Category: Consumer

PNC Becomes Colorado’s Leading Bank with FirstBank Acquisition

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

PNC Financial Services Group has taken another major step in its national expansion strategy, announcing a $4.1 billion agreement to acquire FirstBank Holding Company, a Colorado-based institution with deep community roots and a strong regional presence. The deal, unveiled Monday, will significantly bolster PNC’s operations in two high-growth markets—Colorado and Arizona—while reinforcing its status as one of the nation’s leading banks.

FirstBank, headquartered in Lakewood, Colorado, reported $26.8 billion in assets as of June 30, 2025. The bank operates 95 branches, with a dominant presence in Colorado and an established footprint in Arizona. The combination will more than triple PNC’s branch network in Colorado to 120 locations and instantly make Denver one of PNC’s largest markets nationwide, securing the number one position in both retail deposit share and branch share in the metro area. In Arizona, PNC will expand its presence to over 70 branches, further solidifying its strategy to grow in fast-expanding regions across the western United States.

For PNC Chairman and CEO William S. Demchak, the acquisition is more than a geographic play. It reflects PNC’s strategy of scaling its franchise by blending organic growth with targeted acquisitions. Over the past decade, PNC has consistently delivered double-digit revenue growth in new and acquired markets, aided by substantial investments in branch expansion, marketing, and digital capabilities. “FirstBank is the standout branch banking franchise in Colorado and Arizona,” Demchak said, praising its trusted relationships, strong retail base, and community focus. “It is an ideal partner for PNC as we continue to expand nationally.”

FirstBank’s legacy of community service is central to its appeal. The bank is well known for sponsoring Colorado Gives Day, which has raised over $500 million for local nonprofits. Its community-first model mirrors PNC’s approach, particularly through initiatives like its $85 billion Community Benefits Plan, which supports affordable housing, small businesses, and economic development, and its $500 million Grow Up Great® program, which promotes early childhood education.

Leadership continuity will also play an important role. FirstBank CEO Kevin Classen will assume the role of PNC’s Colorado Regional President and Mountain Territory Executive, overseeing operations in Colorado, Arizona, and Utah. PNC plans to retain all FirstBank branches and staff, ensuring continuity for customers and communities while leveraging PNC’s scale and resources to enhance offerings.

The acquisition, unanimously approved by the boards of both companies, is expected to close in early 2026 pending regulatory approvals. Shareholders of FirstBank will receive consideration in a mix of PNC stock and cash, totaling approximately 13.9 million shares and $1.2 billion. Advisors to the deal include Wells Fargo and Wachtell, Lipton, Rosen & Katz for PNC, and Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, and Sullivan & Cromwell for FirstBank.

For PNC, the acquisition cements its push into high-growth western markets, expanding beyond its strongholds in the Midwest and East. For FirstBank, it marks a new chapter, pairing its community-driven model with the capabilities of a national financial powerhouse. Together, the institutions are poised to reshape the banking landscape in Colorado and Arizona while reinforcing PNC’s growing influence nationwide.

Release – 1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc. Reports Fiscal 2025 Fourth Quarter and Year-End Results

Posted on by aweinsoff@channelchek.com

Research News and Market Data on FLWS

Sep 04, 2025

Reports Fiscal Year 2025 Revenue of $1.69 Billion and a Net Loss of $200.0 Million, which Includes a $143.8 million Non-Cash Goodwill and Intangible Impairment Charge

JERICHO, N.Y.–(BUSINESS WIRE)– 1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc. (NASDAQ: FLWS), a leading provider of thoughtful expressions designed to help inspire customers to give more, connect more, and build more and better relationships, today reported results for its Fiscal 2025 fourth quarter and year ended June 29, 2025.

“I’m excited to have joined 1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc. at such a pivotal moment. This is an iconic brand with products people love, but we haven’t fully lived up to our potential in recent years. Customer expectations are shifting, technology is moving fast, and competition is evolving. That creates real opportunity. We’re making the company leaner and more agile, putting the customer at the center of everything we do, and using data to make smarter decisions. We’re sharpening how we attract and retain customers, broadening our reach beyond our e-commerce sites, and modernizing the customer experience. At the same time, we’re driving operational discipline, efficiency, and accountability. These changes will position us to get back to growth, deliver a better experience for our customers, and create long-term value for shareholders,” said Adolfo Villagomez, Chief Executive Officer.

Fiscal 2025 Fourth Quarter Performance

  • Total consolidated revenues decreased 6.7% to $336.6 million, compared with total consolidated revenues of $360.9 million in the prior year period.
  • Gross profit margin decreased 290 basis points to 35.5%, compared with 38.4% in the prior year period, primarily due to a highly promotional sales environment and deleveraging on the sales decline.
  • Operating expenses increased $8.6 million to $174.8 million, as compared with the prior year period. Excluding non-recurring charges and the impact of the Company’s non-qualified deferred compensation plan in both periods, operating expenses declined $3.7 million as compared with the prior year to $159.7 million.
  • Net loss for the quarter was ($51.9) million, or ($0.82) per share, as compared to a net loss of ($20.9) million, or ($0.32) per share in the prior year period.
  • Adjusted Net Loss1 was ($43.8) million, or ($0.69) per share, compared with an Adjusted Net Loss1 of ($21.8) million, or ($0.34) per share, in the prior year period.
  • Adjusted EBITDA1 loss for the quarter was ($24.2) million, as compared with an Adjusted EBITDA1 loss of ($8.8) million in the prior year period.

(1) Refer to “Definitions of Non-GAAP Financial Measures” and the tables attached at the end of this press release for reconciliation of non-GAAP results to applicable GAAP results.)

Fiscal Year 2025 Performance

  • Total consolidated revenues decreased 8.0% to $1.69 billion, compared with total consolidated revenues of $1.83 billion in the prior year period.
  • Gross profit margin was 38.7%, which includes $6.6 million of costs associated with the new order management system implementation that was launched during the holiday season. Excluding these costs, gross profit margin declined 100 basis points to 39.1%, as compared to the prior year, due to a highly promotional sales environment deleveraging on the sales decline.
  • Operating expenses increased $120.3 million to $857.1 million, as compared with the prior year period. Excluding non-recurring charges and the impact of the Company’s non-qualified deferred compensation plan in both periods, operating expenses declined by $10.9 million to $695.2 million, as compared with the prior year.
  • Net loss for the fiscal year was ($200.0) million, or ($3.13) per share, which includes a $143.8 million non-cash goodwill and intangible impairment charge, compared with a net loss of ($6.1) million, or ($0.09) per share, in the prior year period, which includes a non-cash impairment charge of $19.8 million.
  • Adjusted Net Loss1 was ($52.5) million, or ($0.82) per share, compared with Adjusted Net Income1 of $11.6 million, or $0.18 per share, in the prior year period.
  • Adjusted EBITDA1 for the fiscal year was $29.2 million, as compared with $93.1 million in the prior year period.

Segment Results

The Company provides Fiscal 2025 fourth quarter and full year selected financial results for its Gourmet Foods & Gift Baskets, Consumer Floral & Gifts, and BloomNet segments in the tables attached to this release and as follows:

  • Gourmet Foods & Gift Baskets: For the quarter, revenues declined 3.6% to $101.4 million, as compared with the prior year period. Gross profit margin decreased 400 basis points from the prior year period to 26.0% on higher input costs and deleveraging on the sales decline. Excluding the impact of the severance costs in the current year, segment contribution margin1 loss was $19.0 million, compared with a loss of $14.4 million in the prior year period.

    For the full fiscal year, revenue decreased 7.2% to $810.9 million. Excluding the impact of the order management system implementation issues, gross profit margin declined 70 basis points to 37.6%. Excluding non-recurring costs in both years, segment contribution margin1 for the year was $58.8 million, compared with $85.0 million in the prior year.
  • Consumer Floral & Gifts: For the quarter, revenues declined 8.8% to $211.2 million, as compared with the prior year period. Gross profit margin decreased 230 basis points from the prior year period to 38.5% due to deleveraging on the sales decline. Excluding non-recurring costs in the current year, segment contribution margin1 was $17.4 million, compared with $25.7 million in the prior year period.

    For the full fiscal year, revenues decreased 8.6% to $776.8 million, as compared with the prior year period. Gross profit margin decreased 150 basis points from the prior year period to 39.3% due to deleveraging on the sales decline. Excluding the non-recurring costs in both years, segment contribution margin1 was $50.5 million, compared with $87.7 million in the prior year.
  • BloomNet: For the quarter, revenues declined 0.6% to $24.2 million, as compared with the prior year period. Gross profit margin decreased 280 basis points from the prior year period to 46.9%, due to higher florist fulfillment costs and rebates. Excluding the impact of the severance costs in the current year, segment contribution margin1 was $6.5 million, compared with $7.8 million in the prior year period.

    For the year, revenues decreased 8.4% to $98.7 million, as compared with the prior year period. Gross profit margin increased 30 basis points from the prior year period to 48.5%, benefiting from lower florist rebates. Excluding the impact of the severance charges in both years, segment contribution margin1 for the year was $29.3 million, compared with $33.8 million in the prior year.

Fiscal 2026

The Company is approaching Fiscal Year 2026 as a pivotal period of foundation setting. By transforming 1-800-Flowers.com, Inc. into a customer-centric, data-driven organization with clear objectives and ROI-focused decision making, the Company aims to position itself to support its multi-year Celebrations Wave strategy and fuel future growth.

The Company’s strategic priorities are focused on positioning the organization for long-term growth. These priorities include:

  • driving cost savings and organizational efficiency,
  • building a customer-centric and data-driven organization,
  • broadening our reach beyond our e-commerce sites into new channels, and
  • strengthening our team through enhanced talent and accountability.

With a renewed commitment to agility and customer-centricity, the Company believes these foundational steps will set the stage for sustainable revenue and profit growth in the years to come.

Conference Call

The Company will conduct a conference call to discuss its financial results today, September 4, 2025, at 8:00 a.m. (ET). The conference call will be webcast from the Investors section of the Company’s website at www.1800flowersinc.com. A recording of the call will be posted on the Investors section of the Company’s website within two hours of the call’s completion.

Definitions of non-GAAP Financial Measures:

We sometimes use financial measures derived from consolidated financial information, but not presented in our financial statements prepared in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”). Certain of these are considered “non-GAAP financial measures” under the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission rules. Non-GAAP financial measures referred to in this document are either labeled as “non-GAAP,” “adjusted” or designated as such with a “1”. See below for definitions and the reasons why we use these non-GAAP financial measures. Where applicable, see the Selected Financial Information below for reconciliations of these non-GAAP measures to their most directly comparable GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations for forward-looking figures would require unreasonable efforts at this time because of the uncertainty and variability of the nature and amount of certain components of various necessary GAAP components, including, for example, those related to compensation, tax items, amortization or others that may arise during the year, and the Company’s management believes such reconciliations would imply a degree of precision that would be confusing or misleading to investors. For the same reasons, the Company is unable to address the probable significance of the unavailable information. The lack of such reconciling information should be considered when assessing the impact of such disclosures.

EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA:

We define EBITDA as net income (loss) before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. Adjusted EBITDA is defined as EBITDA adjusted for the impact of stock-based compensation, Non-Qualified Deferred Compensation Plan (“NQDC”) investment appreciation/depreciation, and for certain items affecting period-to-period comparability. See Selected Financial Information for details on how EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA were calculated for each period presented. The Company presents EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA because it considers such information meaningful supplemental measures of its performance and believes such information is frequently used by the investment community in the evaluation of similarly situated companies. The Company uses EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA as factors to determine the total amount of incentive compensation available to be awarded to executive officers and other employees. The Company’s credit agreement uses EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA-related items to determine its interest rate and to measure compliance with certain covenants. EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA are also used by the Company to evaluate and price potential acquisition candidates. EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA have limitations as analytical tools and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for analysis of the Company’s results as reported under GAAP. Some of the limitations are: (a) EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA do not reflect changes in, or cash requirements for, the Company’s working capital needs; (b) EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA do not reflect the interest expense, or the cash requirements necessary to service interest or principal payments, on the Company’s debts; and (c) although depreciation and amortization are non-cash charges, the assets being depreciated and amortized may have to be replaced in the future and EBITDA does not reflect any cash requirements for such capital expenditures. EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA should only be used on a supplemental basis combined with GAAP results when evaluating the Company’s performance.

Segment Contribution Margin and Adjusted Segment Contribution Margin

We define Segment Contribution Margin as earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, before the allocation of corporate overhead expenses. Adjusted Segment Contribution Margin is defined as Segment Contribution Margin adjusted for certain items affecting period-to-period comparability. See Selected Financial Information for details on how Segment Contribution Margin and Adjusted Segment Contribution Margin were calculated for each period presented. When viewed together with our GAAP results, we believe Segment Contribution Margin and Adjusted Segment Contribution Margin provide management and users of the financial statements meaningful information about the performance of our business segments. Segment Contribution Margin and Adjusted Segment Contribution Margin are used in addition to and in conjunction with results presented in accordance with GAAP and should not be relied upon to the exclusion of GAAP financial measures. The material limitation associated with the use of Segment Contribution Margin and Adjusted Segment Contribution Margin is that they are an incomplete measure of profitability as they do not include all operating expenses or non-operating income and expenses. Management compensates for this limitation when using these measures by looking at other GAAP measures, such as Operating Income and Net Income.

Adjusted Net Income (Loss) and Adjusted or Comparable Net Income (Loss) Per Common Share:

We define Adjusted Net Income (Loss) and Adjusted or Comparable Net Income (Loss) Per Common Share as Net Income (Loss) and Net Income (Loss) Per Common Share adjusted for certain items affecting period-to-period comparability. See Selected Financial Information below for details on how Adjusted Net Income (Loss) Per Common Share and Adjusted or Comparable Net Income (Loss) Per Common Share were calculated for each period presented. We believe that Adjusted Net Income (Loss) and Adjusted or Comparable Net Income (Loss) Per Common Share are meaningful measures because they increase the comparability of period-to-period results. Since these are not measures of performance calculated in accordance with GAAP, they should not be considered in isolation of, or as a substitute for, GAAP Net Income (Loss) and Net Income (Loss) Per Common Share, as indicators of operating performance and they may not be comparable to similarly titled measures employed by other companies.

Free Cash Flow:

We define Free Cash Flow as net cash provided by (used in) operating activities less capital expenditures. The Company considers Free Cash Flow to be a liquidity measure that provides useful information to management and investors about the amount of cash generated by the business after the purchases of fixed assets, which can then be used to, among other things, invest in the Company’s business, make strategic acquisitions, strengthen the balance sheet, and repurchase stock or retire debt. Free Cash Flow is a liquidity measure that is frequently used by the investment community in the evaluation of similarly situated companies. Since Free Cash Flow is not a measure of performance calculated in accordance with GAAP, it should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for analysis of the Company’s results as reported under GAAP. A limitation of the utility of Free Cash Flow as a measure of financial performance is that it does not represent the total increase or decrease in the Company’s cash balance for the period.

About 1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc.

1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc. is a leading provider of thoughtful expressions designed to help inspire customers to share more, connect more, and build more and better relationships. The Company’s e-commerce business platform features an all-star family of brands, including: 1-800-Flowers.com®, 1-800-Baskets.com®, CardIsle®, Cheryl’s Cookies®, Harry & David®, PersonalizationMall.com®, Shari’s Berries®, FruitBouquets.com®, Things Remembered®, Moose Munch®, The Popcorn Factory®, Wolferman’s Bakery®, Vital Choice®, Simply Chocolate® and Scharffen Berger®. Through the Celebrations Passport® loyalty program, which provides members with free standard shipping and no service charge on eligible products across our portfolio of brands, 1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc. strives to deepen relationships with customers. The Company also operates BloomNet®, an international floral and gift industry service provider offering a broad-range of products and services designed to help members grow their businesses profitably; Napco℠, a resource for floral gifts and seasonal décor; DesignPac Gifts, LLC, a manufacturer of gift baskets and towers; and Alice’s Table®, a lifestyle business offering fully digital on demand floral, culinary and other experiences to guests across the country. 1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc. was recognized among America’s Most Trustworthy Companies by Newsweek for 2024. 1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc. was also recognized as one of America’s Most Admired Workplaces for 2025 by Newsweek and was named to the Fortune 1000 list in 2022. Shares in 1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc. are traded on the NASDAQ Global Select Market, ticker symbol: FLWS. For more information, visit 1800flowersinc.com.

FLWS–COMP
FLWS-FN

Special Note Regarding Forward Looking Statements:

This press release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements represent the Company’s current expectations or forecasts concerning future events; they do not relate strictly to historical or current facts. Such statements can generally be identified by words such as “anticipate,” “estimate,” “expect,” “project,” “intend,” “plan,” “believe,” “foresee,” “forecast,” “likely,” “should,” “will,” “target,” or similar words or phrases. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks, uncertainties, and other factors, many of which are outside of the Company’s control, which could cause actual results to differ materially from the results expressed or implied in the forward-looking statements, including, but not limited to, statements relating to future actions; the Company’s ability to leverage its operating platform and reduce its operating expense ratio; its ability to successfully integrate acquired businesses and assets; its ability to successfully execute its strategic priorities; its ability to cost effectively acquire and retain customers and drive purchase frequency; the outcome of contingencies, including legal proceedings in the normal course of business; its ability to compete against existing and new competitors; its ability to manage expenses associated with sales and marketing and necessary general and administrative and technology investments; its ability to reduce promotional activities and achieve more efficient marketing programs; and general consumer sentiment and industry and economic conditions that may affect levels of discretionary customer purchases of the Company’s products. The Company cannot guarantee that any forward-looking statement will be realized. Achievement of future results is subject to risk, uncertainties and potentially inaccurate assumptions. Should known or unknown risks or uncertainties materialize, or should underlying assumptions prove inaccurate, actual results could differ materially from past results and those anticipated, estimated or projected. You should bear this in mind as you consider forward-looking statements. The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update any of the forward-looking statements, whether because of new information, future events or otherwise, made in this release or in any of its SEC filings. Consequently, you should not consider any such list to be a complete set of all potential risks and uncertainties. For a more detailed description of these and other risk factors, refer to the Company’s SEC filings, including the Company’s Annual Reports on Form 10-K and its Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q.

View full release here.

Mortgage Rates Sink to 6.5% but Affordability Still Freezes Buyers

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Mortgage rates have drifted lower once again, hitting a fresh low for 2025, but the relief has yet to thaw an otherwise sluggish housing market. According to Freddie Mac, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate slipped to 6.5% this week, down slightly from 6.56% the prior week and the lowest level since October 2024. The 15-year fixed mortgage rate also moved lower to 5.6%. The decline extends a trend that has carried through much of the summer as bond yields fell alongside growing expectations that the Federal Reserve will soon cut interest rates.

Yet even as borrowing costs reach their most attractive levels in nearly a year, homebuyers remain cautious. Mortgage Bankers Association data showed purchase applications dropped 3% from the previous week, signaling that lower rates are not drawing many new entrants into the market. Refinancing activity, which tends to be more rate-sensitive, rose by just 1%, suggesting only a modest response among households looking to restructure existing debt. Brokerage Redfin described the current environment as one producing a “trickle, not a surge” of demand, with affordability challenges still weighing heavily on potential buyers.

The central issue remains housing affordability. Home prices, while cooling in some regions, are still elevated compared to pre-pandemic levels, and many prospective buyers remain priced out despite the recent dip in borrowing costs. Supply shortages also persist as homeowners who locked in ultra-low rates during 2020 and 2021 are reluctant to sell, limiting inventory and keeping prices from adjusting downward in a meaningful way. This lock-in effect continues to hold back mobility in the market, even as conditions grow more favorable on the financing side.

Attention now shifts to broader economic forces that could determine whether mortgage rates continue to ease. Treasury yields, which mortgage rates closely track, have been under pressure as investors reassess the path of monetary policy. The upcoming August jobs report will be critical in shaping those expectations. If employment data comes in weaker than forecast, markets are likely to bet more aggressively on Fed rate cuts, which could drive borrowing costs lower still. Conversely, a strong report could quickly reverse recent gains, sending yields and mortgage rates higher again.

Recent indicators suggest the labor market is losing momentum. Job openings in July fell to their lowest level in ten months, with fewer available positions relative to unemployed workers. Meanwhile, private payroll data from ADP showed the economy added just 54,000 jobs in August, underscoring the slowdown. Economists point out that while layoffs remain limited, the ability for unemployed workers to re-enter the job market has become more difficult, reflecting a gradual cooling rather than a sharp downturn.

For now, mortgage rates are at their most favorable point in nearly a year, but affordability barriers, limited supply, and broader economic uncertainty mean the housing market remains stuck in neutral. The next move may depend less on where rates are today and more on whether labor market weakness forces the Fed to deliver deeper cuts that could eventually bring real relief to buyers.

Release – FAT Brands Inc. Announces Return of Andrew Wiederhorn to Chief Executive Officer

Posted on by aweinsoff@channelchek.com

Research News and Market Data on FAT

09/03/2025

Mr. Wiederhorn will continue serving as Chairman of the Board while re-assuming day-to-day leadership as Chief Executive Officer 

LOS ANGELES, Sept. 03, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — FAT (Fresh. Authentic. Tasty.) Brands Inc., (NASDAQ: FAT), parent company of Fatburger, Johnny Rockets, Round Table Pizza, and 15 other restaurant concepts, today announces the return of Andrew (Andy) Wiederhorn as Chief Executive Officer. Effective today, Ken Kuick will be exclusively focused on his roles as Chief Financial Officer of FAT Brands and Twin Hospitality Group Inc. (NASDAQ: TWNP), and Taylor Wiederhorn will continue to serve as Chief Development Officer.

“I am grateful to both Ken and Taylor for their time as Co-CEO’s where they were instrumental in accelerating growth across our portfolio of brands,” said Andy Wiederhorn, CEO and Chairman of FAT Brands Inc. “I am thrilled to step back into the CEO role, building on our momentum and delivering on our strategic priorities—organic expansion, targeted acquisitions, increasing our manufacturing facility’s capacity and focusing on our balance sheet—to reinforce our position as a global leader in the restaurant industry.”

For more information on FAT Brands, visit www.fatbrands.com.

About FAT (Fresh. Authentic. Tasty.) Brands

FAT Brands (NASDAQ: FAT) is a leading global franchising company that strategically acquires, markets, and develops fast casual, quick-service, casual dining, and polished casual dining concepts around the world. The Company currently owns 18 restaurant brands: Round Table Pizza, Fatburger, Marble Slab Creamery, Johnny Rockets, Fazoli’s, Twin Peaks, Great American Cookies, Smokey Bones, Hot Dog on a Stick, Buffalo’s Cafe & Express, Hurricane Grill & Wings, Pretzelmaker, Elevation Burger, Native Grill & Wings, Yalla Mediterranean and Ponderosa and Bonanza Steakhouses, and franchises and owns over 2,300 units worldwide. For more information on FAT Brands, please visit fatbrands.com.

MEDIA CONTACT:
Erin Mandzik, FAT Brands
emandzik@fatbrands.com
860-212-6509

Primary Logo

Source: FAT Brands Inc.

Kraft Heinz Breaks Up: Split Marks End of Unfulfilled $45 Billion Merger

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Kraft Heinz is officially dismantling a decade-old experiment in consumer goods consolidation, announcing plans to split into two publicly traded companies. The breakup, slated for completion in the second half of 2026, will create one company focused on sauces and spreads and another dedicated to grocery staples and ready-to-eat meals.

The move reflects a growing trend among global consumer brands, which are abandoning the diversified conglomerate model in favor of sharper focus, simplified structures, and more direct accountability. For Kraft Heinz, the decision comes after years of lagging sales, weak innovation, and declining brand equity despite its stable of iconic products.

Investors reacted cautiously, sending shares down more than 7% in Tuesday trading. While the spinoff has long been anticipated, markets remain skeptical about whether separating the businesses can meaningfully address underlying challenges. Analysts suggest the split could unlock near-term value, but note that execution risks remain high, particularly as private-label competition intensifies and consumer preferences continue shifting toward fresher, healthier options.

The grocery division, which will include brands such as Oscar Mayer and Lunchables, will be led by current CEO Carlos Abrams-Rivera. The sauces and spreads business, housing household names like Heinz ketchup, Philadelphia cream cheese, and Kraft Mac & Cheese, will operate under new leadership yet to be appointed. Together, the two companies generated more than $25 billion in combined sales in 2024.

The separation is also the latest chapter in what has become one of the more disappointing large-scale mergers in recent memory. The 2015 tie-up of Kraft Foods and Heinz, engineered with backing from Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway and private equity firm 3G Capital, was initially valued at $45 billion. The strategy relied heavily on cost-cutting, but growth never materialized as hoped. Today, Kraft Heinz carries a market value closer to $33 billion, with shares losing roughly 60% since the merger.

Even Buffett, one of the original architects of the deal, has expressed regret over the outcome. While acknowledging that splitting the company could simplify operations, he suggested the decision is unlikely to fix long-standing performance issues without deeper changes. His investment firm recently booked a multibillion-dollar write-down on its stake in the company.

Strategically, management argues the breakup will allow each entity to prioritize resources, pursue innovation, and scale its most promising categories. The company estimates separation costs of up to $300 million, but believes efficiencies will offset much of the expense. Still, industry analysts caution that Kraft Heinz’s core problem—relevance with consumers—will not be solved by structural changes alone.

The decision comes as the packaged foods industry undergoes broad realignment. Rivals such as Nestlé and PepsiCo are also facing shareholder pressure to streamline portfolios and accelerate growth. Meanwhile, recent moves like Keurig Dr Pepper’s planned $18 billion takeover of JDE Peet’s illustrate how sector leaders are experimenting with restructuring to remain competitive.

For Kraft Heinz, the split represents both an admission of past missteps and a chance to reset its trajectory. Whether investors will ultimately view the move as a turning point or a temporary lift will depend on how successfully each business can adapt in a crowded, fast-changing marketplace.

Lucky Strike Entertainment (LUCK) – Throws A Curve Ball, But Delivers A Strike!

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com


Friday, August 29, 2025

Lucky Strike Entertainment is one of the world’s premier location-based entertainment platforms. With over 360 locations across North America, Lucky Strike Entertainment provides experiential offerings in bowling, amusements, water parks, and family entertainment centers. The company also owns the Professional Bowlers Association, the major league of bowling and a growing media property that boasts millions of fans around the globe. For more information on Lucky Strike Entertainment, please visit ir.luckystrikeent.com.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

A solid finish to the year. The company beat our fiscal Q4 revenue and adj. EBITDA estimates, culminating in a transitional fiscal full year 2025 with improving revenue trends. Total Q4 revenues of $318.0 million, beat our $292.0 million estimate, and adj. EBITDA of $88.7 million was better than our $83.0 million estimate.  

Improving revenue trends. Same store revenues, while down 4.1%, reflecting sequential monthly improvement from the down   6% in April, negative 3% in May and flat in June. Management indicated that same store revenue trends were up over 1% in July.  


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Sompo to Acquire Aspen in $3.5 Billion Deal, Expanding Global Specialty Insurance and Reinsurance Reach

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

In a landmark move that underscores its ambition to become a dominant global insurance player, Sompo Holdings, Inc. announced it will acquire Aspen Insurance Holdings Limited for $3.5 billion. The deal, structured as an all-cash transaction at $37.50 per share, represents a 35.6 percent premium to Aspen’s unaffected share price and signals Sompo’s determination to build a diversified property and casualty (P&C) platform with international reach.

Under the agreement, all outstanding Class A ordinary shares of Aspen will be redeemed for cash, while its preference shares will remain outstanding. Once complete, Aspen will be delisted from the New York Stock Exchange. The transaction has already been unanimously approved by both companies’ boards and is expected to close in the first half of 2026, pending regulatory approvals.

For Sompo, the acquisition is more than a geographic expansion. Aspen brings over $4.6 billion in annual gross written premiums and decades of expertise across specialty insurance and reinsurance lines, including cyber risk, credit and political risk, property catastrophe, casualty reinsurance, and management liability. Its Lloyd’s syndicate provides an additional foothold in complex and high-value global markets.

Strategic acquisitions have long been a part of Sompo’s growth plan to build a robust and diversified global P&C platform, and Aspen represents a strong opportunity at the right time in the market cycle.

Beyond underwriting, Aspen also brings an alternative capital advantage. Its Aspen Capital Markets (ACM) platform, which manages more than $2 billion in assets, allows third-party investors to provide capital for reinsurance risk, generating steady management and performance fees. In 2024, 80 percent of ACM’s income came from long-tail, non-catastrophe business, making it a reliable revenue driver. For Sompo, this fee-based income will offer both diversification and a tool to better manage capital volatility.

Aspen has worked in recent years to streamline operations, reduce exposure to volatile risks, and fortify its balance sheet. With a 2024 combined ratio of 87.9 percent and an operating return on equity of 19.4 percent, the company is entering the deal on strong footing.

For Sompo, the transaction aligns with its strategic targets of achieving adjusted ROE of 13 to 15 percent and EPS growth above 12 percent by fiscal year 2026. Management expects the deal to be immediately accretive to earnings and return on equity, while delivering cost and capital synergies across the group.

As global insurance markets face mounting challenges ranging from climate risk to cyber threats, scale, diversification, and access to alternative capital are increasingly vital. With Aspen in its portfolio, Sompo is positioning itself as a global leader capable of underwriting complex risks, supporting brokers and clients, and driving long-term shareholder returns.

Keurig Dr Pepper to Acquire JDE Peet’s, Creating Two Distinct Beverage Giants

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Keurig Dr Pepper announced plans to acquire European coffee powerhouse JDE Peet’s in a landmark $18 billion all-cash deal, signaling a major reshaping of the company’s portfolio. Once finalized, the transaction will split the business into two separate entities: a coffee-focused company combining Keurig’s single-serve pods with JDE Peet’s global coffee brands, and a soft drink company housing iconic beverages such as Dr Pepper, Snapple, and 7UP.

The deal is being framed as a strategic response to shifting consumer trends and mounting pressures in the coffee market. While the beverage segment has remained strong, Keurig Dr Pepper’s coffee business has faced challenges in recent years due to rising coffee bean prices, supply disruptions, and competition from store brands. By separating the two businesses, the company aims to allow each entity to pursue tailored growth strategies suited to their respective markets.

The new coffee company, projected to generate around $16 billion in annual sales, will be headquartered in Burlington, Massachusetts, with international operations managed from Amsterdam. Meanwhile, the beverage business, with roughly $11 billion in annual sales, will operate out of Frisco, Texas. This structural shift allows both companies to focus on specialized operational efficiencies and innovation. Keurig Dr Pepper executives expect that the coffee-focused entity will be better equipped to navigate global commodity pressures, including droughts in major coffee-exporting regions like Brazil and Vietnam, as well as newly imposed U.S. tariffs on Brazilian coffee imports.

JDE Peet’s brings nearly 50 coffee and tea brands from around the world, including France’s L’Or, Germany’s Jacobs coffee, and New Zealand’s Ti Ora tea. The company has demonstrated strong pricing power, with first-half sales rising nearly 20% to just under $6 billion, driven primarily by strategic price increases. Keurig Dr Pepper anticipates leveraging JDE Peet’s international reach and brand diversity to accelerate innovation and expand global market share.

In contrast, Keurig Dr Pepper’s soft drink division has outperformed in recent quarters, with sales rising 10.5% year-over-year to $2.7 billion, fueled by strong demand for flavored beverages. By keeping this segment distinct, management aims to maintain focus on profitable core brands while continuing to pursue growth in emerging beverage trends.

Industry analysts view the transaction as part of a broader trend among major food and beverage companies to realign portfolios. Similar moves in recent years include Kellogg’s spin-off of its snack brands and the acquisition activity by Mars and Ferrero, highlighting the increasing importance of market specialization in maintaining competitiveness.

The deal is expected to close in the first half of 2026, pending shareholder and regulatory approvals. Management changes are also slated: Timothy Cofer, CEO of Keurig Dr Pepper, will lead the beverage business, while CFO Sudhanshu Priyadarshi will oversee the newly formed coffee company. Executives emphasize that the separation will create two highly focused, growth-oriented companies, each with the agility to respond to consumer demand and evolving market conditions.

As consumer habits continue to evolve and commodity prices fluctuate, the split positions Keurig Dr Pepper to optimize value across both the coffee and soft drink markets, potentially unlocking growth and operational efficiencies that were harder to achieve under a unified structure.

Release – The ODP Corporation Forms New OMNIA Partners Agreement to Provide Hospitality Products and Services

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Strategic partnership accelerates ODP Business Solutions’ growth in hospitality sector

BOCA RATON, Fla.–(BUSINESS WIRE)–Aug. 25, 2025– The ODP Corporation (NASDAQ:ODP), a leading provider of products, services and technology solutions to businesses and customers, today announced a hospitality purchasing contract with OMNIA Partners through the ODP Business Solutions division, a reliable supplier of workplace solutions and services. OMNIA Partners is the nation’s largest and most experienced group purchasing organization for the public and private sectors. With this contract, ODP Business Solutions will provide members hospitality-focused products and services, such as high-quality linens, terry cloth towels, bathroom amenities and all other in-room supplies.

“Our growing collaboration with OMNIA Partners is a testament to our ability to support a multi-faceted and expansive customer base across the hospitality industry,” said David Centrella, executive vice president of The ODP Corporation and president of ODP Business Solutions. “Our solutions and services are as diverse as OMNIA Partners’ membership and their needs, making this an ideal partnership that expands our presence in the hospitality sector.”

Products and services supporting the hospitality industry represent a growing $16 billion segment, and OMNIA Partners members are a key part of this sector.

“Adding ODP Business Solutions’ products and solutions is a perfect addition to the OMNIA Partners portfolio,” said Jeff Gillmer, Senior Vice President of Private Sector Sales at OMNIA Partners. “Its high-quality selection of products and solutions and global supply chain will undeniably deliver greater value and savings to the organizations we serve.”

OMNIA Partners is advancing its presence in the hospitality segment by providing members with greater purchasing power, streamlined procurement, and access to high-quality, hospitality-focused products and services. This partnership underscores OMNIA Partners’ commitment to helping hospitality operators reduce costs, improve operational efficiency and elevate the guest experience.

About The ODP Corporation
The ODP Corporation (NASDAQ:ODP) is a leading provider of products, services, and technology solutions through an integrated business-to-business (B2B) distribution platform and omnichannel presence, which includes world-class supply chain and distribution operations, dedicated sales professionals, online presence and a network of Office Depot and OfficeMax retail stores. Through its operating companies ODP Business Solutions, LLC; Office Depot, LLC; and Veyer, LLC, The ODP Corporation empowers every business, professional, and consumer to achieve more every day. For more information, visit theodpcorp.com.

About OMNIA Partners
As your ally in the purchasing process, OMNIA Partners is dedicated to improving the way your organization identifies, evaluates and procures what they need at the best value. With free membership, you’ll gain immediate access to our portfolio of leading national suppliers as well as OPUS — our ecommerce platform where you can buy online and check product availability. Additionally, access to spend visibility, analytics, and guidance from subject matter experts collaboratively identify more strategic and efficient ways to procure. We are here to help you optimize procurement for your organization. Discover a better way to buy at www.omniapartners.com.

About ODP Business Solutions
ODP Business Solutions is a trusted partner with more than 30 years of experience working with businesses to adapt to the ever-changing world of work. From technology transformation, sustainability, innovative workspace design, cleaning and breakroom, and everything in between, ODP Business Solutions has the integrated products and services businesses need. Powered by a collaborative team of experienced business consultants, world-class logistics, and trusted brand names, ODP Business Solutions advances how the working world gets work done. To learn more about ODP Business Solutions, visit www.odpbusiness.com.

ODP Business Solutions is a division of The ODP Corporation (NASDAQ: ODP). ODP and ODP Business Solutions are trademarks of ODP Business Solutions, LLC. ©2025 Office Depot, LLC. All rights reserved. Any other product or company names mentioned herein are the trademarks of their respective owners.

FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS – THE ODP CORPORATION
This communication may contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements or disclosures may discuss goals, intentions and expectations as to future trends, plans, events, results of operations, cash flow or financial condition, or state other information relating to, among other things, The ODP Corporation (“the Company”), based on current beliefs and assumptions made by, and information currently available to, management. Forward-looking statements generally will be accompanied by words such as “anticipate,” “believe,” “plan,” “could,” “estimate,” “expect,” “forecast,” “guidance,” “expectations”, “outlook,” “intend,” “may,” “possible,” “potential,” “predict,” “project,” “propose” “aim” or other similar words, phrases or expressions, or other variations of such words. These forward-looking statements are subject to various risks and uncertainties, many of which are outside of the Company’s control. There can be no assurances that the Company will realize these expectations or that these beliefs will prove correct, and therefore investors and stakeholders should not place undue reliance on such statements.
Investors and shareholders should carefully consider the foregoing factors and the other risks and uncertainties described in the Company’s Annual Reports on Form 10-K, Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q, and Current Reports on Form 8-K filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The Company does not assume any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements.

Allison Wolfe
Media Relations
mediarelations@odpbusiness.com

Source: The ODP Corporation

Housing Market Gains Momentum with Rising Supply and Record July Prices

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

U.S. home sales showed signs of renewed momentum in July, offering a glimmer of relief for buyers and sellers navigating one of the tightest housing markets in years. According to data from the National Association of Realtors, sales of previously owned homes increased 2% from June to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.01 million units. That figure also marked a 0.8% gain compared with July 2024, defying expectations of a modest decline.

The pickup in activity reflects contracts that were signed earlier in the summer, when mortgage rates began to edge down from their spring highs. The average 30-year fixed mortgage briefly exceeded 7% in May but had retreated to around 6.67% by the end of June. That shift helped unlock demand from buyers who had been sidelined by affordability challenges.

At the same time, supply conditions continued to improve. The number of homes available for sale at the end of July climbed to 1.55 million, up nearly 16% from a year ago. That level represents a 4.6-month supply at the current sales pace, the highest since May 2020 but still short of the six-month threshold considered a balanced market. For prospective buyers, the increase in inventory has translated into more choice and slightly less upward pressure on prices.

Even so, home values remain stubbornly high. The median price of an existing home sold in July reached $422,400, a record for the month and 0.2% higher than a year earlier. That marked the 25th consecutive month of annual price gains, underscoring how persistent demand and limited long-term supply continue to shape the market. Still, with wage growth now outpacing home price appreciation in some regions, economists suggest the market could be approaching an inflection point where affordability begins to improve.

Regional and price-segment dynamics reveal additional shifts. Sales activity has been strongest at the higher end of the market, with transactions on homes priced above $1 million jumping more than 7% from a year ago. In contrast, sales of properties priced below $250,000 remained flat or declined, squeezed by limited availability and still-elevated borrowing costs. In the South, where condominium prices have fallen over the past year, demand for that segment showed particular resilience.

Market behavior also reflects growing participation from investors and cash buyers. Investors accounted for 20% of transactions in July, up sharply from 13% a year earlier, likely taking advantage of the increased supply. Meanwhile, 31% of sales were completed with all cash, compared with 27% last July. That unusually high share suggests that wealth from equities and housing gains is playing a greater role in the market.

Homes are also taking longer to sell. The typical property stayed on the market for 28 days in July, compared with 24 days a year ago. First-time buyers accounted for just 28% of sales, slipping from both June and the same month last year, reflecting the ongoing affordability strain at the entry level of the market.

Overall, July’s data points to a housing sector that is slowly recalibrating. Rising inventory and moderating mortgage rates are offering incremental relief, yet prices remain elevated, and demand is concentrated in higher price tiers. Whether the market has reached a true turning point may depend on the Federal Reserve’s next moves on interest rates and how quickly supply can return to more balanced levels.

Mortgage Rates Fall to Lowest Level Since 2024, But Relief May Be Short-Lived

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

U.S. mortgage rates dropped this week to their lowest point in nearly a year, offering a glimmer of relief for homeowners and prospective buyers navigating an expensive housing market. According to Freddie Mac data, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate slipped to 6.58%, down from 6.63% last week and the lowest reading since October 2024. The 15-year fixed rate also eased slightly, falling to 5.71%.

The decline comes as financial markets grow more confident that the Federal Reserve will cut benchmark interest rates in September. Although mortgage rates aren’t set directly by the Fed, they tend to move in tandem with expectations about the central bank’s future policy decisions.

Weak job growth in recent months and inflation figures that undershot economists’ projections have increased the likelihood of a rate cut. Traders now see a more than 90% probability of the Fed reducing rates by 25 basis points next month. That anticipation has already been factored into mortgage pricing, helping push borrowing costs lower.

Economists caution that borrowers shouldn’t assume today’s levels will continue falling. With much of the expected Fed policy shift already “priced in,” mortgage rates may hover in the current range rather than dropping sharply after the central bank makes its move. Some analysts even suggest volatility could return as new economic data on jobs, wages, and consumer spending is released in the coming weeks.

In other words, the window for buyers to lock in a rate in the mid-6% range may be limited.

For now, the latest decline in borrowing costs has sparked a modest uptick in refinancing activity. Applications to refinance existing mortgages rose 23% in the past week, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association. Purchase applications, however, barely moved, rising just 1% as affordability challenges continue to weigh heavily on potential buyers.

Even at 6.58%, mortgage rates remain well above pre-2022 levels, when many borrowers were able to secure loans below 4%. Combined with elevated home prices and limited housing supply, that means affordability remains stretched for first-time buyers in particular.

The direction of mortgage rates through the rest of 2025 will depend largely on how quickly the economy cools and how aggressive the Fed becomes in easing monetary policy. If inflation continues to trend lower and job growth slows further, rates could remain at the lower end of their recent range. However, any surprises in economic data could push borrowing costs higher again.

For now, borrowers considering a purchase or refinance may find this moment to be one of the most favorable opportunities since late last year.

SKYX Platforms (SKYX) – Revised Forecasts Reflect Phased Rollout, Long-Term Outlook Intact

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com


Thursday, August 14, 2025

Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Q2 results. SKYX reported Q2 revenue of $23.1 million, up 7.5% year over year and 14.7% sequentially. Gross margin expanded 190bps to 30.3%, supported by a favorable mix shift toward proprietary tech-embedded products. The adj. EBITDA loss of $2.6 million was slightly wider than our forecast of a $2.3 million loss but reflects underlying operating leverage as revenue scales.

Smart City partnership reinforces revenue growth trajectory. The company’s partnership with the $3 billion Smart City development in Miami’s Little River District positions it for sustained long-term growth. We expect the rollout to drive meaningful topline and branding impact over time, with strategic visibility among large-scale developers likely to reinforce future adoption of SKYX’s technology in both residential and commercial verticals.


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July CPI Report Keeps Fed in Tight Spot as Rate-Cut Debate Heats Up

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

A fresh reading on inflation in July has left the Federal Reserve facing a difficult policy choice: act quickly to support a cooling labor market or hold steady to ensure inflation returns to target. Core Consumer Price Index (CPI), which strips out food and energy, rose 3.1% year over year in July — above economists’ 3.0% forecast and up from 2.9% in June. On a monthly basis, core CPI increased 0.3%, matching expectations. Headline CPI rose 2.7% year over year, a touch below the 2.8% consensus.

The mixed picture — a slightly softer headline print but hotter core inflation — complicates the Fed’s September decision. Markets, however, have already swung toward loosening: futures traders are pricing in roughly a 92% chance of a 25-basis-point cut in September. That reflects growing concern about recent labor-market weakness and the potential political impetus for easing.

Employment data released earlier this month deepened that concern. The U.S. added only 73,000 jobs in July, the unemployment rate edged up to 4.2%, and May and June payrolls were revised sharply lower by a combined 258,000. The three-month average for job growth is now about 35,000 — a pace many economists view as consistent with a significant cooling in hiring. Those revisions have amplified calls from some quarters of the Fed to move sooner on rate cuts to cushion the labor market.

At the same time, services inflation, the historically stickier component of the CPI, moved higher in July after moderating earlier in the year. Certain goods categories such as furniture and footwear also showed renewed upward pressure. Because core CPI and core PCE (the Fed’s preferred gauge) tend to move together, the stronger core CPI reading raises the risk that core PCE will also show another above-target reading in coming reports, analysts say.

Policy makers at the Fed remain divided. Several regional presidents and officials have emphasized caution, arguing that elevated inflation — still more than a full percentage point above the Fed’s 2% goal on a core basis — counsels patience. Others have pointed to the softening employment trend as a compelling reason to begin easing policy soon. That split was evident in recent public remarks from Fed officials, who ranged from urging a patient approach to signaling readiness to cut if labor-market deterioration continues.

The White House has also weighed in, increasing political pressure on the Fed to move. That intervention adds another dimension to an already fraught decision, though policymakers stress their commitment to independence and data-driven decisions.

Looking ahead, the Fed will watch August inflation components closely along with incoming employment and consumer spending data. If services inflation continues to run hot, the case for holding rates rises; if job growth further weakens and labor-market indicators soften, arguments for a September cut will strengthen.

For now, the July CPI leaves the Fed between two difficult paths: risk undermining the inflation fight by cutting too soon, or risk further labor-market deterioration by waiting. The choice in September will hinge on the next tranche of inflation and jobs data — and on how policymakers weigh those competing risks.