Category: Energy

Alvopetro Energy (ALVOF) – Results near expectations with volumes preannounced and pricing set

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, November 09, 2023

Alvopetro Energy Ltd.’s vision is to become a leading independent upstream and midstream operator in Brazil. Our strategy is to unlock the on-shore natural gas potential in the state of Bahia in Brazil, building off the development of our Caburé natural gas field and our strategic midstream infrastructure.

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Alvopetro reported 2023-3Q net income of $5.8 million or $0.15 per diluted share. Results were slightly below our projections for net income of $6.3 million, or $0.17 per share. Sales were $12.3 million versus our $11.8 million estimate. With sales volume preannounced on a monthly basis and natural gas prices (95% of sales) preset by Alvopetro’s Gas Sales Agreement, there is little variance to expectations.

Production costs per unit rose explaining the slightly lower-than-expected results. Production expenses per barrel of oil equivalent (BOE) produced were $6.52 versus $3.34 last year and $5.77 last quarter. We attribute the rise to lower production volume and do not view it as an area of concern. Operating netbacks (realized prices less royalties and production costs) were $70.34 per BOE up from $59.83 last year and $67.46 last quarter. Higher netbacks reflect a natural gas price reset in February and August that increased pricing as well as a decrease in royalty costs.


Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Energy Fuels (UUUU) – Uranium Sales Growing as Company Gets Ready To Restart Mining

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, November 07, 2023

Energy Fuels is a leading U.S.-based uranium mining company, supplying U3O8 to major nuclear utilities. Energy Fuels also produces vanadium from certain of its projects, as market conditions warrant, and is ramping up commercial-scale production of REE carbonate. Its corporate offices are in Lakewood, Colorado, near Denver, and all its assets and employees are in the United States. Energy Fuels holds three of America’s key uranium production centers: the White Mesa Mill in Utah, the Nichols Ranch in-situ recovery (“ISR”) Project in Wyoming, and the Alta Mesa ISR Project in Texas. The White Mesa Mill is the only conventional uranium mill operating in the U.S. today, has a licensed capacity of over 8 million pounds of U3O8 per year, has the ability to produce vanadium when market conditions warrant, as well as REE carbonate from various uranium-bearing ores. The Nichols Ranch ISR Project is on standby and has a licensed capacity of 2 million pounds of U3O8 per year. The Alta Mesa ISR Project is also on standby and has a licensed capacity of 1.5 million pounds of U3O8 per year. In addition to the above production facilities, Energy Fuels also has one of the largest NI 43-101 compliant uranium resource portfolios in the U.S. and several uranium and uranium/vanadium mining projects on standby and in various stages of permitting and development. The primary trading market for Energy Fuels’ common shares is the NYSE American under the trading symbol “UUUU,” and the Company’s common shares are also listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the trading symbol “EFR.” Energy Fuels’ website is www.energyfuels.com.

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Higher uranium prices led to increased sales out of inventory. Uranium prices rose during the quarter with spot prices moving into the mid-seventies. While realized prices for Energy Fuel were only $58.18/lb. because of long-term contract pricing, it remains well above production costs, which management describes as “well below $50/lb.” Energy Fuels continues to meet its utility contracts through the sale of uranium out of inventory. Inventory levels (586,000 tonnes) are roughly half of the level at the start of the year (1,027,000 tonnes).

Financial results improve with uranium sales. 2023-3Q results were largely in line with expectations once nonrecurring gains are removed. Of course, the Energy Fuel story has never been about near-term results. Instead, the stock moves on corporate developments. And, while there have been some setbacks (REE supply issues, share dilution), the company has made steady progress. We look for the stock to do well as projections turn into cash flow, and as investors begin to realize the potential of rising uranium prices and the profitability of REE separation.


Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Alvopetro Energy (ALVOF) – Production takes a turn upward

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, November 07, 2023

Alvopetro Energy Ltd.’s vision is to become a leading independent upstream and midstream operator in Brazil. Our strategy is to unlock the on-shore natural gas potential in the state of Bahia in Brazil, building off the development of our Caburé natural gas field and our strategic midstream infrastructure.

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Production in the month of October was 1,839 boe/d, up from 1,203 boe/d in September. Production has been anemic in recent months due to partner nomination issues in the Cabure field and demand issues by Bahia Gas. The production increase, and the fact that it largely came from the Cabure field, is a positive indication that Alvopetro’s growth plans are getting back on track. Management has set a near-term goal of reaching 3,000 boe/d and a long-term goal of 5,833 boe/d.

Speaking of growth, results from a new oil well look positive. Alvopetro completed the BL-6 well in the Bom Lugar field. The well is averaging 13 boe/d, more that all other existing oil production. The Bom Lugar field could be an important field for the company as it seeks to expand operations and reduce dependency upon natural gas sales to Bahia Gas. We believe the success of the BL-6 well will lead to management putting additional resources into the Bom Lugar field.


Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Israel-Hamas Conflict Could Catapult Oil Prices to Record High of $157 Per Barrel

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

The ongoing fighting between Israel and Hamas risks causing substantial disruptions to the global oil market, threatening to send crude prices to unprecedented levels according to a new warning from the World Bank.

In a worst-case scenario where the conflict escalates and key oil producing nations impose embargos, oil prices could surge as high as $157 per barrel. That would far surpass the previous record of $147 set in 2008 and have dramatic ripple effects across industries.

The World Bank laid out various scenarios in its latest commodity outlook report. In a “large disruption” comparable to the 1973 Arab oil embargo, global supplies could drop by 6 to 8 million barrels per day. This massive shortage of oil on the international market would cause prices to jump by 56-75%, catapulting prices up to the $140 to $157 range.

The crisis in 1973 quadrupled oil prices after Arab producers like Saudi Arabia and Iraq imposed an export ban on nations supporting Israel in the Yom Kippur War. While neither Israel nor Hamas are major oil exporters themselves, provoking producers in the surrounding region poses a major risk.

Surging crude prices would directly impact consumers at the gas pump. Each $10 rise in the cost of a barrel of crude translates to about a 25 cent increase in gas prices according to analysts. That means if oil hit $150, gas could surge above $4 per gallon nationally, far exceeding the recent highs earlier this year. Areas like California would likely see prices cross $5 or even $6 per gallon.

High fuel costs not only hurt commuters but drive up expenses for the transportation industry. Airlines would be forced to raise ticket prices to cover the inflated expense of jet fuel. Trucking and freight companies would also pass on the costs through higher shipping rates, feeding inflation throughout the economy.

Plastics and chemical manufacturers dependent on petrochemical feedstocks would see margins squeezed as oil prices stay elevated. Other goods with significant transportation expenses embedded in their supply chains would also see prices increased.

The pain would not be limited to oil-reliant sectors. As consumers are forced to spend more on transportation and energy needs, discretionary income gets reduced. This results in lower spending at retailers, restaurants and entertainment venues. Tourism also declines as pricier gas dissuades vacations and trips.

In essence, persistently high oil prices threaten to stall the economy by depressing spending, raising inflation and input costs across many industries all at once. While the US is now a net exporter of crude and refined fuels, it remains exposed to global price movements shaped by international events.

The World Bank warned that an escalation of the Israel-Hamas tensions could create a dual supply shock when combined with reduced oil and gas exports from Russia. Global markets are still reeling from the loss of Russian energy supplies due to Western sanctions and bans.

Prior to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, investment bank Goldman Sachs had predicted oil could reach $100 per barrel this year. The fighting has already caused prices to spike above $120 at points, showing how geopolitical instability in one region can roil prices worldwide.

The grim scenarios described by the World Bank underscore the interconnectedness binding energy markets across the globe. An event thousands of miles away increasing instability in the Middle East could end up costing American consumers, businesses, and the economy dearly.

While the baseline forecast calls for prices to moderate over the next year, an expansion of the Israel-Hamas conflict could upend those predictions. Investors, businesses, and policymakers must watch the situation closely to prepare for the economic impacts of further turmoil.

All parties involved must also be cognizant of how violence that disrupts oil production and trade risks global fallout. Diplomatic solutions take on new urgency to prevent a worst-case scenario that would inflict widespread hardship as oil races past $150 per barrel into uncharted territory.

Forum Energy Technologies Transforms Business with Variperm Acquisition

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Houston-based Forum Energy Technologies (NYSE: FET) announced a definitive agreement to acquire Variperm Energy Services in a transformative $210 million deal. The acquisition is expected to significantly boost FET’s revenues, profitability, and exposure to critical global energy production.

Under the terms of the agreement, FET will pay $150 million in cash and issue 2 million shares of FET common stock to acquire Variperm. This reflects a total valuation of approximately 3.7 times Variperm’s trailing 12-month EBITDA. The deal is projected to close in January 2024, subject to customary closing conditions and Canadian regulatory approval.

Variperm is a leading manufacturer of customized downhole solutions and sand/flow control products for heavy oil applications. Headquartered in Calgary, Canada, the company has 290 employees across eight North American locations. Variperm has been backed by private equity firm SCF Partners since 2014.

“We are excited to have Variperm join the FET family,” said Neal Lux, President and CEO of FET. “Variperm’s differentiated technology and strong position with blue-chip customers establishes FET as a key global partner for producers.”

Significantly Accretive Deal

FET expects the acquisition to be highly accretive, transforming its profitability, margins and scale.

On a combined trailing 12-month basis as of September 30, 2023, FET projects total revenues increasing 17% to $873 million. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to surge 77% to $121 million, reflecting a 470 basis point improvement in EBITDA margins to 14%.

The deal is also expected to drive substantial increases in operating cash flow, free cash flow, and earnings per share. FET anticipates ample liquidity and balance sheet flexibility even after closing, with net leverage of only 1.9x EBITDA.

Complementary Offerings & Global Reach

Importantly, Variperm’s product portfolio directly complements FET’s existing artificial lift and downhole solutions. This creates cross-selling opportunities and enables FET to offer integrated solutions.

FET can also leverage its extensive global infrastructure and footprint spanning over 50 countries to expand Variperm’s customer reach worldwide. This includes critical energy markets in the Middle East.

Neal Lux commented, “Variperm’s strong position with blue-chip customers further establishes FET as a key global partner for producers. The acquisition also broadens FET’s exposure to one of the most critical sources of global energy production and security.”

Financing & Liquidity

FET plans to fund the $150 million cash portion of the acquisition through existing cash on hand and borrowings under its revolving credit facility. FET may also utilize a $60 million seller term loan from Variperm’s existing PE owners.

In conjunction with the deal, FET has amended its credit facility to increase revolving commitments by $71 million to $250 million. The amended facility also extends maturity to September 2028 and permits the Variperm acquisition.

At close, FET expects to have net leverage of 1.9x EBITDA and liquidity of approximately $142 million to fund operations and future growth. The company anticipates rapidly deleveraging to 1.0-1.3x by end of 2024 based on free cash flow generation.

The strategic Variperm acquisition solidifies FET’s standing as a leading provider of solutions for the global oil & gas industry. By augmenting its portfolio, boosting profitability, and expanding its customer base, FET has set the stage for continued growth and success.

Take a moment to look at other energy companies by looking at Noble Capital Market’s Senior Research Analyst Michael Heim’s coverage list.

Biden Taps Historic Amounts of Emergency Reserve Oil to Fight Prices – But Will it Work?

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

In a bold move to combat surging fuel prices and rampant inflation, President Biden is unleashing a flood of black gold onto the markets. The White House is planning to tap a massive 180 million barrels of crude oil from the nation’s Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) – the biggest withdrawal in the reserve’s history.

The news sent oil prices tumbling 5% in early trading as speculators reacted to the supply boost. But will the SPR floodgates really succeed in taming the oil price beast that has economists worried about recession?

The sheer size of the release, equivalent to two full days of global oil consumption, grabbed headlines. Set to be gradually emptied over several months, Biden’s SPR unleashing is meant to act like a shot of bear tranquilizer for the raging oil market.

Ever since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, reduced supply from the world’s No. 2 exporter combined with surging demand has driven prices to their highest levels since 2008. Brent crude already flirted with a mind-boggling $140 per barrel in March. Even after the SPR news-driven dip, benchmark oil remains stubbornly high at around $105.

For Biden, doling out the emergency crude is a midterm elections Hail Mary pass. Painfully high gas prices have contributed to the president’s dismal approval ratings. Tapping the SPR to lower fuel costs may be his best bet to avoid Democrats enduring a disastrous drubbing by the Republicans in November.

Beyond politics, uncorking America’s oil reserves also sends an important message to the market. It signals the Administration’s determination to fight an inflation rate that keeps printing four-decade highs. Few things impact inflation expectations like changes in oil prices. A meaningful drop could help tamp down the runaway price increases eroding consumer confidence.

But will the effort succeed or will it flounder like past attempts? With global crude inventories at historic lows, many analysts see the SPR release as a mere band-aid solution. It provides some short-term relief but doesn’t fix the supply and demand imbalance.

Goldman Sachs estimates the 180 million barrel slug will help rebalance markets this year. But it warned the move doesn’t resolve the structural deficit caused by excluding Russian exports.

Previous SPR releases also failed to produce lasting effects. Oil prices quickly rebounded after 60 million barrels were tapped in November 2021 and another 30 million in March 2022.

This time, the White House is also counting on allies for help. The International Energy Agency meets soon to potentially coordinate a collective release from its members’ reserves.

But Biden’s SPR gambit already seems at odds with other moves meant to restrict oil supply and fight climate change. Canceling the Keystone XL pipeline permit and banning new federal drilling auctions counterproductively worsened the supply crunch. A of couple million extra daily barrels from those sources would have eased pressure on prices.

The Administration now finds itself trying to fix with one hand problems partly created by the other. That internal tension undermines the large SPR release’s credibility.

Traders also scoffed when OPEC refused to boost production more than a token amount after the U.S. lobbied for extra output. With the cartel and allies like Russia benefitting handsomely from $100+ oil, they have little incentive to pump much more.

Meanwhile, risks of a demand-killing recession loom if the Fed’s inflation fight requires jumbo interest rate hikes. And Covid lockdowns in China already hurt oil demand in the world’s largest importer.

So while Biden’s SPR flow should offer some near-term relief at the pump, it may not move the needle much for long. Markets fear what happens if 180 million barrels merely postpones the supply day of reckoning rather than preventing it.

With inventories low, spare capacity shrinking, geopolitical unrest continuing, and ESG considerations constraining investment, oil looks poised to remain highly volatile. While the SPR release was historic in size, it likely won’t fully tranquilize the energy markets.

Take a moment to take a look at Noble Capital Markets’ Senior Research Analyst Michael Heim’s Energy Industry Report.

Release – Largo to Release Third Quarter 2023 Financial Results on November 8, 2023

Posted on by aweinsoff@channelchek.com

Research News and Market Data on LGO

October 31, 2023

Download(opens in new window)

TORONTO–(BUSINESS WIRE)– Largo Inc. (“Largo” or the “Company”) (TSX: LGO) (NASDAQ: LGO) will release its third quarter 2023 financial results on Wednesday, November 8, 2023 after the close of market trading. Additionally, the Company will host a conference call to discuss its third quarter 2023 results and other updates on Thursday, November 9 at 1:00 p.m. ET.

To join the conference call without operator assistance, you may register and enter your phone number at https://emportal.ink/3RXJdiN to receive an instant automated call back.

You may also dial direct to be entered to the call by an operator using the dial-in details provided below.

Conference Call Details
Date:Thursday, November 9, 2023
Time:1:00 p.m. ET
Dial-in Number:Local: +1 (416) 764-8650
North American Toll Free: +1 (888) 664-6383
Conference ID:19034623
RapidConnect Link:https://emportal.ink/3RXJdiN
Replay Number:Local / International: + 1 (416) 764-8677
North American Toll Free: +1 (888) 390-0541
Replay Passcode: 034623#
Website:To view press releases or any additional financial information, please visit the Investor Resources section of the Company’s website at: https://www.largoinc.com/investors/Overview

About Largo

Largo is a globally recognized vanadium company known for its high-quality VPURETM and VPURE+TM products, sourced from its Maracás Menchen Mine in Brazil. The Company is currently focused on implementing an ilmenite concentrate plant and is undertaking a strategic evaluation of its U.S.-based clean energy business, including its advanced VCHARGE vanadium battery technology to maximize the value of the organization. Largo’s strategic business plan centers on maintaining its position as a leading vanadium supplier with a growth strategy to support a low-carbon future.

Largo’s common shares trade on the Nasdaq Stock Market and on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the symbol “LGO”. For more information on the Company, please visit www.largoinc.com.

For further information, please contact:

Investor Relations
Alex Guthrie
Senior Manager, External Relations
+1.416.861.9778
aguthrie@largoinc.com

Source: Largo Inc.

 

Middle East Tensions Send Oil Prices Soaring Over Supply Disruption Fears

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Oil prices surged over $2 per barrel on Friday as rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East sparked fears of potential supply disruptions. Brent crude jumped 2.3% to nearly $90 per barrel, while WTI crude also gained 2.3% to exceed $85 per barrel. The abrupt price spike reflects growing worries among traders that intensifying regional conflicts could impact oil exports.

The increase came after U.S. forces conducted airstrikes on Iranian-backed militias in Syria. This retaliatory move followed attacks on American troops in the region by Iran-supported groups. The escalating tit-for-tat strikes raised concerns that oil-rich Iran could get dragged into a wider regional conflagration.

Iran’s foreign minister warned that the U.S. would “not be spared” from retaliation if Israel does not halt its ongoing offensive against Hamas forces in Gaza. Iran is a major oil producer and key Hamas backer, so any disruption to its exports would impact global supply.

The Gaza conflict has already killed dozens and shows no signs of abating despite international efforts. Israel continues to pound Hamas targets and says preparations for a ground invasion are underway. The potential for the violence to spill over into neighboring countries and inflame sectarian divisions adds another worrying dimension for oil markets.

While no direct oil infrastructure has been affected yet, the market is trading on fears of what could transpire if hostilities spread further. Key transit points like the Strait of Hormuz could be threatened if regional clashes escalate. About 17% of global oil shipments flow through this narrow passage from the Persian Gulf.

Even Saudi Arabia, the world’s top oil exporter, could see its supply chains disrupted if the chaotic conflicts metastasize. While its production facilities remain insulated so far, continued attacks between Israel and Hamas, along with the risk of Iranian retaliation on U.S. forces, are setting markets on edge.

Traders are operating with limited visibility into how much further tensions may rise or which countries could get sucked in. Major oil producers like Saudi Arabia, Iraq, and the UAE would be hard pressed to supplant any lost Iranian barrels in a tight market. The low spare capacity leaves oil supplies extremely vulnerable to regional instability.

With myriad conflicts simmering, anxious traders are bidding up prices based on a worst-case scenario of supply shocks. However, this geopolitical risk premium could evaporate quickly if the situation de-escalates. Much depends on how hardline regimes like Iran choose to counter Israeli and U.S. actions in the days ahead.

For now, investors should brace for more volatility as headlines oscillate between conflict and ceasefire. Oil markets will remain on edge, with prices whip-sawing on any indications that Middle East disputes could jeopardize supply flows. While an outright supply crunch may not emerge, the risk has clearly increased.

Traders are weighing these bullish supply disruption anxieties against bearish demand uncertainties. Resurgent Covid cases in China along with broader inflationary pressures and economic weakness continue to dampen the consumption outlook. For oil markets, layers of complexity will drive price gyrations going forward. Strap in for a bumpy ride.

Siemens Energy’s Stock Plummets 32% as it Appeals to German Government

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Shares of Siemens Energy took a nosedive on Thursday after the German wind power firm revealed it is seeking financial guarantees from the government to shore up its balance sheet. The company’s stock plunged over 32% amid concerns over ongoing problems at its wind turbine manufacturing subsidiary Siemens Gamesa.

This latest crisis of confidence in Siemens Energy comes after a tumultuous year where the company scrapped its profit forecasts due to major setbacks at Siemens Gamesa. Persistent quality control issues and production delays have plagued Siemens Gamesa, dragging down the parent company’s financial performance. Siemens Energy shocked investors earlier this year when it warned that these issues could persist for years.

Now Siemens Energy is looking to the German government for a lifeline to provide the guarantees it needs for long-term projects and growth ambitions. With its strong order intake and project pipeline, Siemens requires sizeable guarantees to move forward. It remains unclear exactly how much financing Siemens Energy is seeking from the government and what form this support may take. The company is holding preliminary talks with German officials, banks, and other stakeholders to find a solution.

For investors, this latest turmoil calls Siemens Energy’s financial health into question. While the company left its 2023 guidance unchanged, its stock has been battered this year. Shares are down nearly 60% year-to-date due to the cascading problems at Siemens Gamesa. The turbine troubles will continue to be a dark cloud over Siemens Energy until substantial progress is made on quality control and production. Siemens Gamesa’s issues with offshore wind ramp up also remain a glaring concern.

All of this uncertainty around Siemens Energy and its finances have sent investors rushing for the exits. But for bargain hunters, the plummeting stock could also look like a tempting buying opportunity. Siemens Energy maintains a strong long-term outlook in the booming renewable energy market. Demand for wind power is surging, especially in Europe, as countries move aggressively toward carbon neutrality. Siemens Energy still boasts an enviable portfolio of technology and intellectual property in the industry.

If Siemens Energy can weather its current storms, its future prospects in offshore and onshore wind power remain bright. But the company must fix its turbine troubles and strengthen its balance sheet to fully capture the potential ahead. For conservative investors, it may be best to wait on the sidelines until more clarity emerges. But for speculators willing to stomach volatility and risk, Siemens Energy’s swooning shares could offer a high-risk, high-reward proposition.

Much depends on whether the German government views Siemens Energy as simply too big and important to fail. Germany is staking much of its economic future on renewable energy leadership. Having a national industrial champion falter so badly would be an embarrassment and setback. Siemens Energy is essentially making the case that it’s too strategically vital for Germany’s interests to be allowed to flounder.

Yet the German government also has to be wary of setting a precedent of bailing out struggling companies at taxpayer expense. Germany may be willing to extend credit guarantees to Siemens Energy, but direct financial aid seems unlikely. The coming months will be crucial in determining if Siemens Energy can right itself and deliver on its clean energy ambitions. For investors, the ride may continue to be bumpy until the company can prove it has turned a corner.

Permex Petroleum (OILCD) – Permex completes share consolidation and announces public offering.

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, October 24, 2023

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Permex completed a 1 for 4 common share consolidation. The consolidation, which was effective October 23, 2023, was initially announced on October 19, 2023. The consolidation affects Permex shares on the Canadian Securities Exchange (CSE), the Frankfurt Stock Exchange and the OTCQB. With the consolidation, the number of outstanding shares has been reduced from approximately 2 million to 400,000. The consolidation was needed to be listed on the Nasdaq Capital Market. If completed at an assumed post-consolidation price of $7.64 per share, the offerings would generate $29 million.

Permex to issue common equity and warrants. On October 20, 2023, Permex filed a prospectus to issue up to 1.9 million common units with accompanying warrants and to issue up to 1.9 million pre-funded units and warrants. The warrant associated with the common units does not have a set exercise price, which we will assume will be near the common stock offer price. The warrants for the pre-funded common shares will have an exercise price of $0.01 per share. The new shares, if approved, will trade on the Nasdaq Capital Market under the symbols OILS and OILSW.


Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Release – Alvopetro Publishes 2022 Sustainability Report

Posted on by aweinsoff@channelchek.com

Research News and Market Data on ALVOF

Oct 23, 2023

CALGARY, AB, Oct. 23, 2023 /CNW/ – Alvopetro Energy Ltd. (TSXV: ALV) (OTCQX: ALVOF) is pleased to announce the release of our 2022 Sustainability Report (the “Report”), highlighting our approach to environmental, social and governance (“ESG”) practices for the year ended December 31, 2022 and outlining our commitment to building a sustainable future for all of our stakeholders. A full copy of the Report, which was approved by Alvopetro’s Board of Directors, can be found on our website at https://alvopetro.com/Sustainability.

2022 ESG highlights included:

  • Natural gas focused production (96% of total 2022 production);
  • Alvopetro’s locally produced natural gas resulted in average savings of 57% for consumers relative to imported LNG;
  • Maintained low emission intensity with Scope 1 & 2 emissions intensity of 7.4 kg CO2e per boe;
  • No reported environmental spills;
  • Zero lost-time safety incidents;
  • 33% of our total workforce and 38% of our senior leadership team positions are held by women;
  • Strengthened commitment to biodiversity and conservation with our northeastern collared sloth conservation program;
  • Expanded social investment programs to benefit over 600 recipients, increasing spending by 156% ; and,
  • With increased production and cash flows, we paid over $20 million in royalties, income taxes and sales taxes, contributing to direct and indirect benefits for the communities we operate and to Brazil as a whole.

Corporate Presentation

Alvopetro’s updated corporate presentation is available on our website at:http://www.alvopetro.com/corporate-presentation. 

Social Media

Follow Alvopetro on our social media channels at the following links:

Twitter – https://twitter.com/AlvopetroEnergyInstagram – https://www.instagram.com/alvopetro/LinkedIn – https://www.linkedin.com/company/alvopetro-energy-ltdYouTube –https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCgDn_igrQgdlj-maR6fWB0w

Alvopetro Energy Ltd.’s vision is to become a leading independent upstream and midstream operator in Brazil. Our strategy is to unlock the on-shore natural gas potential in the state of Bahia in Brazil, building off the development of our Caburé and Murucututu natural gas fields and our strategic midstream infrastructure.

Neither the TSX Venture Exchange nor its Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in the policies of the TSX Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this news release.

All amounts contained in this new release are in United States dollars, unless otherwise stated and all tabular amounts are in thousands of United States dollars, except as otherwise noted.

Forward-Looking Statements and Cautionary Language. This news release contains “forward-looking information” within the meaning of applicable securities laws. The use of any of the words “will”, “expect”, “intend” and other similar words or expressions are intended to identify forward-looking information. Forward‐looking statements involve significant risks and uncertainties, should not be read as guarantees of future performance or results, and will not necessarily be accurate indications of whether or not such results will be achieved. A number of factors could cause actual results to vary significantly from the expectations discussed in the forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements reflect current assumptions and expectations regarding future events. Accordingly, when relying on forward-looking statements to make decisions, Alvopetro cautions readers not to place undue reliance on these statements, as forward-looking statements involve significant risks and uncertainties. More particularly and without limitation, this news release contains forward-looking information concerning Alvopetro’s approach to ESG practices and plans for the future. The forward‐looking statements are based on certain key expectations and assumptions made by Alvopetro, including but not limited to expectations and assumptions concerning the success of future drilling, completion, testing, recompletion and development activities, equipment availability, the timing of regulatory licenses and approvals, the outlook for commodity markets and ability to access capital markets, the impact of global pandemics and other significant worldwide events, the performance of producing wells and reservoirs, well development and operating performance, foreign exchange rates, general economic and business conditions, weather and access to drilling locations, the availability and cost of labour and services, environmental regulation, including regulation relating to hydraulic fracturing and stimulation, the ability to monetize hydrocarbons discovered, expectations regarding Alvopetro’s working interest and the outcome of any redeterminations, the regulatory and legal environment and other risks associated with oil and gas operations. The reader is cautioned that assumptions used in the preparation of such information, although considered reasonable at the time of preparation, may prove to be incorrect. Actual results achieved during the forecast period will vary from the information provided herein as a result of numerous known and unknown risks and uncertainties and other factors.  Although Alvopetro believes that the expectations and assumptions on which such forward-looking information is based are reasonable, undue reliance should not be placed on the forward-looking information because Alvopetro can give no assurance that it will prove to be correct. Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list of factors is not exhaustive. Additional information on factors that could affect the operations or financial results of Alvopetro are included in our annual information form which may be accessed on Alvopetro’s SEDAR+ profile at www.sedarplus.ca. The forward-looking information contained in this news release is made as of the date hereof and Alvopetro undertakes no obligation to update publicly or revise any forward-looking information, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, unless so required by applicable securities laws.

SOURCE Alvopetro Energy Ltd.

Chevron Agrees to Buy Hess in $53 Billion Mega-Merger

Posted on by cpatches

In a significant move that underscores the ongoing transformation within the energy sector, Chevron (NYSE: CVX) has recently announced its acquisition of Hess (NASDAQ: HES) in a monumental $53 billion all-stock deal. This mega-merger comes on the heels of Exxon Mobil’s $60 billion bid for Pioneer Natural Resources, marking the second colossal consolidation among major U.S. oil players this month.

The strategic significance of this merger revolves around the ambitions of both Chevron and Exxon to unlock the untapped potential of Guyana’s burgeoning oil industry. Guyana, once an inconspicuous player in the oil sector, has rapidly ascended the ranks to become one of Latin America’s foremost oil producers, second only to industry giants Brazil and Mexico, thanks to substantial oil discoveries in recent years.

This high-stakes deal positions Chevron in direct competition with its formidable rival, Exxon, in the race to capitalize on Guyana’s newfound prominence. Chevron’s offer, consisting of 1.025 of its shares for each share of Hess or $171 per share, represents a premium of approximately 4.9% to the stock’s most recent closing price. The total value of the transaction, encompassing debt, amounts to a staggering $60 billion.

Upon the successful completion of this transaction, John Hess, CEO of Hess Corp, is set to join Chevron’s board of directors, cementing the collaborative vision of the two energy giants. Chevron has also expressed its commitment to fortify its share repurchase program, intending to bolster it by an additional $2.5 billion, reaching the upper limit of its annual $20 billion range. This decision underscores Chevron’s confidence in future energy prices and its robust cash generation.

Notably, this merger serves as a testament to Chevron’s unwavering dedication to fossil fuels. In a climate where global energy dynamics are evolving rapidly, Chevron’s move underscores a resolute belief in the enduring strength of oil demand. Large energy producers continue to employ acquisitions as a strategy to replenish their reserves after years of underinvestment, further highlighting the industry’s drive to secure its future in a dynamically shifting landscape.

This merger between Chevron and Hess not only signals the industry’s determination to harness the full potential of Guyana’s oil reserves but also represents a pivotal moment in the evolution of the energy sector, as established players seek new avenues for growth and consolidation in a rapidly changing world. The deal is expected to close around the first half of 2024, setting the stage for a new chapter in the energy industry’s ongoing narrative.

Gas Prices Drop As Oil Prices Rise

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

U.S. drivers have seen welcome relief in recent weeks as gas prices steadily drift lower, even while oil continues to trade near $90 per barrel. The national average gasoline price now sits at $3.58 per gallon, down 30 cents over the last month.

What’s behind this divergence between oil and gas prices? And what does it mean for the average American’s wallet?

Seasonal Shifts Push Gas Prices Lower

The primary drivers pulling gas prices downward are seasonal factors. In the fall, refineries begin switching to cheaper winter-blend gasoline formulations. At the same time, cooler weather means lower fuel demand. Both these trends allow gas prices to detach from oil markets.

Rebecca Babin, an energy trader at CIBC Private Wealth, explained that “gas prices seasonally fall every autumn. 2022 is no exception.” Gas prices often decline 20 to 25 cents per gallon or more between September and December.

Supply Growth Eases Market Tightness

This year’s price declines also come as fuel inventories have rebounded nearly 10% from 2021 levels. Whereas last year saw tight fuel supplies amid recovering demand, expanded refinery runs have improved market balance in 2022.

“Anything that adds product to the market is going to help bring down refinery margins,” said Jeff Barron of the U.S. Energy Information Administration. These inventory and supply differences make today’s environment markedly different from a year ago.

Source: Yahoo Finance

OPEC Cuts, Geopolitics Still Support Oil

On the crude side, OPEC+ production cuts and global disruptions have kept oil prices elevated. Prices spiked last week on Middle East escalation fears before retreating again.

According to Babin, oil markets remain well-supported in the low $80s per barrel due to the supply-demand balance. Further gains into the $90s could threaten demand, however. The key uncertainty is whether OPEC+ extends output curbs into 2023.

Gas Demand Slackens Amid High Prices

Sky-high prices have also dampened U.S. retail fuel demand, which recently slipped below 2020 levels. Brenda Shaffer, an energy specialist at Georgetown University, notes demand may decline “as Americans cut back on unnecessary car trips to save money.”

With households pinched by inflation, discretionary driving becomes a prime target for budget cuts. But lower fuel consumption then puts further downward pressure on prices.

The Consumer Impact

Falling pump prices come as welcome relief, especially heading into the busy holiday travel season. The 40-cent drop from the September peak has saved U.S. households nearly $10 billion, by some estimates.

“It’s like getting a little raise, without having to ask your boss,” says Patrick De Haan, head of petroleum analysis at GasBuddy.

Lower fuel costs help curb inflationary pressures and provide savings that can be redirected to other household needs. But prices remain elevated historically. Americans are still paying nearly $400 more per year to fill up than just two years ago.

While the gas price outlook remains murky, any further declines over the next few months would aid consumers through winter. Yet many will likely remain wary of rising fuel bills cutting into tight budgets.

Take a moment to take a look at other oil and energy companies covered by Noble Capital Markets’ Research Analyst Michael Heim.