Key Points: – June home sales dropped 2.7% from May as mortgage rates remained near 7%. – Inventory rose nearly 16% year-over-year, yet prices hit a record $435,300. – High-end homes are driving sales growth while first-time buyers remain sidelined
The U.S. housing market continues to send mixed signals. According to the National Association of Realtors, existing home sales for June fell 2.7% month-over-month to an annualized rate of 3.93 million units, surprising analysts who expected a much smaller decline. But despite softening demand, prices are still climbing — reaching a record-high median of $435,300.
For middle-market investors, this data presents both a challenge and a strategic opportunity.
Mortgage rates are the elephant in the room. At 6.77%, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate has hovered near cycle highs since spring, discouraging both first-time buyers and move-up homeowners from entering the market. The result? Stagnant sales volumes and longer time on market — now averaging 27 days versus 22 this time last year.
And yet, home prices continue to rise. June marked the 24th straight month of year-over-year price increases, driven by a long-standing shortage in housing supply and resilient demand at the high end of the market.
The supply situation has improved modestly, with 1.53 million homes on the market — up nearly 16% from a year ago — but remains well below the level needed for a balanced market. With a current supply of just 4.7 months, the market still leans in favor of sellers, particularly in premium segments.
Sales of homes over $1 million rose 14%, while those priced under $100,000 dropped 5%. Homes between $100,000 and $250,000 were up 5%, suggesting some traction in mid-tier affordability brackets, though far from historical norms. First-time buyers accounted for just 30% of sales, well below the typical 40% share, underscoring affordability pressures in a high-rate environment.
So, what does this mean for investors focused on small- and mid-cap real estate opportunities?
It may be time to double down on targeted real estate plays — not just in residential development, but also in rental housing, home improvement suppliers, and regional banks with exposure to housing markets. Companies servicing the higher end of the housing spectrum, or those innovating around affordability, are poised to benefit as buyers adjust expectations and capital flows to where inventory and demand align.
Furthermore, the rise in cash transactions (29% of sales) suggests that liquidity remains strong in certain market segments, and that investors are still finding value — despite rate headwinds.
In a market where fundamentals are diverging, middle market investors should be looking beyond national headlines and focusing on regional trends, builder sentiment, and small-cap housing companies with healthy balance sheets and smart positioning.
While rising prices may be discouraging to homebuyers, they’re a reminder that the housing shortage is far from solved — and the companies working to close that gap could deliver long-term upside.
Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Initiating Coverage of The Oncology Institute With An Outperform Rating. The Oncology Institute of Hope & Innovation (TOI) is a medical practice management company specializing in community-based oncology practices. It manages and operates oncology clinics in five states using its proprietary, value-based methodology. These treatment regimens have improved outcomes for patients while reducing the cost of care.
TOI Uses Capitated Contracts To Control Costs. TOI enters into contracts with third-party payers to treat a specified number of health plan members based on the estimated per-member, per-month cost. This method of providing coverage based on population size is known as capitation. It also offers traditional fee-for-service as well as value-based oncology care. This provides TOI with the flexibility to contract with more insurance plans.
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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
Key Points: – Gold prices remain strong as investors seek stability in volatile markets. – Precious metals and rare earths are gaining renewed interest as geopolitical and economic uncertainty rises. – Small-cap mining and metals companies may offer overlooked upside for risk-conscious investors.
With market volatility back in the headlines and rate cuts on hold, one asset class is quietly shining brighter than the rest: gold. The precious metal has extended its multi-month rally, continuing to hit near-record highs in 2025 as investors worldwide look for safer stores of value.
But this isn’t just about jewelry or bullion. What’s developing beneath the surface is a broader shift in capital flows — away from high-growth risk plays and into hard assets with intrinsic value. That includes not only gold and silver, but also rare earth metals, which are essential to everything from electric vehicles to semiconductors and military tech.
For middle market and small-cap investors, this could mark a key turning point.
Historically, gold performs well during periods of economic instability, inflationary pressure, and geopolitical stress — all conditions currently in play. With inflation proving sticky, central banks cautious on cuts, and conflict hotspots simmering, it’s no surprise institutional and retail investors alike are allocating more to precious metals.
Meanwhile, silver — often seen as gold’s more volatile cousin — has also begun to rally. With industrial use cases tied to clean energy, solar, and advanced tech manufacturing, silver offers a dual benefit: monetary safety and industrial upside.
But perhaps most interesting for middle-market investors is the renewed focus on rare earths — a segment often overlooked but increasingly critical in a tech-dependent world. These niche metals, such as neodymium, dysprosium, and praseodymium, are essential to magnets, batteries, and defense systems. With global supply chains still fragile and China dominating production, the U.S. and its allies are looking to diversify supply — and that puts smaller mining firms in the spotlight.
Companies in the junior mining and exploration space — many trading at micro- and small-cap valuations — could stand to benefit the most. While they carry exploration risk, the potential for outsized returns and strategic partnerships is drawing attention from institutional funds, especially those focused on ESG and supply chain security.
Gold’s continued rise isn’t just a price story — it’s a signal. A signal that investors are recalibrating their portfolios toward resilience, scarcity, and real-world utility.
For investors navigating uncertain terrain, exposure to precious and rare earth metals — whether through physical assets, ETFs, or small-cap equities — offers a compelling hedge. And with much of the sector still under the radar, now may be an ideal time to explore opportunities before the crowd catches on.
Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
The Merritt Mill is processing ore. Nicola Mining’s (TSX.V: NIM, OTCQB: HUSIF) 100% owned Merritt Mill in British Columbia recently began milling and processing ore from Talisker Resources Ltd.’s (TSX: TSK, OTCQX: TSKFF) Mustang mine to produce gold and silver concentrate. On May 11, Talisker began trucking material to the Craigmont Mill. The commencement of milling operations marked Nicola’s transition to a long-term production plan and sustained revenue and cash flow generation.
Flow-through financing. Nicola Mining raised gross proceeds of C$2,175,000 with a non-brokered private placement of 4,350,000 units at a price of C$0.50 per unit. Each unit consists of one flow-through common share and one-half of one non-flow-through common share purchase warrant. Each warrant is exercisable at a price of C$0.65 and expires two years from the date of issuance. The financing was oversubscribed by a total of 350,000 units or C$175,000. Proceeds will be used to fund exploration at the company’s New Craigmont Copper Project.
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Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Lithium-metal anodes. Century Lithium announced that Alpha-En Corporation successfully converted Century’s lithium carbonate into battery-grade lithium-metal anodes for use in lithium-ion batteries. The lithium-metal anodes were produced using 99.8% pure lithium carbonate from Century’s Angel Island project and demonstration plant. The sample was converted by Alpha-En into lithium metal using Alpha-En’s patented conversion process.
LFP 18650 battery cells. Earlier in the month, Century announced that First Phosphate Corp. produced commercial-grade lithium iron phosphate (LFP) 18650 battery cells using North American critical minerals, including lithium carbonate sourced from Century’s Angel Island project and demonstration plant, along with high-purity phosphoric acid and iron powder from First Phosphate’s Begin-Lamarche property in Quebec. The LFP 18650 battery cells were assembled for First Phosphate by Ultion Technologies at their pilot facility in Nevada.
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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
Key Points: – Trump says his administration is exploring the removal of capital gains taxes on home sales. – The move could unlock capital, boost housing turnover, and benefit housing-related sectors. – Middle-market and small-cap real estate and home improvement firms could see upside from rising transaction activity.
In a surprising policy hint that could reshape the U.S. housing market, President Donald Trump said Tuesday his administration is “thinking about no tax on capital gains on houses.” The statement, delivered from the Oval Office, comes as part of a broader economic playbook aimed at fueling consumer momentum ahead of the 2026 election cycle.
Currently, profits from home sales are subject to capital gains taxes, though homeowners selling their primary residences can deduct up to $250,000 (single) or $500,000 (married) under existing law. Trump’s proposal — which aligns with a new bill introduced by Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene — would eliminate capital gains tax altogether on home sales, potentially removing one of the biggest friction points in residential real estate.
For investors — particularly in the middle market and small-cap sectors — the implications could be significant.
Removing capital gains tax on homes could encourage long-time homeowners to sell, freeing up inventory in tight markets and fueling demand for adjacent sectors: real estate brokerages, mortgage services, homebuilders, renovation companies, and material suppliers. Small-cap firms in these industries, which have lagged amid high interest rates and a sluggish housing turnover rate, may find themselves back in favor.
The policy could also revive investor sentiment in the residential property space. With more liquidity available and tax incentives restored, buyers may re-enter the market more aggressively, especially if paired with a future Fed rate cut — something Trump alluded to when he said, “If the Fed would lower the rates, we wouldn’t even have to do that.”
From a strategic standpoint, eliminating taxes on home sales would shift housing from being just a lifestyle decision to a more liquid investment vehicle — benefiting not only homeowners but potentially boosting real estate stocks, REITs, and companies supporting the housing ecosystem.
Critics argue such a move could overheat the housing market or primarily benefit wealthier Americans. However, for investors with an eye on undervalued small-cap plays, this policy could be the catalyst that reopens stalled growth pipelines in sectors tied to home transactions — particularly construction, hardware, lending tech, and residential services.
It also ties into a broader trend: a return to asset-based investing over speculative tech — with hard assets like homes, precious metals, and infrastructure increasingly seen as reliable anchors during fiscal uncertainty.
While the proposal is far from finalized, the conversation alone signals that real estate is back on the national economic agenda — and may offer renewed upside for investors willing to look beyond the large caps.
Key Points: – Opendoor shares surge nearly 95% as retail traders rally behind turnaround potential. – Market buzz fueled by comparisons to Carvana’s 100x rebound. – Rebound renews optimism for small-cap proptech firms navigating post-crisis recovery.
Shares of Opendoor Technologies (Nasdaq: OPEN) have soared nearly 95% in Monday trading, extending a jaw-dropping run that saw the online home-buying platform triple in value last week. The catalyst? A mix of bullish small-cap speculation, retail investor momentum, and echoes of past high-profile recoveries.
The sudden surge began after EMJ Capital’s Eric Jackson revealed his firm had taken a position in Opendoor, citing the potential for a “100-bagger” return — a term used to describe stocks with the potential to return 100 times the original investment. Jackson compared Opendoor’s situation to that of Carvana (CVNA), which went from the brink of collapse in 2023 to becoming one of the market’s biggest comeback stories.
Opendoor, once a darling of the real estate tech boom, had lost nearly 98% of its market cap since peaking at nearly $36 per share in early 2021. It had been teetering on the edge of delisting from the Nasdaq after trading below $1 for over 30 days this year. In a bid to remain listed, the company proposed a reverse stock split in June to artificially lift its share price — but that plan may now be unnecessary.
As of Monday, Opendoor shares had closed above $1 for four consecutive sessions, and were trading above $4 by midday — a potential lifeline to retain its Nasdaq listing and buy time for a true turnaround. This rally, although speculative in nature, brings fresh attention to the broader small-cap property technology (proptech) space.
The momentum gained steam in familiar territory: Reddit’s WallStreetBets community. Traders shared screenshots of their Opendoor positions and praised the stock’s volatility, pushing it deeper into meme stock status. While much of the price action has been driven by speculative enthusiasm, the fundamental hope lies in the company’s expected move into positive EBITDA territory in the coming earnings cycle — which could signal a shift from survival to sustainable growth.
For investors in the small and micro-cap space, Opendoor’s rebound offers a powerful reminder of the volatility — and opportunity — inherent in post-crisis tech sectors. As housing markets stabilize and interest rates gradually ease, companies that can operate leaner and show clear paths to profitability are regaining investor confidence.
This momentum has also put a spotlight on similar small-cap proptech and real estate platforms that are undervalued but show operational potential. While it’s unlikely most will see meme-like surges, Opendoor’s rally highlights a window of opportunity for middle-market investors to identify turnaround plays before institutions catch on.
Whether this rally marks a sustainable turnaround or a speculative detour, one thing is clear: the market is watching, and the appetite for underdog small caps is alive and well.
Key Points: – ARCHIMED to acquire ZimVie Inc. for $19/share, nearly doubling its 90-day average price. – The $730M deal will take ZimVie private, accelerating its dental technology growth. – Positive signal for middle market healthcare investors as valuations rebound.
In a strategic move that underscores growing momentum in middle-market healthcare, ZimVie Inc. (Nasdaq: ZIMV), a leader in dental implant technology, has entered into a definitive agreement to be acquired by healthcare-focused investment firm ARCHIMED. The all-cash transaction values ZimVie at approximately $730 million, or $19.00 per share — nearly double its 90-day volume-weighted average price of $9.57.
For ZimVie shareholders, the nearly 99% premium represents a compelling exit, especially as the company faced headwinds in public markets. The deal will take the Florida-based firm private, offering it the strategic flexibility and financial backing often difficult to realize under the scrutiny of quarterly earnings and shareholder pressure.
The acquisition is expected to close by the end of 2025, pending regulatory and shareholder approvals. Until then, ZimVie will continue to operate independently.
ZimVie has carved out a niche in the global dental implant market, developing and delivering a comprehensive portfolio of restoration products and digital workflow solutions. Its global footprint and innovation in oral health make it a prime example of a middle-market firm with strong fundamentals and potential for accelerated growth under private ownership.
ARCHIMED’s interest aligns with a broader trend: private equity firms are showing renewed appetite for small and mid-cap healthcare players that have proven tech, scalable platforms, and room for international expansion. ARCHIMED, which manages €8 billion across its healthcare-focused funds, has a track record of guiding companies through global scaling, M&A, and innovation cycles.
While this deal removes a promising small-cap from public investor reach, it also sends a positive signal to investors looking to identify the next undervalued gem. ZimVie’s valuation leap shows that quality middle-market healthcare firms can still command significant premiums — and that smart capital is actively hunting in this space.
Notably, ZimVie has entered a 40-day “go-shop” period, during which it can solicit competing bids. Though there’s no guarantee of a superior proposal, this opens the door for additional interest, potentially raising the final sale price — a factor for investors still holding shares.
As healthcare innovation continues to be a resilient sector, especially in medtech and dental care, this deal could be a bellwether. Middle market investors may find increasing value in companies that combine specialized solutions with long-term demand — especially before they’re targeted by institutional buyers.
InPlay Oil is a junior oil and gas exploration and production company with operations in Alberta focused on light oil production. The company operates long-lived, low-decline properties with drilling development and enhanced oil recovery potential as well as undeveloped lands with exploration possibilities. The common shares of InPlay trade on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the symbol IPO and the OTCQX Exchange under the symbol IPOOF.
Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Hans Baldau, Associate Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Company strategy. Despite the recent improvement in oil prices, InPlay is maintaining its 2025 production guidance at 16,000 to 16,800 boe/d. Management reiterated that the strategy remains centered on capital discipline, prioritizing debt reduction over production growth. The company’s approach is supported by fluctuating oil prices and the performance of assets acquired from Obsidian Energy, which have demonstrated low decline rates and continue to well-exceed type curve expectations. Recall that as part of the transaction, Obsidian Energy received InPlay shares as part of the consideration.
Non-binding offer. InPlay Oil announced that Obsidian Energy has entered into a non-binding agreement with a third party for the sale of its entire position in InPlay, totaling 9,139,784 common shares. The proposed transaction is expected to occur at a premium to InPlay’s share price as of July 15, 2025. While the parties remain in discussions, no binding agreement has been finalized at this time.
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Uber is taking a bold step into the future of mobility with a newly announced six-year, $300 million partnership aimed at deploying more than 20,000 autonomous electric vehicles across the United States. The ride-hailing giant has partnered with luxury electric vehicle manufacturer Lucid and autonomous driving startup Nuro to bring a custom-built fleet of robotaxis to the streets starting next year.
The deal, revealed Thursday, signals Uber’s deeper push into self-driving technology, a space that has seen accelerating momentum in recent years. As part of the agreement, Uber will invest $300 million in Lucid, helping to fund the development of a new line of electric vehicles designed specifically for autonomous ride-hailing. Nuro, known for its robotics expertise and backed by investors like Google and SoftBank’s Vision Fund, will supply the Level 4 autonomous driving software that powers these vehicles.
Under the terms of the partnership, Lucid will manufacture and supply at least 20,000 robotaxis to Uber over the next six years. These vehicles will be equipped with Nuro’s full-stack self-driving system, capable of handling everyday driving without human intervention under typical conditions. Testing of the first prototype is already underway at Nuro’s proving grounds in Las Vegas, where the vehicles are being refined in preparation for public deployment.
The companies expect the program to launch in a major U.S. city in 2026, though they have not yet disclosed which one. The initiative builds on Uber’s recent expansion with Alphabet-backed Waymo, which brought self-driving ride services to cities like Atlanta and Austin earlier this year. With the new Lucid-Nuro partnership, Uber is doubling down on its long-term strategy to integrate more fully autonomous vehicles into its platform.
Lucid’s role is particularly significant, as the company brings to the table its EV engineering and range capabilities. Its upcoming Gravity SUV, which boasts a 450-mile battery range, will serve as the initial vehicle platform for the robotaxi fleet. This extended range is expected to reduce charging downtime and lower operating costs, while also increasing vehicle availability on the Uber platform.
Nuro described the agreement as a scalable model for commercial robotaxi programs worldwide. With significant investment from top-tier venture capital firms and an extensive R&D history in autonomous systems, Nuro is positioning itself as a key player in next-generation transportation infrastructure.
Lucid, for its part, sees this partnership as a strategic move into a new, high-growth segment of the EV market. While traditionally focused on luxury electric sedans and SUVs, the company is now expanding into fleet-based mobility services, opening the door to recurring revenue through large-scale partnerships.
Together, the three companies aim to create a purpose-built robotaxi experience that blends safety, efficiency, and advanced EV design. As Uber continues to diversify beyond its traditional driver-based model, this alliance marks a major step toward a more autonomous and electrified future of urban mobility.
Oil prices held relatively steady on Wednesday, July 16, as competing forces in the global energy market kept prices from making strong moves in either direction. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude hovered near $66 per barrel after an earlier dip in the session.
The market saw downward pressure from an unexpected rise in crude inventories at Cushing, Oklahoma, a key storage and pricing hub. At the same time, distillate fuel demand, which includes diesel, showed signs of softening. These developments signaled a possible easing of near-term consumption, raising concerns about oversupply.
Despite those pressures, oil has shown strength over the past several weeks. Seasonal demand, particularly during summer months when travel activity peaks, has provided a degree of support. At the same time, the broader financial markets saw a boost after political tensions appeared to ease in Washington, improving investor sentiment across risk assets.
Globally, oil supply continues to rise as major producers ramp up output. The OPEC+ group has been reintroducing volumes that were previously held back, while production across North and South America has also grown. This increase in supply has raised the potential for a looser market in the months ahead, especially if demand growth slows.
Even so, signs of tightness remain in the short term. U.S. crude inventories fell by nearly 4 million barrels in the most recent report, and distillate stockpiles remain at their lowest seasonal level in decades. These conditions suggest that supply constraints are still present in certain segments of the market.
The structure of oil futures continues to indicate firm short-term demand. The price for immediate delivery remains higher than later-dated contracts, a pattern known as backwardation. This typically reflects a market that is undersupplied in the near term, even if concerns about oversupply persist further out.
Globally, oil stockpiles have been increasing in some regions, though the build-up has been concentrated in markets that do not heavily influence futures prices. This uneven distribution of supply has helped keep benchmark prices relatively supported, especially in Atlantic-based markets where Brent crude is priced.
As the oil market navigates seasonal trends, evolving supply dynamics, and shifts in global demand, prices are likely to remain rangebound in the near term. While inventory changes and geopolitical developments can trigger short-term fluctuations, the overall outlook continues to be shaped by a complex balance of economic and physical market factors.
Welcome to a multi-part article series authored by leading cross-border M&A professionals from CBIZ, Greenberg Traurig LLP, Noble Capital Markets, and Pathfinder Advisors LLC. This series provides a comprehensive guide for middle-market and larger European companies and investors seeking strategic acquisitions in the U.S. across the manufacturing, distribution, logistics, business services, and retail sectors. It will illuminate the compelling market dynamics, operational advantages, and strategic imperatives driving these transatlantic deals now, while also offering practical insights on navigating the complexities of U.S. market entry, robust financial and operational due diligence, talent integration, and regulatory considerations. The series aims to equip company owners, corporate development executives, family offices, and private equity professionals with the knowledge to unlock significant value and establish a resilient U.S. presence.
In an era defined by rapid economic shifts and evolving global dynamics, European enterprises may now have unprecedented opportunities to look across the Atlantic for strategic growth opportunities. The U.S. market, with its vast scale and inherent resilience, could present a compelling landscape for inbound M&A. This first article in our series explores why the current climate favors European acquirers and how strategic U.S. acquisitions could unlock significant value and establish a robust, resilient long-term presence.
THE U.S. ECONOMIC LANDSCAPE: A MAGNET FOR GLOBAL CAPITAL
Several factors contribute to the U.S. market’s allure for European companies. Despite global uncertainties, theAmerican economy consistently demonstrates remarkable resilience and growth, driven by strong domestic demand and a vast consumer base.
For businesses in manufacturing, distribution, logistics, business services, and retail, this can translate into unparalleled opportunities for scaling operations and accessing a diverse, expansive customer demographic. Unlike other regions, the U.S. provides a stable and predictable economic environment, making it a potentially reliable destination for significant capital deployment. Indeed, while some regions have seen a decline in foreign direct investment (FDI), North America has seen an increase, partly due to the U.S. market’s enduring appeal.
Legally and regulatorily, the U.S. provides a stable and transparent system, which is a major draw for European companies. It features strong intellectual property (IP) protections, generally favorable employer-friendly laws in most states, and a robust legal system that supports contract enforcement.
Beyond tolerance, the U.S. actively encourages FDI, recognizing its role in economic development and job creation, making it a highly attractive destination for European capital.
Adding to these draws, the U.S. labor market is generally more operationally flexible compared to many European economies. It features less pervasive unionization, fewer statutory time-off mandates, and largely defined contribution pension structures, all of which may help streamline post-acquisition integration and cost management for European acquirers.
COMPELLING VALUATION DYNAMICS & DEAL STRUCTURES: A BUYER’S WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY
Recent market adjustments have tempered the soaring valuations seen in previous years, creating a more balanced and favorable buyer’s market. In 2024, average middle market M&A valuations eased to 9.4x EV/EBITDA, down from 9.6x in 2023.
While the median EBITDA multiple also dropped, signaling continued buyer selectivity, the share of deals closing at 10.0x EBITDA or higher rebounded significantly. This suggests that while overall valuations have stabilized, high-quality assets, particularly in service-focused areas, continue to attract strong competition and premium pricing. At the same time, the average enterprise value of targets increased, indicating a strategic shift towards larger, more synergistic acquisitions.
This environment is supported by a constructive lending landscape. Private credit has grown, taking a permanent share of the corporate lending market and offering flexible financing solutions.
Adding to this buyer-favorable backdrop, the U.S. Dollar has lost over 13% of its value against the Euro this year, potentially boosting the valuation case for European acquirers as a stronger Euro effectively discounts U.S. acquisitions by the same margin.
Despite some recent volatility in the middle market debt environment due to factors like credit downgrades and persistent high-yield spreads, optimism about private equity dealmaking remains high. This continued demand, alongside improving macroeconomic conditions, makes the market increasingly conducive to transactions.
Moreover, understanding the nuances of U.S. deal structures—from asset versus stock purchases to the strategic use of earn-outs—is key to optimizing transaction outcomes and aligning interests.
STRATEGIC SUPPLY CHAIN RECONFIGURATION: LOCALIZING FOR RESILIENCE AND OPERATIONAL ADVANTAGE
Global events have clearly highlighted the vulnerabilities of extended supply chains. For many European firms, enhancing supply chain resilience has become a top strategic priority.
While U.S. manufacturing output “barely increased” in 2024, indicating a lag between investment announcements and operational capacity coming online, this may create an opportunity for M&A. Acquiring existing U.S. companies could offer an immediate and impactful solution for nearshoring or reshoring production and distribution capabilities, circumventing these lags and accelerating market entry.
Establishing a U.S. footprint can directly impact lead times, reduces international transportation costs, and mitigates exposure to geopolitical disruptions and tariffs.
European firms are increasingly seeking U.S. acquisitions to create “tariff-proof” manufacturing and supply chains. Imagine a European manufacturer of specialized industrial components acquiring a U.S. distributor with strategically located warehouses; this not only ensures closer proximity to end-customers but could also help build a more secure and efficient North American supply network, providing diversification away from global reliance.
A WELCOMING POLICY ENVIRONMENT: INCENTIVES FOR FOREIGN INVESTMENT AND GROWTH
The U.S. government has adopted a supportive stance towards domestic investment, offering substantial incentives that can indirectly benefit foreign acquirers. Initiatives like the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) and CHIPS Act, while often associated with specific high-tech manufacturing, create a broader environment that could favor industrial growth.
The CHIPS Act, for example, not only boosts semiconductor production but also strongly encourages supply chain diversification and risk mitigation across related industries. While some specific tax credits might face adjustments, certain benefits of the IRA are expected to remain intact, continuing to make U.S. investment attractive.
This supportive policy environment, combined with a stable regulatory landscape compared to other global jurisdictions, could further de-risk direct foreign investment. The U.S. actively encourages FDI, recognizing its role in economic development and job creation, making it a highly attractive destination for European capital.
Beyond direct governmental initiatives, the U.S. tax environment offers key advantages that may enhance its appeal for cross-border M&A.
U.S. tax law broadly allows for the amortization of goodwill and other intangible assets in the case of asset acquisitions. Moreover, in certain circumstances, transactions structured as stock acquisitions can be treated as asset acquisitions for income tax purposes with the appropriate election, allowing buyers to obtain assets with a “stepped up” tax basis, alongside the benefit of intangible asset amortization.
Importantly for European acquirers, the U.S. maintains a wide treaty network with Europe. This network may enable the efficient repatriation of after-tax earnings with favorable withholding tax rates, further making the U.S. an attractive destination for international expansion.
SECTOR-SPECIFIC READINESS: RIPE OPPORTUNITIES ACROSS INDUSTRIES
Beyond macroeconomic factors, the U.S. market may offer significant opportunities in specific sectors. In manufacturing, there is a strong push for modernization and efficiency, that could make established U.S. facilities ripe for European investment and technological enhancement.
The fragmented nature of the U.S. distribution and logistics sectors may present opportunities for consolidation, allowing European players to build scalable networks. Indeed, recent trends show a noticeable uptick in European buyers seeking to expand their U.S. footprint, often driven by a desire to mitigate tariff impacts.
Business services and retail, driven by a dynamic consumer base and rapid technological adoption, offer avenues for market expansion and digital transformation. For example, a European logistics firm might acquire several regional U.S. trucking companies to quickly establish a national network, leveraging existing customer relationships and infrastructure and benefiting from the observed M&A activity in logistics, where cross-border deals accounted for 44% in 2024.
CONCLUSION: POSITIONING FOR ENDURING SUCCESS IN THE U.S.
The combination of attractive valuations, a resilient market, strategic supply chain needs, and a supportive policy environment may create a window of opportunity for European companies.
Proactive engagement in U.S. M&A now is not just about growth; it is about building long-term resilience and securing a dominant position in a critical global market.
Our next article, “Expanding Your Footprint: Strategic Opportunities in U.S. Manufacturing, Distribution & Logistics,” will delve deeper into the specific operational and technological advantages awaiting European acquirers in these core industrial sectors.
ABOUT THE AUTHORS:
Nico Pronk is Managing Partner, CEO, and Head of Investment Banking at Noble Capital Markets. Nico has over 35 years of experience working with IPOs, Secondary Offerings, Private Placements and Mergers and Acquisitions including complex cross-border transactions. During his career he has served as Director or Advisor to numerous privately held and publicly traded companies.
Bruce C. Rosetto is a Senior Partner and Shareholder at Greenberg Traurig LLP and represents private and public companies, private equity funds, hedge funds, investment banks, and entrepreneurial clients in a wide variety of industries. He has broad experience in domestic and international mergers and acquisitions, raising capital, securities work, private placement financings, corporate governance, alternate assets, and projects qualifying for investment under the EB-5 Entrepreneur Investment Visa Program. He also forms private equity funds and family offices and represents affiliated portfolio companies.
Fred Campos is a Managing Director atCBIZ with more than 20 years of experience in accounting and finance and more than 300 executed buy-side and sell-side M&A engagements. Prior to joining CBIZ, Fred founded and led a boutique advisory services firm focused on mergers and acquisitions and exit readiness. Earlier in his career, he was part of the cross-border practice at Ernst & Young (EY) where he assisted EY’s global clients on cross-border deals. Fred also established and led the regional transaction advisory services practice for a global top tier public accounting firm.
Mark Chaves, Managing Director with CBIZ, assists companies with domestic and international tax planning and structuring, mergers and acquisitions, and business reorganizations. Mark has focused his career on working with multinational corporations to manage cross-border direct and indirect tax issues, foreign tax credit and repatriation planning, reorganization of expatriate and inpatriate tax matters, and ASC 740 reporting. Additionally, Mark assists individuals with international estate planning, inbound tax structuring of investments in U.S. real property, and pre-immigration planning as well as with cross-border tax issues and filings for FINCEN compliance.
Matthew (Matt) Podowitz is the founder and Principal Consultant of Pathfinder Advisors LLC, bringing experience on 400+ global M&A engagements to his clients. Matt specializes in the critical operational and technology aspects of M&A transactions, providing due diligence, carve-out, integration, and value creation services. Leveraging his perspective as a dual US/EU citizen, he provides seamless support for cross-border M&A transactions through every step of the transaction lifecycle in both markets. His background includes leadership roles at firms like Ernst & Young, Grant Thornton, and CFGI.
Key Points: – S&P 500 and Nasdaq near record highs as strong June retail sales and jobless claims data signal economic resilience. – Tech sector leads gains, boosted by TSMC’s record earnings and rising AI-related demand. – Investors look past political noise, focusing instead on steady consumer activity and strong corporate performance.
U.S. stock markets continued their upward momentum on Thursday, with major indexes climbing toward record highs as upbeat economic data and solid corporate earnings supported investor sentiment. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite were both on track to close at fresh all-time highs, bolstered by renewed strength in technology stocks and encouraging signals from consumers and the labor market. The Dow Jones Industrial Average also posted modest gains, contributing to a broadly positive tone across equities.
Retail sales rose in June, easing concerns that recently imposed tariffs by President Donald Trump would dampen consumer spending. The rebound in sales provided reassurance that household demand remains resilient, even amid ongoing trade policy uncertainty. The data served as a key indicator of economic stability, reinforcing the notion that U.S. consumers—who drive a significant portion of economic activity—remain active despite geopolitical and financial headwinds.
At the same time, the Department of Labor reported that weekly jobless claims fell to 221,000 in the week ending July 12, the lowest in three months. After an uptick in claims earlier this spring, the recent decline suggests that the labor market remains relatively strong. The drop in new unemployment filings adds to growing optimism that the broader economy is on stable footing heading into the second half of the year.
Corporate earnings also played a major role in Thursday’s market momentum. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC), a key supplier to Nvidia and other major chipmakers, posted record quarterly profits, citing strong demand for artificial intelligence-related components. The announcement sent TSMC shares higher and sparked a rally among semiconductor stocks, further fueling the tech-heavy Nasdaq’s gains. Meanwhile, PepsiCo surprised investors with a revenue beat and revised its 2025 profit forecast to a smaller decline, suggesting stronger-than-expected consumer demand in the beverage and snack sectors.
Attention also turned to Netflix, which was scheduled to report earnings after the market close. As the first of the Big Tech companies to release quarterly results this season, the streaming giant’s performance is seen as a bellwether for investor expectations in the sector. Netflix shares have been on a strong run in 2025, reflecting optimism about its growth trajectory and content strategy.
In the background, political developments in Washington continued to simmer, with President Trump’s criticisms of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell drawing attention. While Trump said he had no current plans to remove Powell, his public comments have reignited speculation about potential interference with central bank policy. However, markets appeared to shrug off the rhetoric for now, focusing instead on tangible economic and earnings data.
Looking ahead, investors are closely watching the Federal Reserve’s upcoming meeting in two weeks. Market expectations overwhelmingly point to no change in interest rates, as inflation data remains mixed and the Fed stays cautious. For the moment, the combination of strong consumer data, robust earnings, and a relatively stable economic outlook appears to be outweighing political noise, helping stocks push further into record territory.
