FAT Brands (FAT) – Another Step


Tuesday, November 26, 2024

FAT Brands (NASDAQ: FAT) is a leading global franchising company that strategically acquires, markets, and develops fast casual, quick-service, casual dining, and polished casual dining concepts around the world. The Company currently owns 17 restaurant brands: Round Table Pizza, Fatburger, Marble Slab Creamery, Johnny Rockets, Fazoli’s, Twin Peaks, Great American Cookies, Hot Dog on a Stick, Buffalo’s Cafe & Express, Hurricane Grill & Wings, Pretzelmaker, Elevation Burger, Native Grill & Wings, Yalla Mediterranean and Ponderosa and Bonanza Steakhouses, and franchises and owns over 2,300 units worldwide. For more information on FAT Brands, please visit www.fatbrands.com.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Step 2. FAT Brands completed the second step in its anticipated planned listing of its Twin Hospitality unit as a standalone public company. FAT successfully completed the refinancing of the whole business securitization credit facility of its Twin Peaks and Smokey Bones restaurant brands.

Details. The aggregate principal balance of the new Series 2024-1 fixed rate notes is $416.7 million across four tranches with a weighted average annual interest rate of 9.5%.  The interest rate on the new notes is modestly higher than the rate on the previous securitization notes. However, the first anticipated call date goes from January 2025 to October 2027. We would point out that if the new notes are not repaid or refinanced by October 2027, additional interest equal to 5.0% per annum will accrue on each tranche of notes. The noteholders also are receiving warrants to acquire an aggregate of 5% of the Class A common stock of Twin Hospitality.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Lifeway Foods (LWAY) – Another Rejection…And More


Monday, November 25, 2024

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Rejected. Lifeway’s Board rejected Danone’s revised offer to acquire all of the LWAY shares it currently does not own for $27 per share. The Board stated the “revised proposal substantially undervalues Lifeway and is not in the best interests of the Company and its shareholders or other stakeholders.” Danone has yet to respond.

The Third Party. Following the rejection, Edward and Ludmila Smolyansky called for Lifeway’s Board to immediately establish an independent special committee to evaluate and negotiate a transaction with Danone or other potential buyers. In addition, Edward and Ludmila are seeking public disclosure of any valuation analysis done by Kroll when Kroll assisted the Board in June 2023 to explore strategic alternatives.


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October Retail Sales Exceed Expectations, September Spending Revised Upward

Key Points:
– October retail sales increased by 0.4%, surpassing economist expectations of 0.3%.
– September’s retail sales were revised significantly higher to 0.8%, showing stronger-than-expected consumer spending.
– While October data showed slower growth in some sectors, upward revisions to prior months suggest a strong consumption trend heading into Q4 2024.

The latest retail sales data for October has revealed a resilient U.S. consumer, with sales growing 0.4% from the previous month. This uptick exceeded economists’ expectations of a 0.3% rise, highlighting ongoing consumer confidence. Moreover, retail sales in September were revised upward significantly, from a previously reported 0.4% increase to a solid 0.8%, further indicating a stronger-than-anticipated spending trend in the U.S. economy.

According to the Census Bureau, the October increase in retail sales was largely driven by auto sales, which surged 1.6%. This surge in vehicle purchases, despite other sectors showing weaker growth, underlines the importance of the automotive sector to overall retail performance. However, excluding auto and gas sales, which are often volatile, the increase was more modest at just 0.1%. This was below the consensus estimate of a 0.3% rise, pointing to potential weaknesses in discretionary spending.

The October data, while showing signs of slower growth in certain areas, follows a pattern of upward revisions to previous months’ figures, suggesting a more positive overall trajectory for the economy. The September retail sales revisions revealed that both the total and ex-auto categories had grown by 1.2%, far surpassing the initial estimates of 0.7%. This data is crucial, as it points to stronger-than-expected consumer spending, which plays a vital role in supporting economic growth.

Economists are optimistic about the continued momentum in consumer spending, with many predicting another strong quarter for the U.S. economy as it heads into the final stretch of 2024. Capital Economics economist Bradley Saunders noted that the October slowdown in retail sales was somewhat overshadowed by the positive revisions for September, which suggested ongoing consumer strength. “Consumption growth is still going strong,” he commented, reflecting a generally optimistic outlook for the final quarter.

Kathy Bostjancic, Chief Economist at Nationwide, echoed this sentiment, stating that the October data suggested consumers were maintaining their upbeat spending habits as the year-end approached. This is seen as a positive indicator for the broader U.S. economy, suggesting that GDP growth will remain solid through the end of 2024.

This data arrives at a critical time for investors, as concerns over the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy continue to loom large. While recent economic data, including October’s retail sales, have largely exceeded expectations, investors are keenly watching the Fed’s actions. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has stated that the strength in the economy allows the central bank to take a more cautious approach in adjusting interest rates. There is ongoing debate about whether the Fed will make further rate cuts in 2024, especially as inflation remains a concern.

As the U.S. economy shows resilience, it remains to be seen whether consumers will maintain their spending habits amid possible economic uncertainties in the coming months. However, for now, the data points to continued growth and strength in retail sales, a crucial driver of overall economic health.

Release – FAT Brands Announces Refinancing of Twin Peaks Credit Facility

Research News and Market Data on FAT

LOS ANGELES, Nov. 18, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — FAT (Fresh. Authentic. Tasty.) Brands Inc., (NASDAQ: FAT), a leading global franchising company and parent company of 18 iconic brands, is pleased to announce that Twin Hospitality Group Inc., the operating unit for its Twin Peaks and Smokey Bones restaurant brands, has priced the issuance of new notes to refinance its whole business securitization credit facility originated in October 2021. The aggregate principal balance of the new Series 2024-1 fixed rate notes (the “Notes”) is $416,711,000 across four tranches, with a weighted average interest rate of 9.5% per annum. The issuer of the Notes will be Twin Hospitality I, LLC, a wholly-owned subsidiary of Twin Hospitality Group Inc.

The Notes may be exchanged for a proportionate interest in Exchangeable Notes in two tranches, referred to as Class A2IIB2 (up to $326,876,000) and Class A2IIB2M2 (up to $404,587,000), which reflect in the aggregate the characteristics of the corresponding exchanged Notes.

Ken Kuick, Co-CEO of FAT Brands, said, “We are pleased to announce the successful pricing of the TWNP Series 2024-1 whole business securitization notes. This financing stabilizes Twin Peaks’ financial structure and represents a key milestone as we work toward the goal of creating a standalone public company.”

Kuick continued, “Additionally, the refinancing allows us to further drive the growth of Twin Peaks, our fastest-growing concept. Twin Peaks’ compelling unit economics continue to fuel strong demand from both existing and potential franchisees seeking new locations. Year to date, we have opened nine new lodges bringing our total to 115 Twin Peaks locations.”

Jefferies LLC acted as sole structuring agent and sole bookrunner for this transaction. Legal advisors were Katten Muchin Rosenman LLP for FAT Brands Inc., and King & Spalding LLP for Jefferies LLC.

This press release does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy the Notes or any other security. The Notes have not been, and will not be, registered under the Securities Act of 1933 and may not be offered or sold in the United States absent registration or an applicable exemption from the registration requirements of the Securities Act of 1933.

About FAT (Fresh. Authentic. Tasty.) Brands
FAT Brands (NASDAQ: FAT) is a leading global franchising company that strategically acquires, markets, and develops fast casual, quick-service, casual dining, and polished casual dining concepts around the world. The Company currently owns 18 restaurant brands: Round Table Pizza, Fatburger, Marble Slab Creamery, Johnny Rockets, Fazoli’s, Twin Peaks, Great American Cookies, Smokey Bones, Hot Dog on a Stick, Buffalo’s Cafe & Express, Hurricane Grill & Wings, Pretzelmaker, Elevation Burger, Native Grill & Wings, Yalla Mediterranean and Ponderosa and Bonanza Steakhouses, and franchises and owns over 2,300 units worldwide. For more information on FAT Brands, please visit www.fatbrands.com.

About Twin Peaks
Founded in 2005 in the Dallas suburb of Lewisville, Twin Peaks franchises and owns 115 restaurants in the United States and Mexico. Twin Peaks is the ultimate sports lodge featuring made-from-scratch food and the coldest beer in the business, surrounded by scenic views and wall-to-wall TVs. For more information, visit twinpeaksrestaurant.com.

Forward Looking Statements
This press release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements are subject to significant business, economic and competitive risks, uncertainties and contingencies, many of which are difficult to predict and beyond our control, which could cause our actual results, including consummation and benefits of the potential transaction discussed in this press release, to differ materially from the results expressed or implied in such forward-looking statements. We refer you to the Form 10 Registration Statement filed by Twin Hospitality Group Inc., and the documents filed by FAT Brands Inc. from time to time with the SEC, such as its reports on Form 10-K, Form 10-Q and Form 8-K, for a discussion of these risks, uncertainties and contingencies. We undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statement to reflect events or circumstances occurring after the date of this press release.

Investor Relations:
ICR
Michelle Michalski
IR-FATBrands@icrinc.com
646-277-1224

Media Relations:
FAT Brands Inc.
Erin Mandzik
emandzik@fatbrands.com
860-212-6509

Lifeway Foods (LWAY) – Danone Ups Offer to $27


Friday, November 15, 2024

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Ups Offer. In an amended Schedule 13D filing on Friday morning, Danone upped their offer to acquire the shares of Lifeway not already owned to $27, all cash, from a prior $25. According to a letter filed with the amended 13D, Danone believes the “updated indicative price fully reflects the fundamental potential of the Company and provides Lifeway’s shareholders with the certainty of an attractive and immediate cash premium.”

3 Week Timing. Although Danone has yet to be granted access to any due diligence, Danone is prepared to conduct due diligence as soon as provided access to a data room. Danone also is ready to enter into immediate negotiations regarding the terms of a potential transaction. Subject to Danone being able to access immediately the information required as part of confirmatory due diligence and negotiating Transaction Documentation in parallel, Danone is confident in its ability to reach a definitive agreement in three weeks.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Lifeway Foods (LWAY) – Year-over-Year Growth, But Below Our Expectations


Friday, November 15, 2024

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Another Quarter of Y-o-Y Growth. For the 20th consecutive quarter, Lifeway reported y-o-y top line growth. Revenue for the quarter totaled $46.1 million, compared to the prior year’s $40.9 million, We were a little more aggressive in our forecast, projecting revenue of $51.5 million. Gross margin of 25.7% was below the prior year’s 27.2%. Net income was $3.0 million, or $0.19 per diluted share, compared to $3.4 million, or $0.23/sh, and our estimate of $4.2 million or $0.27/sh.

Expanded Distribution. Management noted that the Company expanded its kefir distribution to South Africa in September and recently announced that it is expanding into Dubai and the Emirates market. In South Africa, the products are available on shelves now, while product availability in the Emirates is expected in the fourth quarter. We believe the Company will continue to look for new potential markets to expand its presence in stores while also expanding on its advertising in these new markets to attract the attention of new consumers.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Release – Commercial Vehicle Group Announces Departure of Carlos Jimenez

Research News and Market Data on CVGI

NEW ALBANY, Ohio, Nov. 12, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Commercial Vehicle Group (the “Company” or “CVG”) (NASDAQ: CVGI), a diversified industrial products and services company, announced that Carlos Jimenez, who briefly held the role of Executive Vice President, Global Operations and Supply Chain, is resigning from the Company effective immediately for personal reasons that would prevent him from fulfilling his responsibilities at CVG. Mr. Jimenez’s resignation is not due to any concerns with the Company.

The Company is in the process of conducting a comprehensive search for a permanent replacement to lead Global Operations and Supply Chain. In the interim period, James Ray, President and Chief Executive Officer, will assume oversight responsibilities for Global Operations and Supply Chain.

About CVG

At CVG, we deliver real solutions to complex design, engineering and manufacturing problems while creating positive change for our customers, industries, and communities we serve. Information about CVG and its products is available at www.cvgrp.com.

Investor Relations Contact:Media Contact:
Ross Collins or Stephen PoePatrick Woolford
Alpha IR GroupDirector, Communications
CVGI@alpha-ir.comPatrick.woolford@cvgrp.com

Source: Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc.

Release – Grubhub Grows its Marketplace Offerings to Include Office Supplies with Office Depot

Research News and Market Data on ODP

Office Depot is the first office supplies retailer on Grubhub and is available for on-demand delivery from more than 800 locations

CHICAGO & BOCA RATON, Fla.–(BUSINESS WIRE)–Nov. 12, 2024– Grubhub announced today that it is adding office supplies to its marketplace in partnership with Office Depot, an operating company of The ODP Corporation and a leading omnichannel retailer dedicated to supporting small business, home office, and education customers live more productive and organized lives. More than 6,000 items are available for on-demand delivery, including laptops, printers, ink, paper products, writing supplies, tech accessories and more. Office Depot is Grubhub’s first office supplies retail partner.

The addition of Office Depot provides even greater convenience for Grubhub Corporate Accounts clients — many of whom are office administrators responsible for restocking supplies. A recent survey found that more than 80 percent of administrators have encountered situations where they run out of essential supplies they need the same day. Furthermore, 67 percent said they would prefer supplies to be delivered the same day they place an order. Office Depot is also part of Grubhub+, Grubhub’s loyalty program that provides unlimited $0 delivery fees on eligible orders.* This offers significant value for corporate clients, with those surveyed ranking $0 delivery fees as their most important consideration.**

“Whether they’re a student preparing for finals, an office administrator who needs to restock supplies, or a working professional setting up their home office, we’re excited about all of the ways our customers can benefit from having access to office supplies on Grubhub,” said Craig Whitmer, vice president of new verticals at Grubhub. “Adding office supplies to our marketplace reflects our commitment to being a platform where customers can get more of what they need.”

“Partnering with Grubhub enhances our distribution reach and empowers us to better serve our customers’ unique needs,” said Kevin Moffitt, executive vice president of The ODP Corporation and president of Office Depot. “We are excited to join a dynamic marketplace where consumers can effortlessly shop for their office and personal essentials, ultimately fostering a more productive lifestyle.”

More than 800 locations across 42 states are available for customers to order from. Office supplies is the latest category available for order on Grubhub, joining restaurants, convenience, grocery, and pet supplies.

About Grubhub

Grubhub is part of Just Eat Takeaway.com (LSE: JET, AMS: TKWY), and is a leading U.S. food ordering and delivery marketplace. Dedicated to connecting diners with the food they love from their favorite local restaurants, Grubhub elevates food ordering through innovative restaurant technology, easy-to-use platforms, and an improved delivery experience. Grubhub features 375,000 merchants in over 4,000 U.S. cities.

About Office Depot

Office Depot, LLC, an operating company of The ODP Corporation, is a leading specialty retailer providing innovative products and services delivered through a fully integrated omnichannel platform of Office Depot and OfficeMax retail stores and an award-winning online presence, OfficeDepot.com, to support the productivity and organization of its small business, home office and education clients. Office Depot is committed to enabling its clients’ success, strengthening local communities and providing equal opportunities for all. For more information, visit officedepot.com, download the Office Depot app on your iPhone or Android and follow @officedepot on Facebook, X, Instagram and TikTok.

Office Depot is a trademark of The Office Club, LLC. OfficeMax is a trademark of OMX, Inc

*Terms and additional fees apply. Learn morehere.

**Data points are based on an internal survey of Grubhub Corporate clients (2024)

Office Depot Media Contact:
MediaRelations@officedepot.com

Grubhub Media Contact:
press@grubhub.com

Source: Office Depot

Lifeway Foods (LWAY) – In Danone’s Corner


Friday, November 08, 2024

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Support for Danone. In response to Lifeway’s rejection of the Danone offer to acquire the Company, yesterday, Edward and Ludmila Smolyansky released a statement stating, among other things, “we strongly support Danone’s offer, which represents a substantial premium over Lifeway’s recent share price and reflects their confidence in the growing U.S. kefir market…” They go on to say, “As we approach one of most significant and closely watched earnings releases in Lifeway’s history, we remain optimistic about the company’s potential and believe that Danone’s proposal presents a unique opportunity to enhance value for all shareholders.”

Ownership. According to their most recent amended 13D filing dated August 14th, Edward and Ludmila may be deemed to be the beneficial owners of an aggregate of 4,332,451 shares of common stock, representing approximately 29.3% of the outstanding shares of common stock. This includes 500,000 shares (3.3% of the outstanding) held in a trust of which Edward and Julie each own 50%. Danone owns 3,454,756 shares representing 23.4% of the outstanding. Together, Danone and the Smolyansky’s control over 50% of the outstanding, even if we split the 500,000 trust shares equally. 


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

The ODP Corporation (ODP) – Accelerating B2B Pivot


Thursday, November 07, 2024

Office Depot, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, supplies a range of office products and services. It offers merchandise, such as general office supplies, computer supplies, business machines and related supplies, and office furniture through its chain of office supply stores under the Office Depot, Foray, Ativa, Break Escapes, Worklife, and Christopher Lowell brand names. The company also provides graphic design, printing, reproduction, mailing, shipping, and other services through design, print, and ship centers. It has operations throughout North America, Europe, Asia, and Central America. The company also sells its products and services through direct mail catalogs, contract sales force, Internet sites, and retail stores, through a mix of company-owned operations, joint ventures, licensing and franchise agreements, alliances, and other arrangements. As of December 31, 2008, Office Depot operated 1,267 North American retail division office supply stores and 162 international division retail stores, as well as participated under licensing and merchandise arrangements in 98 stores. The company was founded in 1986 and is based in Boca Raton, Florida.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

3Q24 Results. Weak macroeconomic and business conditions resulted in challenging performance in the quarter. Third quarter revenue of $1.78 billion declined 11% y-o-y. Adjusted operating income was $41 million, down from $112 million in 3Q23. Adjusted EBITDA fell to $62 million from $138 million. ODP reported adjusted net income from continuing operations of $24 million, or EPS of $0.71, versus $85 million, or EPS of $2.17, in the same period last time.

Accelerating the Pivot. Given the recent operating challenges, ODP is accelerating its B2B pivot. The Company is leveraging its differentiated core strengths to pivot towards higher growth B2B opportunities. Recent contract wins, including a 10-year $1.5 billion contract with a reseller organization and a new contract with one of the world’s largest social media-focused e-commerce companies, are reflective of these efforts.


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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Release – The ODP Corporation Embarks on a New 10-Year, $1.5B Transformative Partnership with Nationally Recognized Strategic Reseller

Research News and Market Data on ODP

Leading workplace solutions provider joins forces with strategic reseller partner to enhance procurement efficiency and deliver a curated customer experience

BOCA RATON, Fla.–(BUSINESS WIRE)–Nov. 6, 2024– The ODP Corporation (NASDAQ:ODP) (“ODP,” or the “Company”), a leading provider of products, services and technology solutions to businesses and consumers, today announced a partnership with a large, growing strategic reseller organization, offering quality office, furniture, print, promotional and facility resource solutions to large multi-site companies. This partnership, worth up to $1.5 billion spanning a 10-year period, will leverage the reseller provider’s expertise in creating custom, results-driven e-commerce solutions and the Company’s extensive fulfillment centers and delivery network.

“This collaboration enables a leader in reseller services to leverage our comprehensive product and service offerings, national distribution and award-winning e-commerce platform to service their customers,” said David Centrella, EVP of The ODP Corporation and President of ODP Business Solutions. “This partnership reflects our commitment to providing solutions that address unique business needs.”

“This partnership underscores ODP’s commitment to providing value-added solutions that will help businesses and vendors thrive in today’s competitive landscape,” said Nisha Brown, VP of Marketing & Product Management at ODP Business Solutions. “We’re excited about the opportunities this brings to our customers and the broader business community.”

To learn more about The ODP Corporation, visit theodpcorp.com.

About The ODP Corporation
The ODP Corporation (NASDAQ:ODP) is a leading provider of products and services through an integrated business-to-business (B2B) distribution platform and omnichannel presence, which includes world-class supply chain and distribution operations, dedicated sales professionals, online presence and a network of Office Depot and OfficeMax retail stores. Through its operating companies Office Depot, LLC; ODP Business Solutions, LLC; and Veyer, LLC, The ODP Corporation empowers every business, professional, and consumer to achieve more every day. For more information, visit theodpcorp.com.

ODP and ODP Business Solutions are trademarks of ODP Business Solutions, LLC. Office Depot is a trademark of The Office Club, LLC. OfficeMax is a trademark of OMX, Inc. Veyer is a trademark of Veyer, LLC. ©2024 Office Depot, LLC. All rights reserved.Any other product or company names mentioned herein are the trademarks of their respective owners.

FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS – THE ODP CORPORATION

This communication may contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements or disclosures may discuss goals, intentions and expectations as to future trends, plans, events, results of operations, cash flow or financial condition, or state other information relating to, among other things, The ODP Corporation (“the Company”), based on current beliefs and assumptions made by, and information currently available to, management. Forward-looking statements generally will be accompanied by words such as “anticipate,” “believe,” “plan,” “could,” “estimate,” “expect,” “forecast,” “guidance,” “expectations”, “outlook,” “intend,” “may,” “possible,” “potential,” “predict,” “project,” “propose” “aim” or other similar words, phrases or expressions, or other variations of such words. These forward-looking statements are subject to various risks and uncertainties, many of which are outside of the Company’s control. There can be no assurances that the Company will realize these expectations or that these beliefs will prove correct, and therefore investors and stakeholders should not place undue reliance on such statements.

Investors and shareholders should carefully consider the foregoing factors and the other risks and uncertainties described in the Company’s Annual Reports on Form 10-K, Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q, and Current Reports on Form 8-K filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The Company does not assume any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements.

Jennifer Robins
Media Relations
Jennifer.Robins@theodpcorp.com

Tim Perrott
Investor Relations
Tim.Perrott@theodpcorp.com

Source: The ODP Corporation

Release – The ODP Corporation Announces Third Quarter 2024 Results

Research News and Market Data on ODP

Third Quarter Revenue of $1.8 Billion with GAAP EPS of $2.04; Adjusted EPS of $0.71

Significant New Business Wins Improving Future Growth Profile

Progress on B2B Pivot; Pursuing Core Opportunities in New Adjacent Industry Segments

Company Repurchased Approximately $295 Million of Shares Year to Date

Company Completes Varis Sale Subsequent to Quarter End

BOCA RATON, Fla.–(BUSINESS WIRE)–Nov. 6, 2024– The ODP Corporation (“ODP,” or the “Company”) (NASDAQ:ODP), a leading provider of products, services, and technology solutions to businesses and consumers, today announced results for the third quarter ended September 28, 2024.

Third Quarter 2024 Summary(1)(2)(3)

  • Total reported sales of $1.8 billion, down 11% versus the prior year on a reported basis. The decrease in reported sales is largely related to lower sales in its Office Depot Division, primarily due to 53 fewer retail locations in service compared to the previous year and reduced transactions, as well as lower sales in its ODP Business Solutions Division
  • GAAP operating income of $102 million and net income from continuing operations of $68 million, or $2.04 per diluted share, versus $108 million and $82 million, respectively, or $2.09 per diluted share, in the prior year period
  • Adjusted operating income of $41 million, compared to $112 million in the third quarter of 2023; adjusted EBITDA of $62 million, compared to $138 million in the third quarter of 2023. Adjusted operating income in the third quarter of 2024 excludes $70 million of income related to legal matter monetization where the Company is engaged in legal proceedings as a plaintiff
  • Adjusted net income from continuing operations of $24 million, or adjusted diluted earnings per share from continuing operations of $0.71, versus $85 million or $2.17, respectively, in the prior year period. Adjusted net income from continuing operations in the third quarter of 2024 excludes $70 million of income or $51 million of income, net of tax related to legal matter monetization where the Company is engaged in legal proceedings as a plaintiff
  • Operating cash flow from continuing operations of $81 million and adjusted free cash flow of $68 million, versus $120 million and $102 million, respectively, in the prior year period
  • Repurchased 3 million shares at a cost of $102 million in the third quarter of 2024; Repurchased a total of approximately $141 million of shares when including purchases made in the third quarter and post quarter through the current date
  • $728 million of total available liquidity including $192 million in cash and cash equivalents, of which $11 million is presented in Current assets held for sale related to the Varis Division, at quarter end

“Our results in the quarter were below expectations, primarily driven by our retail division, as challenging macroeconomic conditions impacted our performance,” said Gerry Smith, chief executive officer of The ODP Corporation. “Weaker macroeconomic conditions led to more cautious consumer and business spending, impacting demand in our B2C and B2B divisions during the highly competitive back-to-school season. This was further compounded by major hurricanes negatively affecting our customer base and operations in our largest service areas.

“Despite these challenges, we’re making significant progress on our B2B pivot and initiatives to improve top-line trends. We’re leveraging our differentiated core strengths to pivot towards higher growth B2B opportunities, and we are beginning to see promising traction at both our ODP Business Solutions and Veyer Divisions. At Veyer, we continue to attract new third-party relationships, including launching service for one of the world’s largest social media-focused e-commerce platforms, positioning our supply chain business to pursue growth in a new high value industry segment. At Business Solutions, we secured one of the largest multi-year B2B contracts in our history, potentially generating up to $1.5 billion in revenue over a 10-year period. Additionally, we are making progress and actively pursuing opportunities in new, higher growth, adjacent industry segments where our core strengths also resonate. We’re building key distribution relationships in growing industry segments that spotlight our supply chain proficiency, our ability to supply products beyond office supplies, and our commitment to service excellence,” Smith continued.

“We are excited about our progress and we’re allocating capital to fast-forward investments in our core business to capture these growth opportunities and generate the highest return for shareholders. Considering these core investments, along with our year-to-date performance against the challenging macroeconomic backdrop, we are amending our guidance for 2024. Additionally, we advanced Project Core and streamlined our operations by completing the sale of Varis, while continuing to assess and refine our retail strategy. While the progress we are making will take time to reflect in our results, we are confident that we’re on the right path, and our team is committed and focused on driving operational excellence to create long-term shareholder value,” Smith concluded.

Consolidated Results

Reported (GAAP) Results
Total reported sales for the third quarter of 2024 were $1.8 billion, a decrease of 11% compared with the same period last year, driven primarily by lower sales in both its consumer and business-to-business (B2B) divisions. Lower sales in its consumer division, Office Depot, was primarily due to lower retail and online consumer traffic and transactions, as well as 53 fewer stores in service compared to last year related to planned store closures. Sales at ODP Business Solutions Division were lower compared to last year and generally consistent with the first half of 2024, largely driven by macroeconomic factors causing more cautious spending among business customers and fewer transactions. Meanwhile, Veyer provided strong logistics support for the ODP Business Solutions and Office Depot Divisions, and continued to execute across its growth strategy, delivering supply chain and procurement solutions to new third-party customers and driving increases in external revenue.

The Company reported GAAP operating income of $102 million in the third quarter of 2024, down compared to GAAP operating income of $108 million in the prior year period. Operating results in the third quarter of 2024 included $61 million of credits, primarily due to the Company recognizing $70 million of income in its Condensed Consolidated Statement of Operations related to legal matter monetization where the Company is engaged in legal proceedings as a plaintiff. This was partially offset by $2 million in net merger and restructuring expenses and $7 million non-cash asset impairment related to the operating lease right-of-use (ROU) assets associated with the Company’s retail store locations. Net income from continuing operations was $68 million, or $2.04 per diluted share in the third quarter of 2024, down compared to net income from continuing operations of $82 million, or $2.09 per diluted share in the third quarter of 2023.

Adjusted (non-GAAP) Results(1)
Adjusted results for the third quarter of 2024 exclude charges and credits totaling $61 million as described above and the associated tax impacts.

  • Third quarter 2024 adjusted EBITDA was $62 million compared to $138 million in the prior year period. This included depreciation and amortization of $24 million in the third quarter of 2024 and 2023
  • Third quarter 2024 adjusted operating income was $41 million, down compared to $112 million in the third quarter of 2023
  • Third quarter 2024 adjusted net income from continuing operations was $24 million, or $0.71 per diluted share, compared to $85 million, or $2.17 per diluted share, in the third quarter of 2023, a decrease of 67% on a per share basis

Division Results

ODP Business Solutions Division
Leading B2B distribution solutions provider serving small, medium and enterprise level companies with an annual trailing-twelve-month revenue of $3.7 billion.

  • Reported sales were $916 million in the third quarter of 2024, down 8% compared to the same period last year. The decrease in sales was related primarily to weaker macroeconomic conditions, more cautious business spending environment, lower sales conversion, and fewer customers
  • Total adjacency category sales, including cleaning and breakroom, furniture, technology, and copy and print, were 44% of total ODP Business Solutions’ sales, flat with the prior year
  • Executing initiatives to convert strong pipeline of potential new business and implementing several initiatives to regain top-line traction. Recent customer wins include signing one of the largest contracts in Company history, potentially generating up to $1.5 billion in revenue over a 10-year period
  • Making progress on establishing presence in new, adjacent industry segments, where the Company’s core competencies resonate, leveraging its distribution and supply chain proficiency, ability to supply products beyond office supplies, and commitment to service excellence
  • Operating income was $28 million in the third quarter of 2024, down compared to $56 million in the same period last year on a reported basis. As a percentage of sales, operating income margin was 3%, down 250 basis points compared to the same period last year

Office Depot Division
Leading provider of retail consumer and small business products and services distributed via Office Depot and OfficeMax retail locations and an eCommerce presence.

  • Reported sales were $861 million in the third quarter of 2024, down 15% compared to the prior year on a reported basis. Lower sales were partially driven by 53 fewer retail outlets in service associated with planned store closures, as well as lower demand relative to last year in major product categories, lower average order volume, and lower online sales. The Company closed nine retail stores in the quarter and had 885 stores at quarter end. Sales were down 10% on a comparable store basis
  • Store and online traffic were lower year over year due to macroeconomic factors causing sluggish consumer activity and demand during the highly competitive back-to-school season
  • Operating income was $23 million in the third quarter of 2024, compared to operating income of $66 million during the same period last year, driven primarily by the flow through impact from lower sales. As a percentage of sales, operating income was 3%, down 380 basis points compared to the same period last year

Veyer Division
Nationwide supply chain, distribution, procurement and global sourcing operation supporting Office Depot and ODP Business Solutions, as well as third-party customers. Veyer’s assets and capabilities include 8 million square feet of infrastructure through a network of distribution centers, cross-docks, and other facilities throughout the United States; a global sourcing presence in Asia; a large private fleet of vehicles; and business next-day delivery to 98.5% of US population.

  • In the third quarter of 2024, Veyer provided support for its internal customers, ODP Business Solutions and Office Depot, as well as its third-party customers, generating sales of $1.2 billion
  • Operating income was $9 million in the third quarter of 2024, compared to $10 million in the prior year period driven by the flow through impact of lower sales to internal customers partially offset by the contribution related to services to third-party customers
  • Launched supply chain services for one of the world’s largest social media-focused e-commerce companies to deliver warehousing and fulfillment services for their online sales
  • In the third quarter of 2024, sales generated from third-party customers increased by approximately 30% compared to the same period last year, resulting in sales of $14 million. EBITDA of $3 million in the quarter represented a 3% decrease year over year, driven by Veyer’s investment in resources to support the launch of services for new customer additions

Share Repurchases

The Company continued to execute under its previously announced $1 billion share repurchase authorization valid through March 31, 2027. During the third quarter of 2024, the Company repurchased 3 million shares at a cost of $102 million. Since the end of the third quarter of 2024, the Company repurchased additional shares for $38 million.

“We’ve executed on our capital plan throughout the year, both investing in our business and returning approximately $295 million in capital to shareholders through share repurchases thus far in 2024,” said Adam Haggard, senior vice president and interim co-chief financial officer of The ODP Corporation. “As we move forward, we are prioritizing our capital allocation towards investing in the core business to capture high-return B2B growth opportunities that we believe will generate long-term value for shareholders. Considering this focus, while mindful of the ongoing challenging macroeconomic environment and our results year-to-date, we expect to substantially moderate the pace of share repurchases.”

The number of shares to be repurchased under the authorization in the future and the timing of such transactions will depend on a variety of factors, including market conditions, regulatory requirements, and other corporate considerations. The new share repurchase authorization could be suspended or discontinued at any time as determined by the Board of Directors.

Balance Sheet and Cash Flow

As of September 28, 2024, ODP had total available liquidity of approximately $728 million, consisting of $192 million in cash and cash equivalents, including $11 million that is presented in Current assets held for sale related to the Varis Division, and $536 million of available credit under the Fourth Amended Credit Agreement. Total debt was $246 million.

For the third quarter of 2024, cash provided by operating activities of continuing operations was $81 million, which included $10 million in restructuring spend, compared to cash provided by operating activities of continuing operations of $120 million in the third quarter of the prior year, which included $3 million in restructuring spend. The year-over-year change in operating cash flow is related to lower sales and the timing of certain working capital items.

Capital expenditures in the third quarter of 2024 were $22 million versus $20 million in the prior year period, reflecting continued growth investments in the Company’s digital transformation, distribution network, and eCommerce capabilities. Adjusted Free Cash Flow(3) was $68 million in the third quarter of 2024, compared to $102 million in the prior year period.

Progress on Project Core

As the Company previously announced, Project Core is an enterprise-wide cost improvement plan designed to create further efficiencies throughout its business, focused on driving enhanced operating results and shareholder value. The Company continues to make significant progress under Project Core and is in position to realize in-year savings of approximately $50 million and annualized savings of over $100 million when fully implemented. Restructuring and related charges associated with these actions are now estimated to be in the range of $40 million to $50 million, excluding those related to the Varis Division, and are expected to be substantially incurred throughout 2024.

Varis Division Update

Subsequent to the quarter, the Company sold its Varis Division, while retaining a minority interest of 19.9% after the sale. Under the terms of the related agreement, the Company will fund up to $4 million of expenses that may be incurred by Varis following the transaction date until December 31, 2025, and has no further obligations to contribute capital to Varis. The terms of the sale of Varis did not result in a materially different impact than previously estimated on our financial statements.

“We have completed the sale of Varis that aligns with our stated objectives of finalizing our capital commitment to the business, while providing ODP with a continued invested interest in the opportunities ahead,” added Smith.

2024 Guidance

“Our performance to date in 2024 has clearly been below expectations, impacted by deteriorating macroeconomic conditions, a challenging competitive landscape, and severe weather conditions,” said Smith. “As we look at the balance of the year, we are working to reposition our business and are fast-forwarding investments in resources necessary to pursue the new and exciting opportunities in our B2B and supply chain businesses. As we continue to assess our retail operations, we believe that our investments in our B2B pivot will help position ODP to generate value in the very large and growing market segments where our competitive advantage and customer focus resonates,” he added.

The Company is amending its 2024 full-year guidance as follows:

Updated full-year guidance for 2024

The Company’s full year guidance for 2024 includes non-GAAP measures, such as Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted Operating Income, and Adjusted Earnings per Share (fully diluted). These measures exclude charges or credits not indicative of core operations, which may include but not be limited to restructuring charges, capital expenditures, acquisition-related costs, executive transition costs, asset impairments and other significant items that currently cannot be predicted without unreasonable efforts. The exact amount of these charges or credits are not currently determinable but may be significant. Accordingly, the Company is unable to provide equivalent GAAP measures or reconciliations from GAAP to non-GAAP for these financial measures.

The ODP Corporation will webcast a call with financial analysts and investors on November 6, 2024, at 9:00 am Eastern Time, which will be accessible to the media and the general public. To listen to the conference call via webcast, please visit The ODP Corporation’s Investor Relations website at investor.theodpcorp.com. A replay of the webcast will be available approximately two hours following the event.

About The ODP Corporation

The ODP Corporation (NASDAQ:ODP) is a leading provider of products, services, and technology solutions through an integrated business-to-business (B2B) distribution platform and omni-channel presence, which includes supply chain and distribution operations, dedicated sales professionals, online presence, and a network of Office Depot and OfficeMax retail stores. Through its operating companies ODP Business Solutions, LLC; Office Depot, LLC; and Veyer, LLC, The ODP Corporation empowers every business, professional, and consumer to achieve more every day. For more information, visit theodpcorp.com.

ODP and ODP Business Solutions are trademarks of ODP Business Solutions, LLC. Office Depot is a trademark of The Office Club, LLC. OfficeMax is a trademark of OMX, Inc. Veyer is a trademark of Veyer, LLC. Grand&Toy is a trademark of Grand & Toy, LLC in Canada. ©2024 Office Depot, LLC. All rights reserved. Any other product or company names mentioned herein are the trademarks of their respective owners.

FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS

This communication may contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements or disclosures may discuss goals, intentions and expectations as to future trends, plans, events, results of operations, cash flow or financial condition, or state other information relating to, among other things, the Company, based on current beliefs and assumptions made by, and information currently available to, management. Forward-looking statements generally will be accompanied by words such as “anticipate,” “believe,” “plan,” “could,” “estimate,” “expect,” “forecast,” “guidance,” “expectations”, “outlook,” “intend,” “may,” “possible,” “potential,” “predict,” “project,” “propose” or other similar words, phrases or expressions, or other variations of such words. These forward-looking statements are subject to various risks and uncertainties, many of which are outside of the Company’s control. There can be no assurances that the Company will realize these expectations or that these beliefs will prove correct, and therefore investors and stakeholders should not place undue reliance on such statements. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include, among other things, highly competitive office products market and failure to differentiate the Company from other office supply resellers or respond to decline in general office supplies sales or to shifting consumer demands; competitive pressures on the Company’s sales and pricing; the risk that the Company is unable to transform the business into a service-driven, B2B platform or that such a strategy will not result in the benefits anticipated; the risk that the Company will not be able to achieve the expected benefits of its strategic plans, including benefits related to Project Core; the risk that the Company may not be able to realize the anticipated benefits of acquisitions due to unforeseen liabilities, future capital expenditures, expenses, indebtedness and the unanticipated loss of key customers or the inability to achieve expected revenues, synergies, cost savings or financial performance; the risk that the Company is unable to successfully maintain a relevant omni-channel experience for its customers; the risk that the Company is unable to execute the Maximize B2B Restructuring Plan successfully or that such plan will not result in the benefits anticipated; failure to effectively manage the Company’s real estate portfolio; loss of business with government entities, purchasing consortiums, and sole- or limited- source distribution arrangements; failure to attract and retain qualified personnel, including employees in stores, service centers, distribution centers, field and corporate offices and executive management, and the inability to keep supply of skills and resources in balance with customer demand; failure to execute effective advertising efforts and maintain the Company’s reputation and brand at a high level; disruptions in computer systems, including delivery of technology services; breach of information technology systems affecting reputation, business partner and customer relationships and operations and resulting in high costs and lost revenue; unanticipated downturns in business relationships with customers or terms with the suppliers, third-party vendors and business partners; disruption of global sourcing activities, evolving foreign trade policy (including tariffs imposed on certain foreign made goods); exclusive Office Depot branded products are subject to additional product, supply chain and legal risks; product safety and quality concerns of manufacturers’ branded products and services and Office Depot private branded products; covenants in the credit facility; general disruption in the credit markets; incurrence of significant impairment charges; retained responsibility for liabilities of acquired companies; fluctuation in quarterly operating results due to seasonality of the Company’s business; changes in tax laws in jurisdictions where the Company operates; increases in wage and benefit costs and changes in labor regulations; changes in the regulatory environment, legal compliance risks and violations of the U.S. Foreign Corrupt Practices Act and other worldwide anti-bribery laws; volatility in the Company’s common stock price; changes in or the elimination of the payment of cash dividends on Company common stock; macroeconomic conditions such as higher interest rates and future declines in business or consumer spending; increases in fuel and other commodity prices and the cost of material, energy and other production costs, or unexpected costs that cannot be recouped in product pricing; unexpected claims, charges, litigation, dispute resolutions or settlement expenses; catastrophic events, including the impact of weather events on the Company’s business; the discouragement of lawsuits by shareholders against the Company and its directors and officers as a result of the exclusive forum selection of the Court of Chancery, the federal district court for the District of Delaware or other Delaware state courts by the Company as the sole and exclusive forum for such lawsuits; and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the Company’s business. The foregoing list of factors is not exhaustive. Investors and shareholders should carefully consider the foregoing factors and the other risks and uncertainties described in the Company’s Annual Reports on Form 10-K, Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q, and Current Reports on Form 8-K filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The Company does not assume any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements.

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Lifeway Foods (LWAY) – Rejects Danone; Implements Poison Pill


Wednesday, November 06, 2024

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Rejects Danone. Yesterday, Lifeway Foods announced its Board of Directors rejected the unsolicited proposal made by Danone North America PBC to acquire all the shares of Lifeway that it does not already own for $25.00 per share. According to the Board, Danone’s proposal substantially undervalues Lifeway. Lifeway shares rose on the news, indicating investors may believe an improved offer may materialize.

Adopts Poison Pill. In addition, the Company adopted a Rights Plan that becomes exercisable if an entity, person, or group acquires beneficial ownership of 20% or more of the outstanding shares of Lifeway common stock in a transaction not approved by the Board or if an entity, person or group that currently beneficially owns 20% or more of the outstanding shares of Lifeway common stock acquires any additional shares. Unless earlier redeemed, terminated, or exchanged pursuant to the Rights Plan, the rights will expire on November 4, 2025.


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