Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
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R&D Day Highlighted Science, Current Trials, Future Indications. We attended the Eledon R&D Day on July 9 to hear and evaluate the progress in tegoprubart development. The presentations focused on the current clinical indications in renal transplantation, islet cell transplantation, xenotransplants, and plans for liver and other solid organ transplants. Conference presentation dates for upcoming data announcements were also announced.
Phase 1b Data Update Is Planned For August. The Phase 1b open-label trial has been expanded to enroll up to 36 patients, an increase from the original 9 patients. Data is scheduled for presentation at the World Transplant Congress on August 9, 2025. Previous data presentations have included 13 patients. We expect to see follow-up data from more patients treated longer, with data from additional patients beyond the initial 12-month trial duration.
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President Donald Trump announced on Tuesday his intention to impose tariffs of up to 200% on imported pharmaceutical products, a move that could dramatically reshape the pharmaceutical landscape. While the tariffs would not go into effect immediately, the president indicated they could be implemented “very soon,” with a grace period of roughly a year to a year and a half for companies to adapt.
The proposed tariffs come as part of a broader economic strategy aimed at bolstering domestic manufacturing and reducing U.S. reliance on foreign pharmaceutical production. Trump has long criticized the pharmaceutical industry for outsourcing production, and this latest proposal aligns with his “America First” trade agenda. The administration believes steep tariffs would incentivize companies to bring more manufacturing operations back to the United States.
Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick confirmed that the final details of the pharmaceutical tariffs will be revealed by the end of July, following the conclusion of studies on pharmaceuticals and semiconductors currently under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act. This legal framework allows the administration to impose trade barriers on national security grounds—one of the same avenues used for previous tariffs on steel and aluminum.
Pharmaceutical companies and industry groups reacted swiftly to the announcement. Major firms, including Eli Lilly, Johnson & Johnson, and AbbVie, have warned that such a move could lead to unintended consequences. Critics argue the tariffs would raise the cost of essential medicines, disrupt global supply chains, and potentially limit access to critical drugs for patients.
Industry leaders have also expressed concern that the new tariffs could stifle innovation by diverting funds away from research and development. The pharmaceutical sector is already under pressure from other regulatory changes related to drug pricing and reimbursement models. Adding steep tariffs into the mix, they argue, could further destabilize long-term investment in life-saving therapies.
Despite these concerns, Trump maintains that the threat of tariffs is a powerful lever to revive American manufacturing. While some large pharmaceutical companies have increased domestic investment in recent years, U.S.-based drug production still represents only a fraction of global output. Trump’s administration believes that tough economic measures are necessary to reverse decades of offshoring.
Notably, pharmaceutical stocks remained relatively stable in the immediate aftermath of the announcement, reflecting skepticism among investors about whether the tariffs will ultimately materialize or reach the proposed 200% threshold. Trump has previously floated similar trade measures that were later scaled back or delayed.
Still, the mere possibility of such tariffs signals a growing willingness to use aggressive trade policy in sectors traditionally considered too sensitive or complex for broad economic intervention. The coming weeks will likely bring more clarity as the administration finalizes its review and industry stakeholders prepare for what could be a major policy shift.
If enacted, these tariffs would mark one of the most consequential moves in U.S. healthcare trade policy in decades—potentially reshaping supply chains, pricing, and the geopolitical landscape of pharmaceutical production.
Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Amended credit agreement. On June 30, the company announced an amendment to its credit agreement, extending the maturity of the company’s Class A Revolving Commitments from Q2 end to Q3 end. Moreover, any interest due on the revolver and refinanced term loans through that date will be paid in-kind. The amendment also waived financial covenant testing for Q2 and Q3, offering the company a temporary liquidity reprieve.
Cost of amendment. As part of the amendment, GoHealth will pay a 1.00% amendment fee to consenting lenders, which, along with all interest through September 30, will be paid in-kind and added to the principal balance of its loans. As a result, we estimate these provisions will increase the company’s outstanding debt by approximately $6 million.
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Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Approval Delay Is Not A Surprise. Unicycive announced that it has received a Complete Response Letter (CRL) in response to its New Drug Application (NDA) for Oxylanthanum Carbonate (OLC). This was expected following the announcement earlier this month stating that the FDA manufacturing inspection had found deficiencies with one of the OLC contract manufacturers. The company has switched to one of its other manufacturers, which we believe can resolve the issues quickly. We see approval possible around 4Q25 to 1Q26.
Plans To Address The Issues. Unicycive plans to hold a Type A meeting with the FDA to determine its requirements for resolution of the issues cited in the CRL. The company’s second manufacturer already produces OLC and has been generating data for FDA certification. This should allow Unicycive to submit any additional data requested quickly to resolve the issue.
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Key Points: – XOMA will acquire Turnstone for $0.34 per share plus a CVR. – 25.2% of shareholders have agreed to the deal. – The acquisition expands XOMA’s biotech royalty portfolio.
In a notable development in the biotech investment landscape, XOMA Royalty Corporation has entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Turnstone Biologics Corp. in a cash and contingent value right (CVR) transaction. The acquisition underscores XOMA’s continued push to expand its royalty and milestone-driven portfolio by targeting biotech firms with high-risk, high-reward therapeutic assets.
Under the terms of the deal announced June 27, XOMA Royalty will pay $0.34 per share in cash to Turnstone shareholders, along with a non-transferable CVR tied to future clinical or commercial milestones. The transaction was unanimously approved by Turnstone’s board following a comprehensive strategic review, indicating strong alignment between both companies on the benefits of the proposed merger.
The transaction will be executed through a tender offer, which XOMA is expected to launch by July 11, 2025. To move forward, the offer requires acceptance by holders representing at least a majority of Turnstone’s outstanding shares, along with other standard closing conditions including a minimum cash balance at the time of closing.
Significantly, shareholders representing roughly 25.2% of Turnstone’s stock have already agreed to support the deal and tender their shares, increasing the likelihood of a successful outcome. If the tender offer is completed as planned, remaining shares not tendered—excluding any subject to appraisal rights—will be converted into the same cash and CVR terms. The full acquisition is anticipated to close by August 2025.
The CVR element of the deal provides Turnstone shareholders with potential upside depending on the progress of its pipeline, which historically has focused on Selected Tumor-Infiltrating Lymphocyte (Selected TIL) therapy for the treatment of solid tumors. While the company has faced challenges in recent quarters, its research has positioned it within a promising niche of the immuno-oncology space.
Turnstone has partnered with Leerink Partners as financial advisor and Cooley LLP for legal counsel during the transaction process. On the acquiring side, XOMA is represented by legal firm Gibson, Dunn & Crutcher LLP.
This acquisition adds another layer to XOMA’s unique business model, which focuses on purchasing future economic rights—royalties and milestone payments—from pre-commercial and commercial biotech programs. These rights are typically tied to therapies developed and licensed out by smaller biotech companies to larger pharmaceutical firms. In return, the selling firms receive non-dilutive capital they can reinvest into pipeline development or general operations.
By bringing Turnstone into its fold, XOMA potentially gains exposure to novel cancer therapies while giving Turnstone a viable financial exit at a time when biotech funding remains tight. The CVR component allows existing shareholders to benefit from any future success tied to Turnstone’s core scientific work, creating a hybrid payout structure aligned with both short-term liquidity and long-term optionality.
The transaction reflects a growing trend in biotech M&A, where royalty aggregators like XOMA leverage strategic acquisitions to build long-term value while offering capital relief to development-stage firms.
As of now, both companies remain focused on a smooth closing process, with investors watching closely to see how Turnstone’s science and XOMA’s model will align in the quarters ahead.
Ocugen, Inc. is a biotechnology company focused on developing and commercializing novel gene therapies, biologicals, and vaccines. The lead product in its gene therapy program, OCU400, is in Phase 1/2 clinical trials for retinitis pigmentosa.
Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
NeoCart Transferred To Form New Regenerative Medicine Company. Ocugen has announced that it has entered into a merger agreement with Carisma Therapeutics to form a new company. Ocugen will transfer its wholly-owned regenerative medicine division, OrthoCellix, including NeoCart, an autologous cartilage implant technology that uses a patient’s cells to repair articular cartilage defects in the knee. The all-stock transaction is valued at $150 million, with Ocugen shareholders owning 90% of the new company.
We Expect The New Company To Accelerate NeoCart Development. Ocugen has been refining the Phase 3 trial design and has planned to start Phase 3 trials during FY2025. NeoCart has received Regenerative Medicine Advanced Therapy (RMAT) designation, which accelerates BLA review and could lead to faster approval. While the NeoCart data has been strong, NeoCart was a legacy product that was acquired by Ocugen as part of its 2019 reverse merger with Histogenics. Regenerative medicine is outside Ocugen’s main focus, and we believe it can be developed more rapidly by a company focused on regenerative medicine.
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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Preparing For AVERSA Fentanyl Clinical Testing. Nutriband and its partner Kindeva announced that it has completed commercial manufacturing processes and scale-up for AVERSA Fentanyl, its abuse-deterrent fentanyl patch. This allows the company begin manufacturing clinical supplies and filing the IND (Investigational New Drug application) for the Phase 1 clinical study within the timeframe we anticipated. Only a single Phase 1 study is needed to file the application for marketing approval.
Manufacturing Completion Is A Significant Milestone. This scale-up is a significant step that demonstrates the ability to apply Kindeva’s transdermal patch technology for commercial scale production of AVERSA Fentanyl patches. We expect the IND filing to be completed shortly, with clinical testing to follow as expected.
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MAIA is a targeted therapy, immuno-oncology company focused on the development and commercialization of potential first-in-class drugs with novel mechanisms of action that are intended to meaningfully improve and extend the lives of people with cancer. Our lead program is THIO, a potential first-in-class cancer telomere targeting agent in clinical development for the treatment of NSCLC patients with telomerase-positive cancer cells. For more information, please visit www.maiabiotech.com.
Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
MAIA Makes Its Third Supply Agreement. MAIA announced that it has entered a supply agreement with Genentech/Roche to test THIO (ateganosine) in combination with Tecentriq (atezolizumab, Roche’s PD-L1 checkpoint inhibitor) for the treatment of several hard-to-treat cancers. MAIA now has supply agreements to test THIO in combination with checkpoint inhibitors from three global pharmaceutical companies, which we see as an indicator of interest for future partnerships.
PD-1 or PD-1L? That Is The Question. Checkpoint inhibitors block the interaction of the surface proteins PD-1 (programmed death receptor-1) with PD-1L (the programed death receptor-1 ligand). When the PD-1 receptor binds to the PD-1L ligand, it inhibits the immune response. Checkpoint inhibitors are monoclonal antibody drugs against PD-1 or PD-L1 that block this interaction, allowing cancer cells to be recognized by a patient’s immune system and killed.
Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.
This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Highlights from Noble’s Emerging Growth Virtual Conference. Vijay Kotte, CEO, presented at Noble’s Virtual Equity conference June 4 & 5th. Mr. Kotte highlighted the company’s proprietary technology, consumer-centric Medicare policy platform, and gave an update on recent developments. A rebroadcast is available here.
Purpose-built technology. Mr. Kotte emphasized the company’s use of proprietary machine learning tools alongside licensed agents to tailor recommendations to each consumer’s needs. With Medicare beneficiaries typically choosing from 40–50 plans, this technology plays a key role in efficiently identifying the most suitable options.
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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
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Key Points: – Lilly acquires Verve Therapeutics to develop one-time gene editing treatments for cardiovascular disease. – Verve’s VERVE-102 targets the PCSK9 gene to lower cholesterol with a single dose. – Deal strengthens Lilly’s position in cardiometabolic and genetic medicine sectors.
In a move set to transform the landscape of cardiovascular care, Eli Lilly and Company (NYSE: LLY) announced its acquisition of Verve Therapeutics, Inc. (Nasdaq: VERV), a clinical-stage biotechnology firm focused on gene editing treatments for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). The transaction, valued at up to $1.3 billion, is aimed at accelerating the development of groundbreaking one-time treatments that could offer lifelong benefits to patients with high cardiovascular risk.
Verve’s lead program, VERVE-102, is a promising in vivo gene editing therapy targeting the PCSK9 gene—an established regulator of LDL cholesterol levels. Currently in a Phase 1b clinical trial, VERVE-102 has been granted Fast Track designation by the FDA and is designed for individuals with heterozygous familial hypercholesterolemia (HeFH) and certain forms of premature coronary artery disease. If successful, the treatment could eliminate the need for chronic medication by permanently modifying liver DNA to lower harmful cholesterol levels.
“This acquisition marks a bold step toward shifting cardiovascular care from lifelong therapy to one-time cures,” said Ruth Gimeno, Lilly’s Group VP of Diabetes and Metabolic Research and Development. “Combining Lilly’s global scale with Verve’s scientific innovation positions us to lead the next generation of cardiometabolic treatment.”
The purchase agreement includes an upfront cash payment of $10.50 per share—totaling approximately $1.0 billion—along with an additional contingent value right (CVR) worth up to $3.00 per share, tied to future clinical milestones. If all conditions are met, the total deal value could reach $1.3 billion. The acquisition represents a 113% premium over Verve’s 30-day average stock price prior to the announcement.
Founded just seven years ago, Verve has rapidly built a pipeline of one-time gene editing therapies aimed at the three core lipid-related drivers of ASCVD: low-density lipoproteins, triglycerides, and lipoprotein(a). In addition to VERVE-102, Verve is advancing VERVE-201 (targeting ANGPTL3 for refractory hypercholesterolemia) and VERVE-301 (targeting LPA for lipoprotein(a)-related risks).
“Joining Lilly is the natural next step in our mission to bring one-time gene editing treatments to people with cardiovascular disease,” said Dr. Sekar Kathiresan, co-founder and CEO of Verve. “Lilly’s world-class capabilities will significantly accelerate our clinical development and commercial reach.”
The deal is expected to close in Q3 2025, pending customary regulatory approvals and the successful tendering of Verve shares. Several major shareholders, including co-founders and investors affiliated with GV (formerly Google Ventures), have already agreed to tender approximately 17.8% of Verve’s outstanding stock.
For Lilly, this acquisition reinforces its strategic commitment to expanding in cardiometabolic and genetic medicine sectors—areas already central to its long-term growth strategy. As the race to develop durable, gene-based solutions for chronic illnesses intensifies, the Verve acquisition could position Lilly at the forefront of an entirely new therapeutic paradigm.
Ocugen, Inc. is a biotechnology company focused on developing and commercializing novel gene therapies, biologicals, and vaccines. The lead product in its gene therapy program, OCU400, is in Phase 1/2 clinical trials for retinitis pigmentosa.
Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
OCU410ST Cleared To Begin Confirmatory Trial. Ocugen announced that the FDA has approved its IND amendment to allow OCU410ST to begin its Phase 2/3 pivotal confirmatory trial. This will become the second Ocugen product to move into a Phase 2/3 confirmatory trial, and keeps the company on schedule to meet its goal of submitting three BLAs in the three years between 2026-28.
Brief Description of Stargardt Disease. Stargardt disease is a rare autosomal recessive disease caused by mutations in the ABCA4 gene in the retina. Progressive loss of photoreceptor cells in the retina typically starts at a young age, leading to blindness. Ocugen has received Orphan Drug designation and Rare Pediatric Disease Designation (RPDD) for diseases associated with ABCA4 diseases, including Stargardt, retinitis pigmentosa 19, and cone-rod dystrophy 3.
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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
GeoVax Labs, Inc. is a clinical-stage biotechnology company developing novel therapies and vaccines for solid tumor cancers and many of the world’s most threatening infectious diseases. The company’s lead program in oncology is a novel oncolytic solid tumor gene-directed therapy, Gedeptin®, presently in a multicenter Phase 1/2 clinical trial for advanced head and neck cancers. GeoVax’s lead infectious disease candidate is GEO-CM04S1, a next-generation COVID-19 vaccine targeting high-risk immunocompromised patient populations. Currently in three Phase 2 clinical trials, GEO-CM04S1 is being evaluated as a primary vaccine for immunocompromised patients such as those suffering from hematologic cancers and other patient populations for whom the current authorized COVID-19 vaccines are insufficient, and as a booster vaccine in patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL). In addition, GEO-CM04S1 is in a Phase 2 clinical trial evaluating the vaccine as a more robust, durable COVID-19 booster among healthy patients who previously received the mRNA vaccines. GeoVax has a leadership team who have driven significant value creation across multiple life science companies over the past several decades.
Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
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GEO-MVA Gets An Accelerated Pathway To European Approval. GeoVax announced that it has received guidance from the EMA (European Medicines Agency) that provides an accelerated path to approval for GEO-MVA, its modified vaccinia ankara (MVA) based vaccine for smallpox/Mpox. It will only be required to conduct immune-bridging and toxicity studies before moving directly to Phase 3. This cuts several years from development time and saves many millions of dollars in clinical expenses.
Only Phase 3 Will Be Needed. The Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use (CHMP) of the EMA stated that only requirements before beginning a Phase 3 study will be a non-clinical immuno-bridging and toxicity studies. No Phase 1 or Phase 2 studies are required. An MAA regulatory application can be submitted after a single, Phase 3 immuno-bridging study against the approved MVA vaccine (Imvanex or Jynneos, from Bavarian Nordic). The proposed endpoints of the study would be demonstration of immunogenicity to show non-inferiority.
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Key Points: – Supernus to acquire Sage for up to $12.00 per share, combining upfront cash and milestone-based CVRs. – Deal adds FDA-approved ZURZUVAE® for postpartum depression to Supernus’ growing CNS portfolio. – Transaction expected to be accretive by 2026, with $200M in annual cost synergies forecast.
Supernus Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: SUPN) has announced a strategic acquisition of Sage Therapeutics (NASDAQ: SAGE) in a deal worth up to $795 million, signaling a bold expansion into the neuropsychiatric space. This all-cash transaction, set to close in Q3 2025, brings to Supernus a key commercial asset—ZURZUVAE® (zuranolone)—as well as access to Sage’s central nervous system (CNS) discovery platform.
The proposed deal includes an upfront payment of $8.50 per share in cash, representing approximately $561 million, and a non-tradable contingent value right (CVR) worth up to an additional $3.50 per share. The CVR milestones are tied to commercial performance of ZURZUVAE in the U.S. and its future launch in Japan.
This acquisition is a transformative step for Supernus, best known for CNS products such as Qelbree®, GOCOVRI®, and ONAPGO™. With the addition of ZURZUVAE—the first and only FDA-approved oral treatment for postpartum depression—the company further solidifies its footprint in the growing neuropsychiatry market. Supernus CEO Jack Khattar stated that the move “adds a fourth growth product” and “diversifies our sources of future growth.”
ZURZUVAE was developed by Sage and commercialized in partnership with Biogen. Under the collaboration, Supernus will recognize revenue equal to 50% of U.S. net sales. In 2024, that share amounted to $36.1 million, with $13.8 million already reported in Q1 2025—indicating an accelerating ramp that Supernus is now positioned to capitalize on.
From a financial perspective, the deal is expected to be significantly accretive starting in 2026, supported by estimated annual cost synergies of up to $200 million. Supernus will fund the transaction entirely through its existing cash reserves, avoiding equity dilution or new debt issuance. For investors, this adds a layer of financial discipline and long-term earnings potential.
Sage’s leadership, including CEO Barry Greene, called the deal the result of a comprehensive strategic review aimed at maximizing shareholder value. Greene highlighted the company’s mission in brain health and praised the Sage team’s work in delivering two first-in-class therapies for postpartum depression.
In terms of integration, Sage’s R&D pipeline and commercial operations will fold into Supernus’ existing infrastructure—a move expected to streamline costs and accelerate product development. The combined entity will also benefit from a strengthened CNS platform and expanded market reach.
While the deal is subject to customary closing conditions, including regulatory approvals and a majority tender of Sage’s outstanding shares, both companies anticipate a smooth closing process. Supernus plans to provide revised financial guidance following deal completion in Q3.
This acquisition reflects a strategic shift in mid-cap biopharma, where clinical differentiation and near-term revenue growth are prioritized. For small- and micro-cap investors, it also signals continued consolidation in the CNS space—where innovation, reimbursement potential, and strong commercialization strategy drive M&A activity.
