SelectQuote (SLQT) – Fiscal Q3 Beat; Strategic Initiatives Paying Off


Friday, May 10, 2024

Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Impressive results. The company reported fiscal Q3 revenue of $376.4 million, beating our estimate of $341.8 million. Adj. EBITDA in the quarter was $46.6 million, also beating our estimate, which was $40.3 million. The robust 26% revenue growth was driven primarily by Pharmacy revenue, which grew 80% over the prior year period.

Strong OEP. Revenue from the Senior segment was 20% better than our estimate, indicating a favorable Medicare Advantage Open Enrollment Period for the company. Notably, Senior segment adj. EBITDA margins were 30% in the quarter.   


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Saga Communications (SGA) – A Little More Revenue Could Fix It


Friday, May 10, 2024

Saga Communications, Inc. is a broadcast company whose business is primarily devoted to acquiring, developing and operating radio stations. Saga currently owns or operates broadcast properties in 27 markets, including 79 FM and 33 AM radio stations. Saga’s strategy is to operate top billing radio stations in mid sized markets, defined as markets ranked (by market revenues) from 20 to 200. Saga’s radio stations employ a myriad of programming formats, including Active Rock, Adult Album Alternative, Adult Contemporary, Country, Classic Country, Classic Hits, Classic Rock, Contemporary Hits Radio, News/Talk, Oldies and Urban Contemporary. In operating its stations, Saga concentrates on the development of strong decentralized local management, which is responsible for the day-to-day operations of the stations in their market area and is compensated based on their financial performance as well as other performance factors that are deemed to effect the long-term ability of the stations to achieve financial objectives. Saga began operations in 1986 and became a publicly traded company in December 1992. The stock trades on NASDAQ under the ticker symbol “SGA”.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Q1 results. The company reported Q1 revenue of $24.7 million, marginally beating our estimate of $24.3 million. Adj. EBITDA in the quarter was $0.2 million, which missed our estimate of $1.7 million. The “miss” was due to extra ordinary expenses including streaming costs, healthcare, wages, and bad debt. Some of these costs are not expected to continue into subsequent quarters.

2024 outlook. We view 2024 as a year of transition for the company, given its increased focus and investment in growing digital and national revenue. Notably, management highlighted that its online news service is expected to have 18 different websites operational by the end of June, and its acquisition of five radio stations located in Lafayette, Indiana is expected to close by June 1. 


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One Stop Systems (OSS) – Transition is Progressing


Friday, May 10, 2024

One Stop Systems, Inc. (OSS) designs and manufactures innovative AI Transportable edge computing modules and systems, including ruggedized servers, compute accelerators, expansion systems, flash storage arrays, and Ion Accelerator™ SAN, NAS, and data recording software for AI workflows. These products are used for AI data set capture, training, and large-scale inference in the defense, oil and gas, mining, autonomous vehicles, and rugged entertainment applications. OSS utilizes the power of PCI Express, the latest GPU accelerators and NVMe storage to build award-winning systems, including many industry firsts, for industrial OEMs and government customers. The company enables AI on the Fly® by bringing AI datacenter performance to ‘the edge,’ especially on mobile platforms, and by addressing the entire AI workflow, from high-speed data acquisition to deep learning, training, and inference. OSS products are available directly or through global distributors. For more information, go to www.onestopsystems.com.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Ongoing Transition. The transition of OSS towards opportunities in growing defense and commercial markets and away from the legacy media company is ongoing, although the uncertain economic environment and delayed federal government budget approvals are slowing the process down. Nonetheless, we expect OSS to return to y-o-y revenue growth in the second half. Notably, book-to-bill in the OSS segment was 1.1x for the quarter.

1Q24 Results. Revenue of $12.7 million declined 24.6%, partly due to the absence of Disguise revenue but also delays in orders from a key customer. Gross margin of 29.4% declined 80bp y-o-y. OSS reported a GAAP net loss of $1.34 million, or a loss of $0.06/sh and an adjusted loss of $0.04/sh, compared to a net loss of $400,500, or a loss of $0.02/sh and an adjusted breakeven, in 1Q23. We had estimated revenue of $12.5 million, a GAAP loss of $0.07/sh, and adjusted loss of $0.04/sh.


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Kratos Defense & Security (KTOS) – A Closer Look at the Great Quarter


Friday, May 10, 2024

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (NASDAQ:KTOS) develops and fields transformative, affordable technology, platforms, and systems for United States National Security related customers, allies, and commercial enterprises. Kratos is changing the way breakthrough technologies for these industries are rapidly brought to market through proven commercial and venture capital backed approaches, including proactive research, and streamlined development processes. At Kratos, affordability is a technology, and we specialize in unmanned systems, satellite communications, cyber security/warfare, microwave electronics, missile defense, hypersonic systems, training and combat systems and next generation turbo jet and turbo fan engine development. For more information go to www.kratosdefense.com.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Performance Drivers. Contributing to the first quarter’s strong performance included particularly solid performance in unmanned systems, air defense, propulsion systems, turbine technologies, and the microwave electronics businesses, as well as production and delivery on certain programs that were executed earlier in the year than initially expected.

Events Favor Kratos. With the federal budget finally passed, increased funding has been allocated to areas which are right in Kratos’ sweet spot while ongoing world events, especially in the Ukraine and Middle East are highlighting the need for Kratos products, both of which we believe will drive growth for the Company.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Kelly Services (KELYA) – First Look at 1Q24


Friday, May 10, 2024

Kelly (Nasdaq: KELYA, KELYB) connects talented people to companies in need of their skills in areas including Science, Engineering, Education, Office, Contact Center, Light Industrial, and more. We’re always thinking about what’s next in the evolving world of work, and we help people ditch the script on old ways of thinking and embrace the value of all workstyles in the workplace. We directly employ nearly 350,000 people around the world and connect thousands more with work through our global network of talent suppliers and partners in our outsourcing and consulting practice. Revenue in 2021 was $4.9 billion. Visit kellyservices.com and let us help with what’s next for you.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

1Q24. There are a lot of moving parts, with the sale of the European staffing business and some one-time expenses. On an organic basis, revenue declined 2.6% y-o-y to $945.6 million due to ongoing soft demand, although the Education segment grew 16.2% y-o-y. Adjusted EBITDA margin was up 110bp to 3.2% driven by the sale of the European business and ongoing expenses reduction initiatives. Adjusted net earnings rose to $20.3 million, or $0.56/sh, from $15.9 million, or $0.42/sh in 1Q23.

GAAP Results. Revenue of $1.05 billion declined 17.6% (17.7% decline on constant currency basis) from last year. Gross profit rate was down 30bp to 19.7% y-o-y with mix and lower permanent placement fees offsetting the benefit from the sale of the European staffing business. Operating earnings of $26.8 million rose 150.2%. Net income was $25.8 million, or $0.70/sh, versus $10.9 million, or $0.29/sh in the prior year.


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Information Services Group (III) – A Peek into First Quarter Results


Friday, May 10, 2024

ISG (Information Services Group) (Nasdaq: III) is a leading global technology research and advisory firm. A trusted business partner to more than 700 clients, including more than 75 of the world’s top 100 enterprises, ISG is committed to helping corporations, public sector organizations, and service and technology providers achieve operational excellence and faster growth. The firm specializes in digital transformation services, including automation, cloud and data analytics; sourcing advisory; managed governance and risk services; network carrier services; strategy and operations design; change management; market intelligence and technology research and analysis. Founded in 2006, and based in Stamford, Conn., ISG employs more than 1,300 digital-ready professionals operating in more than 20 countries—a global team known for its innovative thinking, market influence, deep industry and technology expertise, and world-class research and analytical capabilities based on the industry’s most comprehensive marketplace data. For additional information, visit www.ISG-One.com

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Results. Revenue was reported at $64.3 million, down 18% from $78.5 million in the previous year. We estimated revenue of $66 million. Continued slower client decision making meant revenue is being pushed into later quarters. Net loss for the quarter was $3.4 million, or a loss of $0.07 per share, compared to net income of $3.5 million, or $0.07 per share last year. We estimated a net loss of $0.7 million, or a loss of $0.01 per share.

Recurring Revenue and Tango. Recurring revenues for the Company continue to grow, accounting for about half of ISG’s revenues in 1Q24. For the trailing 12 months, recurring revenues totaled $126 million, up 10% from the previous 12-month period. We expect recurring revenues to continue to grow with management’s focus on growing platforms such as ISG GovernX and ISG ProBenchmark. With the launch of the next-gen sourcing platform ISG Tango in March, the Company is already seeing the platform gaining interest, as over $2.6 billion of contract value is already running on the platform.


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Haynes International (HAYN) – Raw Material Headwinds Persist


Friday, May 10, 2024

Haynes International, Inc. is a leading developer, manufacturer and marketer of technologically advanced, nickel and cobalt-based high-performance alloys, primarily for use in the aerospace, industrial gas turbine and chemical processing industries.

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Second quarter financial results. Haynes reported second-quarter fiscal 2024 net income of $8.6 million or $0.66 per share compared to $12.3 million or $0.96 per share during the prior year period. Adjusted EBITDA was $18.0 million compared to $22.4 million during the prior year period and declined as a percentage of net revenues. While the company experienced revenue growth in its core aerospace and industrial gas turbine markets, the quarter was negatively impacted by decreasing nickel prices which reduced gross margins, along with lingering impacts from the unplanned hot mill outage in the first quarter. The estimated negative impact from raw material volatility in the second quarter was $5.3 million.

Updating estimates. We have lowered our 2024 EBITDA and EPS estimates to $79.3 million and $3.13 from $84.8 million and $3.50, respectively. The revisions reflect recent earnings results and lower margins in the second half of the year. Our 2025 EBITDA and EPS estimates were reduced to $103.9 million and $4.40 from $104.5 million and $4.45.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Harte Hanks (HHS) – Solid Start To The Year


Friday, May 10, 2024

Harte Hanks (NASDAQ: HHS) is a leading global customer experience company whose mission is to partner with clients to provide them with CX strategy, data-driven analytics and actionable insights combined with seamless program execution to better understand, attract, and engage their customers. Using its unparalleled resources and award-winning talent in the areas of Customer Care, Fulfillment and Logistics, and Marketing Services, Harte Hanks has a proven track record of driving results for some of the world’s premier brands including Bank of America, GlaxoSmithKline, Unilever, Pfizer, HBOMax, Volvo, Ford, FedEx, Midea, Sony, and IBM among others. Headquartered in Chelmsford, Massachusetts , Harte Hanks has over 2,500 employees in offices across the Americas, Europe and Asia Pacific .

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Overachieves Q1 expectations. The company reported Q1 revenue of $45.4 million, beating our estimate of $44.8 million by 1.4%. Adj. EBITDA was $2.8 million, which beat our estimate of $2.1 million as illustrated in Figure #1 Results. Notably, the quarter was driven by favorable y-o-y revenue growth in the customer care and sales services segments. 

Segment performance. Notably, the company’s sales services segment recorded revenue of $4.7 million in Q1, a significant step up from $2.8 million last year. Customer Care also had a strong quarter, recording $12.4 million in revenue, up from $11.6 million in the prior year period. The company appears to have positive momentum heading into the second quarter. 


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GoHealth, Inc. (GOCO) – Q1 Illustrates Business Model Integrity


Friday, May 10, 2024

Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Q1 results. The company reported Q1 revenue of $185.6 million, in line with our estimate of $183.0 million. Adj. EBITDA of $26.9 million was below our forecast of $30.4 million. Management indicated that market dynamics in Q1, which featured the Medicare Advantage Open Enrollment Period, were fairly consistent with the Annual Enrollment Period in Q4.

Demonstrating model integrity. During the quarter, the company reaffirmed 94,000 health insurance policies, even though such outcomes do not generate incremental revenue for the company. In our view, this serves to highlight the company’s commitment to putting the consumer first and we believe the company could be rewarded for this in the long run.


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E.W. Scripps (SSP) – Lackluster Near Term Revenue Picture


Friday, May 10, 2024

The E.W. Scripps Company (NASDAQ: SSP) is a diversified media company focused on creating a better-informed world. As one of the nation’s largest local TV broadcasters, Scripps serves communities with quality, objective local journalism and operates a portfolio of 61 stations in 41 markets. The Scripps Networks reach nearly every American through the national news outlets Court TV and Newsy and popular entertainment brands ION, Bounce, Defy TV, Grit, ION Mystery, Laff and TrueReal. Scripps is the nation’s largest holder of broadcast spectrum. Scripps runs an award-winning investigative reporting newsroom in Washington, D.C., and is the longtime steward of the Scripps National Spelling Bee. Founded in 1878, Scripps has held for decades to the motto, “Give light and the people will find their own way.”

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Favorable Q1 results. Revenues were a little lighter than what we were looking for at $561.5 million versus our $571.0 estimate, but adj. EBITDA was better than expected. Adj. EBITDA benefited from stronger than expected high margin Political advertising, $15.2 million versus our $6.5 million estimate. As such, adj. EBITDA of $91.8 million was better than our $82.9 million estimate. 

Raises Political guide. Given the Political advertising strength, management raised full year 2024 Political advertising revenue guide from $210 million to $250 million to a range of $240 million to $270 million. Our previous estimate was $225 million. Notably, the high end of the range would exceed that of the last presidential election cycle in 2020 at $265 million. 


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Cadrenal Therapeutics (CVKD) – 1Q24 Reported With Preparations Continuing For Tecarfarin Phase 3


Friday, May 10, 2024

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Cadrenal Therapeutics Reported 1Q2024. Cadrenal announced a 1Q24 loss of $1.7 million or $(0.10) per share. The company continues to prepare for the Phase 3 clinical trial testing tecarfarin, its anticoagulant, in patients having atrial fibrillation associated with end stage renal disease (AFib with ESRD). This has included hiring a Chief Operating Officer and entering into manufacturing contracts for clinical trial supplies and materials. The cash balance on December 31 was $6.6 million.

Tecarfarin Received Its Second Orphan Drug Designation. As discussed in our Research Note on April 12, the FDA granted Orphan Drug designation for tecarfarin as an anticoagulant in patients with implanted mechanical circulatory support devices. This includes patients with ventricular assist devices (VADs) and total artificial hearts. The lead indication, AFib with ESRD,  has also received Orphan Drug designation.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Zeekr’s $5B Blockbuster IPO Heats Up the Chinese EV Battleground

The electric vehicle revolution continues full-throttle, with Chinese luxury upstart Zeekr making a bold $5.1 billion debut on U.S. public markets this week. In an oversubscribed IPO that priced at the top of its indicated range, the Geely-backed marque has staked an immediate claim as a formidable new contender vying for a slice of the world’s largest EV market.

For investors, Zeekr’s sizzling public premiere throws fresh gas on the opportunities — and risks — of betting on China’s increasingly crowded field of ambitious EV trailblazers. While backing the next disruptive Tesla remains a tantalizing prospect, the playing field has rapidly evolved into a multi-player battlefield where winners and losers will be harshly divisive.

Zeekr certainly checks many of the boxes that have catalyzed the staggering valuations already assigned to Chinese EV leaders like Nio, XPeng, and Li Auto. It boasts sleek vehicle designs, advanced proprietary technologies, and a promising initial sales ramp located at the epicenter of the global EV transformation underway.

The company’s $441 million capital raise provides ample fuel for scaling up manufacturing, developing future products, expanding sales and marketing reach, and potentially complementing its luxury sedan and SUV lineup with additional high-end models. An early valuation of over $5 billion reflects lofty aspirations and embeds expectations for exponential growth in the years ahead.

But it also invites intense scrutiny as Zeekr contends with automotive stalwarts like BYD and upstarts like Nio, along with a rising EV tide from Detroit’s revered marques and European juggernauts. Even perceived victories on sales metrics can prove ephemeral. Just this week, reports indicated Zeekr may have overtaken Tesla for EV deliveries in its home province only to see the more veteran American rival surge back ahead in ensuing days.

With so many players rushing toward electrification, from startups to multi-national conglomerates, successfully navigating the terrain demands more than just leading technologies or early sales momentum. Forging an indelible brand identity, sustainable competitive advantages, and durable customer loyalty could ultimately separate the sector’s long-term winners from its bevy of also-rans.

For Chinese EV entrants like Zeekr, carving out meaningful market share is only step one. Generating consistent profitability and free cash flows will be critical for delivering on the premium valuations embedded in frothy public offerings. So far, even category leaders have struggled to stem losses and burned through billions in pursuing aggressive growth and vertical integration strategies.

Investors bullish on Zeekr’s potential need to weigh the company’s limited operating history and scant financial resources compared to deep-pocketed incumbents and well-capitalized rivals that have amassed years of EV production experience and built extensive supply chains and global sales footprints.

There’s also escalating geopolitical overhang to consider following recent trade tensions and economic maneuverings that elevate risks for indirect Chinese investment exposures. Plenty of speculators have been burned before chasing overheated IPOs at record valuations, only to see shares plummet amid misaligned expectations and deteriorating macroeconomic crosswinds.

Still, for intrepid investors with sky-high conviction in China’s ability to continue dominating EV production value chains, Zeekr’s early innings positioning as a luxe vertical disruptor could allow for savvy entry points. The company hits all the checkboxes that have fueled explosive growth stories in the past, from brash ambitions to cutting-edge technologies to heavyweight strategic backers.

Over the long haul, investor returns in the EV space will ultimately hinge on identifying the handful of players positioned to endure the coming shakeout and cement permanent towerholds. For risk-tolerant portfolios able to withstand volatility, Zeekr’s high-flying market entrance marks a milestone in automotive’s most pivotal technological transition in over a century.

Whether this latest entrant can thrive — or get quickly upended — remains speculative. But the feeding frenzy greeting its arrival underscores insatiable market enthusiasm for staking a claim in the Great EV Migration shaping up on both sides of the Pacific. As this white-hot battlefield heats up, investors must carefully separate the true disruptors reshaping mobility from the litany of overvaluated upstarts soon to be stranded along the road to electrification.

Release – Seanergy Maritime Announces the Date for the First Quarter Ended March 31, 2024 Financial Results, Conference Call and Webcast

Research News and Market Data on SHIP

Seanergy Maritime Announces the Date for the First Quarter Ended March 31, 2024 Financial Results, Conference Call and Webcast

Earnings Release: Wednesday, May 15, 2024, Before Market Open in New York
Conference Call and Webcast: Wednesday, May 15, 2024, at 10:00 a.m. Eastern Time

May 9, 2024 – Glyfada, Greece – Seanergy Maritime Holdings Corp. (the “Company” or “Seanergy”) (NASDAQ: SHIP) announced today that it will release its financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2024, prior to the open of the market in New York on Wednesday, May 15, 2024. 

Seanergy’s senior management will conduct a conference call and simultaneous Internet webcast to review these results on Wednesday, May 15, 2024 at 10:00 a.m. Eastern Time. 

Audio Webcast:

There will be a live, and then archived, webcast of the conference call available through the Company’s website. To listen to the archived audio file, visit our website, following the Webcast & Presentations section under our Investor Relations page. Participants to the live webcast should register on the Seanergy website approximately 10 minutes prior to the start of the webcast, by following this link.

Conference Call Details:

Participants have the option to register for the call using the following link. You can use any number from the list or add your phone number and let the system call you right away.

About Seanergy Maritime Holdings Corp.

Seanergy Maritime Holdings Corp. is a prominent pure-play Capesize ship-owner publicly listed in the U.S. Seanergy provides marine dry bulk transportation services through a modern fleet of Capesize vessels. The Company’s operating fleet consists of 17 vessels (1 Newcastlemax and 16 Capesize) with an average age of approximately 13.2 years and an aggregate cargo carrying capacity of approximately 3,054,820 dwt. Upon the completion of the delivery of our latest acquisitions, the Company’s operating fleet will consist of 19 vessels (1 Newcastlemax and 18 Capesize) with an aggregate cargo carrying capacity of approximately 3,417,608 dwt.

The Company is incorporated in the Marshall Islands and has executive offices in Glyfada, Greece. The Company’s common shares trade on the Nasdaq Capital Market under the symbol “SHIP”.

Please visit our Company website at: www.seanergymaritime.com.

Link to press release

Seanergy Investor Relations
Tel: +30 213 0181 522
E-mail: ir@seanergy.gr