Kelly Services (KELYA) – Move into Automated Solutions


Wednesday, April 05, 2023

Kelly (Nasdaq: KELYA, KELYB) connects talented people to companies in need of their skills in areas including Science, Engineering, Education, Office, Contact Center, Light Industrial, and more. We’re always thinking about what’s next in the evolving world of work, and we help people ditch the script on old ways of thinking and embrace the value of all workstyles in the workplace. We directly employ nearly 350,000 people around the world and connect thousands more with work through our global network of talent suppliers and partners in our outsourcing and consulting practice. Revenue in 2021 was $4.9 billion. Visit kellyservices.com and let us help with what’s next for you.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director – Generalist Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Expanded Product Offering. Yesterday, Kelly became the first staffing provider to deploy digital workers in addition to human workers. The Company announced the launch of Kelly Fusion Digital Workers, the first product in the Kelly Fusion suite of solutions that automate routine tasks and allow employees to focus on more meaningful work. Offered as a managed service solution, Kelly Fusion is expected to generate incrementally higher gross profit rates than the traditional staffing services business. Notably, Kelly already has already secured its first client win.

Kelly Fusion. Kelly Fusion Digital Workers are powered by the latest automation software and custom-built for Kelly clients to complete repetitive tasks. They can reliably manage data entry tasks and new-hire processes such as background screenings and onboarding procedures. Kelly Fusion Digital Workers ensure work is completed efficiently, increase compliance, reduce risk, save money, eliminate mundane work, and improve the overall employee experience.


Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Noble Capital Markets Annual Investor Conference – NobleCon – to be held at Florida Atlantic University December 3-5

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Noble Capital Markets Annual Investor Conference – NobleCon – to be held at Florida Atlantic University December 3-5

Boca Raton, FL, March 1, 2023 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — In a joint statement, Noble Capital Markets, Inc. (“Noble”) and Florida Atlantic University announced today that NobleCon19 – Noble’s 19th Annual Small Cap Investor Conference – will be held at the University’s College of Business Executive Education facility, Dec. 3-5, 2023, in Boca Raton, Florida. The 52,000 square foot, state-of-the-art facility was opened August 2020. 

Noble has worked with the University for over a decade and was instrumental in the development of their Financial Analyst Program, and Noble’s Intern Program has generated great assets with graduates from the University. “We are extremely proud of our long-standing relationship with Florida Atlantic University,” said Nico Pronk, Noble’s President & CEO. “This new collaboration certainly elevates it to a whole new level.”

Vegar Wiik, Executive Director of the College of Business, Executive Education agrees, stating “Our vision for the College and this magnificent structure is to effectively integrate our curriculum with established businesses. Daniel Gropper, dean of FAU’s College of Business, said the financial industry is an important, integral part of the economy. “I can’t think of a better way to expose our students to the importance of emerging growth companies than to have 100 plus executive teams in the halls of our campus,” he said.

The entire College of Business Executive Education facility will transform into NobleCon19. Each presentation room will accommodate investors, in tiered seating with personal monitors. High-definition cameras, full-room microphones (to capture audience questions), three large screens, and full webcasting capabilities will offer the most technologically advanced conference environment on the circuit. Attendees will also experience similarly equipped rooms for panel presentations, private breakouts, and meetings, and in large gathering spaces, both indoors and out, as well as 800 free covered parking spaces. Florida Atlantic University is centrally located in Boca Raton, off I-95, only minutes from the Boca Raton Airport, and less than half an hour from Fort Lauderdale International Airport. Privaira, located at Boca Raton Airport is the official private air charter company for NobleCon19. A wide range of hotel accommodations are available within a five-mile radius, from economy to the ultra-luxurious “The Boca Raton.” Noble will be working with several properties to offer NobleCon19 attendees discounted rates.

The format of NobleCon will include company presentations followed by fire-side chats with Noble analysts, and select one-on-one meetings for qualified investors only, as well as several industry panel presentations. On the networking side, Noble is planning for informative keynote speakers and live entertainment, in an effort expand the business day in a more casual, conversational environment. All company presentations and panel discussions will be digitally streamed and made available exclusively on www.channelchek.com – Noble’s proprietary investment community portal.

Who should attend? Public companies from any business sector with market capitalizations of below $3-4 billion. Private companies planning a capital raise, considering becoming public, or an M&A event. NobleCon19 will suit every level of investor; high net worth individuals, family offices, self-directed investors, private equity, RIAs, financial advisors, equity analysts, and institutional investors. www.NobleCon19.com

About Florida Atlantic University

Florida Atlantic University, established in 1961, officially opened its doors in 1964 as the fifth public university in Florida. Today, the University serves more than 30,000 undergraduate and graduate students across six campuses located along the southeast Florida coast. In recent years, the University has doubled its research expenditures and outpaced its peers in student achievement rates. Through the coexistence of access and excellence, FAU embodies an innovative model where traditional achievement gaps vanish. FAU is designated a Hispanic-serving institution, ranked as a top public university by U.S. News & World Report and a High Research Activity institution by the Carnegie Foundation for the Advancement of Teaching. For more information, visit www.fau.edu.

About Noble Capital Markets

Noble Capital Markets, Inc. was incorporated in 1984 as a full-service SEC / FINRA registered broker-dealer, dedicated exclusively to serving underfollowed emerging growth companies through investment banking, wealth management, trading & execution, and equity research activities. Over the past 39 years, Noble has raised billions of dollars for companies and published more than 45,000 equity research reports. www.noblecapitalmarkets.com  [email protected]

The GEO Group (GEO) – NYC NDRS


Friday, March 17, 2023

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 103 facilities totaling approximately 83,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director – Generalist Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

NYC NDRS. On Tuesday, we hosted GEO CEO Jose Gordo and CFO Brian Evans for a series of investor meetings in New York City. Questions at the well attended meetings focused on the Intensive Supervision Appearance Program (ISAP) and the core ICE detention numbers.

ISAP. Yes, overall numbers for the program are down from the December highs but GEO’s guidance takes the trends into account and even at the low end of guidance, the Company will generate the second best ever annual adjusted EBITDA number. While the number of enrollees in the SmartLink program has declined 12.5% from the year-end program highs, as a percentage of the overall ISAP enrollees, the SmartLink program now represents 88.4%, up from 78.7% at year-end.


Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Release – Kelly to Participate in the Sidoti Virtual Investor Conference

Research News and Market Data on KELYA

March 16, 2023

TROY, Mich., March 16, 2023 /PRNewswire/ — Kelly (Nasdaq: KELYA, KELYB), a leading specialty talent solutions provider, today announced it will participate in the Sidoti Virtual Investor Conference on Thursday, March 23, 2023.

Peter Quigley, president and CEO, Olivier Thirot, executive vice president and chief financial officer, and James Polehna, chief investor relations officer and corporate secretary, will participate in virtual one-on-one meetings. A copy of Kelly’s investor presentation is also available at kellyservices.com.

About Kelly®

Kelly Services, Inc. (Nasdaq: KELYA, KELYB) connects talented people to companies in need of their skills in areas including Science, Engineering, Education, Office, Contact Center, Light Industrial, and more. We’re always thinking about what’s next in the evolving world of work, and we help people ditch the script on old ways of thinking and embrace the value of all workstyles in the workplace. We directly employ more than 300,000 people around the world, and we connect thousands more with work through our global network of talent suppliers and partners in our outsourcing and consulting practice. Revenue in 2022 was $5.0 billion. Visit kellyservices.com and let us help with what’s next for you.

KLYA-FIN

ANALYST & MEDIA CONTACT: 
James Polehna
(248) 244-4586   
[email protected]

View original content to download multimedia:https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/kelly-to-participate-in-the-sidoti-virtual-investor-conference-301773596.html

SOURCE Kelly Services, Inc.

Grab Your Popcorn, AMC ‘APE’ Conversion Gets Shareholder Vote

Image Credit: CNBC (YouTube)

Will Adam Aron CEO of AMC Win the Long Awaited Battle?

Management of AMC Entertainment Holdings ($AMC) is holding the long-awaited special meeting at noon Eastern time, Tuesday, March 14. At this meeting, shareholders will vote the peculiar $APE shares that were paid out as a dividend to shareholders. The dividend shares that were announced with the message “Today we Pounce” from the CEO Adam Aron created quite a stir – they seemed to have been designed to root out fraudulent shares and challenge any naked shorts of the AMC common shares.

The shareholders’ opportunity is a decision of whether or not to increase the firm’s stock authorization and convert AMC Preferred Equity Units (ticker: APE) into AMC common shares ($AMC). It will also vote on a 10-for-1 reverse stock split that would only take place if the APE measure passes.

AMC management won an endorsement from the proxy firm Institutional Shareholder Services (ISS) for the reverse stock split and preferred stock conversion. Institutional Shareholder Services is a market intelligence and influence proxy voting firm, its endorsement increases the odds of management having their wish.

If approved, it would represent an important career win for AMC’s Aron, who has become a superhero of sorts to the meme stock investors that helped the firm through the pandemic. He has shown himself to be able to stay one step ahead of those that would profit if AMC stock falters. Some stockholders supporting the measure take this as a fight between weak and strong and good and evil where prevailing is the only option.

 In 2020 AMC Theatres lost $4.6 billion in sales due to Covid-related lockdowns and low attendance. Some powerful investors had shorted shares, many small investors grouped together and purchased the stock in droves, this created unexpected problems for the institutional short sellers that had large trades betting against AMC’s survival.

These investors caused the stock price to increase which allowed AMC to raise cash and survive and thrive.

The APE units, which represent one hundredth of a preferred share, have the same voting power of common shares.

Not all AMC shareholders are as supportive. Some are suing the company, arguing the APE sales decimated the voting power of common shareholders who might oppose increasing the firm’s share authorization.

Aron said during the fourth-quarter earnings call that if the vote falls short, the company could be forced to sell more APE shares at lower prices than a combined AMC share. On the same call he credited selling stock with helping the firm survive the lockdowns.

“We wouldn’t be blocked from raising capital, but we’d be raising capital on much less attractive terms,” Aron said. “It would cost more dilution to the stock that is entirely 100% preventable if a majority of our shareholders vote yes.”

The company has provided this link for livestreaming the March 14 meeting.

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

Sources

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1411579/000110465922092397/tm2223780d1_ex99-1.htm

https://variety.com/2021/film/news/amc-theatres-4-6-billion-loss-covid-1234927642/

https://investor.amctheatres.com/corporate-overview/default.aspx

https://www.barrons.com/articles/amc-ape-stock-price-shareholder-meeting-f412434d

What Investors Should Note About SVB’s Loss

Image Credit: Joe Shlabotnick (Flickr)

The SVB Loss Demonstrates A Risk Investors Should Pay Attention To

Individual investors and even some institutional money managers are reminded of a helpful truth from the Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) balance sheet problem. The reminder of the investment risk stands in conflict with what many top firms have been recommending to investors. So it should be revisited because, unlike banks, individuals and wealth managers tend to have a wider variety of places to look for return.

Bank balance sheet management is tricky. I say this with some credibility. In August of 2008, I accepted a role as the Treasurer of a mid-sized bank just two weeks before Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae were placed into conservatorship, and three weeks before Lehman filed for bankruptcy. I was responsible for quickly finding solutions for a big potential balance sheet problem. It was a problem similar to SVB’s. Depositors at the bank were taking money out at a faster pace than bank investments, including loans cashflows, could cover. Money that had not been committed to loans were invested in low-risk investment-grade fixed-income securities. It was nerve-racking, at one point, I calculated if any two of the largest ten customers withdrew all of their funds, the bank would not have the ability to cover the withdrawal. The pain that SVB is faced with is not dissimilar.

SVB is a bank that serves many fledgling companies during a period when capital and investment in start-ups have weakened from the days of easier money just a couple of years ago. Banks make money by borrowing short from customers (demand deposits, checking, and CDs) and then lend long, presumably at a higher rate. Here they make the spread that a typical upward-sloping yield curve provides. The main risk is in maturity. What happens if your longer-term loans were made at Fed Funds plus 2.50% two years ago when average deposit costs were 0.20%, since today Fed Funds are 4.50%? Your loans are paying the bank less than the bank’s cost to fund them with short deposits. This is a risk that all banks manage – balance sheet risk.

As deposits ran off at SVB because of business conditions in Silicon Valley, the bank turned to its investment portfolio to fund withdrawals. Securities in a US bank portfolio, when purchased, are designated at the custodian, by the Treasurer, either “Trading” which in this department of the bank is rare, “Available for Sale,” which provides the treasury department the ability to sell if need be, but also requires the assets to be priced at market (this impacts the banks valuation), or “Hold to Maturity” where the fixed income securities appear on the balance sheet at cost.  

If the securities are designated at purchase “Hold to Maturity” and the bank finds itself needing to sell any “Hold to Maturity” security, all securities marked “Hold to Maturity” become what regulators call tainted. The entire portfolio also becomes designated “Available for Sale.” This decision could dramatically reduce the bank’s book value in cases when interest rates have risen and bond values have dropped.

In the case of SVB, its securities portfolio, designed to earn more than deposits, was marked “Available for Sale.” When they sold, the market values were in such a lower position, from just a year earlier, that they recognized a dramatic loss. A $1.8 billion dollar loss which prompted its shares to lose more than half their market price.

Self-Directed Investors and Money Managers Should Note

The SVB explanation above, wernt a long way to remind that bonds, including US Treasury Notes have prices that rise and fall. They are different than equities, but price risk is real, and the $1.8 billion loss SVB recognized is front page proof. But since the beginning of the year many top-tier investment firms have recommended investors increase these fixed income investments and capture the new higher yields. Some even suggested ETFs in mortgaged-backed securities (MBS) or emerging markets (EM).

Goldman Asset Management is just one of the respected firms that have loudly suggested fixed income investments (CNBC, February 7, 2023)

Bond prices fall as rates rise. The Chair of the Federal Reserve, the same person that had orchestrated near zero rates, has clearly stated that the Fed will continue orchestrating higher rates. So while the stock market has been unattractive over the past 14 months, so have bonds. The difference, of course, is that bond math is absolute. As rates rise, the present value of any fixed-income security is calculated by the future value of future cash flow – this more or less determines the bonds price movement. For example,  if an investor buys a bond that yields 3%, and later rates go to 6% for the same maturity, the present value is about halved. This is a plausible scenario currently, with inflation near 6%.

Stock indexes have taken a beating over the past 14 months, just like bonds. The difference is rising rates sink all bonds. It doesn’t sink all stocks.

So while the S&P 500 is down 17% since January 1, 2022, and the Russell 2000 small-cap index is down 20%, one doesn’t even have to get out of the A’s to find AT&T (T) is up 4.15% in the same period, and Canadian Company Alvopetro (ALVOF) is up 43.6%). You won’t find this type of disparity in performance or direction on the fixed-income side. US Treasuries were down 10.5% for the period.

So from one perspective, stock selection may provide potential upside, whereas rising rates could mathematically sink all bond portfolio holdings.

Take Away

Silicon Valley Bank is in a unique situation as its customer base is not very diversified. The challenges they face may be similar to other banks, but this does not appear indicative of the whole sector based on recent stress tests. Banks are restricted in what they can invest in, with rates having risen, and promised to rise more, fixed-income holdings are at a loss in many portfolios, SVB’s need to raise cash caused them to recognize what was already a market loss.

Investors, however, can take a lesson from the loss the bank took. While I have seen articles this year suggesting capitalizing on higher interest rates, the ten-year US Treasury Note is well below its historical average (40-yr. avg.+5.17% vs 3.73% today). And rates are not even returning a real rate of return relative to current and expected inflation. This would indicate a period of likely market losses on bond holdings put on today.

A Stock, or portfolio of stocks, of course, may also present losses, but the odds that any particular stock, or even an index, would seem less certain than bonds.

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

Sources

https://www.gsam.com/content/gsam/us/en/advisors/market-insights/gsam-insights/2022/1q2023-fixed-income-outlook.html#section-#policy

https://www.investopedia.com/articles/economics/09/lehman-brothers-collapse.asp

https://app.koyfin.com/share/c85b10bfc6

https://www.federalreserve.gov/supervisionreg/dfa-stress-tests-2022.htm

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WGS10YR

The GEO Group (GEO) – Tracking Gets Easier


Thursday, March 09, 2023

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 103 facilities totaling approximately 83,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director – Generalist Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

New Tracking Device. Yesterday, a new five-year contract was awarded by Santa Clara County, CA to GEO’s subsidiary BI Inc. regarding the Company’s wrist-worn GPS tracking device, VeriWatch. It represents the first ever community corrections contract for the device. No financial details were given for the contract. We believe the contract presents a new opportunity for GEO, and we expect more attention towards the device as the year progresses. 

ATD Program. As we have noted, populations under the ATD program dropped in January to 324,554 at the end of the month from 376,031 at the start of the year. Uncertainty surrounding ATD populations drove the wide range of 2023 operating guidance from GEO’s management. Over the course of February, the decline slowed noticeably with populations at 293,167 as of February 25th, the latest data available.


Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

The Original Driver of Inflation has Sailed

Image Credit: Cycling Man (Flickr)

The Supply Chain Part of Inflation Can be Declared Dead, Now What?

New data shows the supply chain is no longer putting meaningful pressure on inflation — will rising prices finally sail off and stay there?  

Historically, the Global Supply Chain Pressure Index (GSCPI) is now on the low side. In fact, for the monthly period ending February 28, it’s below its 25-year average. What’s more, is this is the first time the GSCPI has released a below-average reading of supply chain pressure since August of 2019.

Data Source: NY Federal Reserve

This is significant as the supply-chain issues related to the pandemic, would seem to be transitory and are now no longer the issue. From March 2020 until this more recent report, consumers with easier money available, including stimulus checks, drove demand higher for goods. The suddenness of the onslaught of demand for goods caught the modern world’s “just-in-time” inventory management systems off guard. To make that situation much worse, lockdown policies slowed global production, and shipping and transport became entrenched in gridlock due to undermanned loading docks all under some level of new pandemic processes designed for health and  safety.

Inflation climbed as the price of shipping was bid up substantially, and shortages of products on shelves caused retailers to lessen demand by hiking prices. Some products, particularly new and used cars, experienced sharp price increases as supply chain-related shortages on automotive components such as computer chips and other parts became difficult to obtain.

Will Inflation Finally Recede?

An 18-month-long period of rampant inflation in goods, including vehicles, electronics, food, and sporting goods, (including bicycles for both indoor and outdoor use became unavailable) began to decompress starting in early 2022. The supply chains had slowly worked through the main causes.

Around this same period in 2022, inflation pressures began to build in services. As price hikes for goods lessened or backtracked, the cost for services, including wages, shot up. This is still fueling inflation today.

Often, the fear or expectation of rising prices drives inflation and vice versa. This may be the reason Fed Chairman Powell used the description “transitory” long past the period that it was obvious that inflation was likely persistent. If the Chair of the US Central Bank had suggested back then that we had a long-term problem, the worst of it may have arrived faster and been worse. Conversely, now that higher-than-target inflation is here, it makes sense for Powell to speak more hawkishly, this helps alter expectations of ongoing high rates of inflation.

With inflation primarily coming from services, the medicine for reducing the demand for human services is lessen demand, or even more difficult, increase the labor force. This is a bitter pill for the economy and creates an issue with the Federal Reserve which has two mandates, one to keep inflation modest and the other to maximize employment.

Take Away

The GSCPI is an indicator that the goods-based part of the economy has normalized. Inflation is still raging in services, which are barely tied to services. The hope is that the Fed can reduce the demand for higher and higher wages or perhaps bring more capable workers into the workforce. Another part of this plan may have nothing to do with tightening credit conditions. Talking publicly about being resolved to squash inflation also has an impact on expectations which will reduce the prices charged for service.

The initial battle, the one that kicked off the price hikes (supply chain), has ended, now we have to see how the rest of the Fed’s fight against inflation, both in policy and psychologically, plays out.

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

Sources

https://www.house.mi.gov/hfa/PDF/RevenueForecast/NewYorkFed_Global_Supply_Chain_Pressure_Index_Jan2023.pdf

https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/policy/gscpi#/overview

Kelly Services (KELYA) – Fourth Quarter and Full Year Results for 2022


Wednesday, February 22, 2023

Kelly (Nasdaq: KELYA, KELYB) connects talented people to companies in need of their skills in areas including Science, Engineering, Education, Office, Contact Center, Light Industrial, and more. We’re always thinking about what’s next in the evolving world of work, and we help people ditch the script on old ways of thinking and embrace the value of all workstyles in the workplace. We directly employ nearly 350,000 people around the world and connect thousands more with work through our global network of talent suppliers and partners in our outsourcing and consulting practice. Revenue in 2021 was $4.9 billion. Visit kellyservices.com and let us help with what’s next for you.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director – Generalist Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

4Q22. Revenue of $1.23 billion was down 1.3% year-over-year (up 0.7% in constant currency). We were at $1.25 billion. Kelly took a $10.3 million asset impairment charge related to its RocketPower acquisition during the quarter. As a result, GAAP EPS loss was $0.02 compared to EPS of $1.80 in 4Q21. Adjusted EPS for the fourth quarter was $0.18 versus $0.65 last year. We had projected adjusted EPS of $0.29.

Quarterly Drivers. Kelly saw top line growth in its SET, Education, and OCG business, and International, if we exclude the sold Russian operations from the y-o-y comparison. Once again, the gross profit rate improved in all five business units, a testament to Kelly’s specialty talent focus.


Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

The GEO Group (GEO) – Better Than Expected 4Q22 But What About 2023?


Friday, February 17, 2023

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 103 facilities totaling approximately 83,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director – Generalist Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

4Q22 Results. The run of exceeding expectations continued in the fourth quarter. Revenue for the quarter came in at $620.7 million, up from $557.5 million a year ago. Adjusted EBITDA totaled $145.5 million, AFFO was $0.58 per diluted share, EPS was $0.28, and adjusted net income $0.34 per share. In the year ago period, GEO reported $124.1 million, $0.66, $(0.41), and $0.38, respectively. We had forecast $603 million, $133.5 million, $0.54, $0.25, and $0.23, respectively. GEO’s results highlight the resiliency of the business model, in our opinion.

Electronic Monitoring Driving 4Q Results. GEO’s electronic monitoring segment saw revenue jump 89.3% to $149.8 million in the quarter, with segment operating income rising 89.6% to $85.7 million. While electronic monitoring populations have declined since the turn of the year, we believe electronic monitoring will remain a key arrow in government’s quiver to manage undocumented populations given the success of these programs.  


Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Preparing Students for the New Nuclear

Image: Student Santiago Andrade interning at Caterpillar

Not Your Grandfathers Nuclear Reactor – Educating the Needed Nuclear Talent Pool

Human infrastructure is critical to any industry. Building the foundations so a new or quickly expanding technology can begin to flourish requires foresight. This forward planning also requires schools to recognize a need, student interest, and old and new industries then understanding that internships are two-way streets that benefit both the young, and also the entrenched. MIT created a unique program for students in the field of nuclear power generation. Below is an article republished from their website on the success of one of their programs. – Paul Hoffman, Channelchek

Kara Baskin | MIT News

As nuclear power has gained greater recognition as a zero-emission energy source, the MIT Leaders for Global Operations (LGO) program has taken notice. Two years ago, LGO began a collaboration with MIT’s Department of Nuclear Science and Engineering (NSE) as a way to showcase the vital contribution of both business savvy and scientific rigor that LGO’s dual-degree graduates can offer this growing field.

“We saw that the future of fission and fusion required business acumen and management acumen,” says Professor Anne White, NSE department head. “People who are going to be leaders in our discipline, and leaders in the nuclear enterprise, are going to need all of the technical pieces of the puzzle that our engineering department can provide in terms of education and training. But they’re also going to need a much broader perspective on how the technology connects with society through the lens of business.”

The resulting response has been positive: “Companies are seeing the value of nuclear technology for their operations,” White says, and this often happens in unexpected ways.

For example, graduate student Santiago Andrade recently completed a research project at Caterpillar Inc., a preeminent manufacturer of mining and construction equipment. Caterpillar is one of more than 20 major companies that partner with the LGO program, offering six-month internships to each student. On the surface, it seemed like an improbable pairing; what could Andrade, who was pursuing his master’s in nuclear science and engineering, do for a manufacturing company? However, Caterpillar wanted to understand the technical and commercial feasibility of using nuclear energy to power mining sites and data centers when wind and solar weren’t viable.

“They are leaving no stone unturned in the search of financially smart solutions that can support the transition to a clean energy dependency,” Andrade says. “My project, along with many others’, is part of this effort.”

“The research done through the LGO program with Santiago is enabling Caterpillar to understand how alternative technologies, like the nuclear microreactor, could participate in these markets in the future,” says Brian George, product manager for large electric power solutions at Caterpillar. “Our ability to connect our customers with the research will provide for a more accurate understanding of the potential opportunity, and helps provide exposure for our customers to emerging technologies.”

With looming threats of climate change, White says, “We’re going to require more opportunities for nuclear technologies to step in and be part of those solutions. A cohort of LGO graduates will come through this program with technical expertise — a master’s degree in nuclear engineering — and an MBA. There’s going to be a tremendous talent pool out there to help companies and governments.”

Andrade, who completed an undergraduate degree in chemical engineering and had a strong background in thermodynamics, applied to LGO unsure of which track to choose, but he knew he wanted to confront the world’s energy challenge. When MIT Admissions suggested that he join LGO’s new nuclear track, he was intrigued by how it could further his career.

“Since the NSE department offers opportunities ranging from energy to health care and from quantum engineering to regulatory policy, the possibilities of career tracks after graduation are countless,” he says.

He was also inspired by the fact that, as he says, “Nuclear is one of the less-popular solutions in terms of our energy transition journey. One of the things that attracted me is that it’s not one of the most popular, but it’s one of the most useful.”

In addition to his work at Caterpillar, Andrade connected deeply with professors. He worked closely with professors Jacopo Buongiorno and John Parsons as a research assistant, helping them develop a business model to successfully support the deployment of nuclear microreactors. After graduation, he plans to work in the clean energy sector with an eye to innovations in the nuclear energy technology space.

His LGO classmate, Lindsey Kennington, a control systems engineer, echoes his sentiments: This is a revolutionary time for nuclear technology.

“Before MIT, I worked on a lot of nuclear waste or nuclear weapons-related projects. All of them were fission-related. I got disillusioned because of all the bureaucracy and the regulation,” Kennington says. “However, now there are a lot of new nuclear technologies coming straight out of MIT. Commonwealth Fusion Systems, a fusion startup, represents a prime example of MIT’s close relationship to new nuclear tech. Small modular reactors are another emerging technology being developed by MIT. Exposure to these cutting-edge technologies was the main sell factor for me.”

Kennington conducted an internship with National Grid, where she used her expertise to evaluate how existing nuclear power plants could generate hydrogen. At MIT, she studied nuclear and energy policy, which offered her additional perspective that traditional engineering classes might not have provided. Because nuclear power has long been a hot-button issue, Kennington was able to gain nuanced insight about the pathways and roadblocks to its implementation.

“I don’t think that other engineering departments emphasize that focus on policy quite as much. [Those classes] have been one of the most enriching parts of being in the nuclear department,” she says.

Most of all, she says, it’s a pivotal time to be part of a new, blossoming program at the forefront of clean energy, especially as fusion research grows more prevalent.

“We’re at an inflection point,” she says. “Whether or not we figure out fusion in the next five, 10, or 20 years, people are going to be working on it — and it’s a really exciting time to not only work on the science but to actually help the funding and business side grow.”

White puts it simply.

“This is not your parents’ nuclear,” she says. “It’s something totally different. Our discipline is evolving so rapidly that people who have technical expertise in nuclear will have a huge advantage in this next generation.”

Reprinted with permission from MIT News ( http://news.mit.edu/ )

Tokens.com Corp. (SMURF) – Riding It Out


Thursday, February 16, 2023

Tokens.com Corp is a publicly traded company that invests in Web3 assets and businesses focused on the Metaverse, NFTs, DeFi, and gaming based digital assets. Tokens.com is the majority owner of Metaverse Group, one of the world’s first virtual real estate companies. Hulk Labs, a wholly-owned Tokens.com subsidiary, focuses on investing in play-to-earn revenue generating gaming tokens and NFTs. Additionally, Tokens.com owns and stakes crypto assets to earn additional tokens. Through its growing digital assets and NFTs, Tokens.com provides public market investors with a simple and secure way to gain exposure to Web3.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director – Generalist Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

First Quarter Results. Total revenue for the quarter was at $151,848, an increase from the prior quarter of $101,235. We will be comparing quarters as Tokens.com has two new revenue streams, leasing and gaming revenue, which both did not occur last year. We estimated revenue at $105,000. Operating loss for Tokens.com was $566,525 versus $879,430 last quarter, and net loss was at $1.7 million, or EPS loss of $0.02, versus the prior quarter loss of $1.8 million, or a $0.02/sh loss.

Market Appreciation. The overall cryptocurrency market has seen an increase in total market cap over the last three months, as total market cap has risen to $1.05 trillion from $843.3 billion on November 15, 2022. This is an increase of $206.1 billion or 24.4%. If sustained, the rebound in the cryptocurrency market will be a positive for Tokens.com, in our view.


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Will AI Allow for Better Service, Higher Profit?

Image Credit: KAZ Vorpal (Flickr)

Will AI Learn to Become a Better Entrepreneur than You?

Contemporary businesses use artificial intelligence (AI) tools to assist with operations and compete in the marketplace. AI enables firms and entrepreneurs to make data-driven decisions and to quicken the data-gathering process. When creating strategy, buying, selling, and increasing marketplace discovery, firms need to ask: What is better, artificial or human intelligence?

A recent article from the Harvard Business Review, “Can AI Help You Sell?,” stated, “Better algorithms lead to better service and greater success.” The attributes of the successful entrepreneur, such as calculated risk taking, dealing with uncertainty, keen sense for market signals, and adjusting to marketplace changes might be a thing of the past. Can AI take the place of the human entrepreneur? Would sophisticated artificial intelligence be able to spot market prices better, adjust to expectations better, and steer production toward the needs of consumers better than a human?

In one of my classes this semester, students and I discussed the role of AI, deep machine learning, and natural language processing (NLP) in driving many of the decisions and operations a human would otherwise provide within the firm. Of course, half of the class felt that the integration of some level of AI into many firms’ operations and resource management is beneficial in creating a competitive advantage.

However, the other half felt using AI will inevitably disable humans’ function in the market economy, resulting in less and less individualism. In other words, the firm will be overrun by AI. We can see that even younger college students are on the fence about whether AI will eliminate humans’ function in the market economy. We concluded as a class that AI and machine learning have their promises and shortcomings.

After class, I started thinking about the digital world of entrepreneurship. E-commerce demands the use of AI to reach customers, sell goods, produce goods, and host exchange—in conjunction with a human entrepreneur, of course.

However, AI—machine learning or deep machine learning—could also be tasked with creating a business-based model, examining the data on customers’ needs, designing a web page, and creating ads. Could AI adjust to market action and react to market uncertainty like a human? The answer may be a resounding yes! So, could AI eliminate the human entrepreneur?

Algorithm-XLab explains deep machine learning as something that “allows computers to solve complex problems. These systems can even handle diverse masses of unstructured data set.” Algorithm-XLab compared deep learning with human learning favorably, stating, “While a human can easily lose concentration, and possibly make a mistake, a robot won’t.”

This statement by Algorithm-XLab challenges the idea that trial and error leads to greater market knowledge and better enables entrepreneurs to provide consumers with what they are willing to buy. The statement also portrays the marketplace as a process where people have perfect knowledge and an equilibrium point, and it implies that humans do not have specialized knowledge of time and place.

The use of AI and its tools of deep learning and language processing do have their benefits from a technical standpoint. AI can determine how to produce hula hoops better, but can it determine whether to produce them or devote energy elsewhere? If entrepreneurs discover market opportunities, they must weigh the advantages and disadvantages of their potential actions. Will AI have the same entrepreneurial foresight?

The acquisition of market knowledge can take humans years to acquire; AI is much faster at it than humans would be. For example, the Allen Institute for AI is “working on systems that can take science tests, which require a knowledge of unstated facts and common sense that humans develop over the course of their lives.” The ability to process unstated, scattered facts is precisely the kind of characteristic we attribute to entrepreneurs. Processes, changes, and choices characterize the operation of the market, and the entrepreneur is at the center of this market function.

There is no doubt that contemporary firms use deep learning for strategy, operations, logistics, sales, and record keeping for human resources (HR) decision-making, according to a Bain & Company article titled “HR’s New Digital Mandate.” While focused on HR, the digital mandate does lend itself to questioning the use of entrepreneurial thinking and strategy conducted within a firm. After AI has learned how to operate a firm using robotic process automation and NLP capacities to their maximum, might it outstrip the human natural entrepreneurial abilities?

AI is used in everyday life, such as self-checkout at the grocery store, online shopping, social media interaction, dating apps, and virtual doctor appointments. Product delivery, financing, and development services increasingly involve an AI-as-a-service component. AI as a service minimizes the costs of gathering and processing customer insights, something usually associated with a team of human minds projecting key performance indicators aligned with an organizational strategy.

The human entrepreneur has a competitive advantage insofar as handling ambiguous customer feedback and in effect creating an entrepreneurial response and delivering satisfaction. We seek to determine whether AI has replaced human energy in some areas of life. Can AI understand human uneasiness or dissatisfaction, or the subjectivity of value felt by the consumer? AI can produce hula hoops, but can it articulate plans and gather the resources needed to produce them in the first place?.

In what, if any, entrepreneurial functions can AI outperform the human entrepreneur? The human entrepreneur is willing to take risks, adjust to the needs of consumers, pick up price signals, and understand customer choices. Could the human entrepreneur soon become an extinct class? If so, would machine learning and natural processing AI understand the differences between free and highly regulated markets? If so, which would it prefer, or which would it create?