The Most Recent Michael Burry Holdings Have Been Reported

Image Credit: ValueWalk (Flickr)

 Scion’s Michael Burry Owns Online Retailers, Tech Firms, a Mortgage Servicer, and a Detention Provider

GEO Group (GEO), the publicly held prison company organized as a REIT, again tops Michael Burry’s public market holdings as of the end of last year. This is one of nine holdings; a few are on-again, off-again favorites of the revered hedge fund manager. If there is one theme in his positions, it is that of select online retail merchants. While the overall size of the positions as of quarter-end is known, these positions may not represent all investments, just those that are public and reportable to the SEC on form 13F. Burry famous for his portrayal in the movie “The Big Short” was not short any publicly traded securities as 2022 drew to a close.

Below are the nine holdings, in size order, copied directy from the 13F-HR filing. GEO, Alibaba, and JD.com are familiar to followers of Dr. Burry’s holdings as this is not the first time they have appeared in his portfolio.

Source: SEC.gov

Geo Group (GEO) runs private detention systems. As shown below, at the end of the second quarter of 2022, it represented 100% of Scion Asset Management’s public market positions. The current holding is roughly half the dollar amount of what it was three months prior.

Source: SEC.gov

Black Knight (BKI) is making its first appearance in the Scion portfolio. The mid-cap company provides mortgage and loan servicing products.

Coherent Corporation (COHR) has not been in the hedge fund manager’s portfolio prior to the last quarter. The small-cap technology company is involved in communications networks for aerospace, automotive, life sciences, and various other electronics and systems.

Alibaba (BABA) is often described as the “Chinese Amazon.com”. The only other time Scion held this well-known online retailer was during the second quarter of 2019.

JD.com (JD) is China’s largest online retailer and largest internet company by revenue. Burry owned shares once before during the first quarter of 2019.

Wolverine Worldwide (WWW) makes active footwear and apparel. Brands include Sperry, Saucony, and Hush Puppies. The small-cap company has not been in the Scion portfolio previously.

MGM Resorts (MGM) is a mid-cap company that owns and manages hotels and casinos worldwide. This is the first time Michael Burry has owned this name.

 Qurante (QRTEA), formerly Liberty Interactive Corporation, is yet another direct marketer through the internet and video. The small-cap company is headquartered in Colorado.

Skywest Inc. (SKYW) is Burry’s smallest holding but still represents 4.4%. The airline has scheduled flights, including international, and also leases equipment for non-commercial flights. This is the first time the small-cap company has made an appearance in the Scion portfolio.

Take Away

Four times each year the SEC requires asset managers above a certain size to make a public filling of its portfolio.

Scion Asset Management is not exempt, but may, in addition to transacting in public securities, be creating positions in assets that are not required to be reported here. The reputation of Michael Burry has at times caused a lot of interest around less followed stocks.

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

The Record Levels of Cash Held by Investors May Not Indicate a Bear Market

Image Credit: Pictures of Money (Flickr)

Investors Receiving a 5% Yield are Losing to Inflation

The CPI inflation report and the Fed’s relentless increases in Fed funds levels have pushed the six-month US Treasury Bill (T-Bill) above 5%. This is the first time since 2007 that this low-risk investment has topped 5%. Last year on this date, the six-month T-Bill was 0.76%. While the stock market is concerned that higher borrowing costs will have the Fed’s intended effect of slowing demand, rates are reaching a point where another concern creeps in. The concern is will traditional stock investors lay back and be satisfied getting paid interest.  

More likely, the high cash position represents “dry powder” waiting for an opportunity.

Short Term Rates

Money Market fund assets were $4.81 trillion for the week ended Wednesday, February 8, according to the Investment Company Institute. Just shy of the record MF balances reported in January. Higher than average cash levels have often been thought of as a bullish sign as it represents potential to drive stock prices up when flows toward equities increase.

This may be part of the situation as we come off a dismal 2022 for equities, but there is likely something else incentivizing the retreat to safety. The higher interest rates are in the short end of the curve, investors are getting paid to retreat. High-yielding cash equivalents with six-month T-Bills now at 5% (10-year Treasuries are only 3.75%) may be more than a parking place. It may represent an alternative investment with a much more assured return.

Ten Year Quarterly Returns S&P 500

Source: Macrotrends

Is 5% an Acceptable Return?

With inflation at 6.4%, the answer is no. But it is definitely preferable to seven of the periods on the 10-year chart above. And with January’s consumer price index (CPI) report revealing signs of sticky to reaccelerating inflation, the Federal Reserve is more likely to be hiking rates for longer than expected.

For investors looking to invest for longer periods, the stock market handily beats inflation. In other words, for the various time frames below, S&P 500 investors did not see their assets erode due to inflation.

Beating inflation is foundational to investing. Far exceeding it is the goal of many. Investors are not doing this choosing cash, in fact they are choosing to lose buying power rather than risk that the market doesn’t perform as it has historically.

S&P 500 Return for Periods 5-Years to 30-Years

Source: Macrotrends

Take Away

Data released on Tuesday February 14 showed the inflation rate (CPI) slowed to 6.4% in January. The cost of goods and services rose 0.5% during the month. The half percentage is the largest one month erosion of purchasing power in three months.

Investors content with 4%-5% returns should consider that they are losing ground to persistent inflation.

Investors with a five-year time horizon or longer should weigh the risks of earning yields below the inflation rate to the ups and downs of stocks. In fact, as more do, the 4-5 trillion in cash can make or quite a bull market.

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

Sources

https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2022

https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/cpi_01162008.pdf

https://www.cnbc.com/2023/01/18/investors-are-holding-near-record-levels-of-cash-and-may-be-poised-to-snap-up-stocks.html

https://www.ici.org/research/stats/mmf

https://www.nerdwallet.com/article/investing/average-stock-market-return#:~:text=The%20average%20stock%20market%20return%20is%20about%2010%25%20per%20year,other%20years%20it%20returns%20less.

Release – Introducing Entravision Plus

Research News and Market Data on EVC

Introducing Entravision Plus

02/13/2023

Traditional TV and OTT Meet to Maximize Local Hispanic Reach

SANTA MONICA, Calif.–(BUSINESS WIRE)– Entravision (NYSE: EVC), a leading global advertising solutions, media and technology company, announced today the launch of Entravision Plus, the newest way for companies to effectively connect and engage with Hispanic consumers through over-the-top (OTT) media and Connected TV (CTV). Entravision Plus helps optimize digital advertising results by leveraging performance-based data insights to connect with consumers as they consume content from premium Spanish-language publishers.

Entravision Plus is the latest addition in the full suite of digital solutions offered by Entravision. Along with OTT/CTV, this suite of digital services now includes: Digital Audio Ads, Display Ads, Digital Out of Home, Facebook / Instagram, TikTok, SEM, YouTube Ads, Email Marketing and Branded Content that complement the Company’s television and radio properties.

Currently, 90% of Hispanic consumers stream video on smart devices, which is 10% more than non-Hispanic consumers. In addition, the average Hispanic consumer spends over 26 hours per month watching video online, or seven more hours than the U.S average. With these statistics in mind, it is clear that a growing number of Latino households can now be reached via television and Entravision Plus online video products.

“Advertisers need to reach their consumers,” said Jessica Martinez, General Manager of Entravision US Digital. “We can now offer our clients the ability to reach consumers not only through our television and radio assets, but also through an array of digital products.”

Martinez continued, “Entravision Plus – our newest offering – provides advertisers with unique targeting, competitive ad separation and insightful analytics to reach all segments of the Latino consumers. We are excited to provide this premium solution, along with television and radio, to meet the needs of an evolving market. By leveraging Entravision Plus, we anticipate that our customers’ businesses will stand out and grow faster than ever before.”

To learn more about Entravision Plus and its unique content offerings, please visit entravisionlocalmarketingsolutions.com.

About Entravision

Entravision is a leading global advertising, media and ad-tech solutions company connecting brands to consumers by representing top platforms and publishers. Our dynamic portfolio includes digital, television and audio offerings. Digital, our largest revenue segment, comprises four business units: our digital sales representation business; Smadex, our programmatic ad purchasing platform; our branding and mobile performance solutions business; and our digital audio business. Through our digital sales representation business, we connect global media companies such as Meta, Twitter, TikTok and Spotify with advertisers in primarily emerging growth markets worldwide. Smadex is our mobile-first demand side platform, enabling advertisers to execute performance campaigns using machine learning. We also offer a branding and mobile performance solutions business, which provides managed services to advertisers looking to connect with global consumers, primarily on mobile devices, and our digital audio business provides digital audio advertising solutions for advertisers in the Americas. In addition to digital, Entravision has 49 television stations and is the largest affiliate group of the Univision and UniMás television networks. Entravision also manages 45 primarily Spanish-language radio stations that feature nationally recognized, Emmy award-winning talent. Shares of Entravision Class A Common Stock trade on the NYSE under ticker: EVC. Learn more about our offerings at entravision.com or connect with us on LinkedIn and Facebook.

Forward-Looking Statements

This press release contains certain forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements, which are included in accordance with the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, may involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause the Company’s actual results and performance in future periods to be materially different from any future results or performance suggested by the forward-looking statements in this press release. Although the Company believes the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are based upon reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that actual results will not differ materially from these expectations, and the Company disclaims any duty to update any forward-looking statements made by the Company. From time to time, these risks, uncertainties and other factors are discussed in the Company’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

For more information please contact:
Kimberly Esterkin
Addo Investor Relations
evc@addo.com
310-829-5400

Entravision Plus:
Jessica Martinez
GM US Digital
jessicamartinez@entravision.com

Source: Entravision

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Release – Twin Peaks Nears 100 Locations to Finish Award-Filled 2022

Research News and Market Data on FAT

FEBRUARY 13, 2023

The ultimate sports lodge continues to perform at a high level , opening nine new restaurants and landing five major development agreements

DALLAS, Feb. 13, 2023 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — FAT (Fresh. Authentic. Tasty.) Brands Inc., parent company of Twin Peaks Restaurant and 16 other restaurant concepts, is pleased to announce another strong year for Twin Peaks. The leading sports lodge concept generated strong growth throughout 2022 in addition to landing top spots on several prestigious awards lists.

In total, the banner year saw Twin Peaks open nine new lodges, while also signing four new area development agreements (ADAs) to add 26 future lodges in the United States and one ADA in Mexico for an additional 32 lodges. These agreements are expected to allow the brand to surpass the monumental 100-restaurant milestone by spring of 2023.

“We’re proud of the work our teams put in to ensure that Twin Peaks stays at the forefront of the sports bar segment and the restaurant industry as a whole,” said CEO Joe Hummel, who was named one of the most influential restaurant CEOs by Nation’s Restaurant News in 2022.

Twin Peaks began 2022 with the opening of its third lodge in Mexico City and now has four locations south of the border. The brand enters 2023 with 95 locations across the United States and Mexico with an anticipated 18-20 additional restaurants opening in 2023 in Chattanooga, Tennessee; Greenwood, Indiana; Deer Valley, Arizona; Columbus, Ohio; Springfield, Missouri; as well as Daytona Beach and Jacksonville, Florida to begin the year.

The brand signed several domestic ADAs to expand its footprint, including eight locations across North Carolina with Music City Consulting, four locations in the Ohio River Valley with JEB Food Group and three restaurants in the Pittsburgh area with the Falcons Group. Twin Peaks also secured an agreement with Dos Montes Corp. to add seven locations in Chicago and its largest international ADA to date with its subsidiary, Operadora 2 Montes, for 32 lodges in Mexico.

Twin Peaks also scored a number of industry honors. It placed seventh in Nation’s Restaurant News’ “Top 10 Biggest Sports Bars” and ranked 107th among the publication’s “Top 500 Restaurant Chains.” Twin Peaks also earned additional recognition by being named to Entrepreneur’s “Top 500” list, Black Box’s “Top 5 Restaurant Brands,” and Restaurant Business’ “Top 500” list for 2022.

In addition to these accolades, Twin Peaks continues to level up the sports bar’s menu. Twin Peaks amplified its scratch-made kitchen in 2022 with new artisan Flatbreads, Crispy Mini Beef Tacos, a variety of Street Tacos made with in-house smoked meats, a hand-cut choice New York Strip Steak, and specially crafted dessert and shot pairings.

Twin Peaks wrapped up its banner year by joining several partners in local fundraising initiatives. From serving meals to those affected by Hurricane Ian in Florida to fundraising efforts to raise $10,000 for Warriors for Freedom in Oklahoma to various local toy drives and gifting Christmas trees to military families throughout the holidays, Twin Peaks staff gave its time and effort to help support those in need throughout the communities in which it operates.

Capping off the year was Twin Peaks’ partnership with two national nonprofit organizations. Twin Peaks supported the ALS Foundation with a systemwide campaign to raise $15,000 for the organization and hosted the Twin Peaks Annual Hero’s Golf Tournament that raised $100,000 for its military foundation, Tunnel to Towers.

As Twin Peaks looks forward to surpassing the 100-restaurant milestone, the award-winning brand also has more big things in store for 2023 with continued unit growth, exciting marketing promotions for Super Bowl Sunday and March Madness, and a focus on the continued evolution of its sports bar fare with the launch of its new craft cocktails and spirits menu. Guests can also expect an expansion of its premium barrel selects that include refined choices like Angel’s Envy and Stagg Jr. bourbon and Corazon Resposado Buffalo Trace tequila to go along with reimagined cocktails and a fresh batch of quality spirits.

For more information on Twin Peaks, visit twinpeaksrestaurant.com.

About FAT (Fresh. Authentic. Tasty.) Brands

FAT Brands (NASDAQ: FAT) is a leading global franchising company that strategically acquires, markets, and develops fast casual, quick-service, casual dining, and polished casual dining concepts around the world. The Company currently owns 17 restaurant brands: Round Table Pizza, Fatburger, Marble Slab Creamery, Johnny Rockets, Fazoli’s, Twin Peaks, Great American Cookies, Hot Dog on a Stick, Buffalo’s Cafe & Express, Hurricane Grill & Wings, Pretzelmaker, Elevation Burger, Native Grill & Wings, Yalla Mediterranean and Ponderosa and Bonanza Steakhouses, and franchises and owns over 2,300 units worldwide.

About Twin Peaks

Founded in 2005 in the Dallas suburb of Lewisville, Twin Peaks now has nearly 100 locations in the US and Mexico. Twin Peaks is the ultimate sports lodge featuring made-from-scratch food and the coldest beer in the business surrounded by scenic views and the latest in high-definition TVs. At every Twin Peaks, guests are immediately welcomed by a friendly Twin Peaks Girl and served up a menu made for MVPs. From its smashed and seared to order burgers to its in-house smoked brisket, pork and wings, guests can expect menu items capable of satisfying every appetite. To learn more about franchise opportunities, visit twinpeaksfranchise.com. For more information, visit twinpeaksrestaurant.com.

Forward Looking Statements

This press release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including statements relating to the timing and performance of new store openings and growth in same-store sales. Forward-looking statements reflect expectations of management concerning the future and are subject to significant business, economic and competitive risks, uncertainties and contingencies, including but not limited to uncertainties surrounding the severity, duration and effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. These factors are difficult to predict and beyond our control, and could cause our actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such forward-looking statements. We refer you to the documents that are filed from time to time by FAT Brands Inc. with the Securities and Exchange Commission, such as its reports on Form 10-K, Form 10-Q and Form 8-K, for a discussion of these and other factors. We undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statement to reflect events or circumstances occurring after the date of this press release.

MEDIA C ONTACT :
Erin Mandzik, FAT Brands
emandzik@fatbrands.com
860-212-6509

Release – Tonix Pharmaceuticals Announces Exclusive License of Potential Therapeutic or Preventative Fully Human and Murine Anti-SARS-CoV-2 Monoclonal Antibodies

Research News and Market Data on TNXP

February 13, 2023 7:00am EST

Immunocompromised Individuals, Including Organ Transplant Recipients, Are at Increased Risk of Severe COVID-19 and Poor Clinical Outcomes

SARS-CoV-2 has Mutated to Evade the Formerly EUA-Approved Monoclonal Antibody Therapies and Preventatives

CHATHAM, N.J., Feb. 13, 2023 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Corp. (Nasdaq: TNXP), a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, today announced that it has exercised an option to obtain an exclusive license from Columbia University for the development of a portfolio of fully human (TNX-3600) and murine (TNX-4100) monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) for the treatment or prophylaxis of SARS-CoV-2 infection. SARS-CoV-2 is the cause of COVID-19. The licensed mAbs were developed as part of a research collaboration and option agreement between Tonix and Columbia University, originally announced in 2020.

“The licensing of these mAbs strengthens our expanding pipeline of next-generation therapeutics to treat and prevent COVID-19,” said Seth Lederman, M.D., Chief Executive Officer of Tonix Pharmaceuticals. “Immunocompromised individuals, including organ transplant recipients, are at increased risk of severe COVID-19 and poor clinical outcomes1. We believe there is a need for second-generation mAb treatments and prophylactics2,3 to protect this population.”

Although five mAb products containing seven distinct mAbs received emergency use authorization (EUA) from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) for either treatment or prophylaxis of COVID-19, none remain useful or available since January 26, 2023, when the FDA announced that the last remaining mAb, Evusheld®, is no longer authorized4. Previously, either the National Institutes of Health COVID Treatment Guidelines Panel or FDA had removed recommendations or approvals for the other mAbs5,6.

Ilya Trakht, Ph.D., Associate Research Scientist at Columbia University Vagelos College of Physicians and Surgeons said, “We are excited to work with Tonix because of its commitment to developing therapeutics for COVID-19. Our antibody platform has proven robust and capable of rapidly making therapeutically relevant fully human mAbs to SARS-CoV-2. We have also generated murine mAbs, which represent a new approach. Murine mAbs have the potential for neutralizing a broader spectrum of SARS-CoV-2 variants and may be harder for SARS-CoV-2 to evade as we face a multitude of variants.”

To date, the formerly EUA-approved products were derived from the blood of COVID-convalescent patients or humanized mice7-9. The fully human mAbs generated by Columbia University, TNX-3600, have been isolated using a proprietary system involving a human hybridoma fusion partner.

The Company believes that murine mAbs, such as TNX-4100, have the potential to generate high affinity antibodies that recognize different epitopes on the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein. This is because mice have a different repertoire of antibodies than humans and the technology for generating antibodies optimizes the selection of appropriate B cells by the timing of immunization, harvesting approach and screening platform.

Dr. Lederman added, “The potential therapeutic antibodies licensed from Columbia University leverage our expanding internal development and manufacturing capabilities for biologics. These fully human and murine mAbs and their humanized counterparts build on a base of knowledge from a distinct murine mAb platform in development, TNX-3800, from which we have licensed three humanized mAbs from Curia Global.”

About TNX-3600

TNX-3600 are fully human mAbs generated from SARS-CoV-2+ asymptomatic individuals or COVID-19 convalescent patients, on which Tonix is collaborating with Columbia University. Given the unpredictable trajectory of the SARS-CoV-2 virus and new variants, we seek to contribute to a broad set of mAbs that can be scaled up quickly and potentially combined with other mAbs for the treatment or prophylaxis of SARS-CoV-2 infection.

About TNX-4100

TNX-4100 are murine mAbs and their humanized counterparts generated from mice immunized with SARS-CoV-2 spike protein, on which Tonix is collaborating with Columbia University. Since mice have a different repertoire of antibodies than humans, murine mAbs have the potential for neutralizing a broader spectrum of SARS-CoV-2 variants than fully human mAbs.

Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Corp.*

Tonix is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on discovering, licensing, acquiring and developing therapeutics to treat and prevent human disease and alleviate suffering. Tonix’s portfolio is composed of central nervous system (CNS), rare disease, immunology and infectious disease product candidates. Tonix’s CNS portfolio includes both small molecules and biologics to treat pain, neurologic, psychiatric and addiction conditions. Tonix’s lead CNS candidate, TNX-102 SL (cyclobenzaprine HCl sublingual tablet), is in mid-Phase 3 development for the management of fibromyalgia with a new Phase 3 study launched in the second quarter of 2022 and interim data expected in the second quarter of 2023. TNX-102 SL is also being developed to treat Long COVID, a chronic post-acute COVID-19 condition. Tonix initiated a Phase 2 study in Long COVID in the third quarter of 2022. TNX-1300 (cocaine esterase) is a biologic designed to treat cocaine intoxication and has been granted Breakthrough Therapy designation by the FDA. A Phase 2 study of TNX-1300 is expected to be initiated in the second quarter of 2023. TNX-1900 (intranasal potentiated oxytocin), a small molecule in development for chronic migraine, is being studied in a potential pivotal Phase 2 study that initiated enrollment in the first quarter of 2023 and for which interim data is expected in the fourth quarter of 2023. TNX-601 ER (tianeptine hemioxalate extended-release tablets) is a once-daily formulation of tianeptine being developed as a potential treatment for major depressive disorder (MDD) with a Phase 2 study expected to be initiated in the first quarter of 2023. Tonix’s rare disease portfolio includes TNX-2900 (intranasal potentiated oxytocin) for the treatment of Prader-Willi syndrome. TNX-2900 has been granted Orphan Drug designation by the FDA. Tonix’s immunology portfolio includes biologics to address organ transplant rejection, autoimmunity and cancer, including TNX-1500, which is a humanized monoclonal antibody targeting CD40-ligand (CD40L or CD154) being developed for the prevention of allograft and xenograft rejection and for the treatment of autoimmune diseases. A Phase 1 study of TNX-1500 is expected to be initiated in the second quarter of 2023. Tonix’s infectious disease pipeline includes a vaccine in development to prevent smallpox and monkeypox, TNX-801; a next-generation vaccine to prevent COVID-19, TNX-1850; a platform to make fully human monoclonal antibodies to treat COVID-19, TNX-3600; and humanized anti-SARS-CoV-2 monoclonal antibodies, TNX-3800; and a class of broad-spectrum small molecule oral antivirals, TNX-3900. TNX-801, Tonix’s vaccine in development to prevent smallpox and monkeypox, also serves as the live virus vaccine platform or recombinant pox vaccine (RPV) platform for other infectious diseases. A Phase 1 study of TNX-801 is expected to be initiated in the second half of 2023.

*All of Tonix’s product candidates are investigational new drugs or biologics and have not been approved for any indication.

1Haidar G, Mellors JW. Improving the Outcomes of Immunocompromised Patients With Coronavirus Disease 2019. Clin Infect Dis. 2021;73(6):e1397-e1401. Doi:10.1093/cid/ciab397

2Madison Muller, M. November 16, 2022 Bloomberg. “Doctors Are Running Out of Antibody Drugs to Treat Covid as Virus Mutates.” www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-16/covid-s-mutations-leave-doctors-with-far-fewer-antibody-drugs-to-treat-virus?

3Callaway, E. Oct 28 2022. Nature (News). COVID ‘variant soup’ is making winter surges hard to predict: Descendants of Omicron are proliferating worldwide — and the same mutations are coming up again and again. www.nature.com/articles/d41586-022-03445-6

4https://www.fda.gov/drugs/drug-safety-and-availability/fda-announces-evusheld-not-currently-authorized-emergency-use-us – Accessed Feb 7, 2023

5https://www.covid19treatmentguidelines.nih.gov/therapies/anti-sars-cov-2-antibody-products/anti-sars-cov-2-monoclonal-antibodies/ – Accessed Nov 3, 2022

6“FDA Updates on Bebtelovimab” – “This information shows that bebtelovimab is not expected to neutralize Omicron subvariants BQ.1 and BQ.1.1.” – www.fda.gov/drugs/drug-safety-and-availability/fda-updates-bebtelovimab– Accessed Nov 4, 2022

7Hansen J et al. Science. 2020 Aug 21;369(6506):1010-1014.  Doi: 10.1126/science.abd0827

8Asdaq, S.M.B. et al. A Patent Review on the Therapeutic Application of Monoclonal Antibodies in COVID-19. Int. J. Mol. Sci. 2021, 22, 11953. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijms222111953

9Vir isolated sotrovimab from the blood of a SARS-CoV-1 patient

This press release and further information about Tonix can be found at www.tonixpharma.com.

Forward Looking Statements
Certain statements in this press release are forward-looking within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements may be identified by the use of forward-looking words such as “anticipate,” “believe,” “forecast,” “estimate,” “expect,” and “intend,” among others. These forward-looking statements are based on Tonix’s current expectations and actual results could differ materially. There are a number of factors that could cause actual events to differ materially from those indicated by such forward-looking statements. These factors include, but are not limited to, risks related to the failure to obtain FDA clearances or approvals and noncompliance with FDA regulations; delays and uncertainties caused by the global COVID-19 pandemic; risks related to the timing and progress of clinical development of our product candidates; our need for additional financing; uncertainties of patent protection and litigation; uncertainties of government or third party payor reimbursement; limited research and development efforts and dependence upon third parties; and substantial competition. As with any pharmaceutical under development, there are significant risks in the development, regulatory approval and commercialization of new products. Tonix does not undertake an obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statement. Investors should read the risk factors set forth in the Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2021, as filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) on March 14, 2022, and periodic reports filed with the SEC on or after the date thereof. All of Tonix’s forward-looking statements are expressly qualified by all such risk factors and other cautionary statements. The information set forth herein speaks only as of the date thereof.

Contacts
Jessica Morris (corporate)
Tonix Pharmaceuticals
investor.relations@tonixpharma.com
(862) 904-8182

Olipriya Das, Ph.D. (media)
Russo Partners
Olipriya.Das@russopartnersllc.com
(646) 942-5588

Peter Vozzo (investors)
ICR Westwicke
peter.vozzo@westwicke.com
(443) 213-0505

Source: Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Corp.

Released February 13, 2023

Release – Energy Fuels Completes Acquisition of Rare Earth and Heavy Mineral Project in Brazil

Research News and Market Data on UUUU

Acquisition of Bahia Project expected to supply the raw materials needed by the Company’s US facility for the production of advanced rare earth materials used in EVs, clean energy, and defense technologies.

LAKEWOOD, Colo., Feb. 13, 2023 /CNW/ – Energy Fuels Inc. (NYSE American: UUUU) (TSX: EFR) (“Energy Fuels” or the “Company”) is pleased to announce that it has completed its previously announced acquisition (the “Closing“) of seventeen (17) mineral concessions between the towns of Prado and Caravelas in the State of Bahia, Brazil totaling 15,089.71 hectares (approximately 37,300 acres or 58.3 square miles) (the “Bahia Project“). The Closing followed the Brazilian Government’s approval of the transfers to Energy Fuels’ wholly owned Brazilian subsidiary Energy Fuels Brazil, Ltda. At the Closing, the Company paid the mineral owners the remaining $21.9 million cash.

As previously reported, the Bahia Project is a well-known heavy mineral sand (“HMS“) deposit that has the potential to supply 3,000 – 10,000 metric tons (“MT“) of natural monazite concentrate per year for decades to Energy Fuels’ White Mesa Mill in Utah (the “Mill“) for processing into high-purity rare earth element (“REE“) oxides and other materials. As used herein, the term “monazite concentrate” refers to an HMS concentrate containing roughly 80% to 90% monazite. While Energy Fuels’ primary interest in acquiring the Bahia Project is the REE-bearing monazite, the Bahia Project is also expected to produce large quantities of high-quality titanium (ilmenite and rutile) and zirconium (zircon) minerals that are also in high demand. REE production is highly complementary to Energy Fuels’ existing US-leading uranium business, as monazite and other major REE-bearing minerals naturally contain uranium that will be recovered and other impurities that will be removed at the Mill before further processing into advanced high-purity REE materials.

3,000 – 10,000 MT of monazite concentrate contains roughly 1,500 – 5,000 MT of total REE oxides (“TREO“), including 300 – 1,000 MT of neodymium-praseodymium (“NdPr“) and significant commercial quantities of dysprosium (“Dy“) and terbium (“Tb“). The Company is focused on monazite at the current time, as it has superior concentrations of these four (4) critical REEs compared to other REE-bearing minerals. These REE’s are used in the powerful neodymium-iron-boron (“NdFeB“) magnets that power the most efficient electric vehicles (“EV“), along with uses in other clean energy and defense technologies. For reference, a typical EV utilizes roughly one (1) to two (2) kilograms of NdPr oxide in its drivetrain. Based on this assumption, monazite concentrate from the Bahia project alone is expected to supply enough NdPr oxide to power 150,000 to 1 million EVs per year. The uranium contained in the monazite, which is expected to be comparable to typical Colorado Plateau uranium deposits, will also be recovered at the Mill.

Update on Growing Monazite Supply Portfolio:

The acquisition of the Bahia Project is a part of the Company’s efforts to build a large and diverse book of monazite concentrate supply for its rapidly advancing REE processing business. The Company expects to procure monazite concentrates through Company-owned mines like the Bahia Project, joint ventures or other collaborations, and open market purchases, like the Company’s current arrangement with The Chemours Company (“Chemours“). The Company is currently in advanced discussions with several additional current and future monazite producers around the world to supply Energy Fuels’ initiative.

Energy Fuels, through its White Mesa Mill in Utah, is currently the only U.S. company extracting REE’s and producing commercial quantities of partially-separated mixed REE carbonate (“RE Carbonate“), which it extracts as a coproduct, along with its uranium production from monazite. This is the most advanced REE material being produced in the US today at scale, since it is a high-purity product ready for REE separation without further processing, refining or purification. The Company is currently selling all its RE Carbonate to a separation facility in Europe for further processing into advanced REE products further down the supply chain, including metals, alloys, and magnets. Though as discussed below, the Company is currently modifying and enhancing its existing circuits and facilities at the Mill with the expected ability to produce separated REE oxides (or oxalates) from these process streams starting as soon as later this year. The Company is also recovering the uranium that naturally occurs in monazite for use in carbon-free nuclear energy.

Update on Ongoing Sonic Drilling Program at the Bahia Project:

Prior to Closing on the Bahia Project, the Company commenced a sonic drilling program on the property to further define and quantify the HMS resource, particularly at depth. Under the previous owners, 3,300 vertical exploration auger holes were drilled on the property indicating significant concentrations of titanium (ilmenite and rutile), zirconium (zircon), and rare earth elements (monazite) at and near the surface. However, due to inherent limitations, historic augur drilling averaged only 5.7 meters in depth.

Utilization of a sonic drill allows for relatively undisturbed collection of sediments both above and below the water table. The limited sonic drilling completed by Energy Fuels over the past few months is confirming that the mineral bearing sands are expected to continue at depth. The Company expects to finalize Phase 1 sonic drilling at the Bahia Project this month totaling 2,250 meters. Following drilling, the Company will begin sampling and sending the material to labs for testing, including metal assay, mineralogic characterization, and process testing. The Company plans to announce Phase 1 drilling results this year and start Phase 2 drilling in Q3-2023. Once data from both drill programs are available, the Company plans to engage industry leaders to calculate an initial mineral resource estimate for use in an S-K 1300 (US) compliant Initial Assessment and an NI 43-101 (Canada) compliant Technical Report.

Update on Production of Separated NdPr Products at the White Mesa Mill & Plans for Future REE Separation:

The Company is currently separating lanthanum (“La“) and cerium (“Ce“) from its commercial RE Carbonate stream utilizing existing Mill infrastructure to produce an RE Carbonate product with higher concentrations of NdPr and “heavy” REEs. Energy Fuels is also proceeding with the modification and enhancement of its infrastructure at the Mill (“Phase 1“) to expand its “light” REE separation facilities to be capable of producing commercial quantities of separated NdPr oxide (or oxalate) by later this year or early 2024, followed by planned further enhancements to expand NdPr production capability (“Phase 2“) and to produce separated Dy, Tb and potentially other REE materials in the future (“Phase 3“) from monazite and potentially other REE-bearing process streams.

Earlier this year, the Company began construction on its “Phase 1” REE separation facilities, which includes modifications and enhancements to the solvent extraction (“SX“) circuits at the Mill. “Phase 1” is expected to have the capacity to process approximately 8,000 to 10,000 MT of monazite concentrates per year from the Mill’s process streams, producing roughly 4,000 to 5,000 MT TREO, containing roughly 800 to 1,000 MT of recoverable separated NdPr oxide (or oxalate) per year. Because Energy Fuels is utilizing existing infrastructure at the Mill, “Phase 1” capital is expected to total only about $25 million. “Phase 1” is expected to be operational later this year or early 2024, subject to receipt of sufficient monazite supply and successful construction and commissioning. If these milestones are achieved, Energy Fuels believes it will be the ‘first to the market’ among US companies with commercial quantities of separated NdPr available to EV, renewable energy, and other companies for offtake.

During “Phase 2”, Energy Fuels expects to expand its NdPr separation capabilities, with an expected capacity to process roughly 15,000 to 30,000 MT of monazite concentrates per year and expected recovery of roughly 7,500 to 15,000 MT of TREO, containing roughly 1,500 to 3,000 MT of NdPr oxide per year, or sufficient NdPr for 750,000 to 3.0 million EVs per year. “Phase 2” is also expected to add a dedicated monazite “crack-and-leach” circuit to the Mill’s existing leach circuits. Currently, the Mill is utilizing its main uranium processing circuits to process monazite and extract the REEs and uranium. A dedicated leach circuit will allow the Mill to simultaneously process monazite in the new dedicated circuit and to process other mined uranium and uranium/vanadium ores in the main circuit. The Company expects to complete “Phase 2” in 2026, subject to licensing, financing, and receipt of sufficient monazite feed.

During “Phase 3”, Energy Fuels expects to add “heavy” REE separation capabilities, including the production of Dy, Tb, and potentially other REE oxides and advanced materials. The Company will also evaluate the potential to produce La and Ce products. Monazite concentrates naturally contain higher concentrations of “heavy” REEs, including Dy and Tb, versus other REE-bearing ores, like bastnaesite, mainly due to the presence of another REE-bearing phosphate mineral called “xenotime.” “Phase 3” is expected to enable Energy Fuels to produce separated Dy, Tb, and potentially other “light” and “heavy” products. The Company also expects to have additional “heavy” REE feedstock stockpiled from “Phase 1” and “Phase 2.” During these earlier phases, the Company expects to produce NdPr oxide (or oxalate) and a samarium-plus (“Sm+“) “heavy” REE concentrate, which the Company will either sell or stockpile as feed for “Phase 3” REE separation. For reference, the monazite concentrates the Company has analyzed to date contain roughly 1% to 3% Dy and Tb, so 10,000 MT of monazite concentrate contains roughly 100 to 300 MT of Dy and Tb. The Company expects to complete “Phase 3” in 2027, subject to licensing, financing, and receipt of sufficient feed.

Mark S. Chalmers, President and CEO of Energy Fuels stated: “Energy Fuels has achieved yet another important milestone for our expanding rare earth business through our acquisition of the Bahia Project. We look forward to further defining the heavy mineral sand resource through our sonic drilling program and moving forward toward mining in the most prospective areas of the project. Using conservative development and market assumptions, we expect to receive monazite concentrates from the Bahia Project at a very low cost within the next few years. By receiving monazite feeds from a variety of sources, including mineral projects that we own, like the Bahia Project, and open market purchases, like from Chemours and others, we expect to be a low-cost US producer of advanced REE materials.

“As we continue to build our book of monazite supply through acquisitions of projects like Bahia and other transactions, we are also moving faster down the rare earth supply chain than any other U.S. company to produce more advanced rare earth materials at our White Mesa Mill in Utah. We are currently expanding our SX separation circuit at the Mill that is expected to enable us to commercially produce NdPr oxide or oxalate by later in 2023 or early 2024. NdPr is a key ingredient in permanent rare earth magnets used in EVs, wind energy, and defense technologies. Later in 2026 and 2027, we expect to increase the scale of our NdPr production and add ‘heavy’ REE separation capabilities, including the ability to produce Dy, Tb and potentially other products, subject to securing additional monazite supplies.

“Of course, uranium production remains our core business, where we continue to make excellent progress on resuming production at our mines. As the largest US producer of uranium, Energy Fuels recently sold 300,000 pounds of uranium into the newly established strategic US uranium reserve where we earned total gross proceeds of $18.5 million, and we have nuclear utility contract deliveries beginning this year. We look forward to providing markets with further updates on both our REE and uranium business segments.

“With our leading position as a uranium producer in the US, our US-leading vanadium production capability, our rapidly advancing US-leading REE production capability, and our evaluation of radioisotopes for use in emerging cancer treatment therapeutics, Energy Fuels is truly becoming a leading producer of critical minerals in the United States.”

ABOUT ENERGY FUELS

Energy Fuels is a leading US-based critical minerals company. The Company mines uranium and produces natural uranium concentrates that are sold to major nuclear utilities for the production of carbon-free nuclear energy. Energy Fuels recently began production of advanced rare earth element (“REE“) materials, including mixed REE carbonate, and plans to produce commercial quantities of separated REE oxides in the future. Energy Fuels also produces vanadium from certain of its projects, as market conditions warrant, and is evaluating the recovery of radionuclides needed for emerging cancer treatments. Its corporate offices are in Lakewood, Colorado, near Denver, and substantially all its assets and employees are in the United States. Energy Fuels holds two of America’s key uranium production centers: the White Mesa Mill in Utah and the Nichols Ranch in-situ recovery (“ISR“) Project in Wyoming. The White Mesa Mill is the only conventional uranium mill operating in the US today, has a licensed capacity of over 8 million pounds of U3Oper year, has the ability to produce vanadium when market conditions warrant, as well as REE products, from various uranium-bearing ores. The Nichols Ranch ISR Project is on standby and has a licensed capacity of 2 million pounds of U3O8 per year. The Company recently acquired the Bahia Project in Brazil, which is believed to have significant quantities of titanium (ilmenite and rutile), zirconium (zircon) and REE (monazite) minerals. In addition to the above production facilities, Energy Fuels also has one of the largest NI 43-101 compliant uranium resource portfolios in the US and several uranium and uranium/vanadium mining projects on standby and in various stages of permitting and development. The primary trading market for Energy Fuels’ common shares is the NYSE American under the trading symbol “UUUU,” and the Company’s common shares are also listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the trading symbol “EFR.” Energy Fuels’ website is www.energyfuels.com.

Daniel Kapostasy, P.G., Director of Technical Services for Energy Fuels, is a Qualified Person as defined by Canadian National Instrument 43-101 and has reviewed and approved the technical disclosure contained in this news release, including sampling, analytical, and test data underlying such disclosure.

CAUTIONARY STATEMENTS REGARDING FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS

This news release contains “forward-looking information” within the meaning of applicable securities laws in the United States and Canada. Forward-looking information may relate to future events or future performance of Energy Fuels. All statements in this release, other than statements of historical facts, with respect to Energy Fuels’ objectives and goals, as well as statements with respect to its beliefs, plans, objectives, expectations, anticipations, estimates, and intentions, are forward-looking information. Specific forward-looking statements in this discussion include, but are not limited to, the following: any expectation as to the concentrations or quantities of uranium and heavy minerals, including monazite, NdPr, Dy and Tb contained in the Bahia Project; any expectation as to the potential annual supply of monazite sands from the Bahia Project to the Mill, the contained MT of TREO per year, or the number of years or decades of such potential supply; any expectation as to the number of EVs that can be powered by NdPr oxide produced from the Bahia Project; any expectation that drilling results at the Bahia Project will confirm that the mineral bearing sands continue at depth; any expectation as to the timing and results of the Company’s drilling program at the Bahia Project and the timing of any announcements relating to drilling results; any expectation that the Company will complete an S-K 1300 compliant Initial Assessment and an NI 43-101 compliant Preliminary Economic Assessment relating to the Bahia Project and the timing of any such assessments; any expectation as to the timing of mining at the Bahia Project; any expectation as to the costs to the Company of monazite concentrates from the Bahia Project and the timing of receipt of any such concentrates; any expectation as to the Company’s ability to build a large and diverse book of monazite concentrate supply; any expectation as to the Company’s ability to rapidly advance its REE processing business; any expectation that the Company will produce separated REE oxides (or oxalates) from its Mill process streams starting as early as next year; any expectation that the Company will be a low-cost US producer of advanced REE material; any expectation that the Company will complete its Phase 1, Phase 2 and/or Phase 3 separation facilities on the time frames indicated, if at all; any expectation as to the expected throughput rates, production capability, REEs to be produced and capital and operating costs of such facilities; any expectation that the Company will be the first to the market among US companies with commercial quantities of separated NdPr available to EV, renewable energy and other companies for offtake; any expectation that monazite concentrates will naturally contain higher concentrations of “heavy” REEs, including Dy and Tb versus other REE-bearing ores, like bastnaesite; any expectation as to the Company’s ability to produce radioisotopes needed for emerging cancer treatments on a commercial basis or at all; and any expectation that the Company will continue to be a leading US based uranium mining company and a leading producer of critical minerals in the United States. Often, but not always, forward-looking information can be identified by the use of words such as “plans”, “expects”, “is expected”, “budget”, “scheduled”, “estimates”, “continues”, “forecasts”, “projects”, “predicts”, “intends”, “anticipates” or “believes”, or variations of, or the negatives of, such words and phrases, or state that certain actions, events or results “may”, “could”, “would”, “should”, “might” or “will” be taken, occur or be achieved. This information involves known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual results or events to differ materially from those anticipated in such forward-looking information. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated in these forward-looking statements include risks associated with: technical difficulties; mining or processing difficulties and upsets; licensing, permitting and regulatory delays; litigation risks; competition from others; political actions or instability in foreign countries; and market factors, including future demand for and prices realized from the sale of uranium, vanadium and REEs. Forward-looking statements contained herein are made as of the date of this news release, and Energy Fuels disclaims, other than as required by law, any obligation to update any forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, results, future events, circumstances, or if management’s estimates or opinions should change, or otherwise. There can be no assurance that forward-looking statements will prove to be accurate, as actual results and future events could differ materially from those anticipated in such statements. Accordingly, the reader is cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. Energy Fuels assumes no obligation to update the information in this communication, except as otherwise required by law.

SOURCE Energy Fuels Inc.

For further information: ENERGY FUELS, Curtis Moore – SVP of Marketing & Corporate Development, (303) 974-2154

RCI Hospitality Holdings (RICK) – A Solid First Quarter


Monday, February 13, 2023

With more than 60 units, RCI Hospitality Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, is the country’s leading company in adult nightclubs and sports bars/restaurants. Clubs in New York City, Chicago, Dallas-Fort Worth, Houston, Miami, Minneapolis, Denver, St. Louis, Charlotte, Pittsburgh, Raleigh, Louisville, and other markets operate under brand names such as Rick’s Cabaret, XTC, Club Onyx, Vivid Cabaret, Jaguars Club, Tootsie’s Cabaret, Scarlett’s Cabaret, Diamond Cabaret, and PT’s Showclub. Sports bars/restaurants operate under the brand name Bombshells Restaurant & Bar.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director – Generalist Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

1Q23 Operating Results. First quarter revenue came in at $70 million, up 13.2% y-o-y. Adjusted EBITDA in the quarter was $20.5 million, up 13.9% y-o-y. Impacted by non-comp expense and D&A, net income fell 3.2% to $10.2 million. EPS was $1.11 and adjusted EPS was $1.19, down 0.9% and up 8.2%, respectively, y-o-y. We had forecast revenue of $72 million, adjusted EBITDA of $23 million, and EPS of $1.32.

Segments. Nightclubs revenue rose 20.3% to $56.3 million, driven by acquired clubs and a 1.2% SSS growth, with a 40.4% operating margin. Bombshells continues to face challenges with revenue of $13.4 million down 9.5%, SSS off 13.9%, and a 13.8% operating margin.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) – Post Call Commentary


Monday, February 13, 2023

CoreCivic is a diversified, government-solutions company with the scale and experience needed to solve tough government challenges in flexible, cost-effective ways. We provide a broad range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through high-quality corrections and detention management, a network of residential and non-residential alternatives to incarceration to help address America’s recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. We are the nation’s largest owner of partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities, and believe we are the largest private owner of real estate used by government agencies in the United States. We have been a flexible and dependable partner for government for nearly 40 years. Our employees are driven by a deep sense of service, high standards of professionalism and a responsibility to help government better the public good. Learn more at www.corecivic.com.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director – Generalist Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Prepping For an End to Title 42. Once again, during the quarter CoreCivic continued to hire staff in anticipation of an ending of Title 42 and a surge in ICE populations. The additional expense impacted margins. Management did note that without the extra expense, guidance for 2023 would have been in the ballpark of consensus estimates for the year.

Potential New Business? Management again noted increasing interest from various states, both current clients and potential new clients, for solutions as these parties deal with a very tight labor market. With excess bed capacity available and the staff hired, CoreCivic is well positioned to pick up additional business, in our view.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Century Lithium Corp. (CYDVF) – A Watershed Moment?


Monday, February 13, 2023

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Collaboration with Koch. Century Lithium is collaborating with Koch Technology Solutions (KTS) in the application of its proprietary Li-Pro direct lithium extraction process (DLE) at Century’s lithium extraction facility in Nevada.

Li-Pro technology. Koch purchased exclusive rights to theLionex DLE technology, for which Century had licensed, and integrated it into their Li-Pro process. The companies have executed an agreement to test KTS equipment and evaluate features of the Li-Pro process at Century’s pilot plant. While the program is independent from the company’s ongoing feasibility study, KTS will provide an engineering design along with costs for deployment of the DLE portion of the processing plant.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Flight Plan to Net-Zero Sustainable Aviation Fuels

Image Credit: RaymondClarkeImages (Flickr)

The Future of Flight in a Net-Zero Carbon World: 9 Scenarios, Abundant Sustainable Biofuel

Several major airlines have pledged to reach net-zero carbon emissions by midcentury to fight climate change. It’s an ambitious goal that will require an enormous ramp-up in sustainable aviation fuels, but that alone won’t be enough, latest research shows.

The idea of jetliners running solely on fuel made from used cooking oil from restaurants or corn stalks might seem futuristic, but it’s not that far away.

Airlines are already experimenting with sustainable aviation fuels. These include biofuels made from agriculture residues, trees, corn and used cooking oil. Other fuels are synthetic, made by combining captured carbon from the air and green hydrogen, made with renewable energy. Often, they can go straight into existing aircraft fuel tanks that normally hold fossil jet fuel.

United Airlines, which has been using a blend of used oil or waste fat and fossil fuels on some flights from Los Angeles and Amsterdam, announced in February 2023 that it had formed a partnership with biofuel companies to power 50,000 flights a year between its Chicago and Denver hubs using ethanol-based sustainable aviation fuels by 2028.

This article was republished with permission from The Conversation, a news site dedicated to sharing ideas from academic experts. It represents the research-based findings and thoughts of, Candelaria Bergero, Ph.D. Student in Earth System Science, University of California, Irvine, Steve Davis Professor of Earth System Science, University of California, Irvine.

In a new study, we examined different options for aviation to reach net-zero emissions and assessed how air travel could continue without contributing to climate change.

The bottom line: Each pathway has important trade-offs and hurdles. Replacing fossil jet fuel with sustainable aviation fuels will be crucial, but the industry will still need to invest in direct-air carbon capture and storage to offset emissions that can’t be cut.

Scenarios for the Future

Before the pandemic, in 2019, aviation accounted for about 3.1% of total global CO₂ emissions from fossil fuel combustion, and the number of passenger miles traveled each year was rising. If aviation emissions were a country, that would make it the sixth-largest emitter, closely following Japan.

In addition to releasing carbon emissions, burning jet fuel produces soot and water vapor, known as contrails, that contribute to warming, and these are not avoided by switching to sustainable aviation fuels

Aviation is also one of the hardest-to-decarbonize sectors of the economy. Small electric and hydrogen-powered planes are being developed, but long-haul flights with lots of passengers are likely decades away.

We developed and analyzed nine scenarios spanning a range of projected passenger and freight demand, energy intensity and carbon intensity of aviation to explore how the industry might get to net-zero emissions by 2050.

Nine scenarios illustrate how much carbon offsets would be required to reach net-zero emissions, depending on choices made about demand and energy and carbon intensity. Each starts with 2021’s emissions (1.2 gigatons of carbon dioxide equivalent). With rising demand and no improvement in carbon intensity, a large amount of carbon capture will be necessary. Less fossil fuel use and slower demand growth reduce offset needs. Candelaria Bergero

We found that as much as 19.8 exajoules of sustainable aviation fuels could be needed for the entire sector to reach net-zero CO₂ emissions. With other efficiency improvements, that could be reduced to as little as 3 exajoules. To put that into context, 3 exajoules is almost equivalent to all biofuels produced in 2019 and far surpasses the 0.005 exajoules of bio-based jet fuel produced in 2019. An exajoule is a measure of energy.

Flying less and improving airplanes’ energy efficiency, such as using more efficient “glide” landings that allow airlines to approach the airport with engines at near idle, can help reduce the amount of fuel needed. But even in our rosiest scenarios – where demand grows at 1% per year, compared to the historical average of 4% per year, and energy efficiency improves by 4% per year rather than 1% – aviation would still need about 3 exajoules of sustainable aviation fuels.

Why Offsets are Still Necessary

A rapid expansion in biofuel sustainable aviation fuels is easier said than done. It could require as much as 1.2 million square miles (300 million hectares) of dedicated land to grow crops to turn into fuel – roughly 19% of global cropland today.

Another challenge is cost. The global average price of fossil jet fuel is about about US$3 per gallon ($0.80 per liter), while the cost to produce bio-based jet fuels is often twice as much. The cheapest, HEFA, which uses fats, oils and greases, ranges in cost from $2.95 to $8.67 per gallon ($0.78 to $2.29 per liter), but it depends on the availability of waste oil.

Fischer-Tropsch biofuels, produced by a chemical reaction that converts carbon monoxide and hydrogen into liquid hydrocarbons, range from $3.79 to $8.71 per gallon ($1 to $2.30 per liter). And synthetic fuels are from $4.92 to $17.79 per gallon ($1.30 to $4.70 per liter).

Realistically, reaching net-zero emissions will likely also rely on carbon dioxide removal.

In a future with similar airline use as today, as much as 3.4 gigatons of carbon dioxide would have to be captured from the air and locked away – pumped underground, for example – for aviation to reach net-zero. That could cost trillions of dollars.

For these offsets to be effective, the carbon removal would also have to follow a robust eligibility criteria and be effectively permanent. This is not happening today in airline offsetting programs, where airlines are mostly buying cheap, nonpermanent offsets, such as those involving forest conservation and management projects.

Some caveats apply to our findings, which could increase the need for offsets even more.

Our assessment assumes sustainable aviation fuels to be net-zero carbon emissions. However, the feedstocks for these fuels currently have life-cycle emissions, including from fertilizer, farming and transportation. The American Society for Testing Materials also currently has a maximum blend limit: up to 50% sustainable fuels can be blended into conventional jet fuel for aviation in the U.S., though airlines have been testing 100% blends in Europe.

How to Overcome the Final Hurdles

To meet the climate goals the world has set, emissions in all sectors must decrease – including aviation.

While reductions in demand would help reduce reliance on sustainable aviation fuels, it’s more likely that more and more people will fly in the future, as more people become wealthier. Efficiency improvements will help decrease the amount of energy needed to power aviation, but it won’t eliminate it.

Scaling up sustainable aviation fuel production could decrease its costs. Quotas, such as those introduced in the European Union’s “Fit for 55” plan, subsidies and tax credits, like those in the U.S. Inflation Reduction Act signed in 2022, and a carbon tax or other price on carbon, can all help achieve this.

Additionally, given the role that capturing carbon from the atmosphere will play in achieving net-zero emissions, a more robust accounting system is needed internationally to ensure that the offsets are compensating for aviation’s non-CO₂ impacts. If these hurdles are overcome, the aviation sector could achieve net-zero emissions by 2050.

Investors in Sports Betting May Prove to be the Real Superbowl Winners

Image Credit: Focal Foto (Flickr)

The Lucky Stars Seem to Have Aligned for Online Gambling Companies

Public companies involved in sports betting may find their shareholders are the real winners. Between the increased number of states that have legalized sports betting over recent years, the enhanced betting opportunities, and the nature of the Superbowl win, luck seems to have weighed heavily on the side of these businesses. It will take time for the actual numbers to be reported. Just last year FanDuel became the first sportsbook to be profitable, it will report again in March. DraftKings, BetMGM, and Caesars, have yet to turn a profit in sports betting.

Superbowl Win Favors Companies

Close to 60% of bets were for the Philadelphia Eagles to be the outright winner of the game, according to FanDuel. FanDuel is the largest online sportsbook operator in the U.S. The less-expected 38-35 win for the Kansas City Chiefs over the Philadelphia Eagles at the Super Bowl will mean less wagered money will have to be distributed to customers. The team that was considered the underdog, having come out ahead, should add revenue to the bottom line of gambling companies.

The reason, of course, is companies like DraftKings and FanDuel will not have to pay out on many of the most popular bets, including widespread predictions for a 37-34 victory for the Eagles after online speculation over a ‘leaked script’ for the game.

Other Popular Bets

Before Sunday’s kick-off, Twitter and other social media conversations referred to the “leaked script.” An image was being shared that showed the Eagles winning 37-34. The image had millions of impressions on Twitter across all the shares.

Various Twitter Posts Highlighted this Image Pre-Game

Bettors could also wager on who may come out as the most valuable player. The Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce was the most selected based on bets for this honor, according to FanDuel. Instead, the MVP award was won by Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes.

During a heavy betting period, there was an issue with Caesars Entertainment subsidiary William Hill US. This issue was affecting users in Nevada by preventing them from logging in on Sunday. Frustrated users took to social media outlets to complain of their difficulties during the game. The company tweeted that it was still in the process of settling all Super Bowl wagers after the game on Sunday.

Take Away

Online sports gambling is experiencing dramatic growth. Each year more states allow the practice within their borders. At the same time, technology allows betting on slices of the game, even on in-play situations never before available. With both FanDuel and DraftKings advertising to the large Superbowl audience, the practice of gambling online on sports is becoming more and more understood and common place. The 2023 Superbowl may have helped the bottom line of these companies. That will be seen when the numbers for this quarter are released. Investors are paying attention as it would seem that there is plenty of room for further growth.

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

The Week Ahead – Inflation (CPI), Jobs, and 13-f Holdings Reports

Will the Inflation Numbers on Valentine’s Cause the Market to See Red?

As earnings season fades investors that like to get a glimpse into the portfolios of successful money managers will look for the 13-f filings of some of the most followed investors as they are made available. Tuesday and Wednesday should bring Michael Burry’s and Warren Buffet’s filing. The CPI report on Tuesday is expected to show a continuation of inflation tapering. The Jobs report on Thursdays has been missing consensus, it has the potential to either calm or rattle the markets.

Monday 2/13

  • With no consequential economic releases, market direction may take its tone from traders positioning ahead of Tuesday’s CPI report.

Tuesday 2/14

  • 8:30 AM ET, January’s headline CPI rate is expected to increase month to month by 0.5% after a .1% decline experienced in December, and year-over-year at 6.2% versus 6.5% the prior 12 months. Ex-food and energy (core rate) is expected to show unchanged at a 5.5% annual rate versus 5.7% the prior 12 months.
  • In previous years Michael Burry has made a public filing of Scion Asset Managements 13-f holdings on Valentine’s Day. Warren Buffet of Berkshire Hathaway will make available his changed positions. This filing is also likely on Tuesday or perhaps Wednesday.

Wednesday 2/15

  • 9:15 AM ET, Industrial Production, which includes data for Manufacturing and Capacity Utilization has been contracting. January’s consensus estimates are for monthly gains of 0.5% for production and 0.4% for manufacturing and would be a welcome sign for those fearing a  recession. The positive direction would be welcome after December’s monthly decline of 0.7% overall and 1.3% for manufacturing. Capacity utilization is expected to remain at a non-inflationary 78.8%.
  • 10:00 AM ET, Business Inventories data for December are expected to rise 0.3% following a 0.4% expansion in November. Intentional inventory growth can be a sign of business optimism surrounding future sales. If unintended inventory accumulation occurs, then production will probably be throttled back as inventories are worked down. This is why Business Inventories a leading economic indicator.
  • 10:00 AM ET, The Housing Market Index fell each month in 2022. The weak streak ended in January, as it rose 4 points to 35. February’s consensus is a further but smaller 1-point improvement to 36. The Housing Index is a monthly composite that tracks home builder assessments of present and future sales along with buyer traffic
  • 10:00 AM ET, Atlanta Fed Business Inflation Expectations survey provides a monthly measure of year-ahead inflation expectations and inflation uncertainty from the perspective of firms. The survey also provides a monthly gauge of firms’ current sales, profit margins, and unit cost changes. The year over year estimate is for 3%.

Thursday 2/16

  • 8:30 AM ET, Jobless Claims, including Initial Claims and Continuing Claims, have been a big focus of the market as unemployment is running at a historically low pace. The consensus is for growth in Jobless levels to 199,000 versus 196,000 the prior week. Overall low claims would seem to be good news for the economy. The problem now is that it is worrisome for a Fed that views current inflationary pressures, including wage pressures unacceptably high.

Friday 2/17

  • 8:30 AM ET, The Index of Leading Indicators has been in steep decline; it is expected to fall further, but less steeply, by 0.3 percent in January versus a fall of 0.8% in December.

What Else

Investors with interest in telecommunications company Comtech (CMTL) and located in South Florida, may be able to attend one of four special presentations by management on Monday or Tuesday. Get information here to see if this is suited for you.

Monday, February 20th, is a holiday, and the US markets will be closed.

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

Sources

https://www.thearmchairtrader.com/macroeconomic-news-6feb23/

https://us.econoday.com/byweek.asp?cust=us

Release – Axcella Therapeutics to Participate in the SVB Securities’ 2023 Global Biopharma Conference

Research News and Market Data on AXLA

February 9, 2023 at 4:45 PM EST

CAMBRIDGE, Mass.–(BUSINESS WIRE)–Feb. 9, 2023– Axcella Therapeutics (Nasdaq: AXLA), a clinical-stage biotechnology company pioneering a new approach to treat complex diseases using multi-targeted endogenous metabolic modulator (EMM) compositions, today announced that CEO Bill Hinshaw will present a company update at SVB Securities’ 2023 Global Biopharma Conference, taking place virtually February 14-16, 2023.

Details for Axcella’s participation are as follows:

Date: Thursday, February 16, 2023
Time: 11:20 am Eastern Time
Webcast: https://wsw.com/webcast/svb8/axla/1608786

The conference call webcast will be accessible in the Investors & News section on the company’s website at www.axcellatx.com. An archive of the webcast replay will be available on the Company’s website for up to 90 days.

Internet Posting of Information
Axcella uses the “Investors and News” section of its website, www.axcellatx.com, as a means of disclosing material nonpublic information, to communicate with investors and the public, and for complying with its disclosure obligations under Regulation FD. Such disclosures include, but may not be limited to, investor presentations and FAQs, Securities and Exchange Commission filings, press releases, and public conference calls and webcasts. The information that we post on our website could be deemed to be material information. As a result, we encourage investors, the media and others interested to review the information that we post there on a regular basis. The contents of our website shall not be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended.

About Axcella Therapeutics (Nasdaq: AXLA)
Axcella is a clinical-stage biotechnology company pioneering a new approach to treat complex diseases using compositions of endogenous metabolic modulators (EMMs). The company’s product candidates are comprised of EMMs and derivatives that are engineered in distinct combinations and ratios to reset multiple biological pathways, improve cellular energetics, and restore homeostasis. Axcella’s pipeline includes lead therapeutic candidates for the treatment of Long COVID, NASH, and the reduction in risk of OHE recurrence. The company’s unique model allows for the evaluation of its EMM compositions through non-IND clinical studies or IND clinical trials. For more information, please visit www.axcellatx.com.

Company
ir@axcellatx.com

Source: Axcella Therapeutics