Will Asset Managers Start Stepping Back from ESG Pledges?
The Net Zero Asset Managers (NAZM) initiative is an international group of 291 asset managers with 66 trillion in combined AUM. They all signed that they are committed to supporting the goal of net zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050 or sooner. This week the number of asset managers was reduced by one as Vanguard, with $8.1 trillion AUM left the agreement. Vanguard said it made the decision in an effort to better speak for itself on its views and to be certain to balance client’s needs and returns along with climate impact in its funds’ investments.
“Industry initiatives like NZAM can advance constructive dialogue, but they can also create confusion about the views of individual firms. We want to provide greater clarity that Vanguard speaks freely on important matters such as climate risk. After a considerable period of review, we have decided to withdraw from the NZAM in order to provide clarity on what our investors want about the role of index funds and how we think about material risks, including climate-related risk,” said Alyssa Thornton, a spokesperson for Vanguard.
Firms that have signed the NAZM agreement are coming under a lot of pressure from states, pension funds, and others to defend how this is measurably best for the assets left in the care of the manager.
Vanguard, the world’s top mutual fund manager, official statement read, “We have decided to withdraw from NZAM so that we can provide the clarity our investors desire about the role of index funds and about how we think about material risks, including climate-related risks—and to make clear that Vanguard speaks independently on matters of importance to our investors.” Again, the themes are to not be beholden to outside control over its decisions and the company developing its own measurements of material risks from world energy-related moves.
Vanguard, said the change “will not affect our commitment to helping our investors navigate the risks that climate change can pose to their long-term returns.”
Is This Going to Be a Trend?
There is a movement growing with large clients asking investment firms to explain how their energy-investment-related decision is in line with their fiduciary role. Roughly a week ago, Consumers’ Research and 13 state attorneys general asked the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission to review Vanguard’s request to own energy company stocks. “Americans are paying sky-high electricity rates and companies like Vanguard are making the problem worse,” Will Hild, executive director of Consumers’ Research, wrote in an op-ed for the Wall Street Journal.
Another issue Hild has with Vanguard is its meddling with strategic decisions and corporate governance at energy firms. Hild wrote, “With more than $7 trillion in assets under management, the Pennsylvania-based investment firm has publicly committed to pressuring utilities to lower their emissions.” Hild then accused, “Vanguard appears to be not only putting America’s critical infrastructure at risk but violating its agreement only to control utility company shares passively. To protect U.S. consumers and safeguard national security, FERC should investigate the company’s conduct.”
Vanguard isn’t the only firm of the 291 that are being questioned by their largest customers.
Today North Carolina State Treasurer Dale Folwell sent a letter to BlackRock’s board of directors calling for Fink to step aside because the CEO’s “pursuit of a political agenda has gotten in the way of BlackRock’s same fiduciary duty” to its investors. “A focus on ESG is not a focus on returns and could potentially force us to violate our fiduciary duty,” Folwell wrote. North Carolina has approximately $14 billion with Blackrock, and $111 billion under management.
BREAKING: North Carolina Treasurer @DaleFolwell just called for @BlackRock CEO Larry Fink to RESIGN, saying his obsession with driving ESG and net-zero objectives is at odds with BlackRock’s fiduciary duty to shareholders.https://t.co/LeGIfn9CJd
But the fiduciary knife can be cut both ways. Those that are more concerned with any impact that continued fossil-fuel use would have on climate and economies stand behind the argument that it is not in anyone’s best interest not to follow a net zero 2050 goal. “It is unfortunate that political pressure is impacting this crucial economic imperative and attempting to block companies from effectively managing risks — a crucial part of their fiduciary duty,” said Kirsten Snow Spalding, a vice president at sustainability nonprofit Ceres and a NZAM founding partner.
Meanwhile in order to be able to best decipher how to view concepts like net zero investing, the Texas Senate Committee on State Affairs will hold a hearing on December 15 to discuss the impacts of environmental social governance (ESG) policies on state pensions. The panel has asked Vanguard, BlackRock, StateStreet and ISS to appear and answer questions about their ESG practices. Texas previously asked the four firms to turn over documents in August. The Lone Star state had subpoenaed BlackRock to provide additional documents in person after the firm failed to comply with certain aspects of the initial request.
Take Away
All trends, whether investment related or not go through a vetting period, followed by a continued push and pull to seek balance. Firms that have signed on to NAZM can do their own analysis and develop their own plans that best serve their customers. The NZAM may only get in the way. Yet, they don’t have to back-off of caring about and keeping in mind environmental principles, they can just better tailor them to those they are contracted to invest for. An outside global organization is less likely to understand how to be a fiduciary for a Vanguard fund that may be used in the Louisiana state pension system. And with more investment firms acting independently, more and better opportunities will grow from the competition.
ESG, which is in a related family, will also develop and evolve over time. Down the road, investors, analysts, and organizations providing ESG scoring can get revised measures on impact and adjust scoring based on effectiveness.
CALGARY, AB, Dec. 7, 2022 /CNW/ – Alvopetro Energy Ltd. (TSXV: ALV) (OTCQX: ALVOF) announces November 2022 sales volumes and an operational update.
November 2022 sales volumes
November sales volumes averaged 2,667 boepd, including natural gas sales of 15.2 MMcfpd and associated natural gas liquids sales from condensate of 135 bopd, based on field estimates, a decrease of 2% from the October 2022 average daily volumes and an increase of 1% from our Q3 2022 average.
Operational Update
We have now moved the service rig to our 182-C2 well on our 100% owned and operated Block 182 and expect to commence testing operations shortly. We completed drilling the 182-C2 well in October to a total measured depth (“MD”) of 3,185 metres. Testing of the 182-C2 well will begin with the Sergi Formation, the deepest of two formations with hydrocarbons shows during drilling. As previously announced, the well encountered a 223.7-metre-thick section with 121.3 metres of sand estimated above 6% porosity in the sand-dominated interval between 2,704.1 and 2,927.8 metres total vertical depth in the Sergi Formation. Caliper logs indicate that a significant amount of the wellbore in the Sergi interval contains washouts from drilling and is out of gauge, making open-hole log analysis challenging. As such, hydrocarbon potential in the Sergi will be validated through formation testing. Following testing of the Sergi Formation, testing will proceed up-hole to the Agua Grande Formation where, based on open-hole wireline logs, the well encountered 10.9 metres of potential net hydrocarbon pay, with an average porosity of 8.9% and average water saturation of 25.1%, using a 6% porosity cut-off, 50% Vshale cut-off and 50% water saturation cut-off. This testing will assess the extent, if any, of commercial hydrocarbons associated with the well, the productive capability of the well and will help define the field development plan.
Alvopetro Energy Ltd.’svision is to become a leading independent upstream and midstream operator in Brazil. Our strategy is to unlock the on-shore natural gas potential in the state of Bahia in Brazil, building off the development of our Caburé natural gas field and our strategic midstream infrastructure.
Neither the TSX Venture Exchange nor its Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in the policies of the TSX Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this news release.
All amounts contained in this new release are in United States dollars, unless otherwise stated and all tabular amounts are in thousands of United States dollars, except as otherwise noted.
Abbreviations:
bbls = barrelsboepd = barrels of oil equivalent (“boe”) per daybopd = barrels of oil and/or natural gas liquids (condensate) per dayMMcf = million cubic feetMMcfpd = million cubic feet per day
BOE Disclosure. The term barrels of oil equivalent (“boe”) may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A boe conversion ratio of six thousand cubic feet per barrel (6Mcf/bbl) of natural gas to barrels of oil equivalence is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. All boe conversions in this news release are derived from converting gas to oil in the ratio mix of six thousand cubic feet of gas to one barrel of oil.
Testing and Well Results. Data obtained from the 182-C2 well identified in this press release, including hydrocarbon shows, open-hole logging, net pay and porosities and initial testing data, should be considered to be preliminary until detailed pressure transient and other analysis and interpretation has been completed. Hydrocarbon shows can be seen during the drilling of a well in numerous circumstances and do not necessarily indicate a commercial discovery or the presence of commercial hydrocarbons in a well. There is no representation by Alvopetro that the data relating to the 182-C2 well contained in this press release is necessarily indicative of long-term performance or ultimate recovery. The reader is cautioned not to unduly rely on such data as such data may not be indicative of future performance of the well or of expected production or operational results for Alvopetro in the future.
Forward-Looking Statements and Cautionary Language. This news release contains “forward-looking information” within the meaning of applicable securities laws. The use of any of the words “will”, “expect”, “intend” and other similar words or expressions are intended to identify forward-looking information. Forward‐looking statements involve significant risks and uncertainties, should not be read as guarantees of future performance or results, and will not necessarily be accurate indications of whether or not such results will be achieved. A number of factors could cause actual results to vary significantly from the expectations discussed in the forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements reflect current assumptions and expectations regarding future events. Accordingly, when relying on forward-looking statements to make decisions, Alvopetro cautions readers not to place undue reliance on these statements, as forward-looking statements involve significant risks and uncertainties. More particularly and without limitation, this news release contains forward-looking information concerning potential hydrocarbon pay in the 182-C2 well, exploration and development prospects of Alvopetro and the expected timing of certain of Alvopetro’s testing and operational activities. The forward‐looking statements are based on certain key expectations and assumptions made by Alvopetro, including but not limited to expectations and assumptions concerning testing results of the 183-B1 well and the 182-C2 well, equipment availability, the timing of regulatory licenses and approvals, the success of future drilling, completion, testing, recompletion and development activities, the outlook for commodity markets and ability to access capital markets, the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, the performance of producing wells and reservoirs, well development and operating performance, foreign exchange rates, general economic and business conditions, weather and access to drilling locations, the availability and cost of labour and services, environmental regulation, including regulation relating to hydraulic fracturing and stimulation, the ability to monetize hydrocarbons discovered, expectations regarding Alvopetro’s working interest and the outcome of any redeterminations, the regulatory and legal environment and other risks associated with oil and gas operations. The reader is cautioned that assumptions used in the preparation of such information, although considered reasonable at the time of preparation, may prove to be incorrect. Actual results achieved during the forecast period will vary from the information provided herein as a result of numerous known and unknown risks and uncertainties and other factors. Although Alvopetro believes that the expectations and assumptions on which such forward-looking information is based are reasonable, undue reliance should not be placed on the forward-looking information because Alvopetro can give no assurance that it will prove to be correct. Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list of factors is not exhaustive. Additional information on factors that could affect the operations or financial results of Alvopetro are included in our annual information form which may be accessed on Alvopetro’s SEDAR profile at www.sedar.com. The forward-looking information contained in this news release is made as of the date hereof and Alvopetro undertakes no obligation to update publicly or revise any forward-looking information, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, unless so required by applicable securities laws.
Oil Tanker Day Rates To Be Supported By The EU’s Ban On Russian Crude
Over the past 12 months, global container shipping rates have steadily declined to their long-term averages as supply chain snarls have receded and backups at ports have disappeared.
Now, another segment of the cargo shipping industry is seeing day rates explode to record highs.
So-called dirty tankers, those that carry crude oil, are charging over $100,000 a day for their services as international sanctions against Russia force ships—including Suezmaxes, Aframaxes and very large crude carriers (VLCCs)—to take longer, more circuitous routes. Carriers that once made deliveries to the North Sea port of Rotterdam via the Baltic Sea are now having to sail to China, India and Turkey, which are twice or three times the distance. All three Asian countries have said they will continue to buy Russian oil.
The Baltic Exchange Dirty Tanker Index, which measures shipping rates on 12 international routes, rose as much as 243% for the 12-month period through the end of November.
So how high could rates go? According to Omar Nokta, a shipping analyst at Jefferies, they could potentially climb to between $150,000 and $200,000 a day.
We’re almost there now. The Aframax day rate to ship oil from the Black Sea to the Mediterranean hit an astronomical $145,000 a day during the week ended November 18, according to Compass Maritime.
Russia Oil Turmoil To Drive Tanker Market Higher
This week, the 27 countries of the European Union (EU) officially banned crude imports from Russia, the world’s number two producer, and on February 5, 2023, all Russian oil products will be banned. This will have the effect of disrupting global trade routes further, driving up rates even more.
As you can see below, Europe’s imports of Russian oil were already down dramatically from the beginning of 2022, when the country invaded Ukraine. Before the ban, the Netherlands was the only remaining European destination for deliveries outside of the Mediterranean and Black Sea basin. To help offset the loss of Russian supply, Norway will ship a record volume of North Sea oil in January, Bloomberg reports.
Oil Tankers Generating Record Revenues, Stocks Hitting New Highs
Due to changes in shipping routes, demand for oil tankers is expected to surge to levels not seen in three decades, according to Clarkson Research. The U.K.-based group is forecasting that the number of ton-miles, defined as one ton of freight shipped one mile, could increase 9.5% next year. That would mark the largest annual increase since 1993.
Volumes are already at pre-pandemic levels, with VLCCs and Aframaxes having exceeded 2019 volumes for the first time since the second quarter of 2020.
Oil Tankers Generating Record Revenues, Stocks Hitting New Highs
Also supporting rates is the fact that oil carriers are replacing vessels at a historically low pace.
In July, Clarksons reported that new shipbuilding orders for container vessels had surpassed those for tankers for the first time ever. Whereas the global order book for containerships stood at 72.5 million deadweight tonnage (dwt)—a measure for how much weight a ship can carrier—the orderbook for crude oil and oil product tankers was 34 million dwt, a new record low.
This has contributed to massive revenues and net income, which should keep carriers in a strong position even as container rates have dried up. Last week, Mitsui O.S.K. Lines president Takeshi Hashimoto told JPMorgan analysts that he believes profits will remain strong due to the company’s liquified natural gas (LNG) business as well as dry bulkers and tankers.
Frontline, the fourth largest oil tanker company, just reported net income of $154.4 million in the third quarter, compared to $108.5 million estimated.
Below you can see how revenues have surged for companies such as International Seaways, Ardmore Shipping and Scorpio Tankers.
With the S&P 500 still down more than 14% for the year, shares of a number of oil tankers have hit new all-time highs in recent days. Among those are Ardmore, International Seaways and Euronav. Teekay Tankers was up 226% year-to-date, while Scorpio was up 323% over the same period.
Will these returns continue? I can’t say, of course, but the structural support doesn’t appear to be going away anytime soon.
The Baltic Dirty Tanker Index is made up from 12 routes taken from the Baltic International Tanker Routes. The S&P 500 is widely regarded as the best single gauge of large-cap U.S. equities and serves as the foundation for a wide range of investment products. The index includes 500 leading companies and captures approximately 80% coverage of available market capitalization.
Holdings may change daily. Holdings are reported as of the most recent quarter-end. The following securities mentioned in the article were held by one or more accounts managed by U.S. Global Investors as of (09/30/22): Mitsui OSK Lines Ltd.
This article was republished with permission from Frank Talk, a CEO Blog by Frank Holmes of U.S. Global Investors (GROW). Find more of Frank’s articles here – Originally published October 21, 2021
US Global Investors Disclaimer
All opinions expressed and data provided are subject to change without notice. Some of these opinions may not be appropriate to every investor. By clicking the link(s) above, you will be directed to a third-party website(s). U.S. Global Investors does not endorse all information supplied by this/these website(s) and is not responsible for its/their content.
The Baltic Dirty Tanker Index is made up from 12 routes taken from the Baltic International Tanker Routes. The S&P 500 is widely regarded as the best single gauge of large-cap U.S. equities and serves as the foundation for a wide range of investment products. The index includes 500 leading companies and captures approximately 80% coverage of available market capitalization.
Holdings may change daily. Holdings are reported as of the most recent quarter-end. The following securities mentioned in the article were held by one or more accounts managed by U.S. Global Investors as of (09/30/22): Mitsui OSK Lines Ltd.
The Argument for Higher Oil Market Prices is Fairly Straightforward
The price of oil is near its 2022 low. This lower per barrel cost is normal when the commodities market perceives the economy as slowing or that it will slow. What is surprising is that the price is near the low for the year when the Chinese are easing Covid restrictions and will soon be requiring more fuel; at the same time, a Russian oil cap, which is sure to bring less supply to the market, was just instituted this week. In the meantime, energy producers, up 60.8% on the year, are not sinking at the pace of oil prices.
Energy shares have been the big winners for 2022. And it is rare that they are flying solo, without the help of price increases of their underlying product. According to Bespoke Investment Group, last month marked the first time since 2006 that the S&P 500 energy sector has traded within 3% of a 12-month high while the price of West Texas Intermediate retreated more than 25% from its one-year peak..
The divergence has caught the attention of investors. Since drillers and miners tend to rise and fall with the prices of the commodities they produce, many expect the gap to narrow to its more historical norm. Most are looking for oil to rise rather than drillers to fall.
Pressures that could cause oil to rise include the EU winter season, the U.S. Strategic Reserves bumping up against depletion, OPEC+ keeping production quotas unchanged, and Western governments’ $60-a-barrel price cap on Russian crude. These, taken together, are expected to put upward pressure on per-barrel prices. The commodities market is not moving in accordance with these factors. Futures contracts for U.S. crude closed Monday 3.8% lower at $76.93 a barrel, its fourth-lowest settle of the year.
Working against the argument for higher crude prices is the expected slowing of world economies. The possibility of a recession in many global economies while central banks raise interest rates, is unknown. Any impact remains to be seen.
CALGARY, AB, Dec. 1, 2022 /CNW/ – InPlay Oil Corp. (TSX: IPO) (OTCQX: IPOOF) (“InPlay” or the “Company”) is pleased to confirm that its Board of Directors has declared a monthly cash dividend of $0.015 per common share payable on December 30, 2022, to shareholders of record at the close of business on December 15, 2022. The monthly cash dividend is expected to be designated as an “eligible dividend” for Canadian federal and provincial income tax purposes.
About InPlay Oil Corp.
InPlay is a junior oil and gas exploration and production company with operations in Alberta focused on light oil production. The company operates long-lived, low-decline properties with drilling development and enhanced oil recovery potential as well as undeveloped lands with exploration possibilities. The common shares of InPlay trade on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the symbol IPO and the OTCQX Exchange under the symbol IPOOF.
SOURCE InPlay Oil Corp.
For further information: Doug Bartole, President and Chief Executive Officer, InPlay Oil Corp., Telephone: (587) 955-0632; Darren Dittmer, Chief Financial Officer, InPlay Oil Corp., Telephone: (587) 955-0634
DALLAS, Nov. 30, 2022 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — RedChip Companies will air a new interview with Permex Petroleum Corporation (CSE: OIL) (OTCQB: OILCD) (FSE: 75P) (“Permex” or the “Company”), an independent energy company engaged in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas properties on private, state, and federal land in the United States, on The RedChip Money Report® on Bloomberg TV, this Saturday, December 3, at 7 p.m. Eastern Time (ET). Bloomberg TV is available in an estimated 73 million homes across the U.S.
Interview highlights:
In the exclusive RedChip Money Report interview, Permex Petroleum’s CEO, President, and Director Mehran Ehsan discusses the Company’s 78 oil and gas wells, the recompletion of oil and gas wells in Eddy County, New Mexico and Marin County, Texas, the Company’s acquisition strategy, and much more.
The RedChip Money Report® is produced by RedChip Companies Inc., an international Investor Relations and media firm with 30 years’ experience focused on Discovering Tomorrow’s Blue Chips Today™. “The RedChip Money Report®” delivers insightful commentary on small-cap investing, interviews with Wall Street analysts, financial book reviews, as well as featured interviews with executives of public companies.
About Permex Petroleum Corporation
Permex Petroleum is a uniquely positioned junior oil and gas company with assets and operations across the Permian Basin of West Texas and the Delaware Sub-Basin of New Mexico. The Company focuses on combining its low-cost development of Held by Production assets for sustainable growth with its current and future Blue-Sky projects for scale growth. The Company, through its wholly-owned subsidiary, Permex Petroleum US Corporation, is a licensed operator in both states, and owns and operates on private, state and federal land. For more information, please visit www.permexpetroleum.com.
About RedChip Companies
RedChip Companies, an Inc. 5000 company, is an international investor relations, media, and research firm focused on microcap and small-cap companies. For 30 years, RedChip has delivered concrete, measurable results for its clients. Our newsletter, the RedChip Money Report is delivered online weekly to 60,000 investors. RedChip has developed the most comprehensive service platform in the industry for microcap and small-cap companies. These services include the following: a worldwide distribution network for its stock research; retail and institutional roadshows in major U.S. cities; outbound marketing to stock brokers, RIAs, institutions, and family offices; a digital media investor relations platform that has generated millions of unique investor views; investor webinars and group calls; a television show, “The RedChip Money Report,” which airs weekly on Bloomberg US; TV commercials in local and national markets; corporate and product videos; website design; and traditional investor relation services, which include press release writing, development of investor presentations, quarterly conference call script writing, strategic consulting, capital raising, and more.
To learn more about RedChip’s products and services, please visit:
Statements in this press release may constitute forward-looking statements for the purposes of the safe harbor provisions under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and other federal securities laws as well as applicable Canadian securities laws. These forward-looking statements are made on the basis of the current beliefs, expectations and assumptions of management, are not guarantees of performance and are subject to significant risks and uncertainty. These forward-looking statements should, therefore, be considered in light of various important factors, including those set forth in Company’s reports that it files from time to time with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and the Canadian securities regulators which you should review. When used in this press release, words such as “will,” “could,” “plan,” “estimate”, “expect”, “intend”, “may”, “potential”, “believe”, “should” and similar expressions, are forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements may include, without limitation, statements relating to the Company’s plans to list on NYSE American, financial condition and operating results, legal, economic, business, competitive and/or regulatory factors affecting Permex’s businesses and any other statements regarding events or developments Permex believes or anticipates will or may occur in the future. These forward-looking statements should not be relied upon as predictions of future events, and the Company cannot assure you that the events or circumstances discussed or reflected in these statements will be achieved or will occur. If such forward-looking statements prove to be inaccurate, the inaccuracy may be material. You should not regard these statements as a representation or warranty by the Company or any other person that it will achieve its objectives and plans in any specified timeframe, or at all. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this press release. The Company disclaims any obligation to publicly update or release any revisions to these forward- looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, after the date of this press release or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events, except as required by law.
Contact:
Permex Petroleum Corporation
Mehran Ehsan President, Chief Executive Officer & Director (469) 804-1306
Gregory Montgomery CFO & Director (469) 804-1306
Or for Investor Relations, please contact:
Dave Gentry RedChip Companies Inc. 1-800-RED-CHIP (733-2447) Or 407-491-4498 [email protected]
The Odds May Again be Stacked on the Side of a Prolonged Oil Price Rally
Oil markets and the related energy industry have been cheered this year as the one clear winner, yet within the past few days, crude has brushed up against its low recorded at the start of 2022. The commodity has since bounced, and there are at least four reasons to believe that it will continue to rally.
On Wednesday, November 30, news that China will take steps to ease lockdown restrictions, a drop in U.S. oil supplies, a weaker U.S. dollar, and a signal of OPEC+’s intentions helped push crude prices up by more than 3.5%.
China
Major Chinese manufacturing cities are lifting Covid lockdowns, including the financial hub Shanghai and Zhengzhou (the location of the world’s largest iPhone factory). Renewed expectations that China’s economy may strengthen after being held back by restrictions on movement to contain Covid-19 helped lift prices. After lockdown protests last weekend, Chinese authorities reported fewer cases of the virus on Tuesday. Guangzhou, a city in the south of the country, relaxed some rules on Wednesday. Increased economic activity in China could come at a pace that dramatically increases the demand for oil and related products.
US Supply
U.S. petroleum stockpiles declined by 7.9 million barrels last week, according to reports from the American Petroleum Institute. Official figures from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) shown below indicate a declining trend that is unsustainable and will soon need to be turned around.
Source: EIA
The decline in the days supply is effectively borrowing against future stockpiles as there will need to be a time when this reverses, and more output-increasing stockpiles will add to demand on production.
U.S. Dollar
A weakening dollar has also helped enhance demand globally for crude by making contracts priced in the U.S. currency more affordable for overseas buyers. The dollar index, a measure of strength against a basket of six other major trading currencies, slipped 0.3% on Wednesday. It’s down about 5% in the past month.
While the effect of this FX change may not be felt by U.S. buyers, the added demand by requiring less local currency to translate into dollars effectively creates demand by virtue of its lower cost.
Source: Koyfin
OPEC+
The Saudis had been considering increasing their output to help soften price pressures and increase availability. This would occur when the cartel meets this weekend to decide output levels. It is reported that the meeting will not be in-person. When OPEC+ agrees to meet virtually, it tends to indicate they are not discussing any major changes to output targets.
Expectations of an increase in output had been built into the price; the new expectations are putting upward pressure on crude.
Take Away
A number of factors have caused crude to trade off since late Spring. A number of forces are now stacked up that could push crude levels back upward. These include fewer lockdowns in China, a declining U.S. supply, the added global demand that will be attracted by a weakening dollar, and the new realization that members of OPEC+ are not likely to increase output limits. Additionally, there has been a looming concern as to how much supply will be taken offline with price limits that are to be placed on purchases of Russian oil early next week.
CALGARY, AB, Nov. 29, 2022 /CNW/ – Alvopetro Energy Ltd. (TSXV: ALV) (OTCQX: ALVOF) announces results from the third interval tested in our 183-B1 well on our 100% owned and operated Block 183.
In July 2022, we completed drilling the 183-B1 exploration well to a total measured depth (“MD”) of 2,917 metres. Based on open-hole wireline logs and fluid samples confirming hydrocarbons, the well discovered hydrocarbons in multiple formations with a total of 34.3 metres of potential net hydrocarbon pay, with an average porosity of 10.6% and average water saturation of 29.0% using a 6% porosity cut-off, 50% Vshale cut-off and 50% water saturation cut-off.
Alvopetro has completed the 183-B1 formation test in the Candeias Formation, the third of three formations with hydrocarbons shows during drilling of the well. We perforated a total of 3 metres in the Candeias Formation between 2,580 to 2,586 metres MD. During the clean up period we swabbed 16 bbls of completion fluid and 12 bbls of 36°API crude oil. Cumulatively, over the duration of the 48-hour production test, we recovered 13 bbls of 35°API crude oil and 21 bbls of formation water.
Following this test, we will turn our focus back to the Sergi Formation in this well where we perforated a total of 26.5 metres in the upper portion of the Sergi Formation at various intervals between 2,811 metres MD and 2,886 metres MD. We initially swabbed 63 bbls of oil and 7 bbls of completions fluid during the clean-up period. After a short shut-in we then initiated the production test. Cumulatively, over the duration of the 72-hour production test, we recovered 59 bbls of 43°API oil, 7 bbls of water identified as completion fluid, and 0.28 MMcf of associated gas. The daily oil rate recovered during swabbing operations averaged 20 bopd. We are engineering a stimulation plan for this upper Sergi section in this well and we have submitted applications to drill two follow up wells from this 183-B1 surface location targeting the full Sergi hydrocarbon column and the potential in the deeper Boipeba Member.
We now plan to move to test multiple zones in our 182-C2 well, commencing with the Sergi Formation where, as previously announced, based on open-hole wireline logs, the well encountered a 223.7-metre-thick section with 121.3 metres of sand estimated above 6% porosity in the sand-dominated interval between 2,704.1 and 2,927.8 metres total vertical depth. Caliper logs indicate that a significant amount of the wellbore in the Sergi interval contains washouts from drilling and is out of gauge, making open-hole log analysis challenging. As such, hydrocarbon potential in the Sergi will be validated through formation testing. Following testing of the Sergi Formation, testing will proceed up-hole to the Agua Grande formation where, based on open-hole wireline logs, the well encountered 10.9 metres of potential net hydrocarbon pay, with an average porosity of 8.9% and average water saturation of 25.1%, using a 6% porosity cut-off, 50% Vshale cut-off and 50% water saturation cut-off. This testing will assess the extent, if any, of commercial hydrocarbons associated with the well, the productive capability of the well and will help define the field development plan.
Alvopetro Energy Ltd.’svision is to become a leading independent upstream and midstream operator in Brazil. Our strategy is to unlock the on-shore natural gas potential in the state of Bahia in Brazil, building off the development of our Caburé natural gas field and our strategic midstream infrastructure.
Neither the TSX Venture Exchange nor its Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in the policies of the TSX Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this news release.
All amounts contained in this new release are in United States dollars, unless otherwise stated and all tabular amounts are in thousands of United States dollars, except as otherwise noted.
Abbreviations:
API = American Petroleum Institute°API = an indication of the specific gravity of crude oil measured on the API gravity scale.bbls = barrelsboepd = barrels of oil equivalent (“boe”) per daybopd = barrels of oil and/or natural gas liquids (condensate) per dayMMcf = million cubic feetMMcfpd = million cubic feet per day
BOE Disclosure. The term barrels of oil equivalent (“boe”) may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A boe conversion ratio of six thousand cubic feet per barrel (6Mcf/bbl) of natural gas to barrels of oil equivalence is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. All boe conversions in this news release are derived from converting gas to oil in the ratio mix of six thousand cubic feet of gas to one barrel of oil.
Testing and Well Results. Data obtained from the 183-B1 well and the 182-C2 well identified in this press release, including hydrocarbon shows, open-hole logging, net pay and porosities and initial testing data, should be considered to be preliminary until detailed pressure transient and other analysis and interpretation has been completed. Hydrocarbon shows can be seen during the drilling of a well in numerous circumstances and do not necessarily indicate a commercial discovery or the presence of commercial hydrocarbons in a well. There is no representation by Alvopetro that the data relating to the 183-B1 well or the 182-C2 well contained in this press release is necessarily indicative of long-term performance or ultimate recovery. The reader is cautioned not to unduly rely on such data as such data may not be indicative of future performance of the well or of expected production or operational results for Alvopetro in the future.
Forward-Looking Statements and Cautionary Language. This news release contains “forward-looking information” within the meaning of applicable securities laws. The use of any of the words “will”, “expect”, “intend” and other similar words or expressions are intended to identify forward-looking information. Forward‐looking statements involve significant risks and uncertainties, should not be read as guarantees of future performance or results, and will not necessarily be accurate indications of whether or not such results will be achieved. A number of factors could cause actual results to vary significantly from the expectations discussed in the forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements reflect current assumptions and expectations regarding future events. Accordingly, when relying on forward-looking statements to make decisions, Alvopetro cautions readers not to place undue reliance on these statements, as forward-looking statements involve significant risks and uncertainties. More particularly and without limitation, this news release contains forward-looking information concerning potential hydrocarbon pay in the 183-B1 well and the 182-C2 well, exploration and development prospects of Alvopetro and the expected timing of certain of Alvopetro’s testing and operational activities. The forward‐looking statements are based on certain key expectations and assumptions made by Alvopetro, including but not limited to expectations and assumptions concerning testing results of the 183-B1 well and the 182-C2 well, equipment availability, the timing of regulatory licenses and approvals, the success of future drilling, completion, testing, recompletion and development activities, the outlook for commodity markets and ability to access capital markets, the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, the performance of producing wells and reservoirs, well development and operating performance, foreign exchange rates, general economic and business conditions, weather and access to drilling locations, the availability and cost of labour and services, environmental regulation, including regulation relating to hydraulic fracturing and stimulation, the ability to monetize hydrocarbons discovered, expectations regarding Alvopetro’s working interest and the outcome of any redeterminations, the regulatory and legal environment and other risks associated with oil and gas operations. The reader is cautioned that assumptions used in the preparation of such information, although considered reasonable at the time of preparation, may prove to be incorrect. Actual results achieved during the forecast period will vary from the information provided herein as a result of numerous known and unknown risks and uncertainties and other factors. Although Alvopetro believes that the expectations and assumptions on which such forward-looking information is based are reasonable, undue reliance should not be placed on the forward-looking information because Alvopetro can give no assurance that it will prove to be correct. Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list of factors is not exhaustive. Additional information on factors that could affect the operations or financial results of Alvopetro are included in our annual information form which may be accessed on Alvopetro’s SEDAR profile at www.sedar.com. The forward-looking information contained in this news release is made as of the date hereof and Alvopetro undertakes no obligation to update publicly or revise any forward-looking information, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, unless so required by applicable securities laws.
CALGARY, AB, Nov. 22, 2022 /CNW/ – Alvopetro Energy Ltd. (TSXV: ALV) (OTCQX: ALVOF) announces initial results from the second interval tested in our 183-B1 well on our 100% owned and operated Block 183.
In July 2022, we completed drilling the 183-B1 exploration well to a total measured depth (“MD”) of 2,917 metres. Based on open-hole wireline logs and fluid samples confirming hydrocarbons, the well discovered hydrocarbons in multiple formations with a total of 34.3 metres of potential net hydrocarbon pay, with an average porosity of 10.6% and average water saturation of 29.0% using a 6% porosity cut-off, 50% Vshale cut-off and 50% water saturation cut-off.
Alvopetro has completed the 183-B1 formation test in the Agua Grande formation, the second deepest of three formations with hydrocarbons shows during drilling of the well. We perforated a total of 8.5 metres in the Agua Grande formation at various intervals between 2,680 metres and 2,699 metres MD. During the clean up flow period we recovered 16 bbls of completion fluid and 1 bbl of 52°API natural gas liquids (condensate). After a short shut-in we initiated the production test on a 32/64″ choke. Cumulatively, over the duration of the 72-hour production test, we recovered 2.4 bbls of 48°API natural gas liquids (condensate), 9.4 bbls of formation water and 2.4 MMcf of gas. During the test, the flowing rate decreased from 5.7 MMcfpd to 0.3 MMcfpd, the average gas rate during testing operations was 0.8 MMcfpd. At the beginning of the testing operations the shut-in wellhead pressure (“SIWHP”) was 2,555 psi, and the final flowing wellhead pressure was 40 psi. After 32 hours of buildup the SIWHP was 610 psi.
These results indicate a high permeability zone that delivered strong initial production flow rates but, based on pressure and production declines over the flow period, and slow pressure build up following the test, the Agua Grande reservoir appears to be areally constrained in the high permeability zone and likely sub-commercial in the remaining Agua Grande zones. We will now proceed up-hole to test the Candeias Formation. Based on open-hole logs, using a 6% porosity cut-off, 50% Vshale cut-off and 50% water saturation cut-off the Gomo member of the Candeias Formation was encountered at 2,578 to 2,583 metres total vertical depth, with 5.3 metres of potential net light oil pay, at an average 35.0% water saturation and average porosity of 15.7%. A fluid sample in this Candeias interval was also collected with a dual packer wireline tool recovering 37.1°API oil with no water to surface from 2,580 metres depth at a formation pressure of 4,317 psi.
We previously announced the results of the 183-B1 formation test in the Sergi Formation, the deepest of three formations with hydrocarbons shows during drilling of the well. We perforated a total of 26.5 metres in the upper portion of the Sergi formation at various intervals between 2,811 metres MD and 2,886 metres MD. We initially swabbed 63 bbls of oil and 7 bbls of completions fluid during the clean-up period. After a short shut-in we then initiated the production test. Cumulatively, over the duration of the 72-hour production test, we recovered 59 bbls of 43°API oil, 7 bbls of water identified as completion fluid, and 0.28 MMcf of associated gas. The daily oil rate recovered during swabbing operations averaged 20 bopd. We are engineering a stimulation plan for this upper Sergi section in this well and we have submitted applications to drill two follow up wells from this 183-B1 surface location targeting the full Sergi hydrocarbon column and the potential in the deeper Boipeba Formation.
Alvopetro Energy Ltd.’svision is to become a leading independent upstream and midstream operator in Brazil. Our strategy is to unlock the on-shore natural gas potential in the state of Bahia in Brazil, building off the development of our Caburé natural gas field and our strategic midstream infrastructure.
Neither the TSX Venture Exchange nor its Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in the policies of the TSX Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this news release.
All amounts contained in this new release are in United States dollars, unless otherwise stated and all tabular amounts are in thousands of United States dollars, except as otherwise noted.
Abbreviations:
API
=
American Petroleum Institute
°API
=
an indication of the specific gravity of crude oil measured on the API gravity scale.
bbls
=
barrels
boepd
=
barrels of oil equivalent (“boe”) per day
bopd
=
barrels of oil and/or natural gas liquids (condensate) per day
MMcf
=
million cubic feet
MMcfpd
=
million cubic feet per day
BOE Disclosure. The term barrels of oil equivalent (“boe”) may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A boe conversion ratio of six thousand cubic feet per barrel (6Mcf/bbl) of natural gas to barrels of oil equivalence is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. All boe conversions in this news release are derived from converting gas to oil in the ratio mix of six thousand cubic feet of gas to one barrel of oil.
Testing and Well Results. Data obtained from the 183-B1 well identified in this press release, including hydrocarbon shows, open-hole logging, net pay and porosities and initial testing data, should be considered to be preliminary until detailed pressure transient and other analysis and interpretation has been completed. Hydrocarbon shows can be seen during the drilling of a well in numerous circumstances and do not necessarily indicate a commercial discovery or the presence of commercial hydrocarbons in a well. There is no representation by Alvopetro that the data relating to the 183-B1 well contained in this press release is necessarily indicative of long-term performance or ultimate recovery. The reader is cautioned not to unduly rely on such data as such data may not be indicative of future performance of the well or of expected production or operational results for Alvopetro in the future.
Forward-Looking Statements and Cautionary Language. This news release contains “forward-looking information” within the meaning of applicable securities laws. The use of any of the words “will”, “expect”, “intend” and other similar words or expressions are intended to identify forward-looking information. Forward‐looking statements involve significant risks and uncertainties, should not be read as guarantees of future performance or results, and will not necessarily be accurate indications of whether or not such results will be achieved. A number of factors could cause actual results to vary significantly from the expectations discussed in the forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements reflect current assumptions and expectations regarding future events. Accordingly, when relying on forward-looking statements to make decisions, Alvopetro cautions readers not to place undue reliance on these statements, as forward-looking statements involve significant risks and uncertainties. More particularly and without limitation, this news release contains forward-looking information concerning potential hydrocarbon pay in the 183-B1 well, exploration and development prospects of Alvopetro and the expected timing of certain of Alvopetro’s testing and operational activities. The forward‐looking statements are based on certain key expectations and assumptions made by Alvopetro, including but not limited to expectations and assumptions concerning testing results of the 183-B1 well and the 182-C2 well, equipment availability, the timing of regulatory licenses and approvals, the success of future drilling, completion, testing, recompletion and development activities, the outlook for commodity markets and ability to access capital markets, the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, the performance of producing wells and reservoirs, well development and operating performance, foreign exchange rates, general economic and business conditions, weather and access to drilling locations, the availability and cost of labour and services, environmental regulation, including regulation relating to hydraulic fracturing and stimulation, the ability to monetize hydrocarbons discovered, expectations regarding Alvopetro’s working interest and the outcome of any redeterminations, the regulatory and legal environment and other risks associated with oil and gas operations. The reader is cautioned that assumptions used in the preparation of such information, although considered reasonable at the time of preparation, may prove to be incorrect. Actual results achieved during the forecast period will vary from the information provided herein as a result of numerous known and unknown risks and uncertainties and other factors. Although Alvopetro believes that the expectations and assumptions on which such forward-looking information is based are reasonable, undue reliance should not be placed on the forward-looking information because Alvopetro can give no assurance that it will prove to be correct. Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list of factors is not exhaustive. Additional information on factors that could affect the operations or financial results of Alvopetro are included in our annual information form which may be accessed on Alvopetro’s SEDAR profile at www.sedar.com. The forward-looking information contained in this news release is made as of the date hereof and Alvopetro undertakes no obligation to update publicly or revise any forward-looking information, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, unless so required by applicable securities laws.
Europe May Be Saved from the December Planned Oil Embargo in a Nick of Time
On December 5, the European Union plans to cap oil prices at levels where EU nations would then be permitted to buy oil from Russia. This would significantly reduce the petroleum supply of the region going into winter. The day before this goes into effect, (December 4), OPEC+ will meet to set output levels. Saudi Arabia and other OPEC producers are expected to discuss an output increase, according to emissaries from the group. The 11th hour move could keep much needed petroleum flowing into the region at a time that weather-related demand would naturally grow, holiday driving would be expected to increase, and war-related strategies would have reduced oil coming out of Russia. While western news has verified their sources as actual delegates of OPEC+, the Saudi’s are now saying that their plans are always secret.
About the New Expectations
A production increase of up to 500,000 barrels a day is now expected to be the discussion at OPEC+’s December 4 meeting, delegates said. Any output increase would mark a partial reversal of a controversial decision last month to cut production by 2 million barrels a day. This was agreed upon at the most recent meeting of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and their Russia-led allies, a group known collectively as OPEC+.
The White House had said the production cut undermined global efforts to negatively impact Russia’s war in Ukraine. Saudi-U.S. relations have hit a low point over oil-production disagreements this year; if the December 4 OPEC+ meeting leads to increased oil, this may warm the cooled Saudi-U.S. relations.
About the EU December 5th Plan
The European Union has agreed to stop all oil imports from Russia on December 5. The plan is to cap the prices at which EU nations would buy oil from Russia, that price is expected to be near $60 per barrel. Russia has reacted by increasing exports to Asia, but the price cap is expected to reduce its exports and lower total supply by up to one million barrels per day.
About the OPEC+ December 4th Expectations
A production increase of up to 500,000 barrels a day is now under discussion for OPEC+’s December 4 meeting, emissaries said.
Any increase in OPEC+ output will partially undo the decision made at OPEC+’s its last monthly meeting. In October the cartel voted to cut production by 2 million barrels per day. The decision by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and their Russia-led allies, (OPEC+) was a disappointment to the White House and NATO nations that saw reduced production as strengthening Russia’s ability to fund its war with higher priced exports.
Under normal production discussions by OPEC+ production increases, with oil prices falling more than 10% since the first week of November, one might not expect an increase. Brent crude traded at about $87 a barrel on Monday, while WTI, the U.S. benchmark, fell below $80 a barrel for the first time since September. Production increases could cause prices to fall further.
Emissaries say, a production increase would be to respond to expectations that oil consumption will rise in the winter. Oil demand is expected to increase by 1.69 million barrels a day to 101.3 million barrels a day in the first quarter next year, compared with the average level in 2022.
OPEC and its allies say they have been carefully studying the G-7 plans to impose a price cap on Russian oil, conceding privately that they see any such move by crude consumers to control the market as a threat. Russia has said it wouldn’t sell oil to any country participating in the price cap, potentially resulting in another effective production cut from Moscow—one of the world’s top three oil producers.
Raising oil production ahead of the December 5 EU embargo would give the Saudis another argument that they are acting in their own interests, and not is support of Russia’s.
Talk of the production increase emerged after the Biden administration told a federal court judge that Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman should have sovereign immunity from a U.S. federal lawsuit related to the killing of Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi. The immunity decision is seen by some as a concession to Prince Mohammed, and heighten his standing as the kingdom’s de facto ruler. The move comes after the Biden administration tried for months to isolate him.
Another factor that helps account for the timing of OPEC+’s discussion to raise output is the two large OPEC members, Iraq and the United Arab Emirates that want to pump more oil. Both countries are pushing the oil-producing nations to allow them a higher daily-production ceiling, which would lead to more oil produced globally.
Saudi officials late Monday denied reports the kingdom is reversing course and helping the West with added production.
Michael Heim, CFA, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Permex Petroleum decided to postpone its listing on the NYSE American due to market conditions. The company also indicated that a registration statement with the SEC has not yet become effective. The shares of Permex (now trading as OILCD) have fallen approximately 50% following the announcement of a 2 million (later raised to 3.6 million) common share offering. The offering was to be completed in conjunction with the move to the NYSE. Prior to the uplisting and registration announcement, Permex completed a 1-60 reverse stock split.
We are adjusting our estimates and price target to reflect a lower share count associated with the reverse stock split. Our new price target is now $40 per share versus our pre-stock split price target of $4 per share. We have increased our price target by less than a 60-1 multiple due to the following reasons. We have increased the discount rate we are using for the company to reflect what we view as increased financing risk. In addition, we have slowed the assumed pace of new well drilling to one every other quarter instead of one per quarter. We also believe the company will focus primarily on less expensive, but less productive, vertical wells until it starts generating cash flow to fund drilling.
This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
Alvopetro Energy Ltd.’s vision is to become a leading independent upstream and midstream operator in Brazil. Our strategy is to unlock the on-shore natural gas potential in the state of Bahia in Brazil, building off the development of our Caburé natural gas field and our strategic midstream infrastructure.
Michael Heim, CFA, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Alvopetro reported 2022-3Q results significantly higher than last year and above our expectations. Revenues rose 67% due to a 7% increase in production and a 58% increase in gas prices. Higher sales translated into higher cash flow ($13.8 million versus $7.2 million) and earnings ($8.8 million versus $0.0).
Results were due to operations improvements and are likely to continue. The company expanded its gas processing facilities in July raising capacity to 3,000 boe/d. With quarterly results, management indicated that October total production averaged 2,720 boe/d, a nice rise above 2022-3Q levels of 2,642 boe/d.
This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
CALGARY, AB, Nov. 15, 2022 /CNW/ – Alvopetro Energy Ltd. (TSXV:ALV); (OTCQX: ALVOF) is pleased to announce a 50% increase in our quarterly dividend, to US$0.12 per common share, an intention to launch a share buyback program under a normal course issuer bid (“NCIB”) and operating and financial results for the third quarter of 2022 including another record quarter of funds flow from operations of $13.3 million. We will host a live webcast to discuss Q3 2022 results on Wednesday November 16, 2022, beginning at 9:00 am Mountain time.
President & CEO, Corey C. Ruttan commented:
“With continued strong operating and financial results, and with our debt now fully repaid, we are pleased to announce a 50% increase in our quarterly dividend following on the 33% increase earlier this year. Our dividend program and the proposed NCIB will provide us with maximum flexibility to meet our strategy to maintain a balanced organic growth and stakeholder return model.”
All references herein to $ refer to United States dollars, unless otherwise stated and all tabular amounts are in thousands of United States dollars, except as otherwise noted.
Quarterly Dividend Increased 50% to $0.12 per Share
Alvopetro is pleased to announce that our Board of Directors has approved a 50% increase in our quarterly dividend, to $0.12 per common share, payable in cash on January 13, 2023, to shareholders of record at the close of business on December 30, 2022. This dividend is designated as an “eligible dividend” for Canadian income tax purposes.
Dividend payments to non-residents of Canada will be subject to withholding taxes at the Canadian statutory rate of 25%. Shareholders may be entitled to a reduced withholding tax rate under a tax treaty between their country of residence and Canada. For further information, see Alvopetro’s website at https://alvopetro.com/Dividends-Non-resident-Shareholders.
Normal Course Issuer Bid
In connection with our long-standing balanced and disciplined stakeholder return and organic growth model, our Board has provided approval to submit an application to launch a share buyback program under a NCIB, subject to securities law and customary approvals. Once approved, the NCIB, combined with our quarterly dividends, will provide us with flexibility in managing our returns to stakeholders.
Financial and Operating Highlights – Third Quarter of 2022
Daily sales averaged 2,642 boepd in Q3 2022, a 7% increase from the Q3 2021 average of 2,459 boepd and a 12% increase from the Q2 2022 average of 2,359 boepd. The expansion of our gas processing facility was completed at the end of July and available processing capacity has now increased to 500,000 m3/d (18 MMcfpd) contributing to higher volumes in the quarter.
As of August 1, 2022, Alvopetro’s natural gas price has been reset to the new ceiling price of $10.22/MMBtu. Due to the appreciation of the BRL in the first half of 2022 compared to second half of 2021, the BRL contracted price remained consistent at BRL1.94/m3. With all natural gas sales in Q3 2022 at the ceiling price, our average realized natural gas price increased to $11.18/Mcf compared to the Q3 2021 average price of $7.07/Mcf. Higher commodity prices and higher daily sales volumes resulted in a 67% increase in our natural gas, condensate and oil revenue compared to Q3 2021.
Our operating netback was $59.83 per boe in Q3 2022, an improvement of $23.45 per boe from Q3 2021 (+64%). Despite consistent BRL denominated natural gas pricing, our operating netback decreased $4.13 per boe from Q2 2022 (-6%) due to the devaluation of the BRL relative to the USD and lower Brent pricing on condensate.
We generated cash flows from operating activities of $13.8 million ($0.40 per basic share and $0.37 per diluted share) and funds flows from operations of $13.3 million ($0.39 per basic share and $0.36 per diluted share), increases of $6.6 million and $5.4 million, respectively compared to Q3 2021.
We reported net income of $8.8 million in Q3 2022 compared to a loss of $0.02 million in Q3 2021.
Capital expenditures totaled $8.7 million, and included drilling costs for our 183-B1, 182-C2 and Unit-C wells, testing costs on our 182-C1 well, long lead purchases and development costs on our Murucututu project.
All outstanding warrants were exercised in the quarter, with 1,342,978 warrants exercised by way of cashless exercise and 1,342,978 warrants exercised at a strike price of $1.80 per share. Alvopetro received cash proceeds of $2.4 million and issued a total of 2,081,616 common shares on the exercise.
We repaid the final $2.5 million outstanding on the credit facility and the facility has now been cancelled. As at September 30, 2022, we had a net working capital surplus of $12.2 million, including $17.4 million in cash and cash equivalents.
Our October 2022 sales volumes averaged 2,720 boepd based on field estimates, with natural gas sales of 15.6MMcfpd and natural gas liquids from condensate of 124 bopd.
The following table provides a summary of Alvopetro’s financial and operating results for three and nine months ended September 30, 2022 and September 30, 2021. The consolidated financial statements with the Management’s Discussion and Analysis (“MD&A) are available on our website at www.alvopetro.com and will be available on the System for Electronic Document Analysis and Retrieval (SEDAR) website at www.sedar.com.
Notes:
The 2021 comparative periods in the table above have been restated. See “Restatement of the 2021 Comparative Period” section within the MD&A and Note 14 of the unaudited interim condensed consolidated financial statements for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2022 for further details.
Per share amounts are based on weighted average shares outstanding other than dividends per share, which is based on the number of common shares outstanding at each dividend record date. The weighted average number of diluted common shares outstanding in the computation of funds flow from operations and cash flows from operating activities per share is the same as for net income per share.
See “Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures” section within this news release.
Third Quarter 2022 Results Webcast
Alvopetro will host a live webcast to discuss Q3 2022 financial results at 9:00 am Mountain time on November 16, 2022. Details for joining the event are as follows:
The webcast will include a question-and-answer period. Online participants will be able to ask questions through the Zoom portal. Dial-in participants can email questions directly to [email protected].
Long-term Incentive Compensation Grants
In connection with our long-term incentive compensation program, Alvopetro’s Board of Directors (the “Board”) has approved the annual rolling grants to officers, directors and certain employees under Alvopetro’s Omnibus Incentive Plan. A total of 536,000 stock options, 122,000 restricted share units (“RSUs”) and 40,000 deferred share units (“DSUs”) were approved by the Board and are expected to be granted on November 24, 2022. Of the total grants, 248,000 stock options, 101,000 RSUs and 40,000 DSUs were granted to directors and officers. Each stock option, RSU and DSU entitles the holder to purchase one common share. Each stock option granted will have an exercise price based on the volume weighted average trading price of Alvopetro’s shares on the TSX Venture Exchange for the five (5) consecutive trading days up to and including November 24, 2022. All stock options, RSUs and DSUs granted expire five (5) years from the date of the grant.
Alvopetro Energy Ltd.’svision is to become a leading independent upstream and midstream operator in Brazil. Our strategy is to unlock the on-shore natural gas potential in the state of Bahia in Brazil, building off the development of our Caburé natural gas field and our strategic midstream infrastructure.
Neither the TSX Venture Exchange nor its Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in the policies of the TSX Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this news release.
Abbreviations:
bbls
=
barrels
boepd
=
barrels of oil equivalent (“boe”) per day
bopd
=
barrels of oil and/or natural gas liquids (condensate) per day
BRL
=
Brazilian Real
m3
=
cubic metre
Mcf
=
thousand cubic feet
Mcfpd
=
thousand cubic feet per day
MMcf
=
million cubic feet
MMcfpd
=
million cubic feet per day
NGLs
=
natural gas liquids
Q2 2022
=
three months ended June 30, 2022
Q3 2021
=
three months ended September 30, 2021
Q3 2022
=
three months ended September 30, 2022
Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures
This news release contains references to various non-GAAP financial measures, non-GAAP ratios, capital management measures and supplementary financial measures as such terms are defined in National Instrument 52-112 Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures Disclosure. Such measures are not recognized measures under GAAP and do not have a standardized meaning prescribed by IFRS and might not be comparable to similar financial measures disclosed by other issuers. While these measures may be common in the oil and gas industry, the Company’s use of these terms may not be comparable to similarly defined measures presented by other companies. The non-GAAP and other financial measures referred to in this report should not be considered an alternative to, or more meaningful than measures prescribed by IFRS and they are not meant to enhance the Company’s reported financial performance or position. These are complementary measures that are used by management in assessing the Company’s financial performance, efficiency and liquidity and they may be used by investors or other users of this document for the same purpose. Below is a description of the non-GAAP financial measures, non-GAAP ratios, capital management measures and supplementary financial measures used in this news release. For more information with respect to financial measures which have not been defined by GAAP, including reconciliations to the closest comparable GAAP measure, see the “Non-GAAP Measures and Other Financial Measures” section of the Company’s MD&A which may be accessed through the SEDAR website at www.sedar.com.
Non-GAAP Financial Measures
Operating netback
Operating netback is calculated as natural gas, oil and condensate revenues less royalties and production expenses. This calculation is provided in the “Operating Netback” section of the Company’s MD&A using our IFRS measures. The Company’s MD&A may be accessed through the SEDAR website at www.sedar.com. Operating netback is a common metric used in the oil and gas industry used to demonstrate profitability from operations.
Non-GAAP Financial Ratios
Operating netback per boe
Operating netback is calculated on a per unit basis, which is per barrel of oil equivalent (“boe”). It is a common non-GAAP measure used in the oil and gas industry and management believes this measurement assists in evaluating the operating performance of the Company. It is a measure of the economic quality of the Company’s producing assets and is useful for evaluating variable costs as it provides a reliable measure regardless of fluctuations in production. Alvopetro calculated operating netback per boe as operating netback divided by total sales volumes (barrels of oil equivalent). This calculation is provided in the “Operating Netback” section of the Company’s MD&A using our IFRS measures. The Company’s MD&A may be accessed through the SEDAR website at www.sedar.com. Operating netback is a common metric used in the oil and gas industry used to demonstrate profitability from operations on a per unit basis (boe).
Operating netback margin
Operating netback margin is calculated as operating netback per boe divided by the realized sales price per boe. Operating netback margin is a measure of the profitability per boe relative to natural gas, oil and condensate sales revenues per boe and is calculated as follows:
Funds Flow from Operations Per Share
Funds flow from operations per share is a non-GAAP ratio that includes all cash generated from operating activities and is calculated before changes in non-cash working capital, divided by the weighted the weighted average shares outstanding for the respective period. For the periods reported in this news release the cash flows from operating activities per share and funds flow from operations per share is as follows:
Capital Management Measures
Funds Flow from Operations
Funds flow from operations is a non-GAAP capital management measure that includes all cash generated from operating activities and is calculated before changes in non-cash working capital. The most comparable GAAP measure to funds flow from operations is cash flows from operating activities. Management considers funds flow from operations important as it helps evaluate financial performance and demonstrates the Company’s ability to generate sufficient cash to fund future growth opportunities. Funds flow from operations should not be considered an alternative to, or more meaningful than, cash flows from operating activities however management finds that the impact of working capital items on the cash flows reduces the comparability of the metric from period to period. A reconciliation of funds flow from operations to cash flows from operating activities is as follows:
Net Working Capital
Net working capital is computed as current assets less current liabilities. Net working capital is a measure of liquidity, is used to evaluate financial resources, and is calculated as follows:
Working Capital Net of Debt
Working capital net of debt is computed as net working capital surplus decreased by the carrying amount of the Credit Facility. Working capital net of debt is used by management to assess the Company’s overall financial position.
Supplementary Financial Measures
“Average realized natural gas price – $/Mcf” is comprised of natural gas sales as determined in accordance with IFRS, divided by the Company’s natural gas sales volumes.
“Average realized NGL – condensate price – $/bbl” is comprised of condensate sales as determined in accordance with IFRS, divided by the Company’s NGL sales volumes from condensate.
“Average realized oil price – $/bbl” is comprised of oil sales as determined in accordance with IFRS, divided by the Company’s oil sales volumes.
“Average realized price – $/boe” is comprised of natural gas, condensate and oil sales as determined in accordance with IFRS, divided by the Company’s total natural gas, condensate and oil sales volumes (barrels of oil equivalent).
“Royalties per boe” is comprised of royalties, as determined in accordance with IFRS, divided by the total natural gas, condensate and oil sales volumes (barrels of oil equivalent).
“Production expenses per boe” is comprised of production expenses, as determined in accordance with IFRS, divided by the total natural gas, condensate and oil sales volumes (barrels of oil equivalent).
BOE Disclosure
The term barrels of oil equivalent (“boe”) may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A boe conversion ratio of six thousand cubic feet per barrel (6 Mcf/bbl) of natural gas to barrels of oil equivalence is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. All boe conversions in this MD&A are derived from converting gas to oil in the ratio mix of six thousand cubic feet of gas to one barrel of oil.
Forward-Looking Statements and Cautionary Language
This news release contains forward-looking information within the meaning of applicable securities laws. The use of any of the words “will”, “expect”, “intend” and other similar words or expressions are intended to identify forward-looking information. Forward‐looking statements involve significant risks and uncertainties, should not be read as guarantees of future performance or results, and will not necessarily be accurate indications of whether or not such results will be achieved. A number of factors could cause actual results to vary significantly from the expectations discussed in the forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements reflect current assumptions and expectations regarding future events. Accordingly, when relying on forward-looking statements to make decisions, Alvopetro cautions readers not to place undue reliance on these statements, as forward-looking statements involve significant risks and uncertainties. More particularly and without limitation, this news release contains forward-looking information concerning the Company’s dividend policy, plans for dividends in the future, and the timing and taxation of such dividends, the Company’s intention to proceed with an NCIB, plans relating to the Company’s operational activities, the expected natural gas price, gas sales and gas deliveries under Alvopetro’s long-term gas sales agreement, exploration and development prospects of Alvopetro, the expected timing of certain of Alvopetro’s testing and operational activities, future results from operations, and the Company’s plans for dividends in the future. Forward-looking statements are necessarily based upon assumptions and judgments with respect to the future including, but not limited to, expected approvals and timing thereof with respect to an NCIB, equipment availability, the timing and results of testing the 183-B1 well, the 182-C2 well and the Unit C well, the success of future drilling, completion, recompletion and development activities, foreign exchange rates, expectations regarding Alvopetro’s working interest and the outcome of any redeterminations, the outlook for commodity markets and ability to access capital markets, the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, the performance of producing wells and reservoirs, well development and operating performance, the timing of regulatory licenses and approvals, general economic and business conditions, forecasted demand for oil and natural gas, weather and access to drilling locations, the availability and cost of labour and services, environmental regulation, including regulation relating to hydraulic fracturing and stimulation, the ability to monetize hydrocarbons discovered, the regulatory and legal environment and other risks associated with oil and gas operations. The reader is cautioned that assumptions used in the preparation of such information, although considered reasonable at the time of preparation, may prove to be incorrect. Actual results achieved during the forecast period will vary from the information provided herein as a result of numerous known and unknown risks and uncertainties and other factors. In addition, the declaration, timing, amount and payment of future dividends remain at the discretion of the Board of Directors. Although Alvopetro believes that the expectations and assumptions on which such forward-looking information is based are reasonable, undue reliance should not be placed on the forward-looking information because Alvopetro can give no assurance that it will prove to be correct. Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list of factors is not exhaustive. Additional information on factors that could affect the operations or financial results of Alvopetro are included in our restated annual information form which may be accessed on Alvopetro’s SEDAR profile at www.sedar.com. The forward-looking information contained in this news release is made as of the date hereof and Alvopetro undertakes no obligation to update publicly or revise any forward-looking information, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, unless so required by applicable securities laws.
SOURCE Alvopetro Energy Ltd.
For further information: Corey C. Ruttan, President, Chief Executive Officer and Director, or Alison Howard, Chief Financial Officer, Phone: 587.794.4224, Email: [email protected], www.alvopetro.com, TSX-V: ALV, OTCQX: ALVOF
