TROY, Mich., Oct. 27, 2022 /PRNewswire/ — Kelly (Nasdaq: KELYA, KELYB), a leading specialty talent solutions provider, will release its third-quarter earnings before the market opens on Thursday, November 10, 2022. In conjunction with its third-quarter earnings release, Kelly will publish a financial presentation on the Investor Relations page of its public website and will host a conference call at 9 a.m. ET.
The call may be accessed in one of the following ways:
Via Telephone: (877) 692-8955 (toll free) or (234) 720-6979 (caller paid) Enter access code 5728672 After the prompt, please enter “#”
A recording of the conference call will be available after 2:30 p.m. ET on November 10, 2022, at (866) 207-1041 (toll-free) and (402) 970-0847 (caller-paid). The access code is 6071439#. The recording will also be available at kellyservices.com during this period.
About Kelly®
Kelly Services, Inc. (Nasdaq: KELYA, KELYB) connects talented people to companies in need of their skills in areas including Science, Engineering, Education, Office, Contact Center, Light Industrial, and more. We’re always thinking about what’s next in the evolving world of work, and we help people ditch the script on old ways of thinking and embrace the value of all workstyles in the workplace. We directly employ more than 350,000 people around the world, and we connect thousands more with work through our global network of talent suppliers and partners in our outsourcing and consulting practice. Revenue in 2021 was $4.9 billion. Visit kellyservices.com and let us help with what’s next for you.
BRENTWOOD, Tenn. , Oct. 26, 2022 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — CoreCivic, Inc. (NYSE: CXW) (the Company) announced today that it will release its 2022 third quarter financial results after the market closes on Wednesday, November 2, 2022. A live broadcast of CoreCivic’s conference call will begin at 10:00 a.m. central time (11:00 a.m. eastern time) on Thursday, November 3, 2022.
Please note there is a new process to access the live call for those who wish to ask questions. To participate via telephone and join the call live, please register in advance here https://register.vevent.com/register/BId5639495ba264dd3b66eae4d5db8ced1. Upon registration, telephone participants will receive a confirmation email detailing how to join the conference call, including the dial-in number and a unique passcode.
Participants may access the audio-only webcast of the conference call from the Company’s website at www.corecivic.com under the “Events & Presentations” section of the “Investors” page. A replay of the webcast will be available for seven days.
About CoreCivic
CoreCivic is a diversified, government-solutions company with the scale and experience needed to solve tough government challenges in flexible, cost-effective ways. We provide a broad range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through high-quality corrections and detention management, a network of residential and non-residential alternatives to incarceration to help address America’s recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. We are the nation’s largest owner of partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities, and believe we are the largest private owner of real estate used by government agencies in the United States. We have been a flexible and dependable partner for government for nearly 40 years. Our employees are driven by a deep sense of service, high standards of professionalism and a responsibility to help government better the public good. Learn more at www.corecivic.com.
If the U.S. Was in a Recession, This Week’s Numbers May Show It Has grown Out of It
A big focus of traders this week will be positioning for the FOMC meeting next week and its announcement on Wednesday, November 2nd. Members of the committee that have commented in recent weeks have left little doubt that the Federal Reserve’s fight against inflation is continuing, and a 75 bp hike can be expected. Additional comments on monetary policy from Fed governors aren’t expected this week as there is a communications blackout period in effect (midnight Saturday, October 22nd through midnight Thursday, October 27th).
There will be global interest rate commotion as more rate hikes outside the U.S. are likely. The first is on Wednesday by the Bank of Canada, followed on Thursday by the European Central Bank. The forecast consensus for each is 75bp upward.
The conversation on Thursday may move from “is the U.S. going into a recession to, has the U.S. just come out of a recession?” While the first two-quarters of receding growth have never officially been declared a recession, the first look at GDP for the third quarter is out on Thursday, and it is expected to show growth during the quarter. If this occurs markets, the stock market could trade, either way, a sigh of relief that the economy is growing or fear that the Fed now has the room it needs to keep applying the interest rate brakes.
What’s on Tap for investors:
Monday 10/24
• At 9:45 AM Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) flash report will be released. Expectations are for the number to come in around 51.2. This leading indicator of economic activity is an early estimate of private sector output. It contains information from surveys of around 1,000 manufacturing and service sector companies. The flash data are released ten days ahead of the final report and are based on 85 percent of the full survey.
Tuesday 10/25
• At 10:00 AM, the Consumer Confidence survey will be released. Expectations are for a decline of 2.0 points to 106.0 in October, this would be after it exceeded expectations in September and August.
• At 10 AM, the Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index will be reported. The consensus is -3. Last month the report came in at 0.0, which was above the consensus estimates. The headline index number is a composite of the new orders, shipments, and employment indexes in the Richmond Fed’s manufacturing sector. It provides insight into the state of the manufacturing sector.
• At 1 PM, U.S. Money Supply is released for September. During August M2 rose by $1.8 billion.
• Noble Capital Markets will host a roadshow in St. Louis with Harte Hanks (HHS). Qualified Investors of all levels, including registered representatives, are welcome to attend at no cost, and with no obligation to invest. More information here.
Wednesday 10/26
• At 8:30 AM, International Trade in Goods (advance) will be reported. The consensus is for a U.S. trade deficit of 87.8 billion. This would represent a widening of more dollars spent purchasing goods from abroad than goods purchased from the U.S. The numbers may offer insight into the impact that the strong dollar has had on reducing demand for U.S.-made products.
• At 8:30 AM, Wholesale Inventories (Advance) for September are expected to have shown an increase of 1.1%. If inventories are growing fast relative to GDP, then both production and employment may have to slow down the road. And if inventories are lagging behind growth, there may be an undersupply to be made up for later.
• At 10:00 PM, New Home Sales are expected to show a rate of 585 thousand during September. This number surprised to the upside the previous period. The report is important to those trading securities as it indicates economic momentum, future demand for goods, and confidence in the ability to afford a big expense. New home sales multiply through other areas of the economy as new homeowners set their homes with furniture, appliances, and services.
Thursday 10/27
• At 8:30 AM, investors will get their first look at GDP for the third quarter. The number is supposed to show the first sign of growth in 2022. Consensus expectations are for growth of 2.3% during the third quarter. Stock market investors may wrestle with whether the good news is bad news or bad news is good news as the market finds a direction after this report and ahead of a rate decision the following week.
• At 8:30 AM, Durable Goods Orders are released. The consensus is for a .6% increase in the headline number and .2% ex-transportation. Durable goods are new orders placed with U.S. manufacturers for factory hard goods. The report also contains information on shipments, unfilled orders, and inventories. Investors get insight into how busy factories will be in the coming months. This is a leading indicator with direct implications for economic growth
• At 8:30 AM Jobless Claims are reported for the week ending 10/22/22. The expectations are for there to be 223,000 new claims. Surprises on one side or the other are important as healthy employment is one the Federal Reserve mandates.
• At 10:30 AM, The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) releases its weekly report on natural gas. Energy supply and demand balance impact prices of fuel that can ripple through the entire economy.
Friday 10/28
• At 8:30 AM, Personal Income and Outlays are reported. This report includes the PCE Price index that is considered to be the Feds preferred inflation indicator. The consensus for Personal Income is +.3%. The consensus for the PCE gauge is +.3% which would equate to a year-over-year inflation rate of +6.3%.
• At 10:00 AM, Consumer Sentiment is expected to come in at 59.7; the previous month the number reported was 59.8. Consumer spending accounts for 66% of the economy. Consumer appetite is a big influencer on investments. For stocks, strong economic growth translates to healthy corporate profits and higher stock prices. For bonds, the focus is whether economic growth goes overboard and leads to inflation.
What Else
It’s earnings season, and big market moves can occur should closely watch names miss their expected earnings numbers. On Tuesday this could include GE, Microsoft, and GM. Wednesday Ford reports, Thursday MacDonalds, Merck, Mastercard, and U.S. Steel. On Friday Exxon and Alliance Bernstein will make public their third quarter earnings.
Floridians Can Soon Stop at Convenience Stores for Milk, Bread, and Cannabis
Do you use Circle K as a convenience store or a gas station? How about marijuana dispensary?
There is something new afoot at the Circle Ks in Florida, and it may forever change the medical marijuana dispensary, business model. Today, Green Thumb (GTBIF), a national cannabis consumer goods company, announced plans to expand its medical, retail footprint in Florida. It’s doing this through a lease agreement with Circle K convenience stores, where it expects to launch and test its RISE Express dispensary brand at ten Florida locations.
Green Thumb Founder and CEO Ben Kovler is very positive about the potential, “The opening of RISE Express stores at Circle K locations is a game-changer. Convenience is a strong channel in retail, and people want more access to cannabis,” said Kovler. “The new RISE Express model is a huge step forward in making it easier and more efficient for patients to purchase high-quality cannabis as part of their everyday routine when stopping by their local convenience store.”
The products available at these retail stores will come from the company’s new 28-acre cultivation facility in Ocala, FL. Green Thumb entered the Florida market in 2018 and currently owns and operates medical cannabis retail stores in many parts of the state.
Potential for Growth
Florida state marijuana laws allow for use with a medical marijuana card but prohibit recreational use. According to the Florida Department of Health, over 700,000 Floridians are currently registered active cardholders in the state’s medical marijuana program.
The deal is a first of its kind, given that legal marijuana has only been legally available in stand-alone dispensaries in the US and within pharmacies in countries such as Uruguay and Germany. This could help mainstream the substance as people stop as part of their normal routines to buy staples and daily necessities. No additional stop will be needed if you’re getting milk, bread, gas or other drugs like Tylenol.
Some Circle K locations have already ventured into cannabis-derived products that have recently become mainstream. This includes CBD oils and products and Delta-8 items, which can give consumers a mind-altering high, but currently fall through a legal loophole because it is derived from hemp.
Take Away
It was not long ago cannabinoids such as CBD could only be found at vape shops and other mom-and-pop locations. Today, we expect them to be carried in convenience stores and even at our local chain grocery.
Will medical marijuana also become widely available, so consumers don’t have to make a separate stop in their daily routines? Green Thumb and Circle K will be breaking new ground on this front beginning next year.
Is Meta the Wrong Path for Facebook, or is it Just Ahead of its Time?
Not all ideas are good ideas, even when they come from billionaire tech start-up founders like Mark Zuckerberg.
Michael Burry, the legendary investor of “Big Short” fame, has been criticizing the social media giant’s metaverse strategy. Burry joins others in questioning why Zuck would change the Facebook formula and spend billions embracing something that is far from real. Many of Zuckerberg’s critics are other successful billionaires like Elon Musk and Mark Cuban. Other critics are investors that have endured Meta share’s 62.3% ($570 billion) decline since January.
Burry founded and manages the hedge fund Scion Asset Management. Burry tweeted a message that seems to say Meta management blew it – and suggests they have blown it by historic proportions by taking a deep dive into something that may or may not have legs – the metaverse.
Image: @BurryDeleted (Twitter)
You don’t have to have been alive in the mid-1980s to know what Burry was saying when he posted, “Seems Meta has a New Coke problem.” Any business school textbook lists Coca-Cola’s changing the formula of its best-selling product as the #1 lesson in corporate blunders. It was an expensive change that failed miserably and caused the company to revert back to its original product or risk losing a lot more ground against rivals.
A Sweet Refresher
New Coke was a much sweeter version of the Coca-Cola people had become accustomed to using to wash down their pizza slices, or a burger and fries. It was introduced by Coca-Cola in April 1985 during the cola war Pepsi was waging.
At the time Coca Cola was perhaps one of the most recognized brands in the world. But, Pepsi stole customers after it ran a few Michael Jackson commercials suggesting its sugar water was the “choice of a new generation,” and also backed it up with ads showing blind taste test preferences. Between the taste test science and everyone wanting to be more like Michael Jackson, Coke lost market share. Coke reacted by reformulating its product and did its own blind side-by-side tests that indicated that consumers seemed to prefer the new sweeter taste, similar to Pepsi. The company then decided to market the reformulated recipe – New Coke was born.
Max Headroom was the spokesman for New Coke, Like the Grand Canyon (Flickr)
New Coke was introduced in April 1985, and within weeks they were receiving 5,000 angry calls a day. The number grew from there. Seventy-nine days after their initial announcement, Coca-Cola held a press conference in July 1985 to offer a mea culpa and announce the return of the original Coca-Cola “classic” formula.
Will Zuckerberg Relent?
So far, Facebook, I mean Meta, still wants to identify as a metaverse company, despite there being very few metaverse customers. The company is making sure users have accessories available and just unveiled a new virtual reality headset selling for $1,500 called the Meta Quest Pro. Zuckerberg says lower priced, presumably not “pro,” will follow ($300-$500 zone).
When one has built a business from a college dorm, a garage, or their mother’s basement, and it attains the kind of growth that Facebook, Apple, Amazon, or others have, it’s hard to keep growing at the pace investors and other onlookers have become accustomed to. This leads to a scenario where investors are exposed to a risk best described as the bigger they are, the farther they have to fall.
And Facebook has fallen, not just in dollar value, but in ranking among its peers. Does this mean Zuckerberg is not right? The game isn’t over, and there aren’t many of us that can say, with honesty, that we are more forward-looking or have more luck than Zuck.
Is Michael Burry Right?
There is a whole universe of stocks beyond metaverse investments. Huge successful companies like Facebook or even Coca-Cola have ample resources to build and grow but lose nimbleness and growth potential, unlike the potential smaller companies enjoy. Huge companies are also more likely to have a “say yes to the boss, and you’ll be rewarded” culture, rather than a small company culture which is more “show the boss you can make them money, and you’ll be rewarded” culture.
Zuckerberg and Meta may very well be moving forward with a mistake that could be enshrined in textbooks years from now. However, like Coke, they may find that if it’s a lemon, they can make lemonade. Coca-Cola emerged from the brief departure from their main product strengthened as consumers discovered what life was like without their favorite soft drink.
Take Away
Michael Burry is worth paying attention to. He thinks differently and has been correct enough to always listen. The metaverse is new; does this mean it won’t grow and become something only a visionary like Mark Zuckerberg can imagine? It has been an expensive and slow start. I suspect Facebook was much less expensive to get off the ground, and adoption also required ancillary products to be useable by the masses.
A lesson investors should remember from this is how difficult it is for large companies to grow from their current offerings and huge corporate base.
Channelchek is a platform created to help investors uncover the next Apple, the next Moderna, or the next Facebook. It’s a resource to dig deeper into these less celebrated fledgling opportunities and to leave investors with enough understanding to decide whether they should take their own action by buying stock and becoming an owner of something with greater than average potential.
Elon Musk Argues Twitter is Better off Without a Board of Directors – Is He Right?
After a wild ride, it looks like Elon Musk’s bid to buy Twitter will move ahead.
Twitter’s board of directors had sued the Tesla billionaire in July 2022 when Musk tried to terminate the US$44 billion deal. The board has yet to drop its lawsuit to force Musk to complete the buyout, while many parts have been thrown out.
The board has in fact been at the center of this saga since the beginning, when Musk launched his hostile takeover bid while criticizing board members for owning almost no shares of the company they oversee. Twitter founder Jack Dorsey called the board the “dysfunction of the company.”
This article was republished with permission from The Conversation, a news site dedicated to sharing ideas from academic experts. It represents the research-based findings and thoughts of Michael Withers, Associate Professor of Business, Texas A&M University, Steven Boivie, Professor of Management, Texas A&M University.
As experts on corporate governance, we believe this feud raised two important corporate governance questions: What purpose does a board of directors serve? And does it matter if a member owns company stock or not?
‘A Bad Board Will Kill’
“Good boards don’t create good companies, but a bad board will kill a company every time.”
Venture capitalist Fred Destin wrote that in 2018, citing what he called an “old Silicon Valley proverb.” The quote has been making the rounds on Twitter recently in light of Musk’s hostile bid. It even seemed to get a nod from Dorsey himself when he replied to a tweet containing the quote with “big facts.”
This tweet and the general conversation that has emerged have important implications for understanding boards and their role in shepherding a company.
Broadly speaking, a board’s most important roles include hiring, paying and monitoring the chief executive officer.
Academic research suggests that board members at large companies – who typically receive generous compensation packages – may be limited in their ability to perform these tasks effectively. In our work, we found that boards often find it impossible to conduct adequate monitoring and rein in wayward CEOs because there’s just so much information for modern boards to process with their limited time. And the social dynamics involved in the board also make it difficult for directors to speak up and oppose other directors.
In a separate study involving face-to-face interviews with directors, we were consistently told that directors take their board service seriously and operate with their companies’ best interests in mind. But they do so with an eye toward collaborating with the CEO and the rest of the executive team rather than serving as impartial observers, as their “independent” status suggests they should.
While our work didn’t focus on this, if the board and the CEO fundamentally disagree about the direction of company – which was often the case between Dorsey and the Twitter board – it would certainly be problematic and could lead to less than optimal decisions being made.
In other words, a board that isn’t functioning effectively can definitely destroy a company’s value. And some reporting suggests that’s what happened to Twitter, whose shares were trading at less than half their 2021 peak before Musk disclosed he had amassed a 9% ownership stake.
A Raider’s Lament
That brings us to the next question: Does not owning a significant stake in a company you oversee make it more likely that you’ll run it into the ground, as Musk seemed to suggest?
A few days after making his takeover offer on April 14, the billionaire, responding to a tweet showing how few shares Twitter board members own, posted that its directors’ “economic interests are simply not aligned with shareholders.”
Musk’s arguments harked back to takeover bids from the 1980s in which activist investors – or “corporate raiders” – would argue that executives’ interests did not align with those of shareholders. As Gordon Gekko from the film “Wall Street” famously railed against executives of a business he wanted to take over, “Today, management has no stake in the company!”
Musk’s words echo Gekko’s “greed is good” speech, except in regard to independent directors, who comprise the vast majority of corporate boards. By definition, an independent or outside director is one who doesn’t hold an executive role in running the company, such as chief executive officer or chief financial officer.
In reality, Twitter’s board share ownership is very similar to that of other companies.
Independent Twitter directors held a median ownership stake of 0.003% as of May 2022. For comparison, we looked at equity ownership of independent directors of companies listed in the S&P 500 stock index in 2021. We found the median stake was less than 0.01%, and all but a handful of directors held less than 1% of the company’s stock. Median ownership at Musk’s company Tesla is similarly minuscule, at 0.23%.
Whether this makes a difference to a company’s success is hard to assess because research on the topic is rather sparse, in large part because board members have so little equity.
Mixed Research
Academic researchers on effective corporate governance in the 1970s argued that outside directors should avoid owning many shares in the companies they oversee to maintain objectivity. More recently, management scholars have suggested that higher stakes could provide a way to motivate directors to monitor management and make decisions more in line with shareholder interests.
Some researchers have found that boards with larger ownership stakes can improve a company’s operational performance and better align outside directors with the interests of shareholders.
But other work that examined multiple studies shows the impact of director stock ownership is mixed at best, with some studies suggesting higher stakes potentially lead to negative outcomes, such as excessive executive and director compensation.
Since the passage of the Sarbanes–Oxley Act of 2002 after massive accounting scandals at Enron, WorldCom and elsewhere, corporate governance issues such as board oversight have become increasingly important. This led to a number of changes intended to align the interests of managers and those of shareholders, including a focus on board independence and adjusting executive compensation.
Although our research shows boards are limited in their ability to monitor management, they’re still better than nothing.
In his original letter to shareholders announcing his bid, Musk vowed to “unlock” Twitter’s potential as a private company, without a public board. We may finally learn if he’s right.
Elon Musk’s Hair-Brained Ideas are Very Marketable
If your last name was Musk and one of your companies created a perfume, what would you name it? Perhaps Eau de Elon, or S3XY, an outlandish guess would be Neurastink, or simply Elon’s Musk. Here’s a hint, Musk’s perfume is a product of The Boring Company, the company that builds tunnels to enable rapid point-to-point transportation. Before this fragrance thrower, the company’s only other product was a flame thrower. So naturally, the company decided to call their new perfume, Burnt Hair. And it has already sold $1,000,000 worth.
Image: The Boring Company
A bottle of what his company referred to as ‘the essence of repugnant desire,’ will set you back about Ð1,666 or $100 USD. That’s if you buy it online. There is now an Ebay aftermarket where resellers are looking to fetch up to Ð16,666 for the product that was only released this week – 10,000 bottles of Burnt Hair have already been sold as of Wednesday morning.
“Just like leaning over a candle at the dinner table, but without all the hard work” – Boring Company Website
Image: The Boring Company
When he’s not tunneling, launching rockets, reinventing things on four wheels, neuralinking, or tweeting, Musk does keep busy with other strokes of brilliance. Did you know that in 2020 Tesla (TSLA) launched its own brand of tequila? That year Tesla, the world’s most valuable automaker, also offered limited edition satin short-shorts.
Image Credit: Tesla
It isn’t clear what the inspiration was for this new product entry; developing a perfume that has earned revenue of $1,000,000 within a couple of days of launch is quite a feat, although certainly easier than colonizing Mars, and buying a microblogging social media company. Two things on Musk’s To-Do list that he seems to have fallen behind on.
The Boring Company product page doesn’t say whether the fragrance is a limited edition item – just in time for Halloween or a long-term offering from The Boring Company. Something more exciting than a company that usually just sells holes in the ground.
The Connection Between Producer Price (PPI) and Consumer Price (CPI) Inflation
Does a higher PPI mean a higher CPI? A newly released report shows U.S. suppliers raised prices by 0.4% in September from August, when the Producer Price Index report had shown a 0.2% drop. The inflation measure that has impacted the stock market most severely this year is the Consumer Price Index. The two Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) releases are related but not directly correlated and are often used to measure different things by economists and those in industry.
The PPI rose 8.5% in September from a year before, down from its 8.7% annual increase in August and 11.3% in June. – BLS
How CPI and PPI are Different
The PPI for personal consumption includes all marketable production sold by U.S.-domiciled businesses for personal consumption. The majority of the products sold by domestic producers come from non-governmental sectors. However, government produces some marketable output that is under the PPI umbrella. In contrast to the PPI’s components, CPI includes goods and services provided by businesses or governments when direct costs to the consumer are levied.
The most heavily weighted item in CPI is rent. It’s weighted at 24% of the index. What the BLS calls owners’ equivalent rent is the implied rent occupants would have to pay if they were renting their homes. This is how the Bureau of Labor Statistics captures the cost of housing for owner-occupied and rented housing. This heavily weighted component is not in PPI – obviously, owners’ equivalent rent is not a domestically produced output.
The PPI for personal consumption and the CPI also differ in their treatment of imports. The CPI includes, within its basket, goods and services purchased by domestic consumers and therefore includes imports. The PPI, in contrast, does not include imports because imports are, by definition, not produced by domestic firms.
How PPI Impacts CPI
The PPI trends often work their way into consumer price movements, but not at a one-to-one basis or even a standard delayed interval. The demand component of consumer’s impact, what the consumers are willing to consume at certain price levels, is at play with what is charged for goods at the retail level. So even if the cost to manufacture goods has risen, passing the cost on is not always possible without hurting sales. At some level of price increases, demand decreases. This is different for each type of product. For instance, food, medical care, and housing may not be impacted as much as recreation, clothing, and other items which are easier to put off or do without.
Companies are trying to manage higher costs without alienating consumers who are weary of price increases. So far in the 2022 U.S. economy, consumer spending has remained strong despite the rate of CPI, but economists worry that we’re approaching a tipping point.
The Fed has raised the benchmark federal funds rate at its last three meetings by 0.75 percentage points, it now sits in the range of 3% and 3.25%. Officials have indicated they are prepared to raise rates over the course of their final two gatherings this year to around 4.25%.
Today, with consumer inflation running at a four-decade high and savings measurements trending lower, consumers are expected to begin to change buying habits. This overall is bad for business and the economy, which is why the Federal Reserve is expected to continue its fight against price increases, despite their lack of popularity with the financial markets.
“Monetary policy will be restrictive for some time to ensure that inflation moves back” Fed Vice Chair Lael Brainard (October 10).
Prices have begun to fall for some goods and services, including commodities, freight shipping, and housing. Those declines have led some Fed watchers to warn that the central bank risks tightening financial conditions too much.
Take Away
Increases in producer prices are passed to consumers when they can be. However, there is only so much a consumer is willing to pay for a purchase they can put off or substitute for something cheaper. This has ramifications for investors.
Companies where demand will wain when prices rise, may find earnings weaken; these could include producers of discretionary goods. Stocks that are shares of consumer staple companies may not feel the brunt of consumer pushback; those that produce more cost-effective brands, including white label providers, may outshine their brand name competitors if consumers increase their substituting for lower priced alternatives. Health care is one area where demand changes little as prices change at the producer or consumer level.
Why Blockchain Could Mean Fewer Hassles for Students and Workers Proving their Credentials
Microcredentials — attestations of proficiency in a specific skill or knowledge base that are certified by an authority — can provide evidence of a person’s skills to employers.
While microcredentials are becoming more popular, the concept is hardly new: A driver’s license or the St. John Ambulance certificate could be considered as microcredentials, attesting respectively to a person’s driving skill or their competency in administering first aid.
Blockchain technology is appropriate for microcredential implementation. Blockchain can best be described as a digital ledger that records information that can be shared among a community of users. Bitcoin and other crypto-currencies are the best-known examples of blockchain, but blockchain has uses beyond financial transactions.
Student records stored in blockchain for security limit access only to legitimate users, such as institutional administrators and potential employers selected by students or job seekers. Traditionally, institutions own and control certifications like degrees, but that could shift with “digital degrees” and microcredentials that rely on blockchain.
Verifying Accomplishments
Besides providing effective security and privacy for users, blockchain can also facilitate the maintenance and dissemination of the credentials, while ensuring that access is readily available for students under their control.
Because of its immutability, blockchain can be used to attest to and verify students’ accomplishments. This is important for students seeking to have their credits recognized, whether because they are studying to obtain new professional accreditation, studying in multiple institutions or because they are moving for study or employment.
Blockchain is distributed, meaning that multiple copies of the same information are stored on different computers. So, blockchain is not controlled by any central authority and the “blocks” in the “chain,” linked chronologically, are shared in a P2P (peer-to-peer) network, which can be accessed from any node or point on the network.
These blocks are immutable, as any change to the original leaves the first iteration intact and accessible.
When students or job seekers want to have credits transferred between institutions, gatekeepers — for example, post-secondary institutions or employers — typically insist on receiving copies of diplomas and degrees directly from each institution. As more students gain credentials from multiple institutions, this process becomes increasingly untenable.
Students need to control this process and blockchain can provide a solution.
Securely Validates Learning
In 2019, McMaster University announced it was awarding “digital degrees” using blockchain to Faculty of Engineering students after the university implemented microcredentials using blockchain to securely validate students’ learning.
Some post-secondary institutions are implementing pilot projects with eCampus Ontario and industry partners to award microcredentials using blockchain.
Microcredentials are now offered by post-secondary institutions, sometimes in partnership with corporations to target labor market needs. These may come in the form of “digital badges.” Digital badges are easily verifiable testaments to when, where and how skills have been mastered. Metadata in digital badges allows viewers to click on the badge to learn things like criteria for earning the badge, the date it was issued or when it expires.
Maintaining Privacy of Data
Certification by blockchain begins when a trusted institution issues the microcredential and creates a blockchain. The student then sends a public key password to the institution, requesting a transcript be sent to a potential employer.
The institution then adds a block onto the blockchain and sends the micro-credential, which is verified and forwarded to the potential employer. The learners can keep private keys to their credentials in an offline digital wallet.
Maintaining the privacy of the data is essential. With blockchain, the ownership of the microcredential rests with the individual, not the institution.
Blockchain supports more control for students and has the capability of further democratizing education. It empowers students to maintain control of their now-secure credentials and allows them to be confident their acquired skills and knowledge will be valued.
Potential Concerns
However, there are some ethical and logistical concerns. Right now, when a person seeks to transfer credits through traditional channels, they can choose which documents or certifications to share with employers: mistakes or aspects of one’s past credentials and experience deemed less salient or undesirable can be addressed or ignored.
But blockchain is immutable and this immutability can cause its own problems when mistakes cannot be erased.
Students cannot omit blocks from the chain that they do not feel are appropriate or that could damage their reputation. So, how can they create different narratives for diverse purposes or highlight and/or hide different experiences? What happens if someone wants or needs to start anew? Is there a right to forget?
What if a student loses their key? The New York Times reports that lost passwords have locked millionaires out of their bitcoin fortunes. Will students and workers fare any better when it comes to academic and professional records? Who will respond to these problems within institutions?
These are questions post-secondary institutions and our society at large will increasingly need to navigate.
This article was republished with permission from The Conversation, a news site dedicated to sharing ideas from academic experts. It represents the research-based findings and thoughts of Rory McGreal, Professor and UNESCO/ICDE Chair in Open Educational Resources, Athabasca University.
Potential for a Change in Sentiment if Suprised by this Week’s FOMC Minutes, Jobs, and Inflation
When the world’s trading partners move interest rates in concert with each other, their actions are much smoother, this is because currency flows, which influence exchange rates, are less inclined to reprice dramatically. The U.S. has been comparatively aggressive in raising rates. This is part of why the Bank of England (BOE) shoring up its bond market, and the Japanese hawkish hesitancy has created disruptions and a historically strong U.S. dollar.
This week begins with Columbus Day; the bond markets are closed, and so are the banks. Stock market participants shouldn’t expect guidance from interest rate moves related to bond trading. The futures market will be active; moves from Interest rate futures from tickers such as ZB=F can be helpful while bonds are silent.
Monday 10/10
1:30 PM ET Federal Reserve Vice Chair Lael Brainard discusses restoring price stability at the National Association of Business Economics (NABE). Attend via Zoom.
Columbus Day, the potential for thin trading and big price swings.
Tuesday 10/11
NY Fed 5-year inflation expectations for one- and three-year-ahead inflation expectations had posted steep declines in August, from 6.2 percent and 3.2 percent in July to 5.7 percent and 2.8 percent, respectively. Investors will be watching to see if the declining expectations continue.
NFIB Small Business Optimism Index (NFIB), is a monthly survey that asks small businesses if they have plans to increase employment, plans to expand capital spending, increase inventories, expect economic improvement, expect higher retail sales, is now a good time to expand, current job openings, and earnings trends in their business. Health in small businesses can be an indicator of overall economic health and stock market strength. This report is released at 6 am last month, the index was 91.8, and the consensus is 91.5.
The Labor Department’s JOLTS has, in recent years, been referred to as the “Quits” report. The report tracks monthly changes in job openings and contains rates of hiring and quitting. The word JOLTS stands for Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey.
Wednesday 10/12
The Producer Price Index (PPI) from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) is an inflation gauge that measures the average change over time in the prices received by U.S. producers of goods and services. The prices are typically considered input costs for final products and can impact CPI, it may also impact company costs of production and, therefore, profits. The trend has been lower, YOY PPI has been running at 8,7%, the consensus is for 8.4%.
The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) creates a statistic from several mortgage loan indexes. The Mortgage Applications index measures applications at mortgage lenders. It’s considered a leading indicator and is especially important for single-family home sales and housing construction. Both are considered foundational in a strong economy. L
ast week, the Purchase Index was -12.6%.
10 Year Treasury Note Auction is held in the middle of each month and settles on or around the 15th (depending on weekends). The yield is a benchmark for 30-year mortgages and has recently been noted by investment markets because it has been trading at a yield lower than shorter maturities; this inversion of the yield curve has some market players suggesting a recession is expected in the future. Any surprises at the auction will reverberate through the stock market.
FOMC minutes (September meeting) – We’d all love to be a fly on the wall at the Fed’s meetings. The minutes detail the issues debated and the consensus among policymakers. This, of course, has ramifications if the contents of the minutes demonstrate an above-average hawkish or dovish change in tone. The Federal Open Market Committee issues minutes of its latest meeting three weeks after the meeting.
Thursday 10/13
US Consumer Price Index (CPI) is the inflation indicator most widely broadcast. With inflation being a primary focus, this will be the big number coming out this week. The number represents a basket of goods considered typical for an urban consumer and is taken as the change in the cost of that basket of goods. A percentage is derived from the change. CPI is also reported with food and energy removed as it is considered that other non-economic factors influence these prices. The August report indicated CPI rose 0.6% for the month and 8.3% YOY. Expectations are for a slowing to 0.4% for September and a YOY rate of 8.1%.
U.S. Jobless Claims, which represent the prior weeks of employment are expected to have increased to 225,000 from 219,000. From jobless claims, investors can gain a sense of how tight or how loose the job market is. If wage inflation takes hold, interest rates will likely rise, and bond and stock prices will fall. Remember, the lower the number of unemployment claims, the stronger the job market, and vice versa.
Friday 10/14
U.S. retail sales have been lackluster, neither rising nor falling. As we head toward Thanksgiving and Black Friday sales levels, the market will be taking more and more interest in how strong the consumer is. Expectations for September are a rise of 0.2 percent overall, down 0.1 percent when excluding vehicles and up 0.4 when also excluding gasoline. The number is released at 8:30 am.
Business inventories are expressed in dollar value held by manufacturers, wholesalers, and retailers. The level of inventories in relation to sales is an important indicator of the near-term direction of production activity. Rising inventories can be an indication of business optimism that sales will be growing in the coming months. However, if unintended inventory accumulation occurs, then production will probably have to slow while those inventories. The consensus is for a 0.9% increase after only increasing 0.6% for August.
U.S. Baker Hughes Rig Count tracks weekly changes in the number of active operating oil & gas rigs. Rigs that are not active are not counted. Components in the data are the United States and Canada, with a separate count for the Gulf of Mexico (which is a subset of the U.S. total). A significant increase or decrease could have ramifications on energy costs in North America. The rig count for the prior period in North America was 977, with 762 of those being from the U.S.
What Else
It is a light week for economic releases and Fed governor addresses, but late week could see a dramatic change in market sentiment as the Fed Minutes, CI, and even employment has the potential to impact thinking.
Musk Plans to Go Ahead with Original Price of $54.20 a Share
All successful businessmen have their own style of negotiating. Elon Musk is better known as a whiz-kid/idea-man than a wheeler-dealer negotiator. But, he didn’t become the wealthiest person on planet Earth without being a master persuader. There’s no telling how much the on-again, off-again deal to buy Twitter was a “chess match” the entrepreneur was playing to accomplish a goal. Or if he backed himself into a corner that he could not get out of. In the end, Twitter had initially been fighting hard not to be bought for 54.20 a share, Twitter later wound up suing to be taken private for $54.20 a share. Assuming the final deal is near, this is either masterful brilliance or a costly mistake for the entrepreneur.
Will the Musk Twitter Deal Finally be Consummated?
Elon Musk, according to multiple news outlets, wrote to Twitter on Tuesday and offered to follow through with the deal to buy the company. The terms were the same as the original offer by the billionaire. If this is the final chapter of the interplay between Musk, who heads several companies, and Twitter, it will end the seven-month-long legal saga. It will also be the only company Musk owns that he has not built from the ground up.
Not coming to an agreement now would be difficult. Musk and Twitter are scheduled to meet in a Delaware court on October 17 as Twitter is looking to force the billionaire to purchase the company for the same terms Musk is said to have proposed in his letter.
As of 2:30 on Tuesday, the shares of Twitter are up 12.67%. The price is 11.50% below Musk’s per-share offering price.
Key Details
Twitter accepted Musk’s unsolicited takeover bid on April 25, three weeks after the billionaire disclosed he purchased a 9.2% stake in the company. This followed a short period where Twitter employees and a number of advocacy groups with names like Stop the Deal campaigned to prevent the purchase.
Musk is a uses the microblogging social media platform to communicate with his 108 million followers. However, he loathes the platform’s content moderation policy and wishes to change it to a more open, less moderated social media site. This was the reason given to his followers as to why he’d buy Twitter, to “fix it.”
He later said he was backing out of his offer, the reason was his due diligence allegedly uncovered a large number of fake and spam accounts on Twitter. Elon formally requested to be let out of the deal on July 8, using the reason Twitter lowballed the number of bot accounts in its public filings.
Twitter sued Musk four days later and argued his reasons for backing out of the deal were invalid. The company filed at a state court in Delaware to force Musk to buy Twitter at the originally agreed-upon terms. As the trial date drew nearer, more revelations about both Twitter and Musk emerged. One high drama event was Musk’s lawyers suggesting his case was strengthened by a whistleblower complaint from Twitter’s former head of security. The complaint alleged the company knowingly misled regulators and investors about the number of bots on the site.
The suit, if it had proceeded in two weeks, may have gotten messy as Musk’s texts between himself and public figures like Twitter co-founder Jack Dorsey, popular podcaster Joe Rogan, and Florida Governor DeSantis were to be part of the suit.
Other Impacted Stocks
Late afternoon on Tuesday, Tesla (TSLA) stock was trading 2.25% higher on the day but off its highs from before the news. Digital World Acquisition Corp., the SPAC that has agreed to merge with Trump Media and its platform, Truth Social, is down 3.16% on the day, having fallen sharply as word spread about Musk’s plans to buy Twitter.
Monitoring the Week Ahead – Week Ending October 8th
Today is the first trading week of the new quarter and the first in October. It’s the start of what many hope will be a market turnaround and a strong positive close to the year.
Taking the new month and new quarter one day at a time, below are events scheduled this week that could prove important to our Channelchek subscribers. US data and events will be heavy most days this week, opening with the ISM Manufacturing Survey Monday and ending with monthly Employment on Friday. A variety of Fed Governors will be talking on a number of critical subjects, those talks most likely to move markets are listed.
All times are Eastern Time.
Monday 10/3
Noble Capital Markets in Chicago, interview E.W. Scripps (attend live)
9 am Raphael Bostick, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, President/CEO, Discusses technology and Disruption. Follow
US Construction Spending 10 am – This reports the dollar value of new construction activity on residential, non-residential, and public projects. Construction spending fell 0.4 percent in July, marking the sixth straight lower-than-expected result. August’s consensus is a 0.1 percent decline.
ISM Manufacturing Index 10 am – The survey gathers information from managers about the general direction (tracked in volumes) of production, new orders, order backlogs, inventories, employment, supplier deliveries, exports, and imports. It was 52.8 in each of the last two reports, this shows the ISM manufacturing index has stabilized at a level of modest growth. September’s consensus is 52.4.
TD Ameritrade’s Investor Movement Index 12:30 – The Investor Movement Index, (IMX), is a behavior-based index created by TD Ameritrade designed to shed insight into Main Street sentiment. The IMX strives to measure what investors are actually doing and how they are positioned in the markets. The index is a snapshot, but when compared to previous periods may be helpful to uncover trends or changes in focus.
Tuesday 10/4
Noble Capital Markets in Chicago, interview E.W. Scripps in Milwaukee (attend live)
Factory orders are a leading indicator. It is the dollar amount of new orders for both durable and nondurable goods. Factory orders are seen gaining 0.2 percent in August, which would follow a 1.0 percent decline in July. Durable goods orders, which have already been released and are one of two major components of this report, fell 0.2 percent in the month.
The Labor Department’s JOLTS has in recent years been referred to as the “Quits” report. The report tracks monthly changes in job openings and contains rates on hiring and quitting. The word JOLTS stands for Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey.
Wednesday 10/4
OPEC meeting. OPEC meetings and the announcements post meeting with changes to production quotas, raising or lowering the global supply of crude oil can have a dramatic impact on energy prices, which currently have been feeding into inflation and business costs. The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and associate members meet monthly.
U.S. MBA Mortgage Applications at 7 am. This is a gauge of both the demand for housing and economic momentum. Families and individuals are usually feeling comfortable and confident in their own financial position to buy a house. The changes in housing provide data that has a significant multiplier effect acting on the economy as other purchases follow. The indicated change in economic activity impacts many industries and investment markets.
U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services at 8:30. Trade numbers are available by export, import, and trade balance for six principal end-use commodity categories. The numbers will be for August and are expected to show a deficit of $68.0 billion for total goods and services trade which would compare with a $70.6 billion deficit in July. Advance data on the goods side of August’s report showed a nearly $3 billion narrowing in the deficit.
The U.S. PMI Composite (Final) or Purchasing Managers Index released at 9:45 am is based on a monthly survey collected from over 400 U.S. companies. The companies provide a leading indicator of what is occurring in the private sector economy. At 49.2, the first indicator for September showed improvement from August’s 43.7. No change at 49.2 is the expectation for the final.
The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) Petroleum report 10:30 am. This report provides weekly information on petroleum inventories in the U.S., whether produced here or abroad. The level of inventories helps determine prices for petroleum products. The report is comprehensive and viewed by people in the industry at all levels.
Thursday 10/6
The Challenger Job-Cut Report at 7:30 am provides insight into where layoffs are occurring. There is industry and state-level detail, which makes it more insightful than a weekly jobless claims reports.
The Jobless Claims report is released each Thursday at 8:30. Jobless claims for the October 1 week are expected to come in at 203,000 versus 193,000 in the prior week, which was much lower than expected.
The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) Natural Gas report 10:30 am. This report provides weekly information on natural gas inventories in the U.S., whether produced here or abroad. With winter approaching in the northern hemisphere, unresolved natural gas distribution issues in Europe have heightened the attention paid to this report.
Friday 10/7
U.S. Employment situation at 8:30 am is possibly the most closely followed of all economic indicators. It establishes the official unemployment rate. the employment situation is a set of monthly labor market indicators based on two separate reports: the establishment survey, which tracks 650,000 worksites and offers the nonfarm payroll and average hourly earnings headlines, and the household survey, which interviews 60,000 households. August was the fifth straight month, and in seven of the last eight, payroll growth exceeded expectations. One widely followed estimate is that nonfarm payrolls rose 250,000 in September.
U.S. Wholesale Inventories at 10 am. Wholesale trade measures the dollar value of sales made and inventories held by merchant wholesalers. It is a component of business sales and inventories
Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, 1 pm address at Peterson Institute for International Economics. Watch
U.S. Consumer Credit, released at 3 pm is expected to show an increase to $25.0 billion in August versus a $23.8 billion increase in July.
What Else
The U.S. markets have been taking good news as bad and bad news as good when it relates to the economy. The reasons are fear that if the economy shows too much strength, the Fed will continue its aggressive fight to tame it, possibly overshooting.
A quarterly report Metal & Mining Q3 was released Monday by Noble Capital Markets. Check back with Channelchek this week for other quarter-end industry reports, including energy expected on Tuesday.
When investing and trading, always be aware of your surroundings and what may be lurking in the next influential speech, event, or report. Wishing you all a profitable week.
Musk’s Lawyers Call SEC Agreement a “Government Imposed Muzzle”
Elon Musk has had enough of being gagged. It has been over four years since he tweeted to his 22 million Twitter followers that he could take Tesla private, at $420 per share (a substantial premium to its trading price at the time), and that funding for the transaction had been secured, adding the only remaining uncertainty was a shareholder vote. On September 27, 2018, the SEC charged Musk, CEO of Tesla Inc., with securities fraud for a series of false and misleading tweets about a potential transaction to take Tesla (TSLA) private.
Part of the resolution with the Commission was that the CEO and chairman would not use Twitter and mention business without each tweet being vetted by a lawyer. Apparently, the provision restricting open communication with followers is difficult for Elon, who is quite active on the social media microblog platform. The easier part is the $40 million in cash that was part of the settlement ($20mm Musk, $20mm Tesla), and his resignation as Chairman of the Board.
In a brief filed with the 2nd U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals in Manhattan, on the fourth anniversary of the SEC’s charges, Musk’s lawyers called the pre-approval mandate a “government-imposed muzzle” that inhibited and chilled his lawful speech on a broad range of topics. The brief also said the requirement imposed by the SEC violated the U.S. Constitution and undermined public policy by running “contrary to the American principles of free speech and open debate.”
The SEC is expected to respond by filing its own brief with the appeals court.
Elon had filed an appeal previously to terminate the settlement agreement he had as CEO of Tesla with the SEC. That request was denied in April of this year. The denial was awkward as Mr. Musk was moving forward to acquire Twitter for $44 billion.
When on November 6, 2021 Musk asked Twitter followers whether he should sell 10% of his Tesla stake to cover tax bills on stock options, the SEC opened a probe and subpoenaed documents related to his compliance with the earlier settlement.
It’s time to rein in the SEC, according to the filing by Musk’s attorneys. It said the ruling is keeping Musk under “constant threat” as the Commission might reject his view as to which tweets require pre-approval from legal staff.
“Under the shadow of the consent decree, the SEC has increasingly surveilled, policed, and attempted to curb Mr. Musk’s protected speech that does not touch upon the federal securities laws,” the lawyers wrote.
In other events related to Twitter and the Tesla founder, Twitter has sued Musk to complete his purchase of the company. A nonjury trial is scheduled for October 17 in Delaware Chancery Court.
