Category: Energy

Release – Hemisphere Energy Announces Updates to Its Share-Based Compensation Plans and Grants Incentive Restricted Share Units and Stock Options

Posted on by dburczyk@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Research News and Market Data on HMENF

Vancouver, British Columbia–(Newsfile Corp. – December 16, 2024) – Hemisphere Energy Corporation (TSXV: HME) (OTCQX: HMENF) (“Hemisphere” or the “Company”) announces that its Board of Directors has approved a new Restricted Share Unit (“RSU”) Plan and made certain amendments to its existing Stock Option Plan that are intended to comply with the provisions of TSXV Policy 4.4 – Security Based Compensation, as well as other housekeeping changes, both subject to shareholder approval at the next annual general meeting in May 2025. The Company’s Board of Directors has also approved grants of incentive RSUs and stock options.

Restricted Share Units

Under the new RSU Plan, RSUs may be granted to directors, employees, and contractors of the Company. The RSU Plan permits the Company to either redeem RSUs for cash or by issuance of Hemisphere’s common shares.

On December 13, 2024, the Company conditionally awarded 930,000 incentive RSUs to directors and officers of Hemisphere, all of which will vest one-third annually over a three-year period and will expire on December 15, 2027.

The RSU Plan and the grant of the above noted RSUs each remain subject to the requisite approval of the shareholders of the Company, in accordance with the rules of the TSX Venture Exchange. These matters, as well as matters relating to the amendments and renewal of the Company’s Stock Option Plan, are expected to be presented for approval at the Company’s next annual meeting of shareholders.

Stock Options

Additionally, in accordance with the Company’s Stock Option Plan, Hemisphere has granted 48,000 incentive stock options to its investor relations service provider on December 13, 2024 at an exercise price of $1.84 per share which will vest quarterly over 12 months and expire on December 13, 2029.

About Hemisphere Energy Corporation

Hemisphere is a dividend-paying Canadian oil company focused on maximizing value-per-share growth with the sustainable development of its high netback, ultra-low decline conventional heavy oil assets through polymer flood EOR methods. Hemisphere trades on the TSX Venture Exchange as a Tier 1 issuer under the symbol “HME” and on the OTCQX Venture Marketplace under the symbol “HMENF”.

For further information, please visit the Company’s website at www.hemisphereenergy.ca to view its corporate presentation or contact:

Don Simmons, President & Chief Executive Officer
Telephone: (604) 685-9255
Email: info@hemisphereenergy.ca

Website: www.hemisphereenergy.ca

Neither the TSX Venture Exchange nor its Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in the policies of the TSX Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this news release.

info

SOURCE: Hemisphere Energy Corporation

Hemisphere Energy (HMENF) – Third Quarter Results Ahead of Expectations

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, November 22, 2024

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Third quarter financial results. Hemisphere Energy reported third-quarter net income of C$8.6 million or C$0.09 per share compared to C$8.5 million or C$0.08 per share during the third quarter of 2023. We had projected net income of C$8.4 million or C$0.08 per share. Year-over-year, oil and natural gas revenue increased 9.6% to C$26.7 million, driven by an 18.5% increase in average daily production to 3,621 barrels of oil equivalent (BOE) compared to 3,056 during the prior year period and our estimate of 3,600. The average sales price per BOE declined to C$80.06 compared to C$86.57 in the third quarter of 2023. Adjusted funds flow from operations amounted to C$11.7 million or C$0.12 per diluted share compared to C$11.7 million or C$0.11 per diluted share during the prior year period.

Updating estimates. While our 2024 EPS estimate is unchanged at C$0.31, we have modestly lowered our adjusted funds flow estimate to C$43.5 million from C$43.8 million. We lowered our full year average daily production expectations to 3,456 barrels of oil equivalent from 3,534 to reflect down time in the fourth quarter associated with vessel inspections and maintenance. While our 2025 average daily production estimate of 3,625 barrels of oil equivalent is unchanged, we lowered our 2025 AFF and EPS estimates to C$38.0 million and C$0.27 per share from C$42.6 million and C$0.32 to reflect lower crude oil prices.


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Release – Hemisphere Energy Announces 2024 Third Quarter Results, Declares Quarterly Dividend, and Provides Operations Update

Posted on by dburczyk@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Research News and Market Data on HMENF

Vancouver, British Columbia–(Newsfile Corp. – November 21, 2024) – Hemisphere Energy Corporation (TSXV: HME) (OTCQX: HMENF) (“Hemisphere” or the “Company”) is pleased to provide its financial and operating results for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2024, declare a quarterly dividend payment to shareholders, and provide an operations update.

Q3 2024 Highlights

  • Achieved quarterly production of 3,621 boe/d (99% heavy oil), an 18% increase over the same quarter last year.
  • Attained quarterly revenue of $26.7 million, a 10% increase from the third quarter of 2023.
  • Delivered operating netback1 of $15.4 million or $46.24/boe for the quarter.
  • Realized quarterly adjusted funds flow from operations (“AFF”)1 of $11.7 million or $35.17/boe.
  • Executed a $9.9 million capital expenditure program to drill eight successful wells in Atlee Buffalo, Alberta and construct a new multi-well battery and polymer injection facility in Marsden, Saskatchewan.
  • Exited the third quarter with a positive working capital1 position of $6.5 million.
  • Paid a special dividend of $2.9 million ($0.03/share) to shareholders on July 26, 2024.
  • Paid a quarterly base dividend of $2.5 million ($0.025/share) to shareholders on September 13, 2024.
  • Announced a special dividend of $0.03/share to shareholders that was paid subsequent to the quarter on October 25, 2024.
  • Renewed the Company’s Normal Course Issuer Bid (“NCIB”).
  • Purchased and cancelled 756,400 shares under the Company’s NCIB.

(1) Operating netback, adjusted funds flow from operations (AFF), free funds flow, capital expenditures, and working capital are non-IFRS measures, or when expressed on a per share or boe basis, non-IFRS ratio, that do not have any standardized meaning under IFRS and therefore may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other entities. Non-IFRS financial measures and ratios are not standardized financial measures under IFRS and may not be comparable to similar financial measures disclosed by other issuers. Refer to the section “Non-IFRS and Other Specified Financial Measures”.

Selected financial and operational highlights should be read in conjunction with Hemisphere’s unaudited consolidated interim financial statements and related notes, and the Management’s Discussion and Analysis for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2024 which are available on SEDAR+ at www.sedarplus.ca and on Hemisphere’s website at www.hemisphereenergy.ca. All amounts are expressed in Canadian dollars unless otherwise noted.

Financial and Operating Summary

Quarterly Dividend and Shareholder Return

Hemisphere is pleased to announce that its Board of Directors has approved a quarterly cash dividend of $0.025 per common share in accordance with the Company’s dividend policy. The dividend will be paid on December 27, 2024 to shareholders of record as of the close of business on December 13, 2024. The dividend is designated as an eligible dividend for income tax purposes.

A minimum of $21 million is anticipated to be returned to Hemisphere’s shareholders in 2024, inclusive of $9.8 million in quarterly base dividends, $5.9 million in two special dividends, and $5.3 million in NCIB share repurchases and cancellations. Based on the Company’s current market capitalization of $179 million (97.5 million shares issued and outstanding at market close price of $1.84 per share on November 20, 2024), this represents an annualized yield of 11.7% to Hemisphere’s shareholders.

Operations Update

Hemisphere’s polymer floods in Atlee Buffalo continue to perform well, with third quarter production up 18% from the same period of 2023. During the third quarter of 2024, Hemisphere drilled eight new horizontal wells into its Atlee Buffalo pools, of which three are in the F pool and five in the G pool. All but one of these wells were brought online subsequent to the end of the quarter, although at least two will ultimately be converted into injectors to continue to build reservoir pressure and sweep oil to producers in the pool.

The Company is currently adding another treater to its G pool battery to handle the additional volumes from these wells. At the same time, vessel inspection and overall maintenance is being completed across the G pool battery. Due to this downtime, management anticipates lower corporate production during the first half of the fourth quarter, with overall expectations for annual 2024 production to be in line with guidance.

In its Marsden, Saskatchewan property, Hemisphere continues to evaluate its new polymer pilot project and is awaiting source well regulatory approval in order to increase injection rates. At this time no significant production is budgeted from the area.

The Hemisphere team is currently working on development plans for next year and expects to release details on its 2025 guidance in January.

About Hemisphere Energy Corporation

Hemisphere is a dividend-paying Canadian oil company focused on maximizing value-per-share growth with the sustainable development of its high netback, low decline conventional heavy oil assets through polymer flood enhanced recovery methods. Hemisphere trades on the TSX Venture Exchange as a Tier 1 issuer under the symbol “HME” and on the OTCQX Venture Marketplace under the symbol “HMENF”.

For further information, please visit the Company’s website at www.hemisphereenergy.ca to view its corporate presentation or contact:

Don Simmons, President & Chief Executive Officer
Telephone: (604) 685-9255
Email: info@hemisphereenergy.ca

Website: www.hemisphereenergy.ca

Forward-looking Statements

Certain statements included in this news release constitute forward-looking statements or forward-looking information (collectively, “forward-looking statements”) within the meaning of applicable securities legislation. Forward-looking statements are typically identified by words such as “anticipate”, “continue”, “estimate”, “expect”, “forecast”, “may”, “will”, “project”, “could”, “plan”, “intend”, “should”, “believe”, “outlook”, “potential”, “target” and similar words suggesting future events or future performance. In particular, but without limiting the generality of the foregoing, this news release includes forward-looking statements including that a quarterly dividend will be paid December 27, 2024 to shareholders of record as of the close of business on December 13, 2024; that a minimum of $21 million is anticipated to be returned to shareholders in 2024; that at least two of Hemisphere’s new wells will be converted into injectors; that management anticipates lower corporate production during the first half of the fourth quarter, with overall expectations for annual 2024 production to fall in line with guidance; and that Hemisphere expects to release details on its 2025 guidance in January.

Forward‐looking statements are based on a number of material factors, expectations or assumptions of Hemisphere which have been used to develop such statements and information, but which may prove to be incorrect. Although Hemisphere believes that the expectations reflected in such forward‐looking statements or information are reasonable, undue reliance should not be placed on forward‐looking statements because Hemisphere can give no assurance that such expectations will prove to be correct. In addition to other factors and assumptions which may be identified herein, assumptions have been made regarding, among other things: the current and go-forward oil price environment; that Hemisphere will continue to conduct its operations in a manner consistent with past operations; that results from drilling and development activities are consistent with past operations; the quality of the reservoirs in which Hemisphere operates and continued performance from existing wells; the perspectivity of recently acquired properties and the timing and manner to explore and develop the same; the continued and timely development of infrastructure in areas of new production; the accuracy of the estimates of Hemisphere’s reserve volumes; certain commodity price and other cost assumptions; continued availability of debt and equity financing and cash flow to fund Hemisphere’s current and future plans and expenditures; the impact of increasing competition; the general stability of the economic and political environment in which Hemisphere operates; the general continuance of current industry conditions; the timely receipt of any required regulatory approvals; the ability of Hemisphere to obtain qualified staff, equipment and services in a timely and cost efficient manner; drilling results; the ability of the operator of the projects in which Hemisphere has an interest in to operate the field in a safe, efficient and effective manner; the ability of Hemisphere to obtain financing on acceptable terms; field production rates and decline rates; the ability to replace and expand oil and natural gas reserves through acquisition, development and exploration; the timing and cost of pipeline, storage and facility construction and expansion and the ability of Hemisphere to secure adequate product transportation; future commodity prices; currency, exchange and interest rates; regulatory framework regarding royalties, taxes and environmental matters in the jurisdictions in which Hemisphere operates; and the ability of Hemisphere to successfully market its oil and natural gas products.

The forward‐looking statements included in this news release are not guarantees of future performance and should not be unduly relied upon. Such information and statements, including the assumptions made in respect thereof, involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual results or events to defer materially from those anticipated in such forward‐looking statements including, without limitation: changes in commodity prices; changes in the demand for or supply of Hemisphere’s products, the early stage of development of some of the evaluated areas and zones; unanticipated operating results or production declines; changes in tax or environmental laws, royalty rates or other regulatory matters; changes in development plans of Hemisphere or by third party operators of Hemisphere’s properties, increased debt levels or debt service requirements; inaccurate estimation of Hemisphere’s oil and gas reserve volumes; limited, unfavourable or a lack of access to capital markets; increased costs; a lack of adequate insurance coverage; the impact of competitors; and certain other risks detailed from time‐to‐time in Hemisphere’s public disclosure documents, (including, without limitation, those risks identified in this news release and in Hemisphere’s Annual Information Form).

The forward‐looking statements contained in this news release speak only as of the date of this news release, and Hemisphere does not assume any obligation to publicly update or revise any of the included forward‐looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as may be required by applicable securities laws.

Non-IFRS and Other Financial Measures

This news release contains the terms adjusted funds flow from operations, free funds flow, capital expenditures, operating field netback, operating netback, and working capital/net debt, which are considered “non-IFRS financial measures” and any of these measures calculated on a per boe basis, which are considered “non-IFRS financial ratios”. These terms do not have a standardized meaning prescribed by IFRS. Accordingly, the Company’s use of these terms may not be comparable to similarly defined measures presented by other companies. Investors are cautioned that these measures should not be construed as an alternative to net income (loss) or cashflow from operations determined in accordance with IFRS and these measures should not be considered more meaningful than IFRS measures in evaluating the Company’s performance.

a) Adjusted funds flow from operations (“AFF”) (Non-IFRS Financial Measure and Ratio if calculated on a per share or boe basis): The Company considers AFF to be a key measure that indicates the Company’s ability to generate the funds necessary to support future growth through capital investment and to repay any debt. AFF is a measure that represents cash flow generated by operating activities, before changes in non-cash working capital and adjusted for decommissioning expenditures and may not be comparable to measures used by other companies. The most directly comparable IFRS measure for AFF is cash provided by operating activities. AFF per share is calculated using the same weighted-average number of shares outstanding as in the case of the earnings per share calculation for the period.

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InPlay Oil (IPOOF) – Expecting a Strong Finish in 2024; Outlook for 2025 Remains Positive

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, November 15, 2024

InPlay Oil is a junior oil and gas exploration and production company with operations in Alberta focused on light oil production. The company operates long-lived, low-decline properties with drilling development and enhanced oil recovery potential as well as undeveloped lands with exploration possibilities. The common shares of InPlay trade on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the symbol IPO and the OTCQX Exchange under the symbol IPOOF.

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Hans Baldau, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Third quarter financial results. InPlay Oil generated third quarter net income of C$146 thousand or C$0.00 per share compared to C$9.2 million or C$0.08 per share during the prior year period. We had predicted net income in the amount of C$423 thousand or C$0.00 per share. Average quarterly production declined to 8,206 barrels of oil equivalents per day (boe/d) compared to 9,003 boe/d in the third quarter of 2023 and our estimate of 8,238 boe/d.

Corporate 2024 guidance. While InPlay has maintained its production guidance of 8,700 to 9,000 boe/d, commodity price expectations were lowered, and operating expenses are expected to be in the range of C$13.50 to C$15.50 per boe/d compared to prior guidance of C$13.00 to C$15.25 per boe/d. Capital expenditures are expected to total $63 million compared with prior guidance of C$64 million to C$67 million. Adjusted funds flow is expected to be in the range of C$70 million to C$73 million compared to previous expectations of C$80 million to C$85 million.


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TransAlta Finalizes Acquisition of Heartland Generation in $542 Million Deal

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com
Key Points:
– TransAlta acquires Heartland Generation for $542 million, adjusting for asset divestitures.
– Acquisition to add 1,747 MW of capacity, enhancing TransAlta’s Alberta portfolio.
– Deal expected to yield $85-$90 million in annual EBITDA and $20 million in annual synergies.

TransAlta Corporation announced an amended acquisition agreement to purchase Heartland Generation from Energy Capital Partners (ECP) at a revised price of $542 million. This agreement, which includes the assumption of $232 million of debt, strengthens TransAlta’s presence in Alberta’s energy market, adding diverse power generation assets critical for the province’s growing needs. The transaction is expected to close by December 4, 2024, and includes the divestiture of Heartland’s Poplar Hill and Rainbow Lake assets, which account for 97 MW of power. These divestitures, required to meet federal Competition Bureau guidelines, prompted an $80 million reduction in the purchase price and will allow TransAlta to focus on core, high-value assets in its portfolio.

Heartland Generation’s assets are strategically valuable to TransAlta. By adding 1,747 MW of capacity, including gas-fired and peaking generation, as well as cogeneration facilities, TransAlta will significantly enhance its energy capabilities. This expanded portfolio is expected to be highly accretive to the company’s cash flow, contributing an estimated $85 to $90 million in annual EBITDA post-synergies and divestitures. Approximately 60% of Heartland’s revenues are under long-term contracts with an average remaining life of 15 years, ensuring steady, reliable income from high-credit, stable clients. According to TransAlta, the acquisition will yield substantial free cash flow and achieve a cash yield backed by low-cost, high-efficiency energy generation, supporting Alberta’s dynamic power needs.

CEO John Kousinioris emphasized the alignment of this acquisition with TransAlta’s growth strategy in Alberta. “The pending acquisition of Heartland will allow TransAlta to incorporate high-demand generation capabilities, enhancing our role in supporting grid reliability. Consistent with our original investment thesis, the Alberta market will increasingly require low-cost, flexible, and fast-responding generation to support grid reliability over the coming years. This transaction supports our competitive position by ensuring we maintain a robust and diversified portfolio,” he noted. The deal allows TransAlta to better meet Alberta’s evolving energy demands and gain an edge in the market by offering reliable power that complements and balances renewable energy sources, particularly as renewables are scaled up across Alberta.

TransAlta will also leverage significant operational and financial synergies by integrating Heartland’s assets. The company expects $20 million in annual synergies through shared corporate and operational costs. With TransAlta’s existing assets, the expanded scale will enable supply chain efficiencies, operational optimizations, and additional synergies that will enhance margins and support long-term growth. Heartland’s portfolio, with critical infrastructure for future hydrogen development, is also well-suited to support sustainable initiatives, aligning with TransAlta’s commitment to advancing clean energy solutions.

The transaction metrics are favorable to TransAlta’s growth outlook, with an estimated $270 per kilowatt valuation for the Heartland assets. The acquisition’s 5.4 times EBITDA multiple positions TransAlta for long-term value creation through low-cost power generation assets that are increasingly valuable in Alberta’s shifting energy landscape. With the strategic advantages of this acquisition, TransAlta’s enhanced portfolio and market reach will play a vital role in securing Alberta’s energy future.

Lucid CEO Defends $1.75 Billion Capital Raise Amid Stock Decline

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com
Key Points:
– Lucid’s CEO calls the $1.75 billion raise a strategic decision to ensure growth and stability.
– Investors reacted negatively, resulting in an 18% stock drop, the worst since 2021.
– Lucid remains focused on long-term investments, including expanding production and launching new models.

Lucid Group’s CEO, Peter Rawlinson, defended the company’s recent decision to raise $1.75 billion through a public offering after the move triggered an 18% stock drop last week. Rawlinson explained that the capital raise was a timely, strategic decision intended to secure Lucid’s ongoing operations and growth, particularly as the company gears up to expand production and develop new electric vehicle (EV) models.

The capital raise, which included the sale of nearly 262.5 million shares of common stock, came just two months after Lucid received a $1.5 billion cash infusion from Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund (PIF). Despite this, the stock market reacted harshly, with analysts questioning the timing and necessity of the move, especially given Lucid’s reported liquidity of over $5 billion at the end of the third quarter.

Rawlinson, speaking to CNBC from the company’s offices in suburban Detroit, addressed the concerns by stating that the raise was anticipated. He noted that it was necessary to avoid issuing a “going concern” disclosure, which is required by Nasdaq-listed companies within 12 months of a potential financial runway issue.

However, Wall Street analysts, including Morgan Stanley’s Adam Jonas, saw the capital raise as premature, noting it was “slightly larger and earlier than expected.” RBC Capital’s Tom Narayan echoed these concerns, pointing out that the raise followed closely after the PIF investment, leading some investors to question why Lucid needed additional funds at a time when its share price was depressed.

Despite the market’s negative reaction, Rawlinson remained steadfast, emphasizing that the capital raise extends Lucid’s financial stability through 2026. This financial security will allow Lucid to proceed with its long-term investment plans, which include expanding its factory in Arizona, building a new facility in Saudi Arabia, launching the new Gravity SUV, and enhancing its next-generation powertrain technology.

The stock dilution that accompanied the raise also caused concern among individual investors. However, Rawlinson noted that the continued backing of the PIF—Lucid’s largest shareholder—should be seen as a positive signal of confidence in the company’s future. PIF’s affiliate, Ayar Third Investment Co., purchased an additional 374.7 million shares of Lucid common stock as part of a pro-rata agreement to maintain its 59% ownership stake.

“If we didn’t go pro rata, it surely would be a signal that the PIF were losing faith in us,” Rawlinson emphasized.

Lucid has reported record deliveries in 2024 for its flagship all-electric sedan, the Air, and expects to produce 9,000 vehicles this year. The company also plans to begin production of the Gravity SUV by the end of 2024. However, despite these milestones, Lucid has faced challenges scaling its sales and financial performance due to high costs, slower-than-anticipated EV demand, and brand awareness issues.

Rawlinson acknowledged the capital-intensive nature of the company’s current operations but stressed that these investments are crucial for long-term growth.

The AI Energy Revolution: Is Nuclear Power the Next Frontier?

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com
Key Points:
– Big Tech is driving nuclear energy investments to meet AI data center demands.
– SMRs (Small Modular Reactors) are gaining attention, but are still in the experimental stage.
– Few public investment options exist in nuclear power, though related stocks have surged.

Nuclear power is emerging as a key player in the race to meet the enormous energy demands of AI-generating data centers, as Big Tech giants look for reliable, clean energy sources to fuel their operations. In recent weeks, Microsoft, Google, and Amazon have each announced significant investments in nuclear energy, signaling that this technology could be poised for a major comeback in the U.S. energy landscape.

Microsoft’s partnership with Constellation Energy to restart the shuttered Three Mile Island nuclear reactor, Google’s collaboration with Kairos Power to harness Small Modular Reactors (SMRs), and Amazon’s $500 million investment in SMR developer X-Energy highlight a growing trend. These tech giants are betting on nuclear power as a sustainable solution to the skyrocketing energy needs of AI, cloud computing, and data center operations.

For decades, nuclear energy has contributed about 20% of the U.S. electricity supply. However, the industry has stagnated, facing stringent regulatory requirements and high costs that have made it difficult for new reactors to come online. The recent openings of reactors at the Vogtle plant in Georgia were the first new units in seven years, underlining the slow pace of expansion in this sector.

But as Big Tech’s energy consumption continues to grow, driven by the demands of AI and other data-heavy applications, nuclear power has come back into focus. The goal of SMRs is to create smaller, more flexible reactors that are cost-effective and can be built closer to the grid. These reactors have the potential to power everything from industrial operations to sprawling data centers. However, it’s important to note that these reactors are still in the experimental stage in the U.S. The first fully operational units are not expected to be online until the early 2030s, with Microsoft’s project at Three Mile Island targeting a restart by 2028.

Investors looking to capitalize on the nuclear resurgence have few direct options. Companies like NuScale Power (SMR) and Oklo (OKLO) have seen their stock prices soar as investor interest in nuclear technologies grows, but they remain speculative, given the unproven nature of SMRs. NuScale, for example, has seen its shares rise by over 450% this year alone, while Oklo, backed by OpenAI’s Sam Altman, has gained more than 80% since going public through a SPAC.

This shift toward nuclear also ties into broader trends we’ve covered recently, including the increasing focus on renewable energy solutions to power data centers. For instance, Amazon’s recent investments in small modular reactors through X-Energy are a continuation of its efforts to secure clean energy sources, mirroring its $500 million commitment to clean energy projects we wrote about earlier this week. These investments by tech companies not only signal a growing need for energy but also show a strategic shift toward sustainable, scalable solutions.

Energy companies, particularly those involved in nuclear power, utilities, and uranium production, have been significant beneficiaries of this renewed interest. Stocks of utility companies and uranium producers like Cameco (CCJ) and Uranium Energy (UEC) are near record highs as investors seek exposure to this trend. In fact, as we mentioned in our analysis of Wolfspeed’s $750 million chips grant, the intersection of tech and energy—especially AI—continues to drive investment across multiple sectors.

As AI technology continues to evolve, one thing is clear: the next frontier for tech could be nuclear power. With billions of dollars flowing into this once-stagnant industry, nuclear energy may soon be a critical component of the AI revolution. While there are still significant hurdles to overcome, Big Tech’s commitment to nuclear energy signals a major shift in how the world’s largest companies are planning to power the future.

Amazon to Invest Over $500 Million in Small Modular Nuclear Reactors for Clean Energy

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com
Key Points:
– Amazon Web Services (AWS) partners with Dominion Energy to explore small modular nuclear reactors (SMRs) in Virginia, investing over $500 million.
– The SMRs aim to provide essential clean energy to AWS data centers, supporting its expansion into generative AI.
– Amazon joins other tech giants like Google and Microsoft in utilizing nuclear power to meet rising energy demands while pursuing net-zero carbon goals.

Amazon Web Services (AWS) has announced a groundbreaking investment of more than $500 million to develop small modular nuclear reactors (SMRs), a move that signifies a robust commitment to clean energy and sustainable operations. The deal, made in partnership with Dominion Energy, will focus on constructing an SMR facility near Dominion’s existing North Anna nuclear power station in Virginia. This strategic investment aligns with Amazon’s broader goals to achieve net-zero carbon emissions while meeting the increasing energy demands of its expanding cloud computing services.

The SMR technology represents an advanced approach to nuclear energy, characterized by its smaller footprint, which allows for construction closer to energy demand centers like data centers. SMRs offer faster construction timelines compared to traditional nuclear reactors, enabling them to come online more quickly. With the surge in demand for data processing driven by generative AI, AWS anticipates significant increases in its power needs. According to Matthew Garman, CEO of AWS, “We see the need for gigawatts of power in the coming years, and there’s not going to be enough wind and solar projects to be able to meet the needs, and so nuclear is a great opportunity.”

Virginia, known as a hub for data centers, hosts nearly half of the nation’s facilities. The growing demand for electricity in the region has put immense pressure on local utilities. Dominion Energy serves approximately 3,500 megawatts from 452 data centers across its service territory, with projections indicating an 85% increase in power demand over the next 15 years. The new SMR facility is expected to provide at least 300 megawatts of power to help alleviate this demand.

Amazon’s investment is part of a larger trend among major tech companies to integrate nuclear power into their energy strategies. Other industry leaders, such as Google and Microsoft, have similarly announced plans to utilize SMR technology to fuel their operations. Google’s recent deal with Kairos Power and Microsoft’s revival of the Three Mile Island site for energy highlight the growing recognition of nuclear energy as a viable solution to meet escalating power needs while adhering to sustainability commitments.

In addition to its partnership with Dominion Energy, AWS is also collaborating with Energy Northwest in Washington state to develop four SMRs, with the option for more. These reactors will directly supply energy to the grid, benefiting both Amazon’s operations and the broader electricity market. The development is crucial for reinforcing the grid’s capacity and reliability, especially as more data centers come online.

The U.S. government has shown strong support for the development of nuclear energy, with Secretary of Energy Jennifer Granholm announcing $900 million in new funding for projects aimed at deploying more SMRs. This backing underscores the Biden administration’s commitment to transitioning to cleaner energy sources while enhancing energy security.

As the global energy landscape evolves, Amazon’s substantial investment in small modular nuclear reactors positions the company at the forefront of the clean energy movement, setting a precedent for how tech giants can leverage innovative solutions to meet their growing energy demands sustainably. The successful implementation of these SMRs could pave the way for a new era of energy production that not only supports corporate growth but also aligns with the urgent need for a transition to a low-carbon economy.

GM to Invest $625 Million in Joint Venture to Mine EV Battery Materials, Strengthening U.S. Supply Chain

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com
Key Points:
– GM partners with Lithium Americas to develop a lithium mining project in Nevada, investing $625 million.
– The Thacker Pass project will boost GM’s efforts to secure domestic lithium for EV battery production.
– The deal is a key step in GM’s goal of building a resilient, U.S.-based EV supply chain.

General Motors (GM) is making a significant move to strengthen its electric vehicle (EV) supply chain by partnering with Lithium Americas Corp. in a joint venture. This collaboration involves a substantial $625 million investment in the Thacker Pass lithium carbonate mining project, located in Humboldt County, Nevada. Lithium is a critical component for manufacturing the high-capacity batteries needed to power EVs, making this deal a pivotal step in GM’s goal of building a resilient, U.S.-based supply chain.

With EV demand surging and federal regulations tightening on emissions, GM is focusing on ensuring a steady and reliable supply of lithium, a key raw material for EV batteries. This partnership, which includes $330 million in cash at closing, $100 million upon final project decisions, and a $195 million credit facility, is designed to secure GM’s access to lithium for its growing fleet of electric vehicles. GM will hold a 38% interest in the Thacker Pass project, which is expected to create significant job opportunities and contribute to cost savings in battery production.

“We’re pleased with the significant progress Lithium Americas is making to help GM achieve our goal to develop a resilient EV material supply chain,” said Jeff Morrison, GM’s senior vice president of global purchasing and supply chain. Securing lithium and other essential raw materials domestically is critical for managing battery costs, providing value to customers, and meeting investor expectations.

This joint venture builds on GM’s earlier $320 million investment into Lithium Americas in February 2023, further cementing their relationship. As the Thacker Pass project moves forward, it will play a crucial role in GM’s ambitious plan to scale its EV business and produce electric vehicles more profitably, in line with tightening U.S. environmental regulations.

This development is particularly timely as it comes amid a broader focus on building out the U.S. EV supply chain. Just yesterday, Wolfspeed, a key player in the EV chip industry, secured a $750 million grant from the U.S. government to enhance its silicon carbide wafer manufacturing for EVs. The Wolfspeed funding aims to expand production capacity and contribute to the growth of energy-efficient technologies for the EV market, which aligns with GM’s efforts in securing lithium.

The Wolfspeed project and GM’s lithium venture highlight the importance of fostering a domestic EV supply chain to reduce reliance on foreign resources, ensuring that the U.S. remains competitive in the global EV race. By linking these two developments, the broader picture of the growing U.S. EV infrastructure comes into view, from essential raw materials like lithium to advanced chip technologies, all designed to power the future of transportation.

As GM continues to push its all-electric vision, its investment in Thacker Pass positions the company to meet the increasing demand for EVs, while simultaneously reducing costs and securing a vital component of the battery production process. With both Wolfspeed and GM making significant strides, the U.S. EV industry is poised for substantial growth in the coming years.

Oil Prices Tumble Over 5% as Israel Unlikely to Target Iran’s Oil Industry

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com
Key Points:
– Oil futures dropped over 5% as fears of Israeli attacks on Iran’s oil facilities eased.
– Weak demand in China and OPEC’s downward revision of oil forecasts are adding pressure on crude prices.
– The International Energy Agency (IEA) signals a surplus in global oil supply, further dampening the market.

Oil prices fell sharply on Tuesday, dropping more than 5%, as geopolitical concerns surrounding Israel and Iran’s oil industry began to ease. Initially, fears of potential supply disruptions spiked oil prices after Iran launched a missile attack on Israel earlier this month, but the market has now calmed as Israel is not expected to strike Iran’s oil infrastructure.

At the same time, the International Energy Agency (IEA) has weighed in, signaling that its member nations are prepared to take action if any supply disruption occurs in the Middle East. For now, however, global oil supply remains steady, and with the absence of major disruptions, the market faces a likely surplus in the new year.

As of Tuesday morning, energy prices were reacting to both the geopolitical environment and broader market dynamics:

  • West Texas Intermediate (WTI) November futures fell by $3.74, or 5.07%, to $70.08 per barrel. Year to date, U.S. crude oil has seen a 2% decline.
  • Brent crude, the global benchmark, fell by $3.67, or 4.7%, to $73.79 per barrel, continuing its year-to-date drop of about 4%.
  • Gasoline prices also dipped, with the November contract down 4.47% to $2.014 per gallon, bringing year-to-date losses to nearly 4%.
  • Natural gas was the exception, seeing a slight rise of 1.36% to $2.528 per thousand cubic feet.

The significant drop in crude prices reflects more than just geopolitics. The oil market has been facing weakening demand, particularly from China, and ongoing concerns about a global economic slowdown. OPEC’s recent decision to cut its 2024 oil demand forecast for the third consecutive month has further contributed to the pressure on oil prices.

China’s oil consumption has been particularly weak in recent months, with the IEA reporting that Chinese demand dropped by 500,000 barrels per day (bpd) in August. This marked the fourth consecutive monthly decline, adding to the overall bearish sentiment surrounding global oil demand.

The broader outlook for 2024 and 2025 also suggests slower demand growth compared to the post-pandemic recovery. The IEA projects global oil demand to increase by just under 900,000 bpd in 2024 and 1 million bpd in 2025, which is a noticeable drop from the 2 million bpd growth seen in the previous years.

At the same time, crude production in the Americas, particularly the U.S., is on track to grow. According to the IEA, American-led production will increase by 1.5 million bpd this year and next, further contributing to the global supply glut.

For the third consecutive month, OPEC has revised its oil demand forecast downward, reflecting concerns about slower economic growth and subdued consumption in major markets like China. The cuts come as the cartel faces pressure to balance supply with softer global demand.

As a result of these factors, analysts now expect the oil market to shift its focus away from geopolitical fears and towards demand weakness, which could define the market’s trajectory in the months ahead. While geopolitical events may continue to inject short-term volatility, the more significant concern remains the fundamental imbalance between supply and demand.

InPlay Oil (IPOOF) – Tempering 2024 and 2025 Expectations; Rating Remains an Outperform

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, October 07, 2024

InPlay Oil is a junior oil and gas exploration and production company with operations in Alberta focused on light oil production. The company operates long-lived, low-decline properties with drilling development and enhanced oil recovery potential as well as undeveloped lands with exploration possibilities. The common shares of InPlay trade on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the symbol IPO and the OTCQX Exchange under the symbol IPOOF.

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Lower third quarter commodity prices. During the third quarter, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil prices declined 18.2% to $68.17 per barrel and averaged $75.35 per barrel. InPlay sells oil at monthly average Edmonton Par prices which are based on the price of WTI crude oil minus quality differentials, transportation, and marketing fees. Crude oil prices have risen since the end of the quarter due to heightened geopolitical risk with WTI crude oil priced at $74.45 per barrel on October 4. WTI and Henry Hub futures prices average $71.16 per barrel and $3.40 per mcf in 2025. We note that natural gas prices in Canada were weak relative to Henry Hub prices during the third quarter.

Outlook for 2025. For 2024, the company forecast average production of 8,700 to 9,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day (boe/d). We are forecasting 2024 production of 8,682 barrels of oil equivalents per day compared to our previous estimate of 8,952 boe/d due to lower third and fourth quarter expectations. We think the company may start off with a conservative 2025 plan that targets production at the upper end of 2024 guidance and have lowered our production expectations to 8,971 from 9,638 barrels of oil equivalents per day.


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Brent Crude Extends Gains as Markets Fear Potential Israel Strike on Iran

Posted on by cpatches
Key Points:
– Brent crude oil prices are rising as markets speculate on a potential Israeli strike against Iran’s oil infrastructure, particularly Kharg Island, which handles 90% of Iran’s crude exports.
– A worst-case scenario would involve disruption in the Strait of Hormuz, a critical passage for 20% of the world’s crude oil exports, which could cause a dramatic spike in oil prices.
– While OPEC+ has enough spare capacity to offset supply disruptions from an Israeli strike, it may struggle if Iran retaliates, adding further uncertainty to the energy markets.

Brent crude oil extended its gains today, driven by rising fears that Israel could launch a retaliatory strike on Iran’s oil infrastructure following Tehran’s recent ballistic missile attack. Markets are increasingly concerned that such an attack could disrupt the flow of oil from one of the world’s most critical regions for crude exports.

Concerns Over Key Oil Choke Points

Israel’s retaliation, though not yet clearly defined, has analysts worried about the potential impact on Iran’s oil exports, especially if Israel targets Kharg Island, where 90% of Iran’s crude oil exports pass through. A strike there would have significant consequences on global oil supply, sending prices higher. However, the worst-case scenario would involve a strike on the Strait of Hormuz, through which 20% of the world’s crude oil flows, which would cause a dramatic spike in crude prices.

U.S. President Joe Biden has urged Israel to avoid targeting Iranian oil facilities, following his previous opposition to a strike on Iran’s nuclear sites.

Oil Prices Surge on Market Speculation

Brent crude prices surged last week, marking the steepest increase since early 2023. Activity in the options market has also shown increased demand for hedging against the risk of further gains, reflecting market fears of a supply disruption. Despite these gains, Brent crude is still trading below last year’s price of $88 per barrel, when the current conflict in the Middle East began.

OPEC+ Supply and Market Outlook

As OPEC+ prepares to raise production in December following years of output cuts, analysts believe the group has enough spare capacity to offset any supply disruptions caused by an Israeli attack on Iranian oil facilities. However, concerns linger that OPEC+ could face challenges if Iran retaliates, potentially leading to further volatility in oil markets.

While some analysts see an attack on Iranian oil infrastructure as a less likely response from Israel, the broader geopolitical tensions and risks of wider conflict are adding uncertainty to the energy markets.

Oil Surges as US Warns of Potential Iran Attack on Israel, Stoking Fears of Supply Disruption

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com
Key Points:
– Oil prices jump 4% as Iran reportedly prepares to strike Israel within hours.
– Middle East tensions raise concerns about global oil supply, pushing prices higher.
– Investors brace for volatility amid potential disruptions in one of the world’s largest oil-producing regions.

Oil prices surged on Tuesday following warnings from the US that Iran is preparing to launch an attack on Israel within the next 12 hours. This development has significantly heightened concerns over possible disruptions to oil supplies in the Middle East, a region that produces a third of the world’s crude oil.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude saw an immediate increase of nearly 4%, reaching close to $71 a barrel, while Brent crude, the global benchmark, climbed above $74. The potential conflict in this geopolitically critical area may lead to further price hikes if tensions escalate and oil output is impacted. Iran, a member of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), was the ninth-largest oil producer in 2023, pumping over 3.3 million barrels a day as recently as August.

“The key factor for crude will be whether Israeli defense systems are able to shield against the attack and what subsequent actions Israel might take,” said Rebecca Babin, senior energy trader at CIBC Private Wealth. “In the near term, we could see a few more dollars of short covering in crude.”

This possible disruption marks the most significant threat to oil markets since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, an event that sent global markets into turmoil last year. Surging oil prices are likely to become a significant concern for consumers and governments, especially in countries like the US where gasoline prices are a political flashpoint. Both major presidential candidates are expected to focus on preventing a further spike in gas prices, with the cost of oil playing a central role in domestic economic debates.

The geopolitical threat comes at a time when oil traders had been betting heavily on bearish market trends, largely driven by concerns of weakening demand growth. The elevated short positions have left the market vulnerable to sharp upward movements if these bearish bets need to be unwound quickly in response to rising tensions in the Middle East.

Concerns about the Middle East have been escalating following the death of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah last week. In retaliation, Israel has launched airstrikes on Beirut and initiated “targeted ground raids.” As the region braces for further conflict, investors are anticipating potential volatility in the oil market, with Brent crude volatility indices reaching their highest levels since January.

Previously, oil prices had dropped in recent months amid expectations that OPEC+ would increase production just as non-OPEC nations, including the US, ramped up their output. Additionally, China’s weakening demand, as the world’s largest crude importer, has added downward pressure on prices. However, this latest geopolitical flare-up could reverse these trends, injecting fresh instability into global energy markets.

As investors brace for further developments, the oil market remains on edge, with any direct involvement from Iran likely to further disrupt global supplies and drive prices higher.