Student Loan Payments Resume

After nearly 3 years of reprieve, student loan payments are set to restart on October 1, 2023. However, the landscape looks much different thanks to sweeping changes made by the Biden administration. These alterations have made student debt more manageable and offered routes to accelerated payoff or even forgiveness that didn’t exist before.

The impact could extend beyond individual borrowers to provide a boost to the overall economy. With less income eaten up by student loan payments, borrowers will have more spending power. That additional discretionary income circulating through the economy acts as a stimulus.

Perhaps the most impactful change was the elimination of interest capitalization in most cases. This is the process where unpaid interest gets added to the loan balance, causing it to balloon. Now, interest no longer capitalizes when borrowers exit forbearance, leave income-driven repayment plans, or have other status changes. Only when exiting deferment on unsubsidized loans does interest get added to principal. This prevents balances from spiraling out of control.

Biden has also dramatically expanded access to forgiveness. Over 3 million borrowers have already had loans discharged through revamps of programs like Public Service Loan Forgiveness and income-driven repayment. The former saw its complex rules simplified, while the latter had payment counts adjusted and forbearance periods now qualifying for credit. These tweaks pushed many over the line into immediate forgiveness.

Even borrowers who don’t qualify for these programs have an easier time discharging loans through bankruptcy. New guidelines tell government lawyers not to oppose bankruptcy discharge requests that meet certain criteria laid out in a 15-page form. This makes the previously rare “undue hardship” determination more accessible.

The administration also implemented a 1-year “on ramp” where missed payments don’t negatively impact credit or trigger default. This grace period offers struggling borrowers a clean slate before consequences kick in again.

Those able to resume payments may even benefit from today’s high interest rates. Federal student loans have fixed low rates, so borrowers can pay them down faster by investing in treasury notes earning far higher returns. Inflation likewise reduces the real burden of student debt over time.

While these changes have brought tangible individual relief, broadly reducing the student debt burden could also provide a macroeconomic boost. Money freed up in household budgets gets spent elsewhere, circulating through and stimulating the economy.

The Biden administration still wants to enact broad student debt cancellation for this very reason. After the Supreme Court blocked its forgiveness plan, the Department of Education launched “negotiated rulemaking” to find another path. This bureaucratic process involving public committees aims to deliver a new cancellation proposal in late 2024.

Until then, the reshaped student loan landscape gives borrowers breathing room. The structural changes determine whether student debt remains a crushing burden or becomes manageable.

With interest capitalization curbed and expanded opportunities for discharge, balances can actually shrink instead of endlessly growing. The credit safeguards offer wiggle room to get finances in order before consequences hit. And the door to forgiveness has been opened wider than ever before.

Of course, these alterations won’t instantly solve every borrower’s problems. But they provide avenues for relief that didn’t exist previously. And more importantly, they signal a philosophical shift that student debt shouldn’t ruin lives or constrain futures.

There’s still work to be done, like making income-driven repayment more accessible and adding guardrails to limit excessive debt. But the momentum is towards a system that helps borrowers succeed rather than burying them in interest and unpayable balances.

So while student loan repayment is resuming, borrowers can take heart that it’s restarting under a fairer set of rules. The old grind of watching debt balloon while relief remained elusive has thankfully been left behind. With a potential wider economic stimulus, these changes could benefit more than just student borrowers.

Release – FAT Brands Announces Two Additional Board Members

Research News and Market Data on FAT

09/28/2023

LOS ANGELES, Sept. 28, 2023 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — FAT (Fresh. Authentic. Tasty.) Brands Inc . announces the appointment of two new Directors to its Board, James G. Ellis and John M. Allen. With the additions, the Board size will increase from 12 to 14. Mr. Ellis and Mr. Allen will serve as independent directors, with Mr. Ellis also joining the Audit Committee of the Board.

Mr. Ellis served as the Dean of the Marshall School of Business at the University of Southern California from 2007 until June 2019. Prior to his appointment as Dean in April 2007, Mr. Ellis was the Vice Provost, Globalization, for USC and prior to that was Vice Dean, External Relations. Mr. Ellis was also a professor in the Marketing Department of the Marshall School of Business from 1997 until his retirement in 2021. Mr. Ellis continues to serve on the boards of directors of a number of other public and private companies. Mr. Ellis received a Bachelor of Business Administration degree from the University of New Mexico and an MBA from Harvard Business School.

Mr. Allen is a retired restaurant operator, having served as the founder, owner and operator of Pacific Way Bakery & Café. Mr. Allen received a Bachelor of Arts degree from the University of Illinois.

“Jim and John bring valuable insight and are both deeply respected in their communities,” said Andy Wiederhorn, Chairman of FAT Brands. “We are grateful to have them on the team and look forward to leveraging their insights to continue growth for our franchisees and returns for our shareholders.”

For more information on FAT Brands, visit www.fatbrands.com.

About FAT (Fresh. Authentic. Tasty.) Brands
FAT Brands (NASDAQ: FAT) is a leading global franchising company that strategically acquires, markets, and develops fast casual, quick-service, casual dining, and polished casual dining concepts around the world. The Company currently owns 18 restaurant brands: Round Table Pizza, Fatburger, Marble Slab Creamery, Johnny Rockets, Fazoli’s, Twin Peaks, Great American Cookies, Hot Dog on a Stick, Buffalo’s Cafe & Express, Hurricane Grill & Wings, Pretzelmaker, Elevation Burger, Smokey Bones, Native Grill & Wings, Yalla Mediterranean and Ponderosa and Bonanza Steakhouses, and franchises and owns over 2,300 units worldwide. For more information on FAT Brands, please visit fatbrands.com.

Forward-Looking Statements
This press release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements reflect the Company’s expectations concerning the future and are subject to significant business, economic and competitive risks, uncertainties and contingencies. These risks, uncertainties and contingencies are difficult to predict and beyond our control, and could cause our actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such forward-looking statements. We refer you to the documents that the Company files from time to time with the Securities and Exchange Commission, such as our reports on Form 10-K, Form 10-Q and Form 8-K, for a discussion of these and other risks and uncertainties. The Company undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statement to reflect events or circumstances occurring after the date of this press release.

MEDIA CONTACT:
Ali Lloyd, FAT Brands
alloyd@fatbrands.com
435-760-6168

Source: FAT Brands Inc.

Blue Apron to be Acquired by Wonder Group in $103 Million Deal

Blue Apron Holdings, Inc. (Nasdaq: APRN), a pioneer in the meal kit industry, has announced a definitive merger agreement with Wonder Group, a company founded by entrepreneur Marc Lore, known for redefining at-home dining and food delivery. The merger agreement, unanimously approved by Blue Apron’s Board of Directors, is set to create a leading mealtime platform and offers Blue Apron stockholders $13.00 per share in cash, totaling approximately $103 million.

Blue Apron’s merger agreement with Wonder Group comes as part of a strategic shift for the company, which had recently transitioned to an asset-light business model following the sale of its operational infrastructure and a strategic partnership with FreshRealm. The $13.00 per share purchase price represents a substantial 137% premium to the closing price on September 28, 2023, and a noteworthy 77% premium to the 30-day volume-weighted average price of the company’s Class A common stock.

Wonder’s acquisition of Blue Apron aims to revolutionize mealtime, offering consumers greater choice, flexibility, and convenience through their combined brands. The partnership is expected to enhance both companies’ abilities to provide chef-curated meals with high-quality ingredients to a broader customer base across the United States. Following the completion of the transaction, Wonder intends to maintain Blue Apron’s current nationwide operations under the Blue Apron brand, leveraging synergies between consumer-facing apps and delivery logistics.

Linda Findley, President, and CEO of Blue Apron, expressed her excitement about the merger, stating, “The Blue Apron brand and products that our customers know and love will stay the same, with more opportunity for product expansion in the future. Further, the transaction delivers immediate and certain value for Blue Apron stockholders at a significant premium over recent trading prices.”

Marc Lore, Founder and CEO of Wonder Group, also shared his enthusiasm for the partnership, saying, “We couldn’t be more excited to welcome Blue Apron to the Wonder platform and look forward to working with Linda and her exceptional team.”

In response to this significant development, Blue Apron shares have surged by over 130% today, reflecting investor optimism about the merger agreement. This marks a remarkable shift in fortunes for the company, which had faced challenges since its initial public offering in 2017. Year-to-date, Blue Apron shares had been down by 44%.

Since its initial public offering in 2017, Blue Apron has faced numerous challenges that have significantly impacted its fortunes. Despite having achieved a valuation of $2 billion just six years ago, the company encountered hurdles including layoffs, struggles in expanding its customer base, and fierce competition from industry giants such as Amazon and Kroger. While Blue Apron experienced a brief boost in demand during the height of the COVID-19 pandemic, this momentum proved challenging to sustain. Today’s merger agreement with Wonder Group represents a pivotal moment for the pioneering meal kit company, offering the potential for renewed growth and innovation in an evolving food delivery landscape. The acquisition of Blue Apron by Wonder Group represents a pivotal moment for the pioneering meal kit company. Blue Apron’s merger with Wonder is set to redefine at-home dining and food delivery, offering customers enhanced mealtime experiences with chef-curated meals. The substantial premium offered to Blue Apron stockholders demonstrates the confidence in this strategic partnership. As Blue Apron transitions into the Wonder platform, it will be interesting to observe how this union revitalizes the company and expands its presence in the evolving food delivery landscape.

Instacart Founder Exits With $1.1 Billion Fortune After IPO

Apoorva Mehta’s path to becoming a billionaire was paved with determination and grit. The 37-year-old founder of grocery delivery app Instacart debuted his company on the public market this week, earning a personal net worth of $1.1 billion.

Mehta’s road to success was not straightforward. After quitting his job as a supply chain engineer at Amazon in 2010, Mehta attempted to launch over 20 startups in San Francisco, all of which failed. “I wanted to become an entrepreneur. I didn’t know what my idea was going to be,” Mehta told CNBC.

Undeterred by his string of failures, Mehta found inspiration from his own empty refrigerator and launched Instacart in 2012 to disrupt the grocery delivery industry. Instacart struggled at first, with Mehta even missing Y Combinator’s application deadline. But he managed to impress the famed accelerator’s partners by personally delivering beer to their office using his new app. With Y Combinator’s backing and $2.3 million in early funding, Instacart began spreading beyond San Francisco.

In just over a decade, Mehta has grown Instacart into a grocery delivery behemoth operating in over 14,000 cities across North America. The company has facilitated the delivery of over 900 million grocery orders and 20 billion items since its founding. Instacart now delivers groceries from over 80,000 stores, including major chains like Kroger, Costco, and Wegmans.

With Instacart’s successful IPO and $8.8 billion valuation, Mehta is transitioning from his role as executive chairman. His 11-year journey founding and leading Instacart has earned him billionaire status, proving that persistence and vision can turn startup failures into phenomenal success.

Mehta’s determination to solve a personal need despite multiple failed attempts speaks to his perseverance and self-belief. “Being an entrepreneur is about solving problems,” Mehta told Forbes India. “If you are solving problems, you are doing something meaningful.”

This tireless problem-solving ethic kept Mehta persevering through over 20 doomed startups before finding his billion-dollar idea. “I wanted to build something that really moved the needle,” Mehta told Entrepreneur. “Part of the reason I kept trying was because I wasn’t succeeding.”

Now valued at nearly $9 billion, Instacart succeeded in moving the needle for online grocery delivery in a massive way. “I’m most excited about the impact we can have on the grocery industry,” Mehta told Forbes of his goals looking forward.

As Mehta departs his executive chairman role, his grocery delivery empire promises to change how people access fresh food for years to come. Under new CEO Fidji Simo, formally of Facebook, Instacart is poised for continued innovation and growth.

Mehta’s journey underscores how entrepreneurs should not measure success purely in financial terms. “It’s about solving problems, inventing things and making an impact – not for the sake of making money but because it’s a challenge,” Mehta told Entrepreneur India. For him, impact and problem solving are the true markers of success.

After over 20 failures, Mehta never gave up on his goal of building something meaningful. His unflagging determination and vision turned a simple grocery delivery app into a multibillion-dollar public company. Mehta’s inspiring rise from failed startups to billionaire success shows how persistence and grit can overcome early stumbles to eventually change an entire industry.

FAT Brands Inc. (FAT) – Management Discussions on Smokey Bones Acquisition


Thursday, September 28, 2023

FAT Brands (NASDAQ: FAT) is a leading global franchising company that strategically acquires, markets, and develops fast casual, quick-service, casual dining, and polished casual dining concepts around the world. The Company currently owns 17 restaurant brands: Round Table Pizza, Fatburger, Marble Slab Creamery, Johnny Rockets, Fazoli’s, Twin Peaks, Great American Cookies, Hot Dog on a Stick, Buffalo’s Cafe & Express, Hurricane Grill & Wings, Pretzelmaker, Elevation Burger, Native Grill & Wings, Yalla Mediterranean and Ponderosa and Bonanza Steakhouses, and franchises and owns over 2,300 units worldwide. For more information on FAT Brands, please visit www.fatbrands.com.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Management Conversation. We had an opportunity to speak with FAT Brands Chairman of the Board Andy Wiederhorn regarding the Smokey Bones acquisition. As we highlighted in our Tuesday report, the acquisition adds 61 corporate owned locations and adds the barbeque vertical to Fat Brands portfolio. But, we believe the acquisition will add even more.

A Better Price. FAT Brands had been eyeing Smokey Bones for a while and, in fact, had almost closed the deal over a year ago, but at a much higher price than the $30 million deal. Based on a $10 million annual adjusted EBITDA run rate, the chain was acquired at 3x, which will help lower FAT Brands’ overall leverage ratio by nearly a turn. According to Mr. Wiederhorn, annual revenue is in the $170-$180 million range.


Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

DoorDash Ditches NYSE for Nasdaq in Major Stock Exchange Switch

Food delivery app DoorDash announced it will transfer its stock exchange listing from the New York Stock Exchange to the Nasdaq. The company will begin trading on the Nasdaq Global Select Market under the ticker ‘DASH’ starting September 27, 2023.

This represents a high-profile switch that exemplifies the fierce competition between the NYSE and Nasdaq to attract Silicon Valley tech listings. It also reflects shifting sentiments around brand associations and target investor bases.

DoorDash first went public on the NYSE in December 2020 at a valuation of nearly $60 billion. At the time, the NYSE provided the prestige and validation desired by the promising young startup.

However, DoorDash has since grown into an industry titan boasting a market cap of over $30 billion. As a maturing technology company, Nasdaq’s brand image and investor mix provide better positioning.

Tony Xu, co-founder and CEO of DoorDash, emphasized the benefits of the Nasdaq in the company’s announcement. “We believe DoorDash will benefit from Nasdaq’s track record of being at the forefront of technology and progress,” he said.

Nasdaq has built a reputation as the go-to exchange for Silicon Valley tech firms and growth stocks. Big name residents include Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Tesla, Alphabet, and Facebook parent company Meta.

The exchange is also home to leading next-gen companies like Zoom, DocuSign, Crowdstrike, Datadog, and Snowflake. This creates an environment tailor-made for high-growth tech outfits.

Meanwhile, the NYSE leans toward stalwart blue chip companies including Coca Cola, Walmart, Visa, Walt Disney, McDonald’s, and JPMorgan Chase. The historic exchange tends to attract mature businesses and financial institutions.

Another factor likely influencing DoorDash is the investor makeup across the competing exchanges. Nasdaq generally appeals more to growth-oriented funds and active traders. The NYSE caters slightly more to institutional investors like pension funds, endowments, and passive index funds.

DoorDash’s switch follows ride sharing pioneer Lyft’s jump from Nasdaq to the NYSE exactly one year ago. Like DoorDash, Lyft desired a brand halo as it evolved past its early startup days.

“It’s a signal of us being mature, of us continuing to build a lasting company,” said Lyft co-founder John Zimmer at the time of the company’s NYSE listing.

Jared Carmel, managing partner at Manhattan Venture Partners, believes these exchange transfers reflect the “changing identities of the companies.”

As startups develop into multi-billion dollar giants, they evaluate whether their founding exchange still aligns with their needs and desired perceptions. Brand association and shareholder registration are becoming as important as operational capabilities for listings.

High-flying growth stocks like DoorDash also consider indexes, as the Nasdaq 100 often provides greater visibility and buying power from passive funds tracking the benchmark. Prominent inclusion in those indexes requires trading on Nasdaq.

Whether mature blue chips or emerging Silicon Valley darlings, the rivalry between Nasdaq and NYSE will continue heating up as each exchange vies to attract and retain brand name public companies. With lucrative listing fees on the line, exchanges will evolve branding, services, and capabilities to better cater to their target customers.

The DoorDash switcheroo exemplifies the changing perspectives and motivations influencing exchange selection. As companies lifecycles and personas transform, they reevaluate decisions made during those frenetic early IPO days.

Mortgage Rates Hit 23-Year High

Mortgage rates crossed the 7% threshold this past week, as the 30-year fixed rate hit 7.31% according to Freddie Mac data. This marks the highest level for mortgage rates since late 2000.

The implications extend far beyond the housing market alone. The sharp rise in rates stands to impact the stock market, economic growth, and investor sentiment through various channels.

For stock investors, higher mortgage rates pose risks of slower economic growth and falling profits for rate-sensitive sectors. Housing is a major component of GDP, so a pullback in home sales and construction activity would diminish economic output.

Slower home sales also mean less revenue for homebuilders, real estate brokers, mortgage lenders, and home furnishing retailers. With housing accounting for 15-18% of economic activity, associated industries make up a sizable chunk of the stock market.

A housing slowdown would likely hit sectors such as homebuilders, building materials, home improvement retailers, and home furnishing companies the hardest. Financial stocks could also face challenges as mortgage origination and refinancing drop off.

Broader economic weakness resulting from reduced consumer spending power would likely spillover to impact earnings across a wide swath of companies and market sectors. Investors may rotate to more defensive stocks if growth concerns escalate.

Higher rates also signal tightening financial conditions, which historically leads to increased stock market volatility and investor unease. Between inflation cutting into incomes and higher debt servicing costs, consumers have less discretionary income to sustain spending.

Reduced consumer spending has a knock-on effect of slowing economic growth. If rate hikes intended to fight inflation go too far, it raises the specter of an economic contraction or recession down the line.

For bond investors, rising rates eat into prices of existing fixed income securities. Bonds become less attractive compared to newly issued debt paying higher yields. Investors may need to explore options like floating rate bonds and shorter duration to mitigate rate impacts.

Rate-sensitive assets that did well in recent years as rates fell may come under pressure. Real estate, utilities, long-duration bonds, and growth stocks with high valuations are more negatively affected by rising rate environments.

Meanwhile, cash becomes comparatively more attractive as yields on savings accounts and money market funds tick higher. Investors may turn to cash while awaiting clarity on inflation and rates.

The Fed has emphasized its commitment to bringing inflation down even as growth takes a hit. That points to further rate hikes ahead, meaning mortgage rates likely have room to climb higher still.

Whether the Fed can orchestrate a soft landing remains to be seen. But until rate hikes moderate, investors should brace for market volatility and economic uncertainty.

Rising mortgage rates provide yet another reason for investors to ensure their portfolios are properly diversified. Maintaining some allocation to defensive stocks and income plays can help smooth out risk during periods of higher volatility.

While outlooks call for slower growth, staying invested with a long-term perspective is typically better than market timing. Patience and prudent risk management will be virtues for investors in navigating markets in the year ahead.

Release – FAT Brands Announces Acquisition Of Smokey Bones Barbecue Chain

Research News and Market Data on FAT

09/25/2023

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Global Franchisor Doubles Down on Polished Dining Segment

LOS ANGELES, Sept. 25, 2023 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — FAT (Fresh. Authentic. Tasty.) Brands Inc. (NASDAQ: FAT) (“FAT Brands” or the “Company”) today announces it has acquired the Smokey Bones Bar & Fire Grill restaurant chain from an affiliate of Sun Capital Partners, Inc. The acquisition marks the Company’s first foray into barbecue and expands FAT Brands’ portfolio of polished dining chains, which currently includes Twin Peaks. The purchase is expected to increase annual adjusted EBITDA by approximately $10 million, and bring 61 new corporate locations under FAT Brands’ umbrella. The $30 million transaction was funded from the Company’s existing securitization facilities.

“We continue to be selective and opportunistic in our acquisition strategy, targeting brands that are both scalable and synergistic with our existing platform,” said Rob Rosen, Co-CEO of FAT Brands. “We are pleased to add another polished dining brand, which will provide more options for our sales team to offer our franchise partners to further their new unit development.”

“As we have spent the year focusing on digesting past acquisitions, we’ve also been amplifying the explosive growth in our polished dining vertical,” said Andy Wiederhorn, Chairman and Founder of FAT Brands. “Having a strong player in the barbecue space provides another arrow in our quiver for the polished dining segment and opens the door for additional growth strategies for our sister brands. We look forward to generating impressive results, similar to our Johnny Rockets integration, which we also acquired from an affiliate of Sun Capital Partners.”

“We are excited to become a part of the FAT Brands family and benefit from their purchasing power and scale,” said Hal Lawlor, President of Smokey Bones. “Additionally, we see great opportunity in being a part of a leading global franchising company to further our growth with new franchised locations.”

Kroll Investment Banking acted as exclusive sell-side M&A advisor to Smokey Bones and Sun Capital Partners on the transaction.

For more information, visit www.fatbrands.com.

About FAT (Fresh. Authentic. Tasty.) Brands
FAT Brands (NASDAQ: FAT) is a leading global franchising company that strategically acquires, markets, and develops fast casual, quick-service, casual dining, and polished casual dining concepts around the world. The Company currently owns 17 restaurant brands: Round Table Pizza, Fatburger, Marble Slab Creamery, Johnny Rockets, Fazoli’s, Twin Peaks, Great American Cookies, Hot Dog on a Stick, Buffalo’s Cafe & Express, Hurricane Grill & Wings, Pretzelmaker, Elevation Burger, Native Grill & Wings, Yalla Mediterranean and Ponderosa and Bonanza Steakhouses, and franchises and owns approximately 2,300 units worldwide. For more information, please visit www.fatbrands.com.

About Smokey Bones
The Masters of Meat. Smokey Bones Bar & Fire Grill is a full-service restaurant chain delivering great barbecue, award-winning ribs, perfectly seared steaks and memorable moments in 61 locations across 16 states. Smokey Bones serves lunch, dinner, and late night, and has a full bar featuring a variety of bourbons and whiskeys, a selection of domestic, import and local craft beers, and several signature handcrafted cocktails. Smokey Bones offers a variety of meats that are slow-smoked, fire-grilled, and available for dine-in, pick-up, online ordering, catering, and delivery. Smokey Bones offers a 10 percent discount to active duty and veterans with ID. For additional information and a list of locations nationwide, please visit www.SmokeyBones.com. Smokey Bones, Meat is What We Do!

Forward-Looking Statements
This press release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including statements relating to the Company’s future financial performance and growth following the acquisition of Smokey Bones, including expectations of changes in the Company’s adjusted EBITDA, and the Company’s ability to conduct future accretive and successful acquisitions. Forward-looking statements reflect the Company’s expectations concerning the future and are subject to significant business, economic and competitive risks, uncertainties and contingencies including, but not limited to, the Company’s ability to successfully integrate and exploit the synergies of the acquisition of Smokey Bones, and the Company’s ability to grow and expand sales and earnings following the acquisition. These risks, uncertainties and contingencies are difficult to predict and beyond our control, and could cause our actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such forward-looking statements. We refer you to the documents that the Company files from time to time with the Securities and Exchange Commission, such as our reports on Form 10-K, Form 10-Q and Form 8-K, for a discussion of these and other risks and uncertainties. The Company undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statement to reflect events or circumstances occurring after the date of this press release.

About Non-GAAP Projected Financial Measures
This press release includes projections of changes in future EBITDA, a financial measure that is not prepared in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”). EBITDA is defined as net income (loss), before interest expense, income tax expense (benefit), depreciation and amortization expense. EBITDA is not a measurement of the Company’s financial performance under GAAP, and should not be considered in isolation or as an alternative to net income (loss) as a measure of financial performance, cash flows from operating activities as a measure of liquidity, or any other performance measure derived in accordance with GAAP. The Company believes that EBITDA is an important supplemental measure of its operating performance because it eliminates the impact of expenses that do not relate to business performance. The Company also believes that this non-GAAP measure is useful to investors because it and similar measures are frequently used by securities analysts, investors and other interested parties to evaluate companies in our industry and provide additional information regarding growth rates on a more comparable basis than would be provided without such adjustments.

The Company prepared the information included in this press release based upon available information and assumptions and estimates that it believes are reasonable. The Company cannot assure you that its estimates and assumptions will prove to be accurate. Additionally, to the extent that forward-looking non-GAAP financial measures are provided, they are presented on a non-GAAP basis without reconciliations of such forward-looking non-GAAP financial measures due to the inherent difficulty in forecasting and quantifying certain amounts that are necessary for such reconciliation.

Investor Relations:
ICR
Michelle Michalski
ir-fatbrands@icrinc.com
646-277-1224

Media Relations:
Ali Lloyd
alloyd@fatbrands.com
435-760-6168

Source: FAT Brands Inc.

FAT Brands Inc. (FAT) – Expanding Into BBQ


Tuesday, September 26, 2023

FAT Brands (NASDAQ: FAT) is a leading global franchising company that strategically acquires, markets, and develops fast casual, quick-service, casual dining, and polished casual dining concepts around the world. The Company currently owns 17 restaurant brands: Round Table Pizza, Fatburger, Marble Slab Creamery, Johnny Rockets, Fazoli’s, Twin Peaks, Great American Cookies, Hot Dog on a Stick, Buffalo’s Cafe & Express, Hurricane Grill & Wings, Pretzelmaker, Elevation Burger, Native Grill & Wings, Yalla Mediterranean and Ponderosa and Bonanza Steakhouses, and franchises and owns over 2,300 units worldwide. For more information on FAT Brands, please visit www.fatbrands.com.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Adding Smokey Bones. Last night, FAT Brands announced the acquisition of the Smokey Bones Bar & Fire Grill chain for $30 million from Sun Capital Partners. Smokey Bones not only expands FAT Brands into the BBQ space, but also amplifies the Company’s polished dining vertical, in our view.

Smokey Bones. Smokey Bones operates 61 award winning locations across 16 states. With a focus on BBQ, Smokey Bones is a casual dining restaurant with a sports bar scene. Smokey Bones serves lunch, dinner, and late night, and has a full bar featuring a variety of bourbons and whiskeys, a selection of domestic, import, and local craft beers, and several signature handcrafted cocktails.


Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Lifeway Foods (LWAY) – Stock Price Momentum Continues, Moving to Market Perform


Monday, September 25, 2023

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Price Momentum. LWAY shares continue their rise, closing last Friday at $12.42, above our recently raised $12 price target. LWAY shares are up 97% since closing at $6.30 the Friday before the August 14th 2Q23 earnings release and are up nearly 124% YTD. Notably, volume continues to show strong momentum, with the ADV since August 14 at 136,522 shares, compared to a 90 day ADV of 15,430 shares just prior to the August 14th earnings release.

Rationale. With the sharp price rise, LWAY shares are likely to enter a consolidation phase, in our view. Further significant price appreciation leans towards operating results exceeding expectations and/or a potential acquisition of the Company, in our view. With insiders controlling nearly 50% of the outstanding shares, we do not believe a sale of the Company is in the cards. 


Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Amazon Bets Big on AI Startup to Advance Generative Tech

E-commerce titan Amazon is making a huge investment into artificial intelligence startup Anthropic, injecting up to $4 billion into the budding firm. The massive funding underscores Amazon’s ambitions to be a leader in next-generation AI capabilities.

Anthropic is a two-year old startup launched by former executives from AI lab OpenAI. The company recently introduced its new chatbot called Claude, designed to converse naturally with humans on a range of topics.

While Claude has similarities to OpenAI’s popular ChatGPT, Anthropic aims to take natural language AI to the next level. Amazon’s investment signals its belief in Anthropic’s potential to pioneer groundbreaking generative AI.

Generative AI refers to AI systems that can generate new content like text, images, or video based on data they are trained on. The technology has exploded in popularity thanks to ChatGPT and image generator DALL-E 2, sparking immense interest from Big Tech.

Amazon is positioning itself to capitalize on this surging interest in generative AI. As part of the deal, Amazon Web Services will become Anthropic’s primary cloud platform for developing and delivering its AI services.

The startup will also let AWS customers access exclusive features to customize and fine-tune its AI models. This tight integration gives Amazon a competitive edge by baking Anthropic’s leading AI into its cloud offerings.

Additionally, Amazon will provide custom semiconductors to turbocharge training for Anthropic’s foundational AI models. These chips aim to challenged Nvidia’s dominance in supplying GPUs for AI workloads.

With its end-to-end AI capabilities across hardware, cloud services and applications, Amazon aims to be the go-to AI provider. The Anthropic investment caps off a flurry of activity from Amazon to own the AI future.

Recently, Amazon unveiled Alexa Voice, AI-generated voice assistant. The company also launched Amazon Bedrock, a service enabling companies to easily build custom AI tools using Amazon’s machine learning models.

And Amazon Web Services already offers robust AI services like image recognition, language processing, and data analytics to business clients. Anthropic’s generative smarts will augment these solutions.

The race to lead in AI accelerated after Microsoft’s multi-billion investment into ChatGPT creator OpenAI in January. Google, Meta and others have since poured billions into AI startups to not get left behind.

Anthropic has already raised funding from top tier backers like Google’s VC arm and Salesforce Ventures. But Amazon’s monster investment catapults the startup into an elite group of AI startups tapping into Big Tech’s cash reserves.

The deal grants Amazon a minority stake in the startup, suggesting further collaborations ahead. With Claude 2 generating buzz, Anthropic’s next-gen AI technology and Amazon’s vast resources could be a potent combination.

For Amazon, owning a piece of a promising AI startup hedges its bets should generative AI disrupt major industries. And if advanced chatbots like Claude reshape how customers interact with businesses, Amazon is making sure it has skin in the game.

The e-commerce behemoth’s latest Silicon Valley splash cements its position as an aggressive AI player not content following others. If Amazon’s bet on Anthropic pays off, it may pay dividends in making Amazon a go-to enterprise AI powerhouse.

The $68.7B Blockbuster Microsoft-Activision Deal

Microsoft’s proposed $68.7 billion acquisition of Activision Blizzard has the potential to completely transform the gaming landscape. While regulators have scrutinized the deal over competition concerns, the merger could bring tremendous benefits to Microsoft, Activision, and the broader video game industry.

For Microsoft, owning Activision Blizzard will expand its catalog of exclusive titles and strengthen its position in the rapidly growing cloud and mobile gaming markets. Activision’s stable of popular franchises, including Call of Duty, World of Warcraft, and Overwatch, will give Microsoft’s Xbox platform exclusive access to some of the most iconic brands in gaming.

The deal also bolsters Microsoft’s Game Pass subscription service. By adding Activision games into the Game Pass library, Microsoft could attract millions of new subscribers. Game Pass now has over 25 million subscribers, and Activision’s titles provide strong incentive for even more gamers to sign up.

Microsoft also aims to leverage Activision’s titles to boost its cloud gaming efforts. Cloud gaming allows players to stream games over the internet, without needing expensive hardware. Microsoft’s Project xCloud trails behind competitors, but owning rights to Activision’s diverse lineup of games could help close the gap with rivals.

For Activision Blizzard, the deal provides much-needed stability after a rocky couple of years. The company faced intense backlash over allegations of sexual harassment and discrimination against female employees. Activision also lost favor with gamers over accusations of declining game quality. Joining forces with Microsoft gives Activision renewed focus along with the resources to potentially revitalize its culture and game development efforts.

Take a moment to take a look at Motorsport Games Inc., an award-winning esports video game developer and publisher for racing fans and gamers around the globe.

The merger can also reinvigorate Activision’s floundering esports leagues. Microsoft brings immense expertise in managing leagues like the NBA 2K League. With dedicated support, Activision’s Overwatch League and Call of Duty League can get back on track to engage fans.

More broadly, the deal validates the tremendous growth potential of the $200 billion gaming market. Investors originally balked at the $68.7 billion price tag, which was nearly a 50% premium over Activision’s market value. However, Microsoft likely sees this as a long-term investment, as analysts forecast the gaming sector to expand to over $300 billion by 2027.

While there are understandable concerns about one company gaining so much influence, Microsoft has committed to keeping Activision games available across multiple platforms. The tech giant also faces strong incentives to continue investing in blockbuster franchises like Call of Duty rather than making them Xbox exclusives.

After months in limbo, the deal now appears to be back on track for completion in late 2023 or early 2024. Assuming it passes the final regulatory hurdles, this acquisition has the scope to reshape gaming for players and developers alike. By bringing together two titans of the industry, the new Microsoft-Activision partnership could help unlock gaming’s true potential.

Brightline Connects Florida’s Finance Hubs with New Train Line

Brightline, the private passenger rail service in Florida, has began operating its high speed train lines to connect South Florida to Orlando today. This new route will link two major finance hubs in the state and make travel between them faster and easier.

Brightline’s trains have currently been running between Miami, Fort Lauderdale, and West Palm Beach. The expansion to Orlando, which opened on September 22, 2023, stretches the service across the state and connects it to one of Florida’s largest business and tourism centers.

According to Brightline’s president Patrick Goddard, the new route “will transform Central Florida into a connected region” and link its economy even closer with South Florida’s. This enhanced connectivity between the region’s financial sectors will likely lead to increased business deals, partnerships, and investment.

In particular, the new Brightline connection will simplify travel between Palm Beach County and Orlando. Palm Beach is home to a cluster of hedge funds, private equity firms, and other financial companies. Orlando similarly has a thriving financial industry, with investment firms, banks, and financial technology companies based in the metro area.

With a Brightline station at Orlando International Airport, it is now easier than ever for finance professionals to commute between the two cities for meetings and conferences. This will allow greater collaboration within Florida’s finance community.

One major finance event that will benefit is NobleCon19, an investor conference focusing on emerging growth companies. NobleCon19 is scheduled for December 3-5, 2023 in Boca Raton, located in Palm Beach County. The conference attracts finance experts from across the country, including professionals based in the Orlando area.

Once the new Brightline route opened, Orlando-based investors, analysts, and executives interested in attending NobleCon now have a convenient 3.5 hour train trip directly from Orlando International Airport to Boca Raton. This is faster than driving, which takes over 4.5 hours in traffic. It is also quicker than Amtrak’s routes connecting the two cities, which take 5-7 hours.

Brightline’s president Patrick Goddard noted that the train service will “make it easier for all Floridians and visitors to experience the best our state has to offer.” This will certainly include connecting finance pros between hubs like Orlando and Palm Beach County.

Overall, Brightline’s expansion to Orlando has linked key financial centers across Florida. For financial companies and professionals, it will facilitate easier networking, stronger partnerships, and more dealmaking. The launch of the new route in September 2023 is a major plus for Florida’s finance sector.