rapidly brought to market through proven commercial and venture capital backed approaches, including proactive research, and streamlined development processes. At Kratos, affordability is a technology, and we specialize in unmanned systems, satellite communications, cyber security/warfare, microwave electronics, missile defense, hypersonic systems, training and combat systems and next generation turbo jet and turbo fan engine development. For more information go to www.kratosdefense.com.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Solid Quarter. Kratos reported a solid quarter, with Unmanned Systems reporting 8.7% organic revenue growth. Turbine Technologies, Microwave Products, C5ISR, Defense  Rocket Support, and Training Solutions businesses also all reported organic revenue growth. This was offset by the previously reported and expected decline of approximately  $24.2 million in the Space and Satellite business, primarily resulting from the industry related impact from OEM delays.

3Q24 Results. Kratos reported revenue of $275.9 million, flat with the same period last year. We had estimated $280 million. Adjusted EBITDA was $24.6 million, compared to $27.7 million last year and our $21 million estimate. Reported net income was $3.2 million, or $0.02/sh, up from a $1.6 million loss, or a loss of $0.01/sh in 3Q23. Adjusted EPS was $0.11 compared to $0.12 last year. We were at $0.01 and $0.06, respectively.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Information Services Group (III) – A Look into the Third Quarter


Friday, November 08, 2024

ISG (Information Services Group) (Nasdaq: III) is a leading global technology research and advisory firm. A trusted business partner to more than 700 clients, including more than 75 of the world’s top 100 enterprises, ISG is committed to helping corporations, public sector organizations, and service and technology providers achieve operational excellence and faster growth. The firm specializes in digital transformation services, including automation, cloud and data analytics; sourcing advisory; managed governance and risk services; network carrier services; strategy and operations design; change management; market intelligence and technology research and analysis. Founded in 2006, and based in Stamford, Conn., ISG employs more than 1,300 digital-ready professionals operating in more than 20 countries—a global team known for its innovative thinking, market influence, deep industry and technology expertise, and world-class research and analytical capabilities based on the industry’s most comprehensive marketplace data. For additional information, visit www.ISG-One.com

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Hitting the Top of Revised Guidance. ISG reported revenue and net income at the top end of the Company’s revised guidance and in-line with our estimates. Revenue for the quarter was $61.3 million, which while down 15% from last year, was slightly above our estimate of $61 million. Net income was $1.1 million, or EPS of $0.02, beating out our estimate of $0.2 million or flat EPS.

Rising Client Demand. Management noted that ISG Tango now includes over $5 billion of contract value, up from $4 billion in the previous earnings release. Management is seeing signs that client demand in the U.S. is on the rise, translating to higher spending. We believe that the rise in contract value offers a sign towards higher spending on projects.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

GoHealth, Inc. (GOCO) – The Pieces are in Place; Poised for a Strong AEP


Friday, November 08, 2024

Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Q3 beat. The company reported Q3 revenue of $118.3 million and an adj. EBITDA loss of $12.1 million, better than our estimates of $104.0 million and a loss of $14.1 million, respectively. Notably, the company benefited from improved efficiency with declines in direct costs of policy submissions and strong agent productivity.

Prepared for AEP. In our view, the company is well positioned heading onto this year’s Annual Enrolment Period (AEP) with several technological enhancements that drive favorable customer experiences and agent productivity. Using AI based tools, such as Plan GPT, the company has reduced its average call time from 90 minutes to 67 minutes. We believe the company could make additional incremental efficiency enhancements in Q4 and beyond, which could lead to more volume and margin improvement.   


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Kelly Services (KELYA) – Reports 3Q24 Results


Friday, November 08, 2024

Kelly (Nasdaq: KELYA, KELYB) connects talented people to companies in need of their skills in areas including Science, Engineering, Education, Office, Contact Center, Light Industrial, and more. We’re always thinking about what’s next in the evolving world of work, and we help people ditch the script on old ways of thinking and embrace the value of all workstyles in the workplace. We directly employ nearly 350,000 people around the world and connect thousands more with work through our global network of talent suppliers and partners in our outsourcing and consulting practice. Revenue in 2021 was $4.9 billion. Visit kellyservices.com and let us help with what’s next for you.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Challenges. In the third quarter, Kelly remained focused on what it could control, but the uncertain economic environment persisted, impacting consolidated results. On an organic basis, revenue rose in two of the business units, while gross profit rate fell in three of the four units. Integration costs related to the MRP acquisition of $6.1 million also impacted results. Investors reacted negatively to the results, sending the shares down 18% to $18.14.

3Q24 Results. Revenue of $1.038 billion, down 7.1% y-o-y, but essentially flat on an organic basis. We were at $1.075 billion, the same as the consensus. Adjusted EBITDA of $26.2 million, up 2.7% y-o-y, but below our $34 million estimate and consensus $33 million. Net income of $0.8 million, or $0.02/sh and adjusted EPS of $0.21, compared to $0.18 and $0.50 in 3Q23. 


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Schwazze (SHWZ) – Reports Preliminary 3Q24 Results


Friday, November 08, 2024

Schwazze (OTCQX:SHWZ, NEO:SHWZ) is building a premier vertically integrated regional cannabis company with assets in Colorado and New Mexico and will continue to take its operating system to other states where it can develop a differentiated regional leadership position. Schwazze is the parent company of a portfolio of leading cannabis businesses and brands spanning seed to sale. The Company is committed to unlocking the full potential of the cannabis plant to improve the human condition. Schwazze is anchored by a high-performance culture that combines customer-centric thinking and data science to test, measure, and drive decisions and outcomes. The Company’s leadership team has deep expertise in retailing, wholesaling, and building consumer brands at Fortune 500 companies as well as in the cannabis sector. Schwazze is passionate about making a difference in our communities, promoting diversity and inclusion, and doing our part to incorporate climate-conscious best practices.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Preliminary 3Q24 Results. Last night, Schwazze reported preliminary 3Q24 results. We believe the ongoing audit of past results is likely causing a delay in reporting results. According to the release, 3Q24 revenue is expected to be approximately $42 million, and adjusted EBITDA is expected to be approximately $11 million. In 3Q23, Schwazze reported revenue of $46.7 million and adjusted EBITDA of $14.1 million. We had estimated revenue of $44.5 million and adjusted EBITDA of $10.3 million.

Making Progress. In spite of the challenging operating environment, Schwazze continued to generate momentum from its retail growth and optimization initiatives in the quarter, reflected by the Company once again outpacing two highly competitive markets while generating sequential improvements in profitability and positive cash flow from operations. Management noted increased store traffic in both Colorado and New Mexico.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – Another Solid Quarter


Friday, November 08, 2024

CoreCivic is a diversified, government-solutions company with the scale and experience needed to solve tough government challenges in flexible, cost-effective ways. We provide a broad range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through high-quality corrections and detention management, a network of residential and non-residential alternatives to incarceration to help address America’s recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. We are the nation’s largest owner of partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities, and believe we are the largest private owner of real estate used by government agencies in the United States. We have been a flexible and dependable partner for government for nearly 40 years. Our employees are driven by a deep sense of service, high standards of professionalism and a responsibility to help government better the public good. Learn more at www.corecivic.com.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

3Q24 Results. CoreCivic’s financial results for the third quarter of 2024 demonstrated the Company’s continued strong operating momentum. Increased occupancy and higher per diems drove the increased revenue in the quarter. While ICE populations were relatively stable in the quarter, management did note populations have increased by 5% since the beginning of October. Operating margin increased compared with the prior-year quarter through continued cost management and strong demand for CXW’s services.

Opportunity. Obviously, with the coming change in the President, most industry observers expect to see a step change in the use of services provided by the industry. There also is significant opportunity at the state and local levels being driven by increasing jail populations, forecasts for prison population’s to rise over the next five years, ongoing staffing issues, and an aging physical stock.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Townsquare Media (TSQ) – Digital Revenue Gains Momentum


Friday, November 08, 2024

Townsquare is a community-focused digital media and digital marketing solutions company with market leading local radio stations, principally focused outside the top 50 markets in the U.S. Our assets include a subscription digital marketing services business, Townsquare Interactive, providing website design, creation and hosting, search engine optimization, social media and online reputation management as well as other digital monthly services for approximately 26,800 SMBs; a robust digital advertising division, Townsquare IGNITE, a powerful combination of a) an owned and operated portfolio of more than 330 local news and entertainment websites and mobile apps along with a network of leading national music and entertainment brands, collecting valuable first party data, and b) a proprietary digital programmatic advertising technology stack with an in-house demand and data management platform; and a portfolio of 321 local terrestrial radio stations in 67 U.S. markets strategically situated outside the Top 50 markets in the United States. Our portfolio includes local media brands such as WYRK.com, WJON.com, and NJ101.5.com and premier national music brands such as XXLmag.com, TasteofCountry.com, UltimateClassicRock.com and Loudwire.com.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

In line quarter. Total company revenues of $115.3 million was roughly flat with the year earlier period and in line with our $115.0 million estimate. Q3 adj. EBITDA was $25.5 million versus our $26.5 million estimate. Notably, the results were in line with the company’s previous guidance. 

Digital revenue accelerates. Total digital revenue swung positive in the latest quarter, up 1.1%, the first time since q2 2023. The revenue improvement was led by its Ignite business (up 4.7%) and a significant moderation in the revenue decline at Townsquare Ignite (down 5.8%, much better than down 12.9% in Q2). Management indicated that Ignite’s Q4 revenue growth should triple to near 15% and Interactive should swing positive. 


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Saga Communications (SGA) – Resilient Amidst Economic Headwinds


Friday, November 08, 2024

Saga Communications, Inc. is a broadcast company whose business is primarily devoted to acquiring, developing and operating radio stations. Saga currently owns or operates broadcast properties in 27 markets, including 79 FM and 33 AM radio stations. Saga’s strategy is to operate top billing radio stations in mid sized markets, defined as markets ranked (by market revenues) from 20 to 200. Saga’s radio stations employ a myriad of programming formats, including Active Rock, Adult Album Alternative, Adult Contemporary, Country, Classic Country, Classic Hits, Classic Rock, Contemporary Hits Radio, News/Talk, Oldies and Urban Contemporary. In operating its stations, Saga concentrates on the development of strong decentralized local management, which is responsible for the day-to-day operations of the stations in their market area and is compensated based on their financial performance as well as other performance factors that are deemed to effect the long-term ability of the stations to achieve financial objectives. Saga began operations in 1986 and became a publicly traded company in December 1992. The stock trades on NASDAQ under the ticker symbol “SGA”.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Q3 results. The company reported Q3 revenue of $28.1 million and adj. EBITDA of $3.6 million, both of which were in line with our estimates of $28.7 million and $3.6 million, respectively. Notably, the company ended an unprofitable relationship with a digital services provider, which contributed to digital revenue growth slowing to 3.2% in Q3. While we anticipate this will make year-over-year digital revenue comparisons difficult in the short term, we believe the company’s digital segment offers a favorable growth outlook.

Q4 outlook. Management indicated that Q4 revenue is pacing down low to mid-single digits, highlighting a difficult advertising market that is feeling the effects of the high interest rate environment. Furthermore, operating expenses on a same station basis are guided to increase in the range of 3% – 5% over the prior year period. We anticipate this increase will largely be attributed to investments in the company’s digital growth initiatives.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Astrana Health to Acquire Prospect Health in $745 Million Deal, Expanding U.S. Healthcare Network

Key Points:
– Astrana will acquire Prospect Health to expand its U.S. provider network across four key states.
– The transaction includes a $1,095 million bridge financing, backed by major financial institutions.
– The acquisition aligns with Astrana’s mission to provide localized, high-quality healthcare, benefiting 1.7 million members.

Astrana Health, Inc. (NASDAQ: ASTH), a technology-driven healthcare provider, has entered a definitive agreement to acquire Prospect Health, a healthcare system with a robust network in California, Texas, Arizona, and Rhode Island. This acquisition is valued at $745 million and aims to expand Astrana’s reach across critical U.S. markets, enabling coordinated, high-quality care for approximately 1.7 million Americans. Expected to close by mid-2025, the transaction will mark a significant expansion for Astrana in the U.S. healthcare sector.

Astrana’s acquisition of Prospect Health includes an array of healthcare assets such as the Prospect Health Plan, medical groups in four states, a pharmacy (RightRx), and Foothill Regional Medical Center in California. Prospect currently serves around 610,000 members across Medicare Advantage, Medicaid, and Commercial plans through its 3,000 primary care providers and 10,000 specialists. The acquisition will allow Astrana to strengthen its position as a leading U.S. healthcare delivery platform, focused on providing accessible, high-value care.

Astrana will fund the purchase with a combination of cash and a $1,095 million senior secured bridge commitment from Truist Bank and J.P. Morgan. The transaction includes an extended closing timeline, aiming for regulatory approvals and completion by mid-2025. The combined network will also bring substantial integration risks, given the complexity of merging operations across multiple states and entities. However, Astrana anticipates that its investment in infrastructure improvements will help ensure local, personalized care in each region.

CEO Brandon K. Sim noted that the acquisition represents a union of two organizations with a shared mission of patient-centric care. Prospect’s established presence in markets like Southern California will allow Astrana to expand beyond its current regions, particularly into Orange County, where Astrana has limited operations. This geographic expansion, coupled with Astrana’s technology-enabled healthcare model, will provide a scalable solution for accessible healthcare in diverse communities.

Astrana expects Prospect to generate approximately $1.2 billion in revenue, with adjusted EBITDA of around $81 million for 2024. This acquisition aligns with Astrana’s strategy to grow through value-based care and increase its reach across new markets while ensuring continuity of care for Prospect’s patients. According to CFO Tom Holloway, Astrana projects the transaction to be immediately accretive to earnings per share, excluding expected synergies, thus enhancing shareholder value over the long term.

Jim Brown, CEO of Prospect, expressed optimism about the partnership, highlighting shared cultural values and operational synergies between the companies. He emphasized that the acquisition will create a larger, more coordinated care network that offers improved access, quality, and efficiency for patients. The integrated healthcare system will enable Astrana to expand its end-to-end technology capabilities and support local healthcare infrastructure with continued investment in infrastructure and patient services.